westlake chemical corporation barclays ... - seeking alpha
TRANSCRIPT
Westlake Chemical Corporation
Barclays Industrial Select Conference
February 20, 2019
Westlake Chemical CorporationA Leading Integrated Plastics Materials Company
2
(1) See page 22
(2) Includes WLK Corporate EBITDA
(3) Net Income attributable to WLK
Net Sales $8,635 Million
EBITDA (1,2) $2,101 Million
Net Income (3) $996 Million
OUR MISSION
profitable growth …
in businesses we understand…
globally in areas we can gain an edge…
in a disciplined and opportunistic manner
Olefins Vinyls
$715 million EBITDA (1) $1,439 million
33% % of Total 67%
(LTM 2018)
Pictures: Benecke
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Capacity (MM lbs.) VinylsOlefins
Company Begins
Operation in
Lake Charles
Acquired VCM
in Calvert
• Started Petro 1
• Acquired PVC Plant
Acquired Geismar
VCM/PVC Plant
Acquired
1 Pipe
Plant
• Acquired 3
Pipe Plants
• Calgary Window
Plant
Started
Suzhou China
Film Plant
Increased LDPE
By 500 MM/lbs
• Acquired Calvert City CA plant
• Started Petro 2
Started
Poly 3
Started Suzhou
PVC Plant
• Started Styrene
• Acquired 3 Pipe Plants
IPO
• 20th Anniversary
• Acquired Longview
PE plants
3
• Acquired Vinnolit
• Calvert City Ethylene /
PVC Expansion
• Acquired Certain
Teed specialty
pipe business
• Petro 2 Ethylene &
Geismar Chlor
Alkali Expansion
• Acquired Axiall
• Petro 1 Ethylene Expansion
Strong Value Creation and Profitable Growth
Calvert City
Ethylene
Expansion
A Diverse, Vertically-Integrated Chemicals Leader Created Though Strategic Growth
4
Global leading position in North America, Europe and Asian PVC and Caustic Soda.
Global leader in specialty PVC and a leader in specialty LDPE for the Americas.
Westlake’s vertical integration strategy through expansions and acquisitions provides
the ability to capture value throughout the chain & earnings cycle and enhance
margin stability.
− A leading North American producer of PVC compounding. Our acquisition of
NAKAN expands our footprint into eight new countries and brings new products.
− Further integration through global PVC, Chlor Alkali and VCM expansions
planned from 2019 to 2021 provide additional operational certainty, growth
opportunities and geographic diversification.
− The Lake Charles Ethylene plant built jointly with Lotte will provide additional
Ethylene feedstock integration with expected start up this year.
− Synergy savings and cost reductions from Axiall acquisition totaled $275MM.
Westlake Chemical Partners provides a low-cost source of equity capital to fund
future growth.
Source: IHS Markit
• Westlake Chemical Partners provides Ethane-based, cost-advantaged ethylene feedstock to WLK at a
fixed margin via a long term contract, WLK uses this as the feedstock for the majority of its products.
• WLKP’s recent reset of the IDR distribution tiers will allow the Partnership to continue its historical growth
in distributions per unit for 10 years before the next IDR payment is earned. Due to the unique structure,
WLK will receive the same cash flows while extending the runway for WLKP to grow and provide cost
advantaged equity to WLK.
Westlake Chemical Partners LP (WLKP) ProvidesCost-Advantaged Capital to Westlake Chemical (WLK)
5
• Acquisitions - Lotte ethylene JV scheduled to start up in 2019 which provides potential growth for WLKP
and thus additional capital to WLK.
• Periodic drop downs - WLK has over 81% of current drop down inventory available to fund future growth.
• Expand current production capacities via organic growth to increase future earnings.
• Margin expansion from the existing 10 cents per pound.
Westlake Chemical
Corp (WLK)
Westlake
Chemical
Partners LP
(WLKP) 43.8% ownership
Westlake Chemical
OpCo LP
Capital to fund future growth
Public
Unitholders
56.2% ownership
Four Levers of Growth
Westlake’s Short Position in Ethylene Provides Cost Advantages in Coming Years
6
• Expanding PVC & VCM in the U.S. and Europe to improve integration value.
• The JV with Lotte provides potential further ethylene integration and a reduction in
purchased merchant ethylene.
