weekly ecological briefing · ecobrief author: nws tampa bay created date: 10/5/2020 9:29:15 am
TRANSCRIPT
Weekly Ecological Briefing
Monday, March 8, 2021
Briefing by Austen Flannery
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Current Satellite ViewValid This Morning
Clear skies across nearly all of the
Southeast U.S.
Some clouds from the east coast may
work into our area later this
morning/early afternoon
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
• High pressure is in control
• Cool, dry, breezy weather for
next couple days
• Hazardous marine
conditions
• Slowly moderating towards
the weekend
Weather OverviewToday’s Forecast Chart
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
• Strong northeast flow across
Tampa Bay continues to impact
water levels, particularly at low
tide cycles, in northern portions
of Tampa Bay
• Water levels are running between
-1.0 to -1.5 Mean Lower Low
Water (MLLW – average of lowest
low tides each day) at low tide
• May expose sandbars, rocky
shoals, etc.
Low Water Levels in Tampa BayStrong NE Winds Pushing Water Out
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Rain Total During the Last 7 Days
Another fairly dry week for
most spots. Majority of
appreciable rainfall occurred
Saturday
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
30 Day Rain Total & Percent of Normal
Southern counties generally drier
Northern counties have seen additional rainfall
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Year-to-Date Rain Total & Percent of Normal
Despite wetter conditions over last 30 days, still a rainfall deficit for almost
all of West Central and SWFL
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
USGS Stream Flow
7-Day Average Stream Flow Compared to Normal 7-Day Below Normal Flow Ranking
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
7-Day Rain ForecastForecast Valid Through Sunday, March 14
High pressure is expected to remain in
control. No rain is expected for the next
seven days.
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Drought Monitorhttps://droughtmonitor.unl.edu
Locations of Concern
• Abnormally dry across parts of
the Nature Coast and Central
Florida
• Drought monitor may deteriorate
some with no rainfall expected
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Fire DangerKeetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) and Fire Danger Indices
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Water TemperatureTemperatures are in degrees Fahrenheit
After gradual warming, SSTs
have remained mostly steady
over the last week.
Temperatures may cool some
this week with cooler temps, but
likely to slowly warm thereafter
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
6-10 Day Temperature & Precipitation Outlook
Temperature Outlook Precipitation Outlook
West Florida: A 40-50% chance of above normal temperatures
and a 33-40% chance of above normal precipitation for portions of the Nature Coast
West Central and Southwest Florida
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
3 Month Temperature & Precipitation Outlook
Temperature Outlook Precipitation Outlook
A 50-60% of above normal temperatures
A 40-50% chance of below normal precipitation
West Central and Southwest Florida
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Weekly Weather Forecast
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
None None None None None None
None None None None None None
None None None None None None
Small Craft
Exercise Caution
Small Craft
Exercise Caution
Small Craft
Exercise CautionNone None None
Risk Level None Slight Moderate High Extreme
Extended Hazards OutlookOutlook Valid: Tue through Sun
Weather.gov/TampaBay
Tampa Bay/RuskinWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
SummaryPrimary Weather Concerns Through Monday
▪ Pleasant, dry weather for next seven days
▪ Breezy through mid-week
▪ Gradual warming