wto plenary session -2011 pamela kirby johnson …€¦ · pamela kirby johnson obe. ......

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PAME WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE

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Page 1: WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson …€¦ · Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE. ... Agricultural Commodities and General Produce GAFTA’s Prime Objective. VOLATILE TRADING YEARS

PAME

WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE

Page 2: WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson …€¦ · Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE. ... Agricultural Commodities and General Produce GAFTA’s Prime Objective. VOLATILE TRADING YEARS

To Promote International Trade in Agricultural Commodities and

General Produce

GAFTA’s Prime Objective

Page 3: WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson …€¦ · Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE. ... Agricultural Commodities and General Produce GAFTA’s Prime Objective. VOLATILE TRADING YEARS

VOLATILE TRADING YEARS SINCE 2007

SUPPLY AND DEMAND FACTORS

World economyWeather conditionsCompetitiveness of freight ratesGovernments’ interference

Page 4: WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson …€¦ · Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE. ... Agricultural Commodities and General Produce GAFTA’s Prime Objective. VOLATILE TRADING YEARS

An ambitious aim to enlarge food security, concentrating on price

volatility, for agriculture to grow 70% by 2050, with up to 100% for

developing nations.9 billion people by 2050

G20 Plan

Page 5: WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson …€¦ · Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE. ... Agricultural Commodities and General Produce GAFTA’s Prime Objective. VOLATILE TRADING YEARS

•Fuel•Ethanol production•Technological advances for other

uses,

Competition

Page 6: WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson …€¦ · Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE. ... Agricultural Commodities and General Produce GAFTA’s Prime Objective. VOLATILE TRADING YEARS

560580600620640660680700

2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011est

2011-2012 f

Source: IGC August Grain Market Report

World Wheat Production v Consumption Production Consumption

mt

Page 7: WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson …€¦ · Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE. ... Agricultural Commodities and General Produce GAFTA’s Prime Objective. VOLATILE TRADING YEARS

720740760780800820840860880

2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 est 2011-2012 f

mt

Source: IGC August Grain Market Report

World Maize Production v ConsumptionProduction Consumption

Page 8: WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson …€¦ · Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE. ... Agricultural Commodities and General Produce GAFTA’s Prime Objective. VOLATILE TRADING YEARS

Soyabeans: Production V Trade

150

190

230

270

40

60

80

100

01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12

m. tons m. tons

< World trade

World production >

Page 9: WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson …€¦ · Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE. ... Agricultural Commodities and General Produce GAFTA’s Prime Objective. VOLATILE TRADING YEARS

0.00

100.00

200.00

300.00

400.00

500.00

600.00

700.00

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

US$

/ton

Source: IGC

US Maize 3YC - Gulf US soyabeans 2 Y -Gulf US wheat HRW- Gulf

Export Prices 2006-2011

Page 10: WTO PLENARY SESSION -2011 Pamela Kirby Johnson …€¦ · Pamela Kirby Johnson OBE. ... Agricultural Commodities and General Produce GAFTA’s Prime Objective. VOLATILE TRADING YEARS

PAME

WTO PLENARY SESSIONPamela Kirby Johnson OBE

SEPTEMBER 2011