weyerhaeuser ceo president doyle simons's presentation
DESCRIPTION
Company and market overview.TRANSCRIPT
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WEYERHAEUSERDriving value through performance
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Arkansas Forestry Association | September 24
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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTSAND NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
• This presentation contains statements that are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including, without limitation, with respect to future prospects, business strategies, benefits and impacts of the Longview Timber LLC acquisition and the transaction involving Weyerhaeuser Real Estate Company and TRI Pointe Homes, Inc. (including cost savings and operational and other synergies), revenues, earnings, cash flow, taxes, funds from operations and funds available for distribution, pricing, production, supply, dividend levels, share repurchases, business priorities, performance, cost reductions and other strategic initiatives, demand drivers and levels, growth, capital structure, credit ratings, capital expenditures, cash position, debt levels, and harvests and export markets. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. We may use words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “outlook,” “goal,” “will,” “plan,” “expect,” “target,” “would” and similar terms and phrases, or we may refer to assumptions, to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are made based on management’s current expectations and assumptions concerning future events. These are inherently subject to uncertainties and factors relating to our operations and business environment that are difficult to predict and often beyond the company’s control. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, the effect of general economic conditions, including employment rates, housing starts, interest rate levels, availability of financing for home mortgages, strength of the U.S. dollar, market demand for our products, which is related to the strength of the various U.S. business segments and U.S. and international economic conditions, domestic and foreign competition, the successful execution of our internal performance plans, including restructurings and cost reduction initiatives, raw material prices, energy prices, the effect of weather, the risk of loss from fires, floods, windstorms, hurricanes, pest infestation and other natural disasters, transportation availability and costs, federal tax policies, the effect of forestry, land use, environmental and other governmental regulations, legal proceedings, performance of pension fund investments and related derivatives, the effect of timing of retirements and changes in market price of our common stock on charges for share-based compensation, changes in accounting principles, and the other risk factors described in filings we make with the SEC, including in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 and our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2014 and June 30, 2014. There is no guarantee that any of the anticipated events or results will occur or, if they occur, what effect they will have on the company’s operations or financial condition. The forward-looking statements contained herein apply only as of the date of this presentation and we do not undertake any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. Nothing on our website is included or incorporated by reference herein.
• Included in this presentation are certain non-GAAP financial measures which management believes complement the financial information presented in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Management believes such measures are useful to investors. Our non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similarly titled captions of other companies due to potential inconsistencies in the metrics of calculation. For a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to GAAP measures see the appendices to this presentation.
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WEYERHAEUSER: Who We Are
~7MILLION ACRES OF
FORESTS
13,000PEOPLE 320 MILLION
SEEDLINGSPLANTED IN THE LAST FIVE YEARS
100%SFI
CERTIFIEDFORESTS
114YEARS OLD
$7.3BILLION IN SALES (2013)
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DRIVING VALUE
LEVERS
Portfolio
Performance: Operational Excellence
Capital Allocation
Growing a Truly Great Company
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PORTFOLIO
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FOCUSED PORTFOLIO
*Pro forma as if WRECO divesture had been completed at June 30, 2014. Pro forma common shares exclude 13.8 million mandatory convertible preference shares, which convert to common shares on July 1, 2016.
Total Assets $11.1B 528 MM common shares
Pro Forma 2014 Q2*
Timberlands
CelluloseFibers
Wood Products
Timberlands
CelluloseFibers
Wood Products
WRECO(Divested)
BEFORE AFTER
Total Assets $10.4B542 MM common shares
Year End 2012
LongviewTimberlands(Acquired)
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PORTFOLIOSupports a growing and sustainable dividend
TIMBERLANDSStrong, productive asset base
COMPLEMENTARY MANUFACTURING OPERATIONSEnhance timberlands cash flow
Well-positioned businesses with improving cost structures
Wood Products: Strong upside from US housing
Cellulose Fibers: Strong cash flow and growing demand from global markets
2011 2012 2013 2014 (LTM)
(100)
200
500
800
1,100
1,400
1,700
Timberlands Wood Products Cellulose Fibers
$ M
illio
ns
EBITDA*
Supporting a Growing and Sustainable Dividend
*Adjusted EBITDA, LTM as of 2014 Q2. Unallocated items not included. See appendix for reconciliation to GAAP amounts.
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PORTFOLIO: OPERATIONS
TIMBERLANDS ~7 MM acres in U.S.
WOOD PRODUCTS Lumber: 18 mills
OSB*: 6 mills
ELP*: 9 facilities
Distribution: 21 sites
CELLULOSE FIBERS 5 pulp mills
2 converting facilities
1 liquid packaging board facility
*ELP = Engineered Lumber Products, OSB = Oriented Strand Board
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PERFORMANCE
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TIMBERLANDS
2012 2016 - 2018(Outlook)
0
200
400
600
800
BASE BASE
TIMBERLANDS EBITDA*
2014 Anticipated ProgressOperational Excellence = $15-20 MM
Longview Timber synergies = over $20 MM
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
Maximize cash flow through Operational Excellence improvements
Capture full value of the Longview Timber acquisition
Operational Excellence: $50-70 MMLongview
Timber, incl.: $20 MM synergy
*Adjusted EBITDA, LTM as of 2014 Q2. See appendix for reconciliation to GAAP amounts. **WY results include Longview Timber beginning 2014 LTM.
