wheat stocks surge, but market availability...

MMT

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

Wheat Stocks Surge, But Market Availability Limited

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 06-09June 09

Key Exporters

China

Others

Global wheat stocks have sharply rebounded from 2007/08’s record low, and are forecast to climb even higher by the end of 2009/10, as illustrated above. Virtually every wheat producing or consuming country holds some working stocks or pipeline supplies throughout their distribution system and some carryover until the next crop is harvested. Many countries hold strategic government stocks for public distribution, for food security against domestic crop shortfalls, or to diminish reliance on international suppliers. Whatever the reason, stocks held by most of these countries, like China, are generally not available to the world market, and therefore have little impact on global price stability.

A few key exporting countries (the United States, EU, Canada, and Australia) are surplus producers which consistently supply the world and hold carryover stocks available to the market. History has demonstrated that there is a strong inverse relationship between global prices and the reserves held by these countries. For example, one reason for last year’s wheat price surge was the unprecedented, multi-year drop in these countries’ stocks.

In contrast, Russia has not only built large reserves, both private and government, but also has become a significant exporter. However, the continued and consistent availability of those additional stocks is presently uncertain, and uncertainty often exacerbates global market and price instability, particularly if the disposition of those potential exportable supplies are policy, not market, driven.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010(Forecast)

5-year Average

1999-2004

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains................................................................................................... 15 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 37 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 56 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, June 2009

2 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

June 2009

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2009/102008/092007/082009/102008/092007/082009/102008/092007/08

Production

United States (Jun-May) 55.8 68.0 54.9 6.3 6.5 7.0 331.2 307.4 303.2

Other 553.9 614.2 601.2 427.4 437.4 441.5 460.4 479.9 478.3

World Total 609.7 682.2 656.1 433.7 443.9 448.5 791.6 787.3 781.5

Domestic Consumption


Other 584.3 598.3 602.5 422.4 427.7 435.8 508.0 513.6 524.5

World Total 612.9 632.4 636.6 426.4 432.0 440.0 769.7 777.5 792.8

Ending Stocks


Other 111.6 150.2 165.0 79.7 89.2 93.8 89.4 97.9 97.8

World Total 120.0 168.4 182.7 80.6 89.9 95.0 130.7 138.5 125.5

TY Imports


Other 110.9 129.0 115.2 27.5 25.6 25.8 99.4 75.7 79.1

World Total 113.8 132.2 118.3 28.1 26.3 26.6 99.9 76.1 79.5

TY Exports


Other 82.4 108.0 96.8 26.4 25.9 26.5 37.6 33.4 32.2

World Total 116.8 135.0 121.3 29.7 29.0 29.6 98.3 77.9 81.2

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

June 2009

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

PRICES:

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

150

200

250

300

350

3/6 3/13

3/20

3/27 4/3 4/1

04/1

74/2

4 5/1 5/8 5/15

5/22

5/29

$/M

T

HRW SRW HRS WW

Domestic: Prices for all classes of wheat jumped in May after being relatively flat for several months. Hard Red Winter (HRW) increased $26 to $284/ton, Soft Red Winter (SRW) rose $24 to $226/ton, Hard Red Spring (HRS) expanded $16 to $328/ton, and Soft White (SWW) is up $12 to $224/ton. TRADE CHANGES IN 2009/2010 Selected Exporters:

• Ukraine is down 1.0 million tons to 5.0 million on reduced crop prospects. • Russia is up 500,000 tons to 18.0 million on large carry-over stocks and

potentially reduced competition.

Selected Importers: • Afghanistan is down 400,000 tons to 1.1 million on larger domestic production. • Azerbaijan is lowered 300,000 tons to 1.0 million based on greater carry-in

stocks.



June 2009


5

TRADE CHANGES IN 2008/2009 Selected Exporters:

• Canada, EU, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine are all boosted 500,000 tons based on unexpectedly strong late-season shipments.

• Russia is raised 1.0 million tons to a record 18.0 million, on the continued heavy

pace of shipments, particularly to Egypt. Selected Importers:

• Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, and Sudan are all raised 300,000 tons, reaching record

supplies despite relatively high prices. • Egypt is up 1.0 million tons to 9.5 million, a record, on higher shipments.

• Turkey is up 500,000 tons to 3.5 million based on the strong pace of imports,

particularly from Russia.

• Uzbekistan is up 400,000 tons to 1.4 million due to increased imports from Kazakhstan.


June 2009

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

TY Exports

4,0004,0007,75010,23712,1688,216 Argentina

14,50014,50013,5007,44911,24115,211 Australia

18,00018,00017,00016,82019,27815,633 Canada

1,5001,5007502,8352,7831,397 China

18,00018,00022,50012,27113,81615,701 EU-27

2,0002,00030043200369 India

6,5006,5005,0008,1818,0893,817 Kazakhstan

18,00017,50018,00012,55210,58410,514 Russia

2,1001,9002,0001,7632,2003,208 Turkey

5,0006,00012,5001,2363,3666,461 Ukraine

7,2247,4198,6689,0356,8446,059 Others

96,82497,319107,96882,42290,56986,586 Subtotal

24,50024,50027,00034,32825,04127,424 United States

121,324121,819134,968116,750115,610114,010 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,4005,4005,6005,9044,8745,476 Algeria

2,0002,2002,8001,5551,7312,034 Bangladesh

5,7005,7006,0007,1367,7045,823 Brazil

1,4001,4001,3251,3091,2411,314 Colombia

8,5008,5009,5007,7007,3007,771 Egypt

6,5006,5006,5006,9425,1376,758 EU-27

5,5005,5005,3005,4585,7114,981 Indonesia

6,0006,0008,5002007001,105 Iran

3,8003,8003,4003,4242,9124,996 Iraq

1,8001,8002,0001,1861,4581,663 Israel

5,5005,5005,5005,7015,7475,469 Japan

3,4003,4003,2003,0923,4393,884 Korea, South

1,6001,6001,5001,5699941,722 Libya

1,3501,3501,2501,3311,2021,216 Malaysia

3,4003,4003,4003,1363,6103,549 Mexico

1,8001,8003,5004,1911,8012,418 Morocco

3,4003,4003,2002,6773,2653,678 Nigeria

1,5251,5251,5001,4521,3671,644 Peru

3,0003,0003,0002,2712,7462,954 Philippines

1,5001,5001,5001,3338851,242 South Africa

1,4001,3001,5001,0641,3031,659 Sudan

1,5001,5001,8002,3721,4331,263 Tunisia

1,5001,5003,5002,1921,83364 Turkey

1,7001,7001,6501,4981,7651,691 Venezuela

2,1002,1002,0001,8722,4202,187 Yemen

33,90534,45540,05534,31837,68132,263 Others

115,180115,830128,980110,883110,259108,824 Subtotal

3,0442,8892,7882,9371,9572,877 Unaccounted

3,1003,1003,2002,9303,3942,309 United States

121,324121,819134,968116,750115,610114,010 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


June 2009

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

Production

11,00011,0008,40016,80016,00014,500 Argentina

23,00023,00021,50013,83810,82225,173 Australia

25,00026,00028,61020,05425,26525,748 Canada

113,500113,000112,500109,298108,46697,445 China

7,9007,9007,8838,2758,2748,184 Egypt

135,961138,244151,568120,204124,870132,356 EU-27

77,50077,50078,60075,81069,35068,640 India

12,00012,00010,00015,00014,50014,308 Iran

14,00014,00012,50016,60013,50011,000 Kazakhstan

6,5006,2003,7301,5836,3273,043 Morocco

24,00024,00021,50023,30021,27721,612 Pakistan

59,00058,00063,70049,40044,90047,700 Russia

18,00018,00016,80015,50017,50018,500 Turkey

18,00019,00025,90013,90014,00018,700 Ukraine

6,2006,2006,0006,2005,8505,800 Uzbekistan

49,64248,44244,96748,11445,50249,611 Others

601,203602,486614,158553,876546,403562,320 Subtotal

54,85955,13968,02655,82149,21757,243 United States

656,062657,625682,184609,697595,620619,563 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,2508,2508,1508,0507,8507,750 Algeria

10,90010,90010,70010,30010,30010,450 Brazil

8,8008,8009,1906,3738,9868,242 Canada

101,000101,000102,500106,000102,000101,500 China

16,85016,55016,55015,95015,45014,800 Egypt

127,500127,500127,500116,536125,500127,525 EU-27

72,50072,50070,30076,34573,36569,980 India

15,90015,90015,60015,50015,30014,800 Iran

7,5007,5007,5007,5007,5007,400 Kazakhstan

7,3007,3007,2007,3007,1506,800 Morocco

23,30023,30022,80022,40021,90020,900 Pakistan

40,00040,50038,70037,70036,40038,400 Russia

17,00017,00016,90016,80016,65016,100 Turkey

12,80013,40013,80012,90011,70012,500 Ukraine

7,1007,0007,0506,8006,5006,118 Uzbekistan

125,784125,609123,899117,824120,703122,341 Others

607,707608,127599,706588,139584,363591,240 Subtotal

34,10234,64634,04628,57430,94031,320 United States

641,809642,773633,752616,713615,303622,560 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,9875,9875,4624,6874,4269,640 Australia

6,5317,5317,5314,5616,8659,698 Canada

59,71359,61348,41338,96338,45034,387 China

17,44320,22620,48212,41414,07523,384 EU-27

16,91016,91013,9105,8004,5002,000 India

6,0576,0574,5073,1573,5073,257 Iran

10,2697,7698,9691,8192,2313,454 Russia

42,13040,46540,90640,24140,51345,299 Others

165,040164,558150,180111,642114,567131,119 Subtotal

17,61017,34618,2178,32312,41415,545 United States

182,650181,904168,397119,965126,981146,664 World Total


June 2009

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10

TY Imports none

6,145 North America 7,325 6,452 6,950 6,800 6,800

1,506 Central America 1,582 1,460 1,550 1,550 1,550

1,889 Caribbean 1,828 2,043 2,075 2,075 2,075

12,304 South America 13,979 13,171 12,425 12,290 12,290

6,758 European Union 5,137 6,942 6,500 6,500 6,500

1,457 Other Europe 1,468 1,923 1,675 1,575 1,675

5,487 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,958 6,021 6,725 5,750 5,400

