world bank documentdocuments.worldbank.org/curated/en/827271468031744717/...2 enhancing capacity...

Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Report No: RES21214

RESTRUCTURING PAPER

ON A

PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING

OF

GHANA STATISTICS DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

IDA CREDIT NUMBER 50100

AND

SRF CF GRANT TF 10425

AUGUST 25, 2011

TO THE

REPUBLIC OF GHANA

MARCH 22, 2016

Poverty and Equity Global Practice

AFCW1

Africa Region

This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their

official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.

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ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

CPI Consumer Price Index DP Development Partner or Data Processing F&A Finance and Administration GAS Ghana Audit Service

GDDS General Data Dissemination System GDP Gross Domestic Product GoG Government of Ghana GSDP Ghana Statistics Development Plan GSGDA Ghana Shared Growth and Development Agenda GSS Ghana Statistical Service ICT Information and Communication Technology IDA International Development Association IT Information Technology MDA Ministries, Departments and Agencies M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MESW Ministry of Employment and Social Welfare MMDA Metropolitan/Municipal/District Assemblies MOC Ministry of Communication MOE Ministry of Education MOFEP Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning MOFA Ministry of Food and Agriculture MOH Ministry of Health MLNR Ministry of Lands and Natural Resources MOTI Ministry of Trade, and Industry MOWAC Ministry of Women and Children Affairs NITA NSDS

National Information Technology Agency National Strategy for the Development of Statistics

PAD Project Appraisal Document PDMG Program Development and Management Group PDO Project Development Objectives PIM Project Implementation Manual RRSF Reference Regional Strategic Framework SC Steering Committee SRF-CF Statistics for Results Facility Catalytic Fund

Regional Vice President: Makhtar Diop

Country Director:

Senior Global Practice Director:

Henry G. R. Kerali

Ana L Revenga

Practice Manager/Manager: Pablo Fajnzylber

Task Team Leader

Co-Task Team Leader::

Smile Kwawukume

Abdoullahi Beidou

3

GHANA

Ghana Statistics Development Program

CONTENTS

A. SUMMARY 9

B. PROJECT STATUS 9

C. PROPOSED CHANGES 11

ANNEX 1: RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING 16

4

DATA SHEET

Ghana

Ghana Statistics Development Program (P118858)

AFRICA

Poverty and Equity

Report No: RES21214

Basic Information

Project ID: P118858 Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan

Regional Vice President: Makhtar Diop Original EA Category: Not Required (C)

Country Director: Henry G. R. Kerali Current EA Category: Not Required (C)

Senior Global Practice

Director: Ana L. Revenga Original Approval Date: 25-Aug-2011

Practice

Manager/Manager: Pablo Fajnzylber Current Closing Date: 31-Aug-2016

Team Leader(s):

Smile

Kwawukume,Abdoullahi

Beidou

Borrower: Ministry of Finance

Responsible

Agency: Ghana Statistical Service,

Restructuring Type

Form Type: Full Restructuring Paper Decision Authority: Country Director Approval

Restructuring

Level:

Level 2

Financing ( as of 18-Mar-2016 )

Key Dates

Project Ln/Cr/TF Status Approval

Date Signing Date

Effectiveness

Date

Original

Closing Date

Revised

Closing Date

P118858 IDA-50100 Effective 25-Aug-2011 27-Feb-2014 28-Apr-2014 31-Aug-2016 31-Aug-2016

P118858 TF-10425 Effective 27-Feb-2014 27-Feb-2014 28-Apr-2014 31-Aug-2016 31-Aug-2016

Disbursements (in Millions)

Project Ln/Cr/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelle

d

Disburse

d

Undisbur

sed

%

Disburse

d

P118858 IDA-50100 Effective USD 30.00 30.00 0.00 16.76 10.17 56

P118858 TF-10425 Effective USD 10.00 10.00 0.00 8.94 1.06 89

5

Policy Waivers

Does the project depart from the CAS/CPF in content or in other significant

respects? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Does the project require any policy waiver(s)? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

