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1 Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some lessons from the world of cloud computing Jonathan G. Koomey, Ph.D. http://www.koomey.com Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory & Stanford University Presented at the Symposium on Energy- Efficient Electronic Systems UC Berkeley June 12, 2009

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Page 1: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

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Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some lessons from the

world of cloud computing Jonathan G. Koomey, Ph.D.

http://www.koomey.com Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory &

Stanford University Presented at the Symposium on Energy-

Efficient Electronic Systems UC Berkeley

June 12, 2009

Page 2: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

Categories of IT

•  End user (stationary and mobile) – Desktop PCs and other office equipment – Smart phones, PDAs, laptops

•  The cloud – Networking – Data centers

•  Embedded systems

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Device strategies for efficiency Effort on Software/ Operations/ Usage

Effort on hardware

Low Power Modes

Proportional computing

Improve hardware components

Max component efficiency

Device redesign

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Going beyond device redesign •  Consider the whole system, as

per Amory Lovins of Rocky Mountain Institute –  Think about tasks –  Redesign devices and systems from

scratch, ignoring illusory historical constraints, but heeding real ones

–  Make products superior in many ways (efficiency won’t sell by itself)

–  Shift tasks to more efficient parts of the system (stationary to mobile, stationary to the cloud)

Page 5: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

Data centers, where the cloud resides, are where the world of bits meets the world

of atoms

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Page 7: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

Data centers use electricity. How much?

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World data center electricity use, 2000 and 2005

Source: Koomey 2008

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How much is 152B kWh?

Source for country data in 2005: International Energy Agency, World Energy Balances (2007 edition)

Turkey

Sweden

Iran

World Data Centers

Mexico

South Africa

Italy

Final Electricity Consumption (Billion kWh) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300

Page 10: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

Big issues •  IT service demand is growing rapidly •  Efficiency is improving quickly •  Large efficiency potentials remain •  Misplaced incentives •  Low equipment utilization •  Embedded carbon/energy vs. usage carbon/

energy •  Boundaries

–  Direct use (a few percent of electricity use) –  Indirect effects on the rest of the energy

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Delivery of IT services is increasing rapidly

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Growing IT service demand

•  Odlyzko (http://www.dtc.umn.edu/mints/) shows median growth rates of Internet traffic of about 50% per year from 2002 to 2008

•  Computations per PC doubling every 1.5 years since mid 1980s

•  Desktop PC installed base up 9%/yr 2000 to 2008–laptops up 24%/year

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Information technology is becoming more energy

efficient at a furious pace

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Page 14: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

Internet electricity intensity

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Source: Taylor and Koomey (2008) for 2000 and 2006 data. Trends for 2000 to 2006 extrapolated to 2008 by JK.

Electricity per GB transferred down 30% per year!

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In spite of our historical progress, there’s still great potential for improving the energy efficiency of data

centers and other IT equipment

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Many efficiency opportunities

16 Source: EPA report to Congress on data centers 2007

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Improving the energy efficiency of data centers is as

much about people and institutions as it is about

technology

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Misplaced incentives •  Energy, efficiency, and performance metrics

not standardized •  Not charging per kW but per square foot •  Split accountability

–  Who pays the bills, IT or facilities? –  Who bears the risk of failure?

•  Hierarchy and culture differences •  Piling safety factor upon safety factor •  Not focusing on total costs for delivering

computing services

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Annualized data center costs reflect misplaced incentives

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Page 20: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

Two important equations

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Power related terms

Page 21: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

Lesson: Whole system redesign is needed to capture efficiency potentials in data

centers

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Low utilization is pervasive

Installed capacity, KW

Server utilization remains very low. . . UPS, cooling, and other facilities are consistently underutilized . . .

Average daily utilization (percent)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 10 20 30 40 50 90 100

Up to 30% servers are dead

•  About one third of all sites are less than 50% utilized, average is 55%

•  Little co-relation between size and capacity utilization

A small number of organizations are starting to monitor server utilization, however very few organizations monitor facilities energy efficiency or utilization

* Sample size – 45 data centers * Source of data: Uptime Institute; Source of original PPT slide: McKinsey and Company

DISGUISED CLIENT EXAMPLE

2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000

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Embedded vs usage C + E

•  Direct carbon and electricity use for end-user IT generally more important than embedded C + E, BUT

•  Shifting to more mobile devices (very low direct usage) will change that equation

•  Direct use still dominant for data centers

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The biggest environmental story about information

technology (IT) is not direct electricity use (which is

relatively small) but how IT affects efficiency in the

broader society 24

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Why?