13,400 Middle East 12,187 11,772 25,375 20,600 20,600

18,650 North Africa 16,402 21,736 21,900 18,800 18,800

13,169 Sub-Saharan Africa 11,639 10,360 12,665 12,360 12,460

12,852 East Asia 11,893 11,277 11,150 11,400 11,500

4,842 South Asia 10,949 8,272 10,125 5,715 5,115

11,923 Southeast Asia 12,495 11,649 12,300 12,750 12,750

751 Oceania 811 735 765 765 765

111,133 Total 113,653 113,813 132,180 118,930 118,280

Production none

86,011 North America 77,722 79,468 100,636 85,139 83,859

1 Central America 1 1 1 1 1

0 Caribbean 0 0 0 0 0

22,422 South America 20,872 23,612 17,224 20,253 20,253

132,356 European Union 124,870 120,204 151,568 138,244 135,961

4,176 Other Europe 4,331 4,379 4,615 4,660 4,810


42,975 Middle East 41,758 39,912 32,196 35,925 36,125

15,178 North Africa 18,576 13,948 14,588 18,625 19,025


98,652 East Asia 109,669 110,590 113,742 114,218 114,718

96,034 South Asia 95,881 105,075 103,900 106,920 107,320

150 Southeast Asia 140 155 160 180 180

25,466 Oceania 11,099 14,115 21,777 23,277 23,277

619,563 Total 595,620 609,697 682,184 657,625 656,062

Domestic Consumption none

45,662 North America 46,126 40,447 49,436 49,796 49,252

1,455 Central America 1,491 1,341 1,400 1,420 1,420

1,889 Caribbean 1,822 2,038 2,069 2,073 2,073

24,136 South America 23,876 23,964 24,450 24,980 24,980

127,525 European Union 125,500 116,536 127,500 127,500 127,500

5,897 Other Europe 5,450 5,558 5,585 5,745 5,795


50,422 Middle East 51,303 50,559 51,700 51,865 51,865

33,847 North Africa 34,205 35,894 36,525 36,925 37,225


114,116 East Asia 113,945 117,555 114,095 112,795 112,795

100,310 South Asia 105,154 109,410 103,135 105,835 105,985

11,515 Southeast Asia 11,694 10,995 12,225 12,540 12,540

7,334 Oceania 8,345 7,094 7,735 8,000 8,000

616,926 Total 618,194 612,852 632,385 637,655 636,586

Ending Stocks none

25,555 North America 19,693 13,266 26,280 25,659 24,923

196 Central America 164 150 151 157 157

20 Caribbean 20 20 20 20 20

4,444 South America 4,668 4,086 3,350 3,783 3,783

23,384 European Union 14,075 12,414 20,482 20,226 17,443

1,336 Other Europe 1,121 1,107 1,422 1,232 1,497


13,489 Middle East 12,004 10,617 12,276 13,374 13,874

9,233 North Africa 9,749 9,287 9,015 8,575 9,375


36,606 East Asia 40,838 41,781 51,338 62,421 62,646

6,285 South Asia 7,061 8,493 16,455 20,205 19,855

2,251 Southeast Asia 2,662 2,845 2,625 2,590 2,590

9,819 Oceania 4,632 4,877 5,659 6,176 6,176

146,664 Total 126,981 119,965 168,397 181,904 182,650


June 2009

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks (Continued)


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.


June 2009

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

Uncertainty Causing Bumpy Ride for Prices

300

500

700

900

1100

6/1/200

7

10/1/

2007

2/1/200

8

6/1/200

8

10/1/

2008

2/1/200

9

6/1/200

9

$ Per MT

T hai 100B US # 2/ 4 Uruguay 5% Vietnam 5%

Thai Quotes Above U.S. Yet Again

500

550

600

650

700

1/1/200

9

2/1/200

9

3/1/200

9

4/1/200

9

5/1/200

9

6/1/200

9

$ Per MT

Despite rising global production and stocks over the past few years, uncertainty about exportable supplies has caused major price swings in the last 18 months. The spike in early 2008 was quick and smooth, but the ride down has been slow and filled with bumps, as traders try to navigate the changing landscape of government restrictions. Export bans have been stringent at times and porous at others. Domestic purchase programs have pulled supplies from the international market only to release them later, sometimes in huge quantities. Unable to predict the availability of supplies, traders often react to rumors and fear, rather than supply and demand factors. This uncertainty destabilizes the market and causes price volatility. Thai 100B quotes have been especially bumpy, sometimes above U.S. #2/4 quotes and other times below. Since January, the spread has changed directions at least three times with a maximum spread of $67 (U.S. over Thai) and a minimum of negative $97. From 1990 through 2007, the average spread was $81 and never went below negative $8.


10


June 2009

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

TY Exports

550550500408436487 Argentina

450400400511201291 Brazil

3003005005413147 Burma

500500400500450350 Cambodia

1,3001,3001,3009691,3401,216 China

9009003007501,209958 Egypt

100100120144139144 EU-27

220220220210210250 Guyana

4,0004,0002,5003,3836,3014,537 India

200200200200200200 Japan

3,3003,3004,0003,0002,6963,579 Pakistan

8,5008,5009,00010,0119,5577,376 Thailand

800800800634734812 Uruguay

808080808056 Venezuela

5,0005,0005,2004,6494,5224,705 Vietnam

315315340379709805 Others

26,51526,46525,86026,36928,81525,813 Subtotal

3,1003,1003,1003,2943,0293,307 United States

29,61529,56528,96029,66331,84429,120 World Total

none

TY Imports

5005007001,6581,570531 Bangladesh

650650615410684691 Brazil

340340345365341333 Canada

350350330295472654 China

800800800800980750 Cote d'Ivoire

575575600555574594 Cuba

1,2501,3001,2001,4331,3421,083 EU-27

350350350300340440 Ghana

325325300320292399 Haiti

350350325399348309 Hong Kong

1,7001,7001,7001,5001,5001,500 Iran

1,0751,0001,0009756131,306 Iraq

700700700546642681 Japan

8508508301,020799886 Malaysia

675675630577609586 Mexico

350350350300410330 Mozambique

1,6001,6001,6001,6001,5501,600 Nigeria

1,7501,7501,8002,5001,9001,791 Philippines

1,4001,4001,3701,360961958 Saudi Arabia

700700700860700600 Senegal

350350300320393350 Singapore

800800720665960800 South Africa

310310300250235214 Syria

400400400300450350 Vietnam

325325325325338250 Yemen

7,3647,3637,3527,8579,6447,601 Others

25,83925,81325,64227,49028,64725,587 Subtotal

3,0263,0272,6181,5222,5022,900 Unaccounted

750725700651695633 United States

29,61529,56528,96029,66331,84429,120 World Total


Note about dates: 2008/09 is calendar year 2009, 2007/08 is calendar year 2008, and so on.


June 2009

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

Milled Production

31,00031,00031,00028,80029,00028,758 Bangladesh

9,0008,5008,8408,1997,6957,874 Brazil

10,73010,73010,15010,73010,60010,440 Burma

4,4504,4504,2844,2213,9463,771 Cambodia

134,400134,400135,100130,224127,200126,414 China

4,3744,3744,3874,3854,3834,135 Egypt

99,50099,50098,90096,69093,35091,790 India

37,60037,60037,30037,00035,30034,959 Indonesia

7,7107,7108,0297,9307,7868,257 Japan

4,5004,5004,8434,4084,6804,768 Korea, South

3,4003,4003,2003,0002,9002,700 Nigeria

6,2006,2006,3005,7005,4505,547 Pakistan

10,71010,71010,59310,4799,7759,821 Philippines

20,00020,00019,40019,30018,25018,200 Thailand

23,76023,76023,69324,37522,92222,772 Vietnam

34,14334,14631,36331,96431,16631,110 Others

441,477440,980437,382427,405414,403411,316 Subtotal

7,0357,1636,5156,3446,2677,105 United States

448,512448,143443,897433,749420,670418,421 World Total

none

Total Consumption

31,80031,80031,00030,74729,76429,000 Bangladesh

9,0808,8848,8108,3807,9258,460 Brazil

10,45010,4509,95010,24910,67010,400 Burma

4,0004,0003,9343,7713,6463,571 Cambodia

131,850131,850129,300127,450127,200128,000 China

3,6803,6804,0003,3903,2763,320 Egypt

93,00093,00092,40090,46686,70085,088 India

37,40037,40036,94036,35035,90035,739 Indonesia

3,6003,6003,5503,5753,5503,274 Iran

8,2008,2008,3708,1778,2508,250 Japan

4,7504,7505,0074,6704,8874,766 Korea, South

5,1005,1004,9004,5004,4004,300 Nigeria

13,44913,44913,15013,49912,00010,722 Philippines

10,40010,4009,5009,6009,7809,544 Thailand

19,15019,15019,15019,40018,77518,392 Vietnam

49,90049,86147,76548,12647,44645,865 Others

439,214438,996430,311424,159417,455411,991 Subtotal

4,2164,2164,3134,0574,1023,828 United States

443,430443,212434,624428,216421,557415,819 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

44,44544,44542,84538,01535,91536,783 China

19,50019,50017,00013,00011,43010,520 India

6,8076,8076,3075,6074,6073,207 Indonesia

2,7252,7252,7152,5562,4062,395 Japan

3,0023,0023,9914,5484,8685,293 Philippines

4,2234,2233,1152,2072,5103,594 Thailand

1,7711,7711,7612,0181,3921,317 Vietnam

11,36311,00311,43611,74510,71111,512 Others

93,83693,47689,17079,69673,83974,621 Subtotal

1,1571,2537419421,2661,371 United States

94,99394,72989,91180,63875,10575,992 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


June 2009

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10

TY Imports none

1,552 North America 1,645 1,593 1,675 1,740 1,765

520 Central America 544 519 485 520 520

1,111 Caribbean 965 1,025 995 1,005 1,005

1,095 South America 1,070 1,112 1,160 1,165 1,165

1,083 European Union 1,342 1,433 1,200 1,300 1,250

138 Other Europe 137 98 100 100 100

504 Former Soviet Union - 12 361 335 434 380 380

5,204 Middle East 4,778 5,743 5,740 5,805 5,880

233 North Africa 355 310 310 305 305


2,017 East Asia 2,318 1,646 1,785 1,875 1,876

925 South Asia 1,962 2,043 940 740 740

4,122 Southeast Asia 5,742 4,637 3,808 3,743 3,743

269 Oceania 319 383 350 375 375

26,220 Total 29,342 28,141 26,342 26,538 26,589

Production none

7,286 North America 6,448 6,522 6,700 7,406 7,278

562 Central America 517 504 539 553 553

685 Caribbean 798 799 868 938 938

14,557 South America 14,292 15,649 15,531 16,081 16,581

1,744 European Union 1,706 1,821 1,684 1,781 1,889

10 Other Europe 10 10 10 10 10

871 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,000 1,005 1,007 1,012 1,012

2,372 Middle East 2,538 2,738 2,085 2,600 2,530

4,170 North Africa 4,413 4,406 4,408 4,409 4,409


142,492 East Asia 142,661 145,044 150,874 149,600 149,559

131,367 South Asia 133,111 136,535 141,445 142,598 142,598

102,944 Southeast Asia 103,778 109,306 108,751 110,726 110,726

716 Oceania 163 19 73 114 114

418,421 Total 420,670 433,749 443,897 448,143 448,512


4,936 North America 5,231 5,181 5,473 5,416 5,416

1,063 Central America 1,055 1,100 1,009 1,045 1,045

1,732 Caribbean 1,829 1,863 1,912 1,922 1,922

14,002 South America 13,418 14,314 14,709 15,038 15,239

2,664 European Union 2,939 3,255 2,673 2,912 2,970

117 Other Europe 136 136 124 110 110


7,629 Middle East 7,586 7,708 7,995 8,255 8,260

3,575 North Africa 3,546 3,721 4,306 4,020 4,020


144,371 East Asia 144,289 143,315 146,065 148,250 148,221

121,673 South Asia 124,366 129,400 131,745 133,645 133,645

92,459 Southeast Asia 94,986 97,233 97,112 99,580 99,580

550 Oceania 624 531 500 489 489

412,519 Total 418,271 426,407 432,039 439,790 440,025

Ending Stocks none

1,530 North America 1,412 1,080 869 1,429 1,333

271 Central America 299 245 207 220 220

225 Caribbean 178 134 95 106 106

2,199 South America 2,230 2,358 2,335 1,982 2,442

1,183 European Union 1,140 1,120 1,061 1,130 1,130

60 Other Europe 65 75 60 60 60


2,079 Middle East 1,697 2,052 1,859 1,924 1,924

366 North Africa 370 635 742 536 536

1,330 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,021 1,341 1,005 980 980

