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I1ccJIe,n:oBaHHe Bbl60pKH H3 rrpH6JIH-3HTeJIbHO rrJITH,n:eCJITH <pHPM K.IieBa H nbBoBa, rrpOBe,n:eHHoe B xo,n:e 6blCTporo 06CJIe,n:oBaHHJI rrpe)],rrpHJITHH YKPaHHbl rpyrrrroH Me)I(JJ:yHapOJJ:HblX 3KOHOMH'IeCKHX coseTHHKOB <poHJJ:a Copoca, TaKlKe CBH,n:ereJIbCTByeT 0 rrOBblllIeHHH HaJIOroBOro 6peMeHH H YCIfJIeHHH aLI,MHHHCTPaTHBHoro, rroJIHTH'IeCKoro H peryJIJITOpHOrO KOHTPOJIJI. B Te'leHHe 1996 r. llpaaHTeJIbCTBO 6ecrrpepblBHo YCIfJIHBaJIO peryJIHPOBaHHe rrpOH3Bo,n:CTBa, ueHo06pa-30BaHHJI, 6aHKoBcKoro KPe,n:HTOBaHIDI H BHeIIllieH roproBJIH. I1HocTpaH
Hble <pHPMbl rrOqyBCTBOBaJIH Ha ce6e BJIHJIHHe 3THX orpaHH'IeHHH 'Iepe3 rrpOH3BOJIbHOe rrpHMeHeHHe rrpaBIfJI
- H POCCHH
JIHUeH3HpOBaHHJI, pa3paCTaIDmyroCJI KOppyrruHID, xpyrrKYID 6aHKOBCKYID CHCTeM)', a TaKlKe rrpaBOByro H peryJIJITOpnyro HecTa6IfJIbHOCTh. B rrOCJIeJJ:HeM OT'IeTe, B KOTOPOM OTPaJKaeTCJI OIlblT pa6oTaroII.I,HX B YKPaffHe JJ:BYcropoHlHHX aMepHKaHCKHX opraHH3aUHH, YKa3bIBaIDTCJI H JJ:PyrHe 6apbePbl: • OTcyrcTBHe KOMMep'leCKoro, HaJIOroBOro H 3eMeJIhHoro Ko,n:eKCOB. 113-3a 3Toro HeMHome ,UeJIOBble KOHTPaKTbl C'lHTaIDTCJI OKOH'IaTeJIbHblMH IfJIH 06JI3aTeJIbHbIMH. • HaJIoroBble 3aKOHhI, TaMO)l{eHHble rrOJIO)l{eHHJI H CrreUHaJIH3HpOBaHHbIe rrpoueJJ:YPbl JIHUeH3HpoBaHIDI rpoM03-,UKH H JJ:BYCMblCJIeHHbl. 3TO Be,n:eT K npOH3BOJIbHOM)' TPaKTOBaHHID rrOJIO)l{eHHH H KOPPyrrUHH. • 3aKOH 0 6aHKPOTCTBe rr03BOJIJIeT KOMIIamrnM HaKanJIHBaTh ,UOJIm, a 3aTeM rrpOCTO 3aKPblBaTbCJI, HO MellIaeT HX peCTPYKTYPH3aUHH. • KOMIIaHHH-pe3H,UeHTbl H Hepe3H,n:eHTbl MOryT CHHMaTb C 6aHKOBCKOro C'leTa TOJIbKO orpaHH'IeHHble CYMMbl HaJIH'lHblX cpe,UCTB (60JIhllIHHCTBY . IIpe,n:rrpHJITHH pa3pelliaeTCJI HMeTb TOJIbKO O,n:HH C'IeT). BaHKOBCKHe C'leTa MOryT 6bITb llpOH3BOJIhHO 3aMopo)l{eHbl. • Ilo,n:oxo,n:Hble HaJIOm rrpe,n:llpHJI'I'lIil: 3Ha'IHTeJIbHO pa3HJITCJI. OCBo60)1{,n:eHIDI OT HaJIoroB 3Ha'IHTCJIhHbl H HOCJIT ,n:HCKPHMHHaUHOHHblH xapaKTCp. MeCTHble HaJIOrOBble HHCIIeKuHH )]'eHCTByroT B 3Ha'IHTeJIhHOH CTerreHH
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5
TpaHc~opMa~MR,anpanb 1997
• HaqHCJIeHlUI Ha 3apIIJIaTY, BKJIIOqaIOIII.He OT'IHCJIeHHJI Ha COUHaJIbHOe o6eCneqeHHe H B <pOHJJ: l.JepHo6bIJIJI H nO,llOXO,llHbIe HaJIOrH, B3HMaeMbIe nyTeM peryJIRpHbIX BbI'IeTOB H33apnJIaTbI, Hen03BOJIHTeJIbHO BbICOKH. llHJlHBHJlYaJIbHbIe nO,llOXO,llHbIe HaJIOm Toxe BbICOKH. • IIp03pa'lHocTb pemcTpaUHH KOMnaHl1it OTcYTCTByeT H Tpe6yeT 3Ha'lHTeJIbHbIX 3aTpaT BpeMeHH. • 3aKYITKH 3a HHocTpaHHYIO BaJIIOTY H 'laCTHbIe Kpe,llHTbI B HHOCTpaHHOH BaJIIOTe HaxOJlJlTCJI no,ll a,llMHHHcTpaTHBHbIM KOHTpOJIeM H 06CTaBJIeHbI npOH3BOJIbHO TpaKTyeMbIMH H 6IQPOKpaTH'leCKHMH npoueJlYPaMH JIHueH3HpOBaHlUI. • AHrHMoHOnOJIbHOMY KOMHTeTY npe,llOCTaBJIeHO npaBO BMelI.llIBaTbCJI 6e3 ,llOCTaTO'lHbIX oCHoBaHHH B pa3-JIH'lHbIe 06JIaCTH 3KOHOMHKH.
napbepbI TaKXe C,llepXHBaIOT nporpecc B CeJIbCKOX03JIHCTBeHHoM ceKTOpe. Ha'lacTHbIe npHYCane6HbIe yqaCTKH npHXO,llHTCJI OKOJIO 14 npoueHTOB naxoTHoH 3eMJIH, HO npO,llaBaTbCJI OHa He MoxeT. (Ha 3TOH 'laCTHOH 3eMJIe BbIpaIII.HBaeTCJI OKOJIO nOJIOBHRbI CeJIbCKOX03JIHCTBeHHOH npo)lyKUHH; BTOPaJI nOJIOBHHa npOH3BO,llHTCJI Ha 86 npOueHTax, HaxO,llJlIII.HXCJI B KOJIJIeKTHBHOH H rocY,llapCTBeHHoH co6cTBeHHocTH). l.JeTKaJI nOJIHTHKa B OTHonreHHH npHBaTH3aUHH H c06-CTBeHHOCTH Ha 3eMJIIO eIUe He c<}>opMYJIHpOBaHa.
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llO,lJ,IJOJlbHblH: 6K3Hec
Bo MHOrHX CTpaHax C nepeXO,llHOH 3KOHOMHKOH nOJIHTHKH H 6IOpOKpaTbI nbITaIOTCJI KOHTpOJIHPOBaTb npe,llnpHJITlUI npH nOMOIII.H anMHHHCTpaTHBHbIX Mep H lIOJIOXeHHH. 3To npHBO,llHT K lIo6o'lHbIM lIJIaTexaM, BbI-3bIBaIOIUHM lIOBbIIUeHHe CTOHMOCTH Be,lleHHJI 6H3Heca B PaMKax 0<pHUHaJIbHOH 3KOHOMHKH. Ho lIO Mepe noBbInreHlUI HaJIOroB H JlPyrHX a,llMHHHCTpaTHBHbIX 6apbepoB He3aKOHHaJI peHTa, B3HMaeMaJI C npe,llnplUITHH (c ueJIbIO H36exaHlUI HaJIOroB H O<pHUHaJIbHbIX lIpeIIJITCTimH), Toxe nOBbInraeTCJI. YqHTbIBaJI CTelIeHb KOHTpOJIJI, YCTaHOBJIeHHOrO 6IOpOKpaTaMH
6
H lIOJIHTHKaMH Han lIpe,lllIPHJITlUIMH BO MHOrHX HOBbIX He3aBHCHMbIX roCY,llapcTBax, ,llJIJI Heo<pHUHaJIbHOrO Be,lleHHJI ,lleJI HYXHO TaKXe lIOJIyqaTh 0,l106peHHe. TaKOR. "KHBOK" MO:lKHO lIOJIyqHTh 3a OT,lleJIbHYIO IIJIaTY, KOTOpaJl, B03MO:lKHO, 6Y,lleT MeHbnre ,llOlIOJIHHTeJIbHOH CTOHMOCTH pa60TbI npennplUITHR B O<PHUHaJIbHOH 3KOHOMHKe. TaKHM ofipa30M, 06IUaJI CTOHMOCTb Be,lleHlUI 6H3Heca (o<PHUHaJIbHOro HJIH Heo<pHUHaJIbHOro) lIOBbImaeTCJI, KOr,lla BBOJlJITCJI HOBbIH HaJIor HJIH HHCTpYKUlUI. Ho <PYHKUHOllHpOBaHHe B O<pHUHrurbHbIX YCJIOBH-
JIX CTaHOBHTCJI OTHOCHTeJIbHO 6o.nee ,llOPOroCTOJlIUHM, 'leM <PYHKUHOHHpOBaHHe B Heo<PHUliaJIbHbIX YClIOBHJIX. OTCYTCTBHe MHKpOJIH6epaJIH3aUHH OKa3bIBaeT ,llBoitHoe BJIlUIHHe Ha 3KOHOMHKy.
• OHO 3aMe)lJIJleT o6nr:ee BOCCTaHOBJIeHHe npOMbIlliJIeHHOrO apoH3BO,llCTBa, lIOTOMY'ITO OOJIee BbICOKHe 3KCUJIyaTauHOHHbIe pacXOJlbI y,llepXHBalOT HeKOTOpbIe <pHpMbI OT Ha'lana 00-,lleHlUI 6H3Heea; JlPyme <pHPMbI Ha'lHHaIOT BeeTH 6H3Hec, HO 3aTeM CTarHHPYIOT HJIH CTaHOBJITCJI 6aHKpOTaMH.
Ta6JJBlla 1. 3BOJIIOIlBll BeoCjJBIlBaJILHOI 3KOHOMBKB B CTplUUIX Bocro'IBoii EBPODLI B 6wBmero COBeTCKOrO COIO:la H BO:lMOlKJlWe ,IleTepMHHaHTW, 1989-1994 rr.
CmpaHa no if3MeHeHUe )!QIIJ/ ifHiJeJCC CpeiJHUU ifHiJeJCC cmeneHU iJllIIU HeotjJu- p03l1umus cOiJ080U tilOPOJCptl-U3MeHeHUU II HeotjJUU,U- U,UIliIOHOU uIIU6epa- yp08eHb mu'lecJCQCO
HeotjJUll,UllIIOHOU IlIIbHOU 3JCOHOMUJCU lIU3au,uu UHIjwiU,UU npoU3BOlla 3/COHOMUJCe 3JCOHOMUJCU. 1994 z. '1acmHOcO
1989-1994 c2. (npou,eHm ceKmopa (npou,eHmHble om otiU4eco
O'lJCu) • '1uClla) (0-100) (npou,eHmbI) (0-100)
Kpllible tlltICOKOtl ytltAlltceHlle (tlOUHII) rp)'3HJl 52 64 22 309 36 A3ep6~ 46 58 17 208 32 CpellHee 49 61 20 259 34
OtIeHio tlltICOKOe ytltAlI'IIIHIIII
YJCpaHHa 34 46 13 393 46 POCCHJl 28 40 32 230 43 MOJJ,ll;oBa 28 40 27 299 35 CpellHee 30 42 24 307 41
CpeOHllllytleAlltcllH/lII Ka3axcraH 22 34 22 414 35 lIaTBHJl 22 34 40 106 46 .lI:uTBa 17 29 44 165 54 :9croHHll 13 25 49 123 44 'lemCKalI Pecn. 12 18 60 15 65 CpellHee 17 28 43 165 49
HU3KOe ytleAlI'IeHlt1l EeJIapycl> 7 19 18 362 40 DOlITapIDl 6 29 49 79 49 BeHfPHJl 1 29 69 23 74 nOlThma 0 15 69 116 71 CpellHee 3 23 51 145 58
CHIIXIIHIII/ (ciJepxlltIIUOlIfIIR lIo4l1mlllCfl) Y36eICHCIaH -2 10 19 177 28 PyMhIHHJl -5 17 39 104 26 CpellHee -4 13 29 141 27
06ruee cpe.u;m:e 17 32 37 195 45
·PaC'leThI OCHOBaHhI Ha OCHOBHOM KOHcepBaTKBHoM cueHapKK COBOKyITHOro ITO-TPe6JieHKlI 3JIeKTpO,mepmK (KaY<PMaH K KarrK6ep)la, 1996 r.).
IIpUMe'laHUe: KH,neKC P83BHTKJI K JIKOOPaJIK3aUHK 'lllCTHOro ceKTopa (P'qC) K3Me-HJleTClI OT HYJIlI (aHTIl-PllC K JIH6epaJIH3aUKJI) )l0 100 (MaKCKMllJILHOe pa3BKTIle K JIH6epaJIH3aUKJI '1acmoro ceKTOpa). fOToBhIe YPOBHK HH4;lJIlIUHH OCHOBaHhI Ha reo-MeTPK'IecKlDC Cpe)lHHX. HH,neKC 6IOpox:paTlI<[ecKOro npOH3BOJIa K3MeHJIeTClI B npe-)leJIax OT 0 )l0 100 (MaKCKMaJIbHhIi!: npOH3BOJI) Ha OCHOBaHKH ro)lOBhIX KH,lleKCOB rplUlOlaHCKOii: H ITOJIHTII'IecKOii: JIH6epaJIH3anKK Freedom House.
IfcmO'lHU": From Plan to Market, M. De Melo, C. Denizer and A. Ge1b (1996), Freedom House.
1997 BC8MMpHb/i:16aHK
• C03.ll:aIOTCH YCJIOBIDI, rrOOUlpHIOIIIlIe 6H3HeC CPjlHKIlHOHHpOBaTb BHeOCPHUHaJIbHOM 3KOHOMHKe, B KOTOPOt\: .ll:06aBJIeHHhIe 3KCIIJIyaTaUHoHHhIe paCXO.ll:hI OTHOCHTeJIbHO HIDKe, 'IeM B OCPHI:(HaJIbHOM 3KOHOMHKe. (B )]pyrHX MeCTaX 3Ta TeMem.J.:IDI He Ha6JIIO.ll:aJIaCb: rrOCJIe JIH6epaJIH3aUHH .ll:OJIH HeocpHUHaJIbHOt\: 3KOHOMHKH CHH3HJIaCb B ITOJIbIIIe, HeKOTOphIX )]PYTHX CTPaHax UeHTpaJIbHOM H BOCTO'IHOt\: EBpoIIhI H B C'lpaHax BaJITHH (CM. ma6-AU!{Y 1]).
.l1.o Ha'IaJIa pecpopM .ll:OJIJI Heo<pHUHaJIbHOH 9KOHOMHKH B 06r.ueM BBIT COBeTcKoro COI03a COCTaBJIJIJIa 10-15 rrpoueHTOB. B YKPaHHe HeocpHl:(HaJIbHhIM cerMeHT 3KOHOMHKH BhIPOC K 1994 r . .ll:O 60JIee 40 rrpOueHTOB 06r.uero BBIT, a K cepe.ll:HHe 1996 r. Ha Hero IIpHXOJJ:HJIaCb rrOJIOBHHa o6mero BBIT. 3TO rrOBhIIIIeHHe o60HcHHeTCH 'IacTH'IHO 3Ha'IHTeJIbHhIM CHHxeHHeM .ll:OJIH 0CPHUHaJIbHOM 3KOHOMHKH 3a 3TOT rrepHO.ll: H '1aCTH'IHO yaeJIH'IeHHeM B TpH pala a6COJIIOTHOro o60eMa Heo<pHUH&ThHOH 3KOHOMHKH.
XOTH HeKOTophIe HOBhIe 6H3HeChI COBceM He pemCTPHpYIOTCH H CpalY BXO;::vrr B HeocpHUHaJIbHYIO 3KOHOMHKY, .ll:pyme pemCTpHpYIOT TOJIbKO BH)J.HMyIO 'lacTb COOHX orrepauHH. OHH rroJIy'laIOT HeKOTOpYIO rOCY.ll:apCTBeHHYIO rroMoIllh (B o6rraCTH COUHaJIbHOM 3aIllHThI), a OCTaJIbHYIO .ll:OJIIO cBoero
6H3Heca IIpH'IYT. COOTHOIIIeHHe MeX,[(y c006maeMot\: H Hecoo6maeMot\: .ll:eHTeJIbHOCTbIO 3aBHCHT rJIaBHhIM 06pa30M OT paCXO.ll:OB H rrpeHMymeCTB, CBH3aHHhIX C <PYHKUHOHHPOBaHHeM B Ka:lIC.ll:OH H33KOHOMHK.
BOJIbIIIHHCTBO <pHPM, 06CJIe.ll:OBaHHhIX B YKPaHHe, rrpH3HaJIHCb, 'ITO OHH .ll:aIOT B3HTKH, 'lT06hI CHH3HTb CBoe o$HuHaJIbHOe HaJIoroBoe 6peMH H o6ecrre'lHTb rrOJIy'leHHe pa3JIH'IHhIXJIHUeH3HH {CM. ma6AUl{J/ 2}. PyKoBO.ll:CTBO HOBhIX 'IaCTHhIX IIpe.ll:IIPHHTHH .ll:OJIXHO IIpOBO.ll:HTb MHoro BpeMeHH C roCY.ll:apCTBeHHhIMH 'lHHOBHHKaMH, 'IT06hI "06ecrre'lHTb" JIHUeH3HH H .ll:0-rryCKH H ".ll:OroBOPHTbCH" 0 HaJIorax H n::npac}lax. B 1995 r. OHH rrpoBeJIH OKOJIO 30 rrpOueHTOB, a B 1996 r. OKOJIO 40 rrpOUeHTOB CBoero !Ja6o'lero BpeMeHH C rocY.ll:apCTBeHHhIMH 'lHHOBHHKaMH. (PyKOBO.ll:HTeJIH B POCCHH, KaK 06 3TOM cBH.ll:eTeJIbCTByeT Hailla He-60JIbillaH BhI60pKa, .ll:OJDKHhI rrpOBO.ll:HTb C rOCmapCTBeHHhIMH 'lHHOBHHKaMH OKOJIO 30 rrpoueHTOB cBoero pa-60'Iero BpeMeHH rro cpaBHeHHIO, HarrpHMep, C 15 rrpOueHTaMH B JIHTBe H 8 rrpoueHTaMH B CaJIbBMope. Bo BpeMH cBoero He.ll:aBHerO BH3HTa B MocKBY .ll:HpeKTop-paCrrOPMHTeJIb MB<I> MaitKJI KaM.ll:eccyc, C 0.ll:06peHHeM oT03BaBIIIHHcH 0 TBep.ll:OH rrpHBepxeHHOCTH POCCHHCKHX pecpopMaTopOB KYPCY CTa6HJIH3aUHH, rrpe,llyIIpe.ll:HJI HX 0 Heo6xo.ll:HMOCTH PCaJIHCTH-
'lCCKOrO BOCrrpHHTIDI rrOJIOXeHIDI, B KOTOPOM OKa3aJIHCb IIpe.ll:IIPIDITHH. Ero rropalHJIO 6OJIbillOC KOJIH'IeCTBO rrpek rrpHHHMaTCJIeH, OXH.ll:aBIIIlIX rrpHCMa B IIpHeMHhIX MHHHCTpOB. "BhI He CMOxeTe rrOCTPOHTb PhIHO'lHYIO 3KOHOMHKY Ha TaKOM OCHOBe", - rrpe,llyIIpe.ll:HJI OH.
ITo rrpe.ll:IIpHHTIDIM YKPaHHbI TIDKcJIO 6bIOT HaJIOm H rrpe.ll:IIHcaHIDI. ITo-3TOMy.ll:JIH TOro, 'IT06hI BhI:lICHTb, OHH COrJIaCHhI rrJIaTHTb 3Ha'lHTeJIbHhIc CYMMhI B3HTOK, 'IT06hI BrrOCJIC.ll:CTBHH HMeTb B03MOXHOCTb YTaHTb 3Ha'lHreJIbHYIO 'lacTb CBoeH .ll:06aBJIeHHot\: CTOHMOCTH. BoT rrO'lcMyMHOrHM CPHpMaM IIpHXO.ll:HTCH YKPhIBaTb COOH orrepaUHH, rro KPaHHeH Mepe 'laCTH'IHO. Ha HaUHOHaJIbHOM YPOBHC HeocpHUHaJIbHaH 3KOHOMHKa YMeHbillaeT
HaJIOroBYIO 6a3Y C'lpaHbI H OCPHIJ.HaJIbHbIe aByaphI B HHOCTpaHHOM BaJIIOTe (crroco6cTBYH, TaKHM 06palOM, 6erCTBY KarrHTaJIa) H B pC3ynbTare 3TOro CHIDKaeT crroc06HocTb rocY.ll:apcTBa yrrpaBJIHTb 3KOHOMHKOM. Ho rrOTepH Ha ypOBHe rrpe.ll:IIpHHTHM TaK:llCc 3Ha'IHTeJIbHhI; KPOMe .ll:orrOJIHHTeJIbHhIX paCXO.ll:OB, CBH3aHHhIX C BhICOKHMH HeJaKOHHhIMH BhIIIJIaTaMH, <PYHKUHOHHpOBaHHC B rrO.ll:IIOJIbHOH 3KOHOMHKe rrO)]phIBaCT .ll:OBepHC rrpe.ll:IIpHHHMareJIeH H McillaeT .ll:OJIrOCpO'lHOMy HHBeCTHpOBaHHIO.
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Tun lIuqeH.3UU UIIU "yCilyeu" 1996 1994 1996 1994 1996 1994
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57 66 88 526 39 (KB. Mcrp B MecJn.\) KalK,n,u aKCnOpTHllJl.lIH.UeH3ID1
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l-13 )K}IpHaIla "World Press Review"
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)JaHU31lb Kayrj;MaH - Ha)l'tH1>lU pa60mHUK, pa60malO/J.fUu no npUz,1aUleHUlO 1'1 rapl'lapiJcKoM uHcmumyme MeJICOyHapoiJH020 pa3l'1umUJl npu noiJiJepJICKe BceMUPH020 6aHKa. PaHee OH 1'I03Z1la6.l1Jlll. npeiJcmal'lUme.tlbCmeO BCeMUPlf.020 6aHKa 6 Kueee (YKpauHa). HaCmOR/J.faJI cmambR OCH06aHa Ha e20 nOClleiJHeM uCCIleiJo6aHuu "HeOocmalOlII.l1.J1. onopa cmpamezuu pocma tI YKpaune: perJlOPMN iJA.R pa3t1UmU lfaCmHOZO ceKmopa", Komopoe ZOm06UmCJl K U3oaHulO noiJ peiJaKl(ueii KOpHe.tluyca U JIeHauHa, YKpauna: YCKopenue nepexooa 1C P"IHIQI, MB(/J, BaUlUHmlOH, O.x. JfHrj;opMal(UlO MOJICHO no~ty'lUmb no aiJpecy: Harvard Institute for International Development ( HIID), One Eliot St., Room 414, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, United States, tel. 617-496-9035,fax 617-495-0527, Email: [email protected].
