working paper: global forest products consumption ... · gfpos working paper no. 1 global forest...

Global forest productsconsumption, production,trade and prices: globalforest products modelprojections to 2010

Paper prepared for the 1999 GlobalForest Products Outlook Study

Working paper:GFPOS/WP/01

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1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

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Africa America Asia Europe

Industrial roundwood consumption

EUROPEANCOMMISSIONDG VIIIDEVELOPMENT

© FAO 1999

The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do notimply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and AgricultureOrganization of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory,city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers orboundaries.

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system,or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise,without the prior permission of the copyright owner. Applications for such permission, with astatement of the purpose and extent of the reproduction, should be addressed to the Director,Information Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Viale delleTerme di Caracalla, 00100 Rome, Italy.

Global Forest Products Outlook StudyWorking Paper Series

Working Paper No: GFPOS/WP/01

GLOBAL FOREST PRODUCTS CONSUMPTION,PRODUCTION, TRADE AND PRICES:

GLOBAL FOREST PRODUCTS MODELPROJECTIONS TO 2010

Shushuai Zhu, David Tomberlin, Joseph BuongiornoDepartment of Forest Ecology and Management

University of Wisconsin, Madison1630 Linden Drive

Madison, Wisconsin 53706, USA

Forestry Policy and Planning Division, Rome

December 1998

GFPOS Working Paper No. 1

Global forest products, consumption, production, trade and prices

i

FOREWORD

The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) carries-out periodicreviews of the forestry sector and produces long-term forecasts of wood and wood productsupply and demand. The production of reliable and timely forecasts is seen as an important aidto planning and decision making in the forestry sector at a national, regional and global level,which FAO will continue to strongly support in the future.

In contrast to previous publications on this subject, the current forest products outlook studyattempts to go beyond simply presenting forecasts of future supply and demand, to look atwider issues in the markets for wood and wood products. This is why the forecasts of futuresupply and demand are being presented here as a working paper. They will form onecomponent of a broader analysis, which will examine how these forecasts might be influencedby future developments in forestry policy and forest management and, conversely, what theirimplications are for consumers, the industry and forestry policymakers. The broader analysiswill be presented as a main report, once all of the working papers in this series have beencompleted.

The forecasts presented here are the result of a considerable amount of work and havebenefited substantially from the inputs of numerous reviewers from both within and outsideFAO. In particular, FAO would like to express its gratitude to the team from the Departmentof Forest Ecology and Management at the University of Wisconsin (Madison), under the verycapable and dynamic leadership of Professor Joseph Buongiorno, who were responsible forproducing the forecasts presented here.

A major strength of the Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) is that it produces a set ofsupply and demand forecasts that are internally consistent. In other words, it ensures that, foreach product, total world supply equals total world demand for each year of the forecast. Italso ensures that the projections of supply and demand for roundwood and other raw materialsources produced by the model are consistent with the projections of product supply anddemand. However, it is important to note that this consistency places great demands on thequality of the production and consumption data collated by FAO. In order to produce theprojections presented here, the GFPM requires a complete and consistent set of data for eachof the 14 product categories in each of the 180 countries and territories included in the study.It is certainly true to say that this requirement has tested the quality of FAO's forest productsdata to the limit!

A large part of the analysis that has gone into this study has been to examine the quality of thisdata and make corrections to the data where the model has highlighted inconsistencies. Thefirst region that was examined in great detail was the Asia-Pacific region and the data for othersignificant producer and consumer countries has similarly been scrutinised. However, it hassimply not been possible to check, in detail, all of the 2,500 data points for internalconsistency. Consequently, it should be noted that the projections presented here are bestviewed in their aggregate form. For researchers interested in projections of supply and demandfor individual countries, it is strongly recommended that they should contact the nationalforestry authorities in these countries to see if they have projections of their own, forcomparison with those given here.

Zhu, Tomberlin & Buongiorno


ii

FAO will continue to explore with member countries, ways in which the quality of forestproduct production, consumption and trade data can be improved. It will also continue toproduce global, regional and thematic outlook studies which provide forestry policymakerswith timely and useful information to assist them with their work. In this respect, we wouldwelcome comments on all aspects of this study from professional analysts and users of thisstudy (contact details can be found on page vii of this working paper).

Adrian WhitemanForestry Officer (Sector Studies)

Forestry Policy and Planning Division



iii

TABLE OF CONTENTS

FOREWORD ........................................................................................................................I

INFORMATION NOTE ON THE GLOBAL FOREST PRODUCTS OUTLOOKSTUDY ..............................................................................................................................VII

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS............................................................................................ VIII

ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................... VIII

1. THE GLOBAL FOREST PRODUCTS MODEL ....................................................... 1

1.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................11.2 Background to the Global Forest Products Model ...........................................................................11.3 Model structure .................................................................................................................................2

1.3.1 Countries ...................................................................................................................................31.3.2 Products .....................................................................................................................................5

1.4 Demand..............................................................................................................................................51.5 Wood supply assumptions................................................................................................................ 121.6 Other assumptions........................................................................................................................... 171.7 Mathematical formulation of the GFPM ........................................................................................ 18

1.7.1 Static phase.............................................................................................................................. 181.7.2 Dynamic phase......................................................................................................................... 201.7.3 Regional sub-models ................................................................................................................ 21

2. REGIONAL FOREST PRODUCTS CONSUMPTION, PRODUCTION, TRADEAND PRICES (1995-2010)................................................................................................. 22

2.1 Consumption and trade projections ................................................................................................ 232.2 Past and future market–clearing price levels ................................................................................. 34

LITERATURE CITED...................................................................................................... 36

APPENDIX 1 - CONSUMPTION OUTLOOK (1995 - 2010).......................................... 37

APPENDIX 2 - PRODUCTION OUTLOOK (1995 - 2010).......................................... 111

APPENDIX 3 - IMPORTS OUTLOOK (1995 - 2010) ................................................... 185

APPENDIX 4 - EXPORTS OUTLOOK (1995 - 2010) ................................................... 259



iv

TABLE OF FIGURES

Figure 1. 1 Structure of the WORLD model. ....................................................................................................3Figure 1.2 Wood/non-wood material flows. ......................................................................................................6

Figure 2.1 Consumption of Industrial Roundwood. ........................................................................................ 23Figure 2.2 Net Trade of Industrial Roundwood............................................................................................... 23

Figure 2.3 Consumption of Sawnwood. .......................................................................................................... 24Figure 2.4 Net Trade of Sawnwood. ............................................................................................................... 24

Figure 2.5 Consumption of Veneer/Plywood. ................................................................................................. 25Figure 2.6 Net Trade of Veneer/Plywood........................................................................................................ 25

Figure 2.7 Consumption of Particle Board...................................................................................................... 26Figure 2.8 Net Trade of Particle Board........................................................................................................... 26

Figure 2.9 Consumption of Fibreboard. .......................................................................................................... 27Figure 2.10 Net Trade of Fibreboard. ............................................................................................................. 27

Figure 2.11 Consumption of Mechanical Wood Pulp...................................................................................... 28Figure 2.12 Net Trade of Mechanical Wood Pulp. .......................................................................................... 28

Figure 2.13 Consumption of Chemical/Semichemical Wood Pulp. ................................................................. 29Figure 2.14 Net Trade of Chemical/Semichemical Wood Pulp. ...................................................................... 29

Figure 2.15 Consumption of Other Fibre Pulp. ............................................................................................... 30Figure 2.16 Consumption of Wastepaper........................................................................................................ 30

Figure 2.17 Consumption of Newsprint.......................................................................................................... 31Figure 2.18 Net Trade of Newsprint. .............................................................................................................. 31

Figure 2.19 Consumption of Printing & Writing Paper. ................................................................................. 32Figure 2.20 Net Trade of Printing & Writing Paper........................................................................................ 32

Figure 2.21 Consumption of Other Paper & Paperboard. ................................................................................ 33Figure 2.22 Net Trade of Other Paper & Paperboard. ..................................................................................... 33

Figure 2.23 Real World Prices of Solid Wood Products. ................................................................................. 34Figure 2.24 Real World Prices of Wood-Based Panels. ................................................................................... 34Figure 2.25 Real World Prices of Paper and Paperboard................................................................................. 35



v

TABLE OF TABLES

Table 1.1 Countries in the Global Forest Products Model. ................................................................................4Table 1.2 Products included in the Global Forest Products Model.....................................................................5Table 1.3 Country groupings............................................................................................................................6Table 1.4 Price and income elasticities of demand for forest products...............................................................8Table 1.5 Assumed Growth Rate of Real GDP (% per year), 1994-2010...........................................................9Table 1.6 Sawlog and pulpwood supply in 1994 and rate of shift of supply up to 2010. .................................. 14

Table A1.1 Consumption of Roundwood (thousand CUM). ............................................................................ 39Table A1.2 Consumption of Fuelwood (thousand CUM). ............................................................................... 43Table A1.3 Consumption of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). ............................................................ 47Table A1.4 Consumption of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). .................................................. 51Table A1.5 Consumption of Sawnwood (thousand CUM)............................................................................... 55Table A1.6 Consumption of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM)................................................................. 59Table A1.7 Consumption of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM)..................................................... 63Table A1.8 Consumption of Particle Board (thousand CUM). ........................................................................ 67Table A1.9 Consumption of Fibreboard (thousand CUM)............................................................................... 71Table A1.10 Consumption of Woodpulp (thousand MT). ............................................................................... 75Table A1.11 Consumption of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT). ..................................................................... 79Table A1.12 Consumption of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT). ........................................................................ 83Table A1.13 Consumption of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT). ..................................................................... 87Table A1.14 Consumption of Waste Paper (thousand MT). ............................................................................ 91Table A1.15 Consumption of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT). .................................................... 95Table A1.16 Consumption of Newsprint (thousand MT). ............................................................................... 99Table A1.17 Consumption of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT). ................................................... 103Table A1.18 Consumption of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT)........................................................... 107

Table A2.1 Production of Roundwood (thousand CUM)............................................................................... 113Table A2.2 Production of Fuelwood (thousand CUM). ................................................................................. 117Table A2.3 Production of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). .............................................................. 121Table A2.4 Production of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). .................................................... 125Table A2.5 Production of Sawnwood (thousand CUM)................................................................................. 129Table A2.6 Production of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM)................................................................... 133Table A2.7 Production of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM)....................................................... 137Table A2.8 Production of Particle Board (thousand CUM). .......................................................................... 141Table A2.9 Production of Fibreboard (thousand CUM)................................................................................. 145Table A2.10 Production of Woodpulp (thousand MT). ................................................................................. 149Table A2.11 Production of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT). ....................................................................... 153Table A2.12 Production of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT). .......................................................................... 157Table A2.13 Production of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT). ....................................................................... 161Table A2.14 Production of Waste Paper (thousand MT). .............................................................................. 165Table A2.15 Production of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT). ...................................................... 169Table A2.16 Production of Newsprint (thousand MT). ................................................................................. 173Table A2.17 Production of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT). ....................................................... 177Table A2.18 Production of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT)............................................................... 181

Table A3.1 Import of Roundwood (thousand CUM). .................................................................................... 187Table A3.2 Import of Fuelwood (thousand CUM)......................................................................................... 191Table A3.3 Import of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). .................................................................... 195Table A3.4 Import of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). .......................................................... 199Table A3.5 Import of Sawnwood (thousand CUM)....................................................................................... 203Table A3.6 Import of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM)......................................................................... 207Table A3.7 Import of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM)............................................................. 211Table A3.8 Import of Particle Board (thousand CUM). ................................................................................ 215Table A3.9 Import of Fibreboard (thousand CUM)....................................................................................... 219Table A3.10 Import of Woodpulp (thousand MT). ....................................................................................... 223



vi

Table A3.11 Import of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT). ............................................................................. 227Table A3.12 Import of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT).................................................................................. 231Table A3.13 Import of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT)............................................................................... 235Table A3.14 Import of Waste Paper (thousand MT). .................................................................................... 239Table A3.15 Import of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT).............................................................. 243Table A3.16 Import of Newsprint (thousand MT). ....................................................................................... 247Table A3.17 Import of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT). ............................................................. 251Table A3.18 Import of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT). .................................................................... 255

Table A4.1 Export of Roundwood (thousand CUM). .................................................................................... 261Table A4.2 Export of Fuelwood (thousand CUM)......................................................................................... 265Table A4.3 Export of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). .................................................................... 269Table A4.4 Export of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). .......................................................... 273Table A4.5 Export of Sawnwood (thousand CUM)....................................................................................... 277Table A4.6 Export of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM)......................................................................... 281Table A4.7 Export of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM)............................................................. 285Table A4.8 Export of Particle Board (thousand CUM). ................................................................................ 289Table A4.9 Export of Fibreboard (thousand CUM)....................................................................................... 293Table A4.10 Export of Woodpulp (thousand MT). ....................................................................................... 297Table A4.11 Export of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT). ............................................................................. 301Table A4.12 Export of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT).................................................................................. 305Table A4.13 Export of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT)............................................................................... 309Table A4.14 Export of Waste Paper (thousand MT). .................................................................................... 313Table A4.15 Export of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT).............................................................. 317Table A4.16 Export of Newsprint (thousand MT). ....................................................................................... 321Table A4.17 Export of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT). ............................................................. 325Table A4.18 Export of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT). .................................................................... 329



vii

INFORMATION NOTE ON THE GLOBAL FOREST PRODUCTS OUTLOOK STUDY

In considering the role of FAO in the sustainable management of forests and in the follow-up to the UNConference on Environment and Development (UNCED), the 107th session of the FAO Council (1994)agreed that there was a need for FAO to improve the quality of its forest sector information and analysis. Inresponse to this and other similar demands, FAO has increased the prominence of outlook studies in theprogramme of work of the Forestry Department.

A provisional global forest products outlook was produced early in 1997 which concentrated on forecasts offuture supply and demand, based on econometric modelling of past trends in forest products markets. Thisstudy highlighted the need for more detailed research in two areas: the supply and demand for fuelwood;and the potential for wood supply from non-forest sources (including trees outside the forest and secondarysources). In addition to this, subsequent discussion of the provisional outlook, suggested that greaterattention should be given more generally to the supply-side of future outlook studies.

The present Global Forest Products Outlook Study is the fifth in the series of FAO's global supply anddemand studies which have been produced approximately every five years since 1982. The study attemptsto respond to those needs identified above. However, it also attempts to go beyond the scope of previousoutlook studies, by presenting much more interpretation of the future supply and demand forecasts from thepoint of view of forestry policy development and forest management. Thus, it attempts to go beyondanswering the simple question of how much wood will be needed in the future, to cover issues such aswhere will the wood come from, who will produce it and how will it be produced and utilised. This,inevitably, leads to questions about how forestry policies and institutions should be shaped in the future andthe study attempts to answer some of these questions.

Working papers have been commissioned on a few topics which have been considered as most importantfor the future wood product market outlook, including: likely future changes in the nature and type of woodand fibre supplies; trends in processing; and the future outlook for fuelwood supply and demand. Workingpapers are being produced and issued as they arrive. Some effort at uniformity of presentation is beingattempted but the contents are only minimally edited for style or clarity. FAO welcomes from readers anyinformation which they feel would be useful to the study on the subject of any of the working papers or onany other subject that has importance for the forest products outlook. Such material can be mailed to thecontacts given below from whom further copies of these working papers, as well as more information onthe Global Forest Products Outlook Study can be obtained:

Mr. R Michael MartinChiefPlanning and Statistics BranchPolicy and Planning DivisionForestry DepartmentFood and Agriculture Organization of

the United NationsViale delle Terme di CaracallaRome, 00100, ITALYTel: (39-06) 5705 3302Fax: (39-06) 5705 5137Email: [email protected]

Mr Adrian WhitemanForestry Officer (Sector Studies)

Planning and Statistics BranchPolicy and Planning DivisionForestry DepartmentFood and Agriculture Organization of

the United NationsViale delle Terme di CaracallaRome, 00100, ITALYTel: (39-06) 5705 5055Fax: (39-06) 5705 5137Email: [email protected]



viii

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The research leading to this report was supported by the Forestry Policy and Planning Divisionof the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, by the AgricultureCooperative State Research Service grant 95-37400-1851, by McIntire-Stennis grant D496, bythe USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, and by the School of NaturalResources, University of Wisconsin, Madison. Projections for countries which are signatoriesto the Lomé Convention, were also supported by the EC-FAO Partnership Programme 1998-2000 – Data Collection and Analysis for Sustainable Forest Management in ACP Countries;Linking National and International Efforts.

We thank Michael Martin and David Brooks for their help in defining the problem and studyobjectives, and Adrian Whiteman, Mafa Chipeta, Chris Brown and Gary Bull for theircollaboration in scenario definition, and in data and parameter evaluation. The softwaredevelopment of Chia-Sheng Liu and econometric help of Wen-Shiuan Chao and BintangSimangunsong are also gratefully acknowledged. The project would have not been possiblewithout the previous contribution of Dali Zhang to the 1997 Provisional Outlook.

ABSTRACT

The objective of this study was to revise the FAO Provisional Outlook for Global ForestProducts Consumption, Production and Trade to 2010 (FAO 1997). This revision is based onnew estimates of future economic growth, a re-evaluation of the assumptions regarding timbersupply, refinement of input-output parameters and detailed analysis of the Asia-Pacific region(Zhang et al. 1997; FAO 1998).

The global forest products model (GFPM) used to produce the projections gives fullyconsistent projections of quantities produced, consumed and traded, within each country andbetween a country and the rest of the world. It also provides projections of market-clearingprices.

The first part of this report summarizes the structure of the GFPM and the revised assumptionsused in these forecasts. The second part presents the main trends in production, consumptionand trade from 1995 to 2010, by region. The detailed tables of projections by country andproduct are presented in report’s appendices.



1

1. THE GLOBAL FOREST PRODUCTS MODEL

1.1 Introduction

The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has been producinglong-term projections of future consumption, production and trade of forest products since1982. The production of good projections has been a major concern to the FAO forestryeconomics and statistics staff and to all users, since they are likely to influence governmentplanning and private decision making in member countries.

Earlier evaluation of the current FAO forest products projection system showed that when thesystem was applied to project consumption and production, it led to systematic errors forsome products, and the projections towards the year 2010 also seemed to be too high.Furthermore, the projections of world consumption and production did not agree which, ofcourse, they must in practice (Zhang and Buongiorno 1994).

To address these problems, a study was initiated in 1996 to improve the FAO global forestproducts outlook projection system. The approach used was a dynamic spatial equilibriummodel to simulate the world forest sector. The model was applied to project forest productconsumption, production and trade under provisional scenarios of economic growth andtimber supply. A key feature of the model is that the projected demand for final products inthe world cannot exceed the global wood supply, after allowing for trade in raw materials orfinished products between countries. Therefore, the assumptions regarding economic growthand timber supply are critical in the projections. Three preliminary scenarios were consideredin the Provisional Outlook (FAO, 1997). This report presents new projections based onrevised economic growth rates, new information on timber supply, and revised econometricparameters in the GFPM model.

The report is organized as follows. Chapter 1 reviews the methodology of the Global ForestProducts Model (GFPM), describes the countries/regions and the products included in themodel, and discusses the demand equations and the timber supply assumptions. Chapter 2presents projections for 1995 to 2010 of consumption, production and trade for the mainregions of the world. Projections of forest products consumption, production and trade bycountry and product, from 1980 to 2010 are given in four appendices at the end of this report.

1.2 Background to the Global Forest Products Model

The GFPM model was developed with the Price Endogenous Linear Programming System(PELPS III) (Zhang et al. 1993). The technique simulates market equilibrium by mathematicalprogramming. There have been several applications of the technique over the last twodecades. The theory is that of spatial equilibrium in competitive markets. PELPS III solves theequilibrium by maximizing the value of the products, minus the cost of production, subject tomaterial balance and capacity constraints in each country and each year. Because materialflows throughout the system must balance, it insures data consistency, and coherence ofprojections.



2

In each projection year, for each country and commodity, supply (domestic production plusimports) is equal to demand (final consumption, plus input in other processes, plus exports).Final demand is price responsive; demand for wood or intermediate products derives from thedemand for final products through input-output coefficients that describe technologies in eachcountry. The supply of raw wood in each country is price responsive. The supply of recycledpaper is constrained by the waste paper supply, which itself depends on the paper consumptionand the recycling rate. Imports and exports, by country and destination are balanced in eachcountry. Projected prices are such that they clear markets: at those prices demands are equalto supplies in each country.

From one year to the next, demand changes in each country due to changes in income. Thewood supply shifts according to the chosen scenario. Technology also changes, especially theamount of recycled fibre used in making paper and paperboard. Capacity increases ordecreases according to new investments that depend on past production and the profitability ofproduction in different countries, as revealed by the shadow price of capacity. Then, a newequilibrium is computed subject to the new demand and supply conditions, new technology,new capacity, and inertia constraints that limit the change in exports and imports from year toyear. The general principle of the PELPS system is, then, those markets optimize theallocation of resources in the short run (within one year). Long run resource allocation ispartly governed by market forces, as in capacity expansion and trade, and also by politicalforces such as: the wood supply shifts determined by forest policy, the waste paper recoveryrates by environmental policy, the trade inertia that depend in part on international agreements,and the techniques of production determined by exogenous progress.

PELPS has been used by the United States of America and Canadian Forest Services todevelop the North American pulp and paper model (NAPAP), the North American solid woodmodel (NASAW), and by the International Tropical Timber Organization (ITTO) to developthe Asia-Pacific Tropical Timber Trade (Market) model. The Asia-Pacific Forest ProductsModel (Zhang et al. 1997) was also built with PELPS.

1.3 Model structure

The Global Forest Products Model has a hierarchical structure. It consists of one main modelcalled WORLD which is solved first, and of four sub-models: AFRICA, AMERICA, ASIA,and EUROPE, each one solved with trade flows that are consistent with the WORLD model.

The WORLD model has four demand and supply regions, Africa, America, Asia, and Europe(including the former USSR). Each of the four regions has: (1) demand (consumption) offuelwood, other industrial roundwood, sawnwood, veneer & plywood, particle board,fibreboard, newsprint, printing & writing paper and other paper & paperboard; (2) production(supply) of fuelwood, industrial roundwood, other fibre pulp, waste paper, sawnwood, veneer& plywood, particle board, fibreboard, mechanical pulp, chemical pulp, newsprint, printing &writing paper and other paper & paperboard. Also, each region imports from and exports tothe “world market” (see Figure 1.1).



3

Figure 1. 1 Structure of the WORLD model.

A similar structure applies to the regional sub-models. For example, in the AMERICA sub-model, there are 35 countries, each with a demand and supply of the same products as in theWORLD model. Each country has imports from and exports to the “world market”.However, the total imports and exports of all countries in, say, the AMERICA are constrainedto be equal to the total imports and exports of the AMERICA estimated in the WORLDmodel.

1.3.1 Countries

The countries included in each sub-model are in Table 1.1. The AFRICA sub-model has 50countries in Africa. The AMERICA sub-model includes 35 countries in North, Central andSouth America. The ASIA sub-model is composed of 50 countries in Asia and Oceania. TheEUROPE sub-model has 45 countries in western and eastern Europe and the former SovietUnion.

EUROPERegion

AMERICARegion

ASIARegion

WORLDMarket

AFRICARegion



4

Table 1.1 Countries in the Global Forest Products Model1.Code InModel

Country Code InModel

Country CodeIn

Model

Country Code InModel

Country

AFRICA AMERICA ASIA EUROPE

1 Algeria 1 Bahamas 1 Afghanistan 1 Albania

2 Angola 2 Barbados 2 Bahrain 2 Austria

3 Benin 3 Belize 3 Bangladesh 3 Belgium-Luxembourg

4 Botswana 4 Canada 4 Bhutan 4 Bosnia-Herzegovina

5 Burkina Faso 5 Cayman Islands 5 Brunei Darussalam 5 Bulgaria

6 Burundi 6 Costa Rica 6 Cambodia 6 Croatia

7 Cameroon 7 Cuba 7 China, People’s Rep. of 7 Czech Republic

8 Cape Verde 8 Dominica 8 Cyprus 8 Denmark

9 Central African Republic 9 Dominican Republic 9 Hong Kong SAR, China 9 Finland

10 Chad 10 El Salvador 10 India 10 France

11 Congo, Rep of 11 Guatemala 11 Indonesia 11 Germany

12 Cote d'Ivoire 12 Haiti 12 Iran, Islamic Republic 12 Greece

13 Djibouti 13 Honduras 13 Iraq 13 Hungary

14 Egypt 14 Jamaica 14 Israel 14 Iceland

15 Equatorial Guinea 15 Martinique 15 Japan 15 Ireland

16 Ethiopia 16 Mexico 16 Jordan 16 Italy

17 Gabon 17 Netherlands Antilles 17 Korea, DPR 17 Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of

18 Gambia 18 Nicaragua 18 Korea, REP 18 Malta

19 Ghana 19 Panama 19 Kuwait 19 Netherlands

20 Guinea 20 Saint Vincent 20 Laos 20 Norway

21 Guinea-Bissau 21 Trinidad and Tobago 21 Lebanon 21 Poland

22 Kenya 22 United States of America 22 Macau 22 Portugal

23 Lesotho 23 Argentina 23 Malaysia 23 Romania

24 Liberia 24 Bolivia 24 Mongolia 24 Slovakia

25 Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 25 Brazil 25 Myanmar 25 Slovenia

26 Madagascar 26 Chile 26 Nepal 26 Spain

27 Malawi 27 Colombia 27 Oman 27 Sweden

28 Mali 28 Ecuador 28 Pakistan 28 Switzerland

29 Mauritania 29 French Guiana 29 Philippines 29 United Kingdom

30 Mauritius 30 Guyana 30 Qatar 30 Yugoslav Fed. Rep.

31 Morocco 31 Paraguay 31 Saudi Arabia 31 Armenia

32 Mozambique 32 Peru 32 Singapore 32 Azerbaijan

33 Niger 33 Suriname 33 Sri Lanka 33 Belarus

34 Nigeria 34 Uruguay 34 Syrian Arab Republic 34 Estonia

35 Reunion 35 Venezuela 35 Thailand 35 Georgia

36 Rwanda 36 Turkey 36 Kazakhstan

37 Sao Tome and Principe 37 United Arab Emirates 37 Kyrgyzstan

38 Senegal 38 Viet Nam 38 Latvia

39 Sierra Leone 39 Yemen 39 Lithuania

40 Somalia 40 Australia 40 Moldova, Rep.

41 South Africa 41 Cook Island 41 Russian Federation

42 Sudan 42 Fiji 42 Tajikistan

43 Swaziland 43 French Polynesia 43 Turkmenistan

44 Tanzania, United Republic 44 New Caledonia 44 Ukraine

45 Togo 45 New Zealand 45 Uzbekistan

46 Tunisia 46 Papua New Guinea

47 Uganda 47 Samoa

48 Congo, Dem Rep. of 48 Solomon Islands

49 Zambia 49 Tonga

50 Zimbabwe 50 Vanuatu

1 Region names are those used in the model.



5

1.3.2 Products

The products considered in the model are shown in Table 1.2. There are econometric demandequations for: fuelwood & charcoal; other industrial roundwood; sawnwood; veneer sheets &plywood; particle board; fibreboard; newsprint; printing & writing paper; and other paper &paperboard. Figure 1.2 shows the wood and noon-wood material flows assumed in the model.

Table 1.2 Products included in the Global Forest Products Model.Code Products Units Demand Supply

8081828384858687888990919293

Fuelwood and CharcoalSawlogs and PulpwoodOther Industrial RoundwoodSawnwoodVeneer/PlywoodParticle BoardFibreboardMechanical Wood PulpChemical/Semi-Chemical Wood PulpOther Fibre PulpWaste PaperNewsprintPrinting and Writing PaperOther Paper and Paperboard

1000 CUM1000 CUM1000 CUM1000 CUM1000 CUM1000 CUM1000 CUM1000 MT1000 MT1000 MT1000 MT1000 MT1000 MT1000 MT

EIEEEEEIIIIEEE

EEEIIIIIIEEIII

Note: E indicates the relation is represented with an econometric equation; I indicates the relation is represented withinput-output coefficients.

1.4 Demand

The demand equations of the Global Forest Products Model assume that national demand forforest products is determined by economic activity (GDP) and real prices. In the short-run,demand may adjust only partially to GDP and prices. Let qit (of price pit) be the amount of aforest product consumed or imported by a country (or region) i during year t; with iit an indexof the price of all other goods and services used in combination with this product to producean output designated by the variable yit, which in this study was measured by the real grossdomestic product. Then, assuming cost minimization under a Cobb-Douglas technology withconstant returns to scale, coupled with a partial adjustment of actual consumption (or imports)towards desired imports, leads to the following derived demand (Chou and Buongiorno 1984,Baudin and Lundberg 1987):

ln( ) ln( ) ln( ) ln( )qp

iy q uit i

it

itit it it= + + + +−α β γ δ 1

The long-run elasticities, β ‘ and γ', used to make projections, were calculated from the shortones by the equations:

ββ

δγ

γδ

' ',=−

=−1 1



6

The demand equation for each product was estimated for three income groups: HIGH(developed market economies), LOW (developing market economies), and WORLD(combination of developed and developing economies). The HIGH elasticities were used fordeveloped countries or regions. The generally larger LOW elasticities were used for Africa,and the developing countries in Asia.

Figure 1.2 Wood/non-wood material flows.

Table 1.3 Country groupings.

Group Country

HIGH income Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France,French Greenland, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan,Kuwait, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, New Zealand, SouthAfrica, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United Statesof America

LOW income The rest of the world

Source: FAO (1994, p.ix)

Particle Board

Roundwood

Industrial Roundwood Fuelwood & Charcoal

Veneer & Plywood

Sawnwood

Mechanical Pulp

Fiberboard

Chemical Pulp Other Fiber Pulp

Newsprint

Printing & Writing Paper

Other Paper & Paperboard

Other Industrial Roundwood

Waste Paper



7

Commodity prices were weighted averages of unit values of imports and exports, by country.The data on production, imports and exports were obtained from FAOSTAT•PC (FAO 1997).GDPs were measured in constant US dollar at 1987 prices, based on GDP in domesticcurrency, exchange rates, and the US GDP deflator. Alternatively, they were converted inconstant US dollars with the domestic deflator, and at the 1987 exchange rate. The twomethods gave similar estimates of elasticities for high-income countries, but quite differentelasticities for low income countries. The elasticities used here pooled both types of GDPestimates. The data on GDPs, exchange rates, and the US GDP deflator came from the WorldTables of the World Bank (1995).

The parameters of demand equations were estimated by analysis of covariance (OLS with onedummy variable for each country). The results in Table 1.4 show that the equations explainedconsumption well across countries and over time. GDP elasticities were all positive, exceptfor fuelwood and other industrial roundwood in high-income countries, as expected. Priceelasticities were low, though statistically and economically significant in many cases.

In the GFPM model, prices are endogenous (the equilibrium between demand and supply leadsto the prices). So, no assumption has to be made regarding future prices. Only national GDPsshift demand and are strictly exogenous.

The assumptions about GDP growth in each country, and the implications for the regions aresummarized in Table1.5. Real GDP was assumed to grow at about 4% per year from 1994 to2010 in Africa, at 2.7% per year in America, 4.6% per year in Asia, and 2.4% per year inEurope.



8

Table 1.4 Price and income elasticities of demand for forest products.Product Long-term

GDP Group Price GDP Lag Price GDP R2 DW DFFuelwood

High -0.11 -0.45 0.70 -0.39 -1.51 0.86 2.36 6430.13 0.17 * 0.03 * 0.45 0.57 *

Low -0.09 0.29 0.17 -0.11 0.35 0.91 2.01 4530.10 0.21 0.05 * 0.12 0.25

World -0.03 -0.26 0.59 -0.08 -0.63 0.88 2.31 10990.08 0.14 0.02 * 0.20 0.34

Other Industrial RoundwoodHigh 0.01 -0.11 0.52 0.02 -0.24 0.95 2.12 537

0.05 0.11 0.04 * 0.11 0.22Low -0.10 0.13 0.74 -0.38 0.48 0.94 1.92 417

0.06 0.13 0.03 * 0.23 0.49World -0.06 0.07 0.67 -0.17 0.20 0.95 2.05 957

0.04 0.08 0.02 * 0.12 0.26Sawnwood

High -0.10 0.14 0.54 -0.22 0.31 0.99 2.17 8710.03 * 0.03 * 0.03 * 0.07 * 0.06 *

Low -0.08 0.09 0.67 -0.23 0.28 0.95 1.99 18930.03 * 0.03 * 0.02 * 0.09 * 0.08 *

World -0.08 0.10 0.66 -0.23 0.29 0.97 2.01 27670.02 * 0.02 * 0.01 * 0.07 * 0.06 *

Veneer and PlywoodHigh 0.00 0.34 0.52 0.01 0.71 0.98 2.16 833

0.04 0.04 * 0.03 * 0.07 0.08 *Low -0.18 0.47 0.36 -0.28 0.73 0.86 2.13 1241

0.05 * 0.07 * 0.03 * 0.08 * 0.11 *World -0.11 0.47 0.35 -0.16 0.73 0.93 2.13 1840

0.04 * 0.05 0.02 0.06 * 0.08 *Particle Board

High -0.44 0.72 0.05 -0.46 0.76 0.87 2.01 7190.11 * 0.12 * 0.04 * 0.12 * 0.12 *

Low 0.11 0.05 0.73 0.41 0.19 0.89 2.13 4150.07 0.14 0.04 0.26 0.54

World -0.06 0.40 0.36 -0.10 0.63 0.88 2.12 11370.06 0.10 * 0.03 * 0.09 0.15 *

FibreboardHigh -0.18 0.22 0.66 -0.54 0.66 0.97 1.92 795

0.04 * 0.05 * 0.03 * 0.12 * 0.15 *Low 0.00 0.46 0.62 0.00 1.22 0.81 2.15 479

0.06 0.10 * 0.04 * 0.16 0.24 *World -0.10 0.30 0.65 -0.29 0.86 0.94 2.06 1277

0.03 0.05 * 0.02 0.10 * 0.14 *Newsprint

High -0.02 0.45 0.46 -0.03 0.82 0.98 2.12 8330.04 0.04 * 0.03 * 0.07 0.07 *

Low -0.21 0.38 0.49 -0.41 0.76 0.95 2.00 17050.03 * 0.04 * 0.02 * 0.05 * 0.07 *

World -0.16 0.39 0.49 -0.32 0.77 0.97 2.04 25410.02 * 0.03 * 0.02 * 0.04 * 0.05 *

Printing and Writing PaperHigh -0.27 0.54 0.55 -0.61 1.19 0.99 1.95 833

0.04 * 0.05 0.03 * 0.09 * 0.07 *Low -0.30 0.17 0.55 -0.66 0.37 0.95 2.14 1589

0.03 * 0.03 0.02 * 0.07 * 0.06 *World -0.30 0.22 0.57 -0.70 0.50 0.97 2.13 2425

0.03 * 0.02 0.02 * 0.06 * 0.05 *Other Paper and Paperboard

High -0.13 0.26 0.60 -0.32 0.66 0.99 2.05 8290.02 * 0.03 * 0.03 * 0.06 * 0.05 *

Low -0.24 0.27 0.33 -0.36 0.41 0.93 2.15 21170.03 * 0.03 * 0.02 * 0.05 * 0.05 *

World -0.23 0.29 0.35 -0.35 0.44 0.96 2.15 29490.03 * 0.03 * 0.02 * 0.04 * 0.04 *

DW = Durbin - Watson statistic, FD = degrees of freedom, italic=standard error, *=significant at 5% level.



9

Table 1.5 Assumed Growth Rate of Real GDP (% per year), 1994-2010.1994-2000 2001-2005 2006-2010

Africa 3.94 4.03 4.03Algeria 3.47 3.61 3.61Angola 2.93 5.00 5.00Benin 4.28 6.30 6.30Botswana 6.23 6.50 6.50Burkina Faso 4.14 4.87 4.87Burundi 4.41 4.76 4.76Cameroon 4.86 3.86 3.86Cape Verde 6.82 7.28 7.28Central African Republic 3.62 3.65 3.65Chad 4.05 4.89 4.89Congo, Rep. of 5.54 3.52 3.52Congo, Dem. Rep. of 5.00 5.00 5.00Côte d’Ivoire 5.40 5.10 5.10Djibouti 2.70 3.19 3.19Egypt 3.89 3.60 3.60Equatorial Guinea 2.15 4.26 4.26Ethiopia 5.59 5.82 5.82Gabon 2.12 4.40 4.40Gambia 2.48 4.26 4.26Ghana 5.43 5.56 5.56Guinea 4.48 4.54 4.54Guinea-Bissau 4.99 6.00 6.00Kenya 4.11 5.52 5.52Lesotho 6.53 7.52 7.52Liberia 0.14 0.82 0.82Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 2.00 3.00 3.00Madagascar 3.33 4.29 4.29Malawi 2.99 2.74 2.74Mali 4.68 5.52 5.52Mauritania 3.47 3.54 3.54Mauritius 6.89 7.17 7.17Morocco 5.67 4.54 4.54Mozambique 5.00 5.50 5.50Niger 4.96 5.13 5.13Nigeria 3.52 3.63 3.63Reunion 6.00 5.00 5.00Rwanda 5.13 5.77 5.77Sao Tome and Principe 5.92 5.98 5.98Senegal 4.65 5.75 5.75Sierra Leone 0.63 6.13 6.13Somalia 1.60 1.94 1.94South Africa 3.12 3.04 3.04Sudan 3.48 3.09 3.09Swaziland 4.53 7.87 7.87Tanzania, United Republic 4.85 5.14 5.14Togo 6.31 6.95 6.95Tunisia 5.38 4.83 4.83Uganda 6.53 6.09 6.09Zambia 3.73 3.02 3.02Zimbabwe 5.21 5.14 5.14



10

Table 1.5 Assumed Growth Rate of Real GDP (% per year), 1994-2010. (cont.)1994-2000 2001-2005 2006-2010

America 2.65 2.73 2.73North/Central AmericaBahamas 2.00 3.00 3.00Barbados 3.34 3.50 3.50Belize 4.00 4.50 4.50Canada 2.75 2.97 2.97Cayman Islands 4.00 4.50 4.50Costa Rica 2.02 4.17 4.17Cuba 2.00 3.50 3.50Dominica 2.00 3.00 3.00Dominican Republic 3.28 3.28 3.28El Salvador 4.77 4.52 4.52Guatemala 3.96 3.65 3.65Haiti 3.12 3.37 3.37Honduras 3.96 4.05 4.05Jamaica 0.93 2.04 2.04Martinique 2.00 2.00 2.00Mexico 4.52 4.88 4.88Netherlands Antilles 1.00 1.00 1.00Nicaragua 3.81 3.21 3.21Panama 3.37 4.19 4.19Saint Vincent 3.00 3.50 3.50Trinidad and Tobago 2.83 3.60 3.60United States of America 2.45 2.40 2.40South AmericaArgentina 4.41 4.88 4.88Bolivia 4.21 3.76 3.76Brazil 3.26 4.01 4.01Chile 6.49 6.04 6.04Colombia 3.86 4.66 4.66Ecuador 3.12 3.49 3.49French Guiana 1.50 1.50 1.50Guyana 3.06 3.34 3.34Paraguay 2.48 3.26 3.26Peru 3.49 4.58 4.58Suriname 1.60 2.00 2.00Uruguay 2.37 2.90 2.90Venezuela 2.47 3.13 3.13



11


Asia Pacific 4.56 4.58 4.58AsiaAfghanistan 2.00 2.50 2.50Bahrain 1.52 2.50 2.50Bangladesh 5.04 6.27 6.27Bhutan 5.00 5.00 5.00Brunei Darussalam 2.00 2.00 2.00Cambodia 6.00 6.00 6.00China, People’s Rep. of 8.06 7.30 7.30Cyprus 5.20 5.00 5.00Hong Kong SAR, China 5.22 5.50 5.50India 6.21 5.95 5.95Indonesia 7.79 7.53 7.53Iran, Islamic Republic 3.59 3.55 3.55Iraq 10.07 4.40 4.40Israel 4.50 5.00 5.00Japan 3.12 2.97 2.97Jordan 5.01 4.98 4.98Korea, DPR 2.00 2.00 2.00Korea, REP. 6.26 6.32 6.32Kuwait 2.30 2.00 2.00Laos 5.00 6.00 6.00Lebanon 7.00 8.00 8.00Macau 5.50 6.00 6.00Malaysia 7.95 7.68 7.68Mongolia 2.00 3.00 3.00Myanmar 6.14 4.44 4.44Nepal 5.07 5.46 5.46Oman 2.58 3.41 3.41Pakistan 5.56 5.49 5.49Philippines 5.31 5.34 5.34Qatar 1.00 3.00 3.00Saudi Arabia 2.30 2.76 2.76Singapore 6.88 6.44 6.44Sri Lanka 5.77 6.51 6.51Syrian Arab Republic 4.60 5.12 5.12Thailand 6.19 7.00 7.00Turkey 3.61 5.71 5.71United Arab Emirates 1.80 3.00 3.00Viet Nam 6.00 6.50 6.50Yemen 2.98 3.08 3.08OceaniaAustralia 3.60 3.50 3.50Cook Island 2.00 3.00 3.00Fiji 1.99 2.68 2.68French Polynesia 3.50 4.00 4.00New Caledonia 1.00 1.50 1.50New Zealand 2.66 2.80 2.80Papua New Guinea 1.86 2.28 2.28Samoa 1.50 1.50 1.50Solomon Islands 5.00 5.50 5.50Tonga 3.00 3.50 3.50Vanuatu 1.50 2.00 2.00



12


Europe & Former USSR 2.36 2.91 2.91EuropeAlbania 1.00 1.50 1.50Austria 1.90 2.20 2.20Belgium 2.24 2.40 2.40Bosnia-Herzegovina 5.00 5.50 5.50Bulgaria 0.48 3.38 3.38Croatia 4.90 5.50 5.50Czech Rep 4.60 4.90 4.90Denmark 2.52 2.30 2.30Finland 3.46 2.80 2.80France 2.08 2.53 2.53Germany 2.37 2.67 2.67Greece 2.74 2.48 2.48Hungary 2.72 4.31 4.31Iceland 3.81 2.20 2.20Ireland 6.60 5.40 5.40Italy 1.97 2.57 2.57Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 2.00 3.00 3.00Malta 4.11 3.38 3.38Netherlands 2.86 2.60 2.60Norway 3.56 3.00 3.00Poland 5.11 4.81 4.81Portugal 3.08 2.80 2.80Romania 2.09 4.24 4.24Slovakia 4.60 4.90 4.90Slovenia 4.90 5.50 5.50Spain 2.92 3.10 3.10Sweden 1.92 2.10 2.10Switzerland 1.55 2.52 2.52United Kingdom 2.56 2.52 2.52Yugoslav Federal Republic 3.50 4.00 4.00Former USSRArmenia 6.19 5.90 5.90Azerbaijan 8.90 11.63 11.63Belarus 0.24 4.60 4.60Estonia 4.00 5.30 5.30Georgia 9.40 9.18 9.18Kazakhstan 3.49 5.48 5.48Kyrgyzstan 6.10 5.00 5.00Latvia 3.79 4.80 4.80Lithuania 3.71 4.80 4.80Moldova Rep 0.38 5.00 5.00Russian Federation 1.40 5.80 5.80Tajikistan -5.06 5.20 5.20Turkmenistan 0.50 5.00 5.00Ukraine -0.56 5.86 5.86Uzbekistan 1.80 4.50 4.50

1.5 Wood supply assumptions

In the current version of the GFPM, the supply of industrial roundwood in each country is afunction of the price of industrial roundwood. The price elasticity of supply used in the modelis 0.8, except for Asia, where the elasticity varies by country. This price elasticity indicates thepercentage change in supply that would result from a 1% change in price, other things beingequal. In addition, the supply equations are assumed to shift over time, to simulate changes insupply independent of prices. The rates of shift show how much timber supply would change,



13

without any change in price. These rates of shift vary by country, and are based on variousinformation regarding past production, forest area and stock, growth rates, extent ofplantations, and policies of each country. In some countries of Asia, upper bounds were set onthe timber supply, regardless of price, to reflect perceived limits on the potential sustainabletimber production of the country. Estimate of the rate of shift to use in the GFPM reliedmostly on the analysis of the FAO's Global Fibre Supply Model (FAO, 1999), with the rate ofshift being equal to the annual percentage change in the commercially available wood supplyprojected by the GFSM. The resulting aggregate average rates of shift of industrial roundwoodsupply, by region, were 0.71% in America, 0.63% in Europe, 1.14% in Africa, and 1.43% inAsia. The detailed rates of shift used in this outlook are presented in Table 1.6.

Supply curves for fuelwood and charcoal, and for industrial roundwood used in the round(other industrial roundwood) were assumed to be horizontal, so that supply in each countrywas equal to the projected demand, at current prices and projected income. The statisticspresented in FAOSTAT for these two variables are believed to be quite unreliable in manycases. Thus, the forecasts presented here should be treated with some caution. FAO, as part ofthe Global Forest Products Outlook Study, is conducting an in-depth review of FAO'sfuelwood statistics and hopes to produce a more detailed and specific fuelwood forecast basedon this review.

The supply of other fibre pulp and for waste paper used in paper manufacture was alsoassumed to be horizontal. However, the supply of waste paper in each country has an upperbound defined by the previous year’s consumption and the maximum recycling rate for thecountry.



14

Table 1.6 Sawlog and pulpwood supply in 1994 and rate of shift of supply up to 2010.1994(1000 CUM) Supply Curve Shift Rate (percent per year)

Africa 37920 1.14Algeria 106 0.00Angola 66 0.42Benin 0 0.00Botswana 0 0.00Burkina Faso 4 0.00Burundi 45 0.00Cameroon 2110 1.35Cape Verde 0 0.00Central African Republic 230 0.55Chad 7 0.00Congo, Dem. Rep. of 392 0.57Congo, Rep. of 915 2.00Côte d’Ivoire 3101 -0.30Djibouti 0 0.00Egypt 22 0.00Equatorial Guinea 265 -0.18Ethiopia 0 0.00Gabon 1668 -0.03Gambia 4 0.00Ghana 1806 -0.94Guinea 158 -0.99Guinea-Bissau 40 0.32Kenya 824 3.14Lesotho 0 0.00Liberia 798 -0.26Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 71 0.00Madagascar 136 -0.72Malawi 131 10.07Mali 23 0.00Mauritania 0 0.00Mauritius 6 0.00Morocco 623 1.69Mozambique 64 0.00Niger 7 0.00Nigeria 6005 -0.69Reunion 4 0.00Rwanda 73 0.00Sao Tome and Principe 9 0.00Senegal 0 0.00Sierra Leone 9 -2.60Somalia 28 0.00South Africa 14578 2.02Sudan 10 -0.59Swaziland 1643 3.00Tanzania, United Republic 226 4.20Togo 7 0.00Tunisia 173 3.00Uganda 164 3.50Zambia 691 1.51Zimbabwe 680 4.45



15

Table 1.6 Sawlog and pulpwood supply in 1994 and rate of shift of supply up to 2010.(cont.)

1994(1000 CUM) Supply Curve Shift Rate (percent per year)America 683393 0.71North/Central AmericaBahamas 0 0.00Barbados 3 0.00Belize 53 0.30Canada 177637 0.60Cayman Islands 0 0.00Costa Rica 1393 -1.95Cuba 445 -0.16Dominica 0 0.00Dominican Republic 0 -1.39El Salvador 109 3.72Guatemala 736 -1.68Haiti 48 0.00Honduras 676 -2.03Jamaica 59 0.00Martinique 0 0.00Mexico 5935 -0.12Netherlands Antilles 0 0.00Nicaragua 135 -1.99Panama 107 -1.67Saint Vincent 0 0.00Trinidad and Tobago 89 0.00United States of America 384796 0.60South AmericaArgentina 5552 2.98Bolivia 828 1.00Brazil 72220 1.34Chile 20844 1.69Colombia 3286 0.53Ecuador 1451 -0.73French Guiana 51 1.82Guyana 151 0.56Paraguay 1666 -1.69Peru 2179 0.61Suriname 89 1.53Uruguay 978 2.36Venezuela 1879 0.10



16


1994(1000 CUM) Supply Curve Shift Rate (percent per year)Asia Pacific 258883 1.43AsiaAfghanistan 859 0.50Bahrain 0 0.50Bangladesh 452 -0.80Bhutan 50 0.56Brunei 206 -0.07Cambodia 707 0.26China, People’s Rep. of 60323 1.15Cyprus 52 0.50Hong Kong SAR, China 506 0.00India 31826 2.54Indonesia 39152 2.13Iran 1296 0.50Iraq 55 0.50Israel 328 0.50Japan 23974 1.52Jordan 51 0.50Korea, DPR 600 0.67Korea, Rep. 1523 2.21Kuwait 0 0.00Laos 720 1.37Lebanon 63 0.50Macau 0 0.50Malaysia 35720 -1.09Mongolia 297 -0.70Myanmar 1497 0.86Nepal 1018 1.32Oman 0 0.00Pakistan 2436 1.49Philippines 1941 1.80Qatar 0 0.50Saudi Arabia 0 0.50Singapore 885 0.00Sri Lanka 107 1.29Syrian Arab Republic 36 0.50Thailand 4518 -0.06Turkey 7279 0.50United Arab Emirates 3 0.00Vietnam 2562 3.03Yemen, Rep. 0 0.50OceaniaAustralia 18202 1.02Cook Is 5 -1.79Fiji 520 8.33French Polynesia 0 0.00New Caledonia 5 0.50New Zealand 14683 3.80Papua New Guinea 3722 3.84Samoa 58 0.00Solomon Islands 626 3.00Tonga 5 0.50Vanuatu 15 3.19



17


1994(1000 CUM) Supply Curve Shift Rate (percent per year)Europe & Former USSR 411180 0.63EuropeAlbania 106 -1.25Austria 13439 0.53Belgium 3798 0.00Bosnia-Herzegovina 1492 0.00Bulgaria 1479 1.55Croatia 1752 2.26Czech Rep 10597 0.27Denmark 1588 0.65Finland 43181 0.94France 30211 0.78Germany 44846 0.15Greece 1171 0.00Hungary 2064 0.69Iceland 0 0.00Ireland 1950 3.49Italy 1992 0.24Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 799 0.00Malta 0 0.00Netherlands 1277 0.52Norway 8394 1.24Poland 15647 0.09Portugal 9308 0.53Romania 5659 0.00Slovakia 3969 0.36Slovenia 1441 0.77Spain 11091 1.03Sweden 49794 0.63Switzerland 3931 0.46United Kingdom 7964 2.21Yugoslav Federal Republic 4213 0.00Former USSRArmenia 983 0.20Azerbaijan 2091 0.20Belarus 6816 2.10Estonia 3008 2.79Georgia 1513 0.20Kazakhstan 4721 0.20Kyrgyzstan 1297 0.20Latvia 5338 1.41Lithuania 2728 2.18Moldova Rep 736 2.10Russian Federation 79973 0.20Tajikistan 1650 0.20Turkmenistan 1113 0.20Ukraine 10134 2.10Uzbekistan 5926 0.20Note: 1994 data is estimated by this study.

