what’s ccafs? and why governance?

18
What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

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Presentation held by Sonja Vermeulen, CCAFS Head of Research, at the Governance & Institutions Across Scales in Climate Resilient Food Systems Brussels Workshop 9-11 Sept 2014.

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Page 1: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

What’s CCAFS?And why governance?

Page 2: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Global R4D partnership with focus in 5 regions

But 20 % work elsewhere or global to

deliver outcomes

Page 3: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Four “flagships” (themes) each with governance content

Page 4: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Flagship 4: Policies and institutions for climate-resilient food systems 1. Data, models and scenarios to understand impacts

of climate change2. Decision support tools for targeting policy

development and making investment choices 3. Analysis of strengths and weaknesses of current

and emerging policy4. Analysis and experimentation concerning novel

decision-making processes

Page 5: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Example 1. Nicaragua National Adaptation

StrategySTEP 1: CIAT: Impacts of climate change on coffee

STEP 2: Policy engagement processes

STEP 3: Nicaragua develops a national strategy using CIAT science

STEP 4: Nicaragua-IFAD develop $24 million investment plan in coffee and cocoa using CIAT science

Page 6: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Example 2. Seasonal weather forecasts in

Senegal

2 million farmers get forecasts15 community radio stations better food security outcomes

Page 7: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

ICRAF & ILRI:• Improved feed• Science showing feed and

GHG connectionsHeifer International179,000 families$131 million in collective income

Example 3. East Africa Dairy Development Program

Heifer International adopts Climate Smart Ag as program objective

Page 8: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Why research on governance in a climate change, agriculture and food security

programme? Four reasons:The big picture Issues for CCAFSBeing “climate smart” is about behavioural change

CCAFS targets require behavioural change at scale

Technologies & policy formulation are not enough

CCAFS needs to question assumptions in our ToC

Power differences determine outcomes

Power dynamics in research on gender & social inequality, global & national policy

Challenges are multi-scale and multi-stakeholder

Strategic boundaries for CCAFS in research and partnerships

Page 9: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Vermeulen 2014 summary of IPCC 2014 (Porter et al)

Who should be most responsible for tackling climate change?33.5

31.8

28.8

4.11.8

Individuals Government Industry andcompanies

All of these Someone Else

Source: Stop Climate Chaos/nVisionBase: 4,800 Adults, UK, 2006 (excludes don’t knows)

1. Being “climate smart” is about behavioural change

Page 10: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Science on CSA informs 25 major development initiatives

& 15 incentive systems / business models

Equitable climate-smart food system policies by 15 subnational/national governments and 10

international bodies, informed by CCAFS science

30 million additional farmers, at least 12

million women, have climate-smart practices

2019 intermediate targets

Equitable institutional investments in climate

smart food systems increased by 50% in 20 national/ subnational

jurisdictions

Flagship 1: Climate-smart

agricultural practices

Flagship 3: Low-emissions

agricultural development

2025 targets

30 million farmers, at least 12 million women,

have higher adaptive capacity via advisories

and safety nets

15% reduction of GHG emission intensities

while enhancing food security in at least 8

countries

8 low emission development policies and 4 million hectares for low emissions agriculture,

informed by CCAFS science

15 major new climate-informed services + 15 million

dollars of new investment, with inputs from CCAFS

science

Flagship 2: Climate information services and climate-informed safety nets

Flagship 4: Policies and

institutions for climate-resilient food

systems

Regional impact pathways

CGIARoutcomes

1. CCAFS targets involve behavioural change at scale

Page 11: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Robins et al 2013

2. Technologies and policy formulation are not enough: big picture

Page 12: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Capacity Enhancement

Gender

Open Data

Early warning and response

integrated in national agencies

Mechanisms and incentives

established for low emissions

development

Improved policy framework for

managing food security;

prioritisation tools used

Enhanced local adaptation

planning processes

Policy & Institutional

Change

& Action

Learning

Research

Engagement/

Inve

stm

ent

How to target climate services,

insurance, safety nets

Feasibility of re

ducing emissions

Policy analysis; prioritisation

tools

Evidence of what works in CSA

Research Evidence

Climate services and insurance enable

and protect CSA uptake

National mitigation plans rolled out

Climate smart villages & broadscale

adoption

CSA Roll Out

IDO1: Enhanced food security

IDO2: Benefits to women and marginalised groups

IDO3: Enhanced adaptive capacity to climate risks

IDO5: Reduced GHGs and forest conversion

1. CSA Alliance, World Bank, IFAD, Climate Finance Orgs, Ministries, CORAF, ASARECA…….

2. World Vision, National Meteorological Agencies, Disaster Risk Agencies, Insurance Agencies…….

3. IIASA, FAO, Global Research Alliance for Agricultural GHGs……..

4. Food security and climate adaptation agencies, GFAR, CFS……..

Multiple local partners (e.g. CARE, Vi Mediae, PROLINNOVA, National Insurance Company of India, NARES……)

Flagship 2: Climate –information services and

climate-informed safety nets

Flagship 3: Low emissions development

Flagship 4: Policies and institutions for climate resilient food systems

Flagship 1: Climate –smart agricultural practices

Key

IDO4: Policies supporting climate-resilient agriculture

Regional Strategies

Working with partners to collect the evidence and to change opinions and worldviews

Working with partners to

understand what works 1&3: CSA Alliance, World Bank, IFAD, Green Climate

Fund, PROLINNOVA, climate finance orgs, ministries2: World Vision, National Meteorological Agencies, Disaster Risk Agencies, Insurance Agencies, ………

Working with partners to make it happen

Regional Strategies

M&E

communication

2. CCAFS needs to question assumptions in our ToC

Page 13: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

“Flagship 4 – focus of which appears to have shifted substantially since the inception proposal – could better explain its research hypotheses on policy and institutional change, particularly mechanisms in varying contexts”

Comments on CCAFS Phase 2 Proposal

“The theories of change fail to document evidence in support of the change mechanisms and crucially, ignore the formulation of testable hypotheses regarding those mechanisms”

2. CCAFS needs to question assumptions in our ToC

Page 14: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Competition

Authority

Cooperation

3. Power differences determine outcomes: the big picture

Roberts 2000. Wicked problems and network approaches to resolution

Page 15: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

3. Power dynamics in gender & social inequality, global & national policy

Page 16: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

Hertel et al 2010

Climate change leads to adjustments in relative trade advantages among countries and among social groups within countries

4. Challenges are multi-scale and multi-sector: big picture

Page 17: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

4. Drawing the most strategic boundaries for research and partnerships

West et al 2014

Page 18: What’s CCAFS? And why governance?

In conclusion, we need:hypothesis-based research on governance in CCAFS

The big picture Issues for CCAFSBeing “climate smart” is about behavioral change

CCAFS targets require behavioral change at scale

Technologies & policy formulation are not enough

CCAFS needs to question assumptions in our ToC

Power differences determine outcomes

Power dynamics in research on gender & social inequality, global & national policy

Challenges are multi-scale and multi-stakeholder

Strategic boundaries for CCAFS in research and partnerships

which is strategic and of high quality