wrap meeting sept 13, 2006 air resources in western national parks chris shaver air resources...
TRANSCRIPT
WRAP Meeting
Sept 13, 2006
Air Resources in Western National Parks
Chris ShaverAir Resources DivisionNational Park Service
The public values:
• A natural environment, including clean, clear air
• Knowing that special areas have been set aside and that they’re being protected for future generations
Our Lands, Our Legacy
CUPN
Padre Is.
CUPN
CUPN
Padre Is.
CUPN
by network for 2005
Visibility: On a Path Toward Clearer Skies
REDWOOD
DEATHVALLEY
PETRIFIED FOREST
CRATERS OF THE MOON
CHIRICAHUA
CHAMIZAL
CAPULIN VOLCANO
CANYONLANDS
BUFFALO
GREATBASIN
BIG BEND
BANDELIER
Degrading (p<=0.05)
GILA CLIFF
ORGAN PIPE SAGUARO
BRYCE CANYON
OLYMPIC N. CASCADES
MAMMOTH CAVE
Sulfate in Precipitation
ACADIA
DENALI
WASHINGTON, DC
SHENANDOAH
GREAT SMOKYMTS
BADLANDS
GLACIERMT RAINIER
GRAND CANYON
YOSEMITE
LASSEN VOLCANIC
CRATER LAKE
PINNACLES
CAPE COD
CONGAREE
COWPENS
EVERGLADES
INDIANA DUNES
JOSHUA TREE
ISLE ROYALE
LITTLE BIGHORN
SEQUOIA
VOYAGEURS
YELLOWSTONE
GUADALUPE MTS
TONTO
ROCKY MOUNTAIN
GREAT SAND DUNES
Improving (p<=0.05)
No Trend / Stable
Visibility-Clear Days
Visibility-Hazy Days
Ozone
Nitrate in Precipitation
Air Quality Trends in National Parks, 1995-2004
12/02/2005
Ammonium in Precipitation
CHANNEL ISLANDS
T. ROOSEVELT
POINT REYES
No Data / Insufficient Data
FY2005 Annual Performance Report For NPS Government Performance and Results Act (GPRA) Air Quality Goal Ia3
MESA VERDE
VIRGIN ISLANDS
Annual 4th Highest daily maximum 8-hour average 0zone (ppb) 2005
Improving Trend, p<=0.05
Improving Trend, 0.05<p<=0.15
Degrading Trend, 0.05<p<=0.15
Degrading Trend, p<=0.05
No Trend
Trends in 3-Year Average 4th Highest 8-Hour Ozone Concentrations, 1995-2004FY2005 Annual Performance Report for NPS Government Performance and Results Act (GPRA)
Air Quality Goal Ia3
11/29/2005
Acadia
Big Bend
Cape Cod
Canyonlands
Chamizal
Chiricahua
Channel Islands Congaree Swamp
Cowpens
Craters of the Moon
Death Val ley
Everglades
Glacier
Great Basin
Grand Canyon
Great Smoky MtnsJoshua T ree
Lassen Volcanic
Mammoth CaveMesa Verde
Mount Rainier
North Cascades
Olympic
Pinnacles
Rocky Mountain
Saguaro
Sequoia
Shenandoah
Voyageurs
Yel lowstone
Yosemite
Denal i
Downward pointing arrows denote trends toward decreasing ozone concentrations and improving air quality. Similarly, the up arrows correspond to trends toward higher ozone concentrations and hence worsening air quality. Park names underlined in red denote parks where monitored ozone levels exceed the level of the NAAQS or are part of an ozone non-attainment area.
3-Year Average 4th Highest 8-Hour Ozone AveragesWestern Parks
BIBE CANY CRMO DENA GRBAGRCA MEVE NOCA ROMO YELL
3-y
r A
vg 4
th H
igh
est
8-H
ou
r O
3 (
pp
b)
40
50
60
70
80
90
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
How does ozone affect sensitive species?