1.6 Other assumptions

Other assumptions governing the projections concerned changes in capacity, fibre input mix,and trade inertia constraints. In the GFPM, capacity is governed by past production and byrelative profitability. Capacity data were estimated from the most recent production data.Thereafter, for pulp and paper products, and for all years for other products, the simplest



18

capacity projection allowed by PELPS was used. This consisted of distributed-lag functionslinking capacity changes to changes in past production at the global level, followed byallocating capacity growth to different countries according to the shadow price (the marginalvalue of one unit of additional capacity) revealed by the equilibrium computations (see: Gillessand Buongiorno 1987; and Zhang et al. 1993).

The technology, defined by input-output coefficients was held constant at the 1994 level,except for paper and paperboard. The input-output coefficients were changed substantiallyrelative to those used in the Provisional Outlook, in that fewer constraints were put on theinput-output coefficients to satisfy the national statistics. Instead, the coefficients were basedon the national statistics, tempered with expert opinion as to what these coefficients couldreasonably be expected to look like. This gave coefficients which varied by much less thanpreviously across countries. It also means that the model’s projections for roundwood andpulp production in the base-year do not always match national statistics, where the input-output coefficients would suggest that these figures might have been under or over-reported.Thus, the forecasts given here are not directly comparable with the statistics given for 1994 insome countries (e.g. industrial roundwood production in India which, it is suspected, is vastlyunder-reported in national statistics). For paper and paperboard, it was assumed that the fibreinput mix for newsprint, printing and writing paper and paper and paperboard would changesubstantially between 1994 and 2010 with a progressively greater use of recycled fibre.

With the implementation of the GATT Uruguay Round underway, many countries areprojected to reduce or eliminate trade tariffs and non-trade barriers in the near future. Thus, itwas assumed that forest products would be traded more freely world-wide between 1994 and2010 in response to market forces. However the adjustment of trade flows between countriesor regions is bound to take time, thus inertia constraints were introduced to limit trade in agiven year to be within a specified fraction of the previous year’s trade (Buongiorno andGilless 1984, Kallio et al. 1987, Nagy and Andersson 1988, Zhang et al. 1997).

1.7 Mathematical formulation of the GFPM

The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) simulates dynamic market equilibrium for theglobal forest sector. Every year, demand, supply, trade and prices are computed that clearmarkets for all products and in all regions (static phase). Then, the model parameters areupdated to reflect exogenous and endogenous changes from one year to the next (dynamicphase). Exogenous changes include economic growth, technical change, potential timbersupply and trade inertia. Endogenous changes include capacity growth and availability ofrecycled fibres, which are determined by the model. The model then computes the quantity-price equilibrium next year as shaped by the intervening changes. It reiterates the static anddynamic phases for every year until the end of the projection.

1.7.1 Static phase:

The equilibrium for each year of the projection is obtained with an optimization model thatsimulates world markets. It finds the production, consumption and trade that maximize thetotal value of consumption minus the total cost of production for all products in all countries,in a given year. All the variables refer to that year.



19

Objective function:

max ( ) ( )Z P D dD P S dS Y mik ik ik ik ik ik ik ikki

S

ki

D

ki

ikik

= − − ∑∑∫∑∑∫∑∑00

[1]

where:

i,k = country, commodity,

P = price in US dollars,

D = final product demand,

S = raw material supply,

Y = quantity manufactured,

m = cost of manufacture.

Demand for final products:

Dik = aikPikσ ik Xi

α ik Dik, −1ηik [2]

where:

D-1 = demand in the previous year,

X = gross domestic product, in real US dollars,

σ ,α,η = elasticities with respect to price, GDP, and past demand.

Wood supply:

Pik = Pik0

Sik ≤ SikU

[3]

where:

P0 = cost of production.

Su = potential supply.

Material balance:

j∑ Tjik + Sik + Yik − Dik − aiknYin − Tijk = 0

j∑ ∀

n∑ i,k [4]

TijkL ≤ Tijk ≤ Tijk

u ∀i, j,k



20

where:

aikn = input of commodity k per unit of n.,

T = trade flow. Each country exports to and imports from a “world market”,Tu,TL= upper and lower bounds on imports and exports.

Manufacturing capacity:

Yik ≤ Kik ∀i, k [5]

where:

K = current capacity of production.

Waste paper recovery:

Sir ≤ S

irU ∀i,r [6]

where:

r = recycled paper,

SU = upper bound on recycled paper supply.

1.7.2 Dynamic phase:

Yearly changes in the market equilibrium conditions are brought about by:

1) shifts of the demand curves, due to changes in X at the projected GDP growth rate.

2) shifts of the upper bounds on wood supply, S, at the assumed rate of growth of potentialsupply.

3) changes of manufacturing coefficients m to reflect technical change, especially increasinguse of paper recycling.

4) changes of capacity, determined as follows:

At global level, capacity change is a function of changes in production during the past threeyears:

∆Kk = b1k∆Yk ,−1 + b2k∆Yk ,−2 + b3k∆Yk, −3 [7]

then, global capacity change is allocated to each country in proportion of its production leveland the marginal value of capacity revealed by the shadow price of capacity in the static phase.



21

∆Kik =Y

ik

θ π ϖ

Yik

θπ ϖ

j∑

∆Kk [8]

where:

∆ = yearly change,

π = shadow price of capacity (endogenous, from constraint (5)),

b,θ,ϖ = parameters.

5) Changes in waste paper recovery:

SirU = wikr Dik ,−1

k∑ [9]

wikr= maximum possible recovery rate (exogenous).

6) Trade inertia:

Tijku = (1+ ϕ)Tijk ,−1

TijkuL = (1 −ϕ )Tijk ,−1

[10]

ϕ = upper bound on relative change in trade flow (exogenous).

1.7.3 Regional sub-models:

The above calculations are performed first for the world model then repeated for each regionalsub-model. However, when a regional sub-model is solved, total exports and imports of allcountries in that region, must in every year, be equal to aggregate regional imports and exportspredicted by the global model.



22

2. REGIONAL FOREST PRODUCTS CONSUMPTION, PRODUCTION,TRADE AND PRICES (1995-2010)

The figures in this chapter show the projections of consumption and net trade, by commodity,for the world and each region of the world model: Africa, America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe.The projections are based on the assumptions of GDP growth and timber supply shiftspresented in Tables 1.5 and 1.6. (The detailed projections by country are presented in theAppendices at the end of this report).

Also presented at the end of this chapter are the global price levels generated endogenously bythe model as it equilibrates supply and demand levels in each year of the projection.



23

2.1 Consumption and trade projections

Figure 2.1 Consumption of Industrial Roundwood.

0

400000

800000

1200000

1600000

2000000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year



Figure 2.2 Net Trade of Industrial Roundwood.

-75000

-60000

-45000

-30000

-15000

0

15000

30000

45000

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

Th

ou

san

d c

ub

ic m

eter

s




24

Figure 2.3 Consumption of Sawnwood.

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year



Figure 2.4 Net Trade of Sawnwood.

-30000

-20000

-10000

0

10000

20000

30000

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

Th

ou

san

d c

ub

ic m

eter

s




25

Figure 2.5 Consumption of Veneer/Plywood.

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year



Figure 2.6 Net Trade of Veneer/Plywood.

-4000

-3000

-2000

-1000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

Th

ou

san

d c

ub

ic m

eter

s




26

Figure 2.7 Consumption of Particle Board.

0

15000

30000

45000

60000

75000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year



Figure 2.8 Net Trade of Particle Board.

-2000

-1000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

Th

ou

san

d c

ub

ic m

eter

s




27

Figure 2.9 Consumption of Fibreboard.

0

7000

14000

21000

28000

35000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year



Figure 2.10 Net Trade of Fibreboard.

-1500

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

Th

ou

san

d c

ub

ic m

eter

s




28

Figure 2.11 Consumption of Mechanical Wood Pulp.

0

9000

18000

27000

36000

45000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year

Thousand metric tons


Figure 2.12 Net Trade of Mechanical Wood Pulp.

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

Th

ou

san

d m

etri

c to

ns




29

Figure 2.13 Consumption of Chemical/Semichemical Wood Pulp.

0

30000

60000

90000

120000

150000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year



Figure 2.14 Net Trade of Chemical/Semichemical Wood Pulp.

-15000

-10000

-5000

0

5000

10000

15000

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

Th

ou

san

d m

etri

c to

ns




30

Figure 2.15 Consumption of Other Fibre Pulp.

0

9000

18000

27000

36000

45000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year



Figure 2.16 Consumption of Wastepaper.

0

40000

80000

120000

160000

200000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year





31

Figure 2.17 Consumption of Newsprint.

5000

15000

25000

35000

45000

55000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year



Figure 2.18 Net Trade of Newsprint.

-4500

-3000

-1500

0

1500

3000

4500

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

Th

ou

san

d m

etri

c to

ns




32

Figure 2.19 Consumption of Printing & Writing Paper.

0

30000

60000

90000

120000

150000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year



Figure 2.20 Net Trade of Printing & Writing Paper.

-5000

-2500

0

2500

5000

7500

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

Th

ou

san

d m

etri

c to

ns




33

Figure 2.21 Consumption of Other Paper & Paperboard.

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year



Figure 2.22 Net Trade of Other Paper & Paperboard.

-10000

-7500

-5000

-2500

0

2500

5000

7500

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

Th

ou

san

d m

etri

c to

ns




34

2.2 Past and future market–clearing price levels

Figure 2.23 Real World Prices of Solid Wood Products.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

1994

US

$ p

er c

ub

ic m

eter

Industrial Roundwood Sawnwood & sleepers

Figure 2.24 Real World Prices of Wood-Based Panels.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

1994

US

$ p

er c

ub

ic m

eter

Veneer & Plywood Particle board Fibreboard



35

Figure 2.25 Real World Prices of Paper and Paperboard.

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006

Year

1994

US

$ p

er m

etri

c to

n

Newsprint Printing & writing paper Other paper & paperboard



36

LITERATURE CITED

Baudin, A., and L. Lundberg. 1987. A world model of the demand for paper and paperboard.Forest Science 33(1): 185-196.

Buongiorno, J., and J. K. Gilless. 1984. A model of international trade of forest products,with an application to newsprint. Journal of World Forest Resource Management 1: 65-80.

Chou, J. J., and J. Buongiorno. 1984. Demand function for United States of America forestproduct exports to the European Economic Community. Wood and Fibre Science 16(2):158-168.

FAO. 1997. FAOSTAT•PC. FAO, Rome.

FAO. in prep. Global fibre supply model. FAO, Rome.

FAO, 1998, Asia Pacific Forestry Sector Outlook Study, FAO, Rome

Gilless J. K., and J. Buongiorno. 1987. PAPYRUS: A model of the North American pulp andpaper industry. Forest Science Monograph 28.

Kallio, M., D.P. Dykstra, and C. Binkley. 1987. The global forest sector: An analyticalperspective. New York. John Wiley & Sons.

Nagy, A. and A. Andersson. 1988. International trade in forest products. AB AcademicPublishers.

World Bank. 1995. World tables. The Johns Hopkins University Press. Baltimore.

Zhang, D., J. Buongiorno and P. Ince. 1993. PELPS III: a microcomputer price-endogenouslinear programming system for economic modelling. Research Paper FPL-RP-526. USDAForest Service, Forest Products Laboratory, Madison, WI.

Zhang, D., and J. Buongiorno. 1994. The FAO forest products outlook projection system:Evaluation and improvements. Staff Paper Series Number 45, Department of Forestry,University of Wisconsin, Madison.

Zhang, D., J. Buongiorno, and S. Zhu. 1997. Trend and outlook for forest productsconsumption, production and trade in the Asia-Pacific region. Working Paper No.APFSOS/WP/12, Forestry Policy and Planning Division, FAO, Rome



37

APPENDIX 1 - CONSUMPTION OUTLOOK

(1995-2010)



38



39

Table A1.1 Consumption of Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AFRICA 334514 489850 535440 578387 625548Algeria 1745 2428 2663 2829 3040Angola 3944 5718 6096 6670 7300Benin 3580 5442 5898 6577 7334Botswana 965 1538 1752 1961 2196Burkina Faso 6646 9591 10462 11388 12396Burundi 3118 4741 5192 5633 6112Cameroon 8829 12832 13884 14690 15634Cape Verde 1 1 0 0 0Central African Republic 2874 3725 4013 4233 4497Chad 1175 1634 1790 1970 2168Congo, Dem. Rep. of 27388 43016 47728 52059 56814Congo, Rep. of 2050 3044 3474 3904 4260Cote d'Ivoire 8117 12625 13900 14867 15926Djibouti 0 0 0 0 0Egypt 1976 3039 3365 3638 3899Equatorial Guinea 429 497 673 814 942Ethiopia 32431 43652 50909 56289 62241Gabon 2042 3114 3291 3532 3814Gambia 670 813 748 805 866Ghana 10523 22205 24463 26725 29297Guinea 3167 4465 4919 5296 5662Guinea-Bissau 549 572 643 717 799Kenya 17119 27742 30267 33280 36612Lesotho 463 690 788 895 1016Liberia 2785 3081 3089 3134 3180Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 741 650 676 703 733Madagascar 6311 9151 9808 10560 11372Malawi 5862 10151 10826 11373 11937Mali 4139 6307 6968 7672 8449Mauritania 10 13 13 14 15Mauritius 45 28 24 25 25Morocco 1420 1904 2343 2408 2492Mozambique 12808 15431 17133 18855 20754Niger 3580 5671 6294 6885 7532Nigeria 67660 99013 106322 113142 120414Reunion 36 40 45 43 47Rwanda 4796 5656 6306 6965 7692Sao Tome and Principe 8 9 10 11 12Senegal 3032 4488 4919 5411 5979Sierra Leone 2418 3199 3246 3606 4007Somalia 5797 7818 8085 8360 8645South Africa 18606 21775 21625 21416 21511Sudan 6275 9149 9899 10492 11121Swaziland 2030 2279 1795 1980 1986Tanzania, United Republic 22457 35133 38638 42274 46273Togo 662 1020 1169 1325 1504Tunisia 1926 2694 3108 3413 3751Uganda 9976 15698 18062 20134 22452Zambia 4974 8323 9086 9577 10095Zimbabwe 6359 8045 9035 9840 10747



40

Table A1.1 Consumption of Roundwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AMERICA 848691 1047456 1080406 1115859 1157387Bahamas 119 137 4 0 0Barbados 1 2 0 0 0Belize 116 183 167 164 160Canada 157742 191543 196846 200075 203369Cayman Islands 0 2 0 0 0Costa Rica 3443 4295 4993 5296 5674Cuba 2940 2756 3118 3291 3516Dominica 0 0 0 0 0Dominican Republic 559 575 610 645 682El Salvador 5199 6510 7211 7808 8468Guatemala 8884 13397 14527 15408 16388Haiti 4383 5687 5875 6224 6596Honduras 4786 6241 6797 7262 7772Jamaica 44 483 468 477 498Martinique 11 20 14 13 14Mexico 17558 21141 22240 23328 25394Netherlands Antilles 2 5 2 1 1Nicaragua 3200 3717 3995 4207 4440Panama 909 1058 1197 1270 1358Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 86 60 100 93 108United States of America 395878 469316 468253 471835 480591Argentina 8184 9092 10067 11610 12656Bolivia 1344 2061 2215 2335 2520Brazil 183371 236015 252742 268712 284253Chile 12274 24525 27716 31498 35515Colombia 13914 17818 19141 20548 22146Ecuador 5639 5331 5626 5929 6150French Guiana 199 119 118 113 114Guyana 174 145 85 61 51Paraguay 5814 7188 6234 6527 6898Peru 8094 12493 13648 14631 15679Suriname 333 91 87 88 90Uruguay 2251 3419 3546 3613 3630Venezuela 1240 2031 2766 2794 2657



41


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 954465 1198109 1385861 1538633 1712622Afghanistan 6297 7249 7568 7908 8264Bahrain 49 3 3 2 2Bangladesh 23822 31346 34847 38738 43086Bhutan 1294 1398 1577 1718 1871Brunei Darussalam 214 294 304 316 326Cambodia 4786 6820 7434 8170 9031China, People’s Rep. of 241713 305653 354702 403587 462210Cyprus 79 68 87 94 106Hong Kong SAR, China 642 701 880 734 620India 212075 281551 333294 368061 406150Indonesia 129250 184787 221932 248681 278794Iran, Islamic Republic 6491 6941 7926 8449 9106Iraq 71 65 122 130 139Israel 302 311 364 343 333Japan 88413 71701 78637 86077 90841Jordan 11 21 309 429 518Korea, DPR 4335 4800 5047 5231 5424Korea, REP 14811 17168 15682 13918 15401Kuwait 23 48 29 23 20Laos 2614 4185 4574 4957 5435Lebanon 402 440 511 558 630Macau 39 27 11 6 4Malaysia 18354 34817 33306 33634 35291Mongolia 2390 499 687 724 742Myanmar 18017 20902 24717 27230 29252Nepal 14044 20120 22743 24938 27335Oman 10 -2 1 1 1Pakistan 17343 28752 32876 35975 39531Philippines 33517 38813 44180 48410 53127Qatar 36 6 3 2 2Saudi Arabia 167 68 44 34 27Singapore 1178 -43 783 750 734Sri Lanka 7676 9468 10647 11908 13326Syrian Arab Republic 83 67 81 84 87Thailand 30508 36370 45038 50051 56210Turkey 22579 18155 19424 21197 23806United Arab Emirates 0 59 38 29 23Viet Nam 25087 33994 38325 42928 48030Yemen -1 0 0 0 0Australia 10262 14034 17208 19624 21209Cook Island 0 1 4 5 6Fiji 247 31 236 232 238French Polynesia 1 1 52 79 89New Caledonia 14 6 8 7 8New Zealand 8589 11323 12959 15729 18025Papua New Guinea 6369 5020 6304 6553 6814Samoa 131 131 128 132 136Solomon Islands 106 -124 176 191 208Tonga 0 5 5 5 6Vanuatu 25 59 49 50 51



42


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 276578 474951 571990 578473 594779Albania 2330 409 419 382 346Austria 17466 20927 22600 22557 21642Belgium-Luxembourg 5372 6738 10154 12428 14140Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 2066 2188 2385Bulgaria 4412 3524 3586 3301 3070Croatia 0 2725 2666 2506 2328Czech Republic 0 10184 10905 11932 13932Denmark 1739 2497 3246 4244 5584Finland 49152 53791 55519 55677 57618France 38523 42494 41798 44301 45605Germany 0 32524 46980 51812 54067Greece 3070 2760 2766 2770 2610Hungary 6968 4033 3575 2696 2157Iceland 19 10 4 3 2Ireland 219 1660 1888 1853 1581Italy 15523 16969 15493 15515 15304Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 106 1364 1252 1140Malta 1 9 3 1 1Netherlands 1350 1083 2504 3755 5482Norway 9333 11618 12343 11974 12430Poland 19760 17382 17893 17910 18079Portugal 8133 10218 10998 11210 11700Romania 17959 11914 11316 10604 10034Slovakia 0 4944 4270 4057 3708Slovenia 0 2065 2058 2411 2702Spain 13722 14886 16422 18642 21820Sweden 52431 62753 62005 60830 60841Switzerland 4844 4880 5688 6694 7907United Kingdom 4252 8691 10391 13044 15904Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 -52 5633 5415 5223Armenia n/a n/a 1802 1816 1904Azerbaijan n/a n/a 3773 4004 4661Belarus n/a 9839 13212 13622 13681Estonia n/a 1217 2336 1489 932Georgia n/a n/a 2745 2863 3173Kazakhstan n/a n/a 8708 8492 8329Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 2375 2383 2461Latvia n/a 3518 3771 2803 2205Lithuania n/a 3120 3375 2747 2375Moldova Rep n/a n/a 1918 1787 1719Russian Federation n/a 105515 102312 97187 96938Tajikistan n/a n/a 3434 3129 2987Turkmenistan n/a n/a 2110 2029 2025Ukraine n/a n/a 23510 22629 22774Uzbekistan n/a n/a 10056 9535 9277WORLD 2756268 3210027 3573696 3811352 4090336



43

Table A1.2 Consumption of Fuelwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




44

Table A1.2 Consumption of Fuelwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




45


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 665019 862259 983872 1096265 1222760Afghanistan 4779 5617 5857 6116 6387Bahrain 3 3 3 2 2Bangladesh 22940 30620 33959 37770 42009Bhutan 1023 1334 1478 1609 1753Brunei Darussalam 79 79 82 85 88Cambodia 4225 6454 7294 8077 8944China, People’s Rep. of 154651 204094 240172 271732 307440Cyprus 15 27 30 33 36Hong Kong SAR, China 144 130 82 55 37India 192406 256485 291060 321985 356195Indonesia 114642 147033 172117 195400 221834Iran, Islamic Republic 2009 1997 2150 2286 2430Iraq 21 15 18 20 21Israel 11 15 10 7 5Japan 472 431 326 262 210Jordan 5 13 14 16 17Korea, DPR 3714 4276 4459 4617 4781Korea, REP 6474 4678 2699 1699 1070Kuwait 23 26 21 18 16Laos 2422 3583 3969 4395 4867Lebanon 349 366 422 483 552Macau 18 13 8 5 3Malaysia 4956 6845 8036 9146 10408Mongolia 1350 376 392 413 435Myanmar 14430 19331 21911 23639 25504Nepal 13610 19500 21639 23751 26069Oman 0 1 1 1 1Pakistan 16665 26700 29910 32845 36069Philippines 25554 35170 39213 42956 47056Qatar 36 3 3 2 2Saudi Arabia 15 50 41 33 27Singapore 87 -106 14 9 6Sri Lanka 7002 8779 9875 11026 12312Syrian Arab Republic -2 15 17 18 20Thailand 25674 32318 36653 41268 46463Turkey 16351 7644 8236 9075 10000United Arab Emirates 0 35 30 24 19Viet Nam 21960 29761 33634 37556 41934Yemen -1 0 0 0 0Australia 1247 2696 1957 1509 1164Cook Island 0 0 0 0 0Fiji 24 37 39 40 42French Polynesia 0 0 0 0 0New Caledonia 0 0 0 0 0New Zealand 50 50 39 32 26Papua New Guinea 5390 5533 5752 5983 6223Samoa 70 70 72 74 76Solomon Islands 102 138 153 168 184Tonga 0 0 0 0 0Vanuatu 24 24 25 26 27



46


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 40680 79824 88640 68011 52515Albania 1608 346 321 287 256Austria 1448 3548 3078 2612 2217Belgium-Luxembourg 412 620 525 439 367Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 309 206 138Bulgaria 818 1702 1642 1277 993Croatia 0 1041 725 484 323Czech Republic 0 763 543 379 264Denmark 272 560 464 391 329Finland 4197 4145 3206 2603 2114France 9877 9484 8119 6724 5569Germany 0 4181 3502 2871 2353Greece 1942 1530 1248 1037 862Hungary 2442 1900 1552 1129 821Iceland 0 3 2 2 2Ireland 39 59 37 25 17Italy 4452 5841 5042 4163 3437Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 -58 491 393 314Malta 0 1 1 1 0Netherlands 108 244 197 163 134Norway 692 813 624 499 399Poland 1761 1602 1100 771 541Portugal 444 487 387 314 255Romania 3316 2248 1923 1405 1027Slovakia 0 558 397 277 193Slovenia 0 143 100 66 44Spain 1230 2363 1902 1510 1199Sweden 4420 3881 3362 2874 2456Switzerland 997 1166 1038 860 713United Kingdom 205 426 352 292 242Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 -33 1051 782 582Armenia n/a n/a 352 228 148Azerbaijan n/a n/a 614 267 117Belarus n/a 808 794 565 402Estonia n/a 1021 759 514 348Georgia n/a n/a 432 223 115Kazakhstan n/a n/a 2054 1373 918Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 466 323 223Latvia n/a 1465 1106 777 545Lithuania n/a 1734 1317 925 649Moldova Rep n/a n/a 672 465 322Russian Federation n/a 25230 23537 17757 13396Tajikistan n/a n/a 1372 936 638Turkmenistan n/a n/a 604 418 289Ukraine n/a 2 8271 6220 4678Uzbekistan n/a n/a 3053 2190 1570WORLD 1365643 1735500 1906201 2044606 2209598



47

Table A1.3 Consumption of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




48

Table A1.3 Consumption of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




49


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 289446 335850 401989 442368 489862Afghanistan 1518 1632 1711 1792 1877Bahrain 46 0 0 0 0Bangladesh 882 726 888 968 1077Bhutan 271 64 99 109 119Brunei Darussalam 135 215 222 231 237Cambodia 561 366 140 93 87China, People’s Rep. of 87062 101559 114531 131855 154770Cyprus 64 41 57 62 70Hong Kong SAR, China 498 571 798 680 583India 19669 25066 42234 46076 49955Indonesia 14608 37754 49815 53281 56960Iran, Islamic Republic 4482 4944 5776 6164 6676Iraq 50 50 103 110 118Israel 291 296 353 336 328Japan 87941 71270 78311 85816 90631Jordan 6 8 295 413 501Korea, DPR 621 524 588 614 643Korea, REP 8337 12490 12983 12219 14331Kuwait 0 22 8 5 4Laos 192 602 605 562 568Lebanon 53 74 89 75 78Macau 21 14 3 1 0Malaysia 13398 27972 25269 24488 24883Mongolia 1040 123 295 312 307Myanmar 3587 1571 2806 3591 3748Nepal 434 620 1104 1186 1266Oman 10 -3 0 0 0Pakistan 678 2052 2966 3130 3463Philippines 7963 3643 4967 5454 6072Qatar 0 3 1 0 0Saudi Arabia 152 18 3 1 0Singapore 1091 63 769 741 728Sri Lanka 674 689 772 882 1014Syrian Arab Republic 85 52 64 66 68Thailand 4834 4052 8385 8783 9747Turkey 6228 10511 11188 12122 13806United Arab Emirates 0 24 8 5 4Viet Nam 3127 4233 4691 5373 6096Yemen 0 0 0 0 0Australia 9015 11338 15251 18115 20045Cook Island 0 1 4 5 6Fiji 223 -6 198 192 196French Polynesia 1 1 52 79 89New Caledonia 14 6 7 7 8New Zealand 8539 11273 12920 15697 17999Papua New Guinea 979 -513 552 570 591Samoa 61 61 56 58 60Solomon Islands 4 -262 23 23 24Tonga 0 5 5 5 6Vanuatu 1 35 24 25 25



