what features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... reisen, what... · ozone concentrations...

24
What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in the assessment of public health risk? CSIRO OCEANS AND ATMOSPHERE FLAGSHIP Fabienne Reisen| Senior Research Scientist Australia & New Zealand Aerosol Workshop, Wellington, 10-11 July 2014

Upload: others

Post on 18-Oct-2020

5 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in the assessment of public health risk?

CSIRO OCEANS AND ATMOSPHERE FLAGSHIP

Fabienne Reisen| Senior Research Scientist

Australia & New Zealand Aerosol Workshop, Wellington, 10-11 July 2014

Page 2: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Features that influence smoke exposure

1. Fire and fuel characteristics

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen2 |

3. Pollutants

2. Smoke plume distribution near populated areas

Page 3: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Fire characteristics – Type, size, intensity

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen3 |

Fires in savannas (grassland) are less intense and have short duration

Fires in eucalypt forest range from surface to crown fires with varying intensitiesPeat lands possess high fuel

loads and can burn over extended periods of time

Page 4: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Fires 06/07 Fires 07/08 Burns

Nu

mb

er

of

da

ys

0

10

20

30

40

Fires 06/07 Fires 07/08 Burns

Nu

mb

er

of

ho

urs

0

200

400

600

800

0-10 g/m3

10-25 g/m3

25-50 g/m3

>50 g/m3

0-10 g/m3

10-25 g/m3

25-50 g/m3

50-75 g/m3

75-100 g/m3

>100 g/m3

Smoke events in Northeast VIC (2006-2008)

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen4 |

Prescribed burns Wildfires

Duration 3-48 hrs (average of 15 hours) 69 days

Intensity PM2.5: 2-30 fold increase

Max hourly PM2.5: 39-377 mg/m3

Max daily PM2.5: 540 mg/m3

Max hourly PM2.5: 1780 mg/m3

Page 5: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Combustion process

Ignition Flaming Smouldering Extinction

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen5 |

Oxygen supply

Heat transfer

Fuel characteristics (size, structure,

moisture)

Flammable mixture of tar & gas products

CO2 and H20VOCs, NOx, N2O

EC or BC

CO, CH4

NMOC, NH3

PM

)COCO(

COMCE

2

2

Page 6: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Emission factors (g/kg) for species emitted

Tropical forest Savanna Boreal forest Temperate forest

CO2 1643 ± 58 1686 ± 38 1489 ± 121 1637 ± 71

CO 93 ± 27 63 ± 17 127 ± 45 89 ± 32

CH4 5.1 ± 2.0 1.9 ± 0.9 6.0 ± 3.1 3.9 ± 2.4

N2O 0.41 0.16 ± 0.21

PM2.5 9.1 ± 3.5 7.2 ± 3.4 15.3 ± 5.9 12.7 ± 7.5

PM10 18.5 ± 4.1

BC 0.52 ± 0.28 0.37 ± 0.20

OC 4.7 ± 2.7 2.6 ± 1.2

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen6 |

Adapted from Agaki et al (2011) Emission factors for open and domestic biomass burning for use inatmospheric models , Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 4039-4072.

Page 7: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Emissions measurements

Laboratory studies – Controlled conditions

– Detailed studies of chemistry

– BUT: assume that fire properties in the lab represent combustion properties in the field

Field studies – ground level sampling– Sample real fires in undisturbed fuel beds

– BUT: issue of heterogeneity of smoke

Aircraft plume sampling– No heterogeneity of smoke

– BUT: expensive, complex and requires extensive plumes; need to take into account ageing of the plume

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen7 |

Page 8: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Ground level sampling at prescribed burns

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen8 |

Flaming combustion of fine fuels

Smouldering combustion of coarse fuels

Page 9: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Controlled experiments in the field

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen9 |

Experimental burning of pure samples of each fuel/size class

Page 10: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Laboratory studies

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen10 |

Pyrotron – 25 m long fire-proof wind tunnel- heading/backing fires- fuel/size class

Working section1.5 m wide and 4.8 m long

Page 11: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Emission factors

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen11 |

Volkova et al. (2014) Fuel reduction burning mitigates wildfire effects on forest carbon and greenhouse gas emission, IJWF.

