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    Welfare threat and exclusionism of immigrants. Perception of immigrants

    in different European welfare states. (Radka Klvaov)

    home list theses contence previous next

    1. Immigration, welfare state and xenophobia

    Immigration into Western Europe after the Second World War followed various tracks[1],

    and as a result of these immigration processes, an environment of cultural and ethnic

    heterogeneity emerged in Europe, which brought a new challenge for the European, so far

    relatively ethnically homogeneous, societies organized in the forms of nation states.

    Not only was the cultural environment affected by immigration, but also the

    institutional structure of the modern nation states was confronted. International migration

    in its various forms challenges organizational and conceptual boundaries, borders,

    important forms of social organization, such as the welfare state, as well as ways of thinkingabout us and them (Geddes, 2003a: 2). The civil, political and social rights originally

    conceptualized as the exclusive entitlements of the native population forming the contract

    between the state and citizens were partially extended also to some of the newcomers

    (Phalet, Swyngedow, 2002). The state organized solidarity, founded originally on the notion

    of ethnically based citizenship that indicated the community of legitimate receivers of

    welfare state provision, has been challenged.

    The welfare state is one of the most powerful institutions that immigrants are

    confronted with in the European countries in a sense that it determines their position in the

    society in different ways and divides them into various categories (Ireland, 2004: 5). As a

    tool of both inclusion and exclusion the welfare state system also became a method of

    regulation of migration by means of providing welfare support to some migrants and

    denying it to others (Geddes, 2003b: 153).

    The immigrants living and arriving in European countries often face negative attitudes of the

    natives. This creates a barrier for their further integration into the society and increases

    tensions between the ethnic groups. However, the attitudes towards immigrants vary across

    countries, and yet not many studies tried to explain those differences, since they rather

    focused on finding the similarities explaining xenophobia across Europe. This study aims at

    finding whether living in a particular welfare state affects the perception of immigrants as a

    source of threat to the welfare of the native population, and thus whether the differences in

    the attitudes towards immigrants in various European countries can be explained by the

    structural differences.

    1.1 Welfare state types

    There are different types of welfare states based on different ideas of social solidarity. In my

    paper, I use Esping-Andersens typology of welfare states (1990, 1999). He distinguishes

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    among three welfare state regimes. Firstly, the liberal welfare state emphasizes the market

    dominance in welfare provision that is distributed according to ones efforts on the labour

    market and stresses the individual responsibility for ones well-being. The level of

    decommodification or independence from the market is the lowest among all the welfare

    state regimes, and the basis for the social rights entitlement is a demonstrated need of the

    deserving poor. State organized horizontal as well as vertical solidarity is on a very low

    level. Secondly, the conservative-corporatist welfare statetype is based on the principle of

    subsidiarity and thus the role of the state in the welfare provision is limited to the situations

    where the lowest networks of solidarity, especially the family, fail. The degree of

    decommodification is limited and the horizontal solidarity is favoured over the vertical

    solidarity. The society is strongly segmented according to the status derived from the

    position on the labour market, which is the main basis for the benefits entitlement. Thirdly,

    the social democratic welfare state regime emphasizes the principle of universal solidarity

    and the entitlement for social rights is based on citizenship. The degree of

    decommodification is the highest among the three welfare regimes and the state takes the

    responsibility for social welfare of its citizens. An extensive vertical redistribution attempts

    to minimize the market as well as family dependency.

    One of the topics discussed in the context of the welfare state and immigration is the effect

    of the generosity of the welfare state on the extent of immigration and the type of

    immigrants. An extensive research on the effect of immigration on the welfare state exists

    (e.g. Borjas, 1999; Razin, Sadka, 2004, Lundborg, Segerstrom, 2002, Brcker et al., 2001),

    but there is no room for discussion of these effects in this paper. Most authors conclude that

    immigration can put a burden on the welfare state, but the effect of the immigration on thewelfare state depends on the characteristics of the immigrants. An evidence exists that

    countries with the most generous welfare system can act as welfare magnets and attract

    immigrants that are more likely to depend on the welfare system (so-called welfare

    migration) (Brcker et al., 2001: 57, 82).

    1.2 Theories of ethnic relations

    This section provides an overview of the main theories of ethnic relations referring to

    xenophobia, racism, prejudice, and ethnic exclusionism that, even if labeled differently in

    the literature, provide explanations of the negative attitudes of the natives towards the

    immigrants.

    Wimmer (2000) provides a helpful summary of the theories of racism and xenophobia

    and he distinguishes among four main explanations of xenophobia and racism[2]: the

    rational choice theory, functionalism, sociobiology and discourse theory.

    First, according to the rational choice theories, the natives perceive the immigrants

    as illegitimate rivals in the competition over scarce resources and xenophobic discourse

    helps to legitimate their position in this competition. The realistic conflict theorycomes from

    the conflictualist sociological paradigm. Coser (1956) argues that competition over scarce

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    resources between social groups is inherent in every social system. Blumer (in Quillian,

    1995) develops a concept of a collective threat, which results in prejudice of the dominant

    group against the subordinate group, because the dominant group views its group position

    in relation to the subordinate group, that is perceived as threatening their position and their

    ownership of certain resources belonging exclusively to the dominant group members.

    Those theories claim that increased competition between ethnic groups for scarce resources

    or the availability of those resources for redistribution puts pressure on the inter-ethnic

    relations (Ederveen et. al, 2004: 74). The theory of economic self-interestclaims that the

    members of the same economic structure share common interests and each class citizen

    supports policy that maximizes his own utility. This theory also presents the immigrants as a

    threat to the natives economic well-being (Gusfield in Fetzer, 2000). On the individual level,

    negative attitudes towards ethnic minorities and immigrants emerge at individuals who are

    in competition and conflict with them (Quillian, 1995: 587). The theory of labour market

    versus use of services explains the hostility towards immigrants among native population by

    the fear that immigrants will take away their jobs because they will accept lower wages and

    they will also reduce their wages in the low skilled jobs. Moreover, the natives fear that they

    will have to pay more taxes because the increasing number of immigrants will use the

    publicly funded services (Muller, Espenshade in Fetzer, 2000).

    Second and third type of theories explaining xenophobia in Wimmers classification,

    functionalism and sociobiologyprovide an explanation of xenophobia and racism based on

    perception of cultural differences. The inability of the foreigners to overcome them and

    integrate into the receiving society feeds xenophobia according to the functionalist

    discourse, and the fear of cultural incompatibility is the main source of xenophobia in thesociobiological discourse.

    The fourth type in Wimmers classification is the discourse theory that does not

    focus on the cultural differences of the immigrants, but rather on the construction of

    xenophobia in a discourse of power groups, who define the social situations of economic or

    political crises and label the immigrants as those responsible for the problems in society.

    Moreover, labeling of the immigrants based on their ethnic differences through the

    administrative and discursive practices reinforces the perceptions of them as distinct from

    the native population.

