what is important in study design? and why?
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What is Important in Study Design? And Why?. Roxy Peck Cal Poly San Luis Obispo [email protected]. Study Design in the Common Core. 7.SP.1 - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Study Design in the Common Core
7.SP.1
Understand that statistics can be used to gain information about a population by examining a sample of the population; generalizations about a population from a sample are valid only if the sample is representative of that population. Understand that random sampling tends to produce representative samples and support valid inferences.
S-IC.3
Recognize the purposes of and differences among sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies; explain how randomization relates to each.
S-IC.6
Evaluate reports based on data.
Important Theme
Our ability to draw conclusions from data depends on how the data are collected.
Two Types of Statistical Studies Observational Studies
Purpose: To learn about a population
Requires: Representative sample
To the Rescue: Random selection
Experiments
Purpose: To learn about the effect of an explanatory variable on some response variable
Requires: Comparable groups
To the Rescue: Random assignment
Why do we???
Why do we intentionally introduce “randomness” when we collect data?
Drawing conclusions in statistical studies usually involves answering the question
“Could this have happened by chance?”
When we introduce randomness in a planned way…
We know what “just by chance” looks like!
This allows us to recognize results that are “unusual” if chance is the only thing going on.
Random Selection in Sampling
Goal: Representative sample
Activity: Show Me the Money
(Thanks to Doug Tyson for sharing this activity and the next activity.)
Show Me the Money
Population: Top 200 Movies from 2011
1. Pick 10 movies from the list that you saw or wanted to see.
2. Record the title and the gross income for each of these 10 movies.
3. Calculate the mean for this sample of 10 movies.
Discussion Questions
1. Did everyone get the same sample mean?
2. Why?
Sampling variability: Different samples tend to produce different results.
Dotplot of Sample Means
Question
Is the way you selected the sample of 10 movies a good method?
Do you think that it resulted in a sample that is representative of the population?
Random Sampling
1. Use your calculator to generate 10 random numbers between 1 and 200.
2. Record the title and gross income for the 10 movies corresponding to these random numbers.
3. Calculate the mean for this sample of movies.
Dotplot of Sample Means from Random Samples
Discussion
And the point of this activity is…
Random Assignment in Experiments
Goal: Comparable groups
Activity: Does SpongeBob Make Kids Dumber?
Reference: “The Immediate Impact of Different Types of Television on Young Children’s Executive Function”, Pediatrics, 2011.
The Experiment Assigned 60 children to one of three groups:
1. Cartoon (SpongeBob)
2. Educational cartoon
3. Drawing After 9 minutes, children were given several
tests that measured executive function (self-regulation, working memory).
Findings: SpongeBob groups scored significantly lower than the other two groups.
Does it Matter??
Does it matter how the groups are created?
Let’s see. Group of 14 children from a list that is in
alphabetical order. Information for each subject—name, IQ,
gender
Creating groups
Create 2 groups SpongeBob Drawing
Put first seven children into SpongeBob group. What do you notice?
Why might this be a problem?
Now Try Random Assignment
1. Mix the cards and then divide into two groups of seven.
2. For each group, calculate the mean IQ and the proportion of females.
3. Calculate the difference in mean IQ for the two groups.
Dotplot of Difference in Mean IQ
So What is the Point?
What can we conclude about random assignment?
Implications for Drawing Conclusions from Statistical Studies
Random Selection Produces representative samples Allows us to generalize to population
Random Assignment Produces comparable groups Allows us to conclude that treatment is
cause of observed effect
Thank You!
Thank you for your participation in this session.
For copies of the slides, email to