Expansion
Olefins
Vinyls
All ethane
feedstock
capability
Chlorinated
Products
Key:
Ethylene
3.7B lbs Polyethylene
2.6B lbs
Styrene
570MM lbs
Chlorine
7.1B lbs
Vinyls
PVC
7.1B lbs
Vinyls
Products
3.4B lbs
Chlorinated Products
2.3 B lbs
Additional Ethylene
via JV with Lotte
~220MM to 1.1B lbs
Caustic Soda
7.9B lbs
North
American
Merchant
Ethylene
Purchases
~1.9B lbs
Westlake
9%
12%
60%
19%
Ethane
Propane
Naphtha
Other
World Ethane
Ethane
Other NGL's
NGL Feedstock Flexibility & Infrastructure
Well positioned to take advantage of ethane and other NGL’s:
• The shale oil & gas revolution has triggered an increase in infrastructure
build over the last several years.
• The continuing NGL’s flowing from these basins will drive further pipeline
and infrastructure expansion through 2018 and beyond
• Westlake ethylene plants are fully capable to use ethane and have some
NGL flexibility.
Lake Charles ethylene plants are able to access ethane in basins and
shale plays from Eagle Ford, Permian, Rockies, Marcellus and Utica
Calvert City ethylene plant is now receiving ethane from the Marcellus
and Utica basins.
Westlake’s European business (Vinnolit) purchases ethylene which is
naphtha based and provides further feedstock diversification.
7Source: IHS Markit
Westlake’s North American
Ethylene Feedslate Capability
Western Europe Ethylene
Industry Feedslate
Westlake
100%
Ethane
Capable
Ethane Non-Ethane Feed
World EthyleneWestlake
5.4 ¢
7.2 ¢
7.7 ¢
7.2 ¢
0
3
6
9
LDPE, 58%
LLDPE, 42%
Advantaged Polyethylene Product Mix
8
LDPE Is More Profitable Average Margin Advantage of LDPE vs.
Other PE Grades
LDPE22%
LLDPE32%
HDPE46%
2018 Global Industry Demand (% share)
2018 Total Demand: 235 billion
pounds
Source: IHS Markit
Westlake Capacity (% share)
Total Capacity: 2.6 billion pounds
Source:IHS Markit
2004 – 2018
Average2014 – 2018
Average
LD
PE
vs.
HD
PE
LD
PE
vs.
LL
DP
E
LD
PE
vs.
HD
PE
LD
PE
vs.
LL
DP
E
¢ /lb
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Chevron Phillips
DowDuPont
ExxonMobil
LyondellBasell
Westlake
Advantaged Product MixWestlake’s Unique LDPE Focus
9
LDPE Capacity as a Percentage of
Total Company PE Capacity
Westlake has one
of the highest
LDPE product mix
percentages in
The America
Autoclave vs Tubular LDPE:
Autoclave LDPE is a more specialty
product with broader applications and
better margins.
Supply/demand balance for autoclave
grows tighter.
Source for both charts: IHS Markit
The Specialty Advantage
80%
48%
34%
33%
20%
52%
66%
65%2%
Westlake 2019
North America 2019
World 2019
World 2022
Autoclave Tubular Undeclared
-1.00%
1.00%
3.00%
5.00%
7.00%
9.00%
2012-2017average
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Change in C
apacit
y
LDPE LLDPE HDPE 1x GDP Forecast 1.5x GDP Forecast
Industry Global Polyethylene Growth Focused on LLDPE and HDPE, not on LDPE
10
World Polyethylene Capacity Growth by Product
Westlake is focused on LDPE, a product which:
• New additions intended to primarily serve Asian & European markets.
• Global polyethylene demand grows between 1.0x to 1.5x GDP.
• LDPE capacity additions are almost all tubular.Sources: IHS Markit,
IMF 2018
Global Geographic Footprint
Asia - High quality PVC resin and film products in a growth region:
• 2 Chemical sites
• 4 Manufacturing site
11
Facilities in North America, Europe and Asia Provide
Geographic Diversification
North America - Highly
integrated, low cost
production:
• 11 Chemical sites
• 20+ Manufacturing
sites
Europe - Global leader in specialty
PVC + growing PVC compounds
business:
• 6 Chemical sites
• NAKAN acquisition
52%
39%
9%
Chlor Alkali
Ethylene
PVC Resin
43%47%
9%
Chlor Alkali
Ethylene
PVC Resin
Low Cost Producer of PVC Combined with High Integration Captures Margin
• Westlake has announced numerous PVC expansions
beginning in 2019 that will capture more integrated
margin
• Integration has allowed Westlake to operate its chlorovinyls
plants at higher operating rates than US industry average
and enjoy strong margins.
• Through backward integration into Chlor Alkali (shale gas
based power) and ethylene (shale gas based ethane),
Westlake is one of the lowest cost producers globally.
• Able to extend margins in our vinyls chain through
integration into vinyls products.