    Wimmer proposes his own thesis of xenophobia and racism called struggle over

    collective goods, where he combines both collective and individual mechanisms of formation

    of xenophobic attitudes. He proposes that racism and xenophobia are closely related to the

    basic characteristics of the nation state representing interests of ethnically defined

    community, and as such it serves as basis for the legitimization of xenophobic discourses

    and the reinforcement of national identity. Immigrants do not fit into the image of shared

    national history, when the institutions like the welfare state were created by joint labour

    effort, and thus the xenophobic discourses of exclusion tend to show the immigrants as

    people who came to unjustly claim the right for the collective wealth. Moreover, in times of

    economic recession or welfare state instability immigrant groups with high unemployment

    rates or asylum seekers are perceived as those who impede the state in its welfare provision

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    to those who are members of the true, legitimately entitled community. However,

    because the xenophobic discourses are mainly heard by the members of the community who

    are most threatened by crises in the society, the negative attitudes towards immigrants are

    not equally distributed along the social strata. Thus people with low level of education and

    bad prospects of future career, who are also most likely to depend on the mechanisms of

    organized social solidarity, seem to be most appealed by the xenophobic discourses of

    exclusion (Wimmer, 2000).

    Coenders (2001) presents a valuable concept of ethnic exclusionism when explaining

    the negative perception of immigrants and ethnic minorities by the native majority group,

    and also combines both the individual and collective level perspective. Ethnic exclusionism is

    an outcome of the competition between ethnic groups at both individual and contextual level

    that increases the perceived ethnic threat, which consequently reinforces the mechanisms of

    social identification and contra-identification. According to the theory of ethnic competition,

    which combines the realistic conflict theories and theories of social identification, the

    stronger the actual competition, the stronger the perceived ethnic threat (Coenders, 2001:

    42-43).

    1.3 Welfare state and attitudes towards immigrants: hypotheses

    and expectations

    It stems from the overview of the theoretical perspectives above that the institutional

    structure of modern nation states, and the welfare state based on the ethnically demarcatedsolidarity in particular, is an important factor in shaping the attitudes towards immigrants.

    The immigrants can be perceived as a threat to the well-being of the native population, and

    especially in time of social and economic crises, they are perceived as those who contributed

    to their emergence. My approach to the analysis of the negative attitudes towards

    immigrants combines the theoretical thoughts of the rational choice theories, theories on

    the welfare state and immigration, and the conceptualization of Wimmer (2000) and

    Coenders (2001) with the idea of Svallfors (1997 in Arts, Gelissen, 2001) who claims that

    the attitude structure and value commitments are to a large extent based on contextual

    factors, particularly on the type of the welfare state.

    The study aims at answering two research questions:

    1.How does the perceived welfare threat determine the exclusionism of immigrants by the

    native population in different European welfare states?

    2. How do the individual socioeconomic characteristics vary in their effect on the

    exclusionism of immigrants and how do they interact with the perceived welfare threat in

    different European welfare states?

    Following the classification of the welfare state regimes of Esping-Andersen (1990,

    1999) and the different notions of solidarity behind those distinct regimes, I expect that the

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    perception of immigrants as a source of threat to the welfare of the native population differs

    across the welfare states regimes. Following Ederveen et al. (2004) and the idea of welfare

    migration (Brcker et al., 2001), I expect that in countries with a broad concept of solidarity

    and large redistribution across the society, immigrants will be perceived as a larger threat to

    the welfare of the natives, which will form a strong determinant of the exclusionism of

    immigrants. In the welfare states where the market and individual self-reliance is

    emphasized and the redistribution is minimal, the perceived threat to the welfare of the

    natives from the side of immigrants can be expected to be a weaker predictor of the

    exclusionism of immigrants. I call this hypothesis a redistribution hypothesis.

    However, the logic of explanation of the effect of the type of state organized

    solidarity on the attitudes towards immigrants can also be reversed. Coenders, Lubbers and

    Scheepers (2003a) also hypothesize that living in a particular welfare state can have an

    effect on ethnic exclusionism. They refer to a degree of decommodification, hence the

    protection against social risks that differs between the welfare states, and put forward that

    the competition over scarce resources can be modified by the state, depending on the

    degree to which the state takes responsibility for the welfare provision. On the one hand, in

    welfare states with high level of decommodification, the competition over scarce resources

    within the society is reduced both with the members of the community and the immigrants,

    and hence the perception of immigrants as a threat to the welfare of the native population

    as well as the exclusionism of immigrants decreases. On the other hand, in the states with

    weak decommodification, the competition over scarce resources is sharpened, and thus the

    immigrants are perceived more as a threat to the welfare of the native population. I call this

    hypothesis a decommodification hypothesis.The contextual level characteristics that influence the formation of attitudes towards

    immigrants can also interact with the individual characteristics. The degree of

    decommodification varies across welfare states, and thus also the extent to which the

    competition over scarce resources is reduced. Following the rational choice theory logic,

    individuals who hold similar position as immigrants in the system of social stratification are

    more likely to compete with the immigrants than the others. The degree of

    decommodification in the particular welfare state can thus have an important impact on the

    perceived threat to the welfare of the native population, and consequently on the degree of

    exclusionism of immigrants. Therefore, I expect that the social position in the stratification

    system of the individuals from the native population will be more important in predicting the

    exclusionism of immigrants due to their higher perceived welfare threat in countries with

    low decommodification than in countries, where the independence from the market is

    guaranteed by the state. Certain categories of people such as the elderly, low skilled people

    and people with low income tend to be more dependent on the mechanisms of organized

    solidarity than other people. Therefore, I focus on testing the effect of those characteristics

    and their interaction with the perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism of immigrants.

    1.4 Overview of existing research

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    The research about the welfare state regime influence on the perception of immigrants is

    scarce. Coenders, Lubbers and Scheepers (2003b) found that in countries with high GDP per

    capita, where more resources are available for redistribution, and the competition for scarce

    resources can be reduced, the ethnic exclusionism is lower. ORourke and Sinnott (2004)

    found that the effect of high-skills on more favourable attitudes towards immigrants is

    greater in countries with less inequality.

    Moreover, some researchers also attempt to indicate to what extent the concerns

    about the welfare system and the economy are manifested in the negative attitudes towards

    immigrant groups (Dustmann, Preston, 2000; Ederveen et al., 2004). Dustmann and Preston

    (2000) found evidence that welfare worries are associated with negative opinion toward

    further immigration to the United Kingdom, but they concluded that the racial prejudice was

    the most important factor. They also found that welfare and labour market concerns are

    more strongly associated with the negative attitudes towards immigration of non-manual

    workers and more educated people than of manual workers and less educated people.

    Regarding the socioeconomic characteristics as determinants of attitudes towards

    immigration, Gang, Rivera-Batiz and Yun (2002) in their analysis of the Eurobarometer

    surveys of 1988 and 1987 found that Europeans who directly compete with immigrants on

    the labour market have more negative attitudes towards non-European Union citizens.

    However, recent research of Hainmueller and Hiscox (2005), who used European Social

    Survey data from 2003, showed that high skilled and highly educated people are more in

    favor of immigration compared to people with low skills and education, regardless of the

    rival potential of the immigrants, and thus they deny that the labour market competition

    theory explain the negative attitudes towards immigration. Coenders, Lubbers andScheppers (2003b) in their analysis of determinants of immigrants exclusionism found that

    people with low educational levels, in the lowest income quartile, depending on social

    security, older people and those attending regularly religious services had more negative

    exclusionist stances.

    2. Research design and measurement instruments

    The research is designed as a cross-national comparison of the perception of immigrants in

    different welfare state regimes. The focus of the research is not to find general similarities

    of the immigrants perception across the welfare states, but it rather attempts to find the

    differences that are specific within the particular welfare regime context with respect to the

    perception of immigrants. Thus an attention is paid more to the social structure dimension

    and its impact on the formation of distinctive perceptions of immigrants, rather than to

    individual processes of attitudes construction. However, in practice those two dimensions

    interact with each other in the formative process of perception of immigrants (Verkuyten,

    ter Wal, 2000).