50


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 235898 394933 483350 510462 542264Albania 722 63 98 95 89Austria 16018 17379 19522 19944 19425Belgium-Luxembourg 4960 6118 9630 11990 13773Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 1756 1982 2247Bulgaria 3594 1822 1945 2024 2077Croatia 0 1684 1941 2022 2005Czech Republic 0 9421 10362 11553 13668Denmark 1467 1937 2782 3853 5255Finland 44955 49646 52313 53074 55504France 28646 33010 33679 37577 40036Germany 0 28343 43478 48942 51714Greece 1128 1230 1518 1733 1748Hungary 4526 2133 2023 1567 1336Iceland 19 7 2 1 0Ireland 180 1601 1852 1828 1564Italy 11071 11128 10451 11352 11867Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 164 874 859 826Malta 1 8 2 1 0Netherlands 1242 839 2306 3593 5348Norway 8641 10805 11718 11475 12031Poland 17999 15780 16794 17139 17539Portugal 7689 9731 10610 10896 11445Romania 14643 9666 9393 9199 9008Slovakia 0 4386 3873 3780 3515Slovenia 0 1922 1959 2345 2657Spain 12492 12523 14521 17132 20621Sweden 48011 58872 58643 57956 58385Switzerland 3847 3714 4650 5834 7194United Kingdom 4047 8265 10039 12752 15663Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 -19 4582 4633 4641Armenia n/a n/a 1450 1587 1756Azerbaijan n/a n/a 3159 3736 4544Belarus n/a 9031 12419 13057 13278Estonia n/a n/a 1577 975 584Georgia n/a n/a 2312 2640 3058Kazakhstan n/a n/a 6655 7120 7411Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 1909 2060 2238Latvia n/a 2053 2665 2026 1660Lithuania n/a 1386 2057 1822 1726Moldova Rep n/a n/a 1247 1322 1398Russian Federation n/a 80285 78775 79430 83542Tajikistan n/a n/a 2062 2194 2349Turkmenistan n/a n/a 1506 1611 1736Ukraine n/a n/a 15239 16409 18096Uzbekistan n/a n/a 7003 7346 7707WORLD 1390625 1474527 1667495 1766746 1880738



51

Table A1.4 Consumption of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




52

Table A1.4 Consumption of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM).(Continued)

Actual ProjectionCountry 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AMERICA 21755 27084 27368 27873 28500Bahamas 0 0 0 0 0Barbados 1 0 0 0 0Belize 0 0 0 0 0Canada 2082 3326 3198 3088 2981Cayman Islands 0 0 0 0 0Costa Rica 163 232 246 271 299Cuba 350 418 443 481 522Dominica 0 0 0 0 0Dominican Republic 1 3 3 4 4El Salvador 30 56 64 71 79Guatemala 13 42 47 51 56Haiti 15 15 16 18 19Honduras 11 19 21 23 26Jamaica 12 1 1 1 1Martinique 0 0 0 0 0Mexico 236 139 158 177 198Netherlands Antilles 0 0 0 0 0Nicaragua 61 50 56 60 65Panama 63 60 66 73 80Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 3 3 3 4 4United States of America 11694 14765 14259 13857 13466Argentina 613 323 366 410 460Bolivia 29 18 20 22 24Brazil 4605 6031 6614 7270 7992Chile 333 553 663 763 878Colombia 395 408 455 507 566Ecuador 68 107 117 127 138French Guiana -15 9 9 10 10Guyana -3 15 16 18 19Paraguay 339 414 444 480 518Peru 586 2 2 2 3Suriname 15 4 4 4 5Uruguay 29 42 45 48 52Venezuela 26 29 31 34 36



53


Actual ProjectionCountry 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 49771 68236 82417 95873 111683Afghanistan 662 778 824 874 927Bahrain 46 0 0 0 0Bangladesh 264 353 407 471 545Bhutan 38 38 44 49 55Brunei Darussalam 7 10 11 11 12Cambodia 0 0 0 0 0China, People’s Rep. of 26757 39072 48843 57842 68499Cyprus 3 0 0 0 0Hong Kong SAR, China 0 0 0 0 0India 3925 5234 6224 7149 8212Indonesia 1681 3022 3752 4466 5318Iran, Islamic Republic 4047 4007 4436 4824 5245Iraq 30 30 40 44 49Israel 32 32 30 28 27Japan 1349 506 484 468 451Jordan 6 4 5 5 6Korea, DPR 0 0 0 0 0Korea, REP 719 465 426 396 368Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0Laos 80 118 136 156 180Lebanon 0 0 0 0 0Macau 0 0 0 0 0Malaysia 508 762 950 1135 1355Mongolia 0 0 0 0 0Myanmar 1014 1366 1622 1800 1998Nepal 0 0 0 0 0Oman 0 0 0 0 0Pakistan 273 436 510 579 659Philippines 1938 2654 3080 3489 3954Qatar 0 0 0 0 0Saudi Arabia 125 0 0 0 0Singapore 14 0 0 0 0Sri Lanka 459 561 659 767 892Syrian Arab Republic 40 19 22 24 28Thailand 2186 2722 3235 3805 4476Turkey 725 2945 3262 3727 4258United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0Viet Nam 1460 1983 2346 2729 3174Yemen 0 0 0 0 0Australia 745 559 531 510 489Cook Island 0 0 0 0 0Fiji 2 1 1 1 1French Polynesia 1 0 0 0 0New Caledonia 1 2 2 2 2New Zealand 631 554 533 516 499Papua New Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Samoa 3 3 3 3 3Solomon Islands 0 0 0 0 0Tonga 0 0 0 0 0Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0



54


Actual ProjectionCountry 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 15539 33551 45521 42941 40518Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 1676 600 587 572 557Belgium-Luxembourg 215 210 205 199 193Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 88 82 77Bulgaria 714 356 354 340 327Croatia 0 58 55 51 48Czech Republic 0 850 806 761 718Denmark 371 351 341 332 323Finland 1127 325 312 302 292France 870 640 625 606 588Germany 0 1400 1361 1319 1278Greece 224 200 194 188 182Hungary 1196 394 382 363 345Iceland 19 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 1396 984 961 932 904Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 12 55 53 51Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 326 105 102 99 96Norway 88 210 201 194 188Poland 3227 966 910 860 813Portugal 81 180 174 168 162Romania 2031 3816 3722 3541 3369Slovakia 0 145 137 130 123Slovenia 0 268 253 237 223Spain 1160 735 710 684 660Sweden 119 500 489 477 465Switzerland 80 70 69 67 65United Kingdom 619 10 10 9 9Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 272 259 247Armenia n/a n/a 327 305 285Azerbaijan n/a n/a 667 584 512Belarus n/a 5286 5270 4994 4733Estonia n/a 196 187 176 165Georgia n/a n/a 484 436 392Kazakhstan n/a n/a 1617 1517 1423Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 429 405 382Latvia n/a 390 373 353 333Lithuania n/a 244 234 221 209Moldova Rep n/a n/a 435 410 387Russian Federation n/a 14050 13820 12918 12076Tajikistan n/a n/a 625 588 553Turkmenistan n/a n/a 395 372 351Ukraine n/a n/a 5126 4787 4470Uzbekistan n/a n/a 2164 2053 1947WORLD 192988 156485 186236 200907 218636



55

Table A1.5 Consumption of Sawnwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




56

Table A1.5 Consumption of Sawnwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




57


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 104305 118373 129852 139722 150312Afghanistan 400 400 414 428 443Bahrain 34 24 24 25 26Bangladesh 186 82 86 94 102Bhutan -1 18 20 21 22Brunei Darussalam 61 91 94 97 99Cambodia 43 -44 35 38 42China, People’s Rep. of 21104 26825 30549 33712 37202Cyprus 130 113 121 129 138Hong Kong SAR, China 386 881 940 1022 1110India 10991 17458 19198 20693 22207Indonesia 3601 7611 8615 9534 10553Iran, Islamic Republic 505 175 186 194 203Iraq 412 8 9 10 10Israel 205 392 411 443 478Japan 42471 36431 38581 40368 42239Jordan 123 68 76 81 85Korea, DPR 280 281 291 299 307Korea, REP 2667 4287 4800 5278 5805Kuwait 172 44 59 61 62Laos 16 78 139 151 164Lebanon 92 111 124 138 154Macau 3 11 12 13 14Malaysia 3264 4252 4837 5364 5948Mongolia 470 96 99 103 108Myanmar 554 214 237 251 267Nepal 220 620 674 724 772Oman 88 105 106 111 116Pakistan 132 1140 1241 1335 1421Philippines 787 705 768 826 859Qatar 0 5 5 5 5Saudi Arabia 1121 812 819 854 891Singapore 274 239 368 405 446Sri Lanka 36 22 24 26 29Syrian Arab Republic 258 144 155 166 172Thailand 1883 3059 3385 3720 4035Turkey 4643 4011 4258 4550 4884United Arab Emirates 0 223 244 256 268Viet Nam 503 696 747 806 873Yemen 87 9 9 10 10Australia 4299 4550 4859 5050 5311Cook Island 0 3 4 4 4Fiji 104 81 84 87 90French Polynesia 24 38 41 43 45New Caledonia 34 22 22 23 23New Zealand 1466 1824 1916 1999 2087Papua New Guinea 142 111 115 118 122Samoa 20 25 26 26 27Solomon Islands 12 9 10 11 11Tonga 0 7 8 9 9Vanuatu 3 6 13 14 14



58


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 73465 110485 125849 133020 140674Albania 200 11 11 11 12Austria 2935 3862 3977 4114 4256Belgium-Luxembourg 2061 2460 2546 2642 2741Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 -1 413 449 487Bulgaria 1547 218 220 231 244Croatia 0 92 99 108 117Czech Republic 0 1974 2116 2279 2453Denmark 1907 2809 2919 3024 3133Finland 3351 2787 2938 3066 3201France 12360 11175 11537 11994 12469Germany 0 17529 18178 18936 19725Greece 921 724 755 784 814Hungary 2098 1075 1121 1197 1278Iceland 77 70 72 74 77Ireland 588 866 956 1037 1125Italy 8413 8265 8520 8862 9218Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 20 240 252 263Malta 27 22 23 24 25Netherlands 3304 3717 3883 4041 4206Norway 2458 2415 2550 2669 2794Poland 6861 3431 3707 3988 4290Portugal 1388 1232 1291 1347 1407Romania 3677 1036 1070 1141 1217Slovakia 0 550 590 635 684Slovenia 0 244 263 285 310Spain 3133 4213 4406 4619 4843Sweden 5718 3400 3502 3617 3736Switzerland 2139 1721 1763 1832 1903United Kingdom 8302 10819 11253 11693 12150Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 2 1233 1310 1392Armenia n/a n/a 274 300 328Azerbaijan n/a n/a 601 713 845Belarus n/a 1433 1438 1542 1652Estonia n/a n/a 115 125 135Georgia n/a n/a 441 506 579Kazakhstan n/a 3 1265 1375 1493Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 360 389 419Latvia n/a n/a 193 207 223Lithuania n/a 508 538 578 621Moldova Rep n/a 47 313 338 364Russian Federation n/a 21750 22222 24247 26457Tajikistan n/a n/a 386 417 451Turkmenistan n/a n/a 285 307 331Ukraine n/a n/a 3595 3927 4289Uzbekistan n/a 6 1672 1790 1916WORLD 423035 410318 446525 471787 498313



59

Table A1.6 Consumption of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM).Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AFRICA 1634 1477 1778 2049 2357Algeria 143 108 120 134 147Angola 29 12 14 17 20Benin 2 0 0 0 0Botswana 0 0 0 0 0Burkina Faso 1 0 0 0 0Burundi 0 0 0 0 0Cameroon 46 42 52 59 68Cape Verde 1 1 1 1 1Central African Republic 3 2 2 3 3Chad 1 0 0 0 0Congo, Dem. Rep. of 15 14 17 21 24Congo, Rep. of 12 14 18 20 24Cote d'Ivoire 49 30 38 45 56Djibouti 0 2 2 3 3Egypt 171 229 272 309 346Equatorial Guinea 0 0 51 80 104Ethiopia 14 0 0 0 0Gabon 131 126 138 166 197Gambia 1 0 0 0 0Ghana 69 47 59 71 88Guinea 2 6 8 9 11Guinea-Bissau 0 0 0 0 0Kenya 30 53 63 75 88Lesotho 0 0 0 0 0Liberia 6 8 8 8 9Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 25 13 14 16 17Madagascar 2 5 6 7 8Malawi 10 18 21 23 25Mali 1 0 0 0 0Mauritania 0 0 0 0 0Mauritius 3 16 21 27 35Morocco 101 49 63 74 88Mozambique 6 1 1 2 2Niger 0 0 0 0 0Nigeria 285 115 129 140 153Reunion 6 16 21 25 30Rwanda 2 2 3 3 4Sao Tome and Principe 0 0 0 0 0Senegal 6 7 9 11 14Sierra Leone 1 0 0 0 0Somalia 2 0 0 0 0South Africa 341 320 366 404 456Sudan 6 5 6 6 6Swaziland 2 8 10 13 17Tanzania, United Republic 7 4 5 5 6Togo 0 -1 0 0 0Tunisia 57 165 198 225 258Uganda 1 5 7 8 10Zambia 14 17 18 19 19Zimbabwe 30 18 20 21 22



60

Table A1.6 Consumption of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AMERICA 35260 44339 49365 53884 59016Bahamas 5 20 22 19 23Barbados 15 9 10 9 11Belize 2 1 1 1 9Canada 3691 3934 4421 4911 5456Cayman Islands 0 5 6 5 6Costa Rica 46 79 84 94 104Cuba 76 152 163 181 201Dominica 0 3 3 3 3Dominican Republic 7 30 34 31 35El Salvador 3 12 14 13 15Guatemala 13 36 41 45 49Haiti 0 1 1 1 1Honduras 10 17 20 23 27Jamaica 11 66 69 61 70Martinique 5 7 8 6 7Mexico 655 872 997 1129 1285Netherlands Antilles 10 17 18 14 16Nicaragua 9 8 9 10 12Panama 16 34 39 45 52Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 48 16 18 16 19United States of America 27399 35417 39294 42661 46409Argentina 450 810 926 1055 1208Bolivia 20 77 90 102 115Brazil 2245 1336 1481 1652 1849Chile 83 481 577 670 786Colombia 127 182 203 227 255Ecuador 17 253 278 305 335French Guiana 2 3 3 3 3Guyana 1 -25 1 1 2Paraguay -18 91 101 114 128Peru 78 67 77 90 106Suriname 5 4 4 5 5Uruguay 19 21 23 25 27Venezuela 210 303 329 358 392



61


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 18159 37171 43219 48724 54219Afghanistan 68 2 2 2 2Bahrain 20 17 17 18 19Bangladesh 12 10 11 13 15Bhutan 0 13 14 15 16Brunei Darussalam 11 9 9 10 9Cambodia 1 0 0 0 0China, People’s Rep. of 1461 9772 12006 14062 16014Cyprus 31 85 94 103 113Hong Kong SAR, China 282 1278 1468 1664 1851India 239 410 485 550 624Indonesia 769 1939 2397 2844 3376Iran, Islamic Republic 176 289 304 317 331Iraq 48 4 5 5 5Israel 145 345 396 451 499Japan 10447 13010 14245 15259 16192Jordan 44 78 87 97 103Korea, DPR 0 2 2 2 2Korea, REP 667 3382 4079 4750 5478Kuwait 97 79 82 85 87Laos 2 5 5 6 6Lebanon 52 120 140 162 180Macau 6 28 33 38 41Malaysia 504 1142 1565 1847 2183Mongolia 5 2 2 2 2Myanmar 12 -11 17 18 21Nepal 0 0 0 0 0Oman 54 3 3 3 4Pakistan 60 108 122 134 149Philippines 324 342 397 450 499Qatar 18 17 17 18 19Saudi Arabia 380 309 319 338 344Singapore 378 602 698 810 934Sri Lanka 36 48 56 64 71Syrian Arab Republic 51 78 87 98 106Thailand 144 834 969 1117 1250Turkey 447 904 960 1039 1126United Arab Emirates 0 245 249 266 274Viet Nam 18 33 39 44 51Yemen 2 10 11 11 11Australia 907 1096 1260 1408 1569Cook Island 0 1 1 1 1Fiji 5 4 4 5 5French Polynesia 7 9 10 11 11New Caledonia 5 2 2 2 2New Zealand 207 470 506 534 570Papua New Guinea 12 44 46 49 52Samoa 2 0 0 0 0Solomon Islands 3 1 1 1 1Tonga 0 1 1 1 1Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0



62


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 23132 42638 50106 56335 63500Albania 10 18 19 20 21Austria 768 1142 1225 1329 1441Belgium-Luxembourg 855 1172 1271 1387 1513Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 163 199 240Bulgaria 497 223 227 256 289Croatia 0 102 122 149 181Czech Republic 0 550 651 775 927Denmark 612 882 967 1051 1143Finland 743 457 518 573 633France 3425 3274 3534 3877 4253Germany 0 11607 12667 13972 15411Greece 369 459 506 553 605Hungary 479 351 388 455 517Iceland 28 21 25 27 29Ireland 44 180 224 268 320Italy 3177 3643 3916 4304 4730Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 7 89 100 111Malta 6 36 42 47 52Netherlands 1234 1391 1541 1692 1857Norway 663 520 589 655 727Poland 2150 1850 2222 2626 3121Portugal 302 606 677 749 828Romania 1168 381 411 478 556Slovakia 0 233 276 329 394Slovenia 0 281 336 409 499Spain 1437 2563 2850 3191 3572Sweden 1480 1034 1109 1196 1291Switzerland 680 777 822 900 985United Kingdom 3005 4653 5105 5593 6127Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 3 473 546 631Armenia n/a n/a 86 106 131Azerbaijan n/a n/a 181 236 312Belarus n/a 333 348 410 485Estonia n/a 125 149 179 216Georgia n/a n/a 132 160 198Kazakhstan n/a 1 384 467 559Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 116 138 165Latvia n/a 79 102 121 144Lithuania n/a 70 98 116 138Moldova Rep n/a 11 90 107 128Russian Federation n/a 3603 3792 4572 5628Tajikistan n/a n/a 98 118 141Turkmenistan n/a n/a 81 97 116Ukraine n/a n/a 1003 1234 1475Uzbekistan n/a n/a 487 572 659WORLD 88034 125580 144468 160991 179092



63

Table A1.7 Consumption of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




64

Table A1.7 Consumption of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AMERICA 19713 21711 24228 26398 28829Bahamas 5 20 22 19 23Barbados 13 8 9 8 9Belize 1 1 1 1 9Canada 2213 2011 2257 2504 2778Cayman Islands 0 5 6 5 6Costa Rica 28 41 45 52 60Cuba 31 4 4 5 6Dominica 0 3 3 3 3Dominican Republic 4 25 29 25 29El Salvador 3 8 10 9 10Guatemala 11 22 26 30 34Haiti 0 1 1 1 1Honduras 10 14 17 19 22Jamaica 6 60 63 55 63Martinique 3 6 7 5 6Mexico 271 426 517 615 732Netherlands Antilles 7 16 17 13 15Nicaragua 9 7 8 9 10Panama 14 26 30 35 41Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 42 14 16 14 16United States of America 15683 17869 19806 21430 23174Argentina 89 91 110 131 156Bolivia 12 62 74 85 97Brazil 991 352 405 468 540Chile 25 81 107 132 164Colombia 72 75 89 104 123Ecuador 10 150 172 195 221French Guiana 1 3 3 3 3Guyana 1 -25 1 1 2Paraguay -20 89 99 111 125Peru 78 47 55 64 76Suriname 3 4 4 5 5Uruguay 10 7 8 9 10Venezuela 87 188 209 234 262



65


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 13511 24427 28414 32157 35990Afghanistan 27 0 0 0 0Bahrain 20 15 15 16 17Bangladesh 2 3 3 4 4Bhutan 0 5 6 7 7Brunei Darussalam 6 7 7 8 7Cambodia 1 0 0 0 0China, People’s Rep. of 775 5640 7050 8349 9485Cyprus 20 12 14 16 18Hong Kong SAR, China 259 981 1136 1291 1468India 194 335 398 453 515Indonesia 768 1796 2230 2654 3160Iran, Islamic Republic 65 28 31 34 37Iraq 39 1 1 1 1Israel 81 123 140 157 177Japan 8394 9895 10813 11597 12439Jordan 43 65 72 81 85Korea, DPR 0 2 2 2 2Korea, REP 629 1916 2283 2645 3065Kuwait 90 74 76 80 84Laos 2 1 1 1 2Lebanon 35 69 84 101 113Macau 6 27 32 36 39Malaysia 499 1098 1369 1635 1953Mongolia 4 1 1 1 1Myanmar 12 -11 17 18 21Nepal 0 0 0 0 0Oman 54 2 2 2 2Pakistan 9 29 34 39 44Philippines 256 238 276 313 342Qatar 18 15 15 16 17Saudi Arabia 359 254 262 280 299Singapore 348 544 636 739 859Sri Lanka 33 35 41 48 52Syrian Arab Republic 42 35 40 45 47Thailand 105 387 460 541 595Turkey 45 145 161 184 210United Arab Emirates 0 211 215 231 248Viet Nam 18 28 33 39 45Yemen 2 10 11 11 11Australia 195 243 269 292 317Cook Island 0 1 1 1 1Fiji 3 1 1 1 1French Polynesia 5 7 8 8 8New Caledonia 3 0 0 0 0New Zealand 30 113 122 130 139Papua New Guinea 12 44 46 49 52Samoa 1 0 0 0 0Solomon Islands 2 1 1 1 1Tonga 0 1 1 1 1Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0



66


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 4947 7803 9356 10440 11667Albania 10 16 17 18 18Austria 46 129 138 149 161Belgium-Luxembourg 184 258 279 304 330Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 58 70 84Bulgaria 113 36 37 41 46Croatia 0 28 33 40 48Czech Republic 0 50 59 69 82Denmark 142 169 185 200 217Finland 127 79 89 98 108France 859 627 675 737 805Germany 0 1664 1809 1986 2181Greece 61 69 76 83 90Hungary 57 20 22 26 30Iceland 6 1 1 1 1Ireland 36 76 95 115 138Italy 947 1192 1277 1398 1530Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of,Fmr Yug RP of

0 -6 32 36 40

Malta 6 8 9 10 12Netherlands 545 508 561 615 674Norway 87 87 98 109 121Poland 270 140 167 197 233Portugal -29 146 163 179 198Romania 223 98 105 122 142Slovakia 0 14 16 19 23Slovenia 0 80 95 115 139Spain 126 306 339 378 421Sweden 211 195 209 225 242Switzerland 120 171 181 197 215United Kingdom 800 1260 1378 1505 1644Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 2 170 195 224Armenia n/a n/a 19 23 28Azerbaijan n/a n/a 43 63 92Belarus n/a 74 75 88 103Estonia n/a 3 8 10 12Georgia n/a n/a 32 43 57Kazakhstan n/a 1 83 100 120Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 25 29 35Latvia n/a 21 24 28 33Lithuania n/a n/a 18 22 25Moldova Rep n/a 11 19 23 27Russian Federation n/a 270 284 346 423Tajikistan n/a n/a 21 25 30Turkmenistan n/a n/a 17 21 24Ukraine n/a n/a 216 264 323Uzbekistan n/a n/a 102 120 136WORLD 41485 54793 63088 70290 78003



67

Table A1.8 Consumption of Particle Board (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




68

Table A1.8 Consumption of Particle Board (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




69


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 2916 7153 8079 8884 9727Afghanistan 41 1 1 1 1Bahrain 0 1 1 1 1Bangladesh 5 2 2 2 2Bhutan 0 8 8 9 9Brunei Darussalam 0 1 1 1 1Cambodia 0 0 0 0 0China, People’s Rep. of 148 1915 2092 2237 2392Cyprus 10 41 43 46 48Hong Kong SAR, China 4 163 186 220 253India 27 33 35 37 39Indonesia 0 85 93 99 106Iran, Islamic Republic 85 243 253 262 270Iraq 6 3 3 4 4Israel 54 124 148 178 207Japan 1386 1564 1799 1944 2051Jordan 0 4 4 4 5Korea, DPR 0 0 0 0 0Korea, REP 24 852 1086 1302 1567Kuwait 5 0 0 0 0Laos 0 4 4 5 5Lebanon 17 45 49 52 56Macau 0 0 0 0 0Malaysia 0 168 183 197 211Mongolia 1 1 1 1 1Myanmar 0 0 0 0 0Nepal 0 0 0 0 0Oman 0 0 0 0 0Pakistan 41 51 54 57 60Philippines 0 18 19 20 21Qatar 0 1 1 1 1Saudi Arabia 0 14 15 17 18Singapore 19 33 33 41 50Sri Lanka 3 6 6 7 7Syrian Arab Republic 9 14 15 15 16Thailand 9 246 264 281 300Turkey 332 656 683 720 759United Arab Emirates 0 7 7 8 9Viet Nam 0 4 4 5 5Yemen 0 0 0 0 0Australia 606 779 911 1030 1159Cook Island 0 0 0 0 0Fiji 1 0 0 0 0French Polynesia 1 0 0 0 0New Caledonia 1 1 1 1 1New Zealand 81 65 73 81 90Papua New Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Samoa 0 0 0 0 0Solomon Islands 0 0 0 0 0Tonga 0 0 0 0 0Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0