A. Summary of Proposed Changes

The project was approved by the Board in August 2011 and to be implemented in 5 years. However, the

project implementation was delayed as a result of a long delay by the Borrower's legislature to approve the

project documents. Legislative approval was later obtained in February 2014 and the project was declared

effective in April 2014. The project thus lost over two years of implementation. The proposed changes are;

(i) to extend the closing date of the IDA Credit from the current August 31, 2016 to June 30, 2018, and

also extend the SRF TF from the current closing date of August 31, 2016 to June 30, 2017 as the parent

SRF TF will close by December 31, 2017, (ii) reallocation of funds within project components, and (iii)

revision of the results framework.

Change in Implementing Agency Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Change in Project's Development Objectives Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Change in Results Framework Yes [ X ] No [ ]

Change in Safeguard Policies Triggered Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Change of EA category Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Other Changes to Safeguards Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Change in Legal Covenants Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Change in Loan Closing Date(s) Yes [ X ] No [ ]

Cancellations Proposed Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Change to Financing Plan Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Change in Disbursement Arrangements Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Reallocation between Disbursement Categories Yes [ X ] No [ ]

Change in Disbursement Estimates Yes [ X ] No [ ]

Change to Components and Cost Yes [ X ] No [ ]

Change in Institutional Arrangements Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Change in Financial Management Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Change in Procurement Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Change in Implementation Schedule Yes [ X ] No [ ]

Other Change(s) Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Appraisal Summary Change in Economic and Financial Analysis Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Appraisal Summary Change in Technical Analysis Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Appraisal Summary Change in Social Analysis Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Appraisal Summary Change in Environmental Analysis Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Appraisal Summary Change in Risk Assessment Yes [ ] No [ X ]

B. Project Status

6

Project implementation is significantly advanced and the project is on track to meet its development

objective if the extension is granted. Implementation progress for the GSDP is rated Satisfactory

following the latest supervision mission in December 2015. A new organizational structure has been

adopted for GSS which seeks to make the GSS leaner, and efficient. Some selected staff have been trained

in research methodology and report writing, survey methods and data management. Other staff members

have been trained in data analysis software SPSS/STATA whilst others had undergone training in different

demographic analysis software programs. Field trainings were also organized for enumerators in labor

force statistics and the integrated business enterprise surveys. A post census cartographic mapping has

been initiated with the aim of updating the enumeration area (EA) information established during the 2010

Population and Housing Census (PHC). The first phase of the Integrated Business Establishment Surveys

(IBES) has been completed and the second phase is currently underway. The Ministry of Education (MoE)

has been supported to carry out the 2014/2015 school census as part of the part project. The report has

since been released. The Ministry of Health (MoH) undertook a survey on the causes of the maternal

mortality rates in the country and a report has been produced. The Births and Deaths Registry has

undertaken the entry of over 200,000 as backlog for the period 2009-2012. A number of statistical reports

have been disseminated.

During the last mission, in December 2015, project implementation progress was rated “Satisfactory”.

C. Proposed Changes

Development Objectives/Results

Project Development Objectives

Original PDO

To strengthen the National Statistical System in the production and dissemination of timely and robust

statistics relevant for evidence-based policy-making and other uses

Change in Project's Development Objectives

Change in Results Framework

Explanation:

The targets of some of the indicators would be changed to accommodate the two year delay in the

implementation of the project. In addition, some of the targets would be changed since the baseline values

that were obtained after the project was prepared are higher than some of the initial targets. One PDO

indicator was dropped since a survey plan was not available. An intermediate indicator has been elevated

to a PDO indicator.

Financing

Change in Loan Closing Date(s)

Explanation:

The Restructuring Paper proposes a change in the closing date from the current August 31, 2016 to a later

date of June 30, 2018 for the IDA Credit and to a later date of June 30, 2017 for the SRF-CF. This request

has been necessitated by the late approval of the project by the legislature and the subsequent late

declaration of effectiveness in April 2014. The proposed new closing date will increase the duration of the

project to four years. The change also involves reallocation of funds within the categories and the revision

of some of the indicators.

