why lean requires moving beyond budgeting · 5. can stretch beyond the breaking point...
TRANSCRIPT
Lean Accounting & Management DIRECT – November 8, 2017
Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA
Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting
About the Speakers
2
• Steve Player serves as the Managing Director of Live Future Ready. He is also leads the Beyond Budgeting Round Table North America (BBRTNA) working with companies to implement continuous planning processes.
• Steve has over 30 years experience improving performance management
• Steve is the co-author of Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting and Beyond Performance Management as well as five other books.
• Steve interviews CFOs for the “CFOThoughtLeaders.com website discussing innovative finance and planning processes.
Steve Player
Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA
Today’s Agenda – Moving Beyond Budgeting
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1. Identifying Waste within the Budget
2. Crafting the Case for Change
a. Dissatisfaction
b. Vision (using the 12 Beyond Budgeting Principles)
c. First Steps (using driver-based rolling forecasts)
d. Resistance (sharing ways others have overcome)
3. Your Next Steps (including Q&A)
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What is the real objective of our organization?
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Clean sheet?
or
Cumulative Cost Structure Profile?
Budget
4
5
5 YEAR
STRATEGIC VISION
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What does that require?
CURRENT POSITION
• Ongoing Operations• Expected economic changes• Maintenance Activities• Reorganizations
• Initiatives• Major Projects• Acquisitions• Divestitures
Traditional Budgets Block Your Efforts to Become Lean
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Hold in stock
Agree fixed plan“the budget”
Produce to the plan
Persuade customer to
buy
Resources
Stock for sale
Customer
Production units
1
2
3
4
Source: Bulmers
Produce to meet demand
Coordinate according to
demand
Anticipate demand and
estimate capacity
Coordinate production
Customer
Production units
1
2
3
Resources 4Acquire
resources
Push Pull
Lean Approach to Improvement by Identifying Waste
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Eight Types of Muda (Waste):1. Defects2. Overproduction (of items not needed)3. Inventories (awaiting further processing)4. Unnecessary processing5. Unnecessary movement of people6. Unnecessary transport of goods7. Waiting (unbalanced work flows)8. Design of outputs that do not meet users’ needs
Source: Taiichi Ohno, expanded by Womack & Jones
Budget Pain
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Seven Common Problems1. Takes too long
2. Costs too much
3. Based on assumptions that are nearly always wrong.
4. Erodes the ethical foundation of the organization.
5. Causes unnecessary spending.
6. Gives the illusion of control
7. Budgeting sucks the big ideas out of the organization.
Five More Common Problems1. Limits flexibility
2. Creates sense of entitlement
3. Sacrifices what is most important for most urgent
4. Pulls the organization apart instead of pushing together
5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point
Axson’s Mythbuster Wisdom1. Time consuming
2. Too much detail
3. Always sand bagged
4. Bogged down by allocations
5. Rewards the best “games” players (negotiated)
6. Tied to the calendar not the business
7. Run by the accountants
8. Solely focused on the financials
9. No sense of materiality
10. Ignores risk
11. Weak ownership
12. Poor accountability
13. Focused on the wrong stuff
14. More a negotiation than a plan
15. Bears little relation to the business strategy
16. Gives a false sense of accuracy
17. Too internally focused
18. Largely obsolete the day it was created
19. Difficult to update
20. Created using thousands of spreadsheets
SOURCE: The Management Mythbusters, Axson, (2010, Wiley)
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The Formula for Successful Change
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D x V x F > RD = Dissatisfaction
V = Vision for change
F = Known first steps
R = Resistance to change
Vision: 12 Beyond Budgeting Principles
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Change in leadership
Governance & transparency
1. Values – Bind people to a common cause; not to a
central plan
2. Governance – Govern through shared values and
sound judgement; not detailed rules and regulations
3. Transparency - Make information open and
transparent; don’t restrict and control it
Accountable teams
4. Teams - Organize around a seamless network of
accountable teams; not around centralized functions
5. Trust – Trust teams to regulate and improve their
performance; don’t micro-manage them
6. Accountability – Base accountability on holistic
criteria and peer reviews; not on hierarchical
relationships
Change in processes
Goals & rewards
7. Goals – Set ambitious medium-term goals; not short-
term fixed targets
8. Rewards – Base rewards on relative performance; not
on meeting fixed targets
Planning & Controls
9. Planning - Make planning a continuous and inclusive
process; not a top-down annual event
10. Coordination - Coordinate interactions dynamically;
not through annual budgets and planning cycles
11. Resources - Make resources available as needed;
not through annual budget allocations
12. Controls - Base controls on fast, frequent feedback;
not on budget variances
Source: The Leader’s Dilemma, Hope, Bunce, and Röösli (2011, John Wiley & Sons)
Separate budget purposes to become more effective
• Aspirational
• Relative
• Self-Imposed
• Unbiased
• Continuous
• Rolling
• Dynamic
• Just in time
• Cost/Benefit
SOURCE: Adapted from Implementing Beyond Budgeting, Bogsnes, (2017, Wiley)
Step 1Separate
Step 2Improve
• Holistic
• KPIs/Trends
• Improvement
Target setting
Forecasting Resource allocation
Measureresults
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Target Setting – The Basics
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FIVE YEAR
STRATEGIC GOALS
CURRENT POSITION
X
ONE YEAR PLAN?
??
?
your
Target 10%
Improvement
Projection
plan?
Actual Trend
= 6% growth
Qtr. 1 Qtr. 2 Qtr. 3 Qtr. 4
is
What
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Become Future Ready…Operational
Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting
Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA
Includes 30 design principles: What is the purpose of your
business forecasting process?
What kind of changes lie outside the scope of your forecast process?
Mastering:• Purpose• Time• Models• Measurement• Risk• Process
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Impact of activities
business as
usual
not
risk
positive errors
forecast
negative errors
TIMELY …in good time to take action
ACTIONABLE
…good forecasts have
information about
things we can change…
RELIABLE…unbiased (+ errors = - errors)
with an acceptable (known) level
of variation…
ALIGNED…pointing in the same
direction…
COST
EFFECTIVE…right first time - no
rework or waste
Five Attributes of Diamond Level Forecasting
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Recap of Main Points
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1. Traditional budgets block your efforts to become lean.
2. Utilize the change formula when crafting your case for change.
3. Targets, forecasts, and driver diagrams are the tools to help
your organization move beyond budgeting.
4. Objections can be overcome, past implementers are proof.
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Replace 1 Year Budgets with continuous driver-based planning
Questions?
To learn more...
Attend our longer training classes on Implementing Beyond Budgeting and Mastering Rolling Forecast.
Join the Beyond Budgeting Round Table North America
Read Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting by Steve Morlidge and Steve Player (Wiley)
For additional information call Steve Player at 214-239-0155 or send an email to [email protected]
18Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA