winning hearts and minds? examining the relationship between aid and security in afghanistan
TRANSCRIPT
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Strengthening the humanity and dignity of people in crisis through knowledge and practice
Winning Hearts and Minds?
Examining the Relationship between
Aid and Security in Aghanistan
January 2012
Paul Fishstein and Andrew Wilder
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2011 Feinstein International Center. All Rights Reserved.
Fair use o this copyrighted material includes its use or non-commercial educational
purposes, such as teaching, scholarship, research, criticism, commentary, and news
reporting. Unless otherwise noted, those who wish to reproduce text and image fles
rom this publication or such uses may do so without the Feinstein International
Centers express permission. However, all commercial use o this material and/or
reproduction that alters its meaning or intent, without the express permission o the
Feinstein International Center, is prohibited.
Feinstein International Center
Tuts University
200 Boston Ave., Suite 4800
Medord, MA 02155
USA
tel: +1 617.627.3423
ax: +1 617.627.3428
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Authors
Paul Fishstein is a visiting Fellow at the Feinstein International Center at Tuts
University, Medord, Massachusetts. Andrew Wilder is Director, Aghanistan and
Pakistan Programs, United States Institute or Peace, Washington, District o Columbia
and ormer Research Director at the Feinstein International Center.
Acknowledgements
The authors wish to thank the ollowing people and institutions and acknowledge their
contribution to the research:
ResearchcolleaguesAhmadHakeem(Shajay),SayedYaseenNaqshpa,Ahmad
Gul,SayedYaqeen,FaraidoonShariq,andGeertGompelmanfortheirassistanceand
insights as well as companionship in the eld.
FrancesBrown,DavidKatz,DavidManseld,andAstriSuhrkefortheirsubstantive
comments and suggestions on a drat version.
Will iamThompsonandDAIforfacilitatingeldresearchinPaktiaProvince,AusAIDstaandtheUNAMAoceinTarinKotforfacilitatingeldresearchin
UruzganProvince,andtheACTEDoceinMaimanaforfacilitatingeldresearch
in Faryab Province.
RobertGrantandtheWiltonParkconferencecenterfortheirjointsponsorshipof
theMarch2010conferenceonWinningHeartsandMindsinAfghanistan:
AssessingtheEectivenessofDevelopmentAidinCOINOperations.
StaoftheAfghanistanResearchandEvaluationUnit(AREU)forsupportduring
visits to Aghanistan.
PaulFishsteinalsowishestothanktheCarrCenterforHumanRightsPolicyatthe
HarvardKennedySchoolforthefellowshipduringwhichmuchofthisworkwasdone.
TheBalkh,Faryab,andUruzgananalysisbenettedfromhistoricalandpolitical
backgroundoverviewsproducedbyMervynPattersonandMartinevanBijlert,leading
analysts o these provinces. The section on the evolution o security-driven aid
benetted rom the very substantive contribution o Dr. Stuart Gordon.
Thanks go to Joyce Maxwell or her editorial guidance and or helping to clariy
unclearpassages,andtoBridgetSnowforherecientandpatientworkonthe
production o the nal document.
Thank you
Generous unding or the research was provided by the Aghanistan Research and
EvaluationUnit(AREU),theAustralianAgencyforInternationalDevelopment
(AusAID),theRoyalNorwegianMinistryofForeignAairs,andtheSwedish
InternationalDevelopmentCooperationAgency(SIDA).
Cover photo
U.S.militaryandchildrenathealthcenter,Helmand
PhotobyKateHolt/IntegratedRegionalInformationNetworks(IRIN)
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Acknowledgements
Glossary o non-English words and expressions vii
Acronyms and abbreviations viii
Executive Summary
1. Introduction 8
1.1 Purpose, rationale, and description o study 8
1.2 Methodology 10
1.3 Similar and related research in Aghanistan 11
2. Evolution o security-driven aid 13
2.1 Current approaches 15
3. Aid and security in Aghanistan 20
3.1 Provincial background 20
3.2 Models used or employing aid in the ve provinces 21
4. Drivers o conict and insecurity 29
4.1 Corruption, poor governance, and predatory government 29 4.2Ethnic,tribal,andfactionalissues 31
4.3 Poverty and unemployment 34
4.4 International military orces 35
4.5 Religious extremism 36
4.6 Confict over scarce resources 38
4.7Pakistanandtheotherneighbors 38
4.8Opportunitiesforinsurgentstoexploitgrievances 40
5. Perceptions o aid projects 41
5.1Nothing,ornotenough,wasdone 42
5.2Inequitabledistribution:Theygotmorethanwedid 42
5.3 Corruption 44
5.4Wrongkindofprojects 46
5.5Poorlyimplemented(lowquality) 47
5.6Non-sustainable 50
5.7 Positive views: Some good news 51
Contents
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6. The stabilizing and destabilizing eects o aid 54
6.1 Addressing the wrong drivers o insecurity 57
6.2 Subverted by insurgents 60
6.3Poorqualityofimplementation 61
6.4Destabilizinginuencesofaid 61
6.4.1 Corruption 61
6.4.2 Competition over resources: The war-aid economy and perverse incentives 62
6.4.3 Reinorcing inequalities and creating perceived winners and losers 64
6.4.4 Regional disparities 64
7. Summary o conclusions and recommendations 67
Annex A: Research Methodology 72
Bibliography 78
v
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MAP
vi
Map credit: Hans C. Ege Wenger, Tufts University
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Glossary o non-EnGlish words and ExprEssions
arbab/khan Headofcommunityortribe
arbakai Tribal security orces indigenous to the Loya Paktia region. The term has been
inormally adopted to reer to irregular local security orces.
bakhsheesh Financial git, usual ly small, oered as a avor to accomplish a task
jihad Holywar,usuallyreferringtothe197992waragainsttheSovietoccupation
jihadi Commander or political leader who gained his strength during thejihadyears
(197992)
karez Traditionalirrigationsystemthattapsaquifersandbringswatertothesurface
through oten-lengthy underground canals
komak Help,aid,orassistance
kuchis Nomads
kunjala Type o animal eed
madrassa Religious school or training academymahroum Deprived, let out, oten with the implication o being discriminated against
malek Local leader
mujahidin Guerillaswhofoughtinthe197992waragainsttheSovietoccupation(literally,
those who ghtjihad,orholywar)
mullah Religious leader
sharia Islamic law
shura Council
sudh Usury, excessive interest rates
tak o took A bit o noise
talib Islamicstudent(singularoftaliban)
tanzim Organizationorpoliticalparty
tashkil Approvedstangpatternorlistofsanctionedpostsinagovernmentoce
tekadar Contractor, one who does a piece o work or payment
ulama Sunni religious scholars
wasita Personal relationship or connection oten used to obtain a avor such as employment
or processing o paperwork
woleswal District administrator or governor; i.e., one who administers a woleswali
woleswali Administrative division within a province
zulm Cruelty
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acronyms and abbrEviations
ADF Australian Deense Force
ANA AfghanNationalArmy
ANP AfghanNationalPolice
ANSF AfghanNationalSecurityForces
AREU AfghanistanResearchandEvaluationUnit
AusAID Australian Agency or International Development
CDC Community Development Council
CERP CommandersEmergencyResponseProgram
CFW Cash-For-Work
CIMIC Civil-Military Cooperation
COIN Counterinsurgency
CSO CentralStatisticsOrganization
DDR Disarmament,Demobilization,andReintegrationDFID DepartmentforInternationalDevelopment(UK)
DOD DepartmentofDefense(U.S.)
DODD DepartmentofDefenseDirective
EQUIP EducationQualityImprovementProgram
EU EuropeanUnion
FATA Federal ly Administered Tribal Areas
FCO ForeignandCommonwealthOce(UK)
FIC Feinstein International Center
GAO GovernmentAccountabilityOce(U.S.)
GIRoA Government o the Islamic Republic o Aghanistan
IDP Internally displaced person
IED Improvisedexplosivedevice
IMF International military orces
ISAF International Security Assistance Force
MOD MinistryofDefense(UK)
MRRD Ministry o Rural Rehabilitation and Development
NATO NorthAtlanticTreatyOrganization
NGO Non-governmentalorganization
NSP NationalSolidarityProgram
ODA OcialDevelopmentAssistance
OECD OrganizationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment
PDC Provincial Development Committee
PRT Provincial Reconstruction Team
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PsyOps PsychologicalOperations
QDR QuadrennialDefenseReview
QIP QuickImpactProject
S/CRS OceoftheCoordinatorforReconstructionandStabilization(U.S.)
SIDA Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency
SIGAR SpecialInspectorGeneralforAfghanistanReconstruction(U.S.)
START StabilisationandReconstructionTaskForce(Canada)
UNOCHA UnitedNationsOceofCoordinatorforHumanitarianAairs
UNAMA UnitedNationsAssistanceMissionforAfghanistan
UNFPA UnitedNationsPopulationFund
UNTAG UnitedNationsTransitionAssistanceGroup
USDA U.S. Department o Agriculture
USG United States Government
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Politicalandsecurityobjectiveshavealways
infuenced U.S. oreign assistance policies and
priorities.Since9/11,however,developmentaid
forcountrieslikeAfghanistan,Iraq,andPakistan
hasincreasinglyandexplicitlybeenmilitarized
and subsumed into the national security agenda.
