work, income and progress in the next era

33
FROM PAUSE TO PLAY WORK, INCOME AND PROGRESS IN THE NEXT ERA #NextEra #NextEraSF Roope Mokka Co-Founder Demos Helsinki @mokka Aleksi Neuvonen Co-Founder Demos Helsinki @leksis

Upload: demos-helsinki

Post on 24-Jan-2017

27 views

Category:

Presentations & Public Speaking


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

FROM PAUSE TO PLAYWORK, INCOME AND PROGRESS IN THE NEXT ERA

#NextEra #NextEraSF

Roope Mokka Co-Founder Demos Helsinki @mokka Aleksi Neuvonen Co-Founder Demos Helsinki @leksis

WHERE ARE WE NOW?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

WHERE ARE WE NOW?

WHAT NEXT?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

ASTONISHING PROGRESS

#NextEra #NextEraSF

LOST AND LEFT BEHIND

#NextEra #NextEraSF

STRANGE DISSONANCE

#NextEra #NextEraSF

A DIVIDED SOCIETY

BACK TO GREAT VS TECHNO-OPTIMISM#NextEra #NextEraSF

CULTURAL PESSIMISM

#NextEra #NextEraSF

STUCK IN THE MIDDLE

“THE CRISIS CONSISTS PRECISELY IN THE FACT THAT THE OLD IS DYING AND THE NEW CANNOT BE BORN; IN THIS INTERREGNUM A GREAT VARIETY OF MORBID SYMPTOMS APPEAR.”

ANTONIO GRAMSCI

#NextEra #NextEraSF

WHAT DOES THIS ALL MEAN?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

THE PROMISE OF THE 20TH CENTURY

GROWTH WORK WELL-BEING #NextEra #NextEraSF

PRIVATE COMPANIES

PEOPLESTATEWELL-BEING

WORK

GROW

TH

THE PROMISE OF THE 20TH CENTURY

INCOME

LABOR

TAXESSOCIAL SECURITY

TAXE

S

INVE

STM

ENT

E.G.

EDU

CATI

ON

#NextEra #NextEraSF

PRIVATE COMPANIES

PEOPLESTATE

A BROKEN SYSTEM?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

RISE OF THE MACHINES

World Economic Forum

5m JOBS lost across 15 developed nations by 2020

137mWORKERS across Cambodia, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam at risk from automization

International Labor Organisation

#NextEra #NextEraSF

HAVE WE BEEN HERE BEFORE?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

ENGELS’ PAUSE

#NextEra #NextEraSF

Allen, Robert (2009) Engels’ pause: Technical change, capital accumulation, and inequality in the british industrial revolution. Explorations in Economic History 46 (4), 418–425.

ENGELS’ PAUSE

#NextEra #NextEraSF

GIN LANE

#NextEra #NextEraSF

1800 2000MEDIAN WAGES AND LIVING STANDARDS STAGNANT AND BY SOME MEASURES THEY HAVE WORSENED. X X

INCOME INEQUALITY HAS CLIMBED. X XREMARKABLE NEW TECHNOLOGIES SUGGEST THAT THE EFFECTS ON THE ECONOMY WILL BE PROFOUND. X X

PEOPLE HAVE NEGATIVE ANTICIPATIONS OF THE FUTURE. X X

BACK TO THE FUTURE?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

1790 18401830182018101800

2005 20552045203520252015

WHAT IF WE ARE NOW IN 1805?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

HOW LONG DO WE THINK THE TRANSFORMATION TAKES?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

“THE SPECTRE OF USELESSNESS”

AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE

#NextEra #NextEraSF

AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE

— WILL TRUMP BRING JOBS BACK? — WILL FINANCIAL DEPARTMENTS BE AUTOMATED? — DOES IT MAKE SENSE TO USE YEARS TO LEARN A PROFESSION? — WILL SOCIETY REDUCE TO COMPETITION OF THE FITTEST? — ARE OWNERS RELIANT ON THE WELL-BEING OF EMPLOYEES EVER AGAIN? — ARE MY SKILLS AND CONTRIBUTION BEING APPRECIATED?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

WHERE DO WE WANT TO BE?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

A NEW, INCLUSIVE STORY OF PROGRESS ✓ A NEW WAY TO ORGANIZE A POST WORK AND GROWTH SOCIETY ✓ ACTIVE AND INCLUSIVE DEMOCRACY ✓ A JUST ADMINISTRATION AND GOVERNANCE ✓ A SENSE OF BELONGING, PARTICIPATION ✓ FAIR FOR PEOPLE LOCALLY ✓ FAIR FOR PEOPLE GLOBALLY ✓ FAIR FOR THE ENVIRONMENT

A NEW VISION

#NextEra #NextEraSF

THE NEED FOR IDEAS

“ONLY A CRISIS - ACTUAL OR PERCEIVED - PRODUCES REAL CHANGE. WHEN THAT CRISIS OCCURS, THE ACTIONS THAT ARE TAKEN DEPEND ON THE IDEAS THAT ARE LYING AROUND. ”

MILTON FRIEDMAN

#NextEra #NextEraSF

FROM PAUSE TO PLAY HOW DO WE GET THERE?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

—SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEMS —WELFARE STATE —PRIMARY EDUCATION SYSTEM —URBAN PLANNING —TRADE UNIONS —REPRESENTATIVE DEMOCRACY

SOCIAL INNOVATIONS FROM THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION

#NextEra #NextEraSF

1. VALUES JUST, OPEN & INCLUSIVE

THE NEXTERA

2. EXPERIMENTS TEST, LEARN & SCALE

#NextEra #NextEraSF

WHAT IF… —BASIC INCOME COVERS A LARGE SHARE OF YOUR LIVING COSTS? —HEALTHCARE TURNS PREVENTIVE AND CHEAP DUE TO TECHNOLOGY? —SHARING PLATFORMS ENABLE CASH-FREE LIFESTYLES? —OUR PENSIONS ARE COLLABORATIVE AND MUTUAL? —YOU GO TO COLLEGE SEVEN TIMES IN YOUR LIFETIME? —PEER-LEARNING TAKES OFF MASSIVELY? —ACCESS TO ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE BECOMES A CITIZEN'S RIGHT?

WHAT NEW SOCIAL INNOVATIONS ARE NEEDED?

#NextEra #NextEraSF

THE FINNISH BASIC INCOME EXPERIMENT

#NextEra #NextEraSF

MIND THE GAP

2017UNIVERSAL

BASIC INCOME

20?? “NEW SOCIAL CONTRACT”?

[IDEAS + EXPERIMENTS NEEDED]

#NextEra #NextEraSF

WHAT ARE THE NEXTERA

SOCIAL INNOVATIONS?

THE KEY QUESTION

#NextEra #NextEraSF