Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

cZo- P4k

Report No. P-4918-PAK

MEMORANDUM AND RECOMMENDATION

OF TIE

PRESIDENT OF THE

INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION

TO THE

EXECUTIVE DIRECTORS

ON A

PROPOSED CREDIT

OF SDR 26.3 MILLION

TO THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF PAKISTAN

FOR A

* PRIVATE TUBEWELL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

MARCH 23, 1989

This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance oftheir official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.

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CURRENCY EQUIVALENDTS

Currency Unit = Rupees (Rs)US$ 1 = Rs 19.0Rupee 1 = US$0.05

WEIGHTS AND WEASURFS

1 inch (in) = 25.4 millimeters (mm)1 foot (ft) - 30.5 centimeters (cm)1 yard (yd) = 0.915 meters (m)I mile (mi) = 1.609 kilometers (km)I acre (ac) - 0.405 hectares (ha)1 square mile (sq. mi) = 259 ha1 pound (lb) = 0.454 kilograms (kg)1 long ton (lg ton) = 1.016 metric tons (t)cubic foot/second (cfs) = 0.0283 cubic meters/second (m3/sec)

= 28.32 liters/second (1/sec)acre foot (af) = 1,233.5 cubic meters (mi

3 )

Pakistani Units English Units Metric Units

1 Maund = 82.3 lbs (0.0367 lg ton) = 37.32 kg26.8 Maunds = 2,205 lbs = 1.0 t27.2 Maunds = 1.0 lg ton (2.240 lbs) = 1,016 kg

FISCAL YEAR

July 1 to June 30

ABBREVIATIONS

ECNEC Executive Committee of the National Economic CouncilERR Economic Rate of ReturnFGW Fresh GroundwaterGOP Government of PakistanGOPunjab Government of Punjab ProvinceO&M Operation and MaintenancePC-l Planning Commission-lRAP Revised Action ProgrammeSCARP Salinity Control and Reclamation ProjectTW TubewellWAPDA Water and Power Development Authority

FOR OFFICIAL US ONLY

PAKISTAN

PRIVATE TUBEWELL DEVELOPFN-T PROJECT

CREDIT AND PROJECT SUMMARY

Borrower Islamic Republic of Pakistan

Beneficiary : Province of Punjab

Amount SDR 26.3 million (US$ 34.4 million equivalent)

Terms Standard, with 35 years maturity

Financing Plan Government US$ 14.3 millionFarmers US$ 1.6 millionIDA US$ 34.4 millionTotal US$ 50.3 million

Economic Rate of Return: 25 percent

Staff Appraisal Report : No. 7472-PAK

Maps : IBRD 21085IBRD 21086IBRD 21090

This document has a restncted distribution and may be used by rocipients only in the performanceof their officia duties. Its contents may not otherwise be discksed without World Bank authofzation.

MEMORANDUM AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE PRESIDENTOF THE INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION TOTHE EXECUTIVE DIRECTORS ON A PROPOSED CREDiT TO

THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF PAKE;TAN FOR APRIVATE TUBEWELL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

1. The following memorandum and recommendation on a proposed developmentcredit for SDR 26.3 million (US$34.4 million equivalent) to the IslamicRepublic of Pakistan, is submitted for approval. The proposed credit would beon standard IDA terms with 35 years maturity to help finance a PrivateTubewell Development Project.

Background

2. Despite agriculture's declining share in the overall economy, thesector accounts for 222 of GDP, employs 522 of the labor force, and generates551 of total export earnings. The significant improvement in agriculturalperformance during the last decade stems from the positive response of farmersto the government's policies and programs for stimulating agriculturalproduction. These measures include the rationalization of agriculturalpricing policy, and broadening the availability of inputs, such as high-yielding seed varieties, irrigation water, fertilizers, and credit. Morerecently, under the Sixth Plan, the Government of Pakistan (GOP) has put moreemphasis on reducing subsidies, developing agricultural research and extensionservices, upgrading the seed industry, improving on-farm water management,increasing farm mechanization, rehabilitating canals and drains, and furtherextending rural electrification.