40,329 East Asia 39,317 41,537 46,572 48,330 48,230

11,317 South Asia 12,636 14,556 18,841 21,234 21,234

14,469 Southeast Asia 14,426 15,410 16,137 16,704 16,704

515 Oceania 230 11 24 10 10

75,992 Total 75,105 80,638 89,911 94,729 94,993


June 2009

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks (Continued)


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10




June 2009

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES: Domestic: U.S. corn export prices averaged $184 per ton in May, up $12 from April. Concerns over Eastern Corn Belt weather and crop conditions, depreciation of the dollar, and renewed interest from investors in commodity markets have all caused stronger prices. During the first week of June, prices averaged $194. Like corn, May sorghum prices were up $12 from April and up another $8 during the first week of June. TRADE CHANGES IN 2009/10

elected Exporters

• Ukrainian corn is up 500,000 tons to 3.0 million on stronger demand from the EU and

RADE CHANGES IN 2008/09

U.S. Gulf Export Bids (Monthly Average)

75100125150175200225250275300

Sep-

04

Mar

-05

Sep-

05

Mar

-06

Sep-

06

Mar

-07

Sep-

07

Mar

-08

Sep-

08

Mar

-09

$/M

T

Sorghum (Texas Gulf) Corn

S

Mediterranean countries and prospects for a larger crop.

T

elected Exporters

• Russian and Ukrainian corn are both raised to record levels because of large shipments

Russian barley is lifted 400,000 tons to 2.8 million based on stronger-than-expected

S

in recent months: Russian 1.3 million tons (up 300,000), Ukrainian 5.2 million tons (up 700,000). These have been primarily to Egypt and other North African and Middle Eastern destinations, normally key U.S markets.

•exports in April and May.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, May 2009


June 2009

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

TY Exports

9,7059,7058,25517,78617,19111,243 Argentina

4,9604,9604,7253,8951,9935,614 Australia

10,10010,10010,1058,0328,1882,826 Brazil

4,2254,2254,0756,3793,7874,010 Canada

5,5055,5055,8004,6795,4673,652 EU-27

1,0251,0254755,539721501 India

2,6502,6504,1251,4191,8361,452 Russia

1,2051,2051,005132863nr Serbia

2,0252,0252,5251,1494561,429 South Africa

7,5157,01510,7355,9093,9427,439 Ukraine

4,8054,9554,4265,59510,9948,873 Others

53,72053,37056,25160,51455,43847,039 Subtotal

53,05053,05048,20068,40759,15761,443 United States

106,770106,420104,451128,921114,595108,482 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,2052,2052,1052,4332,5882,139 Algeria

7507501,0051,2161,4961,106 Brazil

2,4702,4701,7003,2012,2852,029 Canada

2,0502,0502,1001,9691,7661,678 Chile

1,2851,2851,0801,1571,1562,306 China

3,3253,3253,2003,6033,7143,380 Colombia

800800750836646501 Cuba

1,0001,0009001,0741,2121,068 Dominican Republic

4,2254,2253,7254,1724,8454,418 Egypt

3,0803,0802,93019,8928,7382,883 EU-27

3,9003,9004,4003,9003,6003,000 Iran

1,7251,7251,3501,7761,6841,588 Israel

19,28519,28519,48519,21019,66819,765 Japan

1,0501,0509008891,1861,234 Jordan

7,5707,5707,0709,3588,7978,545 Korea, South

850850800780569719 Libya

2,6002,6002,0003,1812,3632,517 Malaysia

9,9509,9509,55011,01111,0409,930 Mexico

1,7051,7051,8552,1862,1501,971 Morocco

1,6201,6201,5201,5921,6461,548 Peru

9,3009,3009,0009,9617,5778,572 Saudi Arabia

2,9002,9003,0002,5112,0792,006 Syria

4,4004,1004,4104,6534,4024,735 Taiwan

1,1001,1001,3001,1831,5191,230 Tunisia

9009008001,103534152 Venezuela

11,19011,09011,95013,50813,31613,582 Others

101,235100,83598,885126,355110,576102,602 Subtotal

2,7102,7602,638-1,0971,4143,585 Unaccounted

2,8252,8252,9283,6632,6052,295 United States

106,770106,420104,451128,921114,595108,482 World Total



June 2009

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

Production

20,47320,79816,98326,95327,03819,353 Argentina

11,45711,45711,05711,5496,58313,527 Australia

56,51456,51452,55461,34453,18444,167 Brazil

24,31025,01027,19027,82223,14524,939 Canada

169,200169,200172,800159,105159,098147,696 China

8,9258,9259,2368,3027,9287,179 Ethiopia

148,059151,883161,000136,140137,421146,267 EU-27

39,50039,50037,47040,63033,81034,040 India

9,0009,0008,7008,5007,8506,800 Indonesia

31,63031,48032,28030,78029,14025,833 Mexico

27,50027,50026,60024,00026,00024,700 Nigeria

32,90032,40040,70029,32530,20027,600 Russia

11,96811,96812,50813,6957,7607,311 South Africa

11,14511,14510,3159,48010,89611,955 Turkey

20,65019,65026,22014,58519,17518,140 Ukraine

132,070132,026126,108125,083126,668120,604 Others

755,301758,456771,721727,293705,896680,111 Subtotal

319,198323,135326,088349,861279,998298,710 United States

1,074,4991,081,5911,097,8091,077,154985,894978,821 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

9,7739,7739,2339,9789,5239,473 Argentina

48,15448,15447,31945,35243,30542,215 Brazil

23,81524,01522,93024,00924,50522,854 Canada

165,965165,965160,160157,115153,465147,105 China

11,68511,68511,28311,47711,80111,163 Egypt

149,400149,500150,800153,900147,872147,541 EU-27

38,35038,35036,50035,50032,52033,800 India

19,43019,43019,59019,44419,82320,089 Japan

42,20042,05041,81040,43039,92537,587 Mexico

27,55027,55026,45024,00025,75024,450 Nigeria

32,45032,35032,75028,87528,60027,700 Russia

9,6809,6809,4809,6708,7548,215 Saudi Arabia

10,63310,63310,4339,7969,1588,763 South Africa

10,51010,51010,57511,00911,60211,462 Turkey

13,45013,25014,02012,21013,37511,990 Ukraine

192,345191,755189,165188,248184,528180,689 Others

807,984807,294794,569781,600768,747747,609 Subtotal

283,306285,847280,879274,601242,798245,022 United States

1,091,2901,093,1411,075,4481,056,2011,011,545992,631 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7,6918,1868,68112,7463,7583,161 Brazil

4,6425,1425,9024,0163,5016,347 Canada

57,59657,59653,69640,32638,03236,705 China

16,76620,49020,53213,00215,12922,265 EU-27

3,8623,8624,5324,6123,3903,336 Mexico

3,4763,4765,4761,4511,7001,333 Russia

2,9852,9853,4453,6401,7732,448 South Africa

36,80936,98834,88735,26135,70334,449 Others

133,827138,725137,151115,054102,986110,044 Subtotal

31,85633,23145,32345,05936,17454,767 United States

165,683171,956182,474160,113139,160164,811 World Total


June 2009

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10

TY Imports none

14,254 North America 15,930 17,875 14,178 15,245 15,245

2,803 Central America 2,906 2,681 2,725 2,900 2,900

1,969 Caribbean 2,227 2,264 2,000 2,150 2,150

8,786 South America 10,201 10,586 9,810 9,655 9,655

2,883 European Union 8,738 19,892 2,930 3,080 3,080

692 Other Europe 922 998 845 835 935

1,077 Former Soviet Union - 12 948 1,031 550 410 410

17,832 Middle East 18,673 21,697 20,270 20,475 20,475

10,477 North Africa 11,671 10,754 9,785 10,085 10,085


35,605 East Asia 34,134 34,631 32,295 32,490 32,790

54 South Asia 51 164 40 40 40

4,897 Southeast Asia 4,394 4,746 3,645 4,350 4,350

28 Oceania 9 33 0 0 0

104,897 Total 113,181 130,018 101,813 103,660 104,060

Production none

349,482 North America 332,283 408,463 385,558 379,625 375,138

2,949 Central America 3,080 3,344 3,387 3,457 3,457

784 Caribbean 771 785 785 785 785

73,860 South America 92,141 100,023 80,527 89,696 89,371

146,267 European Union 137,421 136,140 161,000 151,883 148,059

12,720 Other Europe 11,720 9,533 12,156 12,575 12,100


19,998 Middle East 19,060 17,381 15,933 17,877 17,877

9,371 North Africa 11,211 9,894 9,871 12,872 13,172


149,899 East Asia 161,399 161,295 174,975 171,454 171,383

40,395 South Asia 40,020 46,925 43,428 45,733 45,783

22,000 Southeast Asia 23,838 26,062 26,207 26,890 26,890

14,174 Oceania 7,230 12,196 11,704 12,104 12,104

978,821 Total 985,894 1,077,154 1,097,809 1,081,591 1,074,499


305,463 North America 307,228 339,040 345,619 351,912 349,321

5,560 Central America 5,975 6,031 6,175 6,375 6,375

2,784 Caribbean 2,886 3,043 2,883 2,883 2,883

68,073 South America 71,067 74,800 75,638 78,026 78,056

147,541 European Union 147,872 153,900 150,800 149,500 149,400

12,104 Other Europe 11,646 10,892 11,232 11,475 11,275


37,168 Middle East 37,401 37,945 37,171 37,751 37,751

20,816 North Africa 22,030 21,162 20,293 21,845 21,945


182,811 East Asia 188,962 191,916 194,004 199,439 199,639

40,067 South Asia 38,798 42,052 42,483 44,608 44,658

26,091 Southeast Asia 26,832 28,742 29,090 29,815 30,015

7,890 Oceania 6,635 7,071 6,922 6,987 6,987

990,118 Total 1,007,304 1,055,614 1,073,377 1,090,497 1,088,696

Ending Stocks none

64,450 North America 43,065 53,687 55,757 42,235 40,360

704 Central America 713 725 652 624 624

146 Caribbean 258 264 166 218 218

7,807 South America 9,087 18,327 13,526 13,176 12,681

22,265 European Union 15,129 13,002 20,532 20,490 16,766

1,493 Other Europe 1,559 1,047 1,453 1,928 1,903


7,971 Middle East 8,395 7,532 7,069 7,560 7,560

2,686 North Africa 3,183 2,437 2,048 3,110 3,360


40,586 East Asia 41,793 44,875 57,791 61,712 61,705

1,401 South Asia 1,455 1,584 1,924 2,064 2,064

2,102 Southeast Asia 2,648 3,283 2,828 3,018 2,818

2,983 Oceania 1,643 2,322 2,729 2,936 2,936

164,811 Total 139,160 160,113 182,474 171,956 165,683


June 2009

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks (Continued)