- Visible symptoms
- Physiological symptoms•Reduced photosynthesis
•Reduced growth
- Acute vs. chronic injury
Ozone-injured leaf
Normal leaf
Aspen
Ponderosa pine
Ozone Effects to Vegetation
Threshold for ozone Injury exceeded in most parks
NITROGEN: Too Much of a Good Thing
Wet Nitrate Deposition and Trends
2-3 KG/HA (NO3)(0.4-0.6 OF N)2-3 KG/HA (NO3)(0.4-0.6 OF N)
Wet Ammonium Deposition and Trends
Christopher M.B. Lehmanna, Van C. Bowersoxa, Susan M. Larsonb
1 kg/ha (NH4)(0.8 N)1 kg/ha (NH4)(0.8 N)
Rocky Mountain National Park: Nitrogen Deposition Effects on Park Ecosystems
• 20+ yr research; 80+ published studies on nitrogen deposition and impacts at ROMO (by USGS researchers Baron, Campbell and others)
• Nitrogen contributes to ozone, visibility impairment, and deposition that are altering the natural ecosystems and enjoyment of the park
• Nitrogen is increasing and impacts are increasing• Nitrogen impacts have been documented to soils, waters, vegetation in high
elevation areas on the east side of the park.
Ecosystem Thresholds and Critical Loads
“Critical Loads” is a term used to describe:
• Has air pollution reached a tipping point (threshold) for effects on plants, animals, soils, or water?
• What amount of N or S deposition causes that tipping point?
N Load (kg/ ha /yr)- wet
Changes in soil & water chemistry
Effects on aquatic animals (episodic acidification)
Lethal effects on fish, other aquatic animals (chronic acidification)
Natural background N deposition
Current N deposition in Rocky Mountain NP
Surface water N saturation
Rocky Mountain National Park: Continuum of Impacts to Ecological Health
Changes in tree chemistry
Change in alpine plant species
Change in aquatic plant species composition
Forest decline (acidification effects on trees)
“weight of evidence” of ecosystem health decline on east side of park0.5
kg/ha/yr
3.1 kg/ha/yr
1.5 kg/ha/yr
Future Consequences?: If nitrogen continues to accumulate in high elevation soils at current rates, acidification could occur within decades
Elevated N in spruce tree needles:Reverse the Trend
Actions:NPS is currently working with EPA and the State of Colorado to develop a plan to reduce nitrogen deposition to the park to levels protective of sensitive aquatic and terrestrial plants, soils, waters
Scientific Approaches to Develop Critical Loads
• NPS research on sensitive receptors and endpoints ongoing at:– Rocky Mountain NP, Glacier NP, Yellowstone
NP, Grand Teton NP, Great Sand Dunes NP– Shenandoah NP, Great Smoky Mountains NP– Mount Rainier NP, North Cascades– Big Bend NP, Joshua Tree NP
• Modeling being tested at: – Rocky Mountain, Great Smoky, Mt Rainier,
Acadia and Joshua Tree• Other FLMs also conducting empirical
studies and modeling to establish critical loads
Climate Change: Resources at Risk
• Physical Effects:– Alteration of climate patterns– Precip pattern change– Snowpack decline– Glaciers melt– Oceans warm– Air pollution increase
• Ecological Effects:– Plants flower sooner– Birds nest earlier– Migration patterns change– Loss of synchrony between predator &
prey– Pests survive at higher elevations– Pathogens spread– Altered aquatic and terrestrial
communities
Climate Friendly Park Emission Inventories
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Gro
ss G
HG
Em
issio
ns (
MTCE)
Yosemite DWG GlacierBay
Everglades Zion Glacier Gateway
CO2 CH4 N2O HFC
21,291
5,185
13,754
6,160
2,839
7,2998,230
WACAP GOAL:
TO ASSESS THE DEPOSITION OF AIRBORNE CONTAMINANTS IN WESTERN NATIONAL PARKS, PROVIDING REGIONAL AND LOCAL INFORMATION ON EXPOSURE, ACCUMULATION, IMPACTS AND PROBABLE SOURCES
Burial Lake, NOATAK National Preserve
Western Airborne Contaminants Assessment Project
1.) Are contaminants present in western National Parks? 2.) Where do contaminants accumulate (ecologically and geographically)? 3.) Which contaminants pose the greatest ecological threat? 4.) Which indicators are the most useful in interpreting
contamination? 5.) What are the probable sources of the air masses most likely to have transported contaminants to the National Park sites?
Key Scientific/Ecological Questions
National Parks Selected for Inclusion in the WACAP
Eurasia
Lichen N, S, HM
Lake Sediments Chronology
Fish Contaminants vs. age, Condition Factors, Response Factors
Catchment
Snow Annual flux
“Vegetation” Intensify spatial coverage – more National Parks
North America
WACAP Indicators and Conceptual Diagram
Subsistence Link (moose)
Lake WaterDissolved and ParticulateSummer
Dark Night Skies: A Diminishing Resource
Quantitative Measurement with a Camera
A billboard, seen from the side.
For More Info
• Join 3 million people every week at:
• www2.nature.nps.gov/air