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Page 26: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

IT magnifies our ability to improve decisionmaking (getting smarter is good)

AND

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Page 27: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

Moving electrons is always less environmentally

damaging than moving atoms (dematerializing is good)

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Page 28: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

Getting smarter

•  IT allows better – data collection (e.g. wireless sensor nets) –  real-time control (e.g. industrial processes) – analysis (e.g., Wattbot , which helps

consumers make better energy choices http://www.wattbot.com/)

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Dematerialization

•  Lovins: “Move the electrons, leave the heavy nuclei at home”

•  Examples – Telecommuting – Telepresence (video conferencing) – Sending PDFs instead of documents

Page 30: Whole system redesign for electricity efficiency: Some ... · • Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining

Example: paper vs. PDF

•  Mass of paper = 5 g/sheet •  Mass of electrons to move a 1 MB PDF

file of that page (based on average network electricity intensity of 7 kWh/GB) is 1.7 x 10-5 g

•  Ratio of paper mass to electron mass ~ 300,000

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Conclusions •  Direct electricity use of IT is important BUT •  Indirect effects on economic productivity and

other energy uses are large and mustn’t be ignored –  Getting smarter –  Dematerialization

•  Making IT significantly more efficient requires whole system, clean slate redesign focusing on –  software and hardware –  people and institutions –  direct and indirect effects

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Key web sites

•  EPA on data centers + 2007 Report to Congress http://www.energystar.gov/datacenters

•  LBNL on data centers: http://hightech.lbl.gov/datacenters.html

•  Summary of US total IT electric use in 2000: http://enduse.lbl.gov/Projects/InfoTech.html

•  Wattbot: http://www.wattbot.com/

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References •  Eubank, Huston, Joel Swisher, Cameron Burns, Jen Seal, and Ben Emerson.

2004. Design Recommendations for High-Performance Data Centers: Report of the Integrated Design Charrette (conducted 2-4 February 2003). Old Snowmass, CO: Rocky Mountain Institute.

•  Koomey, Jonathan, Chris Calwell, Skip Laitner, Jane Thornton, Richard E. Brown, Joe Eto, Carrie Webber, and Cathy Cullicott. 2002. "Sorry, wrong number: The use and misuse of numerical facts in analysis and media reporting of energy issues." In Annual Review of Energy and the Environment 2002. Edited by R. H. Socolow, D. Anderson and J. Harte. Palo Alto, CA: Annual Reviews, Inc. (also LBNL-50499). pp. 119-158.

•  Koomey, Jonathan. 2003. "Sorry, Wrong Number: Separating Fact from Fiction in the Information Age." In IEEE Spectrum. June. pp. 11-12.

•  Koomey, Jonathan, Huimin Chong, Woonsien Loh, Bruce Nordman, and Michele Blazek. 2004. "Network electricity use associated with wireless personal digital assistants." The ASCE Journal of Infrastructure Systems (also LBNL-54105). vol. 10, no. 3. September. pp. 131-137.

•  Koomey, Jonathan. 2007a. Estimating regional power consumption by servers: A technical note. Oakland, CA: Analytics Press. December 5. (http://www.amd.com/koomey)

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References (continued) •  Koomey, Jonathan. 2007b. Estimating total power consumption by servers in the

U.S. and the world. Oakland, CA: Analytics Press. February 15. (http://enterprise.amd.com/us-en/AMD-Business/Technology-Home/Power-Management.aspx)

•  Koomey, Jonathan, Kenneth G. Brill, W. Pitt Turner, John R. Stanley, and Bruce Taylor. 2007. A simple model for determining true total cost of ownership for data centers. Santa Fe, NM: The Uptime Institute. September. (http://www.upsite.com/cgi-bin/admin/admin.pl?admin=view_whitepapers)

•  Koomey, Jonathan. 2008. "Worldwide electricity used in data centers." Environmental Research Letters. vol. 3, no. 034008. September 23. <http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/3/034008 >.

•  Taylor, Cody, and Jonathan Koomey. 2008. Estimating energy use and greenhouse gas emissions of Internet advertising. Working paper for IMC2. February 14. <http://imc2.com/Documents/CarbonEmissions.pdf>.

•  Koomey, Jonathan. 2008. Turning Numbers into Knowledge: Mastering the Art of Problem Solving. 2nd ed. Oakland, CA: Analytics Press. <http://www.analyticspress.com>. See Epilogue.