Fuel load and fuel moisture used to determine MCEMCE used to determine EFs

Page 12: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

PM2.5 measurements

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen12 |

Leaf litter burn more slowly and produces more smoke

with lower MCE

Well-aerated grass burns fiercely and efficiently

Page 13: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Feature of bushfire smoke - Emission source

Much of the variation in combustion products between fires is due to the way the fuel burns rather than the composition of the fuel

Combustion properties are critical to determine emission characteristics and are driven by fuel characteristics

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen13 |

Page 14: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Smoke plumes and exposures

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen14 |

Fresh smoke plumeComplex mixture of toxic air contaminants (gases & particles)

CO, PM, VOCs and SVOCs, NOY, Hg

Smoke dispersion and dilution

Atmospheric reactions

Aged smoke plumeOzone formed by photochemical reactionsSecondary organic aerosolsCO, fine particles

Thick smoke (limited photochemistry)

Page 15: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

11/12/06 18/12/06 25/12/06 1/01/07 8/01/07 15/01/07

PM

2.5 c

on

cen

trat

ion

[

g/m

3 ]

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

Hourly PM2.5

(Max hourly PM2.5 = 1.8 mg/m3)

Daily PM2.5

(Max daily PM2.5 = 1.1 mg/m3)

Victorian Alpine fires 2006/07

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen15 |

• Fires started by lightning on Dec 1, 2006

• Area burned: 1,048,238 hectares

• Duration: 69-days

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Nov-05 Dec-05 Mar-06 Apr-06 Jun-06 Aug-06 Oct-06 Dec-06

part

icul

ate

mas

s co

ncen

trat

ion

(ug

m-3

)

Bushfire season

2005/2006

Bushfire season

2006/2007

Melbourne (~200km from fires)

Page 16: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen16 |

Victorian Alpine fires 2006/07

• Photochemical formation of ozone in smoke trapped in valley

• Max hourly O3 = 150 ppb

• Max hourly PM2.5 = 1893 g/m3

Burn ~ 60 km from Manjimup (WA)

• Photochemical formation of ozone in smoke plume

• Elevated PM2.5 concentrations for 7-9 hrs

• Max hourly O3 = 65.2 ppb

• Max hourly PM2.5 = 227 g/m3

Reisen et al. (2011), Atmos Environ, 45, 3944

Southern California wildfires 2003 (Phuleria et al. (2005) J Geophys Res 110, D07S20)

• Limited photochemistry due to thick smoke

• Hourly O3 decreased from 29 ppb to 15 ppb

Page 17: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen

What pollutants should we consider?

17 |

Page 18: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Particle levels during wildfire events

Location Max hourly

PM [g/m3]

Max daily

PM [g/m3]

Duration

Southern CA (2003) 769 (PM10) ~ 400 (PM10) 7 days

Montana (2000) 340 (PM2.5) > 30 days

British Columbia (2003) 200 (PM2.5)

250 (PM10)> 30 days

Portugal (2003) 500 (PM10)

Northern CA (1999) > 1000 (PM10) > 500 (PM10)

Indonesia (1997) 1800 (PM10)

Sydney (1994) 250 (PM10) 210 (PM10) 8 days

Victorian Alpine fires (2006/07)

Melbourne

1800 (PM2.5) 1100 (PM2.5)

~ 120 (PM2.5)

69 days

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen18 |

Page 19: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Chemical composition of particles

• ToF- Aerosol Chemical Speciation Monitor

• Unit mass resolution, no sizing

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen19 |

`

Particle Inlet (1 atm)

Thermal Vaporization &

Electron Impact

Ionization

Aerodynamic Lens40-1000 nm

eTOFMass Spec

Particle Composition

Page 20: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Gunn Point – Savanna fire season

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen20 |

expect to see ~ 80-90% of PM1 through ACSM lens

Page 21: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Deconvolution of mass spectra into component spectra

• HOA – Hydrocarbon-like organic aerosol

• OOA – Oxidized organic aerosol

• BBOA – Biomass burning organic aerosol

• COA – Cooking organic aerosol

PMF analysis applied to ACSM data sets

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen21 |

Page 22: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Summary

Combustion and fuel characteristics influence smoke production and composition

Emission factors are critical to determine amount of toxic compounds released into the atmosphere

Plume distribution is affected by meteorological conditions and topography

The main hazardous component for public health is fine particulate matter (size and composition)

Impact of other pollutants (e.g. mercury, VOCs) on public health is uncertain

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen22 |

Page 23: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere FlagshipFabienne ReisenSenior Research Scientist

t +61 3 9239 4435e [email protected]

OCEANS & ATMOSPHERE FLAGSHIP

Thank you

Page 24: What features of bushfire smoke should be considered in ... Reisen, What... · Ozone concentrations in smoke plumes 16 | Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne

Size distribution of bushfire smoke particles

Features of bushfire smoke & public health risk | Fabienne Reisen24 |

1.E+02

1.E+03

1.E+04

1.E+05

10 100 1000diameter (nm)

dN

/dlo

g10D

(cm

-3)

bushfire influenced

reference

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

10 100 1000 10000 100000diameter (nm)

bushfir

e m

ass c

oncentr

atio

n

(µgm

-3)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

refe

rence m

ass

concentr

atio

n (

µgm

-3)

bushfire influencedreference

Number distributions on a bushfire day and on a day without strong smoke impact

24-hour MOUDI distributions on two bushfire days and two days without strong smoke impact