In the U.S. as well as in other western nations,
the re-structuring o aid programs to refect the
prevailing oreign policy agenda o conronting
globalterrorismhashadamajorimpacton
development strategies, priorities, and structures.
The widely held assumption in military and
oreign policy circles that development assistance
isanimportantsoftpowertooltowinconsent
or the presence o oreign troops in potentially
hostileareas,andtopromotestabilizationandsecurityobjectives,assumesarelationship
between poverty and insecurity that is shared by
many in the development and humanitar ian
community.
Theassumptionthataidprojectsimprove
security has had a number o implications or the
U.S.andotherwesterndonors,including:1)a
sharpincreaseindevelopmentassistance;2)an
increasing percentage o assistance programmedbased on strategic security considerations rather
thanonthebasisofpovertyandneed;and,3)a
much greater role or the military or combined
civil-military teams in activities that were
traditionally the preserve o development and
humanitarianorganizations.Atthesametime,
civilian agencies, including non-governmental
organizations,havealsobeenincreasingly
enlistedinaidanddevelopmentprojectsthat
haveexplicitstabilizationobjectives.
Given how widespread the assumption is, and
givenitsmajorimpactonaidand
counterinsurgency policies, there is l ittle
empirical evidence that supports the assumption
that reconstruction assistance is an eective tool
towinheartsandminds,andimprovesecurity
orstabilizationincounterinsurgencycontexts.
To help address this lack o evidence, the
FeinsteinInternationalCenter(FIC)atTufts
University conducted a comparative study inAfghanistanandtheHornofAfricatoexamine
theeectivenessofaidprojectsinpromoting
securityobjectivesinstabilizationand
counterinsurgency contexts.
This paper presents a summary o the ndings
rom the Aghanistan study. Research was
conducted in ve provinces, three in the south
andeast(Helmand,Paktia,andUruzgan)which
were considered insecure and two in the north
(BalkhandFaryab)whichwereconsidered
relativelysecure,aswellasinKabulcity.
Through interviews and ocus group discussions
with a range o respondents in key institutions
and in communities, views were elicited on the
drivers o insecurity, characteristics o aid
projectsandaidimplementers(includingthe
military),andeectsofaidprojectsonthepopularity o aid actors and on security.
Drivers o insecurity
The study rst tr ied to understand the drivers o
insecurity in the ve provinces in order to be
abletoassesswhetheraidprojectswere
addressing them. The main reported drivers o
confict or insecurity were poor governance,
corruption,andpredatoryocials;ethnic,tribal,or actional confict; poverty and unemployment;
behaviorofforeignforces(includingcivilian
casualties, night raids, and disrespect or Aghan
culture);competitionforscarceresources(e.g.,
water,land);criminalityandnarcotics(and
counter-narcotics);ideologyorreligious
extremism; and, the geopolitical policies o
Pakistan and other regional neighbors. Many o
these actors are complex, intertwined, and
overlapping,soitwasdiculttoisolatethe
strength and infuences o each. Respondents
gave notably dierent weight to the various
actors in the dierent provinces. In the southern
and eastern provinces, poor governance and
tribal and actional conficts were given more
weight, while in the northern provinces poverty
and unemployment were given more weight. In
the south and east, the actions o the
international military were reported to be an
important source o insecurity, whereas in the
north international military orces weregenerally seen as more o a source o security. A
common theme that cut across many thematic
ExEcUtivE sUmmary
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andgeographicalareaswasthatofinjustice,
includingtheperceivedinjusticethatafew
corruptocialsandpowerbrokerswere
beneting disproportionally rom international
assistanceattheexpenseofthemajorityof
Aghans. Insurgents were described as adept at
taking advantage o the opportunities oered by
communitiesgrievancesandperceptionsofinjustice.
Perceptions o aid projects
The study looked at whether and how aid
projectsaddressedthedriversofinsecurity
identiedbyrespondentsand/orwereeectiveat
winning hearts and minds. The research ound
thatdevelopmentprojects,ratherthangenerating
good will and positive perceptions, were
consistently described negatively by Aghans.
Responsessuggestedthatnotonlywereprojects
not winning people over to the government side,
but perceptions o the misuse and abuse o aid
resources were in many cases ueling the
growing distrust o the government, creating
enemies, or at least generating skepticism
regarding the role o the government and aid
agencies.Thechiefcomplaintswerethatprojects
wereinsucient,bothintermsofquantityand
ofquality;unevenlydistributedgeographically,politically, and socially; and, above all, associated
with extensive corruption, especially those that
involved multiple levels o subcontracting.
Communities did provide positive views on the
NationalSolidarityProgram(NSP),some
signicant and highly visible inrastructure
projects,andlong-servingaidagenciesthathad
established relationships with communities.
Stabilizing and destabilizing eects o aid
While the environments in the ve provinces
diered, a number o consistent observations
emerged concerning the eectiveness o aid
projectsinpromotingshort-andlong-term
stabilizationobjectives.First,insomeareasaid
projectsseemedtohavehadsomeshort-term
positive security eects at a tactical level,
including reported intelligence gathering gains
and some limited orce protection benets or
internationalforces.Insomecasesaidprojects
also helped to acilitate creating relationships, in
partbyprovidingaplatformorcontextto
legitimizeinteractionbetweeninternationaland
localactorswhowouldotherwisenditdicult
tomeet.However,despitetheselimitedtactical
benets, there was little concrete evidence in any
oftheveprovincesthataidprojectswere
havingmorestrategiclevelstabilizationorsecurity benets such as winning populations
awayfrominsurgents,legitimizingthe
government, or reducing levels o violent
confict.
The research actually ound more evidence o
thedestabilizingratherthanthestabilizing
eects o aid, especially in insecure areas where
the pressures to spend large amounts o money
quicklyweregreatest.Themostdestabilizing
aspect o the war-aid economy was in ueling
massivecorruptionthatservedtodelegitimize
thegovernment.Otherdestabilizingeects
included: generating competition and confict
over aid resources, oten along actional, tribal or
ethnic lines; creating perverse incentives to
maintain an insecure environment, as was the
case with security contractors who were reported
tobecreatingaproblemtosolveaproblem;
ueling conficts between communities over
locations o roads and the hiring o laborers; and,causing resentment by reinorcing existing
inequalitiesandfurtherstrengtheningdominant
groups, oten allied with political leaders and
regional strongmen, at the expense o others.
The research ound that while the drivers o
insecurity and confict in Aghanistan are varied
and complex, the root causes are oten political
in nature, especially in terms o competition or
power and resources between and among ethnic,tribal, and actional groups. International
stabilizationprojects,however,tendedtolay
more emphasis on socio-economic rather than
political drivers o confict, and thereore
primarily ocused on addressing issues such as
unemployment, illiteracy, lack o social services,
andinadequateinfrastructuresuchasroads.Asa
result,aidprojectswereoftennotaddressingthe
main sources o confict, and in some cases ueled
confict by distributing resources that rival
groups then ought over.
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Conclusions and recommendations
The ollowing section highlights the main
conclusions and recommendations o this study,
which are largely consistent with ndings rom
several other evaluations and studies looking at
the relationship between aid and security in
Aghanistan. There is growing awareness bycivilian and military actors o some o the issues
raised here, and steps have been taken to address
someofthem.However,progresshasoftenbeen
slow because many o the institutional incentives
or why aid unds are spent in ways that can be
ineectiveordestabilizingremainunchanged.
1. Primacy o political over economic
drivers o conict
In the more insecure areas the reasons identied
by interviewees or insecurity and opposition to
thegovernmentwererelatedmostfrequentlyto
political issues such as the corrupt and predatory
behavior o government actors. Most
stabilizationinitiatives,however,have
emphasizedeconomicdriversofconict
ocusing on poverty, unemployment, illiteracy,
delivery o social services, and building o
inrastructure. In the less insurgency-aected
areas, where poverty and unemployment weregiven as more important drivers o confict,
well-delivered, confict-sensitive aid
interventions may have been more eective at
helping to consolidate stability than aid in
insecure areas was in reversing instabil ity.
The population-centered counterinsurgency
(COIN)approachofwinningthepopulation
away rom insurgents and over to the
government struggled to gain traction in partbecausethegovernmentsleadershipnever
seemedtosharetheobjectiveofwinningover
the population, and instead oten pursued a
patronage-based approach to buy the support o
local strongmen. Furthermore, the U.S. and
manyofitsNATO/ISAF(InternationalSecurity
AssistanceForce)allieshadcontradictory
strategies o simultaneously wanting to provide
services and good government to win over the
population, but also supporting local strongmen
whose predatory behavior alienated the localpopulation. Aid delivered by or associated with
corruptocialsorstrongmenwhowereinmany
cases responsible or alienating people in the rst
place has, not surprisingly, proven to be an
ineective way o winning people over to the
government. Lack o progress on governance has
not primarily been due to lack o money, but to
a lack o political will or a shared strategy on the
part o the government and the internationalcommunity to push a consistent reorm agenda.
Recommendations:
Focusmoreonidentifyingthedriversof
confict and alienation, and i these are
primarily political, governance, and rule-o-
law related, do not assume they can eectively
be addressed through primarily socio-
economic interventions.