70


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 14818 29544 34407 38775 43830Albania 0 2 2 2 2Austria 661 921 989 1075 1167Belgium-Luxembourg 612 723 787 861 942Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 98 120 147Bulgaria 306 127 129 147 167Croatia 0 69 83 101 124Czech Republic 0 449 533 637 764Denmark 411 602 662 721 786Finland 437 289 329 365 406France 2303 2329 2519 2770 3047Germany 0 9010 9851 10887 12032Greece 285 262 291 319 350Hungary 327 312 346 406 460Iceland 21 15 18 19 21Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 1945 2427 2613 2878 3170Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 12 53 60 67Malta 0 12 14 16 18Netherlands 542 664 739 815 899Norway 417 233 266 298 333Poland 1251 1327 1604 1901 2272Portugal 281 357 401 445 494Romania 701 215 233 272 319Slovakia 0 193 229 275 329Slovenia 0 186 223 273 335Spain 1052 1855 2069 2324 2610Sweden 929 655 704 762 825Switzerland 482 443 470 516 568United Kingdom 1855 2780 3060 3364 3698Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 1 284 329 382Armenia n/a n/a 52 64 80Azerbaijan n/a n/a 104 134 171Belarus n/a 259 235 279 331Estonia n/a 75 87 106 129Georgia n/a n/a 77 91 111Kazakhstan n/a n/a 231 283 339Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 70 84 102Latvia n/a 58 67 80 95Lithuania n/a 45 52 62 74Moldova Rep n/a n/a 54 65 78Russian Federation n/a 2637 2780 3348 4148Tajikistan n/a n/a 58 71 86Turkmenistan n/a n/a 49 59 71Ukraine n/a n/a 600 745 882Uzbekistan n/a n/a 294 348 402WORLD 30993 51252 58602 65203 72779



71

Table A1.9 Consumption of Fibreboard (thousand CUM).Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AFRICA 205 169 206 239 277Algeria 5 3 4 4 5Angola 0 1 1 1 2Benin 0 0 0 0 0Botswana 0 0 0 0 0Burkina Faso 0 0 0 0 0Burundi 0 0 0 0 0Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0Cape Verde 0 0 0 0 0Central African Republic 0 0 0 0 0Chad 0 0 0 0 0Congo, Dem. Rep. of 0 0 0 0 0Congo, Rep. of 0 0 0 0 0Cote d'Ivoire 0 0 0 0 0Djibouti 0 0 0 0 0Egypt 0 12 15 17 20Equatorial Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Ethiopia 8 0 0 0 0Gabon 0 0 0 0 0Gambia 0 0 0 0 0Ghana 0 1 1 2 2Guinea 0 4 5 6 7Guinea-Bissau 0 0 0 0 0Kenya 5 6 7 9 12Lesotho 0 0 0 0 0Liberia 1 0 0 0 0Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 1 1 1 1 1Madagascar 1 5 6 7 8Malawi 0 0 0 0 0Mali 0 0 0 0 0Mauritania 0 0 0 0 0Mauritius 0 6 9 11 15Morocco 21 24 32 39 47Mozambique 4 0 0 0 0Niger 0 0 0 0 0Nigeria 95 3 4 4 5Reunion 0 0 0 0 0Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0Sao Tome and Principe 0 0 0 0 0Senegal 0 0 0 0 0Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0Somalia 0 0 0 0 0South Africa 46 86 97 107 118Sudan 3 2 2 3 3Swaziland 0 0 0 0 0Tanzania, United Republic 3 2 3 3 4Togo 0 -1 0 0 0Tunisia 7 15 19 23 27Uganda 0 0 0 0 0Zambia 3 0 0 0 0Zimbabwe 2 -1 0 0 0



72

Table A1.9 Consumption of Fibreboard (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




73


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 1732 5591 6726 7683 8503Afghanistan 0 1 1 1 1Bahrain 0 1 1 1 1Bangladesh 5 5 6 7 8Bhutan 0 0 0 0 0Brunei Darussalam 5 1 1 1 1Cambodia 0 0 0 0 0China, People’s Rep. of 538 2217 2864 3476 4138Cyprus 1 32 37 42 48Hong Kong SAR, China 19 134 146 152 129India 18 42 51 60 70Indonesia 1 58 74 91 110Iran, Islamic Republic 26 18 20 22 25Iraq 3 0 0 0 0Israel 10 98 109 116 116Japan 667 1551 1633 1718 1702Jordan 1 9 10 12 13Korea, DPR 0 0 0 0 0Korea, REP 14 614 710 803 847Kuwait 2 5 5 5 3Laos 0 0 0 0 0Lebanon 0 6 7 9 11Macau 0 1 1 1 2Malaysia 5 -124 13 16 19Mongolia 0 0 0 0 0Myanmar 0 0 0 0 0Nepal 0 0 0 0 0Oman 0 1 1 1 1Pakistan 10 28 34 39 45Philippines 68 86 102 118 136Qatar 0 1 1 1 1Saudi Arabia 21 41 42 41 26Singapore 11 25 28 30 26Sri Lanka 0 7 8 10 12Syrian Arab Republic 0 29 33 37 43Thailand 30 201 245 295 356Turkey 70 103 116 135 157United Arab Emirates 0 27 27 27 17Viet Nam 0 1 1 1 2Yemen 0 0 0 0 0Australia 106 74 81 86 92Cook Island 0 0 0 0 0Fiji 1 3 3 3 4French Polynesia 1 2 2 2 3New Caledonia 1 1 1 1 1New Zealand 96 292 311 322 340Papua New Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Samoa 1 0 0 0 0Solomon Islands 1 0 0 0 0Tonga 0 0 0 0 0Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0



74


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 3367 5291 6343 7120 8003Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 61 92 98 105 113Belgium-Luxembourg 59 191 206 222 240Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 7 8 10Bulgaria 78 60 61 68 76Croatia 0 5 6 7 8Czech Republic 0 51 59 69 81Denmark 59 111 121 130 140Finland 179 89 100 109 119France 263 318 340 370 401Germany 0 933 1008 1099 1199Greece 23 128 140 152 165Hungary 95 19 21 24 27Iceland 1 5 6 6 7Ireland 8 104 129 153 182Italy 285 24 26 28 30Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 1 4 4 5Malta 0 16 18 20 23Netherlands 147 219 240 262 285Norway 159 200 225 248 273Poland 629 383 451 527 616Portugal 50 103 114 125 137Romania 244 68 73 84 96Slovakia 0 26 30 35 41Slovenia 0 15 18 21 25Spain 259 402 442 489 541Sweden 340 184 196 210 225Switzerland 78 163 171 186 202United Kingdom 350 613 666 723 786Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 20 22 25Armenia n/a n/a 16 19 23Azerbaijan n/a n/a 33 40 49Belarus n/a n/a 38 44 51Estonia n/a 47 54 63 75Georgia n/a n/a 23 26 30Kazakhstan n/a n/a 71 84 99Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 21 25 29Latvia n/a n/a 11 13 15Lithuania n/a 25 28 33 38Moldova Rep n/a n/a 17 20 23Russian Federation n/a 696 729 878 1057Tajikistan n/a n/a 19 22 26Turkmenistan n/a n/a 15 18 21Ukraine n/a n/a 187 226 270Uzbekistan n/a n/a 91 105 121WORLD 15556 19535 22778 25499 28310



75

Table A1.10 Consumption of Woodpulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AFRICA 932 1280 1791 1921 2079Algeria 50 57 81 94 101Angola 35 15 0 0 0Benin 0 0 0 0 0Botswana 0 0 0 0 0Burkina Faso 0 0 0 0 0Burundi 0 0 0 0 0Cameroon 25 0 0 0 0Cape Verde 0 0 0 0 0Central African Republic 0 0 0 0 0Chad 0 0 0 0 0Congo, Dem. Rep. of 0 0 3 3 4Congo, Rep. of 0 0 0 0 0Cote d'Ivoire 0 0 0 0 0Djibouti 0 0 0 0 0Egypt 0 44 26 24 23Equatorial Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Ethiopia 0 4 1 0 0Gabon 2 0 0 0 0Gambia 0 0 0 0 0Ghana 0 0 0 0 0Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Guinea-Bissau 0 0 0 0 0Kenya 50 90 122 133 143Lesotho 0 0 0 0 0Liberia 0 0 0 0 0Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 0 1 9 10 11Madagascar 11 1 2 1 0Malawi 0 0 0 0 0Mali 0 0 0 0 0Mauritania 0 0 0 0 0Mauritius 0 0 0 0 0Morocco 39 16 45 56 60Mozambique 0 10 3 1 1Niger 0 0 0 0 0Nigeria 5 9 6 7 8Reunion 0 0 0 0 0Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0Sao Tome and Principe 0 0 0 0 0Senegal 0 0 0 0 0Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0Somalia 0 0 0 0 0South Africa 666 917 1347 1442 1562Sudan 0 0 0 0 0Swaziland 0 -23 0 0 0Tanzania, United Republic 0 54 31 36 42Togo 0 0 0 0 0Tunisia 5 42 47 41 44Uganda 0 0 2 2 2Zambia 0 0 2 2 2Zimbabwe 44 43 63 68 77



76

Table A1.10 Consumption of Woodpulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




77


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 16558 26848 28308 30611 33619Afghanistan 0 0 0 0 0Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0Bangladesh 47 100 98 109 145Bhutan 0 0 0 0 0Brunei Darussalam 0 0 0 0 0Cambodia 0 0 0 0 0China, People’s Rep. of 1729 3916 4020 3876 4023Cyprus 0 4 1 0 0Hong Kong SAR, China 1 16 49 110 126India 376 1062 1219 1303 1364Indonesia 115 1830 2027 2332 2579Iran, Islamic Republic 38 92 180 213 244Iraq 15 0 12 12 13Israel 41 75 99 117 240Japan 11299 13928 11618 12473 13227Jordan 0 6 45 62 78Korea, DPR 56 111 24 23 21Korea, REP 600 2391 3781 3944 4660Kuwait 0 16 3 1 0Laos 0 0 0 0 0Lebanon 0 10 20 24 25Macau 0 0 0 0 0Malaysia 5 197 496 663 939Mongolia 0 0 0 0 0Myanmar 0 0 0 0 0Nepal 0 0 7 8 8Oman 0 1 0 0 0Pakistan 12 58 255 268 308Philippines 198 214 177 161 218Qatar 0 0 0 0 0Saudi Arabia 0 75 10 0 0Singapore 4 -1 41 56 63Sri Lanka 4 8 8 23 48Syrian Arab Republic 0 4 14 24 28Thailand 80 218 1074 996 919Turkey 305 515 311 467 570United Arab Emirates 0 3 1 0 0Viet Nam 10 76 72 98 110Yemen 0 5 1 0 0Australia 968 1210 1898 2468 2834Cook Island 0 0 0 0 0Fiji 0 0 0 0 0French Polynesia 0 0 0 0 0New Caledonia 0 0 0 0 0New Zealand 655 708 748 781 832Papua New Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Samoa 0 0 0 0 0Solomon Islands 0 0 0 0 0Tonga 0 0 0 0 0Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0



78


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 26840 44164 46233 47484 49465Albania 8 20 20 20 20Austria 1088 1808 1547 1337 1382Belgium-Luxembourg 604 813 1339 1113 883Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 81 97 118Bulgaria 387 67 67 73 76Croatia 0 -41 19 20 18Czech Republic 0 732 793 764 724Denmark 98 147 156 191 246Finland 5290 8551 9012 8716 8797France 3239 4421 5147 5530 5812Germany 0 5448 5158 5586 6073Greece 102 109 123 122 109Hungary 282 28 23 32 37Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 22 10 21 15 8Italy 2410 3138 2835 3005 3155Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 6 29 28 32Malta 0 1 0 0 0Netherlands 807 809 836 977 1033Norway 1320 1830 2186 2108 1829Poland 864 809 1009 1154 1316Portugal 241 550 599 602 647Romania 736 240 219 241 260Slovakia 0 186 213 197 168Slovenia 0 191 164 186 202Spain 1306 1115 1320 1506 1582Sweden 5652 7479 5960 5367 5342Switzerland 546 602 506 505 583United Kingdom 1838 2343 2950 3749 4200Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 4 221 243 271Armenia n/a n/a 76 90 108Azerbaijan n/a n/a 177 245 343Belarus n/a n/a 164 188 217Estonia n/a 31 34 36 39Georgia n/a n/a 130 170 220Kazakhstan n/a n/a 330 383 426Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 100 115 133Latvia n/a 2 20 36 56Lithuania n/a n/a 17 17 21Moldova Rep n/a n/a 1 1 1Russian Federation n/a 2715 2460 2516 2734Tajikistan n/a n/a 84 98 113Turkmenistan n/a n/a 70 80 93Ukraine n/a n/a 14 24 34Uzbekistan n/a n/a 6 6 7WORLD 114154 151068 157707 163399 170937



79

Table A1.11 Consumption of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




80

Table A1.11 Consumption of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




81


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 3472 4100 5919 6576 7257Afghanistan 0 0 0 0 0Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0Bangladesh 14 46 43 50 66Bhutan 0 0 0 0 0Brunei Darussalam 0 0 0 0 0Cambodia 0 0 0 0 0China 348 668 1277 1501 1588Cyprus 0 0 0 0 0Hong Kong SAR, China 0 -1 14 32 38India 42 236 341 373 410Indonesia 39 98 359 430 496Iran, Islamic Republic 4 0 39 44 52Iraq 0 0 2 3 3Israel 1 2 28 30 41Japan 2145 2034 1556 1606 1667Jordan 0 0 13 18 23Korea, DPR 13 15 8 9 9Korea, REP 168 179 896 924 1070Kuwait 0 5 1 0 0Laos 0 0 0 0 0Lebanon 0 0 6 7 7Macau 0 0 0 0 0Malaysia 0 0 89 116 186Mongolia 0 0 0 0 0Myanmar 0 0 0 0 0Nepal 0 0 2 2 2Oman 0 1 0 0 0Pakistan 5 0 61 65 77Philippines 41 53 45 29 31Qatar 0 0 0 0 0Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0Singapore 0 0 12 16 19Sri Lanka 0 1 2 5 9Syrian Arab Republic 0 0 4 7 8Thailand 2 7 277 262 236Turkey 116 52 87 125 150United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0Viet Nam 10 21 18 24 28Yemen 0 0 0 0 0Australia 216 355 527 691 825Cook Island 0 0 0 0 0Fiji 0 0 0 0 0French Polynesia 0 0 0 0 0New Caledonia 0 0 0 0 0New Zealand 308 328 214 211 215Papua New Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Samoa 0 0 0 0 0Solomon Islands 0 0 0 0 0Tonga 0 0 0 0 0Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0



82


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 7487 13205 13473 13548 13841Albania 0 2 3 3 3Austria 225 420 410 400 410Belgium-Luxembourg 198 231 353 293 236Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 10 11 13Bulgaria 18 2 2 2 2Croatia 0 -58 2 2 2Czech Republic 0 70 62 49 41Denmark 12 83 91 117 158Finland 2329 3637 3922 3927 4118France 479 933 1106 1155 1235Germany 0 1326 1347 1442 1545Greece 36 25 38 44 47Hungary 20 0 0 0 0Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland -10 1 2 1 1Italy 645 501 77 75 72Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 4 4 4Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 251 147 127 132 122Norway 699 1340 1523 1428 1152Poland 145 80 94 94 94Portugal 6 0 0 0 0Romania 98 45 47 54 55Slovakia 0 30 33 30 26Slovenia 0 27 21 20 16Spain 209 74 89 94 96Sweden 1588 2653 1974 1842 1899Switzerland 192 137 125 119 120United Kingdom 347 584 735 909 1005Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 -12 110 124 141Armenia n/a n/a 16 18 22Azerbaijan n/a n/a 36 50 69Belarus n/a n/a 27 31 36Estonia n/a 7 7 8 9Georgia n/a n/a 27 34 44Kazakhstan n/a n/a 68 78 85Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 20 23 27Latvia n/a 1 8 12 16Lithuania n/a n/a 3 3 3Moldova Rep n/a n/a 1 1 1Russian Federation n/a 919 906 859 844Tajikistan n/a n/a 17 20 23Turkmenistan n/a n/a 14 16 19Ukraine n/a n/a 12 19 27Uzbekistan n/a n/a 5 5 6WORLD 24938 34244 36725 38338 40224



83

Table A1.12 Consumption of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AFRICA 705 972 1228 1313 1416Algeria 50 43 74 86 93Angola 35 15 0 0 0Benin 0 0 0 0 0Botswana 0 0 0 0 0Burkina Faso 0 0 0 0 0Burundi 0 0 0 0 0Cameroon 25 0 0 0 0Cape Verde 0 0 0 0 0Central African Republic 0 0 0 0 0Chad 0 0 0 0 0Congo, Dem. Rep. of 0 0 2 2 2Congo, Rep. of 0 0 0 0 0Cote d'Ivoire 0 0 0 0 0Djibouti 0 0 0 0 0Egypt 0 43 26 24 22Equatorial Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Ethiopia 0 2 0 0 0Gabon 0 0 0 0 0Gambia 0 0 0 0 0Ghana 0 0 0 0 0Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Guinea-Bissau 0 0 0 0 0Kenya 50 90 120 131 140Lesotho 0 0 0 0 0Liberia 0 0 0 0 0Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 0 1 7 7 8Madagascar 7 0 2 1 0Malawi 0 0 0 0 0Mali 0 0 0 0 0Mauritania 0 0 0 0 0Mauritius 0 0 0 0 0Morocco 35 12 34 42 45Mozambique 0 10 3 1 1Niger 0 0 0 0 0Nigeria 5 9 3 2 3Reunion 0 0 0 0 0Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0Sao Tome and Principe 0 0 0 0 0Senegal 0 0 0 0 0Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0Somalia 0 0 0 0 0South Africa 465 661 859 919 994Sudan 0 0 0 0 0Swaziland 0 -23 0 0 0Tanzania, United Republic 0 44 21 24 29Togo 0 0 0 0 0Tunisia 5 42 43 37 40Uganda 0 0 2 2 2Zambia 0 0 2 2 2Zimbabwe 28 23 32 33 36



84

Table A1.12 Consumption of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




85


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 13086 22748 22389 24034 26362Afghanistan 0 0 0 0 0Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0Bangladesh 33 54 55 60 78Bhutan 0 0 0 0 0Brunei Darussalam 0 0 0 0 0Cambodia 0 0 0 0 0China, People’s Rep. of 1381 3248 2743 2375 2435Cyprus 0 4 1 0 0Hong Kong SAR, China 1 17 35 78 89India 334 826 878 930 954Indonesia 76 1732 1669 1902 2083Iran, Islamic Republic 34 92 141 169 192Iraq 15 0 9 10 10Israel 40 73 71 88 199Japan 9154 11894 10062 10868 11560Jordan 0 6 33 44 55Korea, DPR 43 96 16 14 13Korea, REP 432 2212 2885 3020 3590Kuwait 0 11 2 1 0Laos 0 0 0 0 0Lebanon 0 10 14 17 17Macau 0 0 0 0 0Malaysia 5 197 407 548 754Mongolia 0 0 0 0 0Myanmar 0 0 0 0 0Nepal 0 0 5 5 6Oman 0 0 0 0 0Pakistan 7 58 194 204 231Philippines 157 161 133 131 187Qatar 0 0 0 0 0Saudi Arabia 0 75 10 0 0Singapore 4 -1 30 40 44Sri Lanka 4 7 6 18 39Syrian Arab Republic 0 4 10 17 20Thailand 78 211 796 734 682Turkey 189 463 224 342 419United Arab Emirates 0 3 1 0 0Viet Nam 0 55 54 74 82Yemen 0 5 1 0 0Australia 752 855 1371 1777 2009Cook Island 0 0 0 0 0Fiji 0 0 0 0 0French Polynesia 0 0 0 0 0New Caledonia 0 0 0 0 0New Zealand 347 380 534 570 616Papua New Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Samoa 0 0 0 0 0Solomon Islands 0 0 0 0 0Tonga 0 0 0 0 0Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0



86





87

Table A1.13 Consumption of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




88

Table A1.13 Consumption of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AMERICA 1397 698 878 1063 1241Bahamas 0 0 0 0 0Barbados 0 0 0 0 0Belize 0 -1 0 0 0Canada 44 0 0 0 0Cayman Islands 0 0 0 0 0Costa Rica 0 7 43 70 106Cuba 30 52 16 18 18Dominica 0 0 0 0 0Dominican Republic 0 0 0 0 0El Salvador 0 7 2 1 0Guatemala 0 0 0 0 0Haiti 0 0 0 0 0Honduras 0 0 0 0 0Jamaica 0 0 0 0 0Martinique 0 0 0 0 0Mexico 218 115 166 199 235Netherlands Antilles 0 0 0 0 0Nicaragua 0 0 0 0 0Panama 0 0 0 0 0Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 0 0 0 0 0United States of America 638 139 168 207 238Argentina 46 53 52 60 60Bolivia 1 0 0 0 0Brazil 135 109 127 143 154Chile 0 -21 0 0 0Colombia 84 148 195 237 275Ecuador 5 0 0 0 0French Guiana 0 0 0 0 0Guyana 0 0 0 0 0Paraguay 0 0 0 0 0Peru 140 24 32 39 45Suriname 0 0 0 0 0Uruguay 0 0 0 0 0Venezuela 56 66 78 91 109



89


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 4485 19598 25442 30559 34610Afghanistan 0 0 0 0 0Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0Bangladesh 51 33 29 35 51Bhutan 0 0 0 0 0Brunei Darussalam 0 0 0 0 0Cambodia 0 0 0 0 0China, People’s Rep. of 3459 17572 23900 28736 32444Cyprus 0 0 0 0 0Hong Kong SAR, China 0 2 5 11 13India 501 1096 740 863 1028Indonesia 49 140 141 184 231Iran, Islamic Republic 50 62 23 29 35Iraq 9 9 2 2 2Israel 0 1 9 10 11Japan 26 48 56 102 95Jordan 8 15 4 6 8Korea, DPR 50 51 26 27 28Korea, REP 54 2 240 248 287Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0Laos 0 0 0 0 0Lebanon 1 0 2 2 3Macau 0 0 0 0 0Malaysia 1 1 24 33 59Mongolia 0 0 0 0 0Myanmar 13 9 19 17 23Nepal 15 15 1 1 1Oman 0 0 0 0 0Pakistan 56 150 29 33 39Philippines 14 16 14 16 25Qatar 0 0 0 0 0Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0Singapore 0 0 4 6 7Sri Lanka 10 2 1 2 4Syrian Arab Republic 0 0 1 2 3Thailand 38 264 100 94 88Turkey 68 31 29 42 52United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0Viet Nam 5 74 17 22 27Yemen 0 0 0 0 0Australia 7 7 12 16 20Cook Island 0 0 0 0 0Fiji 0 0 0 0 0French Polynesia 0 0 0 0 0New Caledonia 0 0 0 0 0New Zealand 0 -2 17 21 26Papua New Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Samoa 0 0 0 0 0Solomon Islands 0 0 0 0 0Tonga 0 0 0 0 0Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0



90


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 687 244 353 405 477Albania 0 0 0 1 1Austria 5 4 0 0 0Belgium-Luxembourg 3 3 10 11 12Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 2 2 2Bulgaria 20 10 11 14 16Croatia 0 0 0 0 0Czech Republic 0 -2 0 0 0Denmark 40 33 39 50 68Finland -7 -4 0 0 0France 29 14 2 0 0Germany 0 -1 0 0 0Greece 42 2 7 8 7Hungary 27 5 4 6 7Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 281 136 170 191 215Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 1 1 1Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 12 1 0 0 0Norway 0 1 0 0 0Poland 6 2 0 0 0Portugal 33 13 14 12 13Romania 46 5 6 7 8Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0Spain 119 0 0 0 0Sweden 3 3 1 0 0Switzerland 0 -3 0 0 0United Kingdom 28 16 6 3 1Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 26 32 38Armenia n/a n/a 4 5 6Azerbaijan n/a n/a 9 13 19Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a n/a 0 0 0Georgia n/a n/a 7 9 12Kazakhstan n/a n/a 17 21 24Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 5 6 7Latvia n/a 6 3 5 9Lithuania n/a n/a 0 0 0Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a n/a 0 0 0Tajikistan n/a n/a 5 5 6Turkmenistan n/a n/a 4 4 5Ukraine n/a n/a 1 1 2Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 7176 20719 26598 32273 36603