    Esping-Andersen in his theory indicated three models of welfare regimes and has classified

    several Western countries according to this typology. In Europe, the only liberal welfare

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    regime can be found in the United Kingdom, the conservative-corporatist welfare regime is

    represented in Germany, Austria, France and Italy and the Scandinavian countries are

    prototypes of the social-democratic welfare state (Esping-Andersen, 1990: 27). To measure

    the concept of the welfare regimes countries representing the distinct types are selected. In

    order to increase the power of the causal inference two countries from each welfare regime

    were selected with expectations that the same tendency will reveal in both of them due to

    their specific institutional configuration. Liberal welfare regime forms an exception because

    in Europe only one country representing this type can be found in reality. Thus United

    Kingdom as the liberal welfare state, Germany and Austria representing the conservative-

    corporatist type of the welfare state and Denmark and Sweden as archetypes of the social

    democratic welfare state were selected for the comparison[3].

    2.1 Data collection

    In the research the data from European Social Survey (Round 1, 2002/2003) are used for

    the analysis. The survey gathered data based on nation-wide samples of 22 countries

    including United Kingdom, Denmark, Sweden, Germany and Austria and comprises a module

    devoted to attitudes, perceptions, policy preferences and knowledge on immigration and

    asylum issues. The data was gathered by interviewers from all the countries in face-to-face

    interviews from September 2002 till mid 2003[4].

    2.2 Sampling strategy and weighting

    The European Social Survey applied strict and rigorous sampling strategy in order to create

    equivalent and representative country samples with respect to the population size and

    characteristics. The stratified random sampling method was used with requirements for full

    coverage of the target group, high response rate, no substitution and the same minimum

    effective sample size in participating countries[5]. However, not all the samples reached

    enough representativeness, and thus following the recommendation of the authors of the

    ESS, I use weights that are designed to correct for the differences in probabilities of

    selection in the sample. Those weights, however, do not correct for variation between

    different groups neither for non-response in the sample[6].

    When studying the attitudes of the native population towards immigrants it is

    important to distinguish between the respondents from the majority non-immigrant

    population and the respondents who came to live in the country, or are the descendants of

    the immigrants. Thus I limited the analysis only to the respondents from the majority

    population of non-immigrant origin. I chose those who were born in the respective country

    and at least one of their parents as well, and in the paper I call them native population[7].

    The rest of the sample was dropped (i.e. 12.6% of the total sample in Austria and Sweden,

    12.4% in the United Kingdom, 10.9% in Germany and 6.2% in Denmark). Moreover, cases

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    with missing values on more than 50% of the variables used in the analysis were also

    excluded from the sample. After those transformations there are 1967 cases in Austria,

    2599 cases in Germany, 1392 cases in Denmark, 1738 cases in Sweden and 1795 cases in

    the United Kingdom.

    2.3 Non-response and missing values treatment

    Large non-response and missing values on the variables of interest can bias the results, but

    there was no weight created to correct for non-response in the sample. The response rate

    target for the ESS is set to 70% but not all the countries managed to reach this target. From

    the countries of interest the highest response rate was reached in Sweden (69%) and

    Denmark (68.4%). The response rate in the rest of the selected countries was lower: 60.6%

    in Austria, 55% in the United Kingdom and 53.7% in Germany. Billiet and Meuleman (2005)

    simulated the correction of non-response for several ESS samples with respect to gender,

    age and education, but they found out that even if some non-response bias can be

    eliminated by this weighting the amount of the eliminated bias is minimal compared to the

    remaining bias.

    Non-response on the items included in the analysis can be another source of bias, in

    case that respondents differ systematically from non-respondents, and it also diminishes the

    size of the sample. In order to avoid a large reduction in the sample size due to missing

    values when creating the scales used in the analysis I took into consideration respondents

    that gave answer at least on the 50% of the items forming the scale following the rule usedin scientific journals (Coenders, Lubbers, Scheepers, 2003b: 56). Missing values of the

    respondents chosen on the basis of this rule were replaced by their mean score on the rest

    of the items.

    2.4 Measurement instruments, variables and the method of

    analysis

    The ESS questionnaire was not designed for the purpose of the present research but it

    contains many important items related to the topic that is discussed in this paper. Thus it is

    possible to use those items as indicators of the above mentioned concepts[8]. The

    exclusionism of immigrants is the dependent variable, and it is measured by three questions

    on the extent of immigration the country should allow with respect to the background of the

    immigrant. I followed the image of immigrants the respondents expressed in the ESS

    answering the question on the ethnic and economic background of most immigrants coming

    to their countries. The greater part of the native population perceived that the majority of

    immigrants coming to their country had different ethnic or race origin and came from poorer

    countries rather than richer countries (see table 2A in the Annex)[9].

    The key independent variable is theperceived welfare threatmeasuring the extent to

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    which natives perceive immigrants and immigration as a threat for the welfare of their

    countries. It is measured by five items on the perception of the effects of immigration on

    countrys economy, the labour market and the use of welfare services.

    Moreover, individual background variables such as gender, age[10], education[11],

    income[12], International Socio-Economic Index of Occupational Status (ISEI) (Ganzeboom,

    Treiman, 1996a)[13], and church attendance[14] are controlled for in the analysis. Those

    individual characteristics vary across countries and they showed significant impact on the

    attitudes towards immigrants in previous research (Coenders, Lubbers, Scheepers, 2003b;

    Quillian, 1995; Hainmueller, Hiscox, 2005; ORourke, Sinnott, 2004).

    When comparing the perception of immigrants across countries, it can be also

    important to control for contextual variables on the macro level. Those characteristics vary

    across countries[15] and previous research showed different results with respect to their

    impact on the perception of immigrants. In his study of twelve European countries, Quillian

    (1995) found that the relative size of the immigrants population and the economic

    situation in a country has an impact on the prejudice expressed by the majority native

    population. Coenders (2001) compared 22 countries with respect to ethnic exclusionism and

    found a link between the economic situation of the country, increase in inflow of asylum

    seekers and the exclusionism of immigrants. However, the relationship between the

    proportion of ethnically different population and exclusionism of immigrants was not

    confirmed. Finally, in their comparative analysis across European countries, Coenders,

    Lubbers and Scheepers (2003b) did not found any impact of unemployment, level of GDP,

    proportion of non-western foreign born population, number of asylum applications and net

    migration on the resistance towards immigrants.In the analysis, I wanted to control for the impact of the unemployment level,

    proportion of non-western immigrants in the population, number of asylum applications and

    net migration on the exclusionism of immigrants, not to obtain the effect of those

    characteristics on the exclusionism of immigrants, but to single out the effect of the other

    variables included in the analysis. However, it turned out that most of the contextual effects

    are strongly correlated among each other and, where the characteristics of the country are

    the highest from all the countries, they also correlate strongly with the dummy variable for

    the respective country[16]. Thus there is a problem of high multicollinearity among the

    independent variables and its negative consequences for the results[17]. Since the purpose

    of the analysis is to assess the differences among the countries, it is not desirable that their

    coefficient estimates might be biased. Therefore, in order to avoid this bias, I do not control

    for those contextual effects in the analysis, but those characteristics are described and

    discussed in the Annex, Table 5A.

    Multiple ordinary least square regression is used as a method of analysis of the effect of

    perceived threat to the welfare on the exclusionism of immigrants. First, separate analyses

    are run for every country. Second, all the countries are included in the same regression

    equation in order to assess the differences between the countries more in details.

