wolfgang hofkirchner: facing complexity - general system theory

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Facing Complexity: General System Theory 15 – 17 May 2013 Curso de Extensión: Pensamiento sistémico abierto: en la encrucijada de un mundo complejo Universidad de León Wolfgang Hofkirchner Associate Professor, Vienna University of Technology President, Bertalanffy Center for the Study of Systems Science (www.bcsss.org ) President Elect, International Society for Information Studies (www.is4is.org )

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Ponencia del curso: "Pensamiento Sistémico Abierto: en la encrucijada de un mundo complejo" International Workshop: "Open System Thinking: at the crossroad of a complex world" Universidad de León, Sierra Pambley, Mayo de 2013

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Page 1: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

Facing Complexity: General System Theory

15 – 17 May 2013Curso de Extensión: Pensamiento sistémico abierto: en la encrucijada de un mundo complejoUniversidad de León

Wolfgang HofkirchnerAssociate Professor, Vienna University of TechnologyPresident, Bertalanffy Center for the Study of Systems Science (www.bcsss.org)President Elect, International Society for Information Studies (www.is4is.org)

Page 2: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

Contents

1 A new way of thinking: thinking in complexity1.1 Global challenges1.2 Integrativism1.3 Ludwig von Bertalanffy's General System Theory (GST)1.4 Science

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

3 A new design of the future: humane systems design3.1 Evolutionary systems stage model3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism3.3 World system transition

Page 3: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1 A new way of thinking: thinking in complexity

Page 4: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.1 Global challenges

Page 5: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.1 Global challenges

global challenges = challenges that

Page 6: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.1 Global challenges

global challenges = challenges that

(1) affect (the survival of) all humanity (objective factor) and

Page 7: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.1 Global challenges

global challenges = challenges that

(1) affect (the survival of) all humanity (objective factor) and

(2) can successfully be treated only by humanity as a whole (subjective factor)

Page 8: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.1 Global challenges

Page 9: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.1 Global challenges

global challenges are complex challenges:

Page 10: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.1 Global challenges

global challenges are complex challenges:

their complexity exceeds the problem-solving capacity of any currently existing social system – complexity needs to be reduced in order to enable the system to cope with the challenges*: by establishing a meta-level

Page 11: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.1 Global challenges

global challenges are complex challenges:

their complexity exceeds the problem-solving capacity of any currently existing social system – complexity needs to be reduced in order to enable the system to cope with the challenges*: by establishing a meta-level

*) Ross W. Ashby: a system needs to have at least the same variety as another system to be able to steer that system; Niklas Luhmann: a system needs to reduce the complexity of another system to be able to steer that system

Page 12: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.2 Integrativism

Page 13: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

ways of thinking

reductionism

projectivism

disjunctivism

integrativism

relationship between lower and higher complexity

relationship between identity and difference; unification or diversification

reduces higher complexity to lower complexity

identity without differenceprojects higher complexity onto lower complexity identity without differencedisjoins higher complexity from lower complexity difference without identityintegrates lower with higher complexity and differentiates between them unity of identity and difference

1.2 Integrativism

Page 14: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

ways of thinking

reductionism

projectivism

disjunctivism

integrativism

relationship between lower and higher complexity

relationship between identity and difference; unification or diversification

reduces higher complexity to lower complexity

identity without differenceprojects higher complexity onto lower complexity identity without differencedisjoins higher complexity from lower complexity difference without identityintegrates lower with higher complexity and differentiates between them unity of identity and difference

1.2 Integrativism

Page 15: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

ways of thinking

reductionism

projectivism

disjunctivism

integrativism

relationship between lower and higher complexity

relationship between identity and difference; unification or diversification

reduces higher complexity to lower complexity

identity without differenceprojects higher complexity onto lower complexity identity without differencedisjoins higher complexity from lower complexity difference without identityintegrates lower with higher complexity and differentiates between them unity of identity and difference