• Cost competitive PVC exports as Westlake sits at the low
end of the cost curve
Overview of the Vinyls Chain
Typical Vinyls Industry Margin
Distribution Over
the Last Cycle
Polyvinyl
Chloride
(PVC)
Vinyl
Chloride
Monomer
(VCM)
Ethylene
Dichloride
(EDC)
Chlorine
Ethylene
Chlor-Alkali
Caustic
Soda
PVC
(Vinyls
Products)
Merchant
Sales
Chlorinated
Products
12
Vinyls Industry Margin
Distribution Over
Recent Cycle
Source: IHS Markit
Majority of Margin Captured in
Chlor-Alkali and Ethylene.
Growing Global PVC Demand Supports Exports
13
2000 – 2018 Global Demand CAGR = 3.3% 2019 – 2024
Global Demand
CAGR = 3.4%
• Global growth in PVC demand is forecasted to continue growing well into the future.
• Producers with a high level of integration benefit with higher margins over the cycle.
• Global growth in PVC demand and advantaged feedstocks in PVC production supports North American production.
Source: IHS Markit
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,0002000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
Nort
h A
meri
ca P
VC
Export
s(a
s %
of
Tota
l N
ort
h A
meri
ca P
roducti
on)
Glo
bal PV
C D
em
and
(thousa
nd M
etr
ic T
ons)
Global PVC Demand
North American PVC Exports
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Olin Oxy Westlake DowDuPont Inovyn
kMT
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
SHINTECH Westlake Inovyn FPC Oxy
kMT
North American Chlorovinyls Leader with Enhanced Scale
14
2018
North
American
PVC
capacity
(KMT)
2018
North
American
Chlor-
Alkali
capacity
(KMT)
Westlake is the second largest producer of
PVC globally.
Westlake is the third largest producer of
Chlor Alkali globally
Source for both charts: IHS Markit
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Westlake(Germany /
UK)
Mexichem(Mexico /
USA /Germany)
Inovyn(EU)
Formosa(Taiwan /
USA /China)
ChemChina
(China)
AnhuiHongsifang
(China)
Kaneka(Japan)
Kem One(EU)
XinjiangTianye(China)
Yang CoatXiyang(China)
Ca
pa
city (
km
t)Westlake is the Global Leader in Specialty PVC
15
Westlake / Vinnolit is a leading specialty PVC producer
2018 Specialty PVC global capacity: ~4,200 KMT
Source: IHS Markit
Westlake’s Vinnolit operations provide:
• Specialty PVC, which enhances Westlake’s product
suite.
• Better margins and reduced volatility.
• Improved distribution access, especially to emerging
markets.
Financially Disciplined
• Disciplined Investment culture.
• Strong balance sheet.
• Higher margin Polyethylene and
PVC products.
• C-Corp (WLK) and traditional
MLP (WLKP) have provided
maximized value capture with an
extended runway of opportunity
going forward.
16
Strategic & Efficient Investment of Capital
17
Strategic Investment Drives Integration and Specialty Focus
• Highly Integrated Chain Enhances Profit Stability.
• Recent Large Capital Program Nearly Complete.
Ethylene Debottlenecks: 2013, 2014, 2016, 2017
New Geismar Chlor Alkali Facility 2013
Ethane Feedstock Conversion 2014
Recent
Strategic
Investment and
Capital Projects
Totaling Over
$7.4 Billion
Acquisitions:
NAKAN 2019 (complete)
Axiall Corporation 2016
Vinnolit - Specialty PVC 2014
PVC Specialty Products Business 2013
VinylsOlefins
New Ethylene cracker from Westlake-Lotte JV
scheduled for 2019
PVC & Chlor Alkali Expansions:
2014, 2019, 2020, 2021
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Westlake Peer Average
18
Conservative Financial Profile
• Westlake is committed to maintaining solid
investment grade credit metrics, ratings
agencies affirm strong investment grade ratings.
• Retired $1.2B of bonds in 2018.
• Westlake will continue to maintain strong
liquidity for future growth.
Gross Debt to Capitalization Ratio
Range of Peer Average
Source: Bloomberg
Peer group includes: OLN, DWDP, EMN, HUN, LYB
Agency Rating
S&P BBB
Fitch BBB
Moody's Baa2
Higher Cycle Average MarginsFocus on “Bottom Line”
19
Higher margins and returns attributable to:
- Focused Growth - Chain Integration
- Asset Quality - Product Mix
- Operating Rate Advantage - Feedstock
2009 – 2018
Source: Bloomberg
*Peer averages as of latest available data
includes: EMN, HUN, OLN, LYB, DWDP
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Return on Assets Return on Capital Employed EBITDA Margin
Westlake Peer Average*
Strategic Investment Drives EBITDA Growth
20
Proven
Results
Future
EBITDA
Vinyls Olefins
Recent Expansions and Acquisitions
2019 to 2021
Added Ethylene Capacity
Added PVC Capacity
Added Chlor Alkali Capacity
Acquired Vinnolit and
Specialty PVC Products
Added Ethylene Capacity
Acquired Axiall
Adding Ethylene Capacity
Adding PVC Capacity
Adding Chlor Alkali Capacity
• Timely investments to integrate the full value chain drive EBITDA.