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    2.5 Comparability

    Although the European Social Survey is a research project applying strict methodological

    rules, the quality of the data is not the same in every country, and the data is not always

    directly comparable across countries (see Billiet, 2005). It is behind the scope of present

    paper to test for the comparability of the data across countries, and thus I rely on several

    studies assessing the quality and comparability of the ESS data, and also, the use of the data

    in previous research.

    Billiet (2005) shows some traps in the ESS cross-nation research, mainly concerning

    the problems with translations, also in connection with the effects of the context. Thus for

    my research, I avoid using items from the ESS survey that were found problematic in the

    previous research. Moreover, Billiet and Welkenhuysen-Gybels (2004) assessed cross-

    national construct equivalence of the six items, on the extent of immigration respondents

    thought their country should allow, with respect to the ethnic and economic background of

    the immigrants. The authors concluded, that even if the scale constructed of those six items

    was not scalar invariant, it was metric invariant, which is the minimum level of equivalence

    required for measuring the same latent variable with the same set of indicators across all

    the countries (Billiet, Welkenhuysen-Gybels, 2004: 16). However, following Coenders,

    Lubbers and Scheppers (2003b), who acknowledged that in some countries the respondents

    (in the case of present research it was Denmark and Germany) distinguished between the

    immigrants from poor and rich countries and the immigrants with different race or ethnic

    origin, and following the image the respondents had about the majority of immigrants in all

    the countries, I included only three items on the extent of immigration from the six includedin the questionnaire[18].

    3. Results

    In this chapter, the results of the regression analysis are presented, and the hypotheses are

    tested. First, I describe how the key variables, exclusionism of immigrants and the

    perceived welfare threat, differ across countries. Second, to answer the first research

    question, I discuss how the perceived welfare threat determines the exclusionism of

    immigrants by the native population in different European welfare state. Third, I present the

    conclusions for the second research question, how the individual socioeconomic

    characteristics vary in their effect on the exclusionism of immigrants, and how they interact

    with the perceived threat to welfare in different European welfare states.

    3.1 Perceived threat to welfare and the exclusionism of

    immigrants in different welfare regimes

    First, description of the dependent variable exclusionism of immigrants and the key

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    independent variableperceived welfare threatin the selected countries is shown in Table 1.

    The descriptive statistics for other independent variables included in the analysis are

    presented in the Table 1A in the Annex.

    Table 1: Means and standard deviations for exclusionism of immigrants and perceived threat

    to welfare in selected countries

    Exclusionism of

    immigrants

    (1-low; 4-high)

    Perceived threat to

    welfare

    (1-low; 5-high)

    Country Mean Std.Dev. Mean Std.Dev.

    Austria (N=1967) 2.64 0.68 3.10 0.70

    Germany(N=2599) 2.34 0.68 3.27 0.67

    Denmark(N=1392) 2.37 0.66 2.93 0.63

    Sweden (N=1738) 1.95 0.65 2.79 0.61

    United Kingdom

    (N=1795)

    2.58 0.74 3.30 0.68

    Source: ESS 2002/2003, authors computations

    The strongest exclusionism of immigrants is found in Austria with the mean value of

    2.64 on the four points scale. United Kingdom follows with the mean value of 2.58, Germany

    and Denmark are somewhere in the middle, and Sweden has the lowest score on the scale of

    exclusionism of immigrants from all the countries (1.95). The analysis of variance shows

    that the differences among the countries are statistically significant (F = 270.9; df = 4,

    9224; p < 0.001). Games-Howell post-hoc test of the pairwise differences between the

    countries indicates that the difference between Austria and the United Kingdom, and

    Germany and Denmark in the exclusionism of immigrants is not statistically significant (p >

    0.05).

    People in the United Kingdom and Germany perceive immigrants as the strongest

    threat to the welfare of their country from all the countries with the mean value of 3.3 on

    the five point scale, followed by the Austrians and the Danish. The lowest threat to the

    welfare from the side of the immigrants is perceived by respondents in Sweden, which alsocorresponds to their favourable attitudes concerning the acceptance of immigrants.

    Comparison of the means of the separate countries on the scale perceived welfare threat

    shows that the differences among the countries are statistically significant (F = 193.3; df =

    4, 9275; p < 0.001). However, a closer investigation of the means differences in the Games-

    Howell post hoc test shows that the differences in the mean perceived welfare threat are not

    significant when comparing Germany and the United Kingdom.

    In order to answer the first research question, how the perceived threat to welfare

    determines the exclusionism of immigrants by the native population in different European

    welfare states, I conduct, first, separate regression analyses for every country of interest

    and, second, I include all the countries in one regression equation in order to be able to

    assess the differences between the countries.

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    The first estimated model can be considered as a series of k regression equations,

    such that:

    Eik

    = ak

    + Xik

    k

    + eik

    , (1)

    where Eik

    is the level of exclusionism of immigrants for individual i in country k. Xik

    is a

    matrix of 9 independent variables in country k, k

    is the corresponding estimated coefficient

    and ak

    is the intercept for country k, and eik

    is an error term.

    The results of the multiple OLS regression analyses conducted separately for every

    country are shown in Table 3A in the Annex. The effects of the perceived welfare threat are

    statistically significant at the 1% level and the magnitude of its effect is the highest from all

    the independent variables included in the model (comparing standardized betas). The effect

    is the highest in the United Kingdom, which is also the country with the strongest

    exclusionism of immigrants. On the exclusionism of immigrants scale of 1 to 4, one unit

    change on the perceived welfare threat scale ranging from 1 to 5 is expected to increase the

    exclusionism of immigrants by 0.560, controlling for the individual background

    characteristics. However, the effect of perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism of

    immigrants is the second highest in Sweden (=0.493), which is the country with the lowest

    perceived welfare threat and the lowest exclusionism of immigrants. It is followed by

    Germany (=0.441); Denmark (=0.402) and Austria (=0.371) show the lowest effect of

    the perceived threat to welfare on the exclusionism of immigrants from all the countries.

    All the independent variables included in the model explain 24% of the variance of

    the exclusionism of immigrants in Austria, 26% in Denmark, 29% in Germany, 31% in

    Sweden, and 37% in the United Kingdom. Clearly the amount of explained variance follows

    the pattern of the magnitudes of the effects of perceived welfare threat across the countries.

    The results concerning the effect of the perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism

    of immigrants do not follow the pattern of welfare regimes which would mean that Denmark

    and Sweden would show similar results, and Austria and Germany too. Thus the

    expectations that the countries belonging to the same welfare regime show the same

    tendency in the effect of the perceived threat to welfare on the exclusionism of the

    immigrants are not met.

    However, the regression coefficients from the separate regression equations do not show,

    how large the differences of the effects of the perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism

    of immigrants are between the countries. For this purpose the countries are included in the

    same regression equation, which allows assessing the significance of the differences

    between the countries:

    Ei

    = a + Xi

    i+ AT

    1+ DE

    2+ DK

    3+ SE

    4+ AT*PWT

    5+ DE*PWT

    6+

    DK*PWT7

    + SE*PWT8

    + ei, (2)

    where Eiis the level of exclusionism of immigrants, a is the intercept, X

    iis the matrix of 9

    independent variables included in the model, i

    are the corresponding regression

    coefficients. 1

    to 4

    are the estimated coefficients for the country dummies, 5

    to 8

    are the

    estimated coefficients for the interaction terms of the variable perceived welfare threat and

    the dummy variables for each country, and ei

    is an error term. United Kingdom is the

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    reference country in this model.