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10




June 2009

World Corn Trade


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

TY Exports

8,0008,0007,00015,67615,69310,707 Argentina

10,00010,00010,0007,8838,0712,826 Brazil

2,0002,0002,000591664449 EU-27

1,0001,0004005,077582497 India

1,0001,0001,0001,4611,9811,314 Paraguay

1,0001,0001,300497753 Russia

1,2001,2001,000128854nr Serbia

2,0002,0002,5001,1244311,406 South Africa

750750500646442121 Thailand

3,0002,5005,2002,0741,0272,464 Ukraine

2,2802,4302,4612,8457,3386,672 Others

32,23031,88033,36137,55437,16026,509 Subtotal

49,00049,00044,50060,75754,21456,084 United States

81,23080,88077,86198,31191,37482,593 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,1002,1001,9002,1662,4632,061 Algeria

2,4002,4001,6003,1172,2261,962 Canada

1,7001,7001,8001,6281,5081,599 Chile

2,9002,9002,8003,2673,3863,151 Colombia

700700600674672687 Costa Rica

800800750836646501 Cuba

1,0001,0009001,0741,2121,068 Dominican Republic

4,2004,2003,7004,1514,8264,397 Egypt

2,5002,5002,50014,0167,0562,634 EU-27

750750800617764751 Guatemala

2,9002,9002,7002,9003,3002,300 Iran

1,3001,3001,0001,3741,3111,128 Israel

16,30016,30016,50016,61416,71316,617 Japan

7,5007,5007,0009,3118,7318,483 Korea, South

650650600614511471 Libya

2,6002,6002,0003,1812,3632,517 Malaysia

7,5007,5007,0009,5568,9446,787 Mexico

1,6001,6001,5001,8581,6831,491 Morocco

1,5001,5001,4001,4691,5281,467 Peru

1,8001,8001,7001,9611,5771,472 Saudi Arabia

1,9001,9001,8001,6111,7291,256 Syria

4,3004,0004,3004,5274,2834,533 Taiwan

800800600805653624 Tunisia

9009008001,103534152 Venezuela

700700600700650475 Vietnam

7,8457,7458,80510,29910,77010,963 Others

79,14578,74575,65599,42990,03979,547 Subtotal

1,6851,7351,806-1,6201,0162,836 Unaccounted

400400400502319210 United States

81,23080,88077,86198,31191,37482,593 World Total


The large, negative Unaccounted in 2007/08 arises largely from timing differences between declared exports and Japan's and Korea's

declared imports.


June 2009

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

Production

15,00015,00013,00022,00022,50015,800 Argentina

54,00054,00050,00058,60051,00041,700 Brazil

10,30010,30010,60011,6498,9909,332 Canada

162,500162,500165,500152,300151,600139,365 China

6,3006,3006,2176,1746,1495,932 Egypt

56,50256,90262,38047,50653,82960,668 EU-27

18,50018,50017,00018,96015,10014,710 India

9,0009,0008,7008,5007,8506,800 Indonesia

24,00024,00025,00023,60022,35019,500 Mexico

8,3008,3007,9006,5007,8007,000 Nigeria

6,9006,9006,9007,2776,2315,884 Philippines

7,0007,0006,6003,9503,6003,200 Russia

6,5006,5005,9004,0546,415nr Serbia

11,50011,50012,00013,1647,3006,935 South Africa

9,5008,50011,4007,4006,4007,150 Ukraine

72,49172,83770,78568,79267,58672,525 Others

478,293478,039479,882460,426444,700416,501 Subtotal

303,163307,100307,386331,177267,503282,263 United States

781,456785,139787,268791,603712,203698,764 World Total

none

Total Consumption

5,9005,9006,7007,0006,7006,200 Argentina

45,50045,50044,50042,50041,00039,500 Brazil

12,40012,40011,50013,76911,44210,808 Canada

158,000158,000152,000149,000145,000137,000 China

10,60010,60010,20010,40010,70010,100 Egypt

59,10059,10061,60063,40062,30061,500 EU-27

17,40017,40016,30014,20013,90014,200 India

9,1008,9008,8008,5008,1008,300 Indonesia

16,30016,30016,40016,60016,50016,700 Japan

7,6007,6007,6008,6338,8338,579 Korea, South

32,20032,20032,20032,00030,70027,900 Mexico

8,4008,4007,8006,5507,6006,800 Nigeria

7,4007,4007,2007,1506,5505,800 Philippines

10,00010,0009,8009,2008,6008,200 South Africa

6,5506,3506,2505,7505,2505,100 Ukraine

118,082117,882114,745113,340110,386105,712 Others

526,298525,748515,511508,235496,705474,047 Subtotal

268,237270,777263,918261,671230,674232,015 United States

794,535796,525779,429769,906727,379706,062 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7,5798,0798,57912,5793,5923,015 Brazil

1,5571,5571,6571,4571,3372,001 Canada

56,74456,74452,69439,39436,60235,255 China

4,0954,4956,1934,9137,3829,461 EU-27

1,5651,5651,5782,0841,3221,359 Korea, South

3,0813,0813,8314,1313,0842,707 Mexico

2,8752,8753,2753,4751,6612,308 South Africa

20,26620,70320,07921,41120,90818,104 Others

97,76299,09997,88689,44475,88874,210 Subtotal

27,69729,09440,65241,25533,11449,968 United States

125,459128,193138,538130,699109,002124,178 World Total


June 2009

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10

TY Imports none

8,959 North America 11,489 13,175 9,000 10,300 10,300

2,803 Central America 2,906 2,678 2,725 2,900 2,900

1,969 Caribbean 2,227 2,264 2,000 2,150 2,150

8,158 South America 9,141 9,459 8,540 8,365 8,365

2,634 European Union 7,056 14,016 2,500 2,500 2,500

410 Other Europe 575 541 505 500 600


7,381 Middle East 10,225 10,056 8,475 9,175 9,175

9,044 North Africa 10,136 9,594 8,300 9,350 9,350


29,949 East Asia 29,854 30,746 28,100 28,100 28,400

33 South Asia 48 162 40 40 40

4,890 Southeast Asia 4,385 4,715 3,625 4,325 4,325

23 Oceania 9 33 0 0 0

79,757 Total 90,358 99,931 76,055 79,145 79,545

Production none

311,095 North America 298,843 366,426 342,986 341,400 337,463

2,642 Central America 2,754 3,018 3,061 3,131 3,131

656 Caribbean 643 657 657 657 657

65,826 South America 83,335 90,357 71,736 79,240 79,240

60,668 European Union 53,829 47,506 62,380 56,902 56,502

10,333 Other Europe 9,350 7,239 9,735 10,160 9,685


6,439 Middle East 5,183 5,083 6,309 5,984 5,984

6,134 North Africa 6,351 6,376 6,419 6,502 6,502


141,106 East Asia 153,453 154,009 167,172 164,278 164,207

19,920 South Asia 20,115 23,980 21,870 23,520 23,520

21,745 Southeast Asia 23,605 25,825 25,967 26,650 26,650

552 Oceania 412 559 572 572 572

698,764 Total 712,203 791,603 787,268 785,139 781,456


270,723 North America 272,816 307,440 307,618 315,377 312,837

5,250 Central America 5,650 5,700 5,850 6,050 6,050

2,656 Caribbean 2,758 2,915 2,755 2,755 2,755

59,649 South America 63,272 66,112 67,205 68,405 68,405

61,500 European Union 62,300 63,400 61,600 59,100 59,100

9,426 Other Europe 8,995 8,117 8,502 8,755 8,555


13,526 Middle East 14,458 15,229 14,878 15,528 15,528

14,871 North Africa 16,061 15,664 15,200 15,900 15,900


168,788 East Asia 176,719 180,498 182,190 187,890 188,090

19,319 South Asia 18,982 19,474 21,195 22,445 22,445

25,837 Southeast Asia 26,597 28,499 28,850 29,575 29,775

545 Oceania 440 495 545 550 550

704,414 Total 724,235 769,663 777,513 794,709 792,769

Ending Stocks none

54,676 North America 37,535 46,843 46,140 33,732 32,335

687 Central America 695 709 635 606 606

146 Caribbean 258 264 166 218 218

7,138 South America 8,306 17,656 12,627 12,127 11,902

9,461 European Union 7,382 4,913 6,193 4,495 4,095

1,167 Other Europe 1,156 676 1,056 1,506 1,481


2,739 Middle East 3,452 3,426 3,317 2,938 2,938

1,314 North Africa 1,584 1,676 1,195 1,147 1,147


38,328 East Asia 39,745 43,378 56,210 60,234 60,227

946 South Asia 919 1,116 1,411 1,526 1,526

2,085 Southeast Asia 2,642 3,282 2,827 3,017 2,817

38 Oceania 42 49 51 63 63

124,178 Total 109,002 130,699 138,538 128,193 125,459


June 2009

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks (Continued)