3. The development of water resources in Pakistan has been a jointpublic and private effort. While the public sector provided the majorinfrastructure-storage dams, canals, and horizontal and vertical drainage toprevent waterlogging and salinity-the private sector contributed to thedevelopment of groundwater resources by installing private tubewells (TWs) infresh groundwater areas (FGW). In 1979, the Government issued the UNDP-financed and Bank-executed study, the "Revised Action Programme for IrrigatedAgriculture" (RAP). The RAP concluded that future development of FGW areasshould be left to the private sector while the public sector would continueits program in saline water zones. In the National Agricultural Policystatement issued in 1980, the GOP reaffirmed its commitment to promote privateTW development in FGW areas. This policy was implemented throughout the SixthFive-Year Plan (FY84-88), and has since continued. The proposed projectevolved from GOP's continued effort to induce the private sector to activelyparticipate in the development of FGW.

-2-

4. Rationale for IDA Involvement. Since 1952, the Bank has assisted theGovernment of Pakistan in: (a) financing a series of agricultural and watersector projects; (b) formulating a balanced investment program that wouldensure selection of priority programs and allocation of adequate resourceswith a view to increasing agricultural productivity; (c) improving theformulation and implementation of effective agricultural pricing policies; and(d) mobilizing additional resources, through improved cost recovery, thatwould help finance priority investment programs/projects. The sector strategyand programs grew out of a strengthened technical and policy dialogue with theBank. The Agricultural Sector Adjustment Loan (Ln. 2986-PAK), the Bank's mostrecent operation in agriculture, was formulated with a view to promotingagricultural productivity by focusing public and private sector investments inhigh priority projects, and phasing out fertilizer and irrigation operationand maintenance (0&M) subsidies. An important element in the reduction ofirrigation O&M subsidy is the agreement on a plan of action to privatizeexisting public TWs in FGW areas, and promoting private TWs in the remainingFGW areas. Since the proposed project is the first pilot operation followingthe adoption of the O&M cost recovery program under ASAL, and given theimportance of IDA's role in promoting privatization of public TWs, it isimportant for IDA to remain associated with TW development in the nearfuture. IDA's involvement in the proposed project would ensure that theerging lessons would be adequately monitored and evaluated to develop aleast cost private TW investment program for the remaining FGW areas.

5. Project Objectiv2s. The primary objective of the proposed pilotproject is to test the viability of an integrated private TW developmentprogram for increasing agricultural production by: (a) providing reliablesupplementary irrigation water to farmers; (b) controlling and preventingwaterlogging; and (c) improving agricultural and water management practices.These objectives would be achieved through the provision of a coordinatedincentive package of electrification, credit, and supporting services topredominantly small farmers to promote investment in TWa, which have proved tobe one of the most effective means of controlling watertable and providingreliable and timely irrigation water. The project would also contribute toimproving the living standards in the project area through the extension ofelectricity service to villages and small agro-industrial units.

6. Prolect Description. The proposed project, which is the firstgovernment effort to facilitate the development of intensive private TWinstallation in FGW areas in Pakistan, would consist of (a) a completedistribution network adequate to extend electricity to about 8,000 TNs, andinfrastructure for about 200 villages and 300 agroindustry units, andimplementation of a pilot load management scheme for 500 existing TWs tominimize TW operation during peak electricity demand hours; (b) improvement of320 watercourses (out of the total provincial program comprising 680watercourses) and establishment of pilot pressurized irrigation schemes;(c) technical assistance to provide needed expertise for the implementingagencies and to train project staff; and (d) engineering and officeequipment. The installation of the TWs would be financed by farmers byavailing themselves of funds from the Agricultural Development Bank ofPakistan. Lining of selected minors and irrigation system improvements in theproject areas would be financed under an ongoing canal rehabilitation program(Cr. 1888-PAK).

-3-

7. Agreed Actions. IDA has obtained agreements from GOP, Water andPower Development Authority (WAPDA), and Government of Punjab (GOPunjab) thatthey would take the following actions. Prior to Credit effectiveness, theProject Proforma (PC-1) would be approved by the Executive Committee of theNational Economic Council (ECNEC). Other agreed actions include: (i) WAPDA toreview with IDA the findings and recommendations of the review and analysis ofWAPDA's design and construction standards and pilot load management scheme andprepare an implementation plan by June 30, 1989; (ii) WAPDA to recruit projectconsultants by August 31, 1989; (iii) WAPDA to charge the full tubewellconnection charges; and (iv) GOPunjab to recover from beneficiaries 252 of thecost of materials for watercourse improvement works.