Theinternationalcommunityshouldtakea
better-coordinated and more orceul stand on
certain key issues that would help promote
bettergovernance(e.g.,merit-based
appointments into key national and sub-
national positions, more rigorous anti-
corruption measures including better
monitoring o donor expenditures, avoiding
all iances with notorious strongmen known or
corruptandpredatorybehavior).
2. Spending too much too quickly can be
counterproductive less can be more
Pressuretospendtoomuchmoneytooquicklyis
not only wasteul, but undermines both security
anddevelopmentobjectives,especiallyin
insecure environments with weak institutions.
However,powerfulcareerandinstitutional
incentivesoftencontributetoquantitybeingprioritizedandrewardedoverquality.These
incentives include the strong bureaucratic
imperative to grow budgets as much as possible,
andtothenspendasmuchmoneyasquicklyas
possibleinordertojustifyfurtherbudget
growth; or Provincial Reconstruction Teams
(PRTs),todemonstrateperformanceduring
short-termrotationsbasedonthequantityof
unds expended rather than on the impact that
the unded activities have had; or many
contractorsandNGOs,togenerateoverheadfundingforheadquartersbasedonprogram
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budgetsspent.TheexperienceoftheNSPand
someotherdevelopmentprojectssuggeststhat,
intermsofdevelopment,qualityshouldnotbe
sacricedforthesakeofquantity.Theresearch
suggeststhatintermsofpotentialstabilizing
benets as well as positive development
outcomes, the process o development, especially
in building and sustaining relationships, despitebeing time-consuming, is as i not more
important than the product o development.
Unortunately, there are ew incentives or
spending less money more eectively over time.
Discussions with individual eld-level actors as
wellasseniorocialsconrmthattheproblem
is oten not that we do not know what needs to
be done, but rather that institutional incentives
rewardgettingandspendingmoney.Lessis
morecanneverbearealitywhenmoreis
moreisrewarded.
Recommendations:
Provideincentivesforqualityandimpactof
aidspendingoverquantity.Aidmoneyshould
only be committed when it can be spent in an
eective and accountable manner.
Addresstheuseitorloseitproblem,
whereby budgets are oreited i not spent, byallowing unused budget amounts to be rolled
over into ollowing years, establishing multi-
year predictable unding, and making more
use o longer-term trust und-type
mechanisms that could be drawn down based
on need rather than annual budget cycles.
These approaches would reduce the current
institutional incentives and negative eects o
spending too much too ast, while also
conveying a sense o long-term commitmentto Aghanistan.
3. Insucient attention has been paid to
the political economy o aid in
Aghanistan
Animportantconsequenceofthepressureto
spendtooquicklyhasbeeninadequate
consideration o incentive structures acing
policy makers, donors, implementers, and
communities.Evidencefromthisaswellasother studies indicates that the way in which aid
has been delivered has contributed to instability
through reinorcing uneven and oppressive
power relationships, avoring or being perceived
to avor one community or individual over
others, and providing a valuable resource or
actorstoghtover.Themostdestabilizing
aspect o the war-aid economy in Aghanistan,
however, has been its role in ueling corruption,whichdelegitimizesboththegovernmentand
the international community. Under the current
statusquoofweakinstitutionsandinsecurity,
some powerul actors are doing very well, and so
have little incentive to push or change.
Recommendations:
Investmoreinunderstandingthepolitical
economy o aid, including local confict
dynamics, the impact o the war-aid economy
on these dynamics, the perceived winners and
losers o aid programs, and the role o these
programsinlegitimizing(ordelegitimizing)
the government.
Givemoreattentiontounderstandingthe
incentive structures o national and
international civilian and military institutions
in terms o aid delivery, and the impact o
these incentive structures on the eectivedelivery o development assistance.
4. Insecurity rather than security is
rewarded
Becausetheprimaryobjectiveofpost-2001U.S.
aid to Aghanistan has not been development or
its own sake but rather the promotion o security
objectives,fundingforinsecureareashastaken
priority over secure areas. Thereore, the bulk oU.S. civilian and military development assistance
unds in Aghanistan have been spent in
insurgency-aected provinces in the south and
east. The last several years have seen an even
greaterprioritizationoftheinsecureareasdespite
the lack o evidence that the aid unds being
spent are promoting stabil ity or improving
attitudes towards the Aghan government and
the international community. The ndings rom
this study and other research suggest that aid is
more eectively spent in secure regions wheregood development practice and stronger
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oversight is more easible, and less money has to
be spent on security. The research also suggests
that in areas where insecurity remained chronic
and governance structures broken, spending
resources(e.g.,forroadbuilding)risksfueling
corruption(bothperceivedandreal),inter-
communal strie, and competition among local
power-brokers. There is evidence that ininsecure areas local strongmen with militias that
werebeingpaidtoprovidesecurityrecognized
the need to perpetuate insecurity. The
prioritizationofinsecureoversecureareasisnot
surprisinglybeingbitterlycriticizedbyAfghans
living in more stable areas, who eel they are
beingpenalizedforbeingpeaceful.
Recommendation:
Reversethecurrentpolicyofrewardinginsecure
areas with extensive aid while eectively
penalizingsecureareaswhereaidmoneycould
be spent more eectively and accountably. Invest
in secure areas and, except or humanitarian
assistance, make aid in insecure areas more
contingent on security. While this study did not
specically examine the demonstration eect this
couldhave,itisquitepossiblethatproviding
incentives or communities to be peaceul would
be more eective than the current approach thatis perceived by many Aghans to be rewarding
insecurity.
5. Accountability and the measurement o
impact have been undervalued
Thepoliticalneedforquickimpactalongwith
institutional imperatives to spend money have in
many cases reduced the incentives or careul
evaluationofprojectimpact.Currentlyitisnotevenpossibletogetacompletelistoftheprojects
PRTs have implemented with the approximately
$2.64billioninCERPfundsappropriated
between 2004 and 2010, let alone an indication
ofwhattheimpacthasbeen.Thestudys
ndings have been reinorced by increasing
mediaandU.S.agencyreports(e.g.,Special
Inspector General or Aghanistan
Reconstruction[SIGAR],USAIDOceofthe
InspectorGeneral[OIG])onfundsthathave
beenwastefullyspentwithno(ornegative)impact.
In an environment with little reliable
quantitativedata,withnumerousindependent
variablesthatmakedeterminingcorrelation(not
tomentioncausality)virtuallyimpossible,and
where western-style public opinion polling
methodologies may not be reliable, the
determination o impact may oten have to be
moreartthanscience.Nevertheless,muchmoreocus should be given to trying to measure the
impactandconsequencesofaidprojectsthanhas
been done to date. Recent initiatives by SIGAR,
OIG,andstaattheSenateForeignRelations
Committee are positive, but they come late in
the game. In addition to the waste o taxpayer
resourcesandnegativeconsequencesonthe
ground, the discrediting oallprograms or
Aghanistan may be collateral damage i aid
resources are not spent in a more accountable
and eective manner.
Recommendation:
Reinforceatalllevelsthemessageandculture
o accountability. This is not a
recommendation to add several more
bureaucratic levels o cumbersome national
and international oversight mechanisms to
oversee inputs, but rather to invest more in
measuringoutcomes.Establishincentivestructuresforqualityworkandcareful
assessmentsofeectivenessandnotjustfor
spending money.
6. Development is a good in and o itsel
There is considerable evidence that development
assistance in Aghanistan during the past decade
has directly contributed to some very positive
development benets, including decreases ininant and maternal mortality, dramatic increases
in school enrollment rates or boys and girls, a
mediarevolution,majorimprovementsinroads
and inrastructure, and greater connectivity
throughtelecommunicationnetworks.One
consequenceofviewingaidresourcesrstand
foremostasastabilizationtooloraweapons
systemisthatthesemajordevelopmentgains
have oten been under-appreciated because they
did not translate into tangible security gains.
U.S. development assistance in Aghanistan hasbeenjustiedonthegroundsthatitispromoting
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COIN/stabilizationobjectivesratherthan
developmentobjectives.Whileintheshortterm
this has led to much higher levels o development
assistance in Aghanistan, the ailure o these
resources to improve the security situation is
nowleadingmanypolicymakerstoquestionthe
value o development assistance despite some
very real development gains.
Recommendation:
Valuedevelopmentasagoodinandofitself.
Program development aid rst and oremost to
promotedevelopmentobjectives,wherethere
is evidence o impact and eectiveness, rather
thantopromotestabilizationandsecurity
objectives,wherethisresearchsuggeststhereis
little evidence o eectiveness.
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1.1 Purpose, rationale, and description o
study
Political and national-security considerations
have always infuenced U.S. oreign assistance
policiesandpriorities.Since9/11,however,this
infuence has grown greatly, as development aid
forcountrieslikeAfghanistan,Iraq,andPakistan
has been increasingly and explicitly subsumed
under the national security agenda. The U.S. is
not alone in viewing development through a
security lens; other Western nations, including
manyoftheU.S.sNATOallies,have,to
varying extents, restructured their aid programs
to refect the prevailing oreign policy agenda o
confrontingglobalterrorism.Themajorimpact
this has had on development assistance has been
at the policy and practice levels. It is refected in
1. introdUction
changing aid strategies, priorities, and structures.