    Parameter estimates for the above mentioned model are shown in the Table 2 below.

    Model 1 shows the regression estimates for the independent variables from the pooled data

    analysis, when all the samples of the five countries are included in the regression equation,

    but without adding the dummy variables for the countries. In model 2, the dummy variables

    for the four countries are added in the analysis, and the differences in the intercepts in the

    different countries are shown. Finally, model 3 includes also the interaction terms of the

    variable perceived welfare threat and the country dummies, and thus the differences in the

    effects of the perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism of immigrants in different

    countries are indicated.

    In model 2, the predicted values on the exclusionism of immigrants in separate

    countries, when controlling for the perceived welfare threat and the socio-demographic

    characteristics, can be assessed. In the hypothetical situation when all the independent

    variables have zero value, and assuming there are no method effects in the separate

    countries Austria has the highest predicted value on the exclusionism of immigrants

    (1.692[19]), followed by the United Kingdom (1.526) and Denmark (1.386) that do not

    differ significantly from each other. Germany (1.311) and Sweden (1.110) have the lowest

    predicted exclusionism of immigrants.

    Table 2: Parameter estimates from ordinary least square regression analysis of exclusionism

    of immigrants

    (all countries included in the model)

    Independent variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3Perceived welfare threat 0.494**

    (0.010)

    0.457**

    (0.010)

    0.564**

    (0.021)

    Education -0.024**

    (0.003)

    -0.027**

    (0.002)

    -0.028**

    (0.002)

    Age (ref: 26 - 55)

    - 15 25 -0.167**

    (0.022)

    -0.169**

    (0.021)

    -0.172**

    (0.021)

    - 56 + 0.058**(0.015)

    0.081**(0.015)

    0.081**(0.012)

    Male (ref. = female) -0.008

    (0.015)

    -0.011

    (0.013)

    -0.013

    (0.013)

    Income -0.00001

    (0.000004)

    -0.00001**

    (0.000004)

    -0.00001**

    (0.000004)

    ISEI -0.003**

    (0.001)

    -0.002**

    (0.001)

    -0.002**

    (0.001)

    Country (ref.=UK)

    Austria 0.166**

    (0.021)

    0.792**

    (0.096)

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    Germany -0.215**

    (0.019)

    0.196*

    (0.091)

    Denmark -0.014

    (0.022)

    0.469**

    (0.103)

    Sweden -0.415**

    (0.021)

    -0.158

    (0.096)

    Country x perceived welfare

    threat (PWT) (ref.=UK)

    Austria x PWT -0.195**

    (0.029)

    Germany x PWT -0.124**

    (0.027)

    Denmark x PWT -0.151**

    (0.033)

    Sweden x PWT -0.007*

    (0.031)

    Church attendance (ref.=

    never)

    - once a month 0.058**

    (0.019)

    -0.018

    (0.019)

    -0.014

    (0.019)

    - rarely -0.0004

    (0.015)

    0.013

    (0.014)

    0.015

    (0.019)

    Intercept 1.261**

    (0.050)

    1.526**

    (0.052)

    1.169**

    (0.079)

    Adjusted R 0.298 0.370 0.373

    Note: N = 8,337; **parameter estimate is significant at the 1% level (p-value < 0.01);

    *parameter estimate is significant at the 5% level (p-value < 0.05). Numbers in

    parentheses are standard errors.

    Source: ESS 2002/2003, authors computations

    In model 3, when controlling for the individual background characteristics the

    perceived welfare threat is the strongest predictor of exclusionist stances in the United

    Kingdom (0.564), and this effect differs significantly from the other countries. The strength

    of the effects varies across the other countries, but after testing the differences between

    other pairs of countries[20], I conclude that when following the order according to the

    magnitude of the effect the lowest in Austria (0.369[21]), then Denmark (0.413),

    Germany (0.439) and Sweden (0.492) - the countries next to each other do not differ

    significantly from each other. Austria does not differ significantly from Denmark, Denmark

    does not differ significantly from Germany, and Germany and Sweden do not differ

    significantly in the effect of perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism of immigrants.From the perspective of the welfare regime theory, in the United Kingdom, representing the

    liberal welfare regime, the perceived welfare threat influences most intensely the

    exclusionism of immigrants compared to the other countries representing different welfare

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    regimes. This result supports the decommodification hypothesis, stating that the level of

    decommodification influences the competition over scarce resources, and not the

    redistribution hypothesis, stating that the level of redistribution influence the effect of

    perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism of immigrants. However, according to the

    decommodification hypothesis, in the countries with the highest decommodification, the

    effect of perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism of immigrants should have been the

    lowest, which is not the case shown in the results of the analysis. While in one of the

    representative countries of the social democratic regime (Denmark) the effect of the

    perceived welfare threat is among the weakest from all the countries, in the other one

    (Sweden) the effect of the perceived welfare threat is the second strongest, not the weakest

    as was hypothesized. Moreover, the countries representing the same welfare regime differ

    significantly from each other in the effect of the perceived welfare threat on the

    exclusionism of immigrants.

    The results show that the effects of the perceived threat to the welfare from the

    immigrants side differ across countries. However, no clear relationship between the type of

    welfare regime and the effect of the perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism of

    immigrants exists.

    3.2 Individual socio-economic characteristics, perceived welfare

    threat and the exclusionism of immigrants

    In this part, I answer the research question, how the individual socioeconomiccharacteristics vary in their effect on the exclusionism of immigrants, and how they interact

    with the perceived welfare threat in different European welfare states. Separate regression

    analyses are conducted for this purpose, and stepwise regression method is used, to

    determine whether the interaction effects of the socio-economic characteristics income,

    occupational status and age with the perceived welfare threat exist. The results of the

    regression analysis are presented in Table 3A and Table 4A in Annex[22].

    Controlling for other background characteristics and perceived welfare threat, the

    International Socio-Economic Index of Occupational Status has a slight negative effect on

    the exclusionism of immigrants, which is statistically significant on the 0.01 level in

    Germany and Sweden. People with higher occupational status have, on average, lower

    tendency to exclude immigrants in Germany and Sweden. However, no interaction effect of

    the occupational status and the perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism of immigrants

    emerged.

    Controlling for the rest of the variables in the regression analysis, income has no

    statistically significant impact on the exclusionism of immigrants in any of the countries, nor

    is there a different effect of perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism of immigrants

    depending on the level of income.

    Age is a significant predictor of the exclusionism of immigrants in all the countries

    when controlled for the other background variables and the interaction effect of age and

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    perceived welfare threat. People aged 15 to 25have significantly less exclusionist stances

    than people aged 26 to 55 in all the countries, except for Sweden. People older than 56

    show stronger tendency towards exclusionism of immigrants as compared to the people

    aged 26 to 55 in all the countries, except for Denmark. No interaction effect of age and

    perceived welfare threat exists, except for Sweden[23] (weaker effect of perceived welfare

    threat on the exclusionism of immigrants among those older than 56 compared to the

    middle age group).

    Concerning the other control variables included in the analysis, men have on average

    more exclusionist stances than women in Germany and Denmark, while in the United

    Kingdom it is the reverse. Education has a significant negative effect on the exclusionism of

    immigrants in all the countries. Church attendance has a significant impact only in Austria

    and the United Kingdom. In Austria, people who attend religious services have, on average,

    more exclusionist attitudes towards immigrants than people who never go to church. The

    effect is reversed in the United Kingdom, where people who go to church at least once a

    month have, on average, significantly less negative exclusionist stances than people who

    never attend religious services.