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10




June 2009

World Barley Trade


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

TY Exports

900900750937537309 Argentina

4,0004,0003,5003,3771,9275,231 Australia

1,8001,8001,6002,9471,3371,876 Canada

20202581493 China

3,2003,2003,5003,8884,3662,587 EU-27

600600450806606239 Kazakhstan

1,6001,6002,8001,2771,6911,397 Russia

55549nr Serbia

10010000345546 Turkey

4,5004,5005,5003,8142,9114,926 Ukraine

505002611241 Uruguay

00504501855 Others

16,77516,77518,18017,60714,07517,160 Subtotal

400400350901528357 United States

17,17517,17518,53018,50814,60317,517 World Total

none

TY Imports

250250300243291163 Brazil

1,2001,2001,0001,0911,1272,217 China

250250225256243198 Colombia

150150200519167168 EU-27

1,0001,0001,7001,000300700 Iran

325325275251224314 Israel

1,4001,4001,4001,3611,3591,417 Japan

700700600528804811 Jordan

200200200254217203 Kuwait

20020020016658248 Libya

1501501501688131 Mexico

7,5007,5007,3008,0006,0007,100 Saudi Arabia

1,0001,0001,200900350750 Syria

300300700378866606 Tunisia

250250175248294326 United Arab Emirates

1,2651,2651,7651,8971,7441,638 Others

16,14016,14017,39017,26014,12516,890 Subtotal

535535540484124503 Unaccounted

500500600764354124 United States

17,17517,17518,53018,50814,60317,517 World Total



June 2009

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

Production

1,3001,300560950700400 Algeria

1,6001,9251,6001,4701,265800 Argentina

7,5007,5007,0007,1914,2579,483 Australia

1,4001,4002,0001,7001,3501,800 Belarus

10,00010,70011,78010,9849,57311,678 Canada

2,8002,8003,3002,7853,1153,400 China

1,3001,3001,4841,3551,3521,271 Ethiopia

60,97864,21765,57957,55856,22054,752 EU-27

1,5001,5001,2301,3301,2201,200 India

2,6002,6002,0003,0003,0002,857 Iran

1,9001,9001,8002,5001,9001,500 Kazakhstan

3,7003,4001,2727632,5351,102 Morocco

16,50016,00023,10015,65018,10015,800 Russia

6,7506,7505,6006,0007,5007,600 Turkey

9,5009,50012,6006,00011,3509,000 Ukraine

8,6728,5827,8119,2469,1128,986 Others

138,000141,374148,716128,482132,549131,629 Subtotal

4,8994,8995,2144,5753,9234,613 United States

142,899146,273153,930133,057136,472136,242 World Total

none

Total Consumption

3,3003,3003,2003,1503,7503,450 Australia

1,5751,5751,9501,7501,6502,000 Belarus

9,1009,3008,9507,91610,1909,611 Canada

4,1004,1004,2003,9004,2005,400 China

58,50058,50057,10054,90055,70054,050 EU-27

1,4501,4501,0001,0001,2201,200 India

3,6003,6003,7003,6003,4004,200 Iran

1,5501,5501,6001,6001,6501,650 Japan

1,4001,4001,4001,4001,3501,400 Kazakhstan

2,7002,6001,6001,9002,5002,525 Morocco

16,90016,80017,10015,05016,40015,500 Russia

7,5307,5307,4307,4306,8106,510 Saudi Arabia

1,6001,6001,8501,0001,1501,550 Syria

5,9005,9005,9006,5007,3007,300 Turkey

5,3005,3005,8005,3006,5004,900 Ukraine

14,32214,25714,18014,84914,48314,310 Others

139,353139,288137,557131,041138,592136,266 Subtotal

5,2255,2265,1164,3764,5964,570 United States

144,578144,514142,673135,417143,188140,836 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,4932,4932,2931,9931,3382,682 Australia

2,0232,5232,8731,5681,4913,289 Canada

9,62512,86410,1975,0185,8248,535 EU-27

1,2361,036136114903481 Morocco

2,4372,3374,3371,0371,307873 Russia

2,2682,2682,2982,4282,4582,568 Saudi Arabia

86586565215528650 Turkey

5,8025,9026,0125,0495,9186,555 Others

26,74930,28828,21117,42219,76725,633 Subtotal

1,7361,7141,9531,4851,5002,350 United States

28,48532,00230,16418,90721,26727,983 World Total


June 2009

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10

TY Imports none

201 North America 476 985 825 700 700

516 South America 747 709 765 700 700

168 European Union 167 519 200 150 150

162 Other Europe 220 207 185 180 180


10,303 Middle East 8,278 11,460 11,710 11,185 11,185

1,392 North Africa 1,521 1,144 1,475 725 725

81 Sub-Saharan Africa 51 103 100 75 75

3,808 East Asia 2,594 2,519 2,500 2,700 2,700

21 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

5 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

17,014 Total 14,479 18,024 17,990 16,640 16,640

Production none

17,044 North America 14,396 16,459 17,894 16,499 15,799

1,827 South America 2,287 2,560 2,620 3,025 2,700

54,752 European Union 56,220 57,558 65,579 64,217 60,978

1,589 Other Europe 1,577 1,494 1,621 1,615 1,615


12,335 Middle East 12,520 10,927 8,291 10,530 10,530

2,212 North Africa 3,835 2,493 2,427 5,345 5,645


3,848 East Asia 3,549 3,240 3,777 3,250 3,250

1,664 South Asia 1,742 1,935 1,637 2,032 2,082

9,883 Oceania 4,657 7,591 7,400 7,900 7,900

136,242 Total 136,472 133,057 153,930 146,273 142,899


15,131 North America 15,736 13,342 15,091 15,601 15,400

2,120 South America 2,227 2,387 2,425 2,540 2,540

54,050 European Union 55,700 54,900 57,100 58,500 58,500

1,761 Other Europe 1,723 1,720 1,780 1,765 1,765


22,265 Middle East 21,434 21,162 20,875 20,745 20,745

4,880 North Africa 4,931 4,452 4,058 4,910 5,010


7,484 East Asia 6,218 5,827 6,160 6,010 6,010

1,667 South Asia 1,743 1,606 1,407 1,982 2,032

3,850 Oceania 4,150 3,550 3,600 3,700 3,700

140,126 Total 142,849 135,621 142,076 143,988 144,052

Ending Stocks none

5,712 North America 3,080 3,150 4,948 4,334 3,856

183 South America 297 205 410 640 320

8,535 European Union 5,824 5,018 10,197 12,864 9,625

279 Other Europe 359 319 340 365 365


5,196 Middle East 4,904 4,068 3,714 4,584 4,584

1,332 North Africa 1,559 721 813 1,923 2,173


1,005 East Asia 881 732 824 744 744

49 South Asia 49 31 61 111 111

2,737 Oceania 1,396 2,029 2,329 2,529 2,529

27,983 Total 21,267 18,907 30,164 32,002 28,485




June 2009

World Sorghum Trade


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

TY Exports

8008005001,172959226 Argentina

8008001,05034025190 Australia

1001001001161150 Brazil

1001007522314426 China

2525259184 India

505050505050 Nigeria

100100200200522 Sudan

656560804637 Others

2,0402,0402,0602,2721,399535 Subtotal

3,6003,6003,3006,6864,3804,961 United States

5,6405,6405,3608,9585,7795,496 World Total

none

TY Imports

30030020026818946 Chile

15015015066675 Colombia

505060000 Ecuador

1001001003000 Ethiopia

4004002005,2671,47477 EU-27

7575501447844 Israel

1,3501,3501,3501,0841,2761,393 Japan

2,2002,2002,3001,1561,9543,029 Mexico

505050505050 Niger

300300300300300211 Sudan

330330435667266480 Others

5,3055,3055,1959,0325,6545,335 Subtotal

335335162-75123161 Unaccounted

003120 United States

5,6405,6405,3608,9585,7795,496 World Total



June 2009

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

Production

3,3003,3001,8102,9402,8002,330 Argentina

2,2502,2502,4003,0721,2831,929 Australia

1,8001,8001,8402,0001,5001,543 Brazil

1,8001,8001,8001,5071,5161,837 Burkina

1,7001,7001,8001,9202,1832,546 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

2,6002,6002,6192,6592,3162,174 Ethiopia

564564535522542489 EU-27

7,5007,5007,2407,9307,1507,630 India

6,6506,5006,3006,2005,8105,500 Mexico

9009001,000930800750 Niger

11,50011,50011,00010,00010,50010,500 Nigeria

4,7004,7004,7004,5005,2004,275 Sudan

900900900900850890 Tanzania

490490490490490450 Uganda

4,4834,4834,6924,1534,4004,168 Others

52,03751,88750,02650,62348,24047,911 Subtotal

9,6529,65211,99812,6367,0329,976 United States

61,68961,53962,02463,25955,27257,887 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,5002,5001,3101,8001,7002,300 Argentina

1,5051,5051,6052,1551,2051,895 Australia

1,7001,7001,8151,8731,3761,593 Brazil

1,8001,8001,8001,5071,5161,837 Burkina

1,6401,6401,7352,1002,0502,300 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

2,7002,7002,7002,6002,3002,100 Ethiopia

1,0001,0001,1006,1001,275683 EU-27

7,5007,5007,2007,9007,1007,500 India

1,3501,3501,3501,0841,3501,400 Japan

8,7508,6008,4007,2008,1008,600 Mexico

9509501,0501,025825750 Niger

11,45011,45010,9509,95010,45010,450 Nigeria

4,8054,8054,8055,1054,9534,250 Sudan

900900900900850890 Tanzania

5,8225,7975,9845,7445,4315,166 Others

55,51355,33853,21358,12352,03352,738 Subtotal

6,3506,3508,3825,0594,0124,818 United States

61,86361,68861,59563,18256,04557,556 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1731731781331623 Australia

512512537537928935 China

1981981981799074 Ethiopia

177177202187247206 India

673673573373217553 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

6276275325371,042547 Sudan

774711834996851972 Others

3,3343,2713,2543,1423,5913,510 Subtotal

1,4031,4031,6571,3408141,668 United States

4,7374,6744,9114,4824,4055,178 World Total


June 2009

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10

TY Imports none

3,029 North America 1,956 1,157 2,303 2,200 2,200



72 South America 280 388 475 560 560

77 European Union 1,474 5,267 200 400 400

0 Other Europe 0 132 25 25 25

44 Middle East 78 146 50 75 75

35 North Africa 0 10 0 0 0


1,485 East Asia 1,349 1,196 1,435 1,430 1,430

0 South Asia 3 2 0 0 0

7 Southeast Asia 9 31 20 25 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

5,335 Total 5,656 9,033 5,198 5,305 5,305

Production none

15,476 North America 12,842 18,836 18,298 16,152 16,302

307 Central America 326 326 326 326 326

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,794 South America 5,122 5,664 4,699 5,952 5,952

489 European Union 542 522 535 564 564

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

494 Middle East 671 695 675 675 675

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


2,554 East Asia 2,191 1,940 1,820 1,720 1,720

7,783 South Asia 7,305 8,081 7,385 7,645 7,645


1,929 Oceania 1,283 3,072 2,400 2,250 2,250

57,887 Total 55,272 63,259 62,024 61,539 61,689


13,418 North America 12,112 12,259 16,782 14,950 15,100

310 Central America 325 331 325 325 325

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,874 South America 4,171 4,877 4,536 5,602 5,632

683 European Union 1,275 6,100 1,100 1,000 1,000

0 Other Europe 0 132 25 25 25

538 Middle East 746 842 725 750 750

950 North Africa 915 925 915 915 915


3,784 East Asia 3,475 3,306 3,180 3,075 3,075

7,653 South Asia 7,255 8,053 7,345 7,645 7,645


1,895 Oceania 1,205 2,155 1,605 1,505 1,505

57,432 Total 55,393 63,002 61,986 61,447 61,622

Ending Stocks none

2,221 North America 1,031 1,713 2,230 2,076 2,076



371 South America 378 346 374 294 344

90 European Union 5 231 66 25 25


36 Middle East 39 38 38 38 38

39 North Africa 39 39 39 39 39


1,121 East Asia 1,042 649 649 624 624

206 South Asia 247 187 202 177 177


23 Oceania 16 133 178 173 173

5,178 Total 4,405 4,482 4,911 4,674 4,737


June 2009

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks (Continued)