1997 BC8M/lfPHblt1 6aHK
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9
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:>Ke l1PHH5l:JI rrOCT MHHHCTpa cpHHaHCOB OT ArIcKcaHLlpa JIHBIImua, BepHYBIIIeroC5l: B anMHHHCTparrHIO rrpe3H.LI:CHTa Ha nOJI:>KHOCTb 3aMCCTHTCJIJI PYKOBOnHTCJIJI CJIy:>K6hI rrpe3I1neHTa. rJIaBHaJI 3a)laqa Qy6aHca 3aKJIIO'IaCTC5l: B pecpopMHpOBaHHH HC3cpcpeKTHBHOH CHCTCMbI c60pa HlL'IOrOB POCCHH,
YBeJIHQCHHH nOXOnOB nJ1:JI rrYCTOH. 6IO)l)KeTlIOH Ka3HbI H HHHIlHHpoBaHHH 6aHKOBCKHX pCcpOpM. (ArreKcaHnp MOP030B 3KOHo~mCT, pa60TaIOmHH BO BCCMHPHOM 6aHKe, 06'bJICHHJI, 'ITO rrcpBblM IIIaroM MOrJIO 6b1 CTaTh C03naHHe HaUHOHaJIbHOH cpcncpa.'IbHOH Ka3HaqeHCKOH CHCTCMbI, rrpenHa3Ha'leHHOH ).I)HI: KOOpJlHHaUHH 6aHKOBCKHX oncpaUHH rrpH rrOMOmH rocynapCTBCHHblX 6IO)l)KCTHbIX CpCnCTB. 3TO npHBCnCT K rrOCTcrrCHHOMY COKPaIUCHHIO KOJIH'lCCTBa neHCTByromHX B HaCTOJImeC BpCM5l: KOM~fepqCCKHX 6aHKOB. OHH ~mlyr 6blTh 3aMcHCHbi ceThIO pCrHOHaJIhHbiX CPUJIHa.'IOB Ka3-HaQCHCTBa, pa60TaIOmHX HCrrOCpCJlCTBCHHO C UCHTpaJIhHhIM 6aHKOM
POCCHH).
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ceTH COUHaJIbHOH 3amHTbI, KOTOPaJI rr03BOJIHT KOMrraHHJIM rrpOBCCTH pe-
10
CTpYKTYPH3alUiIO H YCTaHOBHTh HOBbIe OTHOIIICHHJI C perHOHaJIbHbIMH rrpaBlfre.J1:bCTBaMH.
• HKOB YpHHCOH, 3aMeHHBIIIHH Ha rrocTY MHHHCTpa3KOHOMHKH EBrCHHJI 5IcHHa (OH 6bIJI rrcpBhIM 3aMCCTHTCJIe~1 5IcHHa) H Ha3Ha'ICHHbIH TaK:>Ke 3aMeCTHTCJIeM rrpeMbep-MHHHCTpa. MHHHCTepCTBO 3KOHOMHKH rrOrJIOTHJIO MHHHCTepCTBa rrpOMbIIIIlICHHOCTH H 060POHHOH rrpOMhIIIIJIeHHOCTH. MHHHCTCPCTBO CTpOHTCJIbCTBa 6bIJIO yrrpa3nHCHO. 5ICHH, B CBOIO O'Iepenh, CTaJI MHHHCTpOM 6e3 rropTcpCJIJI, 3aHHMalOmHMCJI aHaJIH30M rrOJIHTHKH.
• Anb<llpe~ Kox, rrpOnOJIXaIOmHH B03rJIaBJIJITb rOCYnapcTBeHHhIH KOMHTCT HMym:CCTBa (rKI1) H 3aH5l:BIIIHH nOJ1::>KHOCTh 3aMeCTHTCJIJI rrpCMbCpMHHHCTpa.
• OJler CblcyeB, M3p CaMapbl, 3aHJIBIIIHH TaK:>KC rrOCT 3aMCCTHTCJI5l: rrpeMbCp-MHHHCTpa, OTBe'IaIOmCrO 3a pecpopMbI B :>KHJIHmHO-KOMMYHaJIhHOM CCKTOpc.
lie3PaAOCTHaJl KapTHHa HOBa5l: KOMaHLla rrpHHHMaeT 3KOHOMHKY, IIJIbiByruyIO 6C3 pym[ H BeTpUJI, B KOTOPOH MHornc BorrpOCbI, CBJI3aHHble C rrpOBCnCHHeM pecpopM, HC pCIIICHbi (BK.!1IO'Ia5l: peryJIHpOBaHHC roCYJlapCTBCHHhIX MOHOrrOJIHH, pa3pa-60TKY rrpoucnyp 6aHKpOTCTBa, KOJlHcpHKauHIO rrpHBaTH3aUHH 3CMJIH H 3aKOHOJlaTeJIhCTBO, KacaIOmeeCJI PhIHKa ueHHbIX 6yMar), H BbiCOKO COUHaJIhHOe Harrp5l::lKeHHe.
lilO)l,lKeTHbIH KPH3HC OCHOBHOH rrpo6J1:CMOH OCTaCTCK HC
crroc06HOCTh rrpaBlfreJIhCTBa BbirrOJIHHTh 6IO)l)KeTHbiC 06H3aTCJIbCTBa H
c06paTb 3aIIJIaHHpOBaHHbIC HaJIOrH. Hccrroco6HOCTh MOCKBbI BblIIJIaTHTh 3apIIJIaTY MHJIJIHOHaM pa60'IHX rocy
napCTBeHHbIX rrpC,IIIIpHJITHH H rrCHCHOHepa.\.f H OIIJIaTHTh CqCTa 'IaCTHbIX rrOAPHnqHKOB ycyry6UJIO HCnOBOJ1:hCTBO POCCHHCKOro HaCeJICHHJI. 3a)lOJIxeHHOCTh rro 3apIIJIaTC Ha KOHCU MapTa 1997 r. COCTaBUJIa 60JICC 50 TpJIH
py6. ($8,8 MJIPJl), H3 KOTOPbIX rocy-
napCTBO nOJ1::>KHO 10 TPJ1:H, HJIH OKOJIO 6 rrpOUCHTOB 0CPHUHaJIbHO 3apernCTpHpOBam-IOH ronoBOH C)'MMbI 3apIIJIaT. EIO)l)KeTHhlc nOXO)lhI B JIHBaPC<l>eBparrC 1997 r. COCTaBHJIH BCCro 55%, a paCXO)lbl 50 % OT 3aIIJIaHHpOBaHHOro YPOBHJf.
K KOHIJ;y 1996 r. 3a)lOJIlKeHHOCTh npcn
rrpHKTHH APyr APyry nOCTHrJIa 490 TpJ1:H py6., HJIH 25 % BBII (rro cpaBHeHHIO C 15 % B 1995 r.), a Henoc60p cpcnepaJIbHblX Ha.'lOrOB COCTaBUJI Cille 61 TpJIH. EaprephI CTaJLH 06b1'IHhIM JfBJICHHeM H COCTaBJUIIOT, B03MO:>KH0, 80 % rrJIaTC:>KCH rrpOH3BOnHTeJIHM 3HCproHOCHTeJICH. MHornc CPHpMbl He OTCbmalOT rrpOnYKUHIO, rrOKa K.!1HCHT HC CnCJIaCT rrpenOIIJIaTY. MB<D OTKa-3aJIC5l: rrpCnOCTaBHTh B cpeBparre 1997 r. TpaHIII CBOCro paCIIIHpCHHoro KPC)lHTa Ha cyMMY $10 MJIpn, T.K. He 6bIJI YSCpCH B KpCnHTocrroco6HOCTH OIOnXCTa 1997 r. BIO)J;.lKCTHhIH J.."PH3HC 3anCp.lK.IfBaCT CHHXCHHC rrpOUCHTHhIX CTaBOK, 'ITO .lK.If3HCHHO Ba:>KHO lJ)IJf qaCTHbIX HHBeCTHUHH.
COKpaW;alOJ.D;aJlCJI 3KOHOMHKa
BBII POCCHH B reqCHHC rrOCJIeLlHHX CCMH JreT COKpaluaCTCK; B 1996 r. coKPaIUCHHe COCTaBUJIO 6 % - 50JIcc KPYTOC l1a)leHHC rro cpaBHemuo C 4 %, 3aperIiCTpHpOBaHHhIMH B 1995 1'. lIo rrpom03aM BCcMHpHoro 6aHKa, coKPamCHHC rrpCKpaTHTCK B 3TOM roLlY, HO rrOJIOXHTCJIhHblH POCT HCJIb3JI O)KHJlaTb paHce 1998 r. rocynapCTBeHHbiH CTaTHCTH'lCCKHH KOMlfreT croc
KOMcTaT) C006mHJI 17 MapTa, 'ITO rro cpaBHCHHIO C TaKHM :>Ke rrcpHO
nOM rrpOIIIJIoro rona BBTI POCCHH B JIHBapC BbipOC Ha 0,1 %, a B CPCBPaJIC
Ha 0,9 %. Ho 3TOT 060APHIOIUHH POCT 6b1JI "C03naH", rro MHCHlilO pacrroJIOXCHHOro B MOCKBC H <pllHaHCHpy
CMOro EBporrCHCKHM CoI030M HHCTH
TYTa MaKP03KOHOMH'ICCKf[1( HCCJIenOBaHHH, H3J1:0:>KCHHOMY B C:>KeMCC5l:'IHOM OT'leTe "POCCHHCKHe 3KOHOMH'IeCKHC TCHLleHUHH", CTaTHCTHKaMH rOCKOMCTaTa. rOCKOMCTaT rrOBhICUJI CBOIO OUCHKY pa3MCpa 'lepHoil: 3KO-
1997 BceMwpHbli7t 6aHK
HOMHIGI B 1997 r. LJ:O 25 % no cpaBHeHHIO C rrpOllIJIOrO.lI.HHMH 20 %, HO He rrpoH3BeJI KOPlXIcrHpOBKH UH<PP 1996 r. B CTOPOHY ya(~JIWIeHH5[. Be3 :noro "MaCCa:lKa LJ:aHHhlX" coo6IUeHHhIH BBII CHH3HJICJI 6hl B RHBape Ha 6 %. HOBM MeTOLJ:OJIOrHR n03BOJIHJIa 6hl nOJIy'lliTh 5 %-[1 pOCT B cPeBpaJIe. 31'0 6hlJIO CJIHIIIKOM MHoro ;:(alKe ,lJ,JIR CTaTHCTH'IecKoro yrrpaBJIeHHR, n03TO
MY OHH CKOppeKTHpOBaJIH UHcPPY B CTOPOHY CHIDKeHH5L
)lpyrHe HOBhle UHcPPhI CJIeJJ:YeT oueHHBaTh B CBeTe 3TH:x MaHHIIYJIRUHH. B RHBape-cPeBPaJIe npOH3BOLJ:CTBO KaK yrJIR, TaK H ::meKTP03HeprnH CHH3HJIOCh Ha 4 %. PeaJIhHhlH nOCJle ytIJIaThI HaJIOroB LJ:0XOLJ: HaceJIeHHR BhlpOC Ha 5 %, H CpeJJ:H5[R MeCR'IHM 3apllJIaTa yaeJIH'IHJIaCh LJ:O 885 000 py6 ($155). KOJIIr'IeCTBO JIIOn:eH, np0::lKHBaIOIUHX HH:lKe npO:lKHTO'IHOrO MHHHMYMa
(404 000 py6. Ha KOHeu cPeBpaJIR), yMemmHJIOCh C 31,9 MJIH B RHBape LJ:O 31,5 MJIH B Q)eBpane.
COtntaJIbBOe BanpJDKeBHe BhlpOCJIa H npHo6peJIa Ba:lKHOe 3Ha'IeHHe HOBM IIPOMhIIIVleHHM H cPHHaHCOBM 3JIHTa. PyKoBoLJ:HTeJIH BeJJ:YIUHX MOHOnOJIHH cOBeTcKoH 3phI, TaK :lKe KaK H rrpe,uCTaBHTeJIH arpeCCHBHbIX
6aHKoBcIGIx Ii cPHHaHCOBbIX KPyroB, CKOHueHrpHp0BaJIH OrpOMHYIO BJIaCTh H 60raTCTBa, BOCnOJIh30BaBIIIIfCb noJIHTH'IeCKHMH CBR35IMH, He'IeTIGlMH IIpaBHJIar.m H rrpo6eJIaMH B 3aKOHOn:aTeJIbCTBe. MHorne pOCCH5IHe rOBOPRT, 'ITO KOHueHTpaUH5I 60raTCTBa H BJIHRHHR B PYKax HeCKOJIbKHX, HMeIOIUH:x HaJJ:e:lKHhle CBR3H 6aHKHPOB H npOMhllIIJ1:eHHHKOB, LJ:1ICKpeJJ:HTHpOBaJIa pecPopMbI. HeMIIOB H tIy6aHc nOJIyqHJIH 3a,naHHe O:lKHBHTh pecP0pMhl H 06eCne'lHTh UHPKYJIHpOBaHHe 60raTcTBa CpeLJ:H P5ID:OBhIX rpa:lKJJ:aH POCCHH. (BOpHC HeMITOB 3wnUL1 BCKOpe rrOCJIe ero Ha3Ha'IeHHR, 'ITO PocCH.5I Terreph lIOJI:lKHa ClIeJIaTh Bhl60p Me)!(JJ:Y "6aH,!UITCKHM KanHTaJIH3MOM 11 KaIIHTaJIH3MOM C 'IeJIOBe'IeCKHM JIHUOM". OH HroBaJI ce6R npHBep:lKeHueM nOCJIe,um:ro).
npHBaTH3atnt.ll HBcaif,nepaMH Ha 6yMare PCCCHH HMeeT 15,000 aKUHOHepHhIX KOMIIaHHH H 40 MHJIJIHOHOB aKllHOHCPOB - 06e UHcPPhl caMble KPyTIHhlC B MlfPe. Ho cpeJJ:ll c06-CTBemmKOB IlPOLJ:OJDK.a1OT LJ:OMHHHPOBaTh HHC<lHLJ:CPhI, If npeJJ:llOJIaraeMOro H36aBJIeHH5I OT y6hlTO'IHhIX npeLJ:IIpHHTHH He npOH30llLIO. CeMb BeJJ:Y
IUH:x cPHPM, 3c.llJIaTHBIIIIfX MeHee 20% CBOH:x HarrorcB, 6bmH IIpeJJ:yIIpe:lK.ll:e
Hhl, H B KOHue npollIJIoro roLJ:a HM 6bIJl1l BpyqeHhl LJ:oKyMeHThl 0 6aHKpOTCTBe. ABTornraHT BA3, pacnOJIO-
1997 BceMMOHblM 6aHK
:lKemIhlH B TOJIh5ITTH, 6hlJI BbIHY:lKLJ:eH COmaCHThCK npOLJ:aTh 51 % CBOHX aKIIHH H3-3aHaJIoroBOH 3a,n:0JI:lKeHHOCTH. Ho TaTapcTaHcKHH aBTOrnraHT
KaMA3, KOTOPhlH 6hlJI nepBOHa'IaJIhHO BHeceH B cnHCOK 6aHKPOTOB, BHe-3anHO 6hlJI y6paH H3 Hero.
CBlllKeHHe nllll IIpRMble HHOCTpaHHhle HHBeCTHUHH B 1996 r. LJ:OCTHrJIH $800 MJIH, 'ITO HH:lKe $1,5 r.mpLJ:, 3aperncTpHpoBaHHoro B 1995 r. KoppynUH1I, HaJIoroo6JIo:lKeHHe, BOJIOKHTa H npaBOBaR HeonpeLJ:eJIeHHOCTb rrpoLJ:OJI:lKaIOT OCTaBaThCR OCHOBHhIMH fiaPhCPaMH. ,B 1996 r. 6hlJIO Ha'IaTO Bcero HeCKOJIhKO npoH3BOLJ:CTBeHHhlX npOeKTOB, TaKH:x KaK CTpOHTeJIhCTBO cPa6pHIGI no BhlrryCKY moKOJIaLI.HhIX 6aTOH'IHKOB Snickers Ha CYMMY $140 MJIH. B TaTapCTaHe GM Ha'IaJI CTpOHTeJIhCTBO aBTOc60po'IHoro 3aBOLJ:a, H IO:lKHO-KOpeHcKM aBTOKOMIIaHHR KIA Motors nJIaHHpyeT OTKPhlTh eIUe OJJ:llH aBTOc60pO'IHhlH 3aBOLJ: B KaJIHHHHrpa,n:e. Ii Bce :lKe ::mepreTH'IeCIGIH ceKTop OCTpO HY:lKLJ:aeTCR B HHheKIIH5IX HHOCTpaHHoro KanHTaJIa H TeXHOJIOrHH: IIpOH3BOn:CTBO HecPTH C 1987 r. COKParnnOCb Ha 40% H B 1996 r. yMeHhIlIUJIOCb elue Ha 2%. O.lI.HaKO ,UyMa OTKa3aJIaCb rrOJJ:flHcaTb cnHCOK yTBep:lK.ll:eHHbIX rrooBblx H HecPTRHhIX MeCTopO:lK.ll:eHHH H 6e3 3Toro 3aKOH 1995 r. 0 ,uOJIeBOM pac
npeLJ:eJIeHHH np0.uyKuHH He MO:lKeT BCTyIIHTh B CHJIY. IIpaBHTeJIhCTBO He LJ:06HJIOCh HHKaKoro ycnexa B npHBaTH3aUHH TCJIeKOMMYHHKaUHOHHOH KOMnaHHH CBR3hHHBeCT, KOTOpM 6hl.Jl:a OTMeHeHa B nOCJIe,uHIOIO MHHYTY B n:eKa6pe 1995 r.
BOJlee CBeTJlaJi cropoHa: aKcnopT paCTeT ... IIpH'IHHOH ,lJ,J'IR onTHMH3Ma MO:lKeT 6hITh POCT 3KcnOPTa POCCHH H nOBhlmeHHe cPHCKaJIbHOH cTa6HJIbHOCTH. 3KCnOPT B 1996 r. BhlpOC Ha 8,3 % H LJ:OCTHr $86,5 MJIP,u, a HMIIOPT H3MCHHJICR He3Ha'IHTeJIhHO H COCTaBHJI $46,6 MJIPLJ:, 06eCnC'IHB POCCHH noJIO:lKHTeJIhHOe CaJIbLJ:O ToproBoro 6aJIaHCa B proMepe $40 MJIPLJ:. Ii3 3TOH CYMMbI CJICJJ:YeT BbI'IeCTb TOBaphI Ha CyMMY OKOJIO $8 MJIP,u, BB03HMhle "'IeJIHOKaMH". Ha HCcPTh H ra3 npHXOLJ:HTeR 45 % 3KCnOPTa. POCcHHcKHe 3KcnoprephI OPY:lKHH 3apa6OTaJIH OKOJIO $3 MJIPLJ: Ha npOLJ:alKe HCTpc6HTeJIeH KHTaIO H HHJJ:HH. IiMnopT 6hlJI npeLJ:CTaBJIeH maBHhlM 06prooM 060-
pYLJ:OBamieM, MJICOM, caxapOM H cnHPTHhIMH HanHTKaMH. B npOlliJIOM roJJ:Y Mhl CTaJIH CBHJJ:eTeJIRMH yMepeHHoro O::lKHBJICHHR TOproBJIH C COJJ:PY:lKeCTBOM He3aBHCHMhlX rOCyn:apCTB
(CHr). Ha CTpaHhl CHr npHllIJIOCb 20% 3KCnOpTa H 30 % HMnOPTa - no-
TpaHc¢opMa~M~anpeflb1997
BhlmeHHe Ha 12,5 H 8,3 % COOTBCTCTBeHHO. B Ka'ICCTBe 'IaCTH ,uoroBOpeHHOCTH C MB<D nOllIJIHHa Ha 3KcrropT 6hIJIa OTMeHeHa B anpCJIe Ha Bce TO
Baphl, 3a HCKJIIO'ICHHeM HeqrrH, a B HIOJIe OHa 6hllIa CIDITa H C HeqrrH, XOTK rrOTepR LJ:0X0LJ:0B 6hlJIa KOMIIeHCHpoBaHa nOBhlmeHHCM aKUH3a Ha necPTb (onJIa'IHBacMoro BHYTpeHHHMH norpe6HTeJIRMH). TapHcPhl Ha HMnoPT 6bmH H3MeHeHhI B Mac, XOTR cpen:HHR CTaBKa TapHcPOB OCTanaCh Ha ypOBHe 14-15 %.
... 11 YCTOHtIHBblH py6J1b, H xopowee 41HHaBcoBoe nOJlOlKeBHe B 1996 r. py6JIh COXpaHHJI CBOIO CTOHMOCTh B peaJIhHOM BhlpalKeHHH no OTHorneHHIO K LJ:OJIJIapy, 3aBepllIHB roLJ: npH COOTHomeHHH 5 500 py6. 3a LJ:OJIJIap. HOMHHaJlbHOe CHH:lKeHHe CTOHMOCTH Ha 20 % rrpH6JIH3HTeJIbHO paBHRJIOCh BHYTpcHHeMYypoBHIO HH
<Pmurmr. IJ;empaJIhHbI.H 6aHK YLJ:ep:lKaJl py6JIb B paMKax "KOpHLJ:Opa", BBeLJ:eHHOro B HIDlIe 1995 r., H B HIDlIe 1996 r. rrepemeJI Ha HaKJIOHHhlH KOPHIIOP (CpOLJ:HH nOJI3yqeH npHBR3Ke Kypca), napaMeTphl KOToporo 6hlJIH o6'bRBJleHhI 3a mCCTh MCCRueB LJ:O ero BBCLJ:eHHR. B MaC 1996 r. POCCHR o6'bRmura 0 CBOeM HaMepeHHH npHCOeLJ:HHHThC.sI K CTaThe 8 YCTaBa MB<D, 'ITO 03Ha'raCT KOHTOKOPPCHTHYIO KOHBepTHpyeMOCTh py6JIH. OcPHUHaJlhHhle pe3epBhl B HOR6pe HeCKOJIbKO CHH3HJIHCh Ii 00-
CTaBHJIH $16 MJIPLJ:, B TO BpeMR KaK OTTOK KanHTaJIa 3a ron: LJ:OCTHr $12
MJIPLJ:. POCCHHCKHC rpa:lKJJ:aHe H cPHPMhl B HaCTORIUee BpeMR XpaHKT OT
$40 MJIPLJ: LJ:O $50 MJrpLJ: 3a rpammeii. B LJ:onOJIHCHHe K KpeLJ:HTY MB<I> Ha CyM
MY $10,1 MJIPLJ: BceMHpHhlH 6aHK on:06pHJI npeLJ:OCTaBJIeHHe BOCbMH KpeLJ:HTOB B 1996 r. Ha CYMMY $1,8 M.lrp)J; Ha peCTpYKTYPH3aUHH npeJJ:IIpHHTHH H pa3BHTHC COUHaJlhHOH HHcPpaCTpYKTYPhI. B KOHue npOllIJIoro ro,ua rocynapCTBeHHhIC 06JIHraUHH POCCHH KO
THPOBaJIHCh Me:lK.ll:YHapOLJ:HhlMH PCHTHHrOBhlMH areHTCTBaMH KaK HHBecTHUHOHHhIe LJ:OKyMeHThl. AKUHH rrorrpor..ta KOTHPYIOTCJI na JloHJJ:oHcKOH cPOHn:OBOH 6 Hp)l{e , a Vimpe1-Communications - KOMnaHHK, o6ecnC'IHBaIOIUM M06HJIhHYIO TelIecPoHHYIO CBR3h, CTa.'la nepBoH Kor..maHHeH, KOTHPYIOIUeHCH Ha HhIO-HOPKCKOH cPOHJJ:OBOH 6Hp:lKe.
Ha OCH08aHUU Om'lem08 uHq;opMau,uOHHOZO azeHmCme(l Reuters, Ha}"lHO-UCCIIedooameJIbClCozo uHcmumyma omlCpblmblX cpeiJcme Maccoeou uHfjJopMau,uu u HaY'lHO-UcclleiJoeamellbclCou zpynnbl Oxford Ma/yfica. Bblpa:HCaeM Z/ly6o"YlO 61lazoiJapHocmb 3a MamepUGIlbl, npeiJocmaelleHHble opzaHu3au,ueu Johnson :s- Russia List.
11
TP8HC¢OPM8~~~8npenb 1997
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BMecTo TOro 'IT06bI .lJ.YMaTh 0 Cy6CH,UHJIX, POCCHRCKOMY rrpaBIITelIhCTBY CJIe,UyeT CTHMYJIHpOBaTh 06)"ICHHe TbICH'I MOJIO,UbIX POCCHHH UCKYCCTBY PCCTpYKTYPH3aUHH, yrrpaBJIeHHH B YCJIOBHHX Kap,UHHaJIhHbIX U3MeHeHHR U rro,UrOTOBKH rrpoo:e.uyp 6aHKpOTCTBa, rrOChIJIaH HX B Ka'IeCTBe )"IeHHKOB B HaH60JIee pa3BHTbIe rrpOMbIIIIJICHHhIe pernOHhI, CTOJIKHYBIIIHCCJI C yrrOMJIHYTbIM KpH3HCOM. OHO .ll.OlI)KHO BOCrrOlIh30BaThCJI HHOCTpaHHOR rrOMOmhJO H 3aKlIJO'IHTh KOHTPaKThI C JI)"IlIIHMH YHHBepCHTeTa~m Ha o6yqeHHe rro BoceMHa.uo:aTHMeCH'IHoR rrporpaMMe MBA.