At the same time, a widely held assumption in
military and oreign policy circles is that
developmentassistanceisanimportantsoft
power1 tool to win consent and to promote
stabilizationandsecurityobjectives.
Counterinsurgency doctrine in particular
emphasizestheimportanceofhumanitarianand
reconstruction assistance, oten in the orm o
QuickImpactProjectsthatareintendedto
winheartsandminds.
Theassumptionthataidprojectsimprove
security has had a number o implications,
includingthesharpincreasesince9/11inthe
absolute amount o unding available rom both
U.S. and other Western donors or humanitarian
U.S. military on patrol, Helmand
U.S.MarineCorpsphotobyLanceC
pl.JohnM.McCall
1 ThetermsoftpowerwascoinedbyJosephNyeinthe1980storefertoanationsabilitytoinuencethepreferencesandbehaviorofothernationsnotthroughcoercion(hardpower),butthroughprojectionofattractivenationalvalues,levelsofprosperity,andopenness.SeeJosephNye,TheBenetsofSoftPower,Working Knowledge(HarvardBusinessSchool,August2,2004),://k..eu/e/4290..
http://hbswk.hbs.edu/archive/4290.htmlhttp://hbswk.hbs.edu/archive/4290.htmlhttp://hbswk.hbs.edu/archive/4290.htmlhttp://hbswk.hbs.edu/archive/4290.htmlhttp://hbswk.hbs.edu/archive/4290.htmlhttp://hbswk.hbs.edu/archive/4290.htmlhttp://hbswk.hbs.edu/archive/4290.htmlhttp://hbswk.hbs.edu/archive/4290.html -
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and development purposes2; the increased
percentage o assistance that is programmed
based on strategic security considerations rather
than on the basis o poverty and need; and the
much greater role or the military or combined
civil-military teams in activities that were
traditionally the preserve o humanitarian and
developmentorganizations.Thisassumptionishavingamajorpolicyimpactonhow
development assistance is allocated and spent,
and provides an important rationale or the
growingsecuritizationofdevelopment
assistance.3Ontheonehand,militaryforces
have become increasingly involved in what
would previously have been seen as the work o
civilian humanitarian and development agencies.
Ontheotherhand,civilianagencies,including
non-governmentalorganizations,havebeen
increasingly enl isted in aid and development
projectsthatareseenashavingstabilization
objectives.Theassumptionhasbeenformalized
inthecomprehensive,wholeofgovernment,
and3D(diplomacy,defense,development)
approaches.(SeeSection2andAnnexA.)
Despite how widespread the assumption is,
anddespiteitsmajorimpactonaidand
counterinsurgency policies, there is l ittle
empirical evidence that supports the assumptionthat reconstruction assistance is an eective tool
towinheartsandmindsandimprovesecurity
or increase stability in counterinsurgency
contexts. To help address this lack o evidence,
theFeinsteinInternationalCenter(FIC)atTufts
University conducted a comparative study in
AfghanistanandtheHornofAfricatoexamine
theeectivenessofaidprojectsinpromoting
securityobjectivesinstabilizationand
counterinsurgency contexts.4
Aghanistan provided an opportunity to examine
one o the most concerted recent eorts to use
heartsandmindsprojectstoachievesecurity
objectives,especiallyasithasbeenthetesting
ground or new approaches to usingreconstruction assistance to promote stability,
whichinsomecases(e.g.,Provincial
ReconstructionTeams)werethenexportedto
Iraq.Whileotherstudieshavelookedatthe
eectiveness o aid in promoting humanitarian
anddevelopmentobjectivesaswellastheethical
and philosophical issues related to merging
humanitarianandsecurityobjectives,
surprisingly little eort has been given to
analyzingtheeectivenessofaidinpromoting
politicalandsecurityobjectives.Giventhata
signicant percentage o U.S. oreign aid is now
programmed(bothexplicitlyandimplicitly)to
achievesecurityobjectives,theneedto
determine the eectiveness o this use o
development assistance is real.5
Whileaidprojectsarenotalldesignedwith
stabilizationobjectivesinmind,thestudydidnot
distinguish between military and non-military aid,
although in some cases it ocused more on military-linkedaid.Whileprojectsthathadanexplicit
stabilizationfocusmighthavebeenofspecial
interest, the broad point is that aid in general is
assumed to promote stability. Also, while the U.S.
is the largest donor and has increased its aid
spending by the largest percentage post-2001, the
study did not intend to be primarily U.S.-ocused;
thereore, it looked at all aid.
2
AccordingtoCenterforGlobalDevelopmentstatistics,between2001and2009U.S.ocialdevelopmentassistancemorethandoubledinrealterms,whileDonorAssistanceCommitteecountriesassistanceincreasedbymorethanhalf.SeeNetAidTransfersdataset(19602009),://.ge.g/e/u/e/5492.
3 TheterminologyofthesecuritizationofaidandmuchofitsintellectualunderpinninghasbeenprovidedbyProfessorMarkDueld,who uses it to describe the important role o development aid to support a new system o global governance that helps protect westernsecurityinterests.Ratherthanbeingprimarilyabouthelpingthepoorthroughalleviatingpovertyandpromotingdevelopment,DueldarguesthataidisincreasinglybeingusedasagovernanceandsecuritytooltohelpstabilizeandgovernunstableandborderlandregionssothattheydonotthreatentheWestswayoflife.See,forexample,MarkDueld,GoverningtheBorderlands:DecodingthePowerofAid,Disasters,Volume25,Issue4,(December2001),pp.308-320;MarkDueld,Global Governance and the New Wars: The Merging oDevelopment and Security,(London:ZedBooks,2001);andMarkDueld,Development, Security and Unending War: Governing the World oPeoples,(Cambridge:PolityPress,2007).
4 ThispaperfocusesonthendingsfromAfghanistan.ForinformationonndingsfromtheHornofAfrica,see://k.u.u.eu/fuee/ge/ege.?gei=34807224. For inormation on the overall aid and security research program, see://k.u.u.eu/fuee/ge/ege.?gei=19270958.
5 AMarch2010conferenceco-sponsoredbyFeinsteinInternationalCenterontheuseofdevelopmentaidinCOINoperationsin
Afghanistannotedthatakeythemeisthecriticallackofmonitoring,evaluation,andempiricaldataavailabletoassesstheimpactofaidonstabilityinAfghanistan,especiallygiventheotherwisestrongtraditionsofrobustafter-actionreviewsbythemilitary.SeeWiltonPark,WinningHeartsandMindsInAfghanistan:AssessingtheEectivenessofDevelopmentAidinCOINOperations,ReportonWiltonParkConference1022,heldMarch1114,2010(July22,2010).://.k.g.uk/eue/e//22290903/22291297/1022-e.
http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/5492http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/5492http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/5492https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=34807224https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=34807224https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=34807224https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=34807224https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=19270958https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=19270958https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=19270958https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=19270958http://www.wiltonpark.org.uk/resources/en/pdf/22290903/22291297/wp1022-reporthttp://www.wiltonpark.org.uk/resources/en/pdf/22290903/22291297/wp1022-reporthttp://www.wiltonpark.org.uk/resources/en/pdf/22290903/22291297/wp1022-reporthttp://www.wiltonpark.org.uk/resources/en/pdf/22290903/22291297/wp1022-reporthttp://www.wiltonpark.org.uk/resources/en/pdf/22290903/22291297/wp1022-reporthttp://www.wiltonpark.org.uk/resources/en/pdf/22290903/22291297/wp1022-reporthttps://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=19270958https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=19270958https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=34807224https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=34807224http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/5492 -
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Ater presenting the study methodology below,
the paper continues in Section 2 with a
discussion o the evolution o security-driven aid
and the eects on current practice. Section 3
describes the ve provinces included in the study
andhowdierentmodelsofsecuritized
development have been used in each o them.
Sections 4 and 5 present the views obtained inthe eld on the causes o insecurity and the
characteristicsofaidprojects.Section6discusses
theeectivenessofaidinstabilizationin
Afghanistan,andSection7summarizesthe
studysconclusionsandpolicyimplications.More
detailed inormation on the research
methodology and related issues is contained in
Annex A.
1.2 Methodology
Research was conducted in the ve provinces o
Balkh,Faryab,Helmand,Paktia,andUruzgan,
aswellasinKabulcity.Intheseprovinces,asin
nearlyallofAfghanistansthirty-fourprovinces,
international civilian and military actors are
using humanitarian, reconstruction, and
development aid to promote greater stability and
security. The notable dierences among the ve
provinces provided the opportunity to examine
the development-security nexus in very dierentcontexts.BalkhandFaryabProvincesinthe
northweremuchmoresecurethanHelmand,
Uruzgan,andPaktiaProvincesinthesouthand
southeast where the Taliban-led insurgency was
more active. In the two northern provinces,
Pashtuns are a minority ethnic group, whereas in
the south and southeast they make up the
overwhelmingmajority.Anothersignicant
dierence was the variations in approach,
budgetary resources, and character o thedierentNATO/ISAF(InternationalSecurity
AssistanceForce)nationsheadingtheProvincial
ReconstructionTeams(PRTs)ineach
provincewithperhapsthemajordierencefor
the purposes o this study being the much greater
nancial resources available to U.S.-led PRTs.