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10




June 2009

World Oats Trade


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

TY Exports

555121 Argentina

15015010017441191 Australia

1,9001,9001,9002,3211,9211,754 Canada

252525174127 Chile

150150150133119234 EU-27

5551095 Kazakhstan

55102140 Ukraine

0051482 Others

2,2402,2402,2002,6912,1452,214 Subtotal


2,2802,2802,2402,7442,1782,254 World Total

none

TY Imports

555195 Algeria

555347 Bosnia and Herzegovina

151525171821 Canada

20202013918 China

252525141826 Colombia

555151413 Ecuador

555252 EU-27

606060686259 Japan

1001001001316183 Mexico

555551 Morocco

505050475951 Norway

252525181318 South Africa

505050564248 Switzerland

5551230 Turkey

000871 Others

375375385410329353 Subtotal

10510555905570 Unaccounted

1,8001,8001,8002,2441,7941,831 United States

2,2802,2802,2402,7442,1782,254 World Total



June 2009

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

Production

808080808080 Algeria

500500500470400350 Argentina

1,2501,2501,2008437481,690 Australia

600600900600550600 Belarus

475475475475475517 Brazil

3,5003,5004,2704,6963,8523,283 Canada

380380380380380420 Chile

600600600600600600 China

8,3908,5058,9628,6187,7687,968 EU-27

160160160160140140 Kazakhstan

360360360360360360 Norway

5,0005,0005,8005,4004,9004,550 Russia

120120120120120nr Serbia

210210200200210270 Turkey

700700950550700800 Ukraine

424424417417443546 Others

22,74922,86425,37423,96921,72622,174 Subtotal

1,3061,3061,2871,3131,3571,667 United States

24,05524,17026,66125,28223,08323,841 World Total

none

Total Consumption

500500500455400350 Argentina

1,1001,1001,0407407101,480 Australia

700700725600550650 Belarus

475475475475475515 Brazil

1,9001,9002,0501,9332,2831,966 Canada

350350350350350400 Chile

625625625615615620 China

8,4008,5008,5008,6007,6477,868 EU-27

150150155150135135 Kazakhstan

175175185180175137 Mexico

410410410410420410 Norway

5,2005,2005,4005,4004,9004,600 Russia

120120120121120nr Serbia

215215205213211270 Turkey

650650950525700800 Ukraine

602602595590619730 Others

21,58521,68522,16221,67120,24720,976 Subtotal

3,2023,2023,1433,1613,1793,287 United States

24,78724,88725,30524,83223,42624,263 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

898994998485 Argentina

171171171111189185 Australia

100100200252525 Belarus

1,0101,0101,295950556872 Canada

89899499101107 China

821836976659795769 EU-27

384384584184186190 Russia

191191129142118135 Others

2,8552,8703,5432,2692,0542,368 Subtotal

1,0071,0071,051969734763 United States

3,8623,8774,5943,2382,7883,131 World Total


June 2009

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10

TY Imports none

1,935 North America 1,873 2,392 1,925 1,915 1,915

40 South America 33 30 30 30 30


106 Other Europe 105 108 105 105 105


0 Middle East 3 12 5 5 5

6 North Africa 14 6 10 10 10


77 East Asia 71 81 80 80 80

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,184 Total 2,123 2,654 2,185 2,175 2,175

Production none

5,030 North America 5,289 6,089 5,637 4,886 4,886

1,316 South America 1,303 1,348 1,378 1,385 1,385

7,968 European Union 7,768 8,618 8,962 8,505 8,390

637 Other Europe 637 637 637 637 637


270 Middle East 210 200 200 210 210

110 North Africa 110 110 110 110 110


602 East Asia 602 602 602 602 602

1,765 Oceania 823 918 1,275 1,325 1,325

23,841 Total 23,083 25,282 26,661 24,170 24,055


5,390 North America 5,637 5,274 5,378 5,277 5,277

1,333 South America 1,303 1,330 1,378 1,385 1,385

7,868 European Union 7,647 8,600 8,500 8,500 8,400

739 Other Europe 752 745 737 742 742


270 Middle East 211 213 205 215 215

115 North Africa 123 121 120 120 120


680 East Asia 680 685 690 685 685

1,555 Oceania 785 815 1,115 1,175 1,175

24,218 Total 23,489 24,518 25,428 24,874 24,774

Ending Stocks none

1,638 North America 1,290 1,930 2,352 2,028 2,028

115 South America 106 120 115 115 115

769 European Union 795 659 976 836 821

46 Other Europe 44 52 57 57 57



1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


112 East Asia 105 103 95 92 92

185 Oceania 189 111 171 171 171

3,131 Total 2,788 3,238 4,594 3,877 3,862




June 2009

World Rye Trade


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

TY Exports

100100175757550 Belarus

12512575167207141 Canada

15015015059313381 EU-27

50502586640 Russia

1010250049 Ukraine

000300 Others

435435450390659621 Subtotal


445445460400661622 World Total

none

TY Imports

5501400 Canada

25252588362 EU-27

252525771102 Israel

17517517583258279 Japan

555687 Korea, South

2020204164 Norway

555449 Switzerland

1010516182 Turkey

00021872 Others

270270260224429477 Subtotal

505075249615 Unaccounted

125125125152136130 United States

445445460400661622 World Total



June 2009

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

May

2009/10

Jun

none

Production


1,4001,4001,6001,3001,2001,150 Belarus

280280320233383330 Canada

8,5468,6169,1467,6856,5417,688 EU-27

4,0004,0004,5003,9003,0003,600 Russia

270270250265271270 Turkey

8008001,0505506001,050 Ukraine

187187187187180188 Others

15,53815,60817,10814,17512,23014,331 Subtotal

178178203160183191 United States

15,71615,78617,31114,33512,41314,522 World Total

none

Total Consumption


1,4001,4001,3501,1501,1501,150 Belarus

185185210131243153 Canada

8,9008,9008,5007,2007,4008,620 EU-27

17017017590258279 Japan

505050475050 Kazakhstan

575757445341 Norway

4,0504,0504,2503,7503,1003,600 Russia

280280255281276277 Turkey

8008008005508001,050 Ukraine

135135135121176238 Others

16,13016,13015,90913,47313,73015,499 Subtotal

292292320334337332 United States

16,42216,42216,22913,80714,06715,831 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

13913923916489114 Belarus

52527741117185 Canada

1,1651,2351,6441,1236161,874 EU-27

181813132020 Japan

1881882886332126 Russia

2802802906565267 Ukraine

000001 Others

1,8421,9122,5511,4699392,587 Subtotal


1,8551,9252,5611,4799512,605 World Total


June 2009

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

May

2009/10

Jun

2009/10

TY Imports none

130 North America 136 166 125 130 130

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0


14 Other Europe 22 10 25 25 25


104 Middle East 89 23 30 35 35


286 East Asia 266 89 180 180 180

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

607 Total 565 376 385 395 395

Production none

521 North America 566 393 523 458 458

64 South America 61 61 61 61 61

7,688 European Union 6,541 7,685 9,146 8,616 8,546

106 Other Europe 101 108 108 108 108


270 Middle East 271 265 250 270 270


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

14,522 Total 12,413 14,335 17,311 15,786 15,716


485 North America 580 465 530 477 477

64 South America 61 61 61 61 61

8,620 European Union 7,400 7,200 8,500 8,900 8,900

123 Other Europe 121 123 133 133 133


379 Middle East 347 288 280 305 305


286 East Asia 266 96 180 175 175

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

15,845 Total 13,898 13,753 16,157 16,374 16,374

Ending Stocks none

203 North America 129 51 87 65 65

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,874 European Union 616 1,123 1,644 1,235 1,165





20 East Asia 20 13 13 18 18

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,605 Total 951 1,479 2,561 1,925 1,855




June 2009

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES DG F/SA &F

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 38 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 39 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 40 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................ 41 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 45 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................... 47 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 49 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................ 50

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 51 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 52 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 53 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 54 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 55



June 2009

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

122.4 113.252.820.44.05.024.6 1999/00 16.3

131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.15.124.5 2006/07 14.1

120.2 116.552.412.36.94.924.8 2007/08 12.4

151.6 127.561.022.56.55.626.9 2008/09 20.5

136.0 127.560.018.06.55.325.9 2009/10 17.4

Coarse Grains

147.9 140.1105.813.42.94.433.6 1999/00 22.9

139.9 139.3105.19.34.14.233.0 2000/01 18.3

150.2 143.6107.86.73.94.533.6 2001/02 22.3

148.3 144.9109.37.64.44.532.7 2002/03 22.5

131.7 145.2109.64.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.0

166.6 152.6116.54.93.05.033.5 2004/05 25.1

146.3 147.5109.44.42.84.532.6 2005/06 22.3

137.4 147.9110.24.78.04.331.8 2006/07 15.1

136.1 153.9118.34.620.34.332.0 2007/08 13.0

161.0 150.8112.25.83.14.833.3 2008/09 20.5

148.1 149.4110.25.53.14.632.2 2009/10 16.8

Wheat and Coarse Grains

270.4 253.4158.633.86.84.658.2 1999/00 39.2

271.6 257.7161.524.97.64.659.5 2000/01 35.8

273.6 262.0164.319.412.74.659.5 2001/02 40.6

280.9 269.9169.325.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.0

242.3 260.3162.114.015.64.357.0 2003/04 24.5

313.5 275.8175.719.610.15.359.5 2004/05 52.6

278.6 275.1172.420.19.54.858.4 2005/06 45.6

262.3 273.4170.418.513.14.756.3 2006/07 29.2

256.3 270.4170.716.927.24.556.8 2007/08 25.4

312.6 278.3173.228.39.65.260.3 2008/09 41.0

284.0 276.9170.223.59.64.958.0 2009/10 34.2


June 2009

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.8 1998/99 97.9

113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.4

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.5

109.3 106.08.02.80.14.623.7 2007/08 39.0

112.5 102.55.00.80.24.724.0 2008/09 48.4

113.5 101.04.01.50.34.724.2 2009/10 59.7

Coarse Grains

143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.1 1998/99 123.4

137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.5 2001/02 85.6

130.7 136.398.415.31.84.728.0 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.627.1 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.2 2004/05 37.6

147.7 147.1103.23.82.35.129.1 2005/06 36.7

159.1 153.5105.05.51.25.131.4 2006/07 38.0

159.1 157.1105.80.91.24.932.2 2007/08 40.3

172.8 160.2110.80.41.15.432.1 2008/09 53.7

169.2 166.0115.60.61.35.332.0 2009/10 57.6


253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.8 1998/99 221.3

251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1

213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.1 2001/02 162.1

221.0 241.5104.917.12.24.351.9 2002/03 126.8

210.4 242.8105.110.55.34.349.1 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.8 2004/05 76.4

245.1 248.6106.75.23.34.751.9 2005/06 71.1

267.6 255.5109.08.21.54.955.0 2006/07 76.5

268.4 263.1113.83.71.24.855.9 2007/08 79.3

285.3 262.7115.81.11.35.156.1 2008/09 102.1

282.7 267.0119.62.11.65.056.2 2009/10 117.3


June 2009

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

6.0 6.60.60.11.03.91.6 1998/99 1.5

4.2 5.70.70.11.53.31.3 1999/00 1.3

4.6 5.50.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.4

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.70.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.4

3.9 5.50.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.2

5.4 6.01.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 1.8

4.2 5.90.90.21.53.61.1 2005/06 1.3

4.3 5.50.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.1

4.4 5.60.80.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.1

4.6 5.60.80.41.74.11.1 2008/09 1.4

4.8 5.80.90.61.73.91.2 2009/10 1.5

Coarse Grains

11.2 11.610.20.30.43.92.8 1998/99 0.9

12.2 12.511.20.30.64.42.8 1999/00 0.9

8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1

12.8 12.110.80.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.7 12.110.71.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.5