• Conservative balance sheet enables future opportunistic growth.
NAKAN Acquisition (complete)
Westlake Chemical continues its proven record of strategically
deploying capital to fund future bottom line growth
Reconciliation of Westlake EBITDA to Net Income and to Cash Flow from Operating Activities (in $ millions)
22
Note 1 from page 2: Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This presentation includes the non-GAAP measure EBITDA. A reconciliation to net income and to cash flow from operating activities is included above.
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Adjusted EBITDA 237$ 512$ 584$ 780$ 1,118$ 1,330$ 1,244$ 1,016$ 1,841$ 2,101$
Debt Retirement Cost - - - (7) - - - - - -
EBITDA 237 512 584 773 1,118 1,330 1,244 1,016 1,841 2,101
Less:
Income Tax (Provision) Benefit (26) (122) (142) (200) (332) (399) (298) (139) 258 (300)
Interest Expense (35) (40) (51) (43) (18) (38) (35) (79) (159) (126)
Depreciation & Amortization (123) (129) (132) (144) (158) (208) (246) (378) (601) (641)
Non Controlling Interest - - - - - (6) (19) (21) (35) (38)
Net Income 53 221 259 386 610 679 646 399 1,304 996
Non Controlling Interest - - - - - 6 19 21 35 38
Changes in operating assets & liabilities 152 48 86 233 49 288 374 313 733 313
Deferred income taxes 31 14 14 6 94 59 40 101 (534) 62
Cash flow from operating activities 236$ 283$ 359$ 624$ 753$ 1,032$ 1,079$ 834$ 1,538$ 1,409$
Vinyls EBITDA (17) (20) 48 131 207 247 398 415 1,096 1,439
Olefins EBITDA 260$ 547$ 549$ 655$ 944$ 1,126$ 863$ 699$ 805$ 715$
Corporate EBITDA (6) (15) (13) (13) (33) (43) (17) (98) (60) (53)
Westlake Adjusted EBITDA 237$ 512$ 584$ 773$ 1,118$ 1,330$ 1,244$ 1,016$ 1,841$ 2,101$
Safe Harbor LanguageThis presentation contains certain forward-looking statements, including statements with respect to future growth, the
ultimate outcome (such as cost savings, synergies, and joint venture development) and results of integrating the
operations of Westlake and Axiall, and the timing and results of planned expansions, cost advantages of ethylene,
distributable cash flow growth of WLKP and the potential of the Lotte ethylene JV as an additional lever of growth for
WLKP. Actual results may differ materially depending on factors such as general economic and business conditions; the
cyclical nature of the chemical industry; the availability, cost and volatility of raw materials and energy; uncertainties
associated with the United States, Europe and worldwide economies, including those due to political tensions in the
Middle East, Ukraine and elsewhere; current and potential governmental regulatory actions in the United States and
Europe and regulatory actions and political unrest in other countries; industry production capacity and operating rates; the
supply/ demand balance for our products; competitive products and pricing pressures; instability in the credit and financial
markets; access to capital markets; terrorist acts; operating interruptions (including leaks, explosions, fires, weather-
related incidents, mechanical failure, unscheduled downtime, labor difficulties, transportation interruptions, spills and
releases and other environmental risks); changes in laws or regulations; technological developments; our ability to
implement our business strategies; creditworthiness of our customers; the results of potential negotiations between
Westlake Chemical Corporation and Westlake Chemical Partners and other factors described in our reports filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission. Many of these factors are beyond our ability to control or predict. Any of these
factors, or a combination of these factors, could materially affect our future results of operations and the ultimate accuracy
of the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of our future performance, and
our actual results and future developments may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.
Management cautions against putting undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Every forward-looking statement
speaks only as of the date of the particular statement, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any
forward-looking statements.
23
Investor Relations Contacts
Westlake Chemical
2801 Post Oak Boulevard, Suite 600
Houston, Texas 77056
713-960-9111
Steve Bender
Executive Vice President &
Chief Financial Officer
Jeff Holy
Vice President &
Treasurer