The study teams used a relatively consistent
methodology in our o the ve provincial study
areas(Helmandbeingtheexception),bearingin
mind that the varied security and otherconditionsallowedorrequiredapproaches
tailoredtodierentareas.Qualitativeinterviews
with Aghan and international respondents in
the eld provided the primary data source.
Interviews were conducted during multiple
visits to the provinces between June 2008 and
February 2010. In the our provinces as well as
inKabul,atotalof574respondents(340
Afghan,234international)wereinterviewed
either individually or in ocus groups at theprovincial, district, and community levels.
Separate semi-structured interview guides were
used or key inormant and community-level
interviews. Respondents included current and
formergovernmentocials,donors,diplomats,
internationalmilitaryocials,PRTmilitary
andciviliansta,UNandaidagencysta,
tribalandreligiousleaders,journalists,traders
and businessmen, and community members. In
Helmand,themethodologyconsistedof
analyzingqualitativedatafromfocusgroups
conducted in February-March 2008,
quantitativedatatakenfrompollingdatadrawn
fromcommunitiesinNovember2007and
provided by the PRT, and interviews with key
informants(e.g.,PRTsta,Afghangovernment
ocials).MostoftheinterviewswithAfghans
were conducted in Dari or Pashtu, although
somewithseniorgovernmentandNGO
ocialswereconductedinEnglish.Thetwo
international researchers leading the eldresearchinBalkhandFaryabProvinceswere
excellent Dari speakers and could directly
interview Aghan respondents. Aghan research
assistants helped in setting up and conducting
interviews, as well as in note taking and
analysis.Elsewhere,researchassistantsor
translators assisted researchers in translating
Dari and Pashtu. In al l provinces, secondary
sources were drawn upon or historical
informationandbackgroundtoaidprojects.TheBalkh,Faryab,andUruzgancasestudies
beneted rom background historical and
political overviews written by leading analysts
o these provinces.
Any research in Aghanistan or other confict
areasrequirescautionbecauseofthepotential
or respondent bias. This is par ticularly the case
or research that looks at the types o sensitive
issuesraisedinthisstudyorincludesquestions
that relate to deeply held social norms. Tomitigate these potential biases, the methodology
included repeat visits to allow ollow-up to and
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triangulation o responses, fexible interview
guides that encouraged spontaneous responses
within specic themes, and the elding o
teams with extensive local experience.
The study relied primarily on the stated
perceptions o the wide range o respondents
mentioned above. Where relevant, thediscussion dierentiates the perspectives o
dierent types o actors. The researchers
acknowledge the need or caution when basing
ndings on the stated perceptions o
respondents,asrespondentsstatementsmaynot
always accurately refect their perceptions and,
in addition, may not match behavior. The study
also did not aim to measure causality, as this
was simply too ambitious in an environment
with so many conounding variables. Stil l,
becauseaidprojectsexplicitlyaimtochange
attitudes,perceptions(ifcapturedaccurately)
are relevant. Moreover, however imperect, the
research team believed that in the Aghan
contextthequalitativedatagatheredinin-
depth interviews provided a better data source
and gauge o perceptions than most data
collectedusingquantitativemethodologies,
such as public opinion polling.
Since the eld research was completed in early2010, a number o the issues raised by the
ndings have been acknowledged by the U.S.
and by ISAF, and some measures have been
taken to mitigate them, as discussed in the text.
Security conditions have also changed
somewhat.WhileBalkhandFaryabarestill
relatively secure, insecurity has widened in the
north in general, and in the troubled districts in
theprovincesofBalkhandFaryabinparticular.
Ontheotherhand,securityinareasofHelmandhasimprovedsincethetimeofthe
research.Nevertheless,basedonmorerecent
visits and discussions as well as the analysis o
others,theresearchersfeelthatthebroad
conclusions and concerns remain valid and very
policy-relevant.
Additional inormation on the research
methodology and related issues is contained in
Annex A.
1.3 Similar and related research in
Aghanistan
A number o other studies and evaluationsexamining the eect o development activities
on security have been conducted in Aghanistan
atthesametimeorlaterthanthisone.Oneof
the most comprehensive, conducted by Christo
Zrcher,JanKoehler,andJanBhnkein
northeasternTakharandKunduzProvinces
between 2005 and 2009, concluded that
communities that already elt more secure were
more likely to eel positively about aid, and that
anypositiveeectsofaidonthepopulations
attitudetowardsthestateareshort-termand
non-cumulative.6 Similarly, research
conducted in 2009 by Sarah Ladbury in
Kandahar,Wardak,andKabulProvincesfound
thatyoungmenjoinedtheinsurgencyfora
complex combination o reasons, some personal
and some related to broader grievances against
the government and oreign orces.
Developmentprojectswereseenasbeingtoo
small to have any impact, and as unemployment
(orunderemployment)wasonefactorleadingtomobilization,respondentsexpressedthedesire
forprojectsthatcreatedemployment.Thepoor
qualityofaiddeliverysuggestedthatmore
attention be paid to how services are delivered.7
Aquantitativestudydonewiththesupportof
the U.S. Army using district-level data or the
200210periodfoundthatwhileprojectscan
aect the number o security incidents in a
district, in most cases their infuence is so small
astonotjustifyusingthemasaconict-mitigation tool.8 Finally, a report prepared in
June 2011 or the use o the U.S. Senate Foreign
Relations Committee concluded, ater
examining the evidence rom several studies
(includingthepresentoneandthosementioned
above),thattheevidencethatstabilization
6 J.Bhnke,J.KoehlerandC.Zrcher,AssessingtheImpactofDevelopmentCooperationinNorthEastAfghanistan20052009:FinalReport,Evaluation Reports 049(Bonn:BundesministeriumfrwirtschaftlicheZusammenarbeitundEntwicklung,2010).
7
SarahLadbury,incollaborationwithCooperationforPeaceandUnity(CPAU),TestingHypothesesonRadicalisationinAfghanistan:WhyDoMenJointheTalibanandHizb-iIslami?HowMuchDoLocalCommunitiesSupportThem?IndependentReportfortheDepartmentofInternationalDevelopment(August2009).
8 SchaunWheelerandDanielStolkowski,DevelopmentasCounterinsurgencyinAfghanistan,Unpublishedmanuscript(DraftdatedJune17,2011).
-
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The role o militaries in delivering aid andreconstruction is not a new phenomenon. What
has changed, especially since 2001, is the scale o
the involvement and the purposes underpinning
it.AccordingtotheOrganizationforEconomic
Co-operationandDevelopment(OECD),
between2002and2005,USAIDsshareofU.S.
ocialdevelopmentassistance(ODA)decreased
rom 50 to 39 percent, while the share o the
DepartmentofDefense(DOD)increasedfrom6
to 22 percent.12
WhilemorerecentOECDdatanowshowDODsglobalshareofU.S.ODAto
be shrinking, it still plays a dominant role in
Afghanistan.Between2002and2010,nearly$38
billionwasappropriatedtostabilizeand
strengthen the Aghan economic, social,
political, and security environment so as to bluntpopular support or extremist orces in the
region.13 Roughly hal o this has gone to
trainingandequippingtheAfghanNational
SecurityForces(ANSF),whilealittleover
one-third has gone to economic, social, political,
andhumanitarianeorts.Ofthetotalamount,
nearly two-thirds has been allocated to the
DOD,withUSAIDandtheDepartmentofState
receivinglesseramounts.Onespecicindicator
o the importance o security-driven aid is thedramaticgrowthoftheCommanders
EmergencyResponseProgram(CERP)14
fundinginAfghanistan,fromzeroin2003to
$1.2billionin2010(Figure1).
2. EvolUtion o sEcUrity-drivEn aid11
11 The authors would like to acknowledge the very substantive contribution o Dr. Stuart Gordon to this section.
12 OECD,DACPeerReview:MainFindingsandRecommendations,ReviewoftheDevelopmentCo-operationPoliciesandProgrammesofUnitedStates(2006),://.e.g/ue/27/0,2340,e_2649_34603_37829787_1_1_1_1,00..
13
CurtTarno,Afghanistan:U.S.ForeignAssistance(CongressionalResearchService,August12,2010).14 CERPisaU.S.militaryprogramwhichprovidesdiscretionaryfundsforPRTcommanderstoexecutelocalsmall-scalereliefand
reconstructionprojects.Projectsareintendedtobuildgoodwill,trust,andcondencebetweenthelocalpopulationandtheinternationalmilitary, thereby increasing the fow o intelligence and turning the population against the insurgents and other anti-government groups.CERPisdiscussedfurtherbelowandinBox2.