11.7 11.610.40.90.94.72.5 2006/07 1.6

9.5 10.99.60.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.0

12.2 11.29.91.40.84.52.7 2008/09 1.5

12.1 11.39.91.30.94.62.6 2009/10 1.9


17.2 18.210.80.41.43.94.4 1998/99 2.4

16.4 18.211.90.32.14.14.0 1999/00 2.3

12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3

15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.81.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

13.1 16.310.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.2

18.2 18.211.70.92.04.54.0 2004/05 3.4

16.9 18.011.61.62.14.53.8 2005/06 2.8

16.1 17.111.01.52.44.33.7 2006/07 2.7

13.9 16.510.40.92.93.73.8 2007/08 2.2

16.8 16.810.71.82.54.43.8 2008/09 2.9

16.9 17.110.71.92.64.33.9 2009/10 3.4


June 2009

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

59.9 65.317.67.97.11.540.3 2003/04 10.0

85.6 72.221.116.14.91.846.5 2004/05 12.2

90.9 75.023.521.05.51.948.5 2005/06 12.6

85.0 72.621.622.36.01.845.9 2006/07 8.6

92.7 75.623.622.26.02.047.5 2007/08 9.5

115.5 78.225.536.06.72.351.1 2008/09 17.5

104.4 78.725.729.95.42.052.2 2009/10 18.7

Coarse Grains

55.4 56.839.46.11.51.831.2 2003/04 6.0

63.0 54.738.18.11.12.031.2 2004/05 7.3

55.3 49.833.78.61.11.928.4 2005/06 5.3

58.7 51.535.78.51.02.029.8 2006/07 5.1

53.9 50.534.85.31.01.829.4 2007/08 4.2

78.1 57.240.416.30.62.630.3 2008/09 9.3

63.9 55.939.511.00.42.130.3 2009/10 6.7


June 2009

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.5 7.52.78.10.01.112.4 2006/07 1.0

16.6 7.52.78.20.01.312.8 2007/08 1.9

12.5 7.52.75.00.11.012.9 2008/09 2.0

14.0 7.52.76.50.11.013.5 2009/10 2.1

Russia

44.9 36.414.110.60.91.923.7 2006/07 2.2

49.4 37.715.112.60.42.024.5 2007/08 1.8

63.7 38.716.018.00.22.426.7 2008/09 9.0

59.0 40.017.018.00.32.227.4 2009/10 10.3

Ukraine

14.0 11.72.13.40.12.55.5 2006/07 1.4

13.9 12.93.11.20.32.36.0 2007/08 1.5

25.9 13.83.812.50.13.77.1 2008/09 1.2

18.0 12.83.05.00.12.76.6 2009/10 1.5

Uzbekistan

5.9 6.51.10.21.14.51.3 2006/07 1.2

6.2 6.81.20.21.04.81.3 2007/08 1.4

6.0 7.11.30.21.44.41.4 2008/09 1.6

6.2 7.11.30.21.04.41.4 2009/10 1.5

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

6.7 10.51.60.13.92.23.0 2006/07 2.8

6.6 10.71.60.04.22.23.0 2007/08 2.9

7.4 11.21.80.35.02.43.1 2008/09 3.8

7.2 11.31.70.24.02.23.3 2009/10 3.5

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

85.0 72.621.622.36.01.845.9 2006/07 8.6

92.7 75.623.622.26.02.047.5 2007/08 9.5

115.5 78.225.536.06.72.351.1 2008/09 17.5

104.4 78.725.729.95.42.052.2 2009/10 18.7


June 2009


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

1.9 1.41.30.60.11.11.8 2006/07 0.2

2.5 1.41.30.80.01.41.8 2007/08 0.6

1.8 1.41.30.50.11.01.8 2008/09 0.6

1.9 1.41.30.60.01.11.8 2009/10 0.5

Russia

18.1 16.411.81.50.31.810.0 2006/07 1.3

15.7 15.110.51.00.21.69.8 2007/08 1.0

23.1 17.112.32.80.12.49.7 2008/09 4.3

16.5 16.912.11.60.11.89.4 2009/10 2.4

Ukraine

11.4 6.54.85.10.02.25.2 2006/07 1.0

6.0 5.33.61.00.01.54.1 2007/08 0.6

12.6 5.84.16.30.03.04.2 2008/09 1.1

9.5 5.33.64.50.02.04.7 2009/10 0.8

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0


2.4 2.71.80.00.12.11.1 2006/07 0.4

2.7 2.92.00.00.12.11.3 2007/08 0.3

3.1 3.12.30.00.12.71.2 2008/09 0.4

2.6 2.81.90.00.12.31.1 2009/10 0.3


34.0 27.219.97.30.51.918.2 2006/07 2.9

27.1 24.917.52.90.41.617.0 2007/08 2.5

40.9 27.720.29.60.22.416.9 2008/09 6.4

30.8 26.619.16.70.21.817.1 2009/10 4.1


June 2009


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2007/08 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2008/09 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2009/10 0.0

Russia

3.6 3.63.10.10.13.61.0 2006/07 0.2

4.0 4.33.70.00.33.01.3 2007/08 0.2

6.6 5.34.61.30.14.01.7 2008/09 0.3

7.0 5.95.21.00.13.91.8 2009/10 0.5

Ukraine

6.4 5.34.51.00.03.81.7 2006/07 1.1

7.4 5.85.02.10.03.91.9 2007/08 0.7

11.4 6.35.55.20.04.82.4 2008/09 0.6

9.5 6.65.83.00.04.32.2 2009/10 0.6

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0


2.4 2.82.60.00.43.40.7 2006/07 0.5

2.0 2.52.20.00.22.60.8 2007/08 0.3

2.9 3.02.60.00.23.60.8 2008/09 0.4

2.9 2.92.50.10.13.50.8 2009/10 0.4


12.8 12.110.51.10.53.63.5 2006/07 1.8

13.8 12.911.22.10.63.44.1 2007/08 1.1

21.3 15.013.16.50.34.35.0 2008/09 1.3

19.8 15.713.94.10.24.05.0 2009/10 1.4


June 2009

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

15.5 4.90.110.10.02.36.8 2001/02 1.1

12.3 5.20.16.80.02.15.9 2002/03 1.5

14.5 5.20.19.40.02.55.7 2003/04 1.4

16.0 5.00.111.70.02.66.1 2004/05 0.6

14.5 5.00.19.50.02.95.0 2005/06 0.7

16.0 4.90.110.70.03.05.3 2006/07 1.1

16.8 5.10.111.20.02.95.8 2007/08 1.5

8.4 5.10.14.50.02.04.2 2008/09 0.4

11.0 5.20.15.50.02.84.0 2009/10 0.7

Australia

24.3 5.42.716.40.12.111.6 2001/02 8.0

10.1 6.13.49.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.2

26.1 5.93.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

21.9 5.93.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.8

25.2 6.43.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.6

10.8 7.44.78.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.4

13.8 6.23.57.50.11.112.7 2007/08 4.7

21.5 6.83.814.00.11.613.5 2008/09 5.5

23.0 7.14.015.50.11.813.0 2009/10 6.0

Canada

20.6 7.73.616.30.31.910.6 2001/02 6.5

16.2 8.03.79.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7

23.0 7.23.115.80.22.310.2 2003/04 6.0

24.8 8.24.114.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.24.116.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.819.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.42.116.40.42.38.6 2007/08 4.6

28.6 9.24.416.80.42.910.0 2008/09 7.5

25.0 8.83.917.50.32.510.0 2009/10 6.5

Total Wheat Competitors

60.4 18.16.442.80.42.129.0 2001/02 15.7

38.6 19.37.225.30.71.525.8 2002/03 10.4

63.7 18.36.443.30.32.229.0 2003/04 12.8

62.7 19.27.441.30.32.228.9 2004/05 15.4


June 2009


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


65.4 19.67.941.50.42.426.9 2005/06 20.0

52.1 21.39.638.90.41.926.8 2006/07 12.4

50.7 17.75.735.10.51.927.1 2007/08 10.8

58.5 21.18.235.30.52.127.7 2008/09 13.4

59.0 21.08.038.50.42.227.0 2009/10 13.2

India

69.7 65.10.53.10.02.725.7 2001/02 23.0

71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.40.30.26.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.30.20.11.92.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.30.10.20.02.828.2 2008/09 13.9

77.5 72.50.12.00.02.827.8 2009/10 16.9

Turkey

15.5 16.51.10.81.01.88.5 2001/02 1.0

16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.4

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.21.88.6 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.03.52.08.6 2008/09 1.8

18.0 17.00.82.11.52.18.7 2009/10 2.2


June 2009


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

14.7 4.22.710.90.06.02.5 2001/02 0.3

15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.5

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.52.3 2003/04 0.2

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.0

15.8 6.24.49.50.16.52.4 2005/06 1.2

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.7

22.0 7.05.114.80.16.43.4 2007/08 2.0

13.0 6.74.87.00.15.82.3 2008/09 1.4

15.0 5.94.09.00.07.52.0 2009/10 1.5

China

114.1 123.194.08.60.04.724.3 2001/02 84.8

121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 149.0105.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 39.4

165.5 152.0110.00.30.15.629.4 2008/09 52.7

162.5 158.0115.00.50.15.529.5 2009/10 56.7

South Africa

10.1 8.43.91.10.92.83.5 2001/02 1.9

9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.24.32.20.14.03.3 2007/08 3.5

12.0 9.84.72.50.14.03.0 2008/09 3.3

11.5 10.04.72.00.13.63.2 2009/10 2.9

Brazil

35.5 35.029.52.10.43.011.8 2001/02 1.5

44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6


June 2009


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

50.0 44.537.010.00.53.514.1 2008/09 8.6

54.0 45.538.010.00.53.914.0 2009/10 7.6

Total Corn Competitors

174.3 170.7130.122.61.34.142.1 2001/02 88.6

191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.2

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 55.9

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 44.9

203.8 190.9142.418.32.24.743.7 2005/06 41.7

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.5

246.1 207.7150.425.30.94.850.9 2007/08 57.4

240.5 213.0156.519.80.84.948.8 2008/09 66.0

243.0 219.4161.721.50.75.048.7 2009/10 68.7


June 2009


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

8.3 2.81.84.70.02.23.7 2001/02 1.8

3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.7

4.3 3.82.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.3

7.2 3.22.23.40.01.54.9 2007/08 2.0

7.0 3.22.23.50.01.64.5 2008/09 2.3

7.5 3.32.34.00.01.74.4 2009/10 2.5

Canada

10.8 10.38.91.10.12.64.2 2001/02 2.0

7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5

12.2 9.78.41.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.07.71.60.13.43.5 2008/09 2.9

10.0 9.17.91.80.12.93.5 2009/10 2.0

EU-27

58.8 54.939.74.21.44.214.1 2001/02 10.0

58.2 55.439.35.21.14.214.0 2002/03 8.7

55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.1 2003/04 4.5

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.6 54.938.93.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.0

65.6 57.140.63.50.24.514.6 2008/09 10.2

61.0 58.542.03.20.24.314.0 2009/10 9.6


June 2009


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.8 2.32.20.40.05.10.5 2001/02 0.5

2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.4

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.00.6 2004/05 0.3

2.3 2.32.10.20.05.00.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.50.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.81.61.20.04.10.7 2007/08 0.2

