western energy infrastructure assessment
DESCRIPTION
WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE ASSESSMENT. Energy Infrastructure Policy Group Office of Energy Projects Docket No. AD03-10-000 Item A-3 July 23, 2003. Western Region. Source: RDI PowerMAp. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
ASSESSMENT
Energy Infrastructure Policy GroupOffice of Energy ProjectsDocket No. AD03-10-000Item A-3July 23, 2003
2FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
Western Region
Source: RDI PowerMAp
3FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
10,710 13,009
55,497
53,881
24,178 31,835
57,840
62,739
NWPP (7%)
CAMX (13%)RMPA (21%)
AZNMNV (32%)
2000 2003
2000 2003
2000 2003
2000 20032000 2003
144,214
165,422Total WECC Capacity (MW)
From Jan. 2000 to May 2003, generation capacity in the West has increased 15% with the Southwest (AZNMNV) region leading with 32% growth.
Source: RDI PowerDat, May 2003 release and Jan. 2001 release.
4FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
-4,000
-2,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
ME
GA
WA
TT
SAdditions of generating capacity rose dramatically after 2000 in response to supply shortages; however, additions will drop sharply after 2003 and retirements will increase.
Sources: POWERdat May 2003; NewGen May 2003; CAISO
CAMXRMPA
NWPP
AZNMNV
ADDITIONS
RETIREMENTS
5FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
0
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
125,000
150,000
175,000
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
ME
GA
WA
TT
S WINDOTHERGASNUCLEARCOALHYDRO
The West’s dependency on natural gas for generation capacity has grown steadily over the years, and could replace hydro as the number one fuel source in 2005.
42%
22%
25%
7%
4%
32%
37%
20%
5%
3%
1%
Sources: POWERdat May 2003 (Demonstrated Capacity); NewGen May 2003
6FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
Source: RDI PowerDat
252,689 234,179
59,018 60,732
199,999 178,381
139,470138,867
2000 2002
2000 2002
2000 2002
2000 2002
NWPP (-7%)
CAMX (-11%)
RMPA (3%)
AZNMNV (1%)Oil
Coal
Gas
Hydro
Other
Nuclear
Oil
Coal
Gas
Hydro
Other
Nuclear
2000 2002
Total WECC generation output (GWh)
650,573612,762
In 2002, net generation in the West decreased 6% from 2000 levels reflecting reduction in demand.
7FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
MapSlide 7
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8FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
Hydropower exports from the Pacific Northwest to California have declined as energy demand in this
region has increased.
Source: CEC,NWPPC, U.S. Census Bureau and EIA.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
1983198519871989199119931995199719992001200320052007
Gig
aw
att
ho
urs
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Tri
llio
ns o
f B
TU
s
Exports to California Energy Use in Pacific Northwest
9FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
Coal-fired generation is 21% (34,240 MW) of total generation capacity in the West. Over 75% of the electricity output from coal generation is from plants in Wyoming, Arizona, Colorado, Utah and New Mexico.
Existing generation capacity fuel mix
Source: RDI PowerDat
GAS36%
OIL1%
AZNMNV6%
RMPA4%
CAMX2%
NWPA8%
OTHER5%
NUCLEAR6%
HYDRO32%
Coal, 34,240MW21%
10FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
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11FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
MapSlide 11
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12FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
MapSlide 12
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13FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
Source: EIA’s Natural Gas Annual 2001 with supporting data, and EIA’s Historical Consumption by State
Over the past 10 years, the electric generation has been the fastest growing sector in the West and is now the largest gas consuming sector.
0
1
2
3
4
5
1991 2001
Tcf
Residential Commercial Industrial Electric Generation
14FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
MapSlide 14
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15FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
The West is dependent on production from gas originating mainly in the Rockies, Southwest and Canada.
United States
West% of
United States
Total Gas Consumption 20.5 Tcf 4.1 Tcf 20%
Total Dry Gas Production
19.7 Tcf 4.3 Tcf22%
Total Proved Gas Reserves 183.5 Tcf 57.0 Tcf 31%
Total Storage Capacity 8.4 Tcf 1.3 Tcf 15%
Total Net Imports from Canada 3.6 Tcf 1.2 Tcf 33%
Total Net Exports to Mexico 0.13 Tcf 0.03 Tcf 23%
Western Gas Facts - 2001
Source: EIA’s Natural Gas Annual 2001 and US Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Natural Gas Liquid Reserves 2001 Annual Report
16FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
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17FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
Pending and anticipated pipeline projects will create new capacity to serve electric generation loads and to deliver gas from producing areas.
• Twenty-eight projects were certificated since 2001, adding 6,481 MMcf/d of new capacity to the Western States.
• Fifteen of these projects added 3.4 Bcf/d of new capacity from the Rocky Mountain region. Ten of these projects added 2.8 Bcf/d of new capacity from Wyoming.
• Five pending projects have a projected capacity of 819 MMcf/d. Approximately 560 MMcf/d represents the Cheyenne Plains Project which will impact deliveries out of the Rockies and Wyoming.
• Thirteen planned projects have a potential capacity of 7.2 Bcf/d. Nine of these projects have a potential capacity of 4.2 Bcf/d to move Rockies gas.
18FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
MapSlide 18
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19FERC WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
Conclusions