1.2 Integrativism

Page 16: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

ways of thinking

reductionism

projectivism

disjunctivism

integrativism

relationship between lower and higher complexity

relationship between identity and difference; unification or diversification

reduces higher complexity to lower complexity

identity without differenceprojects higher complexity onto lower complexity identity without differencedisjoins higher complexity from lower complexity difference without identityintegrates lower with higher complexity and differentiates between them unity of identity and difference

1.2 Integrativism

Page 17: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

ways of thinking

reductionism

projectivism

disjunctivism

integrativism

relationship between lower and higher complexity

relationship between identity and difference; unification or diversification

reduces higher complexity to lower complexity

identity without differenceprojects higher complexity onto lower complexity identity without differencedisjoins higher complexity from lower complexity difference without identityintegrates lower with higher complexity and differentiates between them unity of identity and difference

1.2 Integrativism

Page 18: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.3 Ludwig von Bertalanffy's General System Theory

sublation of mechanicism (physicalism) and vitalism (metaphysics)

theory of universal principles applying to real-world systems irrespective of their physical, biotic or social nature

Page 19: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.3.1 Epistemology

•mathematical terms or natural language, if the first option is not possible

•anti-reductionism and anti-projectivism: neither physicalism nor biologism

•models mirror only certain traits ("perspectivism")

Page 20: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.3.2 Ontology

•differentiation and integration (principle of progressive organisation – "anamorphosis")

•the concept of wholeness: maintenance of the organisation through change of components

•superposition of many levels

Page 21: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.3.3 Ethics

•humanistic concerns about global challenges: history's irrationality and bestiality is to be ascribed to socio-cultural systems but not individuals

Page 22: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.4 Science

philosophy

real-world sciences

natural sciences (physics incl. cosmology, chemistry, biology, part of psychology, etc.)

formal sciences (logics, mathe-matics)

social and human sciences

general

specific

engineering, applied or technological sciences as well as arts(e.g. computer and information science)

Page 23: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.4 Science

philosophy

real-world sciences

natural sciences (physics incl. cosmology, chemistry, biology, part of psychology, etc.)

formal sciences (logics, mathe-matics)

social and human sciences

general

specific

engineering, applied or technological sciences as well as arts(e.g. computer and information science)

science of contemporary society

Page 24: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

1.4 Science

philosophy

real-world sciences

natural sciences (physics incl. cosmology, chemistry, biology, part of psychology, etc.)

formal sciences (logics, mathe-matics)

social and human sciences

general

specific

engineering, applied or technological sciences as well as arts(e.g. computer and information science)

science of contemporary society

GeneralSystemTheory

Page 25: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

systems philosophy

formal systems science(methodo-logy)

science of real-world systems

general

specific

science of artificial systems design

science of the world system in statu nascendi

1.4 Science

Page 26: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

systems philosophy

formal systems science(methodo-logy)

science of real-world systems

science of material (physi-cal) systems

science of living (biotic) systems

science of human(social) systems

general

specific

science of artificial systems design

science of the world system in statu nascendi

1.4 Science

Page 27: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

Page 28: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

self-organisation =def. spontaneous build-up/maintenance of order in matter (in nature, in and between real-world systems)

Page 29: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

self-organisation =def. spontaneous build-up/maintenance of order in matter (in nature, in and between real-world systems)

puzzle: entropy law S>0 (growing disorder)vs. life (growing order)?

Page 30: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

self-organisation =def. spontaneous build-up/maintenance of order in matter (in nature, in and between real-world systems)

puzzle: entropy law S>0 (growing disorder)vs. life (growing order)?

solution: open systems(merger of systems theory and evolutionary theory)