8. Benefits. The proposed project would benefit 26,000 farm families.The project components (para. 6) would facilitate private sector investmentsin TWs and would give farmers control of groundwater resources for timely andreliable supplementary irrigation supplies, while also controlling water-logging. The additional water availability would permit farmers to increasecropping intensity by 40% and, coupled with improved water management andcropping practices, would increase agricultural production and promote cropdiversification. The project's estimated economic rate of return is 25%. Theproject would also provide important lessons for designing similar FGWdevelopment projects in other areas of Pakistan.

9. Proiect Risks. The proposed project does not entail any unusualrisk. The TW technology is widely known in Pakistan and its adoption byfarmers of the project areas would be accelerated, provided that electricityservice and credit are made available to them. Among the risks facing theproject is a possible failure in coordination of project implementation.Farmers would be frustrated if electric connections are not provided on timeafter they have installed the TWs. To avert this risk, the project has amechanism to closely monitor project implementation and identify causes fordelays and initiate appropriate remedial actions. The other risk is thefailure to ensure adequate and timely power availability. To minimize therisk of power shortage, the proposed load management scheme would minimizepower demand during peak hours, when load shedding is common. Moreover, underthe current practices, electricity in rural areas is available 8-10 hours aday, which is adequate for TW operation.

10. Recommendation. T am satisfied that the proposed Credit would complywith the Articles of Agreement of the Association and recommend that theExecutive Directors approve the proposed Credit.

Barber B. ConablePresident

Attachments

Washington, DCMarch 23, 1989

%Satz

SCHEDULE A

PAISTAN

PRIVATE TUEWELL DEVEWPUE PROJE

Eltimated Costs and FLnal Plan

Local Foreign Total-_--(Us$ K)

Estimated Costs:

TV Electrification 19.5 14.3 33.8Onfarm Water Management 3.6 0.9 4.5Technical Assistance 0.8 0.1 0.9Training 0.7 0.1 0.8Eagg. and Office Equlpmnt 0.2 0.2 0.4

Total Base Cost ,24.8 15.6 40.4

Physical Contingencies 3.4 2.3 5.7Price Contingencies 2.9 1.3 4.2Sub-total 6.3 3.6 9.9

Total Project Cost 31.1 19.2 50.3-

Financing Plan:Local Foreign Total-( (Us$ M)

Government 14.3 0.0 14.3Farmers 1.6 0.0 1.6IDA 15.2 19.2 34.4

sSSGz

SCREDULE BPage 1

PROCUREMENT ARRANGEMEN'TS(US $ Mlion)

Procurement Method TotalProject Element ICB LCB Other Cost

Electrical equipment/material 31.69 31.69(22.18) (22.18)

Electrical Installation 5.50 a/ 3.00 b/ 8.50(3.85) (2.11) (5.96)

Buildings 1.30 1.30(0.91) (0.91)

On-Farm water management 4.09 1.64 c/ 5.73(2.86) (2.86)

Engineering & Office Eqpt. 0.30 0.20 d/ 0.50(0.21) (0.14) (0.35)

Vehicles 0.48 e/ 0.48TA & Training 2.11 f/ 2.11

(2.11) (2.11)Total 31.99 11.09 7.23 50.31

(22.39) ( 7.76) (4.22) (34.37)

Figures in parantheses are the respective amounts financed by IDA.

a/ Larger part of installation would be carried out by WAPDA through LCB,considering the size and nature of work, ICB is not appropriate.

bl A part of installation work would be carried out by WAPDA on force account.

*c/ Farmers' contribution in cash and labor.

d/ The equipment and materials consist of relatively small and non-homogeneous packages.

e/ Reserved procurement to be financed by the Government.

f/ Consultants would be recruited according to World Bank Guidelines.

SCHEDULE BPage 2

DlSBUtSEMEITS

Catesory Amount X(Us$000)

(a) Installation of Electrical System and Buildings 6,870.0 70(b) Electrical Equipment, Materials & other Equipment 22,530.0 70(c) On-farm Water Management 2,860.0 70(d) Technical Assistance and Training 2,110.0 100

Estimated Disbursements

FY: 90 91 92 93 94 95-US$ M))

Annual 3.3 14.0 12.0 2.7 2.0 0.4Cumulative 3.3 17.3 29.3 32.0 34.0 34.4

SCHEDULE C

PAKISTAN

PRIVATE TUBEWELL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

Timetable of Key Projeet Proess1n_ Eveuts

(a) Time taken to prepare: One year

(b) Prepared by: Government of Pakistan with assistanceof the Bank

(c) First IDA Mission: April 1987

(d) Appraisal Mission Departure: June 29, 1988

(e) Negotiations: March 3, 1989

(f) Planned Date of Effectiveness: July 31, 1989

(g) List of Relevant PCRs & PPARs: PAKISTAN: Khairpur Tile Drainage andIrrigated Farming Project (Cr.648-PAK), August 31, 1988

PAKISTAN: First On-Farm WaterManagement Project (Cr. 1163-PAK),Report No. 7309, June 24, 1988

SCHEDULE D

STATUS OF UAK GROUP OPERATIONS It PAKISTAN Page iA. STATEUNT Of UIK LOAS AMD OA CREOITS (as of September 30, 1986) /a & lb

..... ........ ,,,...... .. _._.... ........................................

(USS million)tov n(Amount net of eancellationCredit fical Undis-gu_r Ter Purpoe on IA thirsd

119 loonr *d eredits fully disbursed 950.5 1406.4

754 1978 Salinity Controt & R<eclntion - 70.0 49.0a7" 1979 salinity Controt & Reel. (fardan) 60.0 33.211571. 1981 Grain Storage 32.0 14.2152/c 1961 Agriculturat Resea#eh 24.0 2.5

2t2 19g2 Fourtht IecoiunicatIons 40.0 0.226T 19U3 Resevoir air nteinene facilitie 10.2 3.9Z324 1983 gifth Sul Northern Can Pipeline 43.0 11.3l23/c t5 irrigation Systm Rehabilitation 40.0 1.512we 396 atluchistan Inor lrrfg. & Agr. 14.0 11.1l5wc 92 Tehnica Assistance .O 0.413te U193 Lahore Urban Oevlopnt 16.0 13.?1350c 193 Poplation 18.0 12.11374/ 1963 Karachi ater Suply 25.0 12.31371/c 1983 Feurth Orainage * 65.0 67.82351 196 Petrotl Eploration S1.5 17.82380 1984 Irtstrial Inreetuent Credit SO.O 12.61439t 1984 Industrial Invest-t Credit 50.0 13.01461/c 1984 Interaed Hill Fafmng ev. 21.0 19.01480/c 1984l Scond Technicat Assistance 7.0 1.41407/C 1984 CoPA Vater anagmt 4.5 41.6499/c 1984 Secnd ltl IndLtries * SO.0 9.6

1532/c 1985 Left Man Outfall Orain - Stage I t50.0 179.2153e 1985 Saluchistan Agercultural Extenion * 8.3 6.62419 1965 Fowrth VADA Pwesr 100.0 89.21602/c 1985 Second Primary EdwAtion 52.5 59.91403/ 190 Seon onForm ter Manageent 34.5 15.5--52 1985 Ey Setor Loan 178.0 - 19.52553 1985 Petrolta Resource Joint Venture 55.0 7.72556 1985 fifth WAMPoue 100.0 92.72" 196 InOstrial Ietmnt Credit 148.0 96.3166e 198 Industrial Investmnt Credit 2.0 2.11452/c 1966 arcbh Speciatl Oevtlpnt 70.0 71.41670t/ 196 Secd Vocatial Training - 40.2 44.4143 19"6 CARP Tranaition Pilot 10.0 8.416t9 1906 AgrIc. 0ev. Sank of Pakistan VI 55.0 10.029 1966 AgrIe. 0v. Sank of Pakistan VI 165.0 100.1am96 1966 Kot Ad1 u Combined Cyctl 90.0 - 78.7743 1967 Telecomaications V 100.0 - 77.1

1M/c 197 third Technical Assistace 7.o 6.01O2c 197 A. Extesion IV 42.1 41.81621/c /d 1967 Third Pri1ary Emtln 145.0 145.6sm 197 Pow Plnt fficieny 70.0 65.02814 1967 Fouth Nlchy 152.0 142.6219 1987 Third tll ItrJAstere S4.0 - 53.9

42 16 Refinery Inergy Conservation 21.0 19.026z 1968 Cement tdustry Nsdsrniutlan 96.0 94.01in" 196 Se Irrigation Sts Rehb. 19.5 75.11895 1988 "b Uran D o nt 90.0 85.01936 /i 198 aIotl 01se Dlopmnt 20.0 18.?2973 /d 1968 Nt l 0lsd Olrnt 31.4 31.4Z962 /d 19J8 Privte Setor ry Dl nt 1S0.0 150.0296 d 1989 Agrcltr Sctor Adjustent 200.0 200.0