Ln/Cr/T

F Status

Original Closing

Date

Current Closing

Date

Proposed Closing

Date

Previous Closing

Date(s)

7

IDA-

50100 Effective 31-Aug-2016 31-Aug-2016 30-Jun-2018 31-Aug-2016

TF-

10425 Effective 31-Aug-2016 31-Aug-2016 30-Jun-2017 31-Aug-2016

Reallocations

Explanation:

The cost of severance payment has gone down significantly because most of the staff were transferred to

sub-national governments. As a result, funds have been added to data production under category 1. With

increased data production to be undertaken, it is foreseen to have more operational expenses hence

Category 3 has increased slightly.

Ln/Cr/TF Currency Current Category of

Expenditure Allocation

Disbursement %

(Type Total)

Current Proposed Current Proposed

TF-10425 USD Gds, CS, NCS, TRNPrts

A.1, B,C & D 10,000,000.00 10,000,000.00 33.00 33.00

Designated Account 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total: 10,000,000.00 10,000,000.00

IDA-50100 XDR Gds, CS, NCS, TRNPrts

A.1, B,C & D 12,400,000.00 17,017,057.00 67.00 67.00

Severance Pymt under

comp A.2 4,100,000.00 846,943.00 100.00 100.00

Operating Costs under

part D 800,000.00 936,000.00 100.00 100.00

UNALLOCATED 1,500,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Designated Account 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total: 18,800,000.00 18,800,000.00

Disbursement Estimates

Change in Disbursement Estimates

Explanation:

Annual disbursement estimates have been adjusted to reflect current disbursement status and the extension

of the project closing date. Disbursement is expected to continue in 2017 and 2018 because of the

proposed extension of the closing date.

Fiscal Year Current (USD) Proposed (USD)

2012 5,670,000.00 0.00

2013 12,540,000.00 0.00

2014 3,690,000.00 0.00

2015 4,740,000.00 7,200,000.00

2016 2,960,000.00 7,100,000.00

2017 400,000.00 8,200,000.00

8

2018 0.00 4,850,000.00

Total 30,000,000.00 27,350,0001

Components

Change to Components and Cost

Explanation:

Component 1: The cost for this component will be reduced since the number of staff undergoing the

buyout program has reduced significantly to the originally envisioned up to 300 to about 60.

Component 2. More funds would be allocated to this component to enable the completion of the second

phase of the Integrated Business Enterprise Survey.

Component 3. More data production surveys and activities would be undertaken as part of this component.

These include annual labor force surveys (LFS), High frequency poverty data; Renovation of the

Consumer Price Index, including the definition of a new base year; GDP rebasing exercise to integrate new

improved data sources; Production of Building Cost Index; Two additional annual school censuses;

Production of Births and Deaths Statistics. Subsequently, more funds would be allocated to this

component.

Component 4. There will not be any change to this component.

Current Component

Name

Proposed Component

Name

Current Cost

(US$M)

Proposed

Cost (US$M) Action

1 Institutional reform and

organizational change 9.36 3.20 Revised

2 Enhancing capacity 14.96 16.25 Revised

3 Data development and

dissemination 11.73 16.60 Revised

4 Project Management

and Monitoring and

Evaluation 1.30 1.30 No Change

Total: 37.35 37.35

Other Change(s)

Change in Implementation Schedule

Explanation:

The schedule for implementation now foresees project to be implemented until June 30th, 2018.

1 There was an exchange loss of USD2.65m at the time of the preparation of the Restructuring Paper.

9

GHANA

Ghana Statistics Development Program

RESTRUCTURING PAPER

A. SUMMARY

1. The proposed Level II restructuring aims at successfully completing project

activities and achieving the Project Development Objective (PDO). Project

implementation is progressing satisfactorily and the PDO remains relevant. However,

given the delays in declaring the project effective, there is a need to extend the closing

date to provide sufficient time to implement project activities and adjust the results

framework accordingly. The proposed restructuring also involves the reallocation of

funds partly because the number of staff of the Ghana Statistical Service (GSS) to be

placed on the buyout program was reduced significantly after a policy decision was taken

to redeploy national staff to support data collection efforts at sub-national level. With

more funding available from component one, emphasis would be placed on supporting

GSS and the other Ministries Departments and Agencies (MDAs) to undertake various

surveys to generate data. This approach is also consistent with the capacity strengthening

approach of experiential learning or learning by doing. To this end, the project is

expected to support the production of regular data through annual labor force surveys,

high frequency poverty data, Renovation of the Consumer Price Index, including the

definition of a new base year, GDP rebasing exercise to integrate new improved data

sources; production of Building Cost Index, two additional annual school censuses

among others.