U.S. military inspecting school construction, Helmand
PhotobyCpl.JeffDrew
https://www.oecd.org/document/27/0,2340,en_2649_34603_37829787_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttps://www.oecd.org/document/27/0,2340,en_2649_34603_37829787_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttps://www.oecd.org/document/27/0,2340,en_2649_34603_37829787_1_1_1_1,00.htmlhttps://www.oecd.org/document/27/0,2340,en_2649_34603_37829787_1_1_1_1,00.html -
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The contemporary origins o military
involvement in delivering assistance lie in the
AlliedpreparationsfortheinvasionsofNorth
AfricaandWesternEuropeinthecourseof
WorldWarII.However,itisperhapsmore
strongly associated with the Cold War
counterinsurgency campaigns o the 1950s
throughthe1970s,principallytheBritish
experiencesinMalaya,Oman,andAden
(Yemen),andtheU.S.experienceinVietnam.Thephraseheartsandmindsisusually
associated with Field Marshal Sir Gerald
Templer,15 and his ultimately successul conduct
oftheBritish-ledcounterinsurgencycampaign
inMalaya(194860).SincetheMalayan
Emergency,thephrasehasoftenbeenusedasa
formofshorthandfortheoverallBritish
approachtocounter-insurgency:emphasizing
winningtheheartsandmindsofthe
population through securing the support o thepeople.TheapproachshapedBritishstrategy
both in Malaya and in dealing with the Mau
MaurebellioninKenya.Inthe1970s,itwas
inuentialinNorthernIreland.Thekernelof
thestrategywastoestablishsecurezones,use
minimum orce, apply development, and address
political grievances that underlay the rebellions
all in order to turn the population against the
insurgents. At the same time, outside o the
secure areas, the strategy was to implement
military measures designed to infict attrition on
the military component o the insurgency. This
approach has been contrasted with tactics that
stress more conventional military means, are less
ocused on developing the support o thepopulation, and are less concerned with avoiding
civilian casualties.
The U.S. experience began as Civil Aairs in
WorldWarIIbuthasechoedtheBritishpathin
its association with counter-revolutionary warare,
particularly in programs such as the Civil
OperationsandRevolutionaryDevelopment
SupportProgram(orCORDS)duringthe
VietnamWar.Thesecounter-insurgency
approaches tended to bring together eorts to
separate the population rom the insurgents while
providing a variety o reconstruction programs to
win over the sympathy o the population. The
phraseheartsandmindswasalsoassociated
with the U.S. military and strategies adopted to
containthecommunistinsurgencyinVietnam.
PresidentLyndonB.JohnsonisquotedinMay
1965 when he argued that U.S. victory would be
builtontheheartsandmindsofthepeoplewho
actuallyliveoutthere.Byhelpingtobringthemhope and electricity you are also striking a very
important blow or the cause o reedom
throughouttheworld.16 This approach shaped
both U.S. strategy and rhetoric on the war in
Indo-China and led to eorts to coordinate
development and security approaches that would
counter communist propaganda and isolate the
insurgents rom the people. Under Johnson the
U.S.committeditselftopacicationofSouth
Vietnambyprovidingbothsecurityanddevelopmentsupport.U.S.ocials,bothcivilian
andmilitary,wouldprovideadviceandresources
foreconomicdevelopmentprojects,suchas
rebuilding roads and bridges, while the military
wouldtrainandequipSouthVietnamspoliceand
paramilitarygroupstohuntdowninsurgents.17
Figure 1
Source: Special Inspector General or Aghanistan Reconstruction,
Quarterly Report to the U.S. Congress (April 30, 2011),
1423.
15 John Cloake, Templer: Tiger o Malaya: The Lie o Field Marshal Sir Gerald Templer(London:Harrap,1985).Footnote1statesthatTempler
rst used the term on April 26, 1952.16 LyndonB.JohnsonquotedinFrancisNjubiNesbitt,HeartsandMindsandEmpire.Foreign Policy in Focus(March20,2009),://
..g/e/e____ee.
17 Ibid.
http://www.fpif.org/articles/hearts_and_minds_and_empirehttp://www.fpif.org/articles/hearts_and_minds_and_empirehttp://www.fpif.org/articles/hearts_and_minds_and_empire -
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2.1 Current approaches
Recognition that the causes o instability are
complex has driven the ormulation o the various
models,suchasthecomprehensiveapproach,
3D(defense,diplomacy,development),whole
ofgovernment,andintegratedapproach.
These trends are discernible in a range ointernationalorganizations(particularlytheEU
andNATO)aswellasbetweenandwithin
ministries in individual states. For example, in
2004,theUKgovernmentestablishedaPost-
ConictReconstructionUnit(renamedthe
StabilisationUnitin2007),jointlyownedbythe
MinistryofDefense(MOD),Foreignand
CommonwealthOce(FCO)andDepartment
forInternationalDevelopment(DFID);in2004,
the U.S. Congress appropriated unds or the U.S.
StateDepartmenttoestablishtheOceofthe
CoordinatorforReconstructionandStabilization
(S/CRS);andin2005,theCanadiangovernment
established the Stabilisation and Reconstruction
TaskForce(START)withinitsDepartmentof
Foreign Aairs and International Trade.
The various models are all derived rom the
sense that the origins o confict are largely
socio-economic in nature, and that state ailure
isaconsequenceofthebreakdownofpublicservice delivery. Militaries have been attracted
to comprehensive or integrative approaches or
a variety o reasons related both to theories o
confict causation and resolution and to the
necessityforsoftpowertocontributeto
forceprotection.18 In terms o theories about
what causes conficts and how they are resolved,
conictisfrequentlyportrayedasaproductof
low levels o development as well as political
andsocialmarginalization.Inthecourseofaninternational military intervention, it is oten
assumed that tactical military progress cannot
be consolidated or translated into strategic
success, and viable states cannot be built,
without the host government constructing
legitimacy through the provision o public
services. In terms o orce protection, the
theory is that when an international military
forceprovidesinfrastructureandfacilities
(suchaspublichealthclinics,wells,andschools)
the population will be encouraged into
collaborative relationships with the
international militaryreducing opportunitiesor insurgents and providing intell igence to the
counter-insurgent orces.
TheU.S.DODhasmadeconsiderableeortsto
developthecapacitiesforstabilityoperations 19
and to link these with the work o the
Department o State and USAIDthe result is
an approach to security that makes a
undamental break with the past. The principal
change has been a reorientation to meet a
dierent perceived threat. The 2002 U.S.
NationalSecurityStrategystatedthattheU.S.
isnowthreatenedlessbyconqueringstates
thanwearebyfailingones.ThenSecretaryof
Deense, Robert M. Gates, argued that even the
emphasis on regime change that dominated
between 2001 and 2003 had changed:
Repeating an Aghanistan or an Iraqorced
regime change ollowed by nation-building under
reprobably is unlikely in the oreseeableuture. What is likely though, even a certainty, is
the need to work with and through local
governments to avoid the next insurgency, to
rescue the next ailing state, or to head o the
next humanitarian disaster.
Correspondingly, the overall posture and thinking
o the United States armed orces has shited
away rom solely ocusing on direct American
military action, and towards new capabilities toshape the security environment in ways that obviate
the need or military intervention in the uture.20
In2005theDODissuedDODDirective
3000.05(2005),emphasizingtheimportance
18 Force protection consists o preventive measures intended to reduce hostile actions against military personnel, resources, acilities, andinormation.
19 DODdenesstabilityoperationsasAnoverarchingtermencompassingvariousmilitarymissions,tasks,andactivitiesconductedoutside
the United States in coordination with other instruments o national power to maintain or reestablish a sae and secure environment,provideessentialgovernmentalservices,emergencyinfrastructurereconstruction,andhumanitarianrelief.SeeHeadquartersDepartmentoftheArmy,StabilityOperations,FM3-07(December2008),Glossary,p.9.
20 RobertM.Gates.(U.S.SecretaryofDefense)U.S.GlobalLeadershipCampaign.SpeechgivenonJuly15,2008attheU.S.GlobalLeadershipCampaign(Washington,DC).://.eeek./eee/ee.?ee=1262.
http://www.defenselink.mil/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1262http://www.defenselink.mil/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1262http://www.defenselink.mil/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1262http://www.defenselink.mil/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1262http://www.defenselink.mil/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1262 -
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o stability operations as
a core U.S. military mission that the Department o
Deense shall be prepared to conduct and support.
They shall be given priority comparable to combat
operations and be explicitly addressed and integrated
across all DOD activities including doctrine,
organizations, training, education, exercises,materiel, leadership, personnel, acilities, and
planning.21
Thedirectiveemphasizedthatstability
operations were likely to be more important to
the lasting success o military operations than
traditionalcombatoperationsandelevated
stabilityoperationstoastatusequaltothatofthe
oenseanddefense.22 This represented a
signicantreorientationoftheU.S.militarys
traditionalfocusonwarghting.
More recently, this emphasis on the identication
o instability in other states as a threat to U.S.
interestswasreectedinboththe2008National
DefenseStrategyandthe2010Quadrennial
DefenseReview(QDR),whichnotedthat
preventingconict,stabilizingcrises,and
building security sector capacity are essential
elementsofAmericasnationalsecurity
approach.23 Understandably, this thinking hasplayed an important role in driving orce
preparationswithintheDOD,strengtheningthe
signicance o stability operations and
broadening the range o competencies that
wouldberequiredinafutureU.S.military.
