www.tjped.com 434.979.5610 [email protected] economic challenges in the greater charlottesville...

www.tjped.com434.979.5610

[email protected]

Economic Challenges in the Greater Charlottesville Region


[email protected]

DISCUSSION TOPICS• Is underemployment really an issue?

• Is Charlottesville immune from recession?

• Are we losing our middle class?

• What’s behind the chronic unemployment and poverty in the African-American community?


[email protected]

ISSUE 1Is Underemployment Really an Issue?


[email protected]

Many Residents Leave the Region for Work…WIA 6 Commuting to Work (2000 Census)

NOVA

RIC

FB

VAL

(~ 22,200)

(~ 2,800)

(~ 4,700)

(~ 1,900)

LYN(~ 1,100)

• ~ 32,000 residents work outside of the region.• Greater Charlottesville is a net importer• ~10,500 go out, ~12,000 come