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Lean Accounting & Management DIRECT – November 8, 2017 Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting

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Page 1: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Lean Accounting & Management DIRECT – November 8, 2017

Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting

Page 2: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

About the Speakers

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• Steve Player serves as the Managing Director of Live Future Ready. He is also leads the Beyond Budgeting Round Table North America (BBRTNA) working with companies to implement continuous planning processes.

• Steve has over 30 years experience improving performance management

• Steve is the co-author of Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting and Beyond Performance Management as well as five other books.

• Steve interviews CFOs for the “CFOThoughtLeaders.com website discussing innovative finance and planning processes.

Steve Player

Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

Page 3: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Today’s Agenda – Moving Beyond Budgeting

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1. Identifying Waste within the Budget

2. Crafting the Case for Change

a. Dissatisfaction

b. Vision (using the 12 Beyond Budgeting Principles)

c. First Steps (using driver-based rolling forecasts)

d. Resistance (sharing ways others have overcome)

3. Your Next Steps (including Q&A)

Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

Page 4: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

What is the real objective of our organization?

Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

Clean sheet?

or

Cumulative Cost Structure Profile?

Budget

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Page 5: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

5

5 YEAR

STRATEGIC VISION

Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

What does that require?

CURRENT POSITION

• Ongoing Operations• Expected economic changes• Maintenance Activities• Reorganizations

• Initiatives• Major Projects• Acquisitions• Divestitures

Page 6: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Traditional Budgets Block Your Efforts to Become Lean

6Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

Hold in stock

Agree fixed plan“the budget”

Produce to the plan

Persuade customer to

buy

Resources

Stock for sale

Customer

Production units

1

2

3

4

Source: Bulmers

Produce to meet demand

Coordinate according to

demand

Anticipate demand and

estimate capacity

Coordinate production

Customer

Production units

1

2

3

Resources 4Acquire

resources

Push Pull

Page 7: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Lean Approach to Improvement by Identifying Waste

7Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

Eight Types of Muda (Waste):1. Defects2. Overproduction (of items not needed)3. Inventories (awaiting further processing)4. Unnecessary processing5. Unnecessary movement of people6. Unnecessary transport of goods7. Waiting (unbalanced work flows)8. Design of outputs that do not meet users’ needs

Source: Taiichi Ohno, expanded by Womack & Jones

Page 8: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Budget Pain

Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

Seven Common Problems1. Takes too long

2. Costs too much

3. Based on assumptions that are nearly always wrong.

4. Erodes the ethical foundation of the organization.

5. Causes unnecessary spending.

6. Gives the illusion of control

7. Budgeting sucks the big ideas out of the organization.

Five More Common Problems1. Limits flexibility

2. Creates sense of entitlement

3. Sacrifices what is most important for most urgent

4. Pulls the organization apart instead of pushing together

5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point

Axson’s Mythbuster Wisdom1. Time consuming

2. Too much detail

3. Always sand bagged

4. Bogged down by allocations

5. Rewards the best “games” players (negotiated)

6. Tied to the calendar not the business

7. Run by the accountants

8. Solely focused on the financials

9. No sense of materiality

10. Ignores risk

11. Weak ownership

12. Poor accountability

13. Focused on the wrong stuff

14. More a negotiation than a plan

15. Bears little relation to the business strategy

16. Gives a false sense of accuracy

17. Too internally focused

18. Largely obsolete the day it was created

19. Difficult to update

20. Created using thousands of spreadsheets

SOURCE: The Management Mythbusters, Axson, (2010, Wiley)

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Page 9: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

The Formula for Successful Change

9Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

D x V x F > RD = Dissatisfaction

V = Vision for change

F = Known first steps

R = Resistance to change

Page 10: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Vision: 12 Beyond Budgeting Principles

10Copyright 2016 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

Change in leadership

Governance & transparency

1. Values – Bind people to a common cause; not to a

central plan

2. Governance – Govern through shared values and

sound judgement; not detailed rules and regulations

3. Transparency - Make information open and

transparent; don’t restrict and control it

Accountable teams

4. Teams - Organize around a seamless network of

accountable teams; not around centralized functions

5. Trust – Trust teams to regulate and improve their

performance; don’t micro-manage them

6. Accountability – Base accountability on holistic

criteria and peer reviews; not on hierarchical

relationships

Change in processes

Goals & rewards

7. Goals – Set ambitious medium-term goals; not short-

term fixed targets

8. Rewards – Base rewards on relative performance; not

on meeting fixed targets

Planning & Controls

9. Planning - Make planning a continuous and inclusive

process; not a top-down annual event

10. Coordination - Coordinate interactions dynamically;

not through annual budgets and planning cycles

11. Resources - Make resources available as needed;

not through annual budget allocations

12. Controls - Base controls on fast, frequent feedback;

not on budget variances

Source: The Leader’s Dilemma, Hope, Bunce, and Röösli (2011, John Wiley & Sons)

Page 11: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Separate budget purposes to become more effective

• Aspirational

• Relative

• Self-Imposed

• Unbiased

• Continuous

• Rolling

• Dynamic

• Just in time

• Cost/Benefit

SOURCE: Adapted from Implementing Beyond Budgeting, Bogsnes, (2017, Wiley)

Step 1Separate

Step 2Improve

• Holistic

• KPIs/Trends

• Improvement

Target setting

Forecasting Resource allocation

Measureresults

Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA11

Page 12: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Target Setting – The Basics

12Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

FIVE YEAR

STRATEGIC GOALS

CURRENT POSITION

X

ONE YEAR PLAN?

??

?

Page 13: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

your

Target 10%

Improvement

Projection

plan?

Actual Trend

= 6% growth

Qtr. 1 Qtr. 2 Qtr. 3 Qtr. 4

is

What

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Become Future Ready…Operational

Page 14: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting

Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA

Includes 30 design principles: What is the purpose of your

business forecasting process?

What kind of changes lie outside the scope of your forecast process?

Mastering:• Purpose• Time• Models• Measurement• Risk• Process

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Page 15: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Impact of activities

business as

usual

not

risk

positive errors

forecast

negative errors

TIMELY …in good time to take action

ACTIONABLE

…good forecasts have

information about

things we can change…

RELIABLE…unbiased (+ errors = - errors)

with an acceptable (known) level

of variation…

ALIGNED…pointing in the same

direction…

COST

EFFECTIVE…right first time - no

rework or waste

Five Attributes of Diamond Level Forecasting

Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA 15 15

Page 16: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Recap of Main Points

Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA 16

1. Traditional budgets block your efforts to become lean.

2. Utilize the change formula when crafting your case for change.

3. Targets, forecasts, and driver diagrams are the tools to help

your organization move beyond budgeting.

4. Objections can be overcome, past implementers are proof.

Page 17: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

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Replace 1 Year Budgets with continuous driver-based planning

Page 18: Why Lean Requires Moving Beyond Budgeting · 5. Can stretch beyond the breaking point Axson’sMythbuster Wisdom 1. Time consuming 2. Too much detail 3. Always sand bagged 4. Bogged

Questions?

To learn more...

Attend our longer training classes on Implementing Beyond Budgeting and Mastering Rolling Forecast.

Join the Beyond Budgeting Round Table North America

Read Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting by Steve Morlidge and Steve Player (Wiley)

For additional information call Steve Player at 214-239-0155 or send an email to [email protected]

18Copyright 2017 © Live Future Ready | BBRTNA