1.8 1.31.10.50.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.3 2.52.30.80.04.70.7 2009/10 0.2

Australia

2.0 1.71.70.40.02.50.8 2001/02 0.1

1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.1 2.22.20.80.03.01.0 2007/08 0.1

2.4 1.61.60.80.03.00.8 2008/09 0.2

2.3 1.51.50.80.03.00.8 2009/10 0.2


June 2009

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

8,32328,57441834,32834,4032,9303,06555,821nr320,639 2007/08

18,21734,0466,80427,00027,4883,2003,40268,026nr322,535 2008/09

17,61034,1025,98724,50024,4943,1003,13054,859nr319,792 2009/10

Corn

41,255261,671150,83560,75761,873502508331,177nr935,014 2007/08

40,652263,918135,89644,50044,452400381307,386nr1031,825 2008/09

27,697268,237130,81649,00048,262400381303,163nr1031,487 2009/10

Sorghum

1,3405,0594,1666,6867,0521112,636nr52,749 2007/08

1,6578,3825,5883,3003,3023311,998nr42,942 2008/09

1,4036,3504,0643,6003,556009,652nr42,408 2009/10

Barley

1,4854,3767069019027646884,575nr31,417 2007/08

1,9535,1161,4153502836006535,214nr31,524 2008/09

1,7365,2251,5244004355005444,899nr41,392 2009/10

Oats

9693,1612,08153422,2442,1251,313nr2609 2007/08

1,0513,1432,05540441,8001,9821,287nr2565 2008/09

1,0073,2022,11440441,8001,8961,306nr2571 2009/10

Rye

1033499107152179160nr2102 2007/08

10320831010125127203nr2109 2008/09

13292561010125127178nr2105 2009/10

Rice, Milled

9424,057nr3,2943,3706517596,3448,99981,112 2007/08

7414,313nr3,1003,0067006036,5159,24181,204 2008/09

1,1574,216nr3,1003,1027506997,0359,97981,280 2009/10

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.


June 2009

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,159.3 255.21,179.2562.6200.62.0577.6 1980/81

1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82

1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.1588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.3 422.61,329.7655.1202.22.4545.0 1987/88

1,218.0 338.61,302.0618.2203.32.2542.5 1988/89

1,327.4 319.91,346.2642.9208.92.4549.0 1989/90

1,417.3 368.01,369.2667.3190.12.6548.9 1990/91

1,355.5 358.81,364.7650.1207.52.5546.3 1991/92

1,431.3 397.61,389.7662.3205.22.6548.7 1992/93

1,355.8 364.51,388.9654.0188.22.5539.2 1993/94

1,392.1 360.91,395.6666.9200.12.6537.5 1994/95

1,338.0 318.51,380.4636.6187.52.5533.5 1995/96

1,490.2 365.81,442.9669.6198.42.7552.9 1996/97

1,491.4 412.31,444.8680.8190.32.8539.4 1997/98

1,481.6 445.61,448.3679.8198.72.8534.0 1998/99

1,464.7 442.01,467.8685.0214.32.8514.7 1999/00

1,445.9 418.31,469.6693.7205.12.8514.0 2000/01

1,478.2 401.81,494.7708.7208.52.9516.2 2001/02

1,442.7 337.21,507.3707.8209.92.9505.9 2002/03

1,469.2 273.01,533.4711.4206.32.9515.0 2003/04

1,640.2 328.31,585.0749.9215.03.2516.6 2004/05

1,598.4 311.51,615.2748.5222.53.1518.8 2005/06

1,581.5 266.11,626.8739.7230.23.1516.9 2006/07

1,686.9 280.11,672.9751.6245.73.2535.5 2007/08

1,780.0 350.91,709.2759.0239.43.3536.4 2008/09

1,730.6 348.31,733.1757.9228.13.2534.7 2009/10

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


June 2009

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

498.4 159.1530.6113.6114.12.3220.1 1987/88

495.0 134.7519.5104.0104.32.3217.9 1988/89

533.2 136.6531.3103.7103.92.4226.5 1989/90

588.6 171.2554.1130.1101.32.5231.6 1990/91

543.3 162.9551.6113.8111.42.4223.4 1991/92

562.4 176.7548.3110.9113.22.5222.7 1992/93

558.2 182.2552.7108.0101.72.5221.8 1993/94

522.7 163.1541.899.6101.52.4214.4 1994/95

537.1 155.6544.691.999.22.5219.1 1995/96

581.3 163.5573.496.7104.02.5230.3 1996/97

610.0 196.3577.2100.9104.52.7228.5 1997/98

590.2 207.8578.7103.6102.02.6225.4 1998/99

586.7 209.5585.098.9112.02.7215.7 1999/00

582.9 207.3585.1104.4102.32.7217.9 2000/01

583.1 203.2587.2107.6108.02.7215.2 2001/02

567.9 166.6604.4111.9107.12.6214.5 2002/03

553.5 131.4588.796.3103.72.6209.6 2003/04

625.6 149.7607.4105.6113.82.9217.3 2004/05

619.6 146.7622.6111.2114.02.8218.4 2005/06

595.6 127.0615.3106.2115.62.8212.3 2006/07

609.7 120.0616.796.2116.82.8217.9 2007/08

682.2 168.4633.8114.1135.03.0224.9 2008/09

656.1 182.7641.8111.4121.32.9223.7 2009/10

Coarse Grains

786.9 263.5799.2541.588.12.4324.9 1987/88

722.9 203.9782.5514.299.02.2324.6 1988/89

794.2 183.3814.9539.2105.02.5322.5 1989/90

828.7 196.8815.2537.388.92.6317.3 1990/91

812.2 195.9813.1536.296.22.5322.9 1991/92

868.8 220.9841.4551.391.92.7326.0 1992/93

797.6 182.3836.2546.186.52.5317.4 1993/94

869.4 197.9853.8567.498.62.7323.1 1994/95

800.9 162.9835.8544.788.22.5314.4 1995/96

908.9 202.3869.5573.094.42.8322.6 1996/97

881.4 216.0867.7579.885.82.8311.0 1997/98

891.3 237.8869.6576.196.72.9308.6 1998/99

878.0 232.5882.8586.0102.42.9299.0 1999/00

863.0 210.9884.5589.3102.72.9296.1 2000/01

895.1 198.6907.4601.1100.53.0301.0 2001/02

874.8 170.6902.9595.9102.73.0291.4 2002/03

915.7 141.6944.7615.1102.63.0305.5 2003/04

1,014.6 178.6977.6644.3101.23.4299.3 2004/05

978.8 164.8992.6637.3108.53.3300.4 2005/06

985.9 139.21,011.5633.5114.63.2304.6 2006/07

1,077.2 160.11,056.2655.4128.93.4317.6 2007/08

1,097.8 182.51,075.4644.9104.53.5311.4 2008/09

1,074.5 165.71,091.3646.5106.83.5310.9 2009/10

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


June 2009

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

450.8 197.5458.2316.558.83.5127.0 1987/88

400.5 145.2452.8306.866.03.2126.1 1988/89

461.7 132.8474.1324.874.53.6127.3 1989/90

481.9 141.2473.4318.558.83.7129.2 1990/91

493.0 140.8493.3334.463.03.7132.6 1991/92

535.6 162.5512.1348.762.64.0133.2 1992/93

475.8 129.3509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 152.9535.6371.571.94.1135.3 1994/95

516.3 132.7536.5365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.9 165.6560.1387.666.74.2141.6 1996/97

574.4 166.2573.7401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.9 191.0581.1404.668.74.3139.3 1998/99

608.0 193.7605.3423.072.34.4139.0 1999/00

590.8 174.5610.0427.975.94.3137.2 2000/01

600.3 151.2623.7436.372.84.4137.9 2001/02

603.3 126.6627.9433.276.94.4137.3 2002/03

627.1 104.8648.9445.479.14.4141.6 2003/04

714.7 131.5688.0475.076.04.9144.7 2004/05

698.8 124.2706.1477.482.64.8145.4 2005/06

712.2 109.0727.4477.791.44.8149.2 2006/07

791.6 130.7769.9496.598.35.0159.9 2007/08

787.3 138.5779.4481.277.95.0156.4 2008/09

781.5 125.5794.5482.581.25.0156.4 2009/10

Barley

175.4 33.6173.5129.618.32.278.7 1987/88

164.4 31.7166.3121.919.02.276.4 1988/89

166.1 27.5170.4126.018.52.373.7 1989/90

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.572.9 1990/91

169.8 34.8166.5120.319.42.276.5 1991/92

166.2 34.9165.6119.016.42.373.1 1992/93

168.9 34.8169.1123.818.82.373.8 1993/94

160.7 29.9165.6120.915.32.272.8 1994/95

141.2 20.4150.7107.813.42.168.6 1995/96

153.1 23.9149.5106.317.92.365.6 1996/97

153.9 31.9145.9104.112.82.464.5 1997/98

136.0 28.6139.499.517.82.260.8 1998/99

127.4 23.5132.594.017.82.354.5 1999/00

133.1 22.2134.494.716.22.553.9 2000/01

143.3 28.9136.795.517.22.556.3 2001/02

134.4 26.7136.695.016.32.455.7 2002/03

142.2 22.5146.4102.614.82.459.6 2003/04

152.4 32.6142.4100.016.92.658.0 2004/05

136.2 28.0140.897.117.52.456.0 2005/06

136.5 21.3143.298.614.62.457.1 2006/07

133.1 18.9135.492.718.52.357.5 2007/08

153.9 30.2142.798.718.52.855.3 2008/09

142.9 28.5144.699.817.22.655.6 2009/10

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


June 2009

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

397.0 52.6271.211.9269.92.7144.4 1980/81

408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82

418.3 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.2 1984/85

467.3 97.7307.911.8318.03.2144.8 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.03.2144.8 1986/87

465.0 105.3313.311.4315.33.3141.7 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.4146.4 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.6 1989/90

519.0 126.7345.112.3351.13.5146.9 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.4 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.7 117.6365.420.8364.03.7147.5 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.219.7368.83.7148.2 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.0 1996/97

575.0 127.7379.827.6387.33.8151.3 1997/98

586.8 134.0388.624.8394.83.8152.7 1998/99

608.9 143.1400.322.8409.33.9155.3 1999/00

594.4 146.7395.824.5399.53.9151.8 2000/01

595.5 132.9414.027.9400.23.9150.8 2001/02

564.3 103.2408.727.6378.93.9146.3 2002/03

585.5 81.1414.627.2392.53.9148.8 2003/04

597.8 73.4409.428.9401.84.0151.2 2004/05

623.3 76.0415.829.1418.44.1153.2 2005/06

627.3 75.1421.631.8420.74.1154.0 2006/07

647.1 80.6428.229.7433.74.2154.7 2007/08

661.8 89.9434.629.0443.94.3155.7 2008/09

669.1 95.0443.429.6448.54.3157.2 2009/10

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


June 2009

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.



June 2009

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period following the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2008/09 starts in 2008); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2008/09 starts in 2009). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled



June 2009

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 05-09 May 2009. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 06-09 June 2009. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov



June 2009

wheat stocks surge, but market availability...

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