The changing emphasis in the U.S. is also
consistentwiththechangingnatureofUN
peacekeeping missions, increasingly
characterizedbycomplexmandatesspanning
immediatestabilizationandprotectionof
civilians to supporting humanitarian assistance,
organizingelections,assistingthedevelopment
o new political structures, engaging in security
sectorreform,disarming,demobilizingand
reintegrating ormer combatants and laying thefoundationsofalastingpeace. 24 This integration
o diplomatic, human rights, military, and
development responses has been driven primarily
bytherequirementtoeectivelyconsolidate
ragile peace agreements and make the delicate
transition rom war to a lasting peace25the
fragi lityofpeaceoftenbeingascribedtoalack
o strategic, coordinated and sustained
internationaleorts.26 A signicant amount o
literaturedocumentstheincreasingsizeand
complexity o, particularly, the civilian
components o peace missions27(arguably
beginningwiththedeploymentoftheUNTAG
missioninNamibiain1989 28)andthe
diversication and growing importance o
non-militarytaskswithinUNmandates.Even
wheretheUNhasdeployedsolelycivilian
missions, their proximity and relationship to
military, peace-building, or state-building
missions in support o a government authority
has raised the same issue or some critics: theassociation o humanitarian and development
responses with one o the belligerents
underminestheUNsindependenceand
neutrality.
Despitethelackofevidencethatheartsand
mindsactivitiescangenerateattitudeor
behavior change, these broader strategic trends
21 DOD,Directive3000.05:MilitarySupportforStability,Security,Transition,andReconstruction(SSTR)Operations(November28,2005).p.2.Asnotedonthenextpage,thedirectivealsoclariesthatDODseesitsroleinU.S.governmentplansforSSTRaspartofinteragency partnerships.
22 FM3-07,StabilityOperations,p.vi.
23 LaurenPloch,AfricaCommand:U.S.StrategicInterestsandtheRoleoftheU.S.MilitaryinAfrica(CongressionalResearchService,July22,2011),://e./ue/rl34003/
24 EspenBarthEide,AnjaThereseKaspersen,RandolphKent,andKarenvonHippel,ReportonIntegratedMissions:PracticalPerspectivesandRecommendations,IndependentStudyfortheExpandedUNECHACoreGroup(May2005),p.3.
25 InLargerFreedom:TowardsDevelopment,SecurityandHumanRightsforAll,A/59/2005(March21,2005),paragraph114.
26 Eideetal.,ReportonIntegratedMissions,p.3.
27 Formoreonthechangingnatureofpeaceoperations,seeBruceJonesandFeryalCherif,EvolvingModelsofPeacekeeping:Policy
ImplicationsandResponses,(CenteronInternationalCooperation,NYU,September2003),://.eekeegee.u.g/.
28 TheUnitedNationsTransitionAssistanceGroup(UNTAG)wasaUNpeacekeepingforcedeployedinApril1989withaverybroadmissioninthetransitionfromthenSouth-WestAfricatoanindependentNamibia.See,UnitedNations,NamibiaUNTAGBackground(undated),://.u.g/e/eekeeg///ugt..
http://opencrs.com/document/RL34003/http://opencrs.com/document/RL34003/http://opencrs.com/document/RL34003/http://www.peacekeepingbestpractices.unlb.org/http://www.peacekeepingbestpractices.unlb.org/http://www.peacekeepingbestpractices.unlb.org/http://www.peacekeepingbestpractices.unlb.org/http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/missions/past/untagFT.htmhttp://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/missions/past/untagFT.htmhttp://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/missions/past/untagFT.htmhttp://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/missions/past/untagFT.htmhttp://www.peacekeepingbestpractices.unlb.org/http://opencrs.com/document/RL34003/ -
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and the hearts and minds approach have had a
dramatic impact on doctrine and tactics related
tostabilizationandontheorganizationofthe
U.S. military. Department o Deense Directive
(DODD)3000.05denedthebroadobjectives
o stability operations, stating that their
immediategoalwastoprovidethelocal
populace with security, restore essential services,
and meet humanitarian needs. Long-term goals
that refect transormation and oster
sustainability eorts include developing host-
nation capacity or securing essential services, a
viable market economy, rule o law, legitimate
and eective institutions, and a robust civil
society.29TheU.S.Armysmanual,Tactics inCounterinsurgency,statesthatatitshearta
counterinsurgency is an armed struggle or the
supportofthepopulation.30 This population-
centric view o confict is rooted in the
assumption that conditions such as poverty,
unemployment, illiteracy, and unmet aspirations
are the uels that drive insurgencies and that the
remedy is humanitarian, reconstruction, and
development assistance. The idea underpinning
theseperspectivesisthatproject-basedassistance,
includingsmall-scaleQuickImpactProjects,
cancapturetheheartsandmindsof
beneciary populations and lead to both a
change o attitude towards the government and
increasing co-operation with the international
military. The latter is most likely to be seen in
terms o intelligence sharinge.g., identiying
improvisedexplosivedevices(IEDs)orproviding
inormation on insurgentsa key component in
protectingonesownforces.Thedeteriorating
security situation in parts o Aghanistan, which
orced many traditional humanitarian anddevelopmentorganizationstosuspendactivities
and withdraw sta, also contributed to the
growing role o the military and PRTs in
directly supporting reconstruction and
development activities as they elt compelled to
step into the void.31
U.S. military and construction, Helmand
PhotobyCpl.AndrewCarlson
29 FM3-07,StabilityOperations,p.1-1530 U.S. Department o the Army, Tactics in Counterinsurgency,FM3-24.2(April2009),p.ix.
31 StewartPatrickandKaysieBrown,ThePentagonandGlobalDevelopment:MakingSenseoftheDODsExpandingRole,WorkingPaper Number 131(November2007).
-
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The need to develop interagency partnerships
has been a recurring theme across recent U.S.
security policy.32 In the preace to FM 3-07
StabilityOperations,LieutenantGeneral
Caldwell, argues that at the heart o the program
toenhancestabilityoperationsisa
comprehensive approach . . . that integrates the
tools o statecrat with our military orces,international partners, humanitarian
organizations,andtheprivatesector. 33 The sum
ofthesechangesisanorganizational
reconguration around a military capable o
intervening in ragile states and having the
potential to assume responsibility or a range o
tasks that had traditionally been delivered by
government civilian agencies and development
andhumanitarianorganizations.Whilethis
guidancerecognizedthatmanystability
operations tasks are best perormed by
indigenous, oreign, or U.S. civilian
professionals,itsituatedthemilitary
stabilizationresponsewithinabroaderwholeof
government34 approach, but made clear that
U.S.militaryforcesshallbepreparedto
perorm all tasks necessary to establish or
maintainorderwhencivilianscannotdoso.
Ocially,U.S.developmentagencieshave
embraced this relationship. According to USAIDAdministratorRajivShah,inthemostvolatile
regions o Aghanistan, USAID works side-by-
side with the military, playing a critical role in
stabilizingdistricts,buildingresponsivelocal
governance, improving the lives o ordinary
Aghans, andultimatelyhelping to pave the
wayforAmericantroopstoreturnhome. 35
Whilepolicyhasreferredtopartnershipsand
integration o military and civilian agencies, the
militarysrelationshipwiththecivilianbrancheso government and the external humanitarian
communityisunlikelytobeanequalone.A
U.S. military with signicantly more nancial,
personnel, and material resources, and ar
greater reach than either USAID or the State
Department,inevitablymakesthemilitarysrole
strong and potentially dominant.
WhiletheAfghanandIraqifundingsurgesareclearlyonlytemporary,DODsapproachto
stabilization,andthesignicantroleofthe
militaryindeliveringODA,islikelytoendure.36
SomearguethattheDODsexpandedassistance
authoritiesthreatentodisplaceorovershadow
broader U.S. oreign policy and development
objectivesintargetcountriesandexacerbatethe
longstanding imbalance between the military
and civilian components o the U.S. approach to
state-building.37
The ocus on integrated and comprehensive
approaches to secure the support o the
population has led humanitarian and
developmentactorstocriticizebothstabilization
and counterinsurgency doctrines or leaving little
room or the undamental humanitarian
principles o independence, impartiality, and
neutrality. Assistance is increasingly
instrumentalizedbehindsecurityandpolitical
objectives.PatrickandBrownarguethatthesetrends are potentially damaging and raise
concernsthatU.S.foreignanddevelopment
policies may become subordinated to a narrow,
short-term security agenda at the expense o
broader, longer-term diplomatic goals and
institution-building eorts in the developing
world.38
Many aid practitioners and agencies are
concernedbytheincreasedpoliticizationandsecuritizationofaidbecausethisviolates
32 As eatured in the National Military Strategy, the National Deense Strategy,andthe2010QDR:DOD,The Quadrennial Deense ReviewReport(February2010),p.73.TheFY2011DefenseBudgetRequestisavailableat://.eeek./e/uge..
33 LieutenantGeneralandformerCommanderoftheU.S.ArmyCombinedArmsCenter,WilliamH.Caldwell,asquotedintheprefacetoFM3-07StabilityOperations.
34 DODdeneswholeofgovernmentasanapproachthatintegratesthecollaborativeeortsofthedepartmentsandagenciesoftheUnitedStatesGovernmenttoachieveunityofeorttowardasharedgoal.SeeFM3-07,StabilityOperations,Glossary,p.10.
35 CitedinScottDempsey,IsSpendingtheStrategy? Small Wars Journal(May4,2011),p.2.://u.///-eg-e-eg.
36 Somerespondentsforthisstudyquestionedwhetherthisexpandedrolehasbeenacceptedwholeheartedlyasbeingofequalstatusbythemilitary, or whether there will be resistance and reconsideration in light o experience in Aghanistan and elsewhere.