2. In sum, the proposed Level 2 Restructuring to Ghana Statistics Development

Program (CR-50100) includes: (a) twenty month extension of the project closing date

from the current August 31, 2016 to June 30, 2018; (b) a revision of some indicators; and

(c) reallocations of proceeds within project components and disbursement category.

3. This would be the first extension of the project closing date of the IDA Credit

which is expected to be fully disbursed within the proposed closing date extension. This

would also be the first extension of the closing date of SRF-TF. The extension of the

closing dates has been requested by the Borrower on July 4, 2014. The reallocation of

credit and grant proceeds were requested by the Borrower on February 24, 2016. The

other changes were fully discussed and agreed upon.

10

B. PROJECT STATUS

4. The Ghana Statistics Development Project (GSDP), approved by the Board on August

25, 20011, became effective only on April 28, 2014 comprises an IDA Credit (CR/

50100) with an amount of XDR 18m (equivalent to USD30 million at the time of

approval) and SRF TF (TF 10425) with an amount of USD10 million. The original

closing date for both the IDA financing and the SRF TF is August 31, 2016. As of

December 2015, the project had disbursed USD15.34 million from IDA (51 per cent

of project funds) and USD 6.94 million from the SFR-TF (69 percent of grant funds).

5. The Project’s Development Objective (PDO) is to strengthen the National Statistical

System in the production and dissemination of timely and robust statistics relevant for

evidence-based policy making and other uses. Implementation progress for the GSDP

is rated Satisfactory following the latest supervision mission in December, 2015.

6. Component 1 has supported the Government’s reform strategy for the Ghana

Statistical Service (GSS). A new organizational structure has been adopted for GSS

which seeks to make the GSS leaner, and efficient. All new recruits into the GSS are

to have a master’s level degree. As part of the re-organization, GSS no longer

maintains staff at the sub-national level. A total of 28 staff with qualifications up to

Higher National Diploma (HND) have been transferred to the LGS. The staff buyout

program was successfully completed. Two consulting firms provided counselling and

financial management training to the identified staff. Subsequently, the staff buyout

process has been completed. As part of the retraining of staff, a total of 18 staff

members are undergoing a postgraduate degree level courses in statistics, economics,

and population studies in various universities. Existing staff were also trained in

performance management, IT and basic spreadsheet software.

7. Component 2 focuses on enhancing the statistical capacity including the underlying

statistical framework to ensure the production of quality statistics. To this extent, the

project has provided support for the acquisition of equipment and logistics for the

GSS and almost all the MDAs to enhance their capacity in data collection,

processing, and dissemination. These included computers and accessories, projectors,

photocopiers, PDAs, vehicles, etc. In addition, office furniture was also procured for

the implementing agencies. Various training programs were organized for staff of

GSS. Some of the implementing agencies also benefited from training sessions

organized and paid under the project. The trainings are in advance spreadsheet, ICT,

economic modeling, and sampling techniques; 10 staff have been trained in research

methodology and report writing, survey methods and data management, 41 staff

members have been trained in data analysis software SPSS/STATA, and 16 had

undergone training in different demographic analysis software programs. Field

trainings were also organized for enumerators in labor force statistics and the

integrated business enterprise surveys. A post census cartographic mapping has been

initiated with the aim of updating the enumeration area (EA) information established

11

during the 2010 Population and Housing Census (PHC). The updating of the EAs is

being combined with the process of converting all analog maps to digital form in the

urban and semi-urban areas. The field work and the updating and the digitization have

been started for over a year ago. A business census otherwise known as the Integrated

Business Establishment Surveys (IBES) aimed at providing the most comprehensive

list of businesses operating in the country has been initiated. The business register is

aimed at collecting data on the entire population of establishments located in the

country irrespective of whether they are public entity or private, making profits or is a

non-profit institution such as foundations and associations and irrespective of whether

it is involved in a formal or in informal activities. The data-collection-work as well as

the codification and data entry of the census were completed. The Phase I involving

the listing of economic establishments had been completed and three reports; the

Summary Report of the listing exercise, the Job Creation Report and the Business

Register have been drafted and are under review for publication. An international

consultant was hired to design samples for annual business surveys. Based on the

output of the consultancy, the GSS has initiated the field work in November 2015 and

it is expected to be completed in December 2016.

8. Component 3 is aimed at enhancing the quality of statistical data collected by the

GSS and the MDAs, and improving how these data are communicated and

disseminated to users. The Ministry of Education (MoE) carried out the 2014/2015

school census as part of the project. The data processing was completed and the

statistical yearbook was produced. The report has since been released. The Ministry

of Health (MoH) undertook a survey on the causes of the maternal mortality rates in

the country and a report has been produced. The Births and Deaths Registry has

undertaken the entry of over 200,000 as backlog for the period 2009-2012. As part of

activities under the component, a number of statistical reports were disseminated.

These include: the District Census Reports, Ghana Poverty Profile, Ghana Poverty

Mapping Report and the Ghana Demographic and Health Survey Report, Maternal

Deaths Survey Report.

9. Component 4 is aimed at developing and strengthening the institutional capacity of

GSS for project management, coordination, monitoring and evaluation. The

Coordination and Program Management Directorate (CPMD) of GSS coordinated

activities of all the implementing agencies and prepared the necessary reports which

include the Annual Report for 2014, Quarterly and Annual Financial Reports,

Procurement Reports and status reports on the Project. It provided secretariat service

for the National Statistics System Steering Committee (NSSSC) and the Technical

Committee (TC) of the GSDP. The CPMD coordinated the preparation of the 2016

Annual Work Plan and Budget. It supported the Implementation Support Missions

(ISM) since project inception. The CPMD also coordinated the updates of the results

framework of the project.

12

10. The latest implementation support mission conducted in December 2015 concluded

that financial, procurement and project management are satisfactory. As such, there

are no pending audits or legal covenants that are outstanding. The mission also

confirmed that the PDO rating remained Satisfactory to reflect progress of project

activities under implementation.

11. The government has requested for an extension of the closing date to ensure that the

project has enough time for implementation of activities.

C. PROPOSED CHANGES

Extension of the closing Date: The closing date of the project would be extended

from the current August 31, 2016 to June 30, 2018 for the IDA Credit and to June

30, 2017 for the SRF-CF Grant to allow for completion of project activities.

Results framework. The Project Development Objective (PDO) remains relevant.

Some of the indicators have been revised or dropped (See Annex 1).

Reallocations of proceeds within project components and disbursement category.

Credit proceeds would be reallocated from subcomponent 1a, 1b and

subcomponents 2.a, 2c and 3b to sub-components 2b and 3a to ensure that

adequate data production activities are carried out.

Table 1. Breakdown of reallocation within sub-components per funding source

Component IDA (million US$) SRF-CF (million

US$)

TOTAL

revised

(million

US$)

Proposed

change

Budgeted Revised Budgeted Revised

Component 1.

Sub-component

1a:

0 0 2.92 2 2.00 -0.92

Sub-component

1b:

6.44 1.20 0 0 1.20 -5.24

Component 2

Sub-component

2a:

5.73 2.73 0 0 2.73 -3.00

Sub-component

2b

4.18 10.32 0 0 10.32 + 6.14

Sub-component

2c

0 0 5.05 3.20 3.20 -1.85

13

Component 3

Sub-component

3a

9.70 11.80 0.30 4.10 15.90 + 5.9

Sub-component

3b

0 0 1.73 0.70 0.70 -1.03

Component 4 1.30 1.30 0 0 1.30 0

TOTAL 27.35 27.35 10.00 10.00 37.35 0

The proposed changes per component are as follows:

12. Component 1: Institutional Reform and Organizational Change (US$3.20

million: IDA US$1.20 million; SRF US$2.00 million)

Component 1a: Training and re-deployment (SRF US$2.00 million) Staff training at

the GSS Training Center will be intensified to reduce the cost of renting of workshop

venues. In addition, staff participating in short courses are now required to train other

colleagues upon their return from the training workshops.