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Current Benchmark0
50
100
WOOD PRODUCTS: Lumber
OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE**Controllable Manufacturing Cost
Closing the Gap= $100 MM
**Note: Benchmark is mill Best in Class; Mfg cost = Cost Net of Logs, excluding depreciation and inflation. Current is based on Q3 2013 YTD data.
2014 Anticipated Progress: $30-40 MM
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
Reduce controllable manufacturing costs to achieve industry-leading cost structure
Maintain value-added product mix
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WOOD PRODUCTS: OSB
Current Benchmark50
75
100
$50 MM
% R
elia
bili
ty
**Note: Reliability benchmark is mill Best in Class. Current is based on Q3 2013 YTD data.
Improve Product Mix
Current Goal0
25
50
75
$10 MM%
Val
ue
Ad
ded
Pro
du
ct
OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE**
Improve Reliability
2014 Anticipated Progress = $5-10 MM
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
Drive down controllable costs by improving reliability
Grow higher-margin products
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WOOD PRODUCTS: ELP & Distribution
TURNAROUND INITIATIVES
Engineered Lumber Products
Capture value of products and services
Improve manufacturing cost and productivity
Distribution
Reduce warehouse, delivery, sales costs
Increase product margins
2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD0%
5%
10%
15%ELP EBITDA MARGIN*
2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD-8%
-4%
0%DISTRIBUTION EBITDA MARGIN*
2014 Target = $30-40 MM improvement in each business versus 2013
2014 Anticipated Progress Both businesses on track to achieve
$30-40 MM improvement
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CELLULOSE FIBERS
OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE**Reduce Controllable Cost
Current Goal625
675
725
$/
Ton
$100 MM
**Cost of Goods Sold, excluding inflation. Current is based on Q3 2013 YTD data.
2014 Anticipated Progress = $25-30 MM
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
Reduce cost
Grow with global customers
Innovate high-margin products
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CAPITAL ALLOCATION
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2011 Q1 2012 Q4 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2014 Q3
$0.15 $0.17
$0.20$0.22
$0.29
CAPITAL ALLOCATION
PRIORITIES:
Return cash to shareholders Grow dividend Share repurchase
($700 million)
Invest in our businesses Disciplined approach:
cost reduction, improved EBITDA
Grow through acquisition:targeted, value-creating
Maintain appropriate capital structure
+13%
+18%+10%
+32%
+40%increase in
capital investment in 2014 compared
with 2013 levels
Quarterly Dividend Per Share
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WEYERHAEUSER IN ARKANSAS
Current Operations Timberlands: 566,000 acres Dierks Lumber: 310MM board feet Emerson Veneer: 210MM Sq. ft.
Sales Office
Capital Investment @ Dierks
Significant investment to rebuild facility
Large, low-cost, modern mill
Earned the right to capital, supported by improving market fundamentals
DierksLumber Mill
EmersonVeneer Facility
Sales Office in
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MARKET TRENDS
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HOUSING RECOVERS TO TREND
1899
1904
1909
1914
1919
1924
1929
1934
1939
1944
1949
1954
1959
1964
1969
1974
1979
1984
1989
1994
1999
2004
2009
2014
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
*RISI
*John Burns
*Global Insight
Total U.S. Housing Starts(Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate)
Source: Census
*Forecast
The Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies forecasts
trend (2015 and beyond) housing starts ranging between
1.6 and 1.9 million units
Million Units
Quarterly
Approximately 1.5 million starts expected
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LOG PRICES: Positive Outlook West has strengthened, with more upside expected South recovery still ahead
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 20170
100
200
300
400
500
600
DELIVERED LOG PRICESOUTHERN AVERAGE PINE SAWLOG
$/MBF
Annual
Forecast*
Source: Log Lines, *FEA, RISI
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 20170
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
DELIVERED LOG PRICE
$/MBF
Annual
Forecast*
Source: Log Lines, *FEA, RISI
DOUGLAS FIR #2
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WOOD PRODUCTSStrong Growth for Lumber, OSB & Engineered Wood
DEMAND DRIVERS• New residential construction
• Repair & remodel, industrial & export
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 20180
10
20
30
Billion Square Feet
Annual
Forecast*
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 20180
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Million Linear Feet
Annual
Forecast*
Source: *FEA
35
45
55
65
75
85
1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
NORTH AMERICAN LUMBER DEMAND
Annual
NORTH AMERICAN I-JOIST DEMAND
NORTH AMERICAN OSB DEMAND
Billion Board Feet
Forecast*
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FLUFF DEMAND GROWTHEmerging Economies
2003 2008 2012 20170
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Fluff Market Pulp Consumption by Region
Million Tons
AnnualSource: Starr, Weyerhaeuser CF Business
Rest ofWorld
Rest of Asia
Japan
Europe
N.A.
Forecast*
Growing demand of 3.5% a year Southern pine ideal for fluff pulp; globally competitive cost position
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SUMMARY
We are a focused forest products company Timberlands | Wood Products | Cellulose Fibers
We are driving value with the levers we control Portfolio | Performance | Capital Allocation
Market fundamentals for the industry improving
Growing a Truly Great Company
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QUESTIONS?