91

Table A1.14 Consumption of Waste Paper (thousand MT).Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AFRICA 504 836 617 770 954Algeria 21 5 12 18 25Angola 0 0 0 0 0Benin 0 0 0 0 0Botswana 0 0 0 0 0Burkina Faso 0 0 0 0 0Burundi 0 0 0 0 0Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0Cape Verde 0 0 0 0 0Central African Republic 0 0 0 0 0Chad 0 0 0 0 0Congo, Dem. Rep. of 0 0 0 0 0Congo, Rep. of 0 0 0 0 0Cote d'Ivoire 0 0 0 0 0Djibouti 0 1 0 0 0Egypt 67 80 90 94 104Equatorial Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Ethiopia 2 0 0 0 0Gabon 0 0 0 0 0Gambia 0 0 0 0 0Ghana 0 2 0 0 0Guinea 0 0 0 0 0Guinea-Bissau 0 0 0 0 0Kenya 9 29 41 53 67Lesotho 0 0 0 0 0Liberia 0 0 0 0 0Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 0 -1 0 1 1Madagascar 0 11 2 1 0Malawi 0 0 0 0 0Mali 0 0 0 0 0Mauritania 0 0 0 0 0Mauritius 0 0 0 0 0Morocco 23 48 65 89 102Mozambique 4 -2 1 1 1Niger 0 0 0 0 0Nigeria 3 8 4 7 10Reunion 0 -2 0 0 0Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0Sao Tome and Principe 0 0 0 0 0Senegal 2 1 0 0 0Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0Somalia 0 0 0 0 0South Africa 335 602 354 455 579Sudan 2 7 0 0 0Swaziland 0 0 0 0 0Tanzania, United Republic 0 0 1 2 4Togo 0 0 0 0 0Tunisia 9 22 23 16 16Uganda 0 0 1 1 2Zambia 0 0 1 1 1Zimbabwe 27 25 24 31 41



92

Table A1.14 Consumption of Waste Paper (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AMERICA 18536 33847 40189 47423 55529Bahamas 0 0 0 0 0Barbados 0 0 0 0 0Belize 0 0 0 0 0Canada 1251 2265 3365 4105 5117Cayman Islands 0 0 0 0 0Costa Rica 3 13 59 102 163Cuba 29 62 30 38 43Dominica 0 0 0 0 0Dominican Republic 12 -4 0 0 0El Salvador 7 17 28 53 69Guatemala 24 8 50 83 107Haiti 0 0 0 0 0Honduras 45 55 0 0 0Jamaica 2 8 26 37 51Martinique 1 1 0 0 0Mexico 1265 1933 2827 3510 4278Netherlands Antilles 0 0 0 0 0Nicaragua 0 3 1 0 0Panama 20 18 69 102 125Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 3 0 0 0 0United States of America 13964 26817 30349 35134 40408Argentina 284 321 353 425 434Bolivia 0 0 0 0 0Brazil 1052 1291 1636 2068 2497Chile 46 121 155 200 269Colombia 169 341 423 535 655Ecuador 1 11 103 158 217French Guiana 0 0 0 0 0Guyana 0 0 0 0 0Paraguay 0 0 0 0 0Peru 59 59 78 103 135Suriname 0 0 0 0 0Uruguay 23 52 73 96 126Venezuela 276 455 566 674 838



93


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010ASIA 13359 33770 44053 55200 66972Afghanistan 0 1 0 0 0Bahrain 0 1 0 0 0Bangladesh 0 6 55 71 94Bhutan 0 0 0 0 0Brunei Darussalam 0 0 0 0 0Cambodia 0 0 0 0 0China, People’s Rep. of 2116 9674 15673 20940 25459Cyprus 0 -5 0 0 0Hong Kong SAR, China 3 138 36 90 116India 203 753 1023 1266 1587Indonesia 122 994 1062 1434 1860Iran, Islamic Republic 55 80 113 142 182Iraq 0 0 7 8 9Israel 45 108 73 87 152Japan 8283 15172 20316 24088 28379Jordan 7 16 33 51 71Korea, DPR 0 4 34 37 41Korea, REP 1151 4261 2621 3043 4002Kuwait 5 16 0 0 0Laos 0 0 0 0 0Lebanon 0 5 14 20 23Macau 3 14 0 0 0Malaysia 65 83 270 400 682Mongolia 0 0 0 0 0Myanmar 0 0 0 1 1Nepal 0 0 5 6 7Oman 0 -5 0 0 0Pakistan 26 78 170 196 253Philippines 125 305 121 106 152Qatar 0 0 0 0 0Saudi Arabia 0 71 0 0 0Singapore 54 84 30 46 58Sri Lanka 5 23 6 13 25Syrian Arab Republic 0 2 11 20 26Thailand 303 729 712 744 738Turkey 164 99 222 334 437United Arab Emirates 0 1 0 0 0Viet Nam 0 150 45 66 85Yemen 0 2 0 0 0Australia 560 859 1193 1709 2155Cook Island 0 0 0 0 0Fiji 0 -1 0 0 0French Polynesia 0 0 0 0 0New Caledonia 0 0 0 0 0New Zealand 64 53 208 285 377Papua New Guinea 0 -1 0 0 0Samoa 0 0 0 0 0Solomon Islands 0 0 0 0 0Tonga 0 0 0 0 0Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0



94


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 11814 30877 35838 43989 53115Albania 0 0 16 18 20Austria 542 1203 1081 1313 1526Belgium-Luxembourg 241 138 349 397 435Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 50 66 87Bulgaria 128 128 87 108 130Croatia 0 102 122 157 191Czech Republic 0 -43 29 53 77Denmark 152 329 246 340 494Finland 214 561 874 1030 1225France 1889 3537 4640 5658 6995Germany 0 8161 8295 9878 11781Greece 120 160 571 681 804Hungary 183 311 259 346 422Iceland 0 -4 0 0 0Ireland 21 149 51 35 20Italy 2200 4340 5111 5944 6887Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 21 26 32Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 889 2182 1707 2329 2836Norway 98 89 181 241 283Poland 471 204 313 423 561Portugal 161 252 322 389 472Romania 183 84 107 138 172Slovakia 0 77 110 130 145Slovenia 0 164 345 455 585Spain 1185 2339 2852 3502 4107Sweden 698 1337 1426 1539 1797Switzerland 320 677 639 799 980United Kingdom 2119 3430 4437 6022 7524Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 133 162 202Armenia n/a n/a 29 39 52Azerbaijan n/a n/a 66 104 165Belarus n/a n/a 6 12 21Estonia n/a n/a 14 17 22Georgia n/a n/a 49 73 106Kazakhstan n/a n/a 125 165 205Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 37 49 64Latvia n/a 17 14 30 53Lithuania n/a 20 12 15 21Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 1 1Russian Federation n/a 933 1046 1213 1493Tajikistan n/a n/a 33 43 56Turkmenistan n/a n/a 27 35 45Ukraine n/a n/a 6 11 18Uzbekistan n/a n/a 2 3 4WORLD 46147 99325 120697 147382 176570



95

Table A1.15 Consumption of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT).Actual Projection




96

Table A1.15 Consumption of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




97





98


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 35054 72490 82717 93337 105517Albania 13 44 46 48 51Austria 945 1639 1746 1893 2053Belgium-Luxembourg 1358 2063 2278 2536 2826Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 133 165 207Bulgaria 516 194 198 224 253Croatia 0 176 212 261 324Czech Republic 0 692 824 996 1196Denmark 728 942 1039 1130 1237Finland 1104 1618 1884 2134 2421France 6196 9552 10465 11700 13094Germany 0 16335 17901 20123 22644Greece 424 1134 1271 1391 1523Hungary 676 483 533 631 753Iceland 19 32 37 41 45Ireland 255 381 509 635 804Italy 5295 8560 9346 10434 11506Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 24 72 81 92Malta 22 33 40 47 54Netherlands 2183 3173 3537 3903 4352Norway 490 737 853 967 1097Poland 1433 1320 1634 1978 2388Portugal 395 793 903 1017 1147Romania 694 269 291 342 402Slovakia 0 215 257 311 377Slovenia 0 273 590 731 910Spain 2700 5091 5745 6468 7369Sweden 1739 1931 2085 2267 2467Switzerland 1036 1476 1559 1742 1922United Kingdom 6833 11008 12300 13620 15098Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 -2 377 444 519Armenia n/a n/a 108 133 165Azerbaijan n/a n/a 250 359 523Belarus n/a n/a 170 200 239Estonia n/a 58 68 85 106Georgia n/a n/a 184 249 336Kazakhstan n/a n/a 470 571 680Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 141 169 203Latvia n/a 72 85 104 128Lithuania n/a 28 32 39 46Moldova Rep n/a n/a 21 25 30Russian Federation n/a 2146 2268 2840 3563Tajikistan n/a n/a 121 145 174Turkmenistan n/a n/a 99 119 142Ukraine n/a n/a 23 30 38Uzbekistan n/a n/a 14 17 20WORLD 155744 266440 308257 348010 391004



99

Table A1.16 Consumption of Newsprint (thousand MT).Actual Projection




100

Table A1.16 Consumption of Newsprint (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AMERICA 12856 14277 17683 19714 21817Bahamas 1 1 1 1 1Barbados 2 4 5 6 5Belize 0 0 0 0 0Canada 918 -56 1483 1672 1874Cayman Islands 0 0 0 0 0Costa Rica 12 18 19 25 26Cuba 32 0 0 0 0Dominica 0 1 1 1 1Dominican Republic 12 14 16 20 17El Salvador 15 23 27 35 32Guatemala 17 21 25 32 34Haiti 0 0 0 0 0Honduras 7 9 10 14 10Jamaica 4 8 8 10 11Martinique 1 4 4 5 4Mexico 226 442 530 614 793Netherlands Antilles 1 2 2 3 2Nicaragua 3 4 5 6 5Panama 3 8 8 10 11Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 5 4 4 6 5United States of America 10673 12627 14220 15669 17232Argentina 271 238 299 359 430Bolivia 6 10 10 13 14Brazil 271 530 603 700 812Chile 68 52 69 87 108Colombia 71 95 109 141 123Ecuador 33 43 43 54 50French Guiana 0 0 0 0 0Guyana 2 0 0 0 0Paraguay 8 16 17 22 20Peru 37 55 60 77 80Suriname 1 0 0 0 0Uruguay 15 15 14 18 19Venezuela 141 89 93 114 97



101





102


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 4591 9964 11118 12459 13981Albania 0 8 8 9 9Austria 139 466 504 551 602Belgium-Luxembourg 197 218 239 263 290Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 13 17 21Bulgaria 46 6 6 7 8Croatia 0 18 22 27 34Czech Republic 0 50 60 73 89Denmark 152 237 262 288 316Finland 137 210 242 270 303France 628 807 878 973 1078Germany 0 2217 2441 2718 3028Greece 41 69 77 85 94Hungary 61 25 28 33 39Iceland 4 6 7 8 8Ireland 61 69 90 111 138Italy 328 621 673 742 820Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 3 7 7 8Malta 1 5 6 7 8Netherlands 458 516 579 644 715Norway 66 256 295 334 376Poland 127 75 92 112 135Portugal 41 62 70 79 88Romania 56 54 59 70 83Slovakia 0 28 34 41 50Slovenia 0 63 77 96 122Spain 163 465 523 593 672Sweden 296 424 458 499 544Switzerland 207 336 358 396 439United Kingdom 1382 2263 2510 2779 3077Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 -4 37 43 51Armenia n/a n/a 2 2 2Azerbaijan n/a n/a 4 6 9Belarus n/a n/a 3 4 5Estonia n/a 5 6 7 9Georgia n/a n/a 3 4 5Kazakhstan n/a n/a 6 8 10Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 2 2 3Latvia n/a 19 22 27 32Lithuania n/a 6 7 9 11Moldova Rep n/a n/a 2 2 2Russian Federation n/a 361 382 482 607Tajikistan n/a n/a 2 2 2Turkmenistan n/a n/a 1 2 2Ukraine n/a n/a 17 21 27Uzbekistan n/a n/a 8 10 11WORLD 24040 33387 40274 45949 52622



103

Table A1.17 Consumption of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT).Actual Projection




104

Table A1.17 Consumption of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AMERICA 17414 30602 36009 40363 45743Bahamas 0 2 2 2 2Barbados 3 3 3 3 3Belize 0 0 0 0 0Canada 985 2652 3219 3830 4558Cayman Islands 0 0 0 0 0Costa Rica 8 20 21 21 21Cuba 46 15 3 3 4Dominica 0 0 0 0 0Dominican Republic 26 24 26 26 25El Salvador -1 14 16 16 16Guatemala 7 29 32 34 35Haiti 1 3 3 3 3Honduras 5 8 9 9 9Jamaica 7 9 10 9 9Martinique 0 2 2 2 2Mexico 591 602 793 837 914Netherlands Antilles 1 2 2 2 2Nicaragua 2 3 3 3 3Panama 5 11 12 12 12Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 4 9 10 10 10United States of America 14398 24706 29125 32653 37004Argentina 179 362 398 435 475Bolivia 6 14 15 15 15Brazil 803 1286 1381 1485 1597Chile 46 171 197 219 244Colombia 92 250 272 296 322Ecuador 23 25 27 27 27French Guiana 0 0 0 0 0Guyana 1 1 1 1 1Paraguay 6 17 18 18 18Peru 45 154 166 181 196Suriname 2 0 0 0 0Uruguay 21 28 29 30 31Venezuela 102 180 216 183 186



105

Table A1.17 Consumption of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT).(Continued)




106

Table A1.17 Consumption of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT).(Continued)

Actual ProjectionCountry 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 9598 23945 28110 32903 38555Albania 0 5 5 6 6Austria 113 102 110 126 143Belgium-Luxembourg 486 845 964 1110 1278Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 38 51 70Bulgaria 49 33 34 41 49Croatia 0 35 47 62 85Czech Republic 0 133 174 231 297Denmark 191 150 174 193 220Finland 281 636 779 918 1081France 2080 3771 4262 4946 5739Germany 0 6136 6836 7999 9358Greece 95 281 336 376 421Hungary 135 153 181 225 285Iceland 3 9 11 12 14Ireland 38 123 186 246 336Italy 1617 3007 3435 3996 4493Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 12 20 24 29Malta 2 20 25 30 35Netherlands 681 918 1049 1182 1375Norway 159 166 204 244 291Poland 225 397 542 700 890Portugal 77 264 316 373 439Romania 84 37 42 54 69Slovakia 0 41 54 71 95Slovenia 0 -77 166 221 294Spain 756 1552 1841 2135 2560Sweden 521 393 439 496 561Switzerland 365 522 553 641 719United Kingdom 1640 3800 4416 5005 5685Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 1 105 133 163Armenia n/a n/a 16 22 30Azerbaijan n/a n/a 40 64 101Belarus n/a n/a 34 43 56Estonia n/a 16 20 28 37Georgia n/a n/a 29 43 64Kazakhstan n/a n/a 67 90 121Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 21 28 37Latvia n/a 25 31 40 53Lithuania n/a 3 4 5 6Moldova Rep n/a 5 5 7 9Russian Federation n/a 421 457 639 893Tajikistan n/a n/a 14 19 26Turkmenistan n/a n/a 14 18 24Ukraine n/a 5 5 7 9Uzbekistan n/a 5 6 7 9WORLD 36865 80057 94704 109610 126246



107

Table A1.18 Consumption of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT).Actual Projection




108

Table A1.18 Consumption of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




109





110


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 20865 38744 43489 47975 52982Albania 13 31 32 34 35Austria 693 1071 1133 1217 1308Belgium-Luxembourg 675 1000 1076 1163 1258Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 81 97 115Bulgaria 421 155 158 176 196Croatia 0 123 144 172 205Czech Republic 0 509 590 691 810Denmark 385 555 603 650 700Finland 686 772 864 946 1036France 3488 4974 5324 5781 6277Germany 0 7982 8624 9406 10258Greece 288 784 857 929 1008Hungary 480 305 325 373 429Iceland 12 17 19 21 22Ireland 156 189 233 278 330Italy 3350 4932 5238 5696 6193Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 9 45 49 55Malta 19 8 9 10 11Netherlands 1044 1739 1909 2078 2261Norway 265 315 354 390 430Poland 1081 848 999 1167 1363Portugal 277 467 516 565 619Romania 554 178 191 219 251Slovakia 0 146 169 198 232Slovenia 0 287 347 414 494Spain 1781 3074 3381 3740 4137Sweden 922 1114 1188 1272 1362Switzerland 464 618 648 704 764United Kingdom 3811 4945 5375 5836 6337Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 1 235 268 305Armenia n/a n/a 90 109 132Azerbaijan n/a n/a 207 289 413Belarus n/a 131 132 153 178Estonia n/a 37 42 50 59Georgia n/a n/a 152 203 267Kazakhstan n/a 1 396 473 549Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 118 139 163Latvia n/a 28 32 37 43Lithuania n/a 19 22 25 29Moldova Rep n/a 14 14 17 20Russian Federation n/a 1364 1428 1720 2063Tajikistan n/a n/a 105 124 146Turkmenistan n/a n/a 84 99 116Ukraine n/a 2 2 2 3Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 94839 152996 173279 192450 212136



111

APPENDIX 2 - PRODUCTION OUTLOOK

(1995-2010)



112



113

Table A2.1 Production of Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




114

Table A2.1 Production of Roundwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




115





116





117

Table A2.2 Production of Fuelwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




118

Table A2.2 Production of Fuelwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




119





120


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 39753 79329 88389 68187 52827Albania 1608 346 321 287 256Austria 1413 3259 2769 2310 1891Belgium-Luxembourg 332 550 455 391 334Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 309 206 138Bulgaria 824 1710 1649 1286 1003Croatia 0 1154 875 659 554Czech Republic 0 900 712 552 389Denmark 260 485 382 304 183Finland 4099 4101 3158 2576 2077France 9800 9800 8460 6941 5701Germany 0 3795 3194 2533 1997Greece 1939 1519 1238 1027 849Hungary 2479 2066 1779 1312 1029Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 39 60 38 26 18Italy 3880 5481 4653 3935 3242Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 491 393 314Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 85 204 154 148 135Norway 595 470 375 169 161Poland 1761 1767 1230 944 693Portugal 500 500 394 325 266Romania 3430 2285 1955 1440 1065Slovakia 0 628 473 358 274Slovenia 0 235 220 260 300Spain 1269 2338 1922 1598 1301Sweden 4400 3800 3275 2818 2378Switzerland 930 1153 1014 878 719United Kingdom 110 230 179 160 64Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 1071 808 604Armenia n/a n/a 352 228 148Azerbaijan n/a n/a 614 267 117Belarus n/a 809 794 566 403Estonia n/a 1048 795 561 410Georgia n/a n/a 432 223 115Kazakhstan n/a n/a 2054 1373 918Kyrgyzstan n/a 0 466 323 223Latvia n/a 1600 1252 1011 882Lithuania n/a 1736 1320 929 655Moldova Rep n/a n/a 672 465 322Russian Federation n/a 25300 23598 17838 13527Tajikistan n/a n/a 1372 936 638Turkmenistan n/a n/a 604 418 289Ukraine n/a n/a 8268 6219 4675Uzbekistan n/a n/a 3053 2190 1570WORLD 1365277 1736055 1906630 2045027 2210012



121

Table A2.3 Production of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




122

Table A2.3 Production of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




123





124





125

Table A2.4 Production of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




126

Table A2.4 Production of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM).(Continued)

Actual ProjectionCountry 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AMERICA 21239 27084 27368 27873 28500Bahamas 0 0 0 0 0Barbados 0 0 0 0 0Belize 0 0 0 0 0Canada 1789 3326 3198 3088 2981Cayman Islands 0 0 0 0 0Costa Rica 158 232 246 271 299Cuba 350 418 443 481 522Dominica 0 0 0 0 0Dominican Republic 1 3 3 4 4El Salvador 30 56 64 71 79Guatemala 10 42 47 51 56Haiti 15 15 16 18 19Honduras 15 19 21 23 26Jamaica 1 1 1 1 1Martinique 0 0 0 0 0Mexico 236 139 158 177 198Netherlands Antilles 0 0 0 0 0Nicaragua 50 50 56 60 65Panama 60 60 66 73 80Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 2 3 3 4 4United States of America 11469 14765 14259 13857 13466Argentina 611 323 366 410 460Bolivia 29 18 20 22 24Brazil 4596 6031 6614 7270 7992Chile 333 553 663 763 878Colombia 395 408 455 507 566Ecuador 68 107 117 127 138French Guiana 9 9 9 10 10Guyana 10 15 16 18 19Paraguay 339 414 444 480 518Peru 586 2 2 2 3Suriname 24 4 4 4 5Uruguay 27 42 45 48 52Venezuela 26 29 31 34 36



127





128


Actual ProjectionCountry 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 14153 33551 45521 42941 40518Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 799 600 587 572 557Belgium-Luxembourg 310 210 205 199 193Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 88 82 77Bulgaria 675 356 354 340 327Croatia 0 58 55 51 48Czech Republic 0 850 806 761 718Denmark 369 351 341 332 323Finland 1410 325 312 302 292France 859 640 625 606 588Germany 0 1400 1361 1319 1278Greece 210 200 194 188 182Hungary 591 394 382 363 345Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 1300 984 961 932 904Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 12 55 53 51Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 223 105 102 99 96Norway 80 210 201 194 188Poland 3323 966 910 860 813Portugal 100 180 174 168 162Romania 2047 3816 3722 3541 3369Slovakia 0 145 137 130 123Slovenia 0 268 253 237 223Spain 1167 735 710 684 660Sweden 170 500 489 477 465Switzerland 80 70 69 67 65United Kingdom 440 10 10 9 9Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 272 259 247Armenia n/a n/a 327 305 285Azerbaijan n/a n/a 667 584 512Belarus n/a 5286 5270 4994 4733Estonia n/a 196 187 176 165Georgia n/a n/a 484 436 392Kazakhstan n/a n/a 1617 1517 1423Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 429 405 382Latvia n/a 390 373 353 333Lithuania n/a 244 234 221 209Moldova Rep n/a 0 435 410 387Russian Federation n/a 14050 13820 12918 12076Tajikistan n/a n/a 625 588 553Turkmenistan n/a n/a 395 372 351Ukraine n/a n/a 5126 4787 4470Uzbekistan n/a n/a 2164 2053 1947WORLD 193774 156485 186236 200907 218636



129

Table A2.5 Production of Sawnwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




130

Table A2.5 Production of Sawnwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




131





132





133

Table A2.6 Production of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




134

Table A2.6 Production of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection

Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010NORTH/CENTRAL AMERICA 35330 45649 50677 55228 60537Bahamas 0 0 0 0 0Barbados 0 0 0 0 0Belize 0 0 0 0 0Canada 4802 7655 9270 10339 11551Cayman Islands 0 0 0 0 0Costa Rica 68 74 59 43 62Cuba 6 149 161 182 201Dominica 0 0 0 0 0Dominican Republic 0 0 0 0 0El Salvador 0 0 0 0 0Guatemala 9 33 23 31 43Haiti 0 0 0 0 0Honduras 11 15 18 21 23Jamaica 4 0 0 0 0Martinique 0 0 0 0 0Mexico 604 606 887 1175 1272Netherlands Antilles 0 0 0 0 0Nicaragua 14 5 8 9 10Panama 14 21 20 27 35Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 0 0 0 0 0United States of America 26224 32022 34958 37360 40571Argentina 427 752 940 1143 1274Bolivia 24 82 104 143 198Brazil 2482 2552 2540 2959 3320Chile 115 722 705 710 782Colombia 111 177 179 208 234Ecuador 87 285 286 308 336French Guiana 0 0 0 0 0Guyana 0 5 16 9 6Paraguay 69 138 121 124 133Peru 84 64 70 83 97Suriname 23 7 5 5 5Uruguay 16 5 23 36 34Venezuela 136 280 285 315 351



135





136





137

Table A2.7 Production of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




138

Table A2.7 Production of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




139





140





141

Table A2.8 Production of Particle Board (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




142

Table A2.8 Production of Particle Board (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




143





144


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 15437 30800 36960 41987 47263Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 1309 1666 1954 2624 3305Belgium-Luxembourg 1665 2400 3104 4258 4561Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 98 120 147Bulgaria 327 124 124 145 166Croatia 0 65 52 78 117Czech Republic 0 536 673 710 811Denmark 317 328 199 406 589Finland 809 477 397 334 320France 2289 2534 3266 3367 3431Germany 0 8639 10022 11624 13457Greece 288 250 232 174 15Hungary 285 396 352 407 449Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 1500 2202 2229 2341 2463Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 33 54 65Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 75 36 0 161 398Norway 400 372 402 368 381Poland 1087 1334 1586 1829 2089Portugal 364 757 1019 882 808Romania 938 241 193 257 314Slovakia 0 200 227 254 262Slovenia 0 222 165 90 0Spain 1330 1730 2011 2337 2692Sweden 1193 609 427 267 566Switzerland 645 656 1022 1044 1010United Kingdom 616 1803 2032 1822 1491Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 280 314 325Armenia n/a n/a 52 64 80Azerbaijan n/a n/a 104 134 171Belarus n/a 270 264 326 365Estonia n/a 90 68 17 0Georgia n/a n/a 77 91 111Kazakhstan n/a n/a 231 283 339Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 70 84 102Latvia n/a 148 131 109 108Lithuania n/a 75 63 66 75Moldova Rep n/a 0 54 65 78Russian Federation n/a 2640 2744 3245 4114Tajikistan n/a n/a 58 71 86Turkmenistan n/a n/a 49 59 71Ukraine n/a n/a 604 760 929Uzbekistan n/a n/a 294 348 402WORLD 31848 51893 59242 65843 73419



145

Table A2.9 Production of Fibreboard (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




146

Table A2.9 Production of Fibreboard (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




147





148





149

Table A2.10 Production of Woodpulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




150

Table A2.10 Production of Woodpulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