Component 1b: Staff Buy-out (IDA US$1.20 million)

Due to the decision of government to create statistical units at the sub-national level of

government, a decision was taken, first, to redeploy those staff who have the requisite

basic statistical skills in data collection and have up to Higher National Diploma

qualifications to be redeployed to metropolitan, municipal and district assemblies

(MMDAs). Second due to the late start of the project, some staff also exited the GSS

through natural attrition. Lastly, the number of staff who have less than five years from

the Effective Date of the project to retire increased and could not be redeployed.

Subsequently, the number of staff for the buyout reduced to about 60.

The estimated cost of the staff buy-out is US$1.2 million. This amount was derived based

on the provisions in the Collective Bargaining Agreement.

13. Component 2: Enhancing capacity (US$16.25 million: IDA US$13.05 million;

SRF US$3.20 million)

This component focuses on enhancing statistical capacity including the underlying

statistical framework to ensure the production of quality statistics. It includes three sub-

components: a) Enhancing capacity of GSS and MDA statistical units; b) Improving the

statistical framework; and c) Investing in physical infrastructure and equipment.

Sub-component 2a – Enhancing capacity of GSS and MDA statistical units (IDA

US$2.73 million)

14

Emphasis will now be placed on learning by doing, As a result, formal training

workshops would be reduced whist funds are shifted to data production during which

capacity of officers will be built directly through the development of data production

instruments and on the field data collection, analysis and report writing.

Sub-component 2b – Improving Statistical Framework (IDA US$10.32 million)

More funding has been provided to this sub-component to enable the Business register be

fully developed under the project. The component will ensure the development of a master

sampling framework from the calendar year 2010 population and housing census, and a

central business register and housing census, including census post-enumeration

mapping, cartographic mapping, and business register, through the provision of technical

advisory services and acquisition of goods. Key activities include the following:

Census Post-Enumeration Mapping in 2011;

Creation of Master Sample frame in 2015;

Development of Business Register in 2015 and 2016; and

Cartographic Mapping in 2015 and 2016.

Sub-component 2c – Investing in Physical Infrastructure and Equipment (SRF

US$3.20 million)

There will not be any changes to the activities under this component. However, the

amount allocated for the sub-component would be reduced since most of the physical

infrastructure and equipment needs were already met.

14. Component 3: Data Production and Dissemination (US$16.60 million: IDA

US$11.80 million; SRF US$4.80 million))

This component will support the improvement of data collection, compilation, validation,

management, analysis and dissemination of data in order to improve the quality,

timeliness and use of socio-economic data. It is in line with component (iii) of the

GSDP. It will focus on both enhancing existing statistics and increasing the range of

statistics collected and how these are communicated and disseminated to users. There are

two sub-components: a) data development and management and b) dissemination,

communication and outreach.

Sub-component 3a: Data Development and Management (IDA US$11.80 million;

SRF US$4.10 million)

Additional activities to be undertaken would include: annual labor force surveys (LFS),

High frequency poverty data; Renovation of the Consumer Price Index, including the

definition of a new base year; GDP rebasing exercise to integrate new improved data

sources; Production of Building Cost Index; Two additional annual school censuses;

Production of Births and Deaths Statistics; Preparatory activities of the 2020 census

cartography.

Sub-component 3b: Communication (SRF US$0.70 million) Emphasis would now be laid on the production of soft copies of statistical reports and

loading them on the website of the GSS and the other MDAs in order to reduce the

15

amount spent on hard copies. In addition, GSS would use experienced staff to engage the

media in radio and television talk shows.

