why energy analysis is cloudy without weather data

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Why Energy Analysis Is Cloudy Without Weather Data ©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

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How does weather affect energy usage? This presentation discusses the significance of weather data, and the powerful effects of weather on organization energy use. It also explains the degree day concept, and introduces a free online tool for obtaining a detailed historical weather data history for your location. This presentation has applications for energy management staff and other organization stakeholders who want to obtain and study historical weather data and gain understanding about the effects of weather on monthly utility expenses. -learn about the CBECS building benchmarking database. -discover the value of the degree day concept as an indicator of weather impact on building energy use. -find a free online tool for year-to-year weather comparisons. -view yearly cooling and heating trends. -hear why weather over-analysis can be unhelpful.

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Page 1: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

Why Energy Analysis Is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

Page 2: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

We all know the weather affects the energy consumption of a building.

But how much? 90%? 50%? 10%?

Page 3: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

One way to get a quick idea is via the U.S. Dept of Energy’s extensive CBECS database, the result of surveys of tens of thousands of buildings.

Our CBECS interface is free:www.BuildingBenchmarks.com

Page 4: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

Cooling is 7% of electricity usage

Page 5: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

Heating is 97% of gas usage

Page 6: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

Overall, weather loads are 43%

(47 kbtu/sf) of the 110 kbtu/sf

annual total

Page 7: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

OK, 43% of the total energy bill.

How much can that vary year-to-year?

Enough to cause pain in my budget?

Page 8: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

Here’s the degree day report from free www.WeatherDataDepot.com

Page 9: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

That’s bound to get someone’s attention!

The weather impact on building energy usage is significant and can be analyzed quite easily.

48% increase in degree daysx weather load of 43%

21% budget impact

Page 10: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

Degree Days is a weather metric that’s only useful in the context of building energy usage.

Page 11: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

How are degree days calculated?

1. Set a balance point temp, the outside temp that divides heating and cooling.

2. Calculate the daily difference between balance point and mean daily temp.

3. Track heating separately from cooling.

Page 12: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

Page 13: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

Why bother with degree days?

Why not use the simpler concept of average monthly or average annual temperature?

Page 14: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

High Low Mean HDD CDD

San Diego

Day 1 65 55 60 0 0

Day 2 65 55 60 0 0

Average 60

Denver

Day 1 90 60 75 0 15

Day 2 60 30 45 15 0

Average 60

These cities had the same 60F average temp for two days. Was building energy

usage the same?

Page 15: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

The average annual temperature in San Diego is 65F. The average annual temperature in Dallas is 65F.

In Dallas, annual A/C usage is 160% more and annual heating use is 350% of San Diego. How can that be?

The average annual temperature in Orlando is 72F. The average annual temperature in Phoenix is 72F.

In Phoenix, annual A/C usage is 63% more and annual heating use is 100% more than Orlando.

Huh?

Page 16: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

Conclusions:Use Degree Days because this method tracks heating and cooling needs separately

Average monthly or average annual temperature doesn’t work–the warm and cool days cancel each other out.

Page 17: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

What information does WeatherDataDepot give me?

Page 18: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

1. Monthly Degree Day Comparison Report

Page 19: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

2. Cooling and Heating Cumulative Trends

Page 20: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

3. Monthly Trends

Page 21: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

4. Drill down to Daily Data

Page 22: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

5. Copy to Excel

Page 23: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

6. Degree Day Forecast, next 14 days

Page 24: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

7. Extensive FAQs

Page 25: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

8. Your Own Personalized Link

Page 26: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

9. Station Location and Excel File

Page 27: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

What about humidity, cloud cover, wind velocity?

Huge increase in data cost and computational complexity

Historical and current data for many fewer sites

No significant analytical improvement

Page 28: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com

Presented by EnergyCAP, Inc.EnergyCAP is used by organizations that receive many utility bills for bill processing, energy reporting and analytics

Over 30 years as industry leader; first release in 1982. (The predecessor software was FASER Energy Accounting).

Web-based and on-premise versions.

Financially secure. No debt. No VC funds.

EnergyCAP software is all we do—we don’t sell hardware, retrofits, consulting, bill payment outsourcing, procurement.

Page 29: Why Energy Analysis is Cloudy Without Weather Data

2,100 organizations use EnergyCAP.City Government (Phoenix, Philadelphia, San Francisco, Baltimore,

Sacramento, Virginia Beach, Tampa, Denver, Jacksonville, Oklahoma City, Cleveland)

County Government (Orange, Riverside, Santa Barbara CA; Loudoun, Fairfax, Chesterfield VA; Miami Dade, Charlotte FL)

Federal (USMC, Smithsonian, U.S. Dept of Energy Labs)

Commercial (Ryder, Equity Residential, Forest City, BJs Wholesale Clubs, CBRE, Northrop Grumman)

Education (800+ school districts, SUNY system, Univ of CA system, UCF, Univ of Kansas)

©2014 EnergyCAP, Inc. ▪ @energycap ▪ #energyleader ▪ www.EnergyCAP.com