when and why does portability matter? exploring multi-cloud, open source and cloud switching costs
TRANSCRIPT
When and Why does Portability Matter?
Dan Young | CEO, EngineerBetter | @dan0young
Exploring Multi-cloud, Open Source and Cloud Switching Costs.
The past.
The present.
Making better decisions.
This talk:
A story about lock-in.
“The AWS Console is this
generation's Visual Studio”
@brianleroux
Got Déjà vu?
Lock-in fear
considered harmful.
Wakefield Research Survey (Logicworks) - July 2016
What exactly is
lock-in?
The Lock-in CycleInformation Rules (Shapiro, Varian) 1998
10 years of public
cloud decisions.
● One horse race
● Compelling economics
● Compelling velocity
● Few switching tools
● Nobody to switch to
Who cares?
Image Credit: NASA's Earth Observatory
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Shared things.
“Cloud computing is now
pervasive in our everyday
lives..It is so fully integrated
that it is not obvious how
dependent we already are”
CloudWATCH2 Consortium
(http://www.cloudwatchhub.eu/Roadmap-for-trans
parent-pricing)
We are always
unprepared.
Image Credit: NASA's Earth Observatory
The global utility.
Image Credit: NASA's Earth Observatory
No predictable
outcomes.
Image Credit: NASA's Earth Observatory
Meanwhile, back at
the ranch...
https://www.pinterest.com/pin/215680269631781978/
Where has my
competitive
advantage gone?
We keep on
abstracting. “Modularity through abstraction is the way things get done”
Barbara Liskov
We keep on
re-architecting.
We have unmet
demand for
portability.
We have unmet
demand for
portability.
Intermedia Survey (April 2016)
Private/Public
multi-cloud is a
thing.
What do the
analysts think?
https://www.flickr.com/photos/pasukaru76/3998273279
2014 2015 2016
Gartner’s magical shrinking island.
"Although Azure is neither as feature-rich nor mature as AWS, many organizations can now consider it "good enough," and base their vendor decision on factors other than technical capabilities."
-Gartner MQ, 2016
The age of ‘good
enough’ alternatives.
“One interpretation of this
development is that
infrastructure is reaching a
commodity status”
-Rachel Stevens, Aug 2016
Recap, so far:
Image Credit: NASA's Earth Observatory
● Pervasive single supplier
● Unmanaged switching costs
● Black Swans happen
● AWS ubiquity
● We keep abstracting
● We wish we had options
● IaaS market commodity-like
Open Source at your
service.
Image Credit: NASA's Earth Observatory
"It's important to understand
that open source in this utility
computing world is not a
tactic, it's not a strategy, it's
the only practical way of
creating and competing in a
marketplace"- Simon Wardley OSCON 2007
Protected portability.
Devs can go
anywhere.$ cf push
Operators can go
anywhere.
http://lightsofsoho.com/product/bish-bash-bosh/
(http://bosh.io)
Who is paying
attention?
Image Credit: NASA's Earth Observatory
Banks
Governments
Multi-cloud in
action.
Image Credit: NASA's Earth Observatory
● Entire production PaaS● 120 Apps● VMware → Openstack● 2-3 people● 2 weeks effort● 30 mins downtime.
BOSH CPIs keep
getting better.
Managing your
IaaS switching
costs.
The Lock-in CycleInformation Rules (Shapiro, Varian) 1998
Remember:
You can manage you switching costs, just like you manage technical debt.
● Open source wins.
● Portabilty for Devs
● Portability for Ops
● Lower marginal cost
● Higher marginal benefit
Portability in 2016+