151





152


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 25289 39369 43103 45699 49085Albania 8 16 18 16 14Austria 1161 1480 1458 1288 1354Belgium-Luxembourg 358 378 1092 966 797Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 81 97 118Bulgaria 262 97 114 133 141Croatia 0 34 118 208 194Czech Republic 0 826 837 788 740Denmark 64 146 85 114 157Finland 7037 9962 10819 10040 9829France 1721 2787 3527 4495 5207Germany 0 1934 1687 2256 2819Greece 28 25 38 44 61Hungary 97 5 11 27 31Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 19 0 17 13 8Italy 655 426 0 0 0Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 24 27 32Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 201 119 274 404 618Norway 1373 2215 2464 2275 1969Poland 637 769 881 942 935Portugal 645 1539 1599 1519 1484Romania 666 217 205 238 266Slovakia 0 185 212 195 166Slovenia 0 83 54 64 95Spain 1209 1421 1748 2388 3188Sweden 8577 10097 10152 11054 11728Switzerland 285 280 137 247 339United Kingdom 286 626 1030 1387 1874Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 164 111 114Armenia n/a n/a 76 90 108Azerbaijan n/a n/a 177 245 343Belarus n/a n/a 164 188 217Estonia n/a 42 46 42 41Georgia n/a n/a 130 170 220Kazakhstan n/a n/a 330 383 426Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 100 115 133Latvia n/a 2 20 36 56Lithuania n/a 7 17 17 21Moldova Rep n/a n/a 1 1 1Russian Federation n/a 3651 3013 2842 2926Tajikistan n/a n/a 84 98 113Turkmenistan n/a n/a 70 80 93Ukraine n/a n/a 24 50 102Uzbekistan n/a n/a 6 6 7WORLD 117208 151822 158277 163952 171470



153

Table A2.11 Production of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




154

Table A2.11 Production of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




155





156





157

Table A2.12 Production of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




158

Table A2.12 Production of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




159





160





161

Table A2.13 Production of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




162

Table A2.13 Production of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




163





164


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 644 223 361 426 490Albania 0 0 0 1 1Austria 0 1 0 2 0Belgium-Luxembourg 0 0 3 6 10Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 2 2 2Bulgaria 20 10 11 14 16Croatia 0 0 0 0 0Czech Republic 0 0 0 0 0Denmark 45 34 42 57 69Finland 0 0 3 2 0France 15 1 0 1 7Germany 0 0 0 3 0Greece 38 2 7 8 7Hungary 15 7 4 6 8Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 285 130 161 187 210Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 1 1 1Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 6 3 1 2 0Norway 0 0 0 0 0Poland 6 1 0 0 0Portugal 33 13 14 12 13Romania 46 4 5 6 8Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0Spain 120 11 6 5 3Sweden 0 0 0 0 0Switzerland 0 0 6 3 0United Kingdom 15 0 0 0 0Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 26 32 38Armenia n/a n/a 4 5 6Azerbaijan n/a n/a 9 13 19Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a n/a 0 0 0Georgia n/a n/a 7 9 12Kazakhstan n/a n/a 17 21 24Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 5 6 7Latvia n/a 6 3 5 9Lithuania n/a n/a 0 0 0Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a n/a 15 8 9Tajikistan n/a n/a 5 5 6Turkmenistan n/a n/a 4 4 5Ukraine n/a n/a 1 1 2Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 7199 20652 26839 32209 36539



165

Table A2.14 Production of Waste Paper (thousand MT).Actual Projection




166

Table A2.14 Production of Waste Paper (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




167





168


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 11233 30409 36453 43946 52807Albania 0 0 16 18 20Austria 263 902 814 946 1073Belgium-Luxembourg 390 686 962 1187 1375Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 50 66 87Bulgaria 128 128 90 110 131Croatia 0 52 96 124 155Czech Republic 0 0 77 124 214Denmark 205 466 429 485 644Finland 244 472 843 968 1158France 1927 2970 4643 5518 6759Germany 0 9690 9275 10944 12958Greece 103 175 591 690 797Hungary 224 250 220 303 375Iceland 0 0 7 8 9Ireland 40 170 80 80 69Italy 1551 3310 4386 5150 6023Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 21 26 32Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 982 2202 1677 1928 2250Norway 116 178 303 389 442Poland 481 169 300 422 561Portugal 168 270 353 411 500Romania 183 83 107 138 172Slovakia 0 81 116 134 153Slovenia 0 62 265 345 437Spain 974 1736 2542 3169 3776Sweden 575 920 987 975 1210Switzerland 376 754 737 860 1005United Kingdom 2303 3675 4837 6429 7860Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 133 162 202Armenia n/a n/a 29 39 52Azerbaijan n/a n/a 66 104 165Belarus n/a n/a 6 12 21Estonia n/a n/a 19 24 33Georgia n/a n/a 49 73 106Kazakhstan n/a n/a 125 165 205Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 37 49 64Latvia n/a 25 23 36 61Lithuania n/a 23 15 17 23Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 1 1Russian Federation n/a 960 1062 1226 1508Tajikistan n/a n/a 33 43 56Turkmenistan n/a n/a 27 35 45Ukraine n/a n/a 6 11 18Uzbekistan n/a n/a 2 3 4WORLD 45891 98899 120267 146951 176138



169

Table A2.15 Production of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT).Actual Projection




170

Table A2.15 Production of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT).(Continued)

Actual ProjectionCountry 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010AMERICA 77958 111207 124841 135288 147064Bahamas 0 0 0 0 0Barbados 0 0 0 0 0Belize 0 0 0 0 0Canada 13390 18358 20618 21569 23228Cayman Islands 0 0 0 0 0Costa Rica 12 20 122 199 301Cuba 72 57 44 54 59Dominica 0 0 0 0 0Dominican Republic 9 7 0 0 0El Salvador 16 17 28 53 69Guatemala 32 14 77 121 148Haiti 0 0 0 0 0Honduras 0 0 0 0 0Jamaica 10 3 28 39 51Martinique 0 0 0 0 0Mexico 1979 2517 3609 4338 5094Netherlands Antilles 0 0 0 0 0Nicaragua 0 0 0 0 0Panama 20 28 94 134 158Saint Vincent 0 0 0 0 0Trinidad and Tobago 0 0 0 0 0United States of America 56839 81088 89964 97026 104926Argentina 713 931 890 1006 947Bolivia 1 0 0 0 0Brazil 3361 5730 6371 7132 7714Chile 356 553 611 732 910Colombia 351 672 843 1023 1194Ecuador 26 160 249 358 460French Guiana 0 0 0 0 0Guyana 0 0 0 0 0Paraguay 13 13 3 0 0Peru 205 327 401 480 568Suriname 0 0 0 0 0Uruguay 52 83 120 151 191Venezuela 501 629 769 876 1047



171





172


Actual ProjectionCountry 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 39001 79783 91194 101543 114073Albania 8 44 46 48 51Austria 1616 3603 3152 3097 3402Belgium-Luxembourg 864 1088 1895 1676 1447Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 133 165 207Bulgaria 395 153 169 199 226Croatia 0 129 147 184 218Czech Republic 0 735 830 819 799Denmark 225 345 474 625 873Finland 5919 10909 11958 11969 12495France 5152 8481 10750 12271 14001Germany 0 14457 14741 16986 19701Greece 307 750 957 1107 1260Hungary 440 328 277 373 457Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 55 36 73 51 28Italy 4934 6704 8394 9450 10608Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 50 55 65Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 1701 3011 3121 4033 4717Norway 1373 2148 2690 2693 2467Poland 1277 1343 1762 2105 2515Portugal 463 949 1097 1172 1322Romania 822 288 328 381 433Slovakia 0 269 333 336 321Slovenia 0 460 652 822 1013Spain 2566 3503 4515 5408 6146Sweden 6182 9283 8076 7535 7790Switzerland 914 1332 1205 1354 1634United Kingdom 3788 5829 7825 10331 12405Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 376 432 505Armenia n/a n/a 108 133 165Azerbaijan n/a n/a 250 359 523Belarus n/a 131 170 200 239Estonia n/a 42 53 60 68Georgia n/a n/a 184 249 336Kazakhstan n/a n/a 469 563 649Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 141 169 203Latvia n/a 4 36 68 113Lithuania n/a 22 29 32 42Moldova Rep n/a n/a 2 2 2Russian Federation n/a 3407 3480 3724 4252Tajikistan n/a n/a 121 145 174Turkmenistan n/a n/a 99 119 142Ukraine n/a n/a 21 36 53Uzbekistan n/a n/a 8 10 11WORLD 159160 269380 311206 350957 393952



173

Table A2.16 Production of Newsprint (thousand MT).Actual Projection




174

Table A2.16 Production of Newsprint (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




175





176


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 5563 10720 11137 11882 12799Albania 0 8 8 9 9Austria 176 403 411 469 509Belgium-Luxembourg 102 122 161 174 200Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 13 17 21Bulgaria 0 0 0 0 0Croatia 0 0 0 0 0Czech Republic 0 85 84 67 64Denmark 0 0 0 0 0Finland 1569 1446 1471 1240 861France 261 844 1195 1287 1547Germany 0 1499 1096 1295 1600Greece 9 9 36 38 33Hungary 0 0 0 0 0Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 277 154 195 227 270Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 5 7 8Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 171 311 240 414 471Norway 589 1007 1252 1307 1198Poland 91 68 97 97 103Portugal 0 0 0 0 0Romania 103 57 67 89 95Slovakia 0 20 20 8 0Slovenia 0 76 88 110 135Spain 108 99 172 198 236Sweden 1534 2415 1878 1936 2207Switzerland 210 288 331 354 391United Kingdom 363 769 1102 1350 1661Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 40 45 54Armenia n/a n/a 2 2 2Azerbaijan n/a n/a 4 6 9Belarus n/a n/a 3 4 5Estonia n/a n/a 0 0 0Georgia n/a n/a 3 4 5Kazakhstan n/a n/a 7 8 10Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 2 2 3Latvia n/a 2 13 22 28Lithuania n/a n/a 0 0 0Moldova Rep n/a n/a 2 2 2Russian Federation n/a 1038 1110 1047 991Tajikistan n/a n/a 2 2 2Turkmenistan n/a n/a 1 2 2Ukraine n/a n/a 21 36 53Uzbekistan n/a n/a 8 10 11WORLD 24586 33844 40728 46405 53078



177

Table A2.17 Production of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT).Actual Projection




178

Table A2.17 Production of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




179





180





181

Table A2.18 Production of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT).Actual Projection




182

Table A2.18 Production of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




183





184





185

APPENDIX 3 - IMPORTS OUTLOOK

(1995-2010)



186



187

Table A3.1 Import of Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




188

Table A3.1 Import of Roundwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




189





190


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 35430 50554 49969 48379 46607Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 4031 8146 6369 4933 3062Belgium-Luxembourg 3550 4087 6494 8141 9237Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 322 3 1 0 0Croatia 0 23 18 7 3Czech Republic 0 226 113 56 28Denmark 150 604 969 1581 2657Finland 4100 7563 6401 3780 2253France 3171 2916 3529 3915 2497Germany 0 2633 1989 2591 2323Greece 364 39 72 153 120Hungary 1588 168 105 49 23Iceland 19 10 4 3 2Ireland 28 76 44 19 9Italy 6542 7519 7873 8409 8657Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 2 1 0 0Malta 1 9 3 1 1Netherlands 1133 852 1348 2193 3633Norway 1470 3414 3142 2322 1415Poland 222 6 5 2 1Portugal 362 1113 1072 668 397Romania 583 27 14 5 2Slovakia 0 2 1 0 0Slovenia 0 352 274 482 539Spain 1627 1354 1731 2695 3990Sweden 4546 7524 6355 3768 2280Switzerland 1166 1144 1364 1673 2232United Kingdom 455 595 608 892 1226Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a 2 1 0 0Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 7 3 1 0Lithuania n/a 2 0 0 0Moldova Rep n/a 2 1 0 0Russian Federation n/a 131 62 38 18Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 3 4 3 4Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 114528 127523 128964 130581 131922



191

Table A3.2 Import of Fuelwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




192

Table A3.2 Import of Fuelwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




193





194


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 1674 2462 2381 2176 2285Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 68 295 313 306 330Belgium-Luxembourg 85 136 141 124 134Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 0 0 0 0 0Croatia 0 1 1 1 1Czech Republic 0 0 0 0 0Denmark 26 80 86 93 150Finland 102 45 49 29 38France 218 127 137 148 130Germany 0 460 406 438 487Greece 3 12 11 11 15Hungary 25 0 0 0 0Iceland 0 3 2 2 2Ireland 0 1 1 1 1Italy 576 363 391 231 199Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 1 1 1 0Netherlands 65 90 97 86 92Norway 100 344 251 331 239Poland 0 1 1 1 1Portugal 0 7 8 5 6Romania 0 0 0 0 0Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 10 7 12 15Spain 205 122 108 80 80Sweden 35 95 102 76 100Switzerland 70 64 84 61 80United Kingdom 96 202 181 138 182Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia 0 n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan 0 n/a 0 0 0Belarus 0 n/a 0 0 0Estonia 0 n/a 0 0 0Georgia 0 n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Latvia 0 n/a 0 0 0Lithuania 0 n/a 0 0 0Moldova Rep 0 n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation 0 n/a 0 0 0Tajikistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Ukraine 0 3 4 3 4Uzbekistan 0 n/a 0 0 0WORLD 2746 4941 4954 4903 4977



195

Table A3.3 Import of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




196

Table A3.3 Import of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




197





198


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 33756 48092 47589 46203 44322Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 3963 7851 6057 4627 2732Belgium-Luxembourg 3465 3951 6353 8017 9104Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 322 3 1 0 0Croatia 0 22 17 6 2Czech Republic 0 226 113 56 28Denmark 124 524 883 1488 2507Finland 3998 7518 6352 3751 2215France 2953 2789 3393 3768 2367Germany 0 2173 1583 2153 1836Greece 361 27 62 141 105Hungary 1563 168 105 49 23Iceland 19 7 2 1 0Ireland 28 75 43 18 8Italy 5966 7156 7482 8178 8458Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 2 1 0 0Malta 1 8 2 1 0Netherlands 1068 762 1251 2108 3541Norway 1370 3070 2891 1991 1176Poland 222 5 3 1 0Portugal 362 1106 1064 662 391Romania 583 27 14 5 2Slovakia 0 2 1 0 0Slovenia 0 342 267 470 524Spain 1422 1232 1623 2615 3911Sweden 4511 7429 6252 3692 2180Switzerland 1096 1080 1280 1612 2152United Kingdom 359 393 428 754 1043Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a 2 1 0 0Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 7 3 1 0Lithuania n/a 2 0 0 0Moldova Rep n/a 2 1 0 0Russian Federation n/a 131 62 38 18Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a n/a 0 0 0Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 111782 122582 124010 125678 126944



199

Table A3.4 Import of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




200

Table A3.4 Import of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




201





202


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 2394 0 0 0 0Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 1094 0 0 0 0Belgium-Luxembourg 12 0 0 0 0Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 40 0 0 0 0Croatia 0 0 0 0 0Czech Republic 0 0 0 0 0Denmark 10 0 0 0 0Finland 2 0 0 0 0France 52 0 0 0 0Germany 0 0 0 0 0Greece 14 0 0 0 0Hungary 607 0 0 0 0Iceland 19 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 96 0 0 0 0Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 220 0 0 0 0Norway 13 0 0 0 0Poland 0 0 0 0 0Portugal 13 0 0 0 0Romania 0 0 0 0 0Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0Spain 1 0 0 0 0Sweden 5 0 0 0 0Switzerland 0 0 0 0 0United Kingdom 196 0 0 0 0Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia 0 0 0 0 0Azerbaijan 0 0 0 0 0Belarus 0 0 0 0 0Estonia 0 0 0 0 0Georgia 0 0 0 0 0Kazakhstan 0 0 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0Latvia 0 0 0 0 0Lithuania 0 0 0 0 0Moldova Rep 0 0 0 0 0Russian Federation 0 0 0 0 0Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0Turkmenistan 0 0 0 0 0Ukraine 0 0 0 0 0Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0WORLD 4273 0 0 0 0



203

Table A3.5 Import of Sawnwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




204

Table A3.5 Import of Sawnwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




205





206


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 27412 37689 38734 40109 41533Albania 0 15 17 26 38Austria 583 990 1067 1627 1522Belgium-Luxembourg 1604 1886 2085 1947 1213Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 169 1 1 4 16Croatia 0 77 85 129 142Czech Republic 0 50 39 15 9Denmark 1317 2326 1728 1402 952Finland 32 216 182 91 76France 3429 2064 2260 2783 3468Germany 0 5769 6649 7554 9532Greece 545 395 258 136 76Hungary 849 824 900 1371 1631Iceland 77 71 73 78 93Ireland 466 405 433 565 799Italy 5774 6566 6672 6655 6858Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 30 33 76 116Malta 27 22 23 24 25Netherlands 3179 3745 3480 3306 3121Norway 424 778 843 899 589Poland 188 8 9 24 65Portugal 18 130 138 65 54Romania 3 2 2 8 26Slovakia 0 3 10 30 96Slovenia 0 114 62 37 56Spain 1218 1560 1785 2069 2114Sweden 334 243 254 293 339Switzerland 544 551 308 194 108United Kingdom 6632 8687 9172 8385 7774Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 2 7 24 81Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a 9 3 3 5Estonia n/a 30 33 76 174Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a 3 10 30 96Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 5 6 16 47Lithuania n/a 8 9 24 65Moldova Rep n/a 47 21 21 24Russian Federation n/a 50 78 121 133Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 1 0 0 0Uzbekistan n/a 6 4 1 2WORLD 70495 104597 104729 105216 106223



207

Table A3.6 Import of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




208

Table A3.6 Import of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




209





210


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 7429 14010 13443 13090 12964Albania 0 2 2 2 2Austria 67 313 181 85 45Belgium-Luxembourg 427 699 497 321 164Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 6 8 7 2 1Croatia 0 29 52 39 18Czech Republic 0 66 35 23 18Denmark 355 576 797 577 399Finland 20 82 76 119 131France 993 1209 1147 829 615Germany 0 3251 2362 1600 1213Greece 11 128 222 306 502Hungary 94 46 89 63 59Iceland 28 24 25 27 29Ireland 43 119 166 191 168Italy 791 971 1131 1361 1488Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 13 24 10 3Malta 6 36 42 47 52Netherlands 1216 1593 1671 1512 1240Norway 168 155 103 89 67Poland 379 62 83 147 340Portugal 1 114 79 77 88Romania 1 50 102 116 92Slovakia 0 7 11 34 92Slovenia 0 84 142 260 384Spain 10 524 413 266 171Sweden 167 444 584 826 544Switzerland 201 473 308 227 134United Kingdom 2445 2797 2935 3580 4360Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 3 11 39 139Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a 85 68 131 154Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a 1 4 15 57Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 2 2 1 0Lithuania n/a 2 1 4 5Moldova Rep n/a 11 7 2 1Russian Federation n/a 31 65 162 192Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a n/a 0 0 0Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 13156 37583 37547 37985 38119

.



211

Table A3.7 Import of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




212

Table A3.7 Import of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




213





214


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 2982 5242 4748 4358 4218Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 34 121 57 27 17Belgium-Luxembourg 241 304 197 107 57Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 6 5 1 0 0Croatia 0 10 11 3 1Czech Republic 0 21 11 4 2Denmark 160 189 176 182 168Finland 17 24 8 6 2France 482 392 663 536 458Germany 0 1161 713 448 294Greece 3 6 17 5 1Hungary 28 19 21 7 4Iceland 6 4 2 2 2Ireland 35 80 98 116 139Italy 207 396 445 541 562Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 6 8 9 10 12Netherlands 555 589 551 548 532Norway 81 88 60 40 19Poland 50 32 34 26 41Portugal 1 15 7 4 2Romania 1 10 5 1 0Slovakia 0 3 4 11 24Slovenia 0 18 6 2 1Spain 6 71 30 17 7Sweden 126 157 91 53 27Switzerland 88 149 93 69 33United Kingdom 849 1289 1391 1512 1648Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 2 7 24 81Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a 58 25 33 21Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a 1 4 15 57Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a n/a 0 0 0Lithuania n/a 2 1 4 5Moldova Rep n/a 11 7 2 1Russian Federation n/a 7 3 1 1Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a n/a 0 0 0Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 7033 20536 20164 20301 20330



215

Table A3.8 Import of Particle Board (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




216

Table A3.8 Import of Particle Board (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




217





218


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 3393 6453 6089 5983 6157Albania 0 2 2 2 2Austria 27 164 102 48 23Belgium-Luxembourg 111 195 126 63 31Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 0 3 6 2 1Croatia 0 13 34 24 8Czech Republic 0 35 13 7 3Denmark 135 316 479 322 200Finland 2 12 31 81 110France 386 708 395 221 125Germany 0 1687 1243 809 508Greece 2 28 64 147 335Hungary 51 15 37 18 20Iceland 21 15 18 19 21Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 483 346 442 564 719Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 12 20 6 2Malta 0 12 14 16 18Netherlands 529 755 818 691 518Norway 79 48 23 9 4Poland 169 20 33 78 185Portugal 0 55 23 10 4Romania 0 25 60 23 8Slovakia 0 4 7 22 68Slovenia 0 41 90 197 341Spain 3 328 280 184 134Sweden 31 186 343 526 273Switzerland 84 214 107 53 27United Kingdom 1280 1167 1188 1622 2246Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 1 4 15 57Armenia 0 n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan 0 n/a 0 0 0Belarus 0 n/a 0 0 0Estonia 0 27 43 98 133Georgia 0 n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Latvia 0 2 2 1 0Lithuania 0 n/a 0 0 0Moldova Rep 0 n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation 0 17 42 105 35Tajikistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Ukraine 0 n/a 0 0 0Uzbekistan 0 n/a 0 0 0WORLD 4446 11895 12252 12539 12847



219

Table A3.9 Import of Fibreboard (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




220

Table A3.9 Import of Fibreboard (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




221





222


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 1054 2315 2607 2750 2589Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 6 28 22 10 5Belgium-Luxembourg 75 200 174 152 76Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 0 0 0 0 0Croatia 0 6 7 11 10Czech Republic 0 10 11 12 14Denmark 60 71 142 74 31Finland 1 46 36 32 18France 125 109 89 72 32Germany 0 403 406 343 411Greece 6 94 141 154 165Hungary 15 12 31 38 35Iceland 1 5 6 6 7Ireland 8 39 68 75 30Italy 101 229 245 256 207Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 1 4 4 1Malta 0 16 18 20 23Netherlands 132 249 301 272 190Norway 8 19 21 40 44Poland 160 10 17 44 114Portugal 0 44 49 64 82Romania 0 15 37 91 83Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 25 45 61 42Spain 1 125 103 64 30Sweden 10 101 150 248 244Switzerland 29 110 108 105 75United Kingdom 316 341 356 446 466Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia 0 n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan 0 n/a 0 0 0Belarus 0 n/a 0 0 0Estonia 0 n/a 0 0 0Georgia 0 n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Latvia 0 n/a 0 0 0Lithuania 0 n/a 0 0 0Moldova Rep 0 n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation 0 7 20 56 156Tajikistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Ukraine 0 n/a 0 0 0Uzbekistan 0 n/a 0 0 0WORLD 1677 5152 5131 5144 4942



223

Table A3.10 Import of Woodpulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




224

Table A3. 10 Import of Woodpulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




225





226


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 8079 14111 13182 12349 11583Albania 0 4 3 4 6Austria 175 552 330 192 112Belgium-Luxembourg 389 557 332 194 113Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 140 2 0 0 0Croatia 0 17 12 5 2Czech Republic 0 106 74 45 25Denmark 96 63 107 99 101Finland 8 82 50 24 12France 1688 2080 1883 1191 696Germany 0 3704 3592 3426 3374Greece 74 84 84 78 48Hungary 197 26 13 5 6Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 33 10 5 2 1Italy 1756 2744 2860 3016 3160Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 6 4 1 0Malta 0 1 0 0 0Netherlands 615 844 656 642 500Norway 353 92 52 27 14Poland 229 93 154 225 387Portugal 39 73 40 21 11Romania 96 24 15 6 2Slovakia 0 1 1 1 2Slovenia 0 140 124 129 110Spain 281 405 239 141 83Sweden 46 219 131 77 45Switzerland 288 411 419 297 288United Kingdom 1576 1738 1933 2367 2327Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 33 68 136 158Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a n/a 0 0 0Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a n/a 0 0 0Lithuania n/a n/a 0 0 0Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a n/a 0 0 0Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a n/a 0 0 0Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 16315 29741 29075 28357 27812



227

Table A3.11 Import of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




228

Table A3. 11 Import of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




229





230





231

Table A3.12 Import of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




232

Table A3. 12 Import of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




233

Table A3. 12 Import of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




234

Table A3. 12Import of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




235

Table A3.13 Import of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




236

Table A3.13 Import of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




237





238





239

Table A3.14 Import of Waste Paper (thousand MT).Actual Projection




240

Table A3.14 Import of Waste Paper (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




241





242





243

Table A3.15 Import of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT).Actual Projection




244

Table A3.15 Import of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




245





246


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 11970 35153 35073 35970 37172Albania 6 0 0 0 0Austria 215 701 928 850 763Belgium-Luxembourg 975 2251 1763 2081 2428Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 127 47 41 50 65Croatia 0 94 120 145 176Czech Republic 0 216 245 343 490Denmark 625 821 830 864 750Finland 53 212 210 313 395France 2109 4482 3470 3780 3757Germany 0 7593 9225 10017 10210Greece 161 405 337 309 291Hungary 314 201 282 290 348Iceland 19 32 37 41 45Ireland 222 382 472 618 818Italy 861 3495 3056 2700 2585Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 24 21 26 27Malta 22 33 40 47 54Netherlands 1435 2366 2712 2519 2740Norway 165 358 350 389 557Poland 186 272 273 267 286Portugal 76 447 392 420 406Romania 50 55 52 57 67Slovakia 0 34 35 62 110Slovenia 0 139 176 148 151Spain 294 2373 2044 2100 2374Sweden 182 441 702 963 1038Switzerland 362 1067 1194 1325 1196United Kingdom 3511 6433 5885 4996 4709Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 4 5 14 18Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a 16 15 25 38Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a 1 2 8 30Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 70 54 53 68Lithuania n/a 9 11 14 17Moldova Rep n/a 22 28 33 45Russian Federation n/a 41 46 84 88Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 11 14 15 23Uzbekistan n/a 5 6 7 9WORLD 29494 69747 70229 70846 72389



