western energy imbalance market update … · iso confidential page 2 the western energy imbalance...

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ISO Confidential Page 1 Western energy imbalance market update Mark Rothleder Vice President, Market Quality & Renewable Integration Board of Governors Meeting General Session December 13-14, 2017

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Page 1: Western energy imbalance market update … · ISO Confidential Page 2 The western energy imbalance market continues to grow There are currently six entities in the implementation

ISO Confidential Page 1

Western energy imbalance market update

Mark RothlederVice President, Market Quality & Renewable Integration

Board of Governors MeetingGeneral SessionDecember 13-14, 2017

Page 2: Western energy imbalance market update … · ISO Confidential Page 2 The western energy imbalance market continues to grow There are currently six entities in the implementation

ISO Confidential Page 2

The western energy imbalance market continues to grow

There are currently six entities in the implementation phase: Spring 2018

~ Idaho Power~ Powerex

Spring 2019~ Seattle City Light~ BANC/ SMUD ~ LADWP

Spring 2020 ~ Salt River Project

In addition to Puget Sound Energy, MBR (market based rate) authority has been applied for and received by PacifiCorp, Portland General and NV Energy.

Page 3: Western energy imbalance market update … · ISO Confidential Page 2 The western energy imbalance market continues to grow There are currently six entities in the implementation

ISO Confidential Page 3

Gross economic benefits since start of EIM = $254.98M

BAA July August September Q3 – 2017Total

APS 2.52 4.92 3.64 11.08

CAISO 2.01 4.59 1.03 7.63

NVE 2.28 3.41 2.86 8.55

PAC 2.79 4.52 3.00 10.31

PSE 0.97 1.13 0.88 2.98

Total 10.57 18.57 11.41 40.55

BAA 2014 2015 2016 1st Qtr2017

2nd Qtr2017

3rd Qtr2017

YTD2017 Total

APS 5.98 5.23 8.25 11.08 24.56 30.54

CAISO 1.23 12.66 28.34 9.5 15.31 7.63 32.44 74.67

NVE 0.84 15.57 3.5 5.70 8.55 17.75 34.16

PAC 4.73 26.23 45.47 11.47 8.80 10.31 30.58 107.01

PSE 1.56 1.4 2.65 2.98 7.03 8.59

Total 5.96 39.73 96.92 31.1 40.71 40.55 112.36 254.98

Page 4: Western energy imbalance market update … · ISO Confidential Page 2 The western energy imbalance market continues to grow There are currently six entities in the implementation

ISO Confidential Page 4

Energy imbalance market helps avoid curtailment

Estimated metric tons of CO2 displaced to date = 214,927

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Curtailment Avoided Curtailment Cumulative Avoided Curtailment

Page 5: Western energy imbalance market update … · ISO Confidential Page 2 The western energy imbalance market continues to grow There are currently six entities in the implementation

ISO Confidential Page 5

Flexible ramping procurement diversity savings for 3rd quarter, 2017

The percentage of savings is the average MW savings divided by the sum of the four individual BAA requirements.

July August September

Direction Up Down Up Down Up Down

Average MW saving 452 487 452 495 425 507

Sum of BAA requirements 1,236 1,232 1,246 1,247 1,274 1,259

Diversity Benefit 37% 40% 36% 40% 33% 40%

Page 6: Western energy imbalance market update … · ISO Confidential Page 2 The western energy imbalance market continues to grow There are currently six entities in the implementation

ISO Confidential Page 6

Weekly average prices in EIM areas

FMM ELAPRTD ELAPEstimated Proxy

Page 7: Western energy imbalance market update … · ISO Confidential Page 2 The western energy imbalance market continues to grow There are currently six entities in the implementation

ISO Confidential Page 7

Estimated wheel through transfers in Q3, 2017

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AZPS CISO NEVP PACE PACW PSEI

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Net Import Net Export Wheel Through

Page 8: Western energy imbalance market update … · ISO Confidential Page 2 The western energy imbalance market continues to grow There are currently six entities in the implementation

ISO Confidential Page 8

Robust energy transfers observed in 3rd quarter

Avg – 260.6MWMax – 1262MW

Avg – 324MWMax – 1644MW

Avg – 110.7MWMax – 300MW

Avg – 153.2MWMax – 429MW

Avg – 102.3MWMax – 349MW Avg – 143.9MW

Max – 349MW

Avg – 107MWMax – 300MW

Avg – 111.5MWMax – 300MW

Avg – 325.3MWMax – 1827.6MW

Avg – 226MWMax – 1026.3MW

Avg – 97.2MWMax – 331MW

Avg – 181.7MWMax – 362MW

Avg – 146.7MWMax – 865MW

Avg – 164.7MWMax – 719MW

Avg – 135.3MWMax – 735.8MW

Avg – 0MWMax – 0MW

PACEPACW

NEVP

AZPS

PSEI

PG&E

SDGECAISO

CAISO

SCE