    The hypothesis that the individual socio-economic characteristics are more important

    predictors of the exclusionism of immigrants in countries with less decommodification

    (strong effect in the United Kingdom, moderate effect in Germany and Austria) than in

    countries with high level of decommodification has not revealed true. No clear welfare

    regime type based pattern concerning the effect of the individual characteristics on the

    exclusionism of immigrants and their interaction with the perceived welfare threat emerged.

    4. Discussion and conclusion

    This paper aimed at indicating whether living in a particular welfare state affects the

    perception of immigrants as a source of threat to the welfare of the native population and

    how it determines the exclusionism of immigrants. The main finding of the study is that the

    perception of immigrants as a source of threat to the welfare among the native population

    differs across countries, but no clear relationship between the type of welfare regime and

    the effect of the perceived welfare threat on the exclusionism of immigrants exists. Even if

    the impact of the individual background characteristics on the exclusionism of immigrants

    differs across the countries, and it does not always show the same tendency and

    significance, there is no welfare regime based pattern of the effect of the individual

    socioeconomic characteristic on the exclusionism of immigrants.

    The study suggests that the welfare regime theory cannot explain the differences in

    xenophobia in various European countries. Thus a question arises: which other factors can

    explain the differences in exclusionism of immigrants across countries? Why is the

    perceived welfare threat such a strong determinant of the exclusionism of immigrants in the

    United Kingdom compared to Austria, given that both countries have almost the same level

    of xenophobia?

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    The countrys macro-level characteristics such as the proportion of foreign born

    population, number of asylum seekers or unemployment level do not seem to provide a

    satisfactory explanation since they showed ambiguous results in previous research.

    Moreover, Wallace (1999: 11) remarks that it is not so much about the actual extent of

    immigration as about its perception, and the way how the issue of immigration is expressed

    in public discourse.

    Some authors tried to explain the differences in attitudes towards immigrants across

    countries with type of immigration policy. Bauer, Lofstrom and Zimmermann found an

    evidence that countrys immigration policy affects which immigrants come to the country,

    their economic performance, and thus also their perception by the native population. Their

    findings suggest that in countries that select the immigrants according to the needs of the

    labour market (Canada, New Zealand) the natives perceived them as generally good for the

    economy, than in countries that receive mainly refugees (the Netherlands, Sweden) (Bauer,

    Lofstrom and Zimmermann in Brcker et al., 2001: 53).

    The study of immigration policy determinants of the natives attitudes towards

    immigrants or the comparison of public discourses could be the possible directions to go

    further to explore the factors determining the varying degrees of xenophobia across

    European countries. Comparative analysis of the attitudes towards immigrants in different

    countries can reveal the causes of xenophobia that can be consequently to some extent

    eliminated by various policies in order to ameliorate the inter-ethnic relations and facilitate

    the integration of the growing number of immigrants in European countries.

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    Annex

    A1. Annex 1: Tables

    Table 1A: Means and standard deviations for the independent variables

    Variables Austria

    (N=1967)

    Germany

    (N=2599)

    Denmark

    (N=1392)

    Sweden

    (N=1738)

    UK

    (N=1795)

    Mean

    (Std.Dev.)

    Mean

    (Std.Dev.)

    Mean

    (Std.Dev.)

    Mean

    (Std.Dev.)

    Mean

    (Std.Dev.)

    Perceived

    welfare

    threat

    3.10 (0.70) 3.27 (0.67) 2.93 (0.63) 2.79 (0.61) 3.30 (0.68)

    Education 12.27

    (2.90)

    12.93

    (3.33)

    13.24

    (3.60)

    11.89

    (3.40)

    12.55

    (3.16)

    ISEI 43.32

    (13.97)

    44.21

    (15.20)

    41.92

    (16.81)

    42.90

    (16.84)

    42.36

    (16.84)

    Male 0.48 (0.50) 0.48 (0.50) 0.52 (0.50) 0.51 (0.50) 0.49 (0.50)

    Income 2,327

    (1,311)

    2,659

    (1,646)

    3,316

    (1,870)

    2,505

    (1,371)

    3,207

    (2,312)

    Age 15-25 0.15 (0.35) 0.13 (0.34) 0.12 (0.33) 0.14 (0.35) 0.13 (0.34)

    Age 26 - 55 0.59 (0.49) 0.52 (0.50) 0.54 (0.50) 0.50 (0.50) 0.50 (0.50)

    Age 56 + 0.27 (0.44) 0.35 (0.48) 0.33 (0.47) 0.36 (0.48) 0.36 (0.48)

    Church

    attendance

    - once a

    month

    0.35 (0.48) 0.19 (0.39) 0.09 (0.28) 0.11 (0.31) 0.16 (0.36)

    - rarely 0.38 (0.49) 0.44 (0.50) 0.52 (0.50) 0.51 (0.50) 0.31 (0.46)

    - never 0.26 (0.44) 0.37 (0.48) 0.39 (0.49) 0.38 (0.48) 0.54 (0.50)

    Note: Means for the categorical variables show the proportions of the categories in the

    sample.

    Source: ESS 2002/2003, authors computations

    Table 2A: Majoritys image of the ethnic and economic background of immigrants in their

    country

    Race/ethnic

    background of mostimmigrants

    Austria

    N=1967

    Germany

    N=2599

    Denmark

    N=1392

    Sweden

    N=1738

    UK

    N=1795

    Same as majority 5% 10% 5% 15% 4%

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    Different than

    majority

    73% 68% 70% 46% 69%

    Half and half 22% 22% 25% 40% 27%

    Economic background

    of most immigrants

    from Europe

    Richer countries 2% 1% 3% 8% 3%

    Poorer countries 80% 91% 66% 60% 76%

    Half and half 18% 8% 31% 32% 21%

    Economic background

    of most immigrants

    from outside Europe

    Richer countries 2% 1% 1% 4% 2%

    Poorer countries 84% 93% 88% 81% 80%

    Half and half 14% 5% 11% 15% 18%

    Source: ESS 2002/2003, authors computations

    Table 3A: Parameter estimates from separate ordinary least square regression analyses of

    exclusionism of immigrants

    Independent

    variables

    Austria

    (N=1559)

    Germany

    (N=2207)

    Denmark

    (N=1264)

    Sweden

    (N=1600)

    UK

    (N=1708)

    Perceived welfare

    threat

    0.371**

    (0.023)

    B=0.383

    0.441**

    (0.019)

    B=0.440

    0.402**

    (0.026)

    B=0.381

    0.493**

    (0.023)

    B=0.460

    0.560**

    (0.022)

    B=0.519

    Education -0.028**

    (0.006)

    B=-0.119

    -0.024**

    (0.005)

    B=-0.117

    -0.041**

    (0.006)

    B=-0.227

    -0.024**

    (0.005)

    B=-0.122

    -0.024**

    (0.005)

    B=-0.103

    Age

    (ref: 26 - 55)

    - 15 - 25 -0.227**

    (0.048)

    B=-0.108

    -0.197**

    (0.048)

    B=-0.076

    -0.192**

    (0.054)

    B=-0.091

    -0.074

    (0.043)

    B=-0.038

    -0.158**

    (0.046)

    B=-0.070

    - 56 + 0.115**

    (0.036)