247

Table A3.16 Import of Newsprint (thousand MT).Actual Projection




248

Table A3.16 Import of Newsprint (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




249





250


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 2512 5796 6153 6466 6783Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 2 69 96 84 97Belgium-Luxembourg 126 193 161 160 167Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 46 7 7 8 9Croatia 0 18 22 27 34Czech Republic 0 22 24 37 41Denmark 153 238 264 289 317Finland 0 17 19 29 32France 371 488 347 432 456Germany 0 1293 1760 1814 1831Greece 40 60 41 47 61Hungary 63 25 28 33 39Iceland 4 6 7 8 8Ireland 61 71 92 113 140Italy 64 471 480 516 550Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 3 1 0 0Malta 1 5 6 7 8Netherlands 332 432 517 463 496Norway 0 20 16 9 10Poland 36 20 16 24 35Portugal 41 62 70 79 88Romania 12 3 2 1 1Slovakia 0 8 13 33 50Slovenia 0 6 4 5 2Spain 58 380 367 411 454Sweden 0 39 45 47 49Switzerland 25 116 101 106 116United Kingdom 1077 1696 1625 1663 1669Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a 5 6 7 9Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 17 9 5 4Lithuania n/a 6 7 9 11Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a n/a 0 0 0Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a n/a 0 0 0Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 11657 16979 16977 17039 17202



251

Table A3.17 Import of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT).Actual Projection




252

Table A3.17 Import of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




253





254


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 2973 14164 14451 15722 16395Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 57 339 447 487 404Belgium-Luxembourg 338 1084 1006 1326 1655Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 13 26 26 39 51Croatia 0 35 50 69 90Czech Republic 0 127 164 221 300Denmark 136 133 123 103 77Finland 4 31 46 51 56France 597 2095 1642 2129 2322Germany 0 3218 4088 4952 4970Greece 43 157 156 126 121Hungary 44 79 97 61 46Iceland 3 9 11 12 14Ireland 22 130 198 265 368Italy 148 1224 924 844 784Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 12 15 24 26Malta 2 20 25 30 35Netherlands 394 759 865 685 543Norway 53 156 138 121 131Poland 28 86 78 85 93Portugal 4 121 131 177 192Romania 0 15 20 30 47Slovakia 0 15 16 24 53Slovenia 0 32 35 35 21Spain 82 1010 975 934 1030Sweden 33 131 221 341 369Switzerland 157 397 428 564 523United Kingdom 815 2653 2451 1877 1918Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 1 2 8 16Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a 7 8 17 28Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 25 32 42 61Lithuania n/a 2 3 6 7Moldova Rep n/a 5 5 7 9Russian Federation n/a 19 12 13 11Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 6 9 11 17Uzbekistan n/a 5 6 7 9WORLD 5651 23383 24076 25531 26573



255

Table A3.18 Import of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT).Actual Projection




256

Table A3.18 Import of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




257





258


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 6485 15193 14469 13782 13995Albania 6 0 0 0 0Austria 156 293 386 279 263Belgium-Luxembourg 511 974 596 595 606Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 68 14 8 3 5Croatia 0 41 48 48 53Czech Republic 0 67 57 85 149Denmark 336 450 443 472 357Finland 49 164 145 233 307France 1141 1899 1482 1219 980Germany 0 3082 3377 3251 3410Greece 78 188 139 135 108Hungary 207 97 157 196 263Iceland 12 17 19 21 22Ireland 139 181 183 241 311Italy 649 1800 1653 1339 1251Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 9 5 2 1Malta 19 8 9 10 11Netherlands 709 1175 1330 1371 1700Norway 112 182 196 259 416Poland 122 166 179 158 158Portugal 31 264 191 165 126Romania 38 37 31 25 19Slovakia 0 11 6 5 7Slovenia 0 101 137 109 128Spain 154 983 702 755 889Sweden 149 271 436 575 620Switzerland 180 554 665 656 557United Kingdom 1619 2084 1810 1456 1122Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 3 3 6 3Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a 4 1 1 1Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a 1 2 8 30Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 28 12 6 3Lithuania n/a 1 0 0 0Moldova Rep n/a 17 23 26 37Russian Federation n/a 22 34 70 77Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 5 5 5 5Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 12186 29385 29177 28276 28614



259

APPENDIX 4 - EXPORTS OUTLOOK

(1995-2010)



260



261

Table A4.1 Export of Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




262

Table A4.1 Export of Roundwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




263





264


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 15773 46771 42598 40587 37512Albania 0 1 1 1 4Austria 951 2179 1572 930 551Belgium-Luxembourg 841 1689 1105 687 461Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 14 26 43 82 157Croatia 0 256 306 476 809Czech Republic 0 2346 1516 1237 753Denmark 521 389 196 101 52Finland 2067 1700 1004 725 429France 3414 3272 2148 1351 845Germany 0 7121 5320 3184 1952Greece 0 58 22 9 5Hungary 778 662 898 1312 1683Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 188 424 587 1032 1817Italy 8 15 9 6 5Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 62 7 19 51Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 673 841 496 318 231Norway 1206 540 302 207 116Poland 1284 1012 932 738 468Portugal 759 714 481 296 165Romania 294 38 35 42 61Slovakia 0 376 408 668 1115Slovenia 0 231 234 256 294Spain 389 283 235 213 200Sweden 1310 1271 757 556 338Switzerland 922 1238 917 585 385United Kingdom 154 59 39 20 10Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 52 26 28 24Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a 2 1 1 0Belarus n/a 176 255 490 943Estonia n/a 1564 2098 3369 4665Georgia n/a 1 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a 1 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 2679 3583 4704 5597Lithuania n/a 874 1117 1698 2159Moldova Rep n/a 1 2 3 4Russian Federation n/a 14616 15943 15236 11130Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 2 3 9 32Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 109054 118847 120229 218838 123172



265

Table A4.2 Export of Fuelwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




266

Table A4.2 Export of Fuelwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




267





268


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 747 1967 2130 2352 2597Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 33 6 4 4 4Belgium-Luxembourg 5 66 71 77 101Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 6 8 7 9 10Croatia 0 114 150 176 232Czech Republic 0 137 169 173 125Denmark 14 5 4 6 4Finland 4 1 1 1 1France 141 443 478 364 263Germany 0 74 98 100 131Greece 0 1 1 1 2Hungary 62 166 228 183 208Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 2 3 2 2Italy 4 3 3 4 5Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 58 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 42 50 54 71 94Norway 3 1 1 1 1Poland 0 166 132 174 153Portugal 56 20 14 16 17Romania 114 37 33 35 38Slovakia 0 70 76 81 81Slovenia 0 102 128 205 271Spain 244 97 128 168 182Sweden 15 14 15 20 21Switzerland 3 51 60 79 87United Kingdom 1 6 8 7 5Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 33 20 26 23Armenia 0 n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan 0 n/a 0 0 0Belarus 0 1 1 1 1Estonia 0 27 36 47 62Georgia 0 n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Latvia 0 135 146 234 337Lithuania 0 2 3 4 6Moldova Rep 0 n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation 0 70 62 81 131Tajikistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Ukraine 0 1 1 1 2Uzbekistan 0 n/a 0 0 0WORLD 2380 5435 5383 5325 5391



269

Table A4.3 Export of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




270

Table A4.3 Export of Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




271





272


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 15026 44804 40468 38234 34915Albania 0 1 1 1 4Austria 918 2173 1568 926 547Belgium-Luxembourg 836 1623 1033 610 360Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 8 18 36 73 147Croatia 0 142 156 300 577Czech Republic 0 2209 1347 1064 629Denmark 507 384 191 95 48Finland 2063 1699 1003 724 428France 3273 2829 1671 986 583Germany 0 7047 5223 3084 1821Greece 0 57 21 8 3Hungary 716 496 670 1129 1475Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 188 422 584 1030 1815Italy 4 12 6 2 1Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 4 7 19 51Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 631 791 442 247 138Norway 1203 539 301 206 115Poland 1284 846 801 565 315Portugal 703 694 466 281 148Romania 180 1 2 7 23Slovakia 0 306 333 587 1034Slovenia 0 129 107 50 24Spain 145 186 107 45 19Sweden 1295 1257 742 536 316Switzerland 919 1187 857 506 299United Kingdom 153 53 31 13 5Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 19 7 2 1Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a 2 1 1 0Belarus n/a 175 254 489 942Estonia n/a 1537 2063 3322 4603Georgia n/a 1 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a 1 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 2544 3438 4470 5261Lithuania n/a 872 1114 1693 2153Moldova Rep n/a 1 2 3 4Russian Federation n/a 14546 15882 15154 10999Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 1 2 8 30Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 106674 113412 114846 116513 117781



273

Table A4.4 Export of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




274

Table A4.4 Export of Other Industrial Roundwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




275





276


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 1008 0 0 0 0Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 217 0 0 0 0Belgium-Luxembourg 107 0 0 0 0Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 1 0 0 0 0Croatia 0 0 0 0 0Czech Republic 0 0 0 0 0Denmark 8 0 0 0 0Finland 285 0 0 0 0France 41 0 0 0 0Germany 0 0 0 0 0Greece 0 0 0 0 0Hungary 2 0 0 0 0Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 0 0 0 0 0Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 117 0 0 0 0Norway 5 0 0 0 0Poland 96 0 0 0 0Portugal 32 0 0 0 0Romania 16 0 0 0 0Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0Spain 8 0 0 0 0Sweden 56 0 0 0 0Switzerland 0 0 0 0 0United Kingdom 17 0 0 0 0Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia n/a 0 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a 0 0 0 0Belarus n/a 0 0 0 0Estonia n/a 0 0 0 0Georgia n/a 0 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a 0 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a 0 0 0 0Latvia n/a 0 0 0 0Lithuania n/a 0 0 0 0Moldova Rep n/a 0 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a 0 0 0 0Tajikistan n/a 0 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a 0 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 0 0 0 0Uzbekistan n/a 0 0 0 0WORLD 3789 0 0 0 0



277

Table A4.5 Export of Sawnwood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




278

Table A4.5 Export of Sawnwood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




279





280


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 22380 41075 41152 41503 42297Albania 0 9 6 15 26Austria 4384 4557 4217 4636 3303Belgium-Luxembourg 229 635 688 1126 1393Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 1 0 0 0Bulgaria 55 36 42 17 7Croatia 0 594 716 631 605Czech Republic 0 1254 1352 1976 3134Denmark 210 100 149 163 277Finland 6939 7209 6979 8491 9875France 788 1065 769 829 678Germany 0 1807 2331 3071 3407Greece 4 8 14 37 65Hungary 74 166 224 322 353Iceland 0 1 1 4 16Ireland 21 248 340 382 312Italy 82 109 120 241 265Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 67 71 71 60Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 212 411 477 552 640Norway 429 778 531 634 936Poland 713 1140 1006 594 351Portugal 900 568 615 1003 1460Romania 1003 693 678 529 336Slovakia 0 153 72 34 16Slovenia 0 383 461 683 886Spain 221 64 37 30 24Sweden 5915 10659 11033 8852 7367Switzerland 150 150 289 556 1071United Kingdom 51 93 102 112 165Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a 5 1 0 0Belarus n/a 121 233 313 314Estonia n/a 346 290 153 81Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 1145 862 509 301Lithuania n/a 270 265 132 66Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a 6200 6137 4697 4262Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 30 48 109 250Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 76557 107536 107672 108161 109164



281

Table A4.6 Export of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




282

Table A4.6 Export of Wood-Based Panels (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




283





284


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 6879 13794 14627 15431 15913Albania 2 0 0 0 0Austria 762 1132 1349 1960 2647Belgium-Luxembourg 1361 2088 2607 3602 3749Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 86 18 22 15 7Croatia 0 30 11 10 4Czech Republic 0 233 315 263 261Denmark 98 126 63 68 65Finland 1041 970 1189 1500 1900France 708 1532 1643 1360 1222Germany 0 1914 2078 2114 2253Greece 29 32 11 8 7Hungary 31 152 63 38 19Iceland 0 3 1 0 0Ireland 1 119 65 52 70Italy 164 679 639 582 383Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 6 4 3 2Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 135 312 218 156 74Norway 125 205 171 86 59Poland 246 220 124 58 27Portugal 171 738 876 606 409Romania 443 159 95 62 43Slovakia 0 29 13 4 1Slovenia 0 164 99 99 53Spain 467 570 658 734 851Sweden 590 305 164 83 43Switzerland 277 493 727 663 522United Kingdom 142 352 276 151 74Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a 76 132 155 85Estonia n/a 129 89 36 15Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 142 92 49 24Lithuania n/a 95 35 13 6Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a 757 772 833 869Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 14 26 68 170Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 15215 38002 37961 38401 38535



285

Table A4.7 Export of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




286

Table A4.7 Export of Veneer Sheets and Plywood (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




287





288





289

Table A4.8 Export of Particle Board (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




290

Table A4.8 Export of Particle Board (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




291





292





293

Table A4.9 Export of Fibreboard (thousand CUM).Actual Projection




294

Table A4.9 Export of Fibreboard (thousand CUM). (Continued)Actual Projection




295





296


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 1268 2851 2527 2475 2329Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 72 54 60 99 194Belgium-Luxembourg 46 57 46 36 30Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 63 6 3 1 0Croatia 0 1 1 4 1Czech Republic 0 54 57 46 20Denmark 1 39 22 48 55Finland 120 75 83 94 66France 128 311 338 429 637Germany 0 324 253 209 110Greece 0 1 1 2 1Hungary 19 34 13 14 7Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 115 63 51 70Italy 16 427 500 517 346Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 18 66 73 83 35Norway 60 13 9 4 3Poland 201 148 92 43 20Portugal 26 277 223 144 72Romania 67 49 19 8 3Slovakia 0 4 1 0 0Slovenia 0 64 28 40 17Spain 118 273 298 349 476Sweden 280 105 63 38 20Switzerland 18 55 61 76 47United Kingdom 15 128 104 65 30Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a 35 56 38 14Estonia n/a 18 9 3 1Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a n/a 0 0 0Lithuania n/a 34 13 5 2Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a 82 36 16 7Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 2 4 13 46Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 2191 5362 5334 5348 5147



297

Table A4.10 Export of Woodpulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




298

Table A4.10 Export of Woodpulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




299





300


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 6528 9317 10052 10563 11204Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 248 224 242 143 84Belgium-Luxembourg 143 122 85 47 27Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 15 32 47 60 66Croatia 0 92 111 193 177Czech Republic 0 200 118 70 41Denmark 62 62 37 22 13Finland 1755 1493 1857 1348 1045France 170 446 263 156 92Germany 0 190 121 97 120Greece 0 0 0 0 0Hungary 12 3 1 1 1Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 30 0 0 0 0Italy 1 32 25 11 4Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 9 154 94 69 85Norway 406 477 330 195 154Poland 2 53 26 13 7Portugal 443 1062 1040 939 848Romania 26 1 1 2 8Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 32 14 6 3Spain 184 711 667 1023 1689Sweden 2971 2837 4323 5764 6432Switzerland 27 89 50 39 43United Kingdom 24 21 13 5 2Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 29 11 4 2Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a 11 12 6 2Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a n/a 0 0 0Lithuania n/a 2 1 0 0Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a 936 553 326 193Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 6 10 26 68Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 19369 30495 29644 28910 28345



301

Table A4.11 Export of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




302

Table A4.11 Export of Mechanical Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




303





304


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 660 545 516 555 613Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 0 0 0 0 0Belgium-Luxembourg 1 0 0 0 0Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 0 0 0 0 0Croatia 0 92 111 193 177Czech Republic 0 0 0 0 0Denmark 0 0 0 0 0Finland 23 0 0 0 0France 1 0 0 0 0Germany 0 8 13 33 82Greece 0 0 0 0 0Hungary 0 0 0 0 0Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 30 0 0 0 0Italy 0 13 14 7 3Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 3 2 4 13 41Norway 221 179 106 62 37Poland 0 0 0 0 0Portugal 0 3 3 1 0Romania 0 0 0 0 0Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0Spain 8 12 28 63 144Sweden 373 208 218 163 96Switzerland 0 1 4 15 30United Kingdom 0 13 10 4 1Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 13 5 2 1Armenia 0 n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan 0 n/a 0 0 0Belarus 0 n/a 0 0 0Estonia 0 n/a 0 0 0Georgia 0 n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Latvia 0 n/a 0 0 0Lithuania 0 1 0 0 0Moldova Rep 0 n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation 0 n/a 0 0 0Tajikistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Ukraine 0 n/a 0 0 0Uzbekistan 0 n/a 0 0 0WORLD 1246 1513 1327 1353 1352



305

Table A4.12 Export of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




306

Table A4.12 Export of Chemical Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




307





308


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 5868 8772 9536 10008 10591Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 248 224 242 143 84Belgium-Luxembourg 142 122 85 47 27Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 15 32 47 60 66Croatia 0 0 0 0 0Czech Republic 0 200 118 70 41Denmark 62 62 37 22 13Finland 1732 1493 1857 1348 1045France 169 446 263 156 92Germany 0 182 108 64 38Greece 0 0 0 0 0Hungary 12 3 1 1 1Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 1 19 11 5 2Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 6 152 90 57 43Norway 185 298 224 132 117Poland 2 53 26 13 7Portugal 443 1059 1037 937 847Romania 26 1 1 2 8Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 32 14 6 3Spain 176 699 640 960 1546Sweden 2598 2629 4105 5601 6335Switzerland 27 88 46 25 13United Kingdom 24 8 3 1 0Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 16 6 3 1Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a 11 12 6 2Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a n/a 0 0 0Lithuania n/a 1 0 0 0Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a 936 553 326 193Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 6 10 26 68Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 18123 28982 28317 27558 26993



309

Table A4.13 Export of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT).Actual Projection




310

Table A4.13 Export of Other Fibre Pulp (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




311





312


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 31 69 74 63 68Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 0 1 3 5 4Belgium-Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 0 0 0 0 0Croatia 0 0 0 0 0Czech Republic 0 2 0 0 0Denmark 5 2 4 7 2Finland 7 5 4 4 3France 1 1 4 6 14Germany 0 26 28 21 27Greece 0 0 0 0 0Hungary 6 2 0 0 0Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 0 0 0 0Italy 10 0 0 0 0Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 0 6 4 3 2Norway 0 0 0 0 0Poland 0 0 0 0 0Portugal 0 0 0 0 0Romania 0 0 0 0 0Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0Spain 2 11 6 5 3Sweden 0 0 0 0 0Switzerland 0 4 7 5 4United Kingdom 0 0 0 0 0Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia 0 n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan 0 n/a 0 0 0Belarus 0 n/a 0 0 0Estonia 0 n/a 0 0 0Georgia 0 n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan 0 n/a 0 0 0Latvia 0 n/a 0 0 0Lithuania 0 n/a 0 0 0Moldova Rep 0 n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation 0 9 15 8 9Tajikistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan 0 n/a 0 0 0Ukraine 0 n/a 0 0 0Uzbekistan 0 n/a 0 0 0WORLD 213 236 269 338 416



313

Table A4.14 Export of Waste Paper (thousand MT).Actual Projection




314

Table A4.14 Export of Waste Paper (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




315





316





317

Table A4.15 Export of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT).Actual Projection




318

Table A4.15 Export of Total Paper and Paperboard (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




319





320


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 15917 42285 43550 44176 45728Albania 1 0 0 0 0Austria 886 2665 2334 2054 2112Belgium-Luxembourg 481 1276 1379 1220 1050Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 6 6 12 25 38Croatia 0 47 55 68 70Czech Republic 0 259 251 166 94Denmark 122 224 264 358 387Finland 4868 9503 10283 10147 10469France 1065 3411 3756 4351 4663Germany 0 5715 6065 6880 7267Greece 44 21 23 25 28Hungary 78 46 25 33 52Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 22 37 37 34 42Italy 500 1639 2105 1715 1687Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 953 2204 2296 2649 3105Norway 1048 1769 2186 2115 1927Poland 30 295 402 394 413Portugal 144 603 586 576 581Romania 178 74 89 95 98Slovakia 0 88 111 87 54Slovenia 0 326 238 239 254Spain 160 785 814 1041 1150Sweden 4625 7793 6694 6231 6361Switzerland 240 923 840 938 908United Kingdom 466 1254 1411 1708 2015Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 6 4 2 4Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a n/a 0 0 0Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a 1 1 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 2 5 17 53Lithuania n/a 3 8 8 13Moldova Rep n/a 3 9 10 17Russian Federation n/a 1302 1258 967 777Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 5 11 21 37Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 32910 72687 73178 73794 75337



321

Table A4.16 Export of Newsprint (thousand MT).Actual Projection




322

Table A4.16 Export of Newsprint (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




323





324


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 3484 6554 6171 5889 5601Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 39 6 3 3 4Belgium-Luxembourg 31 97 83 71 77Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 0 1 1 1 1Croatia 0 0 0 0 0Czech Republic 0 57 48 31 16Denmark 1 1 1 1 1Finland 1432 1253 1248 999 590France 4 525 664 747 925Germany 0 575 415 390 403Greece 8 0 0 0 0Hungary 2 0 0 0 0Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 0 2 2 1 2Italy 13 4 3 1 0Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 45 227 178 234 252Norway 523 771 972 983 832Poland 0 13 21 9 4Portugal 0 0 0 0 0Romania 59 6 10 20 14Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0Slovenia 0 19 15 19 15Spain 3 14 15 16 18Sweden 1238 2030 1465 1484 1713Switzerland 28 68 74 63 69United Kingdom 58 202 218 235 253Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 4 3 1 3Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a n/a 0 0 0Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a 1 1 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a n/a 0 0 0Lithuania n/a n/a 0 0 0Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a 677 728 565 385Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 1 4 15 27Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 12203 17436 17431 17495 17658



325

Table A4.17 Export of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT).Actual Projection




326

Table A4.17 Export of Printing and Writing Paper (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




327





328


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 4904 18844 19926 21545 22757Albania 0 0 0 0 0Austria 562 1965 1835 1429 1438Belgium-Luxembourg 288 849 820 636 459Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 0 1 4 4 2Croatia 0 2 4 7 5Czech Republic 0 64 54 31 20Denmark 58 76 65 90 139Finland 1750 5554 6550 7489 8642France 528 1592 1556 1764 1237Germany 0 2947 3058 4233 4772Greece 28 1 1 1 1Hungary 24 6 7 17 45Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 7 7 12 19 32Italy 330 812 1070 869 802Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 284 743 626 761 785Norway 231 596 859 877 944Poland 2 23 25 28 22Portugal 14 292 282 203 179Romania 57 14 20 11 6Slovakia 0 59 61 39 20Slovenia 0 153 123 140 153Spain 43 332 293 386 307Sweden 510 1798 1625 1469 1439Switzerland 76 256 226 163 205United Kingdom 112 672 719 848 1062Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 0 0 0 0Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a n/a 0 0 0Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 1 1 2 8Lithuania n/a 1 1 1 1Moldova Rep n/a n/a 0 0 0Russian Federation n/a 27 28 22 25Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 1 4 4 8Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 6482 25319 26020 27475 28516



329

Table A4.18 Export of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT).Actual Projection




330

Table A4.18 Export of Other Paper and Board (thousand MT). (Continued)Actual Projection




331





332


Country 1980 1994 2000 2005 2010EUROPE 7529 16887 17453 16742 17370Albania 1 0 0 0 0Austria 285 694 496 622 671Belgium-Luxembourg 162 330 476 513 513Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 0 0 0 0Bulgaria 6 4 7 20 35Croatia 0 45 51 61 65Czech Republic 0 138 150 104 58Denmark 63 147 199 268 247Finland 1686 2696 2486 1659 1237France 533 1294 1537 1840 2501Germany 0 2193 2592 2257 2092Greece 8 20 22 24 27Hungary 52 40 19 16 7Iceland 0 0 0 0 0Ireland 15 28 23 14 8Italy 157 823 1032 846 886Macedonia, Fmr Yug RP of 0 0 0 0 0Malta 0 0 0 0 0Netherlands 624 1234 1492 1655 2068Norway 294 402 355 256 151Poland 28 259 356 357 387Portugal 130 311 305 373 402Romania 62 54 59 64 78Slovakia 0 29 50 48 34Slovenia 0 154 99 81 87Spain 114 439 506 638 826Sweden 2877 3965 3603 3278 3210Switzerland 136 599 540 712 634United Kingdom 296 380 474 625 700Yugoslav Federal Republic 0 2 1 1 1Armenia n/a n/a 0 0 0Azerbaijan n/a n/a 0 0 0Belarus n/a n/a 0 0 0Estonia n/a n/a 0 0 0Georgia n/a n/a 0 0 0Kazakhstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Kyrgyzstan n/a n/a 0 0 0Latvia n/a 1 4 15 45Lithuania n/a 2 7 7 12Moldova Rep n/a 3 9 10 17Russian Federation n/a 598 503 379 367Tajikistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Turkmenistan n/a n/a 0 0 0Ukraine n/a 3 3 2 3Uzbekistan n/a n/a 0 0 0WORLD 14225 29932 29727 28824 29163



333

List of Working Papers to be released

GFPOS/WP/01: Global forest products consumption, production, trade and prices: globalforest products model projections to 2010

GFPOS/WP/02: The global forest products model (GFPM): users manual and guide toinstallation

GFPOS/WP/03: The outlook for future wood supply from forest plantationsGFPOS/WP/04: The potential for technological change to influence future wood supply and

demandGFPOS/WP/05: Past trends and future prospects for the utilisation of wood for energyGFPOS/WP/06: The potential contribution of trees outside of forests to future wood

supplies

working paper: global forest products consumption ... · gfpos working paper no. 1 global forest...

Documents