BblaepJlCIW U3 KHU2U KpeMAeecKuii KanUmtlJlU3M - npueamU3au.UJI poccuiicKoii 3KOHOMUKU, noa20mOeJleWlOU j(JlC03erjJoM P. DJla3U, Maud, KpOYMOeou U j(YZI/aCOM KpY3e e u3iJameJlbCmee Cornell University Press, 19962., 190 C.
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c6epeJKeHRH ;r yseJIH'leHRH HMIIOPTa. H36bITOK LleHer rrO'lTH HC'le3. K 1994 r. BJIRHHlIe crrpoca YJKe 3Ha'lHTeJIhHO CHR3IDIOCh. B TO speMH KaK CHR)l(eHRe rrpOMblUIJIeHHOrO rrpOH3Bo,nCTBa B 1992r.RI993r.o6bJIcHHJIochrJIaBHbIM 06pa30M PC3KlIM COKpaWCHRCM BblrrycKa BoeHHoH rrpOm'Kl1,HHH H BbI3-
1997 BceMMpHblii16aHK
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13
TPSHC¢OPMS4UR,snpenb 1997
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14
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77,5 65,5 72,7
npOBe.n:eHHeM B 3TOM ro.n:y Bhl60pOB. EOJIce 6JIH3KHM K HCTHHe o6'bHcHeHHCM B ,UOJIroCpoqHOM llJIaHe HBJIHeTCH 3P03H.II HaJIOroBOit 6a3bI - CCTeCTBeHHoe Sl:BJIeHHC npH ,UenpCCCHSl:X TaKoro MacIIITa6a. Mhl He MO.'lKCM npc,UnOJIO.'lKHTb, 'ITO rocy,UapCTBCHHhle ,UOXO,Uhl 6yJl:YT H)J,TH Hora B HOry C ,Uoxo,UaMH npe,UnpH.lITHit, CCJIH nocJle,UHHe ynaJIH HH.'lKe 60-70 npoueHTOB CBocro HOPMaJIbHOro YPOBHJI. (HaMepeHHe HeCKOJIbKO BOCCTaHOBHTb ,UOXOll,bI B 1997 r. paCCMaTPHBaCTCH 6MbIlIHHCTBOM 3KcnePTOB KaK HepCaJIHCTHqHOC).
TaKHM 06Pa30M, HCKOTOPOC YBeJIHqeHHe PCaJIbHoit CYMMhl rocy,UapCTOOHHhlX paCXO,UOB, He Bhl3hlBa.II pHCKa nOBbIIlIeHHSl: HH<pJISl:UHH, B03MO.'lKHO. B Ka'ICCTBC ncpBOro mara Mhl npe.n:JIaraCM, 'IT06hl npaBHTeJIhCTBO HaqaJIO BbIIIJIa'IHBaTb CBOH C06CTBCHHhlC 3a)lOJI)KeHHOCTH, HaKonHBIIIHecSI B 1995 r. H 1996 r. KaK <PHPMaM (3a TOBaPhl H YCJIyrH, 3aKa3aHHhlC H nOJIYt:[CHlIbIC npaBHTeJIbCTBoM), TaK H rpa.'lK,UaHaM (rocy.n:apCTBcHHbIM C.JIY)K.all(HM H nCHCHOHCPaM), KaK eno 6bL'IO npe.n:yCMO'l'pCHO yrncp)l{,L1:eHHbIMH 61OL1:.'iKeTaMH TeX JIeT, ,Ua:iKe CCJIH 3TH BhlllJIaTbI npeBbIC.IIT roCy.n:aPCTOOHHhlC ,UOXO,Uhl. (06IUa.II 3a,UOJI.'lKCHHOCTb B 3KOHOMHKC B HaCTOSl:IUee BPCMH no CKpOMHbIM nO,UCqCTaM npeBhlIIIaCT 300 TPHJIMOHOB py6JIcit - 3KBHBaJICm 150 npoUCHTOB MCCH'IHOrO HOMHHaJIbHOrO BBIT. 06hlqHhlM HBJICHHeM JI)1.II KOMnaHHH CTaJIa 3aLT:ep.'iKKa 3apllJIaThl Ha TPH-qeTbIpC MeCSl:ua, a TO H 6oJIbIlIe, a B HCKOTOPhlX CJIyqaIIX 3apllJIaTa He BhlllJIaqHBaeTcH 60JIee IlICCTH MecHUCB. HeKOTophle KOMnaHHH nJIaT.IIT CBOHM pa60THHKaM npOJl:YKUHcit, a HC .n:elIbraMH, H MYHHUHnaJIRTeThl BbIny)I{,Ll:CHhl, Kor.n:a 3TO B03MO.'lKH0, pacnpe,UCJI.lITb OCHOBHhlC npOJl:YKThl nH-
TaHHSl: Henocpe.n:CTBeHHO - 'lepe3 KYnOHhI Ha IIpoJl:YKThl nHTaHHH H T.n. - B aBapHitHoM nopR)lKe). 91'0 cpa3Y.'lKe .n:aJIO 6hl TOJI'IOK 3KOHOMHKe B BH,Ue YBeJIH'IeHH.II arperaTHoro cnpoca H no KpaHHeit Mepe nOMOrJIO 6hI OCTalIOBRTb Ha6JIIO.n:aeMoe B HacTOSl:IUee BpeMH CHH.'lKeHHe BBIT H npoMhIIIlJIeHHOro npOH3BO,UCTBa.
B Ka'IeCTBe COnyTCTBYIOIUeit MepbI B03MO.'lKHOe YBeJIH'IeHHe <pe.n:epaJIbHOro .n:e<pHURTa .n:0JI.'lKH0 <p~mancHpoBaTbCSl: KpeJl:HTaMH no.n: HH3KHe npoueHThI [(eHTpaJIbHOrO 6aHKa, a He ,UonOJIHIITeJIbHOH npo,Ua:iKeit rocy,UapCTBeHHbIX ueHHhlX 6YMar HJIH HOBhlMH KpeJl:HTaMH OT Me)l{,Ll:yHapo,UHhIX HHCTHTyTOB. ITpH'IHHa3a.KJIlO'IaeTCSl: B TOM, 'ITO B HaCTO.lIIUee BpeMH rrpo,UaHO 60JIbilie rocy.n:apCTBeHHhlX ueHHbIX 6YMar, 'IeM HX HMeeTCSl: B HaJIH'IHOCTH, H 3TOT PhIHOK MemaeT HHBeCTHpOBaHHIO B PCaJIbHhIH ceKTOp.
POCT cnpoca npHBe,UeT K COOTOOTCTBYIOIUeMY nOBhIIlIeHHIO npeJI)10.'lKeHHSl:. 3KOHOMHKa pa60TaeT HaMHOro HH.'lKe CBOHX B03MO.'lKHOCTeit, H YMepeHHOe YBeJIHqeHHC arperaTHoro cnpoca He nOJI.'lKHO C03.n:aTb HH¢ru:rr;(HOHHOro ,UaBJIeHHSI. Hao6opOT, eCJIH HH<pJISl:UH.II 06'bSl:CHSl:eTCH rJIaBHbIM 06pa30M npeJI)10.'lKeHHeM, 0 'leM MhI Y.'lKe rOBOPHJIH, TO YBeJm'IeHHe npOMhlrrmeHHOrD BhInYCKa ,UOJI.'lKHO npHBeCTH K CHH.'lKeHHlO nOCTOSIHHhlX y,UeJIhHhlX H3.n:ep~eK H TaK.'lKe K HeKOTOpOMY CHH.'lKeHHIO nepeMeHHhIX y,UeJIblIbIX H3,Uep::lKeK 6JIarOnapH nOBhIIlIeHHIO npOH3BO)J,HTeJIbHOCTH TPy,Ua H pacnpoCTPaHeHHIO 3HepreTH'IeCKHX 3aTPaT Ha 60JIee IllHpoKH:lt )J,Hana30H npoJl:YKII,HH.
HopMa c6epe~eHHit B rpynnax c 60-JIee BbICOKHMH ,Uoxo,UaMH H npH6hIJIb, nOJIyqaeMaSl: 6aHKaMH H HeKoTOphIMH "He60JIbIllHMH" (He3apernCTPHpOBaHHhIMH H cJIa60 KOHTPOJIHPyeMhlMH) qaCTHhIMH npeL1:llPH.lITH.lIMH, OCTalOTCSl: BhICOKHMH. Ho KanHTaJIbHble HHBeCTHUHH B 3KOHOMHKY 3Ha'-IHTeJIbHO CHH3HJIHCb B peaJIhHOM BbIpa.'iKeHJ1H H no OTHOIlIeHHIO K BBIT H3-3a rJIy6oKOM: ,UenpeccHH, <paKTI1-'IeCKOrO HCqe3HOBeHHH qHcTOit npH-
6bIJIH H KaTaCTPo<pH'IeCKH BhICOKHX npOueHTHhlX CTaBoK. (Y'Iacrne HHOCTPaHHbIX <pHPM H COBMeCTHhlX npe,UnpH.IITHH B HHBeCTHUHSl:X KanHTaJIa 6hIJIO OTHOCH1'eJIbHO HeOOJIHKo). 9ToT Pa3PhIB CTaJI O)J,HHM H3 OCHOBHhIX 6apbepoB Ha nYTH 3KOHOMH'IeCKoro no,n:neMa. YCTPaneHHe HJIH no KpaHHeM: Mepe COKpaIUeHHe 3TOro Pa3PhIBa ,UOJI.'lKHO 6hITb O)J,HOH H3 rJIaBHbIX 3a,Ua'I 3KOHOMH'IeCKoit nOJIHTHKH POCCRR.
1997 BceMupHblU 6SHK
Ta6JJHna 3. KaIIHTaJJoB,10JKeHHlI. 1989-1996 rr. (rjJ0PMUpoBoHue OCHOBHOZO BatlOBOZO Iwnumatlo)
1989 1990 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
Ka nl1 Tan OB nO)KeH 11$1
B pearrbHOM BbIpaJICeHHH,
1990 1'. = 100 104 llOJUI BBIT (rrpOuelITbI) 23 3a BbJlleTOM aMOpTH3aUHH
H l1CTOIueHHlI (HelIP If
yroJlHH)* B pearrbHoM BbIpalKeHl1H,
1990 I'. = 100 150 lloilll BBIT (rrpOl\elITbI) 13
JJ.onR (npOLjeHTbl) B Kan/lfTanOSnO)Kf;lH/lfRX:
ueHTp3..'IH30BaIUIblX HHBCCTHUHH
H3 cpeJIeplL'IbHoro H MeCTHblX 6IOJlJKeTOB 1I H3 ;[bI'O'J1{blX
100 19
100 9
6aHKOBCKHX !<pCJI!:ITOB 37 - BHYTpeHHllX HCTO'IHHKOB
H B3l!TbIX qllIpMa'dH B
!<peJIHT cpenCTB 62 - HHOCTpaHHoro KalIlffarra H
COIlMeCTHblX rrpe;mpHlITHH ,.
BanoBaR npJII6blflb B pe,UIhHOM BbIpaJKeHHH,
1990 r. = 1(10 100 lloJI}t BBIT (rrpOl(ClITbI) 24
!.f/lfCTaR npl16blflb B pe.UI:r,HO~ BbIp:.JICeHHH,
1990 1'. 1 )0 100 llOJIH BBIT (rrpoleHl 01) 11
51 14
23 4
30
69
89 30
123 20
45 16
30 6
38
57
2
63 24
75 14
34 18
30 8
32
64
2
25 11
16 3
30 15
17 5
63
3
26 13
25 6
25 13
8 3
20
13 7
14 4
'PaCCL;lrraHO rrpH cHlM,\J! 3aHHJKCHHYIO paBHoMepHYIO )lOJIIO aMOpTH3HaUHl1 H HC
TOlUCHH5I (10 rrpO;(eHTOB BBn). B )(eHCTBHTCJIbHOCTH ,:ITa )lOilll cTpeMHTclI K yBe
"'HqemUO rrp.\ CmlJKeHllH BBn. ITo JlaHHbIM 1990 r., OHa COCTaBHJIa 15 rrpoueu
TOil. ECJIH 6bl 3Ta 'lOlUl 6bIJIa 3KcrparrOm!pOllaHa, qHCTbIe HHlleCTHUHH, HaqHHaJI C
1992 r., rrpllHlIJIH 6bl OTpHl\aTeJIbHOe 3HaqeHHe.
HcmO'fHUlC' Russian Economic Trends (POccuuClwe 3KOHOMUlfeClwe meHiJeH14uu) 3a pa:l.'IH'IHbIe rOJlbI H paCqeTbI, OCHOBaHHbIe Ha 3TOM HCTOqHHKe.
TpaHc¢opMa~MR,anpenb 1997
qacThIO XOPOUlO C!}JOpMyJlliPOBaHHO~ npOMbIllIJICHHO~ nOJIHTHKH, HanpaBJIeHHO~ Ha 03,nopOB.!'TeHHe 3KOHOMHKH, KpoMe YCTpaHeHHjI npaBoBhIX H a.II.MHHHCTpaTHBHbIX 6aphepoB Ha nyrn HHocTpaHHhIX HHBecTHU:H~, ,nOJDKHO CTaTh ynCJIMqCHHC rocy,napCTBeHHhlX HHBeCTHu:H~. llpaBHTeJIhCTBO ,nOIDKHO HHBCCTHpOBaTh cpe,nCTBa B npc,nnpHjlTHjI HJUI COBMCCTHO C npc,nnpHjlTHjlMH Ha OCHOBe C,nCJIOK 0 pacnpeL\CJICHHH npH6hlJlH, qro 06ccneqHT 6hlCTphl~ L\06aBJIeHHhI~ ,nOXOL\ B 6IO,nXCT HJIH cneU:HaJIhHhlC BHC6IO,UXCTHhIC <pOH,UhI C OlIHOBpCMeHHhIM CO-3naHHCM pa60qHX MCCT H nOBhIUleHHCM peaJIhHOrO ,noxo,na nOTpc6HTeJIe~. TaKHM 06Pa30M, YBCJIHqeHHC rocynapcTBCHHhIX HHBCCTHu:H~ HC OKruKCT CCPbe3HOro BJIHjlHHjI Ha B0306HOBJICHHC pOCTa HH<pJIjlU:llll. 3TllllHBCCTllU:llH L\OJIXHbI 6hITh HanpaBJICHhl Ha OPHCHTnpOBaHHbIC Ha 3KcnoPT oTpacJIM npoMbIllL'IeHHOCTH (rrpo1l3Bo,nCTBO HC<PTll, BhlnyCK U:BCTHhIX MeT<L1.lIOB, TaKllX KaKaJIIOMHHllH), a TaKXe B rrllmeBYIO npOMhIIlL'IeHHOCTh H Ha BhlnyCK nOTpe6llTCJIhCKHX TOBapoB (HOBbIe HHBeCTllUllll ilOJIXHbI naTh TOJIqOK 6hlCTpOMy BOCCTaHOBJIeHHIO npo-113BOnCTBa H L\BHxeHHIO ,neHCXHOH HaJIHqHOCTll) .
CmaHUCAae MeHblUUlwe POCCUUClWU 31wHOMucm, nOllumU't{.eCKUU aHO/IUmUK U aemop EJICeMecR'tHozo cmpamezu'teCKOZO om'tema 0 nOA03lCeHUU 6 POCcuu u CoiJpy.»cecm6e e6po-a3UamCKUX zocyiJapc1n6 (Monthly Strategic Report on Russia and Eurasian Commonwealth). Email: [email protected].
TIpoopoTeTOM BaBKa ~OJDKeB 6bITh ~
3KOHOMll'leCKHH nO)J.'LeM
ll:mI1Jl r [1cceJI bKBI1CT
r-H MCHhUll.1KOB :10nHIDI ccphe3HhIH Bonpoc: noq~My '1pOHCXOnllT TaKoe rranCHHe POCCllHCKOil 3KOHOMllKH II 'ITO MO :KHO C [(eJIaTh c 3TllM HBJIeHlleM? B JlI060~ CJIY'lae, Kor,na Ha KapTy rrOCTaBJICHhI -JOJIhlllllC ,nOCTHXCHlljl H rrOTepH, BhlCKa3hIBaeTCjI 60JIhUlOe KOJIllqeCTBO Pa3.lllqHhIX MHCH~. XOTh jI II He ComaCC!I C HeKOTophlMH ero apryMcmaMll 11 PCKOMCH,UaIJ:ll5l:Mll no peUlemuo rrp06neMbI, jI nOJIaraIO, qTO OCHOBHOff Te3IIC, JaKJIIOqaIOmllH
CjI B TOM, 'ITO nomITllKa cTporo~ <pllCKa,'IhHO~ 3KOHOMIfH 3auma CJIllUIKOM
1997 BceMMpHblilt 6aHK
naJIeKO II He MOJKeT o6ecrreqHTh 3KOHOMllqeCKHH POCT, MO)Kf[O rrOMep:lKaTh.
OC06CHHO XOPOUlO 06'hjlCH5l:IOmCH CHTyaIJ:llIO H B TO xc BPCMjI Bhl3bIBaIOmeH TpeBory jI CqHTaIO 06cyxneHHe np06JICMhI CHllXeHlljl llHBeCTHU:HH. 3TO noxoxe Ha TO, 'ITO npoH30llIJIO B COC,UllHCHHhIX lIlTaTax BO BpeMeHa BCJIllKO~ ,llenpeCCllH. i1HBeCTllU:llll PC3KO COKpaTHJIllCh, Bhl3BaB MHoroKpaTHoe CHHxeHlle cnpoca Ha nO'Ipe6HTeJlhCKHe TonapbI, COKparu:e-
HHC pa60qeH CllJIhI H BBll. 06mM KeHHCllaHCKa5i TeOpll5l: onHCbIBaeT HenOCTaTOqHhlH arpcraTHhIH cnpoc KaK npllqllHY CHllxeHllH BBll H 3aHj{TOCTH BO BpeMj{ BeJIHKOH ,llcrrpccCHH. <l>aKThI, rrpe,nCTaBJleHHhle B Ta6-JIllu:e 3, cBH,neTeJIhCTB)'IOT 0 TOM xe. (llpllMeqaHlle: BO BpeMeHa BCJIHKOH ,llenpeCCHll naJ:(eHHe u:eH 3aCTaBJIjlJIO HHBeCTOpa.lK,[(aTh, 'ITO BeJIO K cOKpameHHIO HHBecmU:HH; KaK CBll,UeTeJIhcTByeT KeHHC, KOHe'IHoe BJIIDIHlie Ha arperaTHbI~ cnpoc II 3aHj{TOCTh 6hlJlO B HeCKOJIhKO pa3 BbIUle nepBOHaqaJIh-
15
TpaHc¢opMa~~R,anpenb 1997
HOro Hen:OCTaTKa HHBeCTHUI1H. B PocCHH 1990-x ro,llOB rrpWHIHa cOKpaweHHH HHBeCTliUHH 60JIbilie CBjl3aHa C rrOJIHTWleCKHMH pa3HOmaCHHMH, HO BJIHRHHe Ha arperaTHbIH crrpoc 6bIJIO aHaJIOrIf'!HhIM). fum 6bI jI rrpon:oJDKaJI 3aHHMaTbCH rrperrO,llaBaTeJlbCKOH ,lleJlTeJibHOCTbIO, H 6bI Mor BKJIIO'IHTb ,llaHHbIe, CO,llep)J{aWHeCH B Ta6JIl1ue 3, B TeCT BBO,llHOro KYPca B KOJIJIe,ll)J{e; JII060H CTY,llem, KOTOPbIH He cyMeJI 6bI rrOKa3aTb, 'ITO CHI1)J{eHHe Ha 75 rrpouemOB peaJIbHbIX arperaTHbIx UHBeCTHUHH B Te'IeHUe 1990-1996 IT. rrpl1BeneT K COKpaIlIeHI1IO BBII ITa 25-40 IIpoueHTOB, He Mor 6bI C'IHTaTbCR YCIIelliHO rrpOIlle)lIlIHM TeCT.
)laHHbIe, conep)J{awueCR B Ta6miue 1, nO)lTBep)J{)laIOT apryMem, 'ITO ne<PI1UHT 6IO,ll)J{eTa He 6bIJI IIPH'IHHOH HH<PJIjlfIUH B POCCHH. B 3TOM eCTb IIOJ'1HTl1KO-3KOHOMWIeCKHH CMbICJI: KOp
PYMIIHpOBaHHble 60ra'Il1 MOryr Jier'Ie IIOJij"IHTb ,lleHbrH 3a C'IeT 6aHKOB
CKHX KpenHTOB, 'IeM 3a C'IeT 6IO,ll)J{eTHbIX OT'IHCJIeHI1H; He BKJIIO'IM pacXOnbI B 6IO,ll)J{eT, IIpaB.RwaH 3JIHTa MO)J{eT nepeBOnHTb ,lleHbrl1 .upy::>KKaM 'Iepe3 6aHKI1. MbI BI1,llHM, 'ITO ,lleHe)J{HM Macca H Kpe,llHTbI pacT)"[ HaMHOro 6bICTpee, 'IeM H}'1KHO ,ll"iR rrOKpbITHH ,lle<pHUHTa 6IO,ll)J{eTa (CM. Ta6JII1-UY 1, oc06eHHo ,llaHHbIe 3a 1995 r. H 1996 r.). AHaiOrH'IHbIH apryMem MO)J{
HO "pHMeHHTb BO MHOrl1X npyrHX CTpaHax, r,lle MB<D H BceMHpHbIH 6aHK rrpoJ{B!-LiH 'Ipe3MepH)'IO HacTOH'Il1BOCTb B Tpe60BaHHl1 C06,iIO,llaTb CTpOryIO <pI1CKaJIbH)'IO 3KOHOMHIO, HO rn:e ,lle<pI1UI1T 6IO,ll)J{eTa He 06bRCH.ReT MOHeTapH)'IO 3KCIIaHCHIO H, KaK pe-
3YJibTaT, HH<pJIRUHIO.
KpOMe MOHeTapHOR 3KcrraHCHH, rroBblIlleHl1e ueH co CTOPOHhl IIpen;JIO)KeHHH, HeCOMHeHHO, 06bHCHHeT B 3Ha'Il1TeJIbHOH CTeneHH I1H<pJ'1.sIUHIO B POCCI1I1.
KaKOBO peIlIeHHe? 51 He comaceH C IIpe)lJiO)J{eHHHMH B CTaTbe, 'ITO peIlIeHHe 3aKJIIO'IaeTCH B H3MeHeHl1H MaKP03KOHOMH'IeCKOH IIOJIl1THKH uemPaJIbHbIM npaBHTeJIbCTBOM. )la, HCKOTopoe OCJIa6JIeHHe paMOK pacxon:OB
H YPOBHH ,lle<pI1IUlTa HMeeT CMbICJI; pacxonbI 3a C'IeT ,lle<pHUHTa HBJIRIOTCJ{ 'IaCTbIO peIlIeHHR. KTO MO)J{eT WH
BeCTWpOBaTh B ueJIRX paCIlIHpeHWR, Korn:a crrpoc HeBeJiWK? O,llHaKO OCHO
Ba pa6o'Iero peIlIeHWR rrpw n:OJIro
CPO'IHOM IIJlaHWpOBaHWW MO)J{eT HaXOn:WTbCH 60JIbilie B ITJIOCKOCTW W3Me
HeHWR B3aWMOOTHOIlleHl1H Me)J{)lY rrpaBl1TeJIbCTBOM W 6W3HeCOM B ueJIjlx
YBeJIWIeIIH.R 'IaCTHbIX mmeCTHUWH. K.aK 06eCrre'IHTb 60JIbIlIee n:OBepwe H 60-
JIee KperrKoe rrapTHepCTBO cpe)lH j"Ia-
16
CTHWKOB 3KOHOMH'IeCKoro IIpouecca (rrpaBHTeJIbCTBO, HapOn, pa60'IaR CWJIa, 6w3Hec)? KaK rrOMO'Ib MaJIOMY H cpe,llHeMY 6w3Hecy ,lleJIaTb WHBeCTWI..(HW? KaK rrOMO'Ib JIIO)l,RM il:eJiaTb WHBeCTHUHH B HOBbIe ,llOMa W KBapmpbI?