Total 2855.6 2760.3 2436.6of which ha bn rweId 607.9 J2.1

Tout now outstulng 2247.7 2677.9Awunt soldof which ha been rep.id

Totat now held by 180IDA 2247.7 2677.9

Totat wvd1ibur 1362.7 1076.1 2438.8

/W The sat-a of th proJects listd In Part A I derie In sarto reorton all Uw*ItOA financil projects in execution, which is idated twice earlyaN c1ircuatod to the xeutwve Dietors on April 30 and Octobr 31.

lb Eltes the dsursd portfon of lot d credits wholty or partly for pro-Jects in the forwr Et Pakistan which hao now been taken ever by Bangladh.

/e IOA Creits under the 6th ard plenslmnts r dwennated in SOts. Theprncipal and neteffectie Credits are s in USt euivalentat dt time ofnegotIatIon1. Disbursed musts are cempited at the exchange rate applicable

onthe trmuaction dat e. U1disasd *mt re valued at the exchng rotepliceble on the date of this statement.

/d Not yet effective.

Page 2

Statement of IFC Investments as of Seotember 30. 1013(in USS Million)

Fiscal Type of Original Investment Holding TotalYear Qbltgator ELulnes £enu±Lt LoA Total Equity Loan Tata1 Undsh1Ursed

1958 Steel Corp.of Pak. Iron & Steel - 0.63 0.63 - - -

19S9 Adamjee Ind. Ltd Textiles - o. 0.7s -

1961/ Gharibwal Cement1965 Ltd Cemont 0.42 5.2S 5.67 - -

1963/64 Pakistan Industrial1975/87 Credit & Investment

Corp. Ltd OFC 3.63 - 3.63 3.59 - 3.59 3.00

1965 Crescent JuteProducts Ltd Textiles 0.11 1.84 l.9S - - -

1965/80)1980/82) Paper1987/88) Packages Ltd Products 1.01 26.01 27.02 0.71 6.75 7.46 0.75

1967 Pakistan PaperCorp. Ltd Paper 2.02 5.38 7.40 - 4.51 4.51 -

1969 Dawood HerculesChemicals Ltd Fertilizer 2.92 1.00 3.92 2.92 - 2.92 -

1979 lilkpak Ltd Food Processing 0.40 2.40 2.80 0.06 0.14 0.20 0.07

1979/ Pakistan Oil- Chemicals and1982/84 fields Ltd Petrochemicals 1.18 14.00 15.18 1.18 - 1.18 -

1979 Attack Refin- Chemicals andery Ltd Petrochemicals 0.86 1S.00 15.86 0.86 2.25 3.11 0.25

1979 Fauji Foundation Polypropylens lags - 1.78 1.78 - - -

1980 a/ Premier Board ParticleLtd Board - 2.70 2.70 - - -

1981 Habib Arkady Food and FoodProcessing 0.17 3.15 3.32 0.17 3.1S 3.32 -

1982 Asbestos Cement Cement & Constru-Industries Ltd tion Material 0.51 3.50 4.01 - - -

1983/ Pakistan Chemical and1985 Petroleum Ltd Petrochemicals 1.56 104.S0 106.06 1.56 17.71 19.27 -

1985 National oev. Money & CapitalLeasing Co. Market 0.37 5.49 5.86 - - -

1986 Mari Gas Co.Ltd Chemicals andPetrochemicals - 46.53 46.53 - 6.91 6.91 -

1989 Shams Textiles Textile & Fabrics - 2.89 2.89 - 2.90 2.90 2.901987 Anglo-Suisee Chemicals and

Petrochemicals 4.30 - 4.30 4.30 - 4.30 0.681989 Suraj Cotton Textile & Fabrics - 2.89 2.89 - 2.90 2.90 2.901988 Fecto Cement Cement & Constr-

uction Materials - 18.58 18.58 - 18.58 18.58 18.58

1988 Millat Tractors - 4.90 4.90 - 4.90 4.90 4.90

19.46 269.17 288.63 15.35 7P.70 86.05 34.03

A/ Cancelled

U. a SP. c7 2 IBRD 21085

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