    B=0.075

    0.060*

    (0.027)

    B=0.043

    -0.022

    (0.037)

    B=-0.016

    0.125**

    (0.034)

    B=-0.092

    0.118**

    (0.033)

    B=0.078

    Male (ref. =

    female)

    -0.006

    (0.030)

    B=-0.005

    0.055*

    (0.040)

    B=0.021

    0.076*

    (0.032)

    B=0.058

    -0.007

    (0.006)

    B=-0.019

    -0.067*

    (0.029)

    B=-0.046

    Income -0.000002

    (0.00001)

    B=-0.004

    -0.00001

    (0.000008)

    B=-0.027

    -0.00001

    (0.00001)

    B=-0.032

    -0.00001

    (0.00001)

    B=-0.022

    -0.00001

    (0.00001)

    B=-0.039

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    ISEI 0.001

    (0.001)

    B=-0.018

    -0.003**

    (0.001)

    B=-0.069

    -0.001

    (-0.001)

    B=-0.030

    -0.003**

    (0.001)

    B=-0.068

    -0.001

    (0.001)

    B=-0.031

    Church attendance

    (ref.= never)

    - once a month 0.161**

    (0.039)

    B=0.116

    -0.047

    (0.035)

    B=-0.027

    -0.010

    (0.062)

    B=-0.004

    -0.079

    (0.048)

    B=-0.037

    -0.134**

    (0.042)

    B=-0.067

    - rarely 0.146**

    (0.038)

    B=0.106

    -0.034

    (0.027)

    B=-0.025

    0.057

    (0.034)

    B=0.043

    0.013

    (0.029)

    B=0.010

    -0.027

    (0.032)

    B=-0.017

    Intercept 1.774**

    (0.119)

    1.369**

    (0.102)

    1.777**

    (0.120)

    0.968**

    (0.105)

    1.162**

    (0.109)

    Adjusted R 0.239 0.293 0.264 0.310 0.368

    Note: **parameter estimate is significant at the 1% level (p-value < 0.01); *parameter

    estimate is significant at the 5% level (p-value < 0.05). Numbers in parentheses are

    standard errors.

    Source: ESS 2002/2003, authors computations

    Table 4A: Parameter estimates from separate ordinary least square regression analysis of

    exclusionism of immigrants,

    including interaction with age

    Independent

    variables

    Austria

    (N=1559)

    Germany

    (N=2207)

    Denmark

    (N=1264)

    Sweden

    (N=1600)

    UK

    (N=1708)

    Perceived welfare

    threat

    0.384**

    (0.028)

    0.459**

    (0.025)

    0.434**

    (0.035)

    0.558**

    (0.032)

    0.574**

    (0.029)

    Education -0.028**

    (0.006)

    -0.024**

    (0.005)

    -0.041**

    (0.006)

    -0.024**

    (0.005)

    -0.023**

    (0.005)

    Age (ref: 26 - 55)

    - 15 25 -0.572**

    (0.223)

    -0.583*

    (0.260)

    -0.036**

    (0.268)

    -0.024

    (0.199)

    -0.596**

    (0.235)

    - 56 + 0.406**

    (0.160)

    0.299*

    (0.130)

    -0.235

    (0.166)

    0.632**

    (0.140)

    0.382*

    (0.153)

    Welfare threat x

    younger age

    0.117

    (0.073)

    0.116

    (0.077)

    -0.054

    (0.089)

    -0.019

    (0.070)

    -0.132

    (0.070)

    Welfare threat x

    older age

    -0.091

    (0.049)

    -0.072

    (0.038)

    -0.072

    (0.055)

    -0.181**

    (0.049)

    -0.078

    (0.045)

    Male (ref. =female)

    -0.007(0.030)

    0.052*(0.025)

    0.078*(0.032)

    -0.013(0.027)

    -0.070*(0.029)

    Income -0.000003

    (0.00001)

    -0.00001

    (0.00001)

    -0.00001

    (0.00001)

    -0.00001

    (0.00001)

    -0.00001

    (0.00001)

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    ISEI -0.001

    (0.001)

    -0.003**

    (0.001)

    -0.001

    (-0.001)

    -0.003**

    (0.001)

    -0.002

    (0.001)

    Church attendance

    (ref.= never)

    - once a month 0.157**

    (0.038)

    -0.046

    (0.035)

    -0.005

    (0.062)

    -0.081

    (0.048)

    -0.136**

    (0.042)

    - rarely 0.139**

    (0.038)

    -0.034

    (0.027)

    0.058

    (0.034)

    0.015

    (0.029)

    -0.032

    (0.032)

    Intercept 1.745**

    (0.133)

    1.312**

    (0.116)

    1.683**

    (0.139)

    0.799**

    (0.118)

    1.112**

    (0.129)

    Adjusted R 0.242 0.294 0.263 0.316 0.371

    Note: **parameter estimate is significant at the 1% level (p-value < 0.01); *parameter

    estimate is significant at the 5% level (p-value < 0.05). Numbers in parentheses are

    standard errors.

    Source: ESS 2002/2003, authors computations

    Table 5A: Selected country-level characteristics

    Country Proportion of

    non-Western[24]

    non-nationals in

    population

    (2000)[25]

    Average annual

    number of

    asylum

    applications per

    1,000 capita

    (2001-2002)[26]

    Average annual

    net migration

    per 1,000 capita

    (1995-2000)[27]

    Unemployment

    rate

    (2002)[28]

    Austria 10.2 % 4.27 0.6 4.2 %

    Germany 6.1 % 1.09 2.3 8.2 %

    Denmark 4.9 % 1.73 2.7 4.6 %

    Sweden 7.7 % 3.18 1.0 4.9 %

    UK 3.4 % 1.89 1.6 5.1 %

    Source: Different sources; see the footnote

    The highest proportion of non-Western non-nationals in the total population can be

    found in Austria (10.2%), followed by Sweden (7.7%) and Germany (6.1%). In Denmark

    and the United Kingdom, the proportion of non-Western non-nationals in the population

    (4.9%, 3.4% respectively) is the lowest among those five countries. Austria also receives

    the highest average number of asylum application per year (4.27), assessed per 1,000

    inhabitants. The second country with the highest number of asylum seekers is Sweden with

    3.18 asylum applications per 1,000 capita per year. Those countries are followed by the

    United Kingdom with 1.89 asylum applications and Denmark with 1.73 asylum applications

    per 1,000 capita per year. Germany has the lowest yearly number of asylum seekers per1,000 inhabitants among all those countries. However, Germany and Denmark are countries

    with the highest yearly net positive migration per 1,000 inhabitants (2.3, 2.7). The United

    Kingdom follows with 1.6 immigrants and Sweden with 1 immigrant per 1,000 capita per

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    year. Austria has the lowest number of immigrants per 1,000 capita per year (0.6). Finally,

    Germany has rather high unemployment rate (8.2%) compared to the other countries,

    where the unemployment is on a similar level: 5.1% in the United Kingdom, 4.9% in

    Sweden, 4.6% in Denmark, and 4.2% in Austria.

    A2. Annex 2: Items measuring the key concepts (ESS 2002/2003questionnaire)

    Exclusionism of immigrants

    (1) To what extent do you think (country) should allow people of a different race or

    ethnic group as most (country) people to come and live here?[29]

    (2) To what extent do you think (country) should allow people form poorer countries

    in Europe to come and live here?

    (3) To what extent do you think (country) should allow people from poorer countries

    outside Europe to come and live here?