Page 31: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents

Metasystem transition 1:individual phase

Page 32: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents

Metasystem transition 1:individual phase

Page 33: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction

Metasystem transition 2:interactional phase

Page 34: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction

Metasystem transition 2:interactional phase

Page 35: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction

Metasystem transition 3:integrative phase

Page 36: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction

generate

structure organisationalrelations

Metasystem transition 3:integrative phase

Page 37: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

system organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generate

structureMetasystem transition 3:integrative phase

Page 38: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

system organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generate

structureMetasystem transition 3:integrative phase

Page 39: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

system organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generateemergence

dominance

structureMetasystem transition 3:integrative phase

self-organisation

Page 40: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generateemergence

dominance

structureSuprasystem 1:reproduction

system

self-organisation

Page 41: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generateemergence

dominance

structureSuprasystem 1:reproduction

system

self-organisation

Page 42: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generateemergence

dominance

structureSuprasystem 1:reproduction

system

self-organisation

Page 43: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generateemergence

dominance

structuresystem

self-organisation

Suprasystem 1:reproduction

Page 44: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generateemergence

dominance

structuresystem

self-organisation

Suprasystem 2:transformation

Page 45: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generateemergence

dominance

structuresystem

self-organisation

Suprasystem 2:transformation

Page 46: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generateemergence

dominance

structuresystem

self-organisation

Suprasystem 2:transformation

Page 47: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generateemergence

dominance

structuresystem

self-organisation

Suprasystem 2:transformation

Page 48: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

2 A new conception of the world: self-organisation

agents in interaction(microlevel)

constrain and enable

organisationalrelations(macrolevel)

generateemergence

dominance

structuresystem

self-organisation

Suprasystem 2:transformation

Page 49: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3 A new design for the future: humane systems design

Page 50: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.1 Evolutionary systems stage model

Page 51: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.1 Evolutionary systems stage model

systems n

levels

phases

Page 52: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.1 Evolutionary systems stage model

systems n

phase n phase n+1

levels

phases

meta-/suprasystem n+1space ofpossibilities n

complexification

emergence from a necessary condition

Page 53: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.1 Evolutionary systems stage model

systems n

phase n phase n+1

level n+1

level n

levels

phases

meta-/suprasystem n+1space ofpossibilities n

complexification

new organisational relations

elements n+1

emergence from a necessary condition

downw

ard causationthrough higher-order structure

Page 54: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

Page 55: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

Strict determinism

t

Page 56: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

space of possibility

(there is only one option)

space of impossibilities

Strict determinism

space of impossibilitiest

Page 57: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

space of possibility

(there is only one option)

space of impossibilities

space of impossibilitiest

Page 58: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

t

Page 59: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

(empty space of impossibilities)

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

all-embracing space of possibilities

(everything is possible)

Indeterminism

t

Page 60: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

(empty space of impossibilities)

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

all-embracing space of possibilities

(everything is possible)

t

Page 61: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

(empty space of impossibilities)

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

all-embracing space of possibilities

(everything is possible)

t

Page 62: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

(empty space of impossibilities)

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

all-embracing space of possibilities

(everything is possible)

t

Less-than-strictdeterminism

Page 63: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

Less-than-strictdeterminism

t

Page 64: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.2 Neither strict determinism nor indeterminism

Less-than-strictdeterminism

space of possibilities

space of impossibilities

t

Page 65: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.3 World system transition

Historical situationsas points ofbifurcation

space of possibilities

space of impossibilities

t

Page 66: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.3 World system transition

The Great Bifurcation

space of possibilities

space of impossibilities

today

Page 67: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.3 World system transition

The Great Bifurcation

amplifiedfluctuations

(=crisis)

space of possibilities

space of impossibilities

today

Page 68: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.3 World system transition

The Great Bifurcation

amplifiedfluctuations

(=crisis)

regulated financial capitalismspace of possibilities

space of impossibilities

today

Page 69: Wolfgang Hofkirchner: Facing complexity - General System Theory

3.3 World system transition

The Great Bifurcation

amplifiedfluctuations

(=crisis)

mastering the global challenges: Global Sustainable InformationSociety (GSIS)

social systems falling apart:exterminism, barbarism

regulated financial capitalismspace of possibilities

space of impossibilities

today