51 )lyMaIO, O,llHWM W3 OTBeTOB Ha 3TOT Borrpoc Mor 6bI 6bITb IIepeHOC HaJIO
rOBbIX W perymITOpHbIX <PYHKIIWR W3 MOCKBbI Ha ypOBeHb 06JIaCTHbIX W MeCTHbIX IIpaBHTeJIbCTB, 'IT06bI 6W3-Hec H rrpaBHTeJIbCTBO MOfJIH pa60TaTh BMeCTe 11 IIJIaHHPOBaTh Ha CBoeM YPOBHe. 3TO TaK)Ke 6Yn:eT peIlleHl1eM npo-6JieMbI KoppynlI.WH; rrpW6JIW)J{eHwe BJIaCTW K JIIO)l,RM W pa3pYIlIeHHe cpe,llOTO'II1H BJIaCTH B ueHTpC 06ecrre'IwBaeT 60JIee 'IeTKI1H rrpaBOBOH 11 ,lleMOKpaTW'IeCKWR KOHTpOJIb Ha,ll neRCTBHRMH npeCTynHHKOB. OTBeTCTBeHHOCTb 3a OCTa..ibH)'IO 'IaCTb rrpWBaTH-3aUl1W TaK)Ke M02KHO rrepenaTb Ha MC
CTa, 'IT06bI HpeKpaTHTh cocpenOTO'IeHWe BJIaCTH B PYKax He60JIbiliOR rpynnbI KOppYMIIl1pOBaHHbIX pa60THWKOB, CH,llRWHX B MocKBe.
fJIaBHM 3KOHOMW'IeCKM rrp06JIeMa B POCCHW 3aKJlIO'IaeTCR B OTCYTCTBI1I1 KOHceHcyca B OTHOIlICHHI1 BOCCTaHOB.JIeHI1R H pOCTa 3KOHOMl1KW Me)K,lly IIOJiI1TWKO-3KOHOMW'IeCKWMH <ppaKUHRMH. Mnornc aHaJIl1THKH C-fJ1-TaIOT, 'ITO ny%H0 w36aBl1TbCR OT 3Ha'IHTeJIbHOH rpyrrrrbI WHCTHTYTOB, KOTopbIe yrrpaBJIAAH 3KOHOMHKOR ,ll0
1990 r., W Ha3blBaIOT 3TO "PC<pOPMOR". 3Ta HarrpaBJIeHHaR Ha OTpwuaHHe rrporpaMrv1a rrpenCTaBJIHeTCJ{ KaK CTpaTernH pOCTa, IIPW 3TOM rrpWBOMTCR apryMeIIT, 'ITO pa3pYIlleHwe ,llOJI)KHO rrpe,llIlIeCTBOBaTb 3,llOPOBOMY 3KOHOMH'IeCKOMY POCTY, AHaJIOm'IHbIR (H
TaKOR )J{e HenpaBWJIbHbIR) apryMem WCrrOJIb30BaJICH )lJIjI rrO.ll.llep~ 6e3y'IaCTHoro OTHOIlIeHHR f'yBepa K ,lJ,eIIpeCCHIL
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BbliJepJICKU U3 pa60mbl CJI. FuiJ6epma, P. XonKUHca, A. Ilay3/lJ1a U A. POUR "BceMUI'HblU 6aHK: ezo rPYHKII,UU U 6yiJylJ,(ee', pa60'luu iJoK.lladlfHcmumyma Mupoeou 3KOHOMUKU M 15 3a 1996 z. U U3 OoK.llaiJa C. FlJ.fj6epma, 3a'lUmaHH020 Ha o6eiJe, ycmpoeHHOM 23 JlH6apJl 19972-Ily6/luKau,uu MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no aiJprey: CEP R, 25-28 Old Burlington Street, London WlX [LB, United Kingdom, tel. (44-171) 878-2900,fax (44-171) 8782999, Email: [email protected].
MOXHO H O'IeHb BepOHTHO (rro Mepe TOro, KaK ,f(eMOlq)aTU'IeCKHe rrpol1,ecChI Bce 60JIee CTaHOBJITCH HOpMOH), 'ITO 3JIeKTOpaT B cTpaHax C rrepeXO,f(HOH 3KOHOMHKOH, YCTaBlliHH OT MOllieHHH'IeCTBa H 3KCII,eCCOB IIpoIl,ecca IIpHBaTH3aI1,HH, IIpOroJIOcyeT 3a rrorryJIHCTOB HJIH JIeBhIX, KOTOphle OTJIO:lKaT HJIH MOiUf<PHI1,HPYIDT, eCJIH He rrOBepHYI' BCIIIlTh, pe<PoPMbI. B ,f(eHCTBHTeJlbHOCTH 3TO rrOKa ew:e He rrpOH301lIJI0 ('ITO CBH):{eTeJIbCTByeT 0 CHJIe OTBpaw:eHIDI: HapO,f(a KO MHOmM acrreIo.'TaM CTapOH CHCTeMhI), HO MoxeT npoH30HTH.
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OrrbIT 3CTOHHH C BaJIIOTHhIM COBeTOM, rro KpaHHeH Mepe '1aCTH'IHO, c03ByqeH orrhITY BOJIrapHH, BOCHHH, a TaK)Ke fepIIeroBHHhI. (OnhIT fOHKOHra H CHHrarrypa, 06bI':IHO IIHTHpyeMbIH CTOpOHHHKaMH BaJIIOTHbIX COBeTOB KaK ycrreIIIHbIH rrpHMep, CIOrra MeHee rrOIIXOrrHT). Y 3CTOHHH 6hIJI Ba'lIOTHbIH COBeT C <pHKCHpOBaHHbIM KypCOM 06MeHa (8 3CTOHCKHX KpOH = 1 HeMeIIKOH: MapKe) C HIOHH 1992 r. ; TeM He MeHee rOrrOBM HH<pJIjIIIHH nep)KHTCH Ha ypOBHe 25-30 % H ToproBbIH rre<pHIIHT yaeJIH'IHJICH co $100 MJIH B 1973 r. no $700 MJIH B 1995 r., $900 MJIH B 1996 r., H rro rrporH03aM, rrOCTHrHeT $1 200 MJIH B
1997 r. Ile<pHIIHT KOHTOKOppeHTa B 1995 r. COCTaBHJI 185 MJIH, B 1996 r. OH yaeJIH'IHJICH rro $250 MJIH H B 1997 r., rro rrpOrH03aM, rrOCTHrHeT $400 MJIH. OnHaKo npHTOK rrpHMhIX HJIH nopT<peJIbHhIX HHBecTHIIHH rrOCTaTO'leH )lJljI COKpbITflj{ np06JIeMbI. TaKHM 06-
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21
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22
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23
TpaHc~opMa4MR,anpenb 1997
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24
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25
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26
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1997 BceMvrpHbli4 6aHK
JIHOHOB py6JIeit (OKOJIO $20 MHJIJIHap,u:OB). B pacrrOpjl)KeHHH KOMMep'leCKl1X 6aHKOB B JII060it MOMeHT HMeeTCH OKOJIO 11 TpHJIJIHOHOB py6JIeit HaJIoroBbIX IIJIaTexeit, KOTOpble OHH He crremaT rrepeBO,u:HTb cpe,u:epaJIbHbIM BJIaCTJl:M. (.llyMa 14 MapTa BBeJIa 60-JIee BbICOKHe rrrrprupbI 3a ~ ,u:eHb 3a,u:ep:lKKH KOMMep'leCKHMH 6aHKaMH rrepeBo,u:a HaJIOrOBbIX rrJIaTe:lKeit B 6IO)J;lKCT) .
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06beM BHYTPeHHHX HHBeCTHUHH: B 3KOHOMHKY POCCHH B j{Haape COCTaBHJI 18 TpHJIJIHOHOB py6JIeH: - CHH:lKeHHe Ha 9 rrpoueHTOB rro cpaBHeHHIO C TeM :lKe rrepHo,u:OM rrpOllUIoro ro,u:a. 3TO CHH:lKeHHe o6bHcHHeTCH maBHbIM 06pa30M pe3KHM CHH:lKeHHeM cpe,u:epaJIhHblX HHBeCTHUHOHHblX rrporpaMM, BblCOKHMH rrpOueHTHbIMH CTaBKaMH 6aHKOBCKHX KpC,u:HTOB H 803-MOXHOCTbIO rrOJIyqHTh 60JIee BbICOKYIO rrpH6bIJIh OT rOCYll,apCTBeHHbIX KpaTKOCpO'IHbIX ueHHblX 6YMar.
B TOIIJIHBHO-3HepreTH'leCKOM ceKTOpe HHBeCTHUHH B 1996 r. CHH3HJIHCb Ha 16 rrpoueHTOB rro cpaBHeHHro C rrpe,u:hI,u:YWHM ro,u:OM H COCTaBHJIH 104 TpHJIJIHOHa py6JIeH: ($18,4 MHJIJIHap,u:a). llHBeCTHUHH B ra3OBYIO rrpoMbIIIIJIeHHOCTb CHH3HJIHCh Ha 5,5 rrpoueHTa, a CHH:lKCHHC HHBecTHUHIi B HCqrrHHOH: ceKTOp COCTaBHJCO 25,7 rrpoueHTa . .llo6bl'1a HCCPTH B 1996 r. COKpaTHJIaCh Ha 2 rrpOUCHTa, a B o6mcH: CJIOXHOCTH rrOCJIe 1987 r., Ha KOTOPbIH: rrpHrnCJICH rrHK cc ,u:06bl'1H, Ha 40 rrpOUCHTOB. KpyrrHble HHOCTpaHHblc HHBeCTopbl O)KH,u:aIOT o,u:06peHHJI: crrHCKa MCcroPO:JK,1J,CHHH:, Ha KOTOpbIe 6y,u:eT pacrrpOCTpaHJl:ThCH 3aKOH 0 pacrrpe,u:eJIeHHH ,u:06blTOH: rrpo.nyKIlHH. ITOJIOBHHa Tpy6orrpoBo,u:oB OTCJIY:lKHJIa 60JIee ,u:Ba,1:(IJ:aTH JIeT, H 2 rrpoueHTa He<PTH TepHeTCSi B pe3YJIhTaTe YTe'IeK, BbI3BaHHblX KOPpo3HeH: H aaapHJl:MH.
TpaHc~opMa4H~anpenb1997
Cpe,UHj{JI: MeCj{qHaJr 3apllJIaTa B PocCHH B HHBape COCTaBHJIa 870 000 py6-JIeit ($155), 'ITO Ha 10 rrpoueHTOB BhIme rro cpaBHeHHIO C rrpollUIbIM ro,u:OM C yqeToM HHCPJImIHH. Ha 27 HHBapH 3a,u:OJIXeHHOCTh rro BbIIIJIaTe 3apllJIaTbl POCCHttcKHM pa60'lMM coCTaBHJIa 48,6 TpHJIJIHOHa py6JIett, 'ITO Ha 3 rrpOueHTa Bblme rro CpaBHeHl1IO C 47,2 TpHJIJIHOHaMH, 3aperHcTpHpoBaHHblMH B ,u:eKa6pe 1996 r; 20 rrpoueHTOB 3a,u:OJI:lKeHHOcTett rrpl1XO,u:HTCJI: Ha 3a,u:epXKY BbIIIJIaT H3 6IO,u::lKeTa.
ITo ,u:aHHbIM HCCJIe,u:OBaHHH KapJIa Xay6a H3 BaillHHITOHcKoro 6IOpO ,u:eMorpacpH'leCKl1X rrpOrH030B, HaceJIeHHe POCCHH B Te'leHHe CJIe,u:yIOml1X Tpex ,u:ecHTHJIeTHH: COKpaTIITCJI: Ha 25 MHJIJIHOHOB '1eJIOBeK, eCJIH COxpaHHTCH cero,u:HHIIIHJl:H ,u:eMorpacpH'leCKM TeH,UCHUHH. HaCeJIeHHe COKpaTHTCH C TerrepeIIIHHx 148 MHJIJIHOHOB ,u:o 123 MHJIJIHOHOB K 2030 r., a rrOCJIe 3TOro COKparnCHHe rrOH:,u:eT eme 6bICTpee. COKpamemrc HaCeJIeHHH o6bHCH}!eTCH HH3KHM ypOBHeM pO:JK,1J,aeMOCTH (B 1996 r. 3TOT YPOBeHb COCTaBHJI 9 PO:lK,u:eHHH: Ha 1000 'IeJIOBeK HaCeJIeHHH) H BbICOKHM ypOBHeM CMepTHOCTH MY:lK'IHH, KOTOPbIH: ceH'IaC ,nOCTHr YPOBH}! pa3,u:HpaeMoH BOH:HOH: JIH6epHH. 3TOT BbICOKHH: ypOBeHb CBH3bIBaIOT maBHbIM 06pa30M C cep,u:e'IHOCOCy,u:HCTblMH 3a6oJIeBaHHHMH, aBapH5I:MH Ha rrpoH3Bo,u:CTBe H aJIKOro,1H3-MOM. B CKOPOM BpeMeHH rrO'iTH O,u:Ha TpeTh HaCeJIeHHH POCCHH 6y,u:eT rreHCHOHepaMH.
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27
TpaHc~opMa~MR,anpenb 1997
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B COOTBeTCTBHH C UJIaHaMH peopraHH3aUHH rrpaBHTeJIbCTBa Ka3axCTaHa 6hIJIH C03,lIaHbI ,lIBa HOBbIX rocy,lIapCTBeHHbLX areHTCTBa, no,lI"IHHJIIOrn:HXCJI HenOCpe,lICTBeHHO npe3H)],eHTY, ,lIJIH ynpaBJIeHH.sr CTpaTernqeCKHMH pecypca"\rn: H UJIaHHpOBaHHeM. MHHHCTepCTBa 3KOHOMHKH, TOprOBJIH H npoMblnmeHHOCTH, a TaK2Ke aHTHMOHOnOJIbHbIH KOMHTeT 6bUlH 06'he,lIHHeHbI B HOBoe cynepMHHHCTepCTBO 3KOHOMHKH. rOCY,lIapcTBeHHhIe KOMHTeTbI HMymecTBa H rrpi-fBaTH3anHH 6bIJIH ynpa3,lIHeHbI, a HX nOJIHOMOqHH nepe,lIaHbI MHHHCTepTCBY <pHHaHcoB H rOCY,lIapCTBeHHOMY HHBeCTHUHOHHOMY KOMHTeTY. MHHHCTepCTBa ~mepreTHqeCKOrO ceKTopa 6bUlH CJIHTbI B HOBoe MHHHCTepCTBO 3HepreTHKH H npHpO,lIHbLX pecypcoB. 3TH H3MeHeHHJI, OqeBH,lIHO, HanpaBJIeHbI Ha YKpeUJIeHHe BIraCTH npe3H,lIeHTa H YKpeUJIeHHe MorymecTBa He<jlT.srHoro H ra30Boro JI066H.
Ha )],OJIIO aMepHKaHCKHX HHBecTopOB B Ka3axCTaHe B Haqarre 1996 r. npHXO,lIHJIOCb 66 npOueHTOB, HJIH $1,8 MKJIJIHap,lIa, rrpHMhIX HHOCTpaHHbIX HHBecTHUHH, rJIaBHbIM 06pa30M B He<jlTJIHYIO npOMbInmeHHOCTb. BOJIee 27000 Ka3axoB B HaCTOHlUee BpeMJI pa6QTaIOT B HHOCTpaHHbLX KOMnaHHJIX HJIH COBMeCTHbIX npe,ll;npHJITHJIX, B TO BpeMH KaK B Ha'laJIe 1993 r. HX
28
6bIJIO OKOJIO 6400 qeJIOBeK. (AMepHKaHCKaJI <pHpMa CCL, ocymecTBHBllIaJI He,ll;aBHO KanHTaJIOBJI02KeHH.sr B Ka3aXCTaH, nOJIY'lHJIa TpeXJIeTHIOIO KOHUeCCHIO Ha 3KCUJIyaTaUHIO lIaBJIo)],apcKoro He<pTeneperoHHoro 3aBO,lIa. 3T0 npe,lIUpHJITHe paHee nOKpbIBaJIO 60JIee qeM Ha nOJIOBHHY HY2KJIbI Ka3axcTaHa B 6eH3HHe).
lIpe3H)]'eHT ACKap AKaeB npOHH<popMHPOBaJI napJIaMeHT 26 MapTa, 'ITO BHlI KbIPThI3CTaHa B 1996 r. yaeJIH'lHJICJI Ha 5,6 npoueHTa, rrpOMbIIlIJIeHHOe npOH3BO,ll;CTBO BhIpOCJIO Ha to,8 npoueHTa H CeJIbCKOX03JIHCTBeHHbIH BblnycK BblpOC Ha 13,1 npoueHTa. O,lIHOH H3 3a,ll;aq CTpaHbI B 1997 r. HBJIHeTC.sr CHH)KeHHe ,lIe<pHUHTa TOproBOro 6arraHca. B 1996 r. KbIprhI3CTaH HMnoprnpoBaJI B 1,7 paJa 60JIbllIe, qeM 3KcnOpTHpOBaJI. ,[WyraJI 3a,ll;aqa 3aKJIIOqaeTCH B CHlDKeHHH HH<pJIHUHH ,110 17 npOueHTOB H COKpameHHH 6e3-pa60THUhI, ypOBeHb KOTOPOH B HaCTOJIllIee BpeM.sr COCTaBJIHeT 20 npoueHTOB.
lIpe3H,lIeHT Y36eKHCTaHa MCJIaM KaPHMOB Ha3BaJI 1996 r. rO,lIOM 3KOHOMHKH H <pHHaHcoBoH cTa6HJIH3aUHH. .lle<pHUHT 6IO)],)KeTa He npeBhICHJI 3,5 npoueHTa, HH<pJIJIUHH COKpaTHJIaCb HanOJIOBHny, HaUHOHaJIbHaJI BaJIIOTa YKpenHJIaCb, a 06'heM BHellIHeH TOproBJIH COCTaBHJI 60JIee $9,3 MHJIJIHap,lIa. r-H KapHMoB rrpH3BaJI c)],eJIaTb 1997 r. ro)],OM nOJIHoro COUHaJIbHOro 06ecne'IeHHJI. (EBPP OTKpbIJI Kpe,ll;HTHYIO JIHHHIO Ha CYMMY $120 MHJIJIHOHOB )l;JIJI pa3BHTHH 6aHKOBCKOro ceKTopa Y36eKHcTaHa, a OPIC npe,lIOCTaBHJI $200 MHJIJIHOHOB Ha CTpaxoBaHHe nOJIHTHqeCKoro pHCKa H <pHHaHcHpOBaHHe npOeKTOB CIlIA B cTpaHe).
MH<jlJI.sruHH B TypKMeHHCTaHe B 1996 r. COCTaBHJIa 100,1 npoueHTa. B TeqeHHe rO,lIa 6bUlO ,ll;06hITO OKOJIO 4,4 MeTpH'leCKOH TOHHbI He<pTH H 35,2 MHJIJIHap,ll;a KYfiH'leCKHX MeTpOB raJa. BOJIee 90 npoueHTOB npOMbInmeHHOrO rrpoH3BO,ll;CTBa 06eCneqHBaeTCH rocy,lIapCTBeHHbIMH npe)]'npHHTH.srMH, HO OKOJIO 66 rrpOUeHTOB P03HH"IHOH TOprorurn: HaxOMTCH BHe rocy)],apCTBeHHOro KOHTpOmI. BBII npeBhICHJI 6,6 MHJIJmap)]'a MaHaTOB ($1,6 MHJUlHap,ll;a) B 1996 r.
lIpe3H)],eHT TypKMeHHCTaHa CanapMYPaT HHH30B nO,lIUHCaJI comallIeHHe Ha CYMMY $580 MHJIJIHOHOB C TpeM.sr .srnOHCKHMH KOHuepHaMH -Itochi, JGC H Nissho Iwai - Ha CTpoHTeJIbCTBO nepBoro B TypKMeHHCTaHe 3aBO,ll;a no CTpOHTeJIbCTBY nOJIH-
nponHJIeHa (B 6hIBllIeM KpaCHOBO,lICKe). lIpaBHTeJIbcTBO HnOHIm npe,lIOCTaBHT Kpe)l;l-IT Ha CYMMY $400 MHJIJIHOHOB 3aBOJJ,y, KOTOPbIH 6y)],eT BbInycKaTb 90 000 TOHH nOJIHnpOnHJIeHa B ro,lI.
3KOHOMliKa AlIIII
B KaM60)],)Ke npHIDITO pemeHHe yqpe)l;l-ITb nepBbIH B CTpaHe <pOH,lIOBbIH PhIHOK H npe,ll;CTaBHTeJIH MHHHCTePCTBa <pHHaHcoB HaMeqaIOT ero QTKphITHe Ha 1998 r. Y)Ke COCTaruleHbI 3aKOHhI, pemaMeHTHPYIOlUHe ,lIeHTeJIbHOCTb PbIHKOB KanHTaJIa, KOTOpbIe 6yAYT nepe,ll;aHbI HauHOHaJIbHOH accaM6JIee Ha YTBep)K)l;eHHe. lIpaBHTeJIbCTBO TaK:>Ke )],OIDKHO npHHHTb JaKOHbI H 3aKOHO,ll;aTeJIbCTBO, perJlaMeHTHPYIOIUHe HaJIOr C CYMMbI ,lIHBH)],eH)],OB, pacnpe,lIeJIHeMbIX Cpe,lIH ,lIepxaTeJIeH aKUHH, H nOPMOK BarrIOTHOro 06MeHa. MHHHCTp <pHHaHcoB KHT llxoH 06'hHBHJI B Ha'IaJIe MapTa, "ITO YTO'IHeHHhIH 3KOHOMH'IeCKHH POCT B 1996 r. COCTaBHJI 6,5 npoueHTa, XOTH nepBOHa'IaJIbHO 6bIJIa noJIyqeHa UH<ppa 6 npoUeHTOB.
BbeTHaM
lIpe,ll;nOJIaraeTCH, 'ITO ,ll;e<pHUHT TOproBoro 6aJIaHCa BbeTHaMa 3a nepBbIe TpH MeCHua TeKYIIIero ro,lIa COCTaBHT $945 Mlf.JIJIHOHOB. 3T0 CBH)],eTeJIbCTBYeT 0 CHlDKeHHH ,lIe<pHUHTa Ha 6,5 npoueHTa no cpaBHeHHIO C TeM 2Ke nePHO,lIOM 1996 r. H 0 TOM, "ITO YCHJIHH npaBHTeJIbCTBa, HanpaBJIeHHble Ha 06Y3,lIaHHe )],e<pHUHTa, onpaB)],aJIHCb.
lIo C006meHHIO BbeTHaMCKOH ra3eThI, nO'ITH o,1:\Ha UJlTaJI roCy)l;apCTBeHHbIX npe)l;npHHTHH BbeTHaMa y6bITO'lHa. O,lIHaKO 3KcnepTbI CqHTaIOT, 'ITO eCJIH npHIDITb BO BHHMaHHe npHpO)],y 6yxraJITepCKHX OT'{eTOB, npHHHTYIO B 60JIbllIHHCTBe rocy)],apCTBeHHbIX npe,lInpH.srTHH, 3Ta UH<ppa, B03MO)KHO, HaMHoro Bblnre.
BllazodapUM 3a MamepUaJlbl, npedocma6.l1.eHltbie pedOlcl{ueii Daily Digest Ha}"lHO-UCCllea06ameabClwzo uHcmumyma cpedcm6 MaCC060ii uHrjJopMal{Uu.