15. Component 4: Project Management and Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) (

IDA US$1.30 million)

Activities will remain the same.

16. Institutional Arrangements

There are no changes to the institutional arrangements. In addition, there will be no

changes to the financial management and procurement arrangements. Project activities

will continue to be implemented according to the Project Implementation Manual (PIM).

The revised Disbursement estimates are as follows:

FY 14 15 16 17 18 19

SRF-CF 0 3.1 3.7 3.2

IDA 0 7.2 7.1 8.2 4.85

Cumulative 0 10.3 21.1 32.5 37.35

The revised Disbursement Categories for the IDA Credit are as follows:

Category Original

Amount (XDR)

Revised Amount

(XDR)

1. Goods, consultants’ services, non-

consulting services and Training under

parts A.1, B, C and D of the project

12,400,000 17,017,057

2. Severance Payments under

Component A.2 of the project

4,100,000 846,943

3. Operating Costs under Part D of the

Project

800,000 936,000

Unallocated 1,500,000 0

Total 18,800,000 18,800,000

There are no changes to the Disbursement Categories of the SRF-TF.

ANNEX 1

RESULTS FRAMEWORK

Project

Name: Ghana Statistics Development Program (P118858)

Project

Stage: Restructuring Status: DRAFT

Team

Leader(s)

:

Smile Kwawukume Requesting

Unit: AFCW1 Created by: Smile Kwawukume on 22-Oct-2015

Product

Line: IBRD/IDA

Responsible

Unit: GPV01 Modified by: Smile Kwawukume on 28-Mar-2016

Country: Ghana Approval FY: 2012

Region: AFRICA Lending

Instrument: Specific Investment Loan

Project Development Objectives

Original Project Development Objective:

To strengthen the National Statistical System in the production and dissemination of timely and robust statistics relevant forevidence-based policy-

making and other uses

Results

Core sector indicators are considered: Yes Results reporting level: Project Level

Project Development Objective Indicators

Status Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Actual(Current) End Target

Revised User satisfaction with statistical

products and services of the

Percentage Value 40.00 88.50 90.00

Date 30-Nov-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2018

17

NSS Comment A new end

target of 90 has

been established

since the first

survey

established a

satisfaction rate

of 88.5 percent.

User satisfaction with statistical

products and services of the

NSS


Date 30-Nov-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment

Revised Ghana Statistical Capacity

overall score

Number Value 64.00 66.00 70.00

Date 30-Nov-2010 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2018

Comment End target date

changed to

August 31, 2018

Ghana Statistical Capacity

overall score

Number Value 64.00 66.00 70.00

Date 30-Nov-2010 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment

Revised Periodicity and Timeliness

Number Value 92.00 87.00 92.00

Sub Type Date 30-Nov-2010 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2018

Breakdown Comment End target date

changed to

August 31, 2018

Periodicity and Timeliness

Number Value 92.00 87.00 92.00


18

Breakdown Comment

Revised Methodology

Number Value 50.00 60.00 65.00



changed to

August 31, 2018

Methodology

Number Value 50.00 60.00 65.00


Breakdown Comment

Revised Source data

Number Value 50.00 54.00 65.00



changed to

August 31, 2018

Source data

Number Value 50.00 54.00 65.00


Breakdown Comment

Marked for

Deletion

Proportion of Surveys and

Censuses implemented by NSS

as per the long-term census and

survey plan


Date 30-Nov-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment

No Change Dissemination of Timely and

Robust Statistics

Number Value

Date

Comment

19

Revised Annual School Census

Number Value 3.00 2.00 1.00

Sub Type Date 30-Sep-2010 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2018

Breakdown Comment This is a sub

indicator

replacing the

DHS which

the project is

not supporting.