37 Scott Dempsey.
38 StewartPatrickandKaysieBrown.
http://www.defenselink.mil/comptroller/budget.htmlhttp://www.defenselink.mil/comptroller/budget.htmlhttp://www.defenselink.mil/comptroller/budget.htmlhttp://www.defenselink.mil/comptroller/budget.htmlhttp://www.defenselink.mil/comptroller/budget.htmlhttp://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/is-spending-the-strategyhttp://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/is-spending-the-strategyhttp://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/is-spending-the-strategyhttp://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/is-spending-the-strategyhttp://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/is-spending-the-strategyhttp://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/is-spending-the-strategyhttp://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/is-spending-the-strategyhttp://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/is-spending-the-strategyhttp://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/is-spending-the-strategyhttp://www.defenselink.mil/comptroller/budget.html -
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undamental humanitarian principles, and several
interviewed or this study expressed concern
aboutthenegativeconsequencesforcivilianaidworkersoftheblurringoflinesthatresulted
rom the direct role o the military in the
delivery o humanitarian and development
assistance.However,fewquestionedthe
undamental assumption o a causal relationship
between aid and security. In act, some aid
workers seemed to believe more strongly in this
relationship than military respondents, and were
very supportive o using aid to promote confict
resolution,stabilizationandpeacebuilding
objectivesaslongasthiswasdonebycivilian
rather than military agencies and personnel. The
objectiveofthisstudy,however,wasnotto
examine whether humanitarian principles were
beingviolated,ortheimpactofthesecuritization
o aid on humanitarian actors, but rather toexaminethefundamentalquestionis
development assistance eective in promoting
stabilizationandsecurityobjectives?
School, Balkh
PhotobyPaulFishstein
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3.1 Provincial background
Thevestudyprovinces(seemaponpagevii)
were selected in part due to their varied
characteristics, and in part due to morepragmatic considerations o local contacts, donor
interest, and logistical support. The three
southernandeasternprovinces(Helmand,
Uruzgan,Paktia)wereselectedduetotheir
insecurity and because o the dierent aid
approachestakenineach(seeSection3.2).The
twonorthernprovinces(Balkh,Faryab)were
selected due to their relative security; they
provide a counterpoint to the less-secure
provinces by illustrating the response to aid in amore-secure environment. In 2007, the ve
provinces collectively accounted or 27 percent
o government and donor assistance. Unlike
Helmand,Uruzgan,andPaktia,Balkhand
Faryabarenon-Pashtun-majorityprovinces.
Beyondthat,eachoftheveprovinceshasits
own varied history, geography, economy, andpolitics.
HelmandProvinceliesinsouthwestern
Afghanistan,borderingPakistansBalochistan
Provincetothesouth.Nearly95percentofthe
population is Pashtun, living alongside small
numbersoftheTajiks,Hazaras,Uzbeks,Baluch,
andSikhswhoweresettledinthe1960saspart
ofthemajorHelmand-ArghandabValley
irrigation scheme. The dislocations o the lastthirty years are seen as having resulted in many
unsettlingsocialandpoliticalchanges.Helmand
3. aid and sEcUrity in aGhanistan
National ring road in Faryab
PhotobyGeertGompelman
-
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produces a variety o eld and horticultural
crops, but has become synonymous with opium
production and trade. The provincial center is
Lashkar Gah.
UruzganProvinceliesinsouth-central
Afghanistan,borderingKandaharandHelmand
Provinces to the south and southwest,respectively. Approximately 90 percent o the
population is Pashtun, with much o the ormer
Hazarapopulationhavingbeenseparatedinto
thenewprovinceofDaiKundiin2004. 39
Uruzganhashistoricallybeenremote,poor,
conservative, and violent, even by Aghan
standards.Politicallyandtribally,Uruzganispart
ofgreaterKandahar,andisalsotheoriginof
manyoftheTalibansoriginalleaders,including
MullahMohammadOmar,whowasbornin
DehRawoodDistrict.AsinHelmand,tribal
structure is generally considered much less
cohesive and more ragmented than in the east
and southeast o the country. The provincial
centerisTarinKot.
Paktia Province lies in southeastern Aghanistan,
borderingPakistansFederallyAdministered
TribalAreas(FATA)ofKurram,North
Waziristan,andSouthWaziristan.Ninety-one
percent o the population is Pashtun, with mostoftherestbeingTajik.ThePaktiatribeshave
historicallyhadaspecialrelationshipwith
Kabulthatprovideddispensationssuchas
exemption rom military service, and tribal
structures remain strong. Paktia has limited
industry,andmajorlivelihoodsarecutting
wood, smuggling, and labor migration to the
Gulfstates.TheprovincialcenterisGardez.
BalkhProvinceliesinastrategiclocationinnorthernAfghanistan,borderingUzbekistanand
Tajikistan.ItisalargelyTajikprovince,although
with a mix o other ethnic groups, including
Pashtunenclaves.TheprovincialcenterMazar-e
Shari is the de acto political, economic, and
administrative hub o northern Aghanistan.
Emergingrelativelyunscathedfromthewar,
BalkhretainssignicantSoviet-erainuence,
including remnants o pre-war industrial
development and commercial linkages with the
central Asian states.
Faryab Province also lies in northern
Aghanistan, bordering Turkmenistan to the
north.FaryabisoneoftwoUzbek-majorityprovinces, with the remainder o the population
madeupofpocketsofTajik,Pashtun,Turkmen,
and other smaller ethnic groups. Although
located on the ring road, the province has
historically been an economic backwater, with
low-productivity agriculture, limited
horticulture, and virtually no industry. The
insecure, Pashtun-dominated district o
GhormachociallyliesinBadghisProvince,but
istemporarilybeingadministeredfromFaryabs
provincial center, Maimana, and was thereore
included within the scope o this study.
Additional background inormation on the
provinces is available in the individual provincial
case studies. 40
3.2 Models used or employing aid in the
fve provinces
Stabilizationthroughaidprojectswasanoverallstrategy o some donors, notably the U.S., and
notjustthroughthePRTs.Thestudytherefore
looked broadly at the eect o all types o aid on
stabilization,withspecialfocusonaid
implemented by or through the PRTs. The
models employed by PRTs in each o the ve
study provinces diered according to the lead
nationwithrespecttostrategies,objectives(e.g.,
consent-winning, orce protection,
development),aidpresence,levelsofresources,civilian-military relationships, relationship with
localandKabuladministration,roleofQuick
ImpactProjects(QIPs),theuseofCERPfunds,
relationwithapoliticalstrategy(e.g.,ink-
spot),41 and the extent to which they ollowed
an integrated, comprehensive, or whole-o-
government approach.
39 AsinotherareasofAfghanistan,theassignmentofcertaindistrictstooneprovinceoranotherisnotalwaysclear.GizabDistrictcontainsasignicantHazarapopulation,butmayormaynotbepartofDaiKundi.ForsomemattersitappearstobeinUruzgan,forothersinDai
Kundi.40 The case studies are accessible at ://k.u.u.eu/fuee/ge/ege.?gei=19270958.
41 Theink-spotstrategyiswheremilitaryforcesoccupyanumberofsmall,disconnectedareas,andgraduallyextendtheirinuenceuntilpockets(inkspots)becameconnected,leavingonlysmallandisolatedpocketsofresistance.
https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=19270958https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=19270958https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=19270958https://wikis.uit.tufts.edu/confluence/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=19270958 -
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BOX 1: Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRTs)
Embodyingthenotionofcivil-militarycollaboration,therstAfghanistanPRTwas
established in Paktia Province by the U.S. in late 2002, and by 2011, 26 more had been
establishedthroughoutAfghanistan.InitiallycalledJointRegionalTeamsduetotheir
jointcivilian-militarycomposition,theywereintendedtobeaninterimstructurefor
acilitating improvements in security and reconstruction and or supporting the extension ocentralgovernmentauthoritytoareasbeyondKabul.Theywereseenasacompromise
betweentheexpansionofISAFproposedbyPresidentKarzaiandtheUNandthereluctance
oftheU.S.togoalongwithamajorexpansion.
The PRT terms o reerence adopted in January 2005 identied a very general mission:
assist[ing]TheIslamicRepublicofAfghanistantoextenditsauthority,inordertofacilitate
the development o a stable and secure environment in the identied areas o operations, and
enableSSR[securitysectorreform]andreconstructioneorts. 42Overtime,theagendaof
thePRTshasbroadened;inadditiontodoingshort-termQuickImpactProjects,PRTshave
expandedtheirrolesingovernanceanddevelopmentalinitiatives,eitherbecauseNGOsandother civilian agencies could not operate in the insecure contexts o the south and east or or
overtly political reasons. These roles involve promoting the capacity o local administration
through engagement with local stakeholders; promoting budget execution, business
development, agriculture, public health initiatives, and governance; and supporting the
delivery o basic social services. PRTs have also been used to strengthen troop-contributing
nationsinteragencyorinterdepartmentaleortsthroughharnessingallaspectsofnational
power and leveragediplomatic, economic, reconstruction, and counterinsurgency eorts.
Despite a common name and mission, the 27 PRTs have a varied structure and make-up
refecting the characteristics o the local area as well as the philosophies, legal restrictions,
administrative arrangements, priorities, and available resources o the lead nation. There are
currently 14 PRT lead nations, although most PRTs are shared by two or more nations. A
number