    The reliability of the scale exclusionism of immigrants is high in all the countries (Cronbach

    alpha higher than 0.9).

    Perceived welfare threat

    (1) Would you say that people who come to live here generally take jobs away from

    the workers in (country) or generally help create new jobs?

    (2) Most of the people who come to live here work and pay taxes. They also usehealth and welfare services. On balance, do you think people who come here take out more

    than they put in or put in more than they take out?

    (3) Would you say that it is generally bad or good for (country)s economy that people

    come to live here from other countries?[30]

    (4) How much do you agree or disagree that average wages and salaries are generally

    brought down by people coming to live and work here?

    (5) How much do you agree or disagree that people who come to live and work here

    generally harm the economic prospects of the poor more than the rich?

    The reliability of the scaleperceived welfare threatis good: Cronbach alpha is 0.7 in

    Austria, Denmark and Sweden and 0.8 in Germany and the United Kingdom.

    A3. Annex 3: Definition of immigrants generations and the native

    population in the sample

    In scientific literature, the immigrants generations are usually defined as follows: first

    generation immigrants are those who came to live in a country but they were born in

    another country (Saucedo, White, Glick, 2003; Fertig, Schmidt, 2001), 1.5 generation

    immigrants are defined as those who immigrated in a country with their parents in their

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    early life, and grown up there (Choi, Cranley, Nichols, 2001),second generation immigrants

    are those who were born in the country their parent(s) immigrated into (Strelitz, 2004;

    Saucedo, White, Glick, 2003; Choi, Cranley, Nichols, 2001; Fertig, Schmidt, 2001).

    Ramakrishnan (2004), giving the example of the immigrants into the United States, claims

    that in most studies those who were born in the U.S., and at least one of their parents were

    born outside the U.S are also defined as second generation immigrants. However, the author

    labels those as the 2.5 generation immigrants. The third generation immigrants are the

    descendants of the second generation (Ramakrishnan, 2004; Choi, Cranley, Nichols, 2001).

    To find an explicit definition of the native is rather difficult and in the scientific

    studies they are often contrasted to the immigrants generations mentioned above. In the

    paper, I use a term native population to refer to those who are not the first, 1.5, and

    second generation immigrants, thus to those who were born in the respective country and at

    least one of their parents as well. I do not include the second generation immigrants,

    because even if they were born in the country their parents immigrated into, they are often

    raised in the immigrants communities, they might perceive themselves as immigrants, and

    they are often perceived as immigrants by the non-immigrant population. Ireland says about

    the immigrants from Southern Europe to Western Europe: Due to persistent discrepancies

    between Southern Europeans socioeconomic, cultural, and political situation and that of

    the native stock residents, even second- and third- generation Italians, Iberians, and Greeks

    have been considered part of the immigrants-origin population, notwithstanding their

    ancestral homelands membership in the European Union and new status as countries of

    immigration on their own right (Ireland, 2004: 2). I think this idea can be broadened also

    to other groups of immigrants in Western Europe, even if there are undoubtedly differencesbetween the immigrants groups of different origin. Whether the exclusionism of

    immigrants among the population of immigrant origin is stronger, or weaker, or the same as

    among the population of non-immigrant origin is disputable, but it is behind the scope of the

    present research to deal with this question.

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    home list theses contence previous next

    [1] Geddes (2003a: 17) recognizes the primary migration between 1950s and thebeginning of 1970s with workers invited to help with European economic reconstruction,

    followed by family migration for the purpose of family reunification with those workers,

    and finally, asylum and illegal migration accelerated in the 1990s, as the three main

    periods of immigration into Europe.

    [2] Wallace (1995: 5) defines xenophobia as a reaction to foreigners, while racism as a

    reaction to a generic group which have been racialised.

    [3] In the choice of the countries for comparison also the data quality was taken into

    account.

    [4]http://ess.nsd.uib.no/2003_Fworksummary.jsp

    [5] Final report: Sampling for the European Social Survey,

    http://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/

    [6] Weighting European Social Survey Data, http://ess.nsd.uib.no/2003_documentation.jsp

    [7] See Annex 3A for more information about the definition of the immigrantsgenerations

    and the native population.

    [8] The items forming the key scales as well as their reliability coefficients are presented in

    the Annex A2.

    [9] The only exception is Sweden where less than half of the respondents perceived the

    immigrants having different race or ethnic origin.

    [10] Age is recoded into three categories, 15-25, 26-55, 56+, since the relationship with

    perceived welfare threat is not linear and thus cannot be included in OLS regression.

    Moreover, I want to separate the effects for the categories of the population in education,

    working population and the older population that tend to be more dependent on the social

    security (the actual retirement age in Europe is often below 60).

    [11] Measured in years of total education

    [12] Due to the large number of missing data on income in the data set in most of the

    countries (36% in Austria, 21% in Germany, 16% in the United Kingdom, 14% in Denmark

    and 6.5% in Sweden), the missing values are replaced with the mean income of the

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    countries in order to avoid loosing too many cases for the regression analysis. Mean

    imputation can be problematic because it decreases the variance, and thus low significance

    levels are reached more easily. However, in the regression analysis, I checked for the

    differences in the results both with the original variable and with the variable with replaced

    missing values and the results did not differ markedly.

    [13] ISEI was created using a conversion tool of Ganzeboom and Treiman (1996b) that

    allow converting the ISCO-88 Standard Occupational Classification into International Socio-

    Economic Index of Occupational Status. This index can be perceived as measuring the

    attributes of occupations that convert persons education into income and it is measured on

    a scale from 16 to 90 (Ganzeboom, Treiman (1996a).

    [14] I wanted to control for religious affiliation but there is high non-response on this

    variable and some religious denomination are not represented in some countries while they

    are very common in the others (e.g. in Sweden there are no Catholics in the sample). Thus, I

    chose to control for church attendance; this variable has three categories: going to church at

    least once a month (1), rarely (2), never (3)

    [15] Those characteristics for the selected countries are presented in the Annex, Table 5A

    [16] Unemployment is strongly correlated with number of asylum applications (-0.752,

    p

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    [22] Only the interactions that were statistically significant at least at one of the compared

    countries are shown.

    [23] The interaction between age and perceived welfare threat explains additional 6% of

    the variance of the exclusionism of immigrants.

    [24] Citizens of countries except for EU-15 countries, EFTA countries, USA, Canada,

    Australia and New Zealand (Coenders, Lubbers, Scheppers, 2003b: 86)

    [25] Source: Eurostat, Office for National Statistics (UK), Statistisches Bundesamt

    (Germany) in Coenders, Lubbers, Scheppers (2003b: 86)

    [26] Source: UNHCR and Eurostat in Coenders, Lubbers, Scheppers (2003b: 86)

    [27] Source: UN Population Division (2002). Net migration is the annual number of

    immigrants less the annual number of emigrants (including both citizens and non-citizens).

    The rate is computed as the net number of migrants, divided by the average population of

    the receiving country, expressed per 1,000 population of the country.

    http://www.unpopulation.org

    [28] Source: Eurostat (2002). The unemployment rate is the proportion of unemployed

    persons in total labour force. http://epp.eurostat.cec.eu.int/

    [29] The answer was recoded as follows: 4=allow many to come and live here; 3=allow

    some; 2=allow a few; 1=allow none.

    [30] Items 1 to 3 were recoded from the 11 point scale into the 5 point scale in order to

    allow combining them with items 4 and 5 that were measured on the 5 point scale.

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