End target date

changed to

August 31, 2018

Demographic and Health

Survey (DHS)

Number Value 12.00 9.00 9.00

Sub Type Date 30-Sep-2010 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Breakdown Comment

Revised Ghana Living Standards

Survey (GLSS)

Number Value 18.00 6.00

Sub Type Date 31-Mar-2007 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2018

Breakdown Comment The target has

been reduced to

6 months since

field

enumerators are

to use hand held

devices and the

End target date

changed to

August 31, 2018

Ghana Living Standards

Survey (GLSS)


Sub Type Date 31-Mar-2007 15-Dec-2015 15-Aug-2016

Breakdown Comment

Marked for Multiple Indicator Cluster

Number Value 18.00 18.00 12.00

20

Deletion Survey (MICS) Sub Type Date 31-May-2006 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Breakdown Comment

Marked for

Deletion

Integrated Business Enterprise

Survey (IBES)


Sub Type Date 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Breakdown Comment

Revised Labour Force Survey (LFS)

Number Value 3.00



changed to

August 31, 2018

Labour Force Survey (LFS)

Number Value 3.00


Breakdown Comment

New Economic statistics produced in

accordance with internationally

recommended duration of the

base year (rebased within the

last 5 years) for the Consumer

Price Index (CPI) and for the

GDP

Yes/No Value No No Yes

Date 31-Dec-2002 29-Feb-2016 31-Aug-2018

Comment

Intermediate Results Indicators

Status Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Actual(Current) End Target

Revised Proportion of Staff with

professional qualification

Percentage Value

Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2018


21

changed to

August 31, 2018

Proportion of Staff with


Percentage Value

Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment

Revised Proportion of GSS staff with



Sub Type Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2018


changed to

August 31, 2018

Proportion of GSS staff with




Breakdown Comment

Revised Proportion of MDA statistical

unit staff with professional

qualification




changed to

August 31, 2018

Proportion of MDA statistical

unit staff with professional

qualification



Breakdown Comment

Revised Number of staff (full-time

equivalents) employed by GSS

Number Value 532.00 385.00 350.00

Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2018


22

changed to

August 31, 2018

Number of staff (full-time

equivalents) employed by GSS

Number Value 532.00 385.00 350.00

Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment

Revised Number of persons trained

Number Value 50.00 321.00 70.00

Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016


changed to

August 31, 2018

Number of persons trained

Number Value 50.00 321.00 70.00

Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment

Revised Use of master sampling frame

based on updated cartographic

maps for household surveys

Yes/No Value No Yes Yes

Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016


changed to

August 31, 2018

Use of master sampling frame

based on updated cartographic

maps for household surveys

Yes/No Value No Yes Yes

Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment

Revised MDA and regional statistics

offices fully equipped and

operational with computers,

essential equipment and

Number Value 0.00 20.00 20.00

Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment The baseline

23

furniture and ICT connectivity was

erroneously

entered as 10

when it should

be 0.

MDA and regional statistics

offices fully equipped and

operational with computers,

essential equipment and

furniture and ICT connect ivity

Number Value 10.00 20.00 20.00

Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment

No Change Economic statistics produced in

accordance with internationally

accepted standards, including

rebased within the last 5 Years

Yes/No Value

Date

Comment

Revised Supply and Use tables (SUT)




changed to

August 31, 2018

Supply and Use tables (SUT)



Breakdown Comment

Marked for

Deletion

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Yes/No Value Yes No Yes


Breakdown Comment This indicator

has been

upgraded to

PDO level

24

Marked for

Deletion

Consumer Price Index (CPI)



Breakdown Comment This indicator

has been

upgraded to

the PDO level

Revised Producer Price Index (PPI)




changed to

August 31, 2018

Producer Price Index (PPI)



Breakdown Comment

Marked for

Deletion

Proportion of statistical

products released in accordance

with national statistics release

calendar


Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment

Revised Communications and

Dissemination Policy Adopted

by NSS


Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2018

Comment

Communications and

Dissemination Policy Adopted

by NSS


Date 31-Aug-2011 15-Dec-2015 31-Aug-2016

Comment

New Production and publication of a


25

statistics release calendar on

the website of GSS Date 31-Dec-2015 28-Mar-2016 31-Aug-2018

Comment

world bank documentdocuments.worldbank.org/curated/en/827271468031744717/...2 enhancing capacity...

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