1997 BceMMpHblM 6aHK
TpaHc¢opMa~HRtanpenb 1997
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BOJlbclleH30H: BceMHpHblH: 6aHK H MB([l roTOBbI OK33an. nOMOllJ,b AlI6aHHH
ITpe3HaeHT BceMHpHoro 6aHKa LlxeilMc BOJIb<PeH30H 3aJ1BHJI BO BpeMH rrpecc-KoHcpepeHrrHH, COCTOHBrrreHCH 6 MapTa B MaapHae, '!TO BceMHPHblH 6aHK H MB<I> roTOBbI rrpeaOCTaBHTb cpHHaHcoByro rroMep)JCl(f A16aHHH, '!T06bI rrOMO'Ib 3TOH cTpaHe BbI6paTbCH !!3 KPH3!!Ca, B KOTOPbIH OHa rrorrana. EC paCCMaTpHBaeT BOCCTaHOBJIeHHe OTHorrreHHH C MB<I>, BBeaeHue CTporoH CPHHaHCOBOH arrCrrHIL'IHHbI H HbffiCHeHHe C06bITHH, rrpHBe,1UlIlIX K J..:pyureHHIO rrHpaMH)lHbIX cxeM B CTpaHC, YCJIOBHHMH OKa3aHHH IIOMOIITH.
nHpaMHWlble cxeMbI H npe)I.eJlbI o6YCJlOBJIeHHO(:m
<DpaHrrY3CKHH KOM.\feHTaTOp <DpaHcYa3a Jla3ap mUlleT, 'ITO Me:llQlYHapoaHble HHCTI1TYI'bk He MOryr 6bITb 06BHHeHbl B TOM, 'Iro OHH 3aKPbIBaJIH rJIa3a Ha C03aaHHbIe B Arr6aHHH rrHpaMH)l,Hbre (;XeMhI, HO OHH HeaOOrreHHJIH HX lIOCJIeaCTBHH. KaK MB<D, TaK H Bcep.,rnpHbIH 6aHK HeOaHOKPaTHO rrpeJJYrrpeJK:!~aJrn BJIacHI H TIueTHO rrpH3bIBaJIH HX vrrpa:;aHHTb 3TH CxeMbI. "C06bITH.Il, rrpOH30IITe;~ITllie B Arr6aHHH, OTpa:lKaIOT C.'KOHOMH'IeCKYIO 06YCJIOBJIeHHOCTb. IToKa MeCTHhle BJIaCTH COTPYi~HH'IJ.IOT C Me:llQlYHapOaHbIMH cpHHaHC03bIMH HHCTHTYTaMH (M<DI1:), HM COBMCCTHO Y,llaeTC.H yrrpaBJI.HTh 3KOHOMlI'IeCKOH rrOJIHTHKOH, HO, eCJIlf )I.OBepne rrOTepHHO, cpe,llCTBa, HMeIOIITHeCH B PYKax M<DI1:, OKa3hIBaIOTCH OIpaHH'leHHblMH".
,2lBa I'O,ll,a lIa3a,ll, A;r6aHH.lI 6hIJIa 06-pa3rroBhIM CT)'aeHTOM Me:llQlYHapO,ll,HbIX 3KOHOMH'IeCKHX HHCTHTYTOB, HMeH 3,llOpOByro 3KOHOMHKY (pOCT BBIT COCTaBJI.HJI 8-10 % B ro,ll), rrpHeMJIeMbIe rrpe)I.rrpHHHMaTeJIbCKHe CTpYKTYPhr H cTa6HJIhITyro rrOJIHTH'IecKyro 06cTaHOBKY. Ho 06beM CaMOH 6eaHoH B EBporre 3KOHOMHKH B HaCTOHrnee BpeMH COKpaTHJIC.H HHJK:e YPOBH.H 1990 r. ECJI!! HOB hIe KPeaHThI H3-la rpaHHIThi 6y,uyr rrpeIq)aIlleHbl H3-3a xaoca, B KOTOPOM B HaCTO.Hrnee BpeM.H npe6bIsaeT CTpaHa, HMrropT MO:lKeT rrOJIHOCThIOPa3BaJIHThC.H. 8KOHOMHKa aepJK:IITC.H Ha IL'raBY TOJIbKO 6JIarO,llapH rrpHToJ<.."Y COTeH MHJIJIH
OHOB aOJIJIapOB, 1I0CTyIIaIOrnHX OT aJI6aHrreB, pa60TaIOWHX B I1TaJIHH HJIH fpeulIH, a TaIOKe 6JIaro)I.ap.H HHO-
1997 BceMHpHblVl 6aHK
CTpaHHOH rrOMOrnH, nocTYIIaIOIIIeH OT EC, BCeMHpHoro 6aHKa, I1TaJIHH H COeaHHeHHhlX illTaToB. (OKOJIO TpeTH 6IOll)KeTHbIX aOXOaOB npoIIIJIoro roaa, COCTaBHBITlliX $960 MJIH, 6hlJIH o6eCrre'IeHbI Pa3JIH'IHblMH HHOCTpaHHbIMH HCTO'IHHKaMH. Arr6aHHH rroJIY'IHJIa OT EC caMyro 60JIbwyro H3 Bcex CTpaH BOCTO'IHOH EBporrbI rrOMOlIIb Ha,uyrrry HaceJIeHH.H. 8KOHOMH'IeCKHH POCT Arr6aHHH 6bIJI B 3Ha'IHTeJIbHOH CTerreHH MHPaJK:OM. (113 lWMMeHmapue6 Za3em Le Monde, the Guardian, Handelsblatt, and Financial Times).
Kpe)I.HTbl BceMHpHoro 6aHKa POCCHH MOryr 6bITb pacwHpeHbl
BHrre-npe3HaeHT 110xaHHec JIHHH 3MBHJI Ha rrpecc-KoHcpepeHrrHH B MocKBe BO BpeMH cBoero rrpHe3,lla B POCCHIO B Ha'IaJIe MapTa, '!TO BceMHPHbIH GaHK rrpeanOJIaraeT YBeJIH'IHMTb CBOH KPeaHTbI 3TOH CTpaHe Ha $2 MJIpa - $3 MJIP,ll B roa B Te'IeHHe CJIeayroIIIHX HeCKOJIbKHX JIeT C TerrepeWHHX $6 MJIpa. "YBeJ1lf'IeHHe K KOHl~ BeKa CYMM rrpe.1I.OCTaBJI.HeMbIX KPeaHTOB B .1I.Ba pa3a HeJIb3.H C'IHTaTb HeBO3MO)KHbJM", - )l06aBHJI OH. PYKoBO.1I.HTeJIb MOCKOBCKOro rrpe.1I.CTaBHTeJIbCTBa 6aHKa MaHKJI KaPTep 33$1-BHJI, 'ITO HOBbIe KpeaHThl 6yaYT HarrpaBJIeHbl Ha cpHHaHCHpOBaHHe pa-60TbI 6IOpO 3KOHOMH'IeCKoro aHaJIH-3a C rreJIbIO YCOBepweCTBOBaHH.H rrporrecca rrpHH.HTHH 3KOHOMH'IeCKHX perrreHHH, a TaK:lKe Ha cpHHaHCHpOBaHHe H3.1I.aHHH yqe6HHKoB ,lI)l.H BY30B H rrrKOJI. Pa60Ta Hall HOBbIM KPe,llHTOM Ha CTpYKTYPHbIe H3MeHeHHH 6yaeT 3aBepllIeHa 'Iepe3 HeCKOJIbKO MeCHrreB.
ITo C006rneHHIO MHHHCTpa CTPOHTeJIbCTBa EcpHMa Ba3HHa, 6bIJIO aOCTHfHYTO rrpeaaapHTeJIbHOe cornaweHHe 0 rrpe.1I.OCTaBJIeHHH KpeaHTa Ha CYMMY $300 MJIH Ha peKOHCTpYKIlHIO HCTOpH'IeCKOH 'IaCTH CaHKT-ITeTep-6ypra H KPeaHTa Ha rrpH6JIH3HTeJIbHO TaKYIO xe CYMMY Ha peKOHCTpYKITHIO ceTeH BO.1I.OCHa6JK:eHH.H H apeHaJK:HbIX ceTeH HeCKOJIbKHX rOpO.1I.OB POCCHH. PaHee ra3eTa Moscow Times co06IITHJIa, '!TO rrpeaCTaBHTeJIH BceMMpHoro 6aHKa paCCMaTpHBaIOT rrpeaOCTaBJIeHHe erne O.1I.Horo Kpe.1I.HTa yroJIbHOH rrpOMbIIIIJIeHHOCTH POCCHH Bcero 'Iepe3 HeCKOJIbKO MeC.HrreB rrOCJIe BhlaeJIeHHH BToporo TpaHIITa B pa3Mepe $525 MJIH 3TOMY pa3pYllIeHHOMY ceK
TOPY·
POCT Y)J,OBJIeTBOPHTeJlbHbIX npoeKTOB B POCCHH
IIpoBepKa, rrpOBe.1I.eHHaJI COBMeCTHO POCCHHCKOH CTOPOHOH H BceMHpHbIM 6aHKoM, rrOKa3aJIa, 'ITO 65 % KPe.1I.HTHhlX rrpoeKTOB POCCHH HMeIOT yaOBJIeTBOpHTeJIbHblH peHTHHr H 'ITO ypOBeHb e:lKeMeCH'IHblX BbIIIJIaT coCTaBJI.HeT OKOJIO $70 MJIH. 8m 3Ha'IHTeJIbHO 60JIbwe rro cpaBHeHHIO C Ha'IaJIOM 1996 r., Koraa aHaJIOrH'IHaJI rrpOBepKa rrOKa3aJIa MeHee 'IeM 4O%-H ypOBeHb rrpOeKTOB, rrOJIyqHBIITHX yaOBJIeTBOpHTeJIbHbIH peHTHHr, a cYMMa KPeaHTOB, KOTOpYIO TOril:a rroJIyqana MocKBa, COCTaBJIHJIa $25 MJIH
B MeCHrr. HaH60JIbwee 6ecnOKOHCTBO B BaHKe BbI3bIBaJIH POccHHcKHe KPe.1I.HTHble rrpoeKThI 1995 r., KOr.1I.a TOJIbKO 39 % H3 HHX rrpH3HaBanHCb Y.1I.OBJIeTBOpHTeJIbHbIMH.
Ho 6JIaro.1I.apH 3Ha'IHTeJIbHblM COBMeCTHbiM YCHJIH.HM rrpeMbep-MHHHCTpa POCCHH tIepHOMhlpaHHa H rrpe3H,lleHTa BceMHpHoro 6aHKa .llJK:eHMCa BOJIb(\JeH30Ha yaanocb H3MeHHTb CHT)'arrHIO. B HaCTOmrree BpeMH rrOCTaBJIeHa rreJIb aOCTH'Ib K HIOHlO 80%-H ypOBeHb rrpoeKTOB, rrOJIyqaIOIIIHx yaoBJIeTBOpHTeJIbHblH peitTHHr. (4TO-6hl rrOJIY'IHTb 3TOT peHTHHr, KPeaHTHbIH npoeKT aOJI:lKeH OTBe'IaTb BCeM 3aaa'IaM, H3JIOXeHHblM B CTpaTerHH OKa3aHHH BaHKoM rrOMOIIIH .1I.aHHOH CTpaHe, COOTBeTCTBOBaTb 06rneH rroJIHTHKe BaHKa B OTHoweHHH CHH:lKeHH.H HHIIIeTbI H o6ecrre'IHBaTh 3qxpeKTHBHoe HCrrOJIb30BaHHe pecypcoB). BaHK B HaCTO.Hmee BpeMH JIJUIeTCR CaMbIM KPyrrHhlM eaHHblM HHOCTpaHHhlM HCTO'IHHKOM .1I.OJIrOCpO'IHOrO cpHHaHCHpOBaHHH HHBecTHUHH B rocYAapCTBeHHhlH ceKTOp.
Ha'IHHM C aBrycTa 1992 r. 6hlJIO 0.1I.06peHO rrpe.1I.OCTaBJIeHHe 28 KPearrTOB POCCHH Ha 06wyro CYMMY $6,4 MJIP.1I.. 8T0 BbIBOaHT POCCHIO Ha TpeTbe MeCTO cpeaH CaMbIX KPyIIHbIX 3aeMIITHKOB rrOCJIe KHTM H I1HaHH. KpeaHTbI 6bIJIH rrpeaOCTaBJIeHhl HeC\JT.HHOH npOMbIllIJIeHHOCTH, TpaHCrrOPTHOMY ceKTOpy, BKJIIO'IM peMOHT aopor H MOCTOB H YJIyqweHHe aBTO-6YCHOro o6cJIYJ[(HBaHH.H B 60JIee 'IeM aec.HTH ropo.1I.ax; Ha YKPeIIJIeHHe 6aHKOBCKOro ceKTopa H pa3BHTHe PbIHKOB KaIIHTaJIa; Ha IIOMep:lKaHHe ceJIbCKOX03.HitcTBeHHoH H 3eMeJIbHOH peCPOPM; Ha YJIyqweHHe MeaHrrHHCKOro 06CJIY:lKHBaHHR, 06pa30BaHHe, BO.1I.OCHa6:lKeHHe H ynyq:llIeHHe caHH-
29
TpaHc¢opMa~MR,anpenb 1997
TapHbIX ycnoBHH, a TaK)I(e Ha 3aIT[HTY OKpY.lKaIDIT[eit Cpe,llhl. MamepUG.Jlbl npeiJocmaMeHbl Po6epmoM JIai/..;lO.'4, paiJuo "Ceo6oiJHQJI Eepona ".
Qy6aKc OTJ),aeT pacnopHlKeHHe o paCC]leJl:OBaHHH HCnOJlh30BaHHSI KpeJl:HTa BceMHpHoro 6aHKa
mill, 'ITO BhlCTaB.;rnCMhlC HM YCJIOBHH, HHCKHMH CCJIhCKOX03HHCTBCHHhIMH Bc,UeHHC n:eHTCJlhHOCTH 'ICPC3 MHoro- rrpe,UrrpHHTHHMH, arporrcpepa6aThlBa-'IHCJICHHhle rrpOCKThl H rrporpaM- lOIT[HMH rrpeJIrrpHHTHHMH If 'IaCTHhl-MHhIC KpC,UHThI o6CCrre'IHBalOT 60JIec MH }lHcTpH6hlOTOpaMH. OT;::en yrrpaB-BhlCOKYlO UCJICHarrpaBJlCHHOCTb H 60- neHHH rapaIITHHMH (OYr) - HC3aBH-JICC TO'IHhlH xapaKTCp ,UeHcTBHH rro CHMhiH rOCYJIapCTBeHHblH opraH -cpaBHeHHlO C TeM, 'ITO MO)l(CT C,UC- 6YJICT 3aHHMaThCH npOJIa)l(CH KOH-naTh MB<I> O,UHOH nporpaMMoH. "51 TpaKTOB, rapaIITHpyroIT[HX BhlrrO;lHC-rrpH3blBalO BcCMHPHhIH 6aHK B3HTh Ha HHC rrpaBHTcnhCTBOM CBOI1X 06H3a-
KaK C006IT[aCT rrOMOIT[HHK tIy6aHca Cc6Jf HHHUHaTHBY H npHIlJITb Ha Cc6Jf TCJIbCTB H pHCKa rrOJIHTII'IeCKOrO AH:)JpCH Tparre3HHKOB, rrcpBhlH 3aMe- 3Ha'IHTCnhHO 60JIbiITyro pO.TIh B rrpo- <jJopc-~{a)I(opa, rrO)]J1,cp)I(HBaCMblX ra-CTHTCJIh rrpCMhep-MHHHCTpa POCCHH Bc,UeHHH pC<jJOPM", CKa3M OH H JIO- paIITHeH BceMHpHoro 6aH'l<a. Co Bpe-AHaTOJIHH tIy6aHc OT,UM pacrropJf)l(e- 6aBIIJI, 'ITO BaHK, 6e3YCJIOBHO, ro- MeHH rrpHCOe)IHHeHIDI YKpaIfHhI KBce-HHe OTJIe;lY KOHTpOJIJf MHHHCTepCTBa TOB K 3TOMY H ,UOJ[)!(eH Tcrreph "3Ha- MMpHOMY 6aHKY B ceIITH6pe 1992 r. <jJJ:lHaHcoB H TCppHTOpHMbHbIM areH- 'IHTenhHO pacllIHpHTb" MaclliTa6 CBO- 06IT[aH cyMMa Kpe}lHTOB, Bhln:eJIeH-TCTBaM rJlaBHoro ynpaBJlC- ,-_________________________ --, HhlX BceMHpHhl~1 6aHKOM
HHH <jJe,UepMbHoro Ka3Ha- 3KCTpeHHaH nOMOIW» liOJ(I'apHH Ha 10 rrpOeKTOB. COCTaBH-'IeHCTBa npOBepHTh rrpa- JIa OKOJIO $1,6 MJIP,il,. )J)q>eK-
BHJlhHOCTb HCrrOJIb30BaHHH IIpaBHTeJIbcTBo DOJIrapHH 17 MapTa 3aKJIID'IH.lIO comallIeHHe C Top-pacrropH,il,HTeJIh Bce-"yro.,lhHoro Kpen:HTa" Bce- MB<I> 06 ocyu(eCTBJIeHHH rrporpaMMhI 3KOHOMH'{eCKoit cTa6H- MHpHOro 6aHKa KaHo Kox-MHpHoro 6aHKa 1996 r. OT- :IH3allHlf, KOTOPaH 6Y)leT rrOJlJlep:lKaHa HOBblMH Kpe)lHTaMH Ha Be3ep 3aHBIIJI Ha He,il,aBHeH 'IeThl nOKa3blBaIOT, 'ITO a,U- CYMMy $660 M.J1H, maBHbIM 06pa30M 3a CqeT cpe)lCTB Kpe)lHTa rrpccc-KoH<PepeHIIHH B KH-MHHHcTpaUHH HeKoTopbIX standby Ha cYMMy$510 M.HH. 3TH Kpe)lHTbI 6Y)lYT rrpe)lOCTallJle- eBe, 'ITO BaHKCMO)l(eTrrpe-yrOJIhHhiX pcrHoHoB BMeCTO HbI B BHJle llIeCTH TPaHllIeit B TeqeHHe qeThlpHa)lllarn MeCHlleB, ,il,OCTaBHTb B 3TOM ro.uy YK-TOro, 'IT06bI HCrrQ.llh30BaTh eCJIH cTPaHa 6Y)leT OTBeqaTh YCTaHollJleHHblM Ha KaJK.UbIit KBap- paHHe KPeJIHTbI Ha cYMMY KaK :no npe,llHa3Ha'IMOCh Ha TaJI YCJIOBH!lM. IIporpaMMa cTa6mIH3aUHH )lOJI:lKHa OCHOBbIBaTb- ,UO $1 MJIP,U, ecnH OHa 6bI-
C!I Ha CHCTeMe B<Ll.IDTHOro COBeTa, B ooOTBeTCTBHH C KOTOPOH YJlyqrrreHHe COUHaTfhHhIX yc- KYpc 06MeHa 6Y)leT ¢lHKCHpOBaHHhlM H Macca )leHer 6YJIOT nOJI- CTpO npHMeT 61OJI)I(eT Ha JIOBHH rrraxTepoB, norraBIlm:x HOCTbID nOJlJlep:lKaHa pe3epBaMH HHOCTPaHHoit BanIDTb!. Il,e¢lH- 1997 r. H rraKeT HMorOBblX B 3aTpy,UrrHTenhHoe rrOJIO- UHT 6ID)DKeTa )lOJI:lKeH fibITh YMeHhllIeH )l0 4 % no cpaBHeHHID C pe<jJopM, HarrpaBJreHHhlX Ha .lKeHHe B pe3YJlbTaTe 3aKpbI- 11 %, 3apemcTPHpoBaHHhlMH B 1996 r. H rrepBoH rrOJIOBHHe ero rrO,UJIep.lKaHHe. YTBep)l(-THH rrraxT, HCrrOJIh30BaHa TeKYIL\ero ro)la, H pe3epBhI B<L'IIOThI nOJDKHbI 6bITb pe3Ko YBeJIH- ,il,eHHbIH 61O)l)I(eT TaK)l(e OT-Kpe,lUfTbI B JIpynlx ueJIHx. qeHhi. B )lOJIrocPOqHOH rrepcrreKrnBe rrpaBHTeJIhCTBO rrpHIDIlIO Ha KpoeT ,Uopory YKpaHHe K PacCJle,UOBaHHe 6y.ueT rrpoBo- ce6H 06H3aTeJlbCTBO YCKOPHTh CTPYKTYPHble pe<PoPMbl, BKJIIOqaH rro..1Y'IeHHIO or MB<I> ~,llH-,llHTbCH no BceM.llBaJIUaTH qe- fiOJIee fiblCTPOe rrpOBe)leHHe rrpHBaTH3aUHH, 60JIee BhlCOKYID CTe- Ta Ha cYMMY $2,5 MJIP,U - $3 TbIpeM yrOJIbHbIM perno HaM rreHh JIH6epa.JlH3ar(l1'H L\eH H ToprollJlH H fio~l.ee BhlCOKHe rrpHMhle MIIPil Ha C03,il,aHHe paCIIlli-POCCHH. MOCKOBCKOe rrpe,il,- HHOCTPaHHble HHBeCTHUHH. BceMHpHhlH 6aHK ofiCYJIC)laeT Kpe)lH- peHHoro <jJOH.!la. CTamITeJIbCTBO BCeMHpHOrO Thl Ha CYMMY OKOJI0 $290 M.JIH: )lBa Kpe)lHTa Ha CYMMy $170 M.JIH 6aHKa C Y,il,OBJleTBOpeHHeM Ha pecTPYKTYPH3aUHIO ¢lHHaHcoBoro ceKJOpa H rrpellrrpHHTHit, C03MHHe c1JOH,lla )lJISI Iioc
HHH H fep~erOBHHhl OIlHTh OTJlOlKeHO
BCTpeTHJIO C006IT[eHHe 0 $40 M.JIH Ha $HHaHcHpoBaHHe HMrropTa KpHTHqeCKHX TOBapoB 3epHa, JleKapCTB, BaKUHH H OCHOBHbIX npOnYKTOB rrHTaHH!I H
npone,il,eHHH paCCnelIOBaHHH. $80 M.JIH Ha COL\Ha'IbHYID 3aIlIHTY. B Cepe)lHHe arrpeJIH EC H 03CP >lMh! Ha,UeeMcH, 'ITO npc,il,- OfiCY)lHT B03MO)KHOCTb OKa3aHHR nOrrOJIHHTe.'IbHOn nOJlJlep:lKKH rrpHHHMaeMaH rrpoBepKa rro- 06eCrreqeHHID IIJlaTe)KHoro fia.JIaHCa, KoroPaH MO:lKOT COCTaBH'Jb Korr<jJepeHUHH Me)l(.uyHa
pOJIHhIX JIOHOPOB, HMelOIT[aH UCJIblO C03,llaHHe <jJOH
JIa B pa3Mepe $1,4 MJIPJI ,1I)1JI
BOCCTIlHOBJlCHfUl 3KOHOMH-
3BO,'1HT BhrHCHHTb npaBl:IJIb- $300 M.JIH. npe)lCTaBHTeJIH 6orrrapcKoro HaL\HOHanbHoro 6aHKa HOCTb HCnOJIb30BaHHH Bcex 3aHBHJlH, 'ITO BaJllOTHhie pe3epBbI Ha KOHeu. $eBpa'IR COCTaBH.'IH 6ID.LQKeTHbIX pecypcOB, Ha- $445,5 MJIlI. B TeKYllIeM rony BbllL'IaThI DOJIrapHH rro BHeIllHeMY I1paBlliIeMbIX B yroJIbHbrt'r CCK- ,llomy ,llOJI:lKHbI cOcTaBHTb GOJIee $800 MJIH.
TOp", - nO,JJ,'IepKHBaCTCH B KOMl\,flOHHKC BaHKa.
CaMMepc npH3h1BaeT K YCHJleHHIO PO.1IH BceMHpHoro 6aHKa B POCCHH
3aMeCTHTeJIb ceKpeTapH rocY,il,apCTBeHHoro Ka3Ha'IeHCTBa CIIIA .TIopeHC CaMMepc 3a51BIIJI 1 arrpeJIH "!JIeHaM aMepHKaHCKo-pOCCHHCKoro COBeTa, 'ITO HaCT051IT[aH <jJa3a 3KOHO
MH'IeCKHX pecpopM B POCCHH Tpe6yeT 60JIee rrrHpoKoro yqacTH51 3KcncpTOB BceMHpHoro 6aHKa. CaMMepc rrOJIO)l(HTeJIhHO OT03BaHCH 0 pa60Te, rrpo
BeileHHOH K HaCTOHIT[eMY BpeMeHH
Me.lK.llYHapOlIHbIM BaHlOTHbIM <jJOH,llOM, HO 3aHBHJI, 'ITO "YKperrJIeHHeM
roCY,il,apCTBeHHoro ceKTopa, OKa3aHHeM rrOMOIT[H B pa3BHTHH 'IaCTHoro
ceKTopa H perrreHHeM CeKTOpHhIX rrpo-6JIeM" 60nee nO,JJ,XOlIHT 3aHHMaTbCH
BceMHpHOMY 6aHKY. OH TaK)I(e ,llo6a-
30
eH lIeHTeJIbHOCTH, 'IT06bI 06eCrre'IHTb rrpe,il,OCTaBJIeHHe ,UonOJIHHTCJIbHblX
KPe,lIHTOB Ha c)'MMY $2 MJIPlI B TeKYIT[eM roay. OH 3aHBIIJI, 'ITO BarIKY cnerryeT H3yqHTb TaKHe BOrrpoCh!, KaK <jJHCKanhHhIH MeHe,lIlKMeIIT H COUHMbHaH 3aI.IIHTa B TaKHX ceKTOpax, KaK cenbCKoe x03HifcTBO H 3HepreTHKa.
UepBaH rapaHTHJI BceMHpHoro 6aHKa YKpaHHe
tIacTHqHaH rapaIITHH pHCKa Ha CYMMY $120 MJIH, 0,ll06peHHa51 BceMHpHbIM 6aHKoM 18 MapTa, 6YlIeT HC
rrOJIb30BaHa AlIH rrO,UJIep)I(KH <jJoH,n:a npeA3KcrropTHhlX rapaHTHH (<I>I1f) ,
c031IaHHoro lTpaBHTeJIbCTBOM YKPaHHbl. <I> I1f 6Y,lIeT crroco6cTBOBaTb npe
JIOCTaBJleHHIO HHOCTpaHHbIMH HHBeCTopaMH pa60qero KarrHTa.'1a HJIH 06eCrreqeHHIO Tpe60BaHHH, npe,llbHB
JIHCMbIX K OCHOBHblM <jJOH,llaM YKPa-
KH BOCHHH H I'epueroBHHbI, 6bIJIa B 3TOM ro.uy OT'lO)l(eHa BO BTOPOH pa3. 3Ta KOH<PePCfITI,HH ;:{OJ[)!(Ha 6bIJIa 6bITb rrpOBe,lleHa B MaPTe, HO 6bIna OTJIO)l(eHa ,llO anpemr, 'ITO-6bI ,llaTb 6ocHHHCKoMY rrpaBHTenbCTBY B03MO)I(HOCTb rrpHHHTb nporpaMMY 3KOHOMH'IeCKHX pe<jJoPM H 3aKJIlO'IHTb ,il,oroBOP C MB<I>. Tenepb 6YileT rrporryrrreH H arrpellb. I1epc,il, TeM, KaK rrpe,llOCTaBHTb Cpe,llCTBa BOCHHH H fepue
rOBHHe, HHocTpaHHbIe ,llOHOPbI xoTHT, 'IT06h! 3TOH CTpaHOH 6bIJIO rro,llrrHcaHo'cOrJIameHHe c MB<I>, KOTO
PhIH, B CBOIO O'Iepe,llb, :XO'IeT, 'ITO-
6bI <jJYHKIIHOHHPOBaJI, ueHTpaJlhHbIH 6aHK, 6bIJI 3aKJ'1IO'IeH 1I0rOBOp 06 06IT[eH BMIOTe H 6bIJIH rrpHHHTbI 3a
KOHbI 0 <jJHlIaHcax H 6IO)l)I(eTe. li13l1PYrnx C06hITHH CJIe.uyeT OTMeTHTh, 'ITO
rrpaBHTeJIbCTBO C03,llaJIO rrpH rro,UJIep)l(Ke BceMHpHoro 6aHKa AreIITCTBO
no rpaIITHH HHBecTHUHH (AfM), KO-
1997 BC6MMPHblU 6aHK
TOpoC 6y,nCT BbI,naBaTb rapaHTHH HHOCTpaHHblM HHBCCTopaM, rrpc,nOCTaBJHIIOlUHM KPCllHTbI MCCTHbIM rrpcnrrpmITHRM. "BJIaronapR 3TOll.iY o6JIanaTCJIb rapaHTHH 6y,nCT rrOJIHOCTbIO 3alUHlUeH He3aBHCHMbIM H CHJIbHbIM tPHHaHcoBbIM HCTO'lHHKOM, HaxO,njllUHMCjI 3a npCneJIaMH BOCHHH H fcplIe roBHHbI " , - laRBHJI P}'KOBO,nHTeJIb arCHTCTBa nru.mlljl K03apWi. l.JJIeH rpynrrbI BCeMl1pHOrO 6aHKa AMfl1 rrpc,nOCTaBJIjlCT rapaHTHH rro 60JIec KpynHbIM H ,nOJ[roCPO'lHbIM HHBeCTHIIHjlM, KOTopble BbIXOn.lIT 3a pa3MepbI rrOKpbITHll, rrpe)1)IaraeMhlX ArI1.
XOpBaTHJI nOJl)"laeT KpeAJ(T MB<I>
MB<t> 06bjlBHJI 13 MapTa, 'ITO OH On06pHJI rrpc,nOCTaBJICHHC XopBaTHH paClllHpeHHoro Kpe,nHTa Ha CYMMY $486 MJIH, $15K MJIH H3 KOTOPbIX 6yJIYT rrpenOCTaaTeHbI B TeKynICM rony. KpeJJ:HT rrpe,nHa:ma'1eH;J;..TUI OKa3aHHjI rrOMOlUH rrpaB;fTeJIhCTBY B rrpOBeneHHH CTpYKTYP:IbIX petPoPM C O,nHOBpeMeHHbIM 06eCHe'leHHCM 60JICC BblCOKoro rro,;;:reBoeHHoro YPOBHjI :lKll3HH. B 3TOM rony, O'leBH,nHO, coXPaHHTCR: 3nOpOBbIl1: pOCT. 3aMeCTHTeJIb rrpCMbep-MHHHCTpa XopBaTHH BopHc;:raB CKerpo 3aRBHJI, 'ITO cTpaHe CKOPO 6ynfT rrOJIHOCTbIO BbIIIJIa"IeH Bce~mpHI.rM 6aHKoM Kpe,nHT Ha peCTpYKTYPH3a~HH qmHaHCOBoro CCKTopa H npenrrpH.lITl1H Ha cYMMY $80 M..'IH $100 MJIH. Kpe;:(IIT 6y'[(eT HCrrOJIb-30BaH Ha OKa3aHlfe rrOMOlllH XopBaTHH B rro;IHoll peOpramf3alIHIr ee 6aHKOBCKOll CHCTeMbI H rrpHBaTH3alIHH KpynHbIX tPHPM rocy,[(apcTBeHHoro ceKTOpa.
KaM,neccyc C'lHTaeT HeOOXOAJ(MhIM npe,noCT8BHTh MB<I> MaanaT Ha C'IeT ,lJ,BHJKeHHH K8nHTaJIa
.llHpeKTop-paCrrOpjI.lIHTeJIb MB<t> MallKJI KaM,[('~ccyc 3aJlBHJI 7 MapTa Ha KOHfj:>epeHUHH rro <pHHaHcoBoH HHTerpalIHH E A:UHI:, CocTORBllIeHCJi B fOHKoHre, 'ITO comameHHe 0 npel(OCTaBJIeHHH MB<t> MaH,[(am Ha 06ecne"IeHHC KOHBepTnpyeMocTH C"IeTa ,nBRlKeHnJl KarrHTaJIa (nocTCrreHHaR JIH6epaJIli3auHR onepaumt, CM3aHHbIX co C'IeTOM ,nBlDKeHllJI KanHTaJIa) MOJKCT 6bITb ,nOCTHrHYTO BO BPCMJi CJKCrO,[(HbIX COBel1~aHHH MB<t>-BCCMHPHOro 6aHKa. f-H KaMJleccyc ,n06aBHJI, 'ITO OH 6y,neT peKoMcH,noBaTb, 'lTO-6bI onHoH H3 Ja,na'l, KOTopble CTaBHT ncpe,n C060M M B<t>, 6blJIa JIH6cpaJIH-3alIllJl. KarrHTaJIa, O,nHaKO 3TOT npolIecc Tpe6yeT 6JIarOpa3)TMHOrO no,nxo,na. ITo'[(BenR 'IepTy ,nJIjI HOBbIX cTpaH, CBjl3aHHYIO C npolIeccoM mo-6ailH3aIlFlH, OH CKa3aJI, 'ITO HM CJIC,nyeT 06eCrre'lHTb CBOM MaKp03KOHO-
1997 BceMupHblll, 6SHK
MWieCKHH 6aJIaHC H 3,[(OPOBYIO CTp}'KTYPY CBOHX tPHHaHCOBbIX CHCTeM B Xone OTKpbITHJi CBOHX PbIHKOB KarrHTaJIa.
BceMHpHOMY 08HKY CJlenyeT y,neJUITh OOJlhme BHHM8HHH 3KOJlOfHH
ITpe3H'[(eHT BceMHpHoro 6aHKa ,llJKeMMc BOJIbtPeH30H Ha BCTpe'le B PHO C yqaCTHeM 60JIbllIOM IIRTepKH 3aRBHJI, "ITO BceMHpHbIM 6aHK 6yneT 06palUaTbCjI 3a COBeTaMl1 K RITO no BonpocaM, CBR3aHHbIM C oxpaHoH OKpYJKaIOlUeH CpeJJ:bI,' B xo,ne npHHjITHjI BaHKoM pemeHHH 0 npe,nOCTaBJIeHHH Kpe,[(HTOB. "BaHK B npOIIIJIOM He y,[(eJIHJI BHHMaHHH BonpocaM, CBjI-3aHHbIM C COXpaHeHHeM paBHOBeCF[j{ B OKpYJKaIOlUCH cpc,ne B rrpoeKTax, KOTopbIe OH tPHHaHCHpOBaJI, H nonyCTHJI ccpbe3HbIe Ourn6KH", - CKa3aJI BOJIbtPeH30H, ,n06aBHB, 'ITO BaHK renepb CTaJI J:q>yrHM yqpeJKJJ:eHHCM, rrbITaIOlUHMCjI npHnaTb 60JIbIIlHH Bec COIIHaJIbHbIM, KYJIbTYPHbIM H 'IeJIOBe'leCKHM BOnpOCaM npH npHHRTIU1 pCllIeHHjI 06 06beKTax tPHHaHCHPOBaHliJl. (113 CJKeronHbIX Kpe,n:HTOB BceMHpHoro 6aHKa Ha CyMMY $25 MJIpn OKOJIO $7,2 MJIP,[( HanpaBJIJlIOTCR Ha 3KOJIOm'leCKHe rrpOeKTbI. Ra'lHHaR C 1989 r., Kor,na B BaHKe 6blJI C03,[(aH 3KOJIOmqeCKHH OT'[(eJI, HM 6blJIa OKa-3aHa nOMOmh no 153 rrpoeKTaM B 62 cTpaHax).
IIpoeKT HaM TeYH II: pemeHHe em;e He npHHflTO
"BCeMHpHbIH 6aHK, KOTOPbIH nepBOHa'laJIbHO 06elUaJI OKa3aTb rrOMOmh B tPHHaHCHpOBaHHH CTpOHTeJIbCTBa IIJIOTHHbI RaM TeYH II B naocc, cnyCTHJI 3TO 06elUaHHe Ha TopM03ax. BCTpeBOJKeHHbIH pa3MepOM CMCTbI npoeKTa, COCTaBJIjlIOlUeit $1,2 MJIp,n, 'ITO paBHO ro,nOBOMY BBIT CTpaHbI H B TpH pa3a 60JIbllIe rocy,[(apCTBeHHOro 6IO]lJKeTa, BaHK orracaeTCR, 'ITO npe'[(OCTaBJIeHHe Kpe,nHTa MOJKeT BBCCTH naOCCKYIQ H,llP B ,nOJIm", - 3ajlB11JIa B HC,llaBHCH CTaTbC tPpaHUY3CKaR ra3eTa Le Figaro. I1PC,llCTaBHTCJIH BCCMHPHOro 6aHKa co06I.UHJI11 PC,[(aKTOPY HHtPoPMalIHOHHoro 6IO;IJICTCHjI Transition, 'ITO B OTJIWiHC OT HH<PoPMaIIH11, Co'[(cpJKalUeHCjI B 11HtP0pMaIIHOHHOM 6IOJIJleTeHe; pCllIeHHe B OTHomCHHH 3TOro npoeKTa elUe He npHH.lITO. BceMHpHbIH 6aHK CqHT3.eT,
'ITO JKH3HeHHO BaJKHYIO pOJIb HrpaeT OlIeHKa rrOMepJKHBaeMbIX HM npoeKTOB. By,neT npOBe,ncH PM KOHCYJIbTaUHH C rrpe,[(cTaBHTeJIRMH rocy,napCTBeHHbIX OpraHOB, QT06bI 06ecrreQHTb yqacTHe Ha MecTHoM, perHoHaJIbHOM H HaUHOHaJIbHOM YPOBHjlX. TOJIbKO nOCJIe npoBe'[(eHF[j{ Bcex 3THX
TPSHC¢OPMS~UR,snpenb 1997
BCTpeQ C npe,ncTaBHTeJIjlMH BJIaCTH H 06lUecTBeHHocTH II 3aBepllIeHl:ljl pjl,[(a HCCJlenOBaHHH (OTHOCHTeJIbHO aJIbTepHaTHB, 3KOHOMH'IeCKOrO BJIHjIHF[j{, npHpo,[(ooxpaHHbIx IlJIaHOB 11 IIJIaHOB COlIllaJIbHOH 3alUHTbI; IIJIaHOB no rrcpeCeJIeHllIO JKliTCJIeH 3aTaIIJIH-BaCMbIX reppHTopRH, 3KOJIOrH'lCCKOH OlIeHKH 11 nJIaHa MeHe,[(JKMeHTa) BaHK CMOJKeT npllHJlTb pellIeHHc OTHOCHTeJIbHO lIeJIcco06pa3HOCTH no,[(,nepJKKH 3TOro npoeKTa.
PyMhlHHJI Ha,nee-rCH nOJlY'fHTh Kpe,llHT standby OT MB<l> H ,nonOJlHHTeJlhHhle KpeAJ(ThI OT BceMHpHoro oaHKa
MHHHCTp tPHHaHCOB P)'MhIHHll MHP'lea 1JbIOMapa 3aRBHJI, 'ITO rrpaBHTeJIbCTBO CTpaHbI Ha,[(eeTCR nOJIY'lIITb KpC,n:HTbI Ha cYMMY $1 MJIP,n OT MB<t>, BCCMHPHOro 6aHKa H EBponeHcKoro COI03a • .llOJIjI MB<t>, KOTOPaR )10)1JKHa 6bITb 0'[(06peHa B Cepe)1HHC anpeJIR, COCTaBJIjleT $400 MJIH.
$225 MHJlJlHOHOB Ha npoBe,lleHHe pe4JopM B BeHrpHH
Kpe)lHT CPOKOM Ha ,nBeHa,nuaTb ;leT Ha CYMMY $225 MJIH, 0,n06peHHbIH BCCMHPHbIM 6aHKoM 11 MapTa, noMOJKeT BeHrpHll 3aBCpllIHTh rrpOBe)1eHHe petPOPM B npOMbIIIIJIeHHOM H tPRHaHCOBOM ceKTOpax. Kpe,l(IIT 6y,nCT HCnOJIb30BaH Ha 3aBcpmCHHe npliBaTH3alIllH QeTbIpex KpynHeHllIHX KOMMep'leCKHX 6aHKoB - c6eperaTeJIbHOro 6aHKa, By'[(arrellITcKoro 6aHKa, BaHKa BHcillHeH TOproBJIH II KpemITHOro 6aHKa. C Ha'laJIa npOBe,[(eHllR PCtPOPM B 6aHKOBCKOM ceKTope l]OJIH 6aHKOBCKHXaKTHBOB,KOHTpOJIHpyeMbIX QaCTHbIM CCKTOPOM, yseJIll"IllJIaCb no'ITH'[(o 80 %. Kpe,[(lIT6Y,[(eTTaKJKC llCrrOJIb30BaH na YCHJICHHC peryJIHpOBaHH1{ H Ha,n:30pa Han: 6aHKOBCKOH ,[(eRTeJIbHOCTbIO, a TaKJKC Ha '[(aJIbHeMUIyIO llHTerpalIHIO 6aHKOBCKoro ceKTopa BeHrpHH B eBpoIIcHCKHe tPHHaHCOBbIC pbIHKH. PCtPOPMbI B OTHomeHHH rrpe'[(npHjlTHH npe~1YCMaTpllBaIOT BBe,neHHe B ,neHCTBHe HOBOro 3aKOHa 0 npHBaTH3alIHll, Tpc6yIOlUero rrpHBaTH3alIHIO 80 % OCTaBllIeHcR B PYKax rocy,napCTBa C06cTBeHHOCTH npenrrpmITHH H oCYlUeCTBJIeHHjI urnPOKoH npHBaTll3aUHH, B xo,[(e KOTOPOH OCHOBHail "IaCTb rocy,llapcTBeHHoH c06cTBeHHocTll npeJJ:IIPH.lITHH, 3aHHMaIOlUHXCjI pacnpe,neJleHHeM ra3a H 3JIeKTpH'IeCTBa, BbIpa-60TKOH 3JIeKTp03HeprHH, TpaHcnopTHPOBKOM II nepepa60TKoH He<PTll H npe,nOCTaBJIeHHeM TeJIeKoMMYHHKaIIHOHHbIX ycnyr, 6yneT rrpHBaTH3HpOBaHa. K HaCTOjllUeMY BpeMeHH BeHrpllR nOJIY'lHJIa OT BCeMHpHoro 6aHKa Kpe,nHTbI Ha CYMMY $3,7 MJIP,ll.
31
TpaHc¢opMa~UR.anpenb 1997
,L(HeBHHK KOHlj;JepeHnai J(eBJITIUI elKero,rotaJi KOH~epeHIJ,HJI no pa3BHBalOID,HMCJI CTpaHaM (ABCDE) 30 arrpelliI-l MaJI 1997 r., BamHHrTOH, O.K., COeL(HHeHHhle illTaThI
KompepeHUHH, opraHH30BaHHaH Jl:;>K03etPoM E. CTHrJIHueM - CTaprrrnM BHue-rrpe3HL(eHTOM, PYKOBOL(HTeJIeM OTL(eJIa Pa3BHBaIOIURXCH CTpaH H maBHhlM 3KOHOMHCTOM, 6YL(eT OTKphlTa rrpe3HL(eHTOM BceMHpHoro 6aHKa Jl:;>Kei1:McoM J(. BOJIhtPeH30HOM. ByllYT paccMOTpeHhl c;reLJ:YIOIUHe TeMbI: KOppyrrUHH: KaTfu'IH3aTOphI H CL(ep:)lomaIOIUHe tPaKTOPhI (MaHKJI Jl:;>KOHcTOH H CI03aH POY3-AKepMaH); CTHMyJIhl H IIOKa3aTeJIH pa60Thl roCYL(apCTBeHHhlX OpraHH3aUHH (illepBHH POY3eH, BpIOC BaHH6epr H J(HJrHrr Myxepbe); HHIUeTa H OKpy:JKaIOIUaJI cpeL(a (KapJI fOpaH-MaJIep H PaMoH JIorre3) H JrHL(ephl 3KOHOMl:flIeCKoro pOCTa: MOryr .'IH llPyrHe rrOCJIeL(OBaTh HX rrpHMepy? (Arrh6epTo ArrecHHa H TaKaTomH YITo). JIHua, He HBJIHIOIUHeCH COTpYL(HHKaMH BaHKa H MB<I>, MOlyr yqacTBoBaTb B pa60Te KOHtPepeHUHH TOJIhKO rro rrpHrJIameHHIO. lfHljJOpMal{UlO MOJICnO nOJly~umb no aapecy: Boris Pleskovic or Gregory Ingram, Research Advisory Staff, World Bank, 1818 H Street, N. W, Room N7-031, Washington, D. C 20433, United States tel. 202-473- ](XS2, fax 202-522-0304.
YnpaBJIeHHe Tpy~OBbIMH pecypcaMH: B3aHMO~eHCTBHe 3an3,!I,HOH H BOCTO'lHo-eBponeHcKoH KYJlbTYP ynpaBJIeHHJI 22-23 MaJI 1997 r., IOpMaJIa, JIaTBHH
Oprarill3aTOp: OT,l.l;eJI BblC,'TaBOK H KOHtPeperruMit JIaTBMitcKoH 6H3HeC-illKOJIbI. lfHl/lOpMal{UIO MOJICHO nOJly~umb no aapecy: Latvian Business School, 1 Maza Pils Str., Riga, LV 1050 Latvia, tel. 371-721-1186,fax 371-722-4429, E-mail: [email protected].
KOH~epeH~HJI no 3KOHOMH'IeCKHM HCCJle~OBaHHJlM: PbIHO'lHbIe HCKalKeHHJI TeHeBoH 3KOHOMHKH 10 HIOID[ 1997 r., KHeB, YKpaHHa
OpraHH3aTophl: KOHCOPIUIYM 3KOHOMH'IeCKoro 06pa30BaHHH H HCCJIeL(OBaHHH (K30I1), 3KOHOMH'IeCKHH tPaKyJIhTeT, nporpaMMa M.A. KHeBoMOfruuIHcKoH aKaL(eMHH
UeJlhlO KOHtPepeHUHH HBlliIeTCH CTHMyJIHpOBaHHe HCCJIeL(OBaHHH B OTHO
meHHH ~YHKuHOnHPYIOIUHX PhIHKOB, pa60Ta KOTOPhIX 3aTpYL(HHeTcH HJIH HCKaxaeTCH TeneBoH 3KonoMHKoH,
32
HeL(OCTaTO'IHOH rrpaBoBoH OCHOBOH, CKPhlTHOCThIO, CTHXaTeJIhCTBOM H KoppyrrUHeH. CpeL(H yqacTHHKoB 6ynyr YKpaHHCKHe H HHOCTpaHHhle yqeHhle, 'L'1eHhl 6H3Hec-KpyroB, rrpe,n:CTaBHTeJIH HHOCTpaHHhIX opraHH3aUHH H 'L'1eHhl H cTy,n:eHThl tPaKYJlhTeTa K30I1. Bynyr rrpOBe,n:eHhl 'IeThlpe ceCCHH, BKJIIO'IaIOIUHe ueJIhIH PHL( L(OKJIaL(OB, 3aMe'IaHHH H OTKphlThIX ,UHCKYCCHH. npe,n:CTaBJIeHHe ,n:OKJIaL(OB TOJIhKO no npHmaureHHIO PYKOBO,UHTeJIHMH nporpaMMhI. lfnpopMau,ulO MOJICnO no,1y~umb no aapecy: Email:[email protected]; UJlU
no paJ<:CY: 011-38-044-417-7395.
KHTaH KaK 3KOHOMH'IeCKIUI CHJla MHpOBoro MacIUTaoa: PbIHO'lHbIe pe~opMbI B HOBOM TbICJI'IeJleTHH 15-18 HIOHH 1997 r., lliaHXaH XmITOH, KHTaH
OpraHH3aTophI: I1HcTHTYT KaTo H <l>y,uaHCKHH YJ:IHBepeHTeT. B 3TOH Me)KJJ:YHapoL(HOH KOHtPepeHUHH rrpHMYT yqacTHe GoJIee TpH,r:mam BeJJ:YIUHX 3KcrrepTOB B ceCCHHX, rrOCBHIUeHHhlX MecTY KHTaJI B MHPOBOH TOprOBJIe; 6YllYllIeMy KHTaHCKOH PhlHO'IHOH 3KOHOMHKH; 6YllYllIeMy fOHKoma; COUHaJIhHOMY pa3BHTHIO B KHTae H CTpoHTe.'1bCTBY HHCTHTYUHOHaJIhHOH HHtPpaCTpYKTYPhI B KHTae. lfHPOPMal1ulO MOJICHO nOJly~umb no atJpecy: Julie Briggs, Cato Institute, 1000 Massachusetts Ave., N. W Washington, D. C. 20001, United States, tel. 202-789-5269,fax 202-842-3490.
MHpOBbJe 3HaHHH '97 KOHtPepeHUH$I BceMHpHoro 6aHKa rro 3HaHHHM H HX 3Ha'IeHHIO JI.,lH Pa3-BHTHH B BeK HHtP0pMauHH 22-25 HIOHH 1997 r., TopoHTo, KaHMa
B KOHtPepeHUHH npHMYI' yqaCTHe 1200 MHHHCTpOB H JIHU, rrpHHHMaIOIUHX rrOJIHTH'IeCKHe peureHHH, H3 CTpaH, rrpOBOMIUHX rrOJIHTl:flIeCKHe H 3KOHOMH'IeCKHe pe~OPMbI, rrpeL(CTaBHTeJIH 06IUecTBeHHocTH CTpaH C rrepexoL(HOM 3KOHOMHKOH, 'IacTHhIX npeJJ:IIpHHTHH, HnO, aKa,n:eMH'IeCKHX HHCTHTYTOB H HOCHTeJIH I\ffieHHH JI.,'IH 06-
CY:lKJJ:eHHH POJIH 3HaHHH JJ:lliI 3KOHOMH'IeCKoro pOCTa H COUHa.'IhHOrO Pa3-BHTHH; HOBhIX TeXHOJIOrHH H TeXHOJIOmH H3yqeHHH rrpHKJIaL(HhIX HaYK H rrpeHMYIUeCTB HH<PoPMaUHOHHOH peBOJIIOUHH. lfnpopMal1ulO MO:HCHO nOJlYliumb no aiJpecy: Latifah Alsegal, World Bank,
Economic Development Institute, 1818 H Street, N. W, Room M7-075, Washington, D. c., 20433, United States, tel. 202-473-6442, fax 202-676-0858, E-mail: [email protected].
HHBeCTHIJ,HH H npHopHTeTbJ B 3aCTpOHKe CaHKT-lleTepoypra 23-28 ceHTH6pH 1997 r., CaHKT-neTep6ypr, POCCHH lfHpopMau,ulO MOJICHO nOJly~umb no aapecy: Lynn Brittingham, Regional Coordinator USA, tel. 1-800-862-5015, fax 215-862-0303.
llOCTnpHBaTH3aQHOHHbJH DepHO~ B BOCTO'IHOii EBpone: mlUlc ~JI npek npHJITHH H aKIJ,HOHepOB 14-19 OKTH6pH 1997 r., '4HcHHay, MOJIL(OBa
OpraHH3aTOp: fpeH06JIhCKHH YHHBepCHTeT. lfnpopMau,ulO MOJICHO nOJly~umb no aapecy: Ivan Samson, Chairman of Organizational Committee on EU, University of Grenoble, 1241 rue des Residences, BP 47 Grenoble, France, tel. 33-476-825-819,fax 33-476-825-862.
BaHKOBCKHH H ~HHaHcoBbIe ceKTopbI B cTpaHax BUTKH '97 15-17 OKTH6pH 1997 r., PHra, JIaTBHH
OpraHH3aTOp: amen BhlcraBOK H KOHtPeperruIDt JIaTBMitcKoH 6H3HeC-lllKOJIhl. JfnpopMal1ulO MO:HCnO nOJly~umb no aapecy: Latvian Business School, 1 Maza Pilsstr., Riga, LV 1050 Latvia, tel. 371-721-1186,fax371-722-4429, E-mail: [email protected], Internet: http.!/ www.Ivnet.Iv/BFB96.
TpeTbJl Me~napo~1UI KO~epeHQ,HJI no nOJlHTKKe Pa3BHTHJI MUblX H cpe~HHX npe~pHJlTHH B cTpaHax C nepeXO~OH 3KOHOMHKOH 16-17 OKTJI6PH 1997 r., BYJIBepX3MIITOH, BeJIHK06pHTaHHH
OpraHH3aTOpbI: J(-p MH.J1:~op)~ Be:iITMeH H ,ll-p YmLi BapmcIT, rpyrrrra MeCTHom 3KOHOMH'IeCKoro pa3BHTHH B CTpaHax C nepexo,n:HoH 3KOHOMHKOH mKOJIhI rrOJIHTl:flIeCKHX HCCJIeL(OBaHHH BynBePX3MIITOHcKOro YJ:lHBepCHTeTa. lfHpOpMal{UIO MO:HCnO nOlly~umb no aiJpecy: Dr. Millord Bateman, Local Economic Development in Transition Economies Unit, SLES, University of Woiverhampton, United Kingdom, tel. 44-1902-322-324, fax 44-1902-322-739, Email: [email protected].
1997 BceMlllpHblM 6aHK
CeMHHap B IJ;HTTay no COCTOJIHHIO 3Hepre11lKH B cTpaaax BOCTO'IHOA: EBponhl 3-5 HOR6pR 1997 r., UHTIay, repMaHH)[
OpraHH3aTOp: Hochschule fuer Technik, Wirtschaft und Sozialwesen. Ha ceMHHape 6y,UYT paCCMOTpeHbI TaKHe TeMbI, KaK 3HepreTH'leCKaR CHryaIIHJI B POCCHH, BeJIapycH, YKpa-
HHe, ITOJIbllIe, PYMbIHHH, BOJIrapHH, qellIcKofi Pecrry6JIHKe, CJIOBaIIKofi Pecrry6mrKe, Bem:pHH, 3cTOHHH, JlHTBe H JlaTBHH. HwjJopMau,wo MOJICHO nOflYliumb no aopecy: Prof. W. Riesner, Hochschule juer Technik, Wirtschaft WId Socialwesen Zittau/ Gierlitz (FH), Fachbereich Wirtschafiswissenschafien, Theodor Koerner Allee 16, 02763Zittau, Gennany, tel. 49-3583-611-415,fax 49-3583-510-626.
TpaHc~pMa~MR.anpenb 1997
Efla200apuM 3a MamepUaJlb/" npeoocma6JleHltb/,e lCoonepamU6Hb/,M 61Opo no 3lCOHOMu<teClCUM uCCfle006aHUJlM nOflOJlCeHUH 6 Bocmo<tHoii E6pone, pacnOJIOJlCeHHb/,M no aopecy: Koenigin-LuiseStr.5, D 14195, Berlin, Getmany, tel. 4930-897708-68,jax 4930-897708-99, Email: [email protected], UflU [email protected].
HOBbIe KHoro 0 pa6o'Ioe ,lI;OKJIa,ll;bI OmoeJl MalCP(HICOHOMUICU U 31COHOMUlf:eCICOeO pa36umUfl cO'JICaneem J If:mo He MO'JICem
6blCflamb nepelf:UC;1eHHbte ny6JlulCal{uuJIo'JICanyucma, 03HaICOMbmeCb C nopflOICOM 3alCa3a,
YICa3aHHbtM 6 ItHlj)(}pMal{UU, npUIlaeaeMOU IC lCa'JICoou ny6J1UlCal{UU.
lIy6J1HKau,HH BceMHpHoro 6aHKa
ff;lJl nOfly<teHU5I UH(j,opMau,uu 0 u,eHax U nOpJlOKe 3ma3a ny6.1ulCau,uii BceMUPH020 tiaHlC;l nUlllume no aopecy: World Bank, P. O. Box 7247-8619, Philadelphia, PA 191m, United States, tel. 202-473-1155, fax 202-676-0581 UflU nocemume ICHUJICHb/,e Ma2a3UHb/, BCeMupH020 6aHlCa, paCnOflOJICeHHble 6 CoeouHeHHb/,X mmama.'<. no aopecy: 701-18th Street, N. W, Washington, D.C., UIlU 80
f/JpaHu,Uu: 66 avenue d'Iena, 75116 Paris, Email: [email protected], Internet: http.'WVM'.worldbank.org, Internet: http:/ jwww. worldbank.org
Pa6o'lue iloKAailbl, nOC8JllU,eHHble noJl,UmU'IeCKUM uccAeiJoeaHUJIM
CHMeOH ,[LhlIHKOB 11 BepHap,U XeKMaH ToproBaJI nepeopHeHTaD,HJI H pOCT npoH3BO~Te.ilbHOC11I OOJlrapCKHX npe~npHSTH" 1707, HIIBapb [997 r., 23 c. IIy6JlulCal{Ulo MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no aopecy: Jennifer Ngaine, Room N5-056, tel. 202-473-7947,fax 202-522-1159, Email: jngaine@Worlabankorg
YHJIbHM (DOKc H KPMCTHH YOJUIH'I <DHCKaJlbHbIH cIl~epaJIH3M B :SOCHHHrepu,eroBHHe: ,Il,eiiToHcKaJI Dpo6J1eMa, 1714, HHBapb 1997 r., 26 c. IIy6flWcaU,UIO .I-IOJICHO 3aKa3amb no aopecy: Yasmin Jiwa, Room Hll-075, tel. 202-473-4848,fax 202-477-1034, Email: [email protected]
rapPH r. Bpoy,UMeH H KCHOJHIH CaH Pacnpe~eJleHHe npJIMbIX HHOCTpaHHbIX HHBecTHIDIA: B KHTae, 1720, cpeBparrb 1997 r., 20 c.
1997 BC6MMPHblM 6aHK
reorpa<pH'lecKoe pacrrpe,UeJIeHHe rrpHMbIX HHOCTpaHHbIX HHBecTHIIHfi (ITMM) B KHTae orrpe,UeJI)[eTCH maBHbIM o6pa30M BHIT, paJBHTHeM HHcppacTpYKTYPbI, o6IIIeo6paJoBaTeJIbHbIM ypOBHeM R paCCTOHHHeM ,UO MOPCKOro rr06epe)KbH. B rrpoIIDIoM fiMM B OCHOBHOM HMeJIR <PoPMY CIIeKYJIHTHBHbIX HHBecTHIIHfi, oco6eHHo B ceKTOpe He,lJ.BlIJKHMOCTR; B rrOC.i'Ie,lJ.Hee BpeMIl 3Ta TeH,UeHIIRH BbIp8.)!(eHa He CTOJIb OT'IeTJIHBO. B rrepHO,lJ. C 1978 r. rro 1995 r. K.J;rmfi IIOJI}"lllJI $128 MRJIJmap,UOB B BH,Ue fiMM. fiPHTOK ITMM B HaCTOJrllIee BpeMH COCTaBMeT 40 rrpOIIelITOB o6IIIero rrpHTOKa fiRM B paJBHBaIOIIIHecH cTpaHbI, 'ITO ,UeJIaeT KHTafi CaMbIM KpyrrHbIM peIIHIIHelITOM fiMM cpe,UR pa3BHBaIOIIIHXCR cTpaH. IIy6flulCau,ulO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no aopecy: Joan Grigsby,Room MC8-238, tel. 202-458-2423,fax 202-522-1556, Email: [email protected]
JIYKa Bap60He H XyaH 3arrb,Uy3H,UO npHcoe~HHeHHe IJ;eHTpaJll'.HoA: H BoCTO'lHOH EBPODbl K EC: COKpaIlJ,eHHe palpbIBa B ,lloxoAllx, 1721, cpeBparrb 1997 r., 42 c.
ABTOPbI rrpHXOMT K 3aKIlIO'leHHIO, 'ITO cTpaHbI UBE B HaCTOHIIIee BpeMIl rrOKa eIIIe He MOryr ,UOCTH'lb YPOBHR ,lJ.OXO,lJ.OB CTpaH - 'lJIeHOB EBporrefiCKOro COI03a: • BempHH, CJIOBaKHH R CJIOBeHH)[ ,UOCTHrHYT 75-IIpOIIeHTHoro IIopora 'lepe3 copOK-rrHTb,UeCHT JIeT, eC.JIH OHH coxpaHJIT cero,UIDIlIfHI{e rrOKaJaTeJlli POCTa. fiOJIbIIIaHHKor,na He rrpR-6Jlli3HTCH K 3TOMYrrOpory IIpR CoxpaHeHHR cyrrrecTBYIDllIero rrO.JIO)KeHRJr, a qeIIIcKaH Pecrry6JIHKa ,UOCTHrHeT
yrrOMHHYToro YPOBHR IIPH6JIH3IITeJIbHO Qepe3 IIHTb,UeCJIT JIeT. • MCIIOJIb3YJr cpe,UHHe rrOKa3aTemr POCTa CTpaH EC, HR O,UHa R3 CTpaH UBE He IIPH6JIR3HTCH K YCTaHOBJIeHHOMY rropory. BbICOKHfi ypOBeHb HHBeCTHIIHfi B HHX rro cpaBHeHHIO co cpe'uHHM ypOBHeM CTpaH EC II03BOJIHT HM KOMIIeHCRpOBaTb ,UpyrRe He,UOCTaTKH. • ECJIR rrpe,UIIOJIOJKlITb, 'ITO ypOBeHb HHBeCTHIIHfi COCTaBHT 25-30 rrpoIIeHTOB BBIT, TO KO;rH'IeCTBO JIeT, He-06XO,UHMoe ,UJIH rrpH6JIH)KeHHJr K YPOBHIO CTpaH EC, 3Ha'IHTeJIbHO COKpaTHTCJr: )I)IH llelliCKofi Pecrry6JIHKH - 10-11 JIeT; fiOJIbIIIH - 20-22 ro,Ua; JIlIH .upynIX CTpaH - 10-20 JIeT. CTpaHaM UBE Heo6xo,UHMO o6eCrre'IHTb cpe.uy, CIIoco6cTBYIDI.IJYIO HHBeCTHIIHHM H o6pa30BaHHIO.
IIy6flulCau,ulO MOJICHO 3alCa3amb no aopecy: Luc Barbone, Room H11-079, tel. 202-473-2556,fax 202-477-1034, Email: [email protected]
JlHKCRH KOJIRH Kcy BJlHBHHe ua npoH3BO~bHOCTh pecllopM, uanpaBJIeHHhlX Ha ~eu,eHTPaJIH3a~HIO: aHaJlH3 npOMhlillJleHHhIX pecllopM, npoBe~eHHbIX B KHTae, 1723, <peBpaJlb 1997 r., 32c.
HHrjJopMau,ulO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no aopecy: Paulina Sintim-Aboagye, Room N9-030, tel 202-473-8526,fax 202-522-1155, Email: [email protected]
MRllIe;rb PH60 H XoaKBaH qy neHCHOHOU pecllopMa, POCT H PhlHOK pa-6o'leA: CHJlbI B YKpuHe, 1731, cpeBparrb 1997 r., 46 c.
33
TpaHc~opMaUMR.anpenb1997
IIeHCHOHHaJI CHCTeMa YKpaHHbI TpefiyeT rrpOBe,n:eHHg pa,n:HKaJIbHbIX pe<pOPM, 'ITofibl BOCCTaHOBHTb ,n:OBepHe K CHCTeMe H YCTpaHHTb HeBepHble CTHMYJIbI, ,n:eJIaIOillHe ee HeHa,n:e.'lKHOH. GIe,n:yeT paCCMOTpeTb B03MO.'lKHOCTb rrOBbIIIIeHHg rreHCHOHHOrO B03pacTa ,n:o 65 JIeT H BBe,n:eHHjJ: orropbI B BH,n:e rreHCHOHHbIX <pOH,lIOB.
lly6Jlulwl(u/Q MOJICHO 3a1Ca3amb no aapecy: Rosario Hablero H5-163, tel. 202-473-3971, fax 202-477-3378, Email: [email protected]
llaH AneKCaH,lIep H KOJI:fIH M3Hep C03,u.aHHe CTHMYJlOB ,n:JIJI OOBLlmeHKJI J4tcbeKTHBHoCTH '1aCTHLIX KOMnaHHH, pa60TalOUJ,Hx B o6JIaCTH HH4lpaCTpYKTYPbl, 1736, MapT 1997 r., 37 c.
Yrp03a fiaHKpoTcTBa, BHyrpeHHHH KOHTpOJIb, YCTaHOBJIeHHbIit aKUHOHepaMH, H BHeIIIHHe onaCHOCTH, TaKHe, HarrpHMep, KaK yrp03a rrepexo,n:a rro,n: KOHTpOJIb ,IqJyroH KOMrraHHH, MOryr OKa3aTb MaKCHMaJIbHOe ,n:aBJIeHHe Ha npHBaTH3HpOBaHHble HH<ppaCTpYKT}'PHbIe KOMrraHHH H 3aCTaBHTb HX pafioTaTb fioJIee 3<p<peKTHBHo.
lly6JlUKal(u/Q MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no aapecy: Randee Scheiderman, Room G4-040, tel. 202-473-0191,fax 202-522-3481, Email: [email protected]
CTHHH KnecceHc, CHMeoH ,llMIHKOB H fepxap,n: IIoJI C06CTBeHBOCTh H KOpnopaTHBHoe OpaBJIeHHe: ,lJ,aHHLle, 00-JlytleHHble H3 qemcKoH PecnyOJlHKH, 1737, MapT 1997 r., 20 c.
CTPYKTYPHbIll aHaJIH3 706 <pHPM B Te'IeHHe 1992-1995 IT. rrOKa3aJI aBTOpaM, 'ITO fiJIaro,n:apj[ cxeMe MaccoBoH npHBaTH3aUHH fibIJIO ynyqIIIeHo yrrpaBJIeHHe npHBaTH3HpoBaHHblx KOMrraHHH DCJIe,n:CTBHH KOHueHTpaUHH coficTBeHHocTH. liaHKH, HMeIOillHe CBOIO ,n:OJIIO (orrocpe,n:CTBOBaHHo) B KarrHTaJIe npHBaTH3HPOBaHHOH <pHPMbI, OKa3b1BaIOT rrOJIO:lKHTeJIbHOe BJIHj[HHe Ha KopnopaTHBHoe rrpaBJIeHHe
<pHPMbr.
lly6JlUKal(U/Q MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no aapecy: Fa/en Hatab, Room H8-087, tel. 202-473-5853,fax 202-477-8772, Fmailjhatab @Worldbank.org
fappH XYHUHHra H CopeH lio HHJIbceH npHBaTH3a~JI, rocy,u.apCTBeHHLle HHBeCTHlI,HH H HaJlorOOOJlO1KeHHe ,lJ,eHe1KHblX ,n:OXO,n:OB, 1741, MaPT 1997 r., 19 c.
34
ABTOPbI H3yqaIOT OIITHMaJIbHOe pa3-rpaHHqeHHe Me:lK,l:(y rocy,n:apCTBeHHbIM H qaCTHbIM rrpOH3Bo,n:CTBOM. lly6JlU1Wl(U/Q MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no aapecy: Paulina Sintim-Aboagye, Room N9-030, tel. 202-473-8526,fax 202-522-1155, E-mail: [email protected]
J1HKCHH KOJIHH Kcy KaK npaBHTeJlLCTBO KHTU H rocy,u.apCTBeHBLIe npe,n:npHJlTHJI ,lJ,eJlHJIH MelK,lJ,y COOOH npaBa coocTBeHHocTH H KOHTPOJlL, 1743, MapT 1997 r., 30 c.
IIpasHTeJIbCTBO Heit-rpaJIbHO B OTHOIIIeHHH pHCKa, a PYKOBO,n:HTeJIb npe,n:rrpH.HTHjJ: K PHCKY OTHOCHTCj[ C OTBpaIlleHHeM; ueJIb rrpasHTeJIbCTBa rrOBbICHTb nOXO,n:bl (HJIH peHTafieJIbHOcTb), COxpaHHTb MaKCHMaJIbHbIH KOHTpOJIb HaLt: <pHpMaMll H YMeHbIIIHTb HepaseHCTBO B ,n:OXo,n:ax rryreM B3.HTHjJ: Ha rroPYIm <pHPM, CTOJIKHYBllIHXCj[ C <pHHaHCOBbIMlI TPY}lHOCTj[MH, H YCTaHOBJIeHHjJ: fioJIee BbICOKHX HaJIoroB B <pHPMax, HMeIOIllHX xopOllIHe 3KOHOMHqeCIme nOKa3aTeJIH. II03TOMY 3<p<peKTHBHbIe <pHPMbI CTapaIOTCg nOKa-3aTb cefig MaJI03<P<PeKTHBHbIMlI, pafiOTaJI crrYCTg PYKaBa, 'ITOfibI rroJIy'1HTb fiOJIbllIHe CYMMbI COUHa.;lbHbIX OT'lHCJIeHHH. C ,IqJyrOH CTOPOHbI, pyKOBO,n:HTeJIb H pafiOTHHIm npe,n:npHgTHH HMeIOT HH<p0pMaUHoHHoe rrpeHMYIlleCTBO no cpaBHCHHIO C rrpaBHTeJIbCTBOM, 'ITO naCT HM BbIHrpbIIIIj pe3YJIbTaTOM 3Toro npeHMYIlleCTBa gBJUlIOTCg cy60IITHMaJIbHbIC YCHJIHg.
lly6JlUlWl(UlO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no aapecy: Paulina Sintim-.Aboagye, Room N9-030, tel. 202-473-8526,fax 202-522-1155, E-mail: [email protected]
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lly6JlUKa/iUlO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no aapecy: lennufer Ngaine, Room N5-060, tel. 202-473-7947, fax 202-522-1159, Email:
[email protected] /tuCKyCcuoHHble OolCAaOw
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35
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fly6Jlwcal,{UU MO:HCHO 3a1Ca3amb no aopecy: IMP Publication Sef1Jices, 700-19th Street, N. w., Washington, D. C. 20431, United States, tel. 202-623-7430,fax 202-623-7201.
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fly61luICal,{uu MO:HCllO 3aICa3amb no aj)pecy: Haf1Jard Institute for International Development, Haf1Jard University, One Eliot Street, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, United States, tel. 617-495-2161,fax 617-495-0527, http://www.hiid. harvard.edu
D;aHH3JIh KaYIiJMaH H AneKcaH,llp KaJlH6ep,n:a HeocIJHuHaJlbHblii aHaJlH3 cTpaH C nepexoAHoii 3KOHOMHKOii:
3MnHpH'IeCKHii no,ll,XO,ll H YPOKH nOJlHTHKH, ,L(HCKYCCHOHHbIH n:OKJIa,u 558, oKnI6ph 1996 r., 33 c.
HHpyrraM EaHrraH H THaHJI YM D;:>KHaH CTpaTerHJI pecIJopM KHTaJI H HHAHH: npeA)JOlKeHHJI no 6y,uymuM ,lleiiCTBHJIM, ,L(HCKYCCHOHHbIH ,UOKJIan: 564, ,UeKa6ph 1996 r., 19 c.
KaTapHHa IIl1cTOp 11 3H,UPlO Crraltcep HHBeCTH~HOHRble clJOH,llbl, yqaCTBOBaBmHe B MaCCOBoii npHBaTH3a~H H B ,llaJIbHeHmHX pecIJopMax: HHclJopMa~ H3 qemcKoii Pecny6J1HKH H POCCHH, n:HCKYCCHOHHbIH ,UOKJIa;J: 565, n:eKa6pb 1996 r., 37 c.
THaHJIyH D;)KHaH npHOpHTeT npHBaTH3a~H npH OCYllI,eCTBJleHHH 3KOHOMH'IeCKHX pecIJopM: KHTaH H TaHBaHb no cpaBHeHHIO C PoccHeii, ,n:HCKYCCHOHHhIH n:OKJIa,u 566, ,n:eKa6ph 1996 r., 18 c.
,lI,HCKYCCHOHHbIe ,llOKJI3,!l,Ll KHeBCKoro YHHBepcHTeTa
,4olCflaobJ MO:HCHO 3aICa3amb no aj)pecy: teV 49-431-880-7372, Email: pwehmeim@ food-econ. uni-kiel.de
O. Me.rrlOXI1Ha H IIHTep BepxaiiM PoccHiicKaJl CeJlbCKOX03J1HCTBeHHaJi H npOAOBOJlbCTBeHHaJI nOJlHTHKa B XO,lle pecIJopM: H3MeHeHHe nOJlHOMO'IHii Ha clJeAepaJlbHOM H perHOHaJlbHOM YPOBHJlX, ,L(HCKYCCHOHHbIH AOKJIa,u 5, ceHTH6ph 1996 r., 42 c.
D;. II. JIoH H IIHTep BepxaHM npoCTPaHCTBeHHaJi HHTerpa~HJI npoAoBOJlbCTBeHHOro pblHKa B POCCHH, ,UI1CKYCCHOHHbIH: n:OKJIa,L(, HOH6ph 1996 r., 4Oc.
Pa60'lHe ,llOKJI3,!l,Ll BapmascKoro HHCTHTYTa clJHHaHcoB
fly61luICal,{uu MO:HCllO 3aICa3amb no aopecy: Institute of Finance, Infonnation and Publication Sector, Swietoknyslca 12, Warsaw, Poland
D;:>KepoM Crap,U YnpaBJIeHHe BHeHlHHM AOJlrOM BeurpHH: BJlHJlHHe CT(JaTerHH, He AonYCKalOllI,eii cnHCbIBaHHe cpeACTB, 1984-1994 rr., pa6o'IHH ,n:OKJIa,u 46, 1996 r., 74 c.
1997 BC9MMPHblM 6SHK
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Yl.3a6eJIa BOJIKOBHK. XaHHa KY3HHCKa, Map)KeHa MaHeBH'! H lI,e3apHH MaJIHmeBCKHE ITO,llOXO~bIH OaJIOr B CBeTe onpoca 06111,ecTBeoooro MoeOOB, pa60'lHH ,!I0KJIa~ 47. 1996 r., 59 c.
r)Kerom KOJIOir:KO IIpeeMcTBeooocTb H H3MeoeOHB B nOJlbCKHX pecllOpMax, 1993-2000 rr., pa60'lHH: ):(OKJIa,!I 48, 1996 r., 29 c.
,IJ,HCKYCCHOHHble ,lI.OKJI3,ll,b1 HeMe~oro HHCTHyra lKOHOMH'IeCKHX HCCJle,ll.OBaHHH (Deutscbes Institut fur Wirtscbaftsforscbung)
I1y6/1uICau,uu MOJICHO 3a1U13amb no aapecy: DIW, Koenigin-Luise-Strasse 5, 14195 Berlin, Germany, tel. 4930-897-708-68,fax 4930-897-708-99.
KpHCTHaH IPOH XHpmxaY3eH ITpoMbllllJIeHRaB pecl'pYKTYpH3a~B B YKpaHHe: OT COIJ,HaJlH3Ma K nJiaHOBOH lKOOOMHKe? ,IJ,I1CKyCCHOHHhIR ):(OKJIa,!I 144, H05l6pb 1996 r, 31 c.
KpHCTHaH IPOIr XHpmxaY3eH ,IJ,eperyJlHpOBaHRe H pa3BHTHe npelUIPHHRMaTeJlbCTBa B 06J1aCTH TeJleKoMMYHRKaIJ,HH B lI,eHTpaJlbHOii H BOCTO'looii EBpone - nOKaaaTe.lb YPOBRJI,lJ..l(B 3ana,ll.a? ,llHCKyCCHOHHhIli ,llOKJIa,ll 145, ueKa6ph 1996 .,29 c.
,IJ,PyrHe ny6J1oKaIJ,OH
IIporpaMMa Ha,lI.eJKHoro 3eMJIenOJlb30-BaHHB H pacnpe,ll.eJleHHB 3eMeJIbHblX pecypCOB B paiioHe BO,ll.Opa3,l1.eJla peKH YCCYFHjB}CYJIH 0 Ha npHJleraIOIII,HX TeppOTOpHB'X [CcBepo-BOCTO'lHhIH KHTaH H POCCRHCKHH ,llaJIbHHH BOCTOK), qmpMa Ecologically Sustainable Development, Inc., New York, HOJI6pb 1996 c, 95 c. I1y6/1uKau,U1o MOJICHO 3aIC{13amb no aapecy: Ecologically Sustainable Development, Inc., 2 Church Street, P. O . Box 848, EliZ/2bethtawn, New York 12932, United States, td. 518-873-3200,fax 518-873-2686, Email: [email protected]
,ll)KOH DOHHH, KaIbMaM MHmeH H ilOJIh YO'ITeJI K opOeHTOpOBaHROMY Ha PblHOK 6aHKoBcKOMY ceKTopy B CTpaHax c ne"exO,ll.HOH 3KOHOMOKOH: pe3lOMe nOJlH'fO'IeCKOX peKOMeH,ll.a~H, llHCTHTYT HCCJIeUOBaHHH BocTOK-3ana,ll, l.[emc KaH PeCTIy6JIHKa, 1996 r., 22 c. I1y6/1uICau,U1o . .,WJlCHO 3aIC{13amb no aapecy: IEWS European Studies Center,
1997 BceMMpHbl/,1 6aHK
Rasinovo nabrezi 78-2000, 12000 Prague 2, Czech Republic.
ApH3JIb K03H POCCOHCKHH HMnepoaJl03M: pa3BOTHe H KPH3HC, H3,llaTeJIbCTBO Greenwood Publishing Group, KOHHeKTHKyT, asryCT 1996 r., 200 c. I1y6/1uICau,um MOJICHO 3aIC{13amb no aopecy: GPG, 88 Past Road West, P. O. Box 5007, United States, tel. 203-226-3571,fax 203-222-1502, http://www.greenwood.com
JIaCJIO Kca6a TOproBU nOJlOTHKa H TOproBblH peJKHM BeorpHR: OT HeonpoTeK~OH03Ma K Jl06epaJI03MY HJlH Ha-06opoT? ,llHCKyCCHOI:illhIH ,ll0KJIa,!I KOMrraHHH KOrrHHT-)lllTopr 39, 1996 r., 37 c. IIy6/1U1cau,um MOJICHO 3aIC{13amb no aopecy: Kopint-Datorg, Economic Research, Marketing and Computing Co., Ltd., H-1081 Budapest, Csokonai u. 3, Hungary, tel. 361-266-6640,fax 361-266-8858.
A reIllKe ,llHHKCTpa <l>HRaHCOBaB pec1JopMa U lcIJclJeKTHBHOCTb nOCpe,ll.HH"IecTBa: nOKa38TeJ1O 6aHKoBCKoro ceKTOpa B BeurpuH, pa60QHH ,llOKJIa,!I cepHH 231, I1HCTHTyT COUHaJIbHhIX HCCJle,llOBaHHH, HlUl:epJIal{,llbI, HOH6pb 1996 r., 33 c. " I1y6/1ulCau,um MOJICHO 3a/C{13amb no aapecy: Publications Office, institute of Social Studies, P. O. Box 29776, 2502 LT The Hague, Netherlands, Email:publication_ [email protected] (attn: publications assistant)
Pemoo BUE B 1996-1997 r. 3KOHOMH'leCKaJI KOMHCCHH OOH rro EBpoTIe, illooHuapHH, rurnapb 1997 r., 10 c. I1y6/1uICau,um MOJICHO 3alC{13amb no aapecy: UN/ECE, CH 1211, Geneve 10, Switzerland, tel. 4122-917-4444,fax 4122-917-0036, http://www.unicc.org/unece
r)Kerom 3KH3p1' rocY,ll.8pCTBO npOTHB 06l11,ecTBa: nOJlHTH'IeCKHH KpH3HC H ero DOCJle~CTBOB B BOCTO'IHOH H UeHTpaJlbHOH EBpone, H3,llaTeJIbCTBO Princeton University Press, 1996 f., 435c. IIy6/1ulCal1um MOJICHO 3aIC{13amb no aapecy: Bill Mcintyre, Princeton University Press, 41 William Street, Princeton, New Jersey 08540, United States, tel. 609-258-5165, fax 609-258-1335, Email: bilC [email protected]
CaYJI 3CTpHH, ,ll)Ko3eIP Bpa,!la, AAaH feJIb6 H llH,llep)KHT CHHrX (pe,ll.) PeCTPYKTYpo3auoB U npHBaTH3aIJ,HB B UeHTpaJIbHOH 0 BOCTO'lHOH EBpone: npHMepbl pecTpYKTYjtHpyeMblX c1JUPM, M.E. illaprr, HbIO-l1oPK, 1995 f.
TpaHc¢opMa~MR.anpenb 1997
repHOT rpa6xep H ,ll3BH):( CTapT (pe,ll.) PeCl'pYKTypo3aIJ,WI CeTeH B noCTCOIJ,HaJlOCTH'IeCKHH nepHO~, H3):(aTeJIbc1:Bo Oxford University Press, HbIO-l1oPK H OKc<POP,ll, 1997 r., 32 c. I1y6/1ulCau,um MOJICHO 3aIC{13amb no aopecy: Oxford University Press, Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2, 6DP, United Kingdom
liHKepH XHpBeHCaJIO Cl'paTefH1leCKaB a,lI.3nnlJ,RJI npelUIPHBTHH K TYP6YJleHTHblM peclJopMupyeMblM pblHKaM: Cl'paTerOJl pa60Tb1 c1JHHCKHx c1JOPM B Poccoo H Cl'paH8X BaJlTHO B 1991-1995 rr., HaY'!Ho-HCCJIe,llOBaTeJIbCKHR HHCTHTYT IPHHCKOH 3KOHOMHKH, ETLA, XeJIbCHHKH, 1996 r., 244 c. I1y6JlUlCau,U1o MOJICHO 3alC{13amb no aapecy: ETLA, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, Lonnrotinkatu 4, B (}()120, Helsinki, Finland
,ll)K03eIP KOHHHrC H CTHBeH HHCCCHC KaK OTKJlHKnyJlHCb 3aUllNlbie KOMnaHOO Ha oTKPbITHe Cl'pao UeHTpaJIbHOH H BOCTO'IHOH EBponbl? ,IJ,aHRbIe 06-CJle,ll.OBaHRJI He60JlbWOH Cl'paHbI C OTKPbITOH lKOHOMHKOH - BeJlbfHo, pa-60QHH ,llOKJIa,ll 60, JIeBeHcKHH KaTOJIH'leCKHH YHHBepCHTeT, 1996 r., 24 c. I1y6/1ulCau,um MOJICHO 3aIC{13amb no aapecy: Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Ch. Deberiotstraat 34,3000 Leuven, Belgium, tel. 32-16-326-598,fax 32-16-326-599.
,ll)KOH P. JIaMTIe, CI03aHJI. ByuY0p,ll H MapK C. 3JIJIHC 3KOHOMO'IeCKaB 6e-30naCHOCTb BocHoo nOCJIe 1996 r., BOCTO'lHO-eBpOTIeHCKHe HCCJIe,llOBaHH5I Me)K,llyHapO,llHoro ueHTPa yqeHhIX HM. By,1ij)o BHJIbCOHa, ATJIaHTHQeCKHH COBeT, BamHHITOH, O.K., 1997 r., 8 c. I1y6!luICau,um MOJICHO 3aICa3amb no aapecy: East European Studies, The Woodrow Wilson International Centerfor Scholars, 370 L 'Enfant Promenade, S. W, Suite 704, Washington, D.C., United States, tel. 202-287-3()()(),fax 202-298-3772, Email: wwcem126@ sivm.si.edu
JIooepaJIH3aD,HB, oHTerpaIJ,HB 0 lKOHOMO'IeCKHe nOKa3aTeJlO: OnbIT U nepcneKTHBbl, ,IJ,aHKep H XaM6JIOT, BepJIHH, 1996 f., 27 c.
PbIOOK-KOHKYpe~B-KOHTpaKT: MeTO,ll.b1 MeHe,ll.JKMeHTa H Be,ll.eHRB c1JHRauCOB B COCTeMe Myoo~naJIbHbIX KOMMYHaJlbOblX yCJlyr, TIporpaMMa Local Government Know-How, BeHrpH5I, 1996r., 251 c.
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TpaHc¢opMaUMR.anpanb 1997
OUHa H3 HaH60JIee 6bICTPO MemHOIIl;JAJWJI o6nacTeH MYHllUHrraJIbHOrO <pHHaHCOBOro MeHe,LOKMeHTa, KOTOPbIM H CaM HaXO)U1TCJI B COCTOJIHHH pe<popM, - KOM:M}'HaJIbHble ycnyrH. B OCHOBHOM HOBbIe <pOPMbI co6CTBeHHOCTH H HOBbIe opraHH3aUHOHHbIe H MeHeUJKepCKHe OTHOIlleHHH YCTaHOBHnHCb BO MHomx 06naCTJIX KOMMYHa..'IbHbIX ycnyr, BKnIO'laH H 06ecrre'leHHe KOM:M}'HaJ1bHbIX npeunpHJITHM. MeTOUbI <pHHaHCHpOBaHHJI H CTpYKTYPa 3aTpaT H3MeHHnHCb, H KOMIIeTeHUHJI MeCTHbIX rrpaBHTeJlbCTB pacnmpeHa. lly6JlUlWI,{UlO MOJICHO 3a1W3amb no ai)pecy: Local Government Know-How Program, H-2094 Nagykovacsi, Kolozsvari utca 22/1, Hungary, tel. 36/-138-9390, Email: 100263.4172 compuserve.com
PHKapuo <D. HOMrrcpT ,11;eMorpacjUl'lecKaH nOJlHTHKa, COQHaJlbHO-3KOHOMH'1eCKOe pa3BHTHe H )J,eMorpacjJH'IeCKaH )J,HHaMHKa B MOnrOJlHH, HaY'lHO-HCcne)J,OBaTCnbCKaH IllKona ABCTpaJIHHCKoro HauHOHaJIbHOro YHllBepCHTeTa, 1996 r., 120 c. lly6JluIWI,{UlO MOJICHO 3a1Ca3amb no adpecy: Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University, ACT 0200.
fa6pH3nb POT fiYTH PbIHO'lHOH 3KOHOMHKH, 3MB6epH, IIITaT BepMoHT, 1995 r., 292 c. lly6JlUlWI,{UlO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no ai)-pecy: Avebury, ate Publishing Co., Old PostRilad, reki, Vemwnt 05036-9704, United States, tel. 800-535-9544,fax 802-276-3837, Email: [email protected]
M. XOJIbT PY<P<PHH, ,llJKOaH MaKKapTCP H PH'lapu Ann:JKOH fiOCTCOBeTCKHH CnpaBO'IHHK: 06w.eCTBeHHbIe opraHH3alJ,HH H HHTepHeTOBcKHe pecypcbI B HOBbIX He3aBHCHMbIX rocY,ll,apcTBax, YHHBepcIITCT Washington Press, CH-3TJ1, rmaT Ba.IIIHHITOH, HIOJIb 1996 r., 414c. lly6JlUKal,{UlO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no adpecy: University of Washington Press, P. O. Box 50096, Seattle, Washington 98145-5096, United States, tel. 206-543-4050,fax 206-543-3932.
<l>HHaHcHpOBaHHe aMepHKaHo-PYCCKOro npoeKTa, 11HCTHTYT reOHOMHKH, BepMOrIT, CCIITJI6pb 1996 r., 96 c. lly6JluKau,ulO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no ai)pecy: Geonomic Institute, 14 Hillcrest Avenue, Middlebury, Vennont 05753, United States, tel. 802-388-9619,fax 802-388-9627, Email: geonomic@middunix.middlebury.edu
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)l(aoMoHr )l(aHr Kypc o6MeHa lKeHbMHHb6H H TOproBbIH 6aJ1aHC KHTaH: 3MnHpH'IeCKOe o6CJIe,ll,OBaHHe, HaUHOHa:lbHOC 6IOPO 3KOHOMH'ICCKHX HCcnen:oBaHHM (HB311), pa60'lHM UOKna)J,5771, 1996 r., 23 c. lly6JlUKal,{UlO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no adpecy: NBER, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, Massachusetts, 02138-5398, United States, tel. 617-868-3900 ext. 315, fax 617-441-3895, Email: subs@ nber. harvard. edu
OcjJHQHaJlbHaH CTaTHCTHKa POCCHH
lly6JlUKal,{UlO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no adpecy: rOCKoMcmam Poccuu, 39, MRCHUI,{KaJI Yil., MocKBa 103450, POCCWl, meJl. 7095-207-4651 UIlU 7095-207-4237, rjJaKC 7095-207-4592, Email: statpro@ sovam.com
CypOHTeJlbCTBO B POCCHH: CTaTHCTH'1eCKHH CnpaBO'lHHK, 1996 r., 247 c.
fipOMbIDVteHHOCTb B POCCHH: CTaTHCTH'ICCKHH CnpaBO'lHHK, 1996 r., 425 c.
ECTecTBeHHblH npHpocT HaCeJIeHHH POCCHHCKOH <l>e)J,epalJ,HH B 1995 r.: CTaTHCTH'IeCKHH 6IOJIJleTeHb, 1996 r., 52 C
POCCHHCKHH cTaTHCTH'IeCKHH elKerO)J.HHK: cTaTHCTH'IeCKHH C60PHHK, 1996 r., 1 200 c., rronHbIH CTaTHCTH'lCCKHH eJKerOUHHK 3a 1995 r. Ha PYCCKOM 513bIKe. Cn:enaH IICPCBOn: con:epJKaHH5I Ha aHf}IHMCKHH JI3bIK.
COlJ,HaJlbHO-3KOHOMH'IeCKaH CHTYaIlHSI B POCCHH B 1996 r., 1996 r., 324 c.
COQHaJlbHaH ccjJepa B POCCHH: CTaTHCTH'IeCKHH C60PHHK, 275 c. (Ha pycCKOM JI3bIKe)
HHcjJopMalJ,HOHHble 610JlJIeTeHH H cneQHaJlbHble ny6J1HKaIlHH
3KOHOMH'leCKHe TelmeHlJ,HH B lieJIapyCH; 3KOHOMH'IeCKHe TelmeHIlHH B MOJI,ll,OBe: eJKeMeCH'IHO H eJKeKBapTaJ1bHO yro'IIDIeMble n:aHHbIe. lly{i/luKaI,{UlO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no adpecy: TA CIS Publications, Rupinder Singh, tel. 375-172-208442,fax 375-172-208657, Email: bulletin@bettacis. minsk.by; or Moldavian Distribution Office, Cotswold, Heol-y-Parc, Pentyrch, Cardiff, CF48ND, United Kingdom, tel. 44-1222-890-722,fax 44-/222-892-761, Email: [email protected]
PetopMa QeHTpaJIbHOrO 6aHKa PocCHH, uempaJIbHbIH 6aHK, BeJIHK06-PHTaHIDl:, TOM 7, N.! 2, 1996 r., 160 c.
B CIIeUHaJIbHOM BbIIIYCKC COUCPJKHTC5I HHTepBbIO C yrrpaBJIJIIOIl.{HM 6aHKa )ly6HHHHbIM; HCTOPHH H opraHH-3a.u;HH; MOHeTapHaJI IIOnHTllKa; IIQ}IHTHKa KYPca BaJlIOTHOro o6MeHa; <pHHaHCOBble PbIHKH H 6aHKoBcKHH CCKTOP; MB<l> H UBP; ynpaBJIJIIOlllHe ueIITpaJIbHOrO 6aHKa POCCHH H moccapHtl:. lly6JlUKal,{UlO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no adpecy: Central Banking Publications Limited, 27 Chancery Lane, London WC2A IPA, United Kingdom, tel. 44171-404-6435,fax 44171-404-6436.
CnpaBO'lHHK cjJHPMbI Executive BocTOK-3ana))" eJKeMeCJI'lHhIH crrpaBO'IHHK no rrpaBOBbiM H CTpaTITHqeCKHM BorrpocaM, ny6nHKYCMbIH KOMnaHHeM WorldTrade Executive, [nco lly6JlUKal,{UlO MOJICliO 3aKa3amb no adpecy: World Trade Executive, Inc., P.O. Box 761, Concord, Massachusetts 01742, United States, tel. 508-287-0301;fax 508-287-0302, http://pages.map.com/-wte/ welcomr.html
Cocpe)J,OTO'IeHHe lleHTpa BHHMaHHH Ha pecjJopMax, rrOJlyron:OBaH ny6nHKaUHJI, non:rOTaMHBaeMaJI ABcTPHMCKHM HaUHOHaJIbIfbIM 6aHKOM. lly6JlUKal,{UlO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no adpecy: Oesterreichische Narionalbank. Mail Distribution, Files and Documentation Division, P. 0 ,Box 61, A-1011Vienna, Austria,fax 4.11-404-20-2399.
HOBOCTH HfiO, pemoHaJlbHbrit HH<p0pMaUHoHHbIH 6IOnneTeHb, OTpaJKaIOlllHM n:C5ITeJIbHOCTb HerrpaBHTeJlbCTBeHHhIX opraHH3auHM. TIy6nHKyeTCJI <pOH)IOM National Forum Foundation. 113 n:eKa6PbCKOro BbIIIYCKa: BKna)J, - YMeHHe Bbl3b1BaTb HIITepec; JIHTOBCKHH HHCTmyT CBo60)IHOro pbIHKa; OKa:JaHHe rroMoIIIH HIlO. 1l0dnucambCR Ha U3i)aHue MOJICIIO no aiJpecy: NGO News, NFE, 18 Menesi ut, 1118 Budapest, Hungary, tel/fax 3610-185-3108, Email: [email protected]. http// www.nffhu, UIlU http//www.ngonet.org
Russian Economic Developments .. (3KoHOMH'IeCKaH cHTYaQHH B PocCHH), JKYPHaJI, rry6JIHKYeMbIM H3n:aTcnbCTBOM East View Publications, Inc.
lly6JlUKal,{UlO MOJICHO 3aKa3amb no adpecy: East View Pu/ications, Inc., Higher School of Economics, institute of Macroeconomics Research and Forecasting, 3020 Harbor Lane North, Minneapolis, Minnesota 55447, United States, tel. 612-550-0961,fax 612-559-2931, Email: [email protected]; UIlU e MocKee: [email protected]
1997 BcaMMpHblM 6aHK
JiHOJIHorpa4;»W1 H30pauHbIX CTaTen
CypaHhl c nepexo,ll,lloii 3KOHOMHKOii
Agricultural Reform in Transition .. Countries. Transition Brief (France) 5:6, 1996.
, Berkowitz, D. On the Persistence of Rationing Following Liberalization: A Theory for Economies in Transition. European Economic R(!"view (United States) 4(,: 1259·79, 1996.
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Experts Draw L:ssons from Transition. Transition Briej(Fraace) 4:1,3,1996.
FT Telecoms. Financial Times Review of the Telecornmun~catlOns Industry [including China, Russia, Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Poland], Financial Times (United Kingdom), March 19, 199/.
Vastag, G., S. Kerekes, and D. A. Rondinelli. Evaluation of Corporate Environmental Management Approacbes: A Framework and Application. International Journal of Production Economics (United States), pp. 193-211, 1996.
UeHypaJIhHaJI M BOCTO'IHaa EBpona
An Overview of Relations between Croatia, tbe European Vnion and tbe Council of Europe. Croatian International Re:ations Review (Croatia) 2(3):; -20, 1996.
Back on Track'!' A Survey of Banking [in Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia). Business Central Europe (United Kin~;dorn) 4(35):47-54, October 1996.
Hirschler, R. Reforming the Pension System in Hungary. Central European Banker (Hungarv), pp. 5-12, December 1996.
Leontjeva, E. Foreign I nvestment in Litbuania: The InRuence of Thinking and Legislation. The Free Market (Lithuania) 5(10):1-8, ] 996.
Lyons, R. Euroscope: Slovakia's EU Cbances. Bus,ness Central Europe (United Kingdom) 4(35):31, October 1996.
1997 BCeMlApitblM 6aHK
Maillet, L. L. Hungarians Qean House. East/West Letter (United States) 5(5): 1, 4, September-October 1996.
Poland. Financial Times Survey, Financial Times (United Kingdom), March 26, 1997.
Roberts, John. Healtby Correction Appears Likely [on the Hungarian Stock Exchange]. The Budapest Sun (Hungary), January 23-29, 1997, p. A8.
Romanian Enterprises Win EBRD Support. East/West Commersant (United States) 4(18):1, October 24, 1996.
Trabold, Harald. Central and Eastern Europe's Trade witb OECD Countries: New Tigers Ante Portas? Konjunkturpolitik (Germany) 42(2-3):85-112, 1996 .
CRr H TIPhlH6aJ1THKa
Analysis: Khabarovskii Krai versus Russian-Japanese Joint Venture .. Amur Trading." Russian Far East Update (United States) 6(12):7-9, December 1996.
Aukutsionek, S., and R. Kapeliushnikov. Ownersbip Effects in a Transition Economy. The Russian Economic Barometer (Russia) 3: 19-42, 1996.
Berkowitz, Daniel. Regional Income and Secession: Center-Peripbery Relations in Emerging Market Economies. Regional Science and Urban Economics (United States) 27(1):17-45, 1997.
Building a Private Housing Market [in Russia). Connections (Russia), pp. 16-18, 1996.
Bond, D. and M. Tykkyl;:r:inen. Nortbwestern Russia: A Case Study in "Pocket" Development. European Business Review (United States) 96(5):54-60, 1996.
Chernichovsky, D., H. Barnum, and E. Potapchik. Healtb System Reform in Russia: The Finance and Organization Perspectives. Economics of Transition 4(1):113-34, 1996.
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39
TpaHc¢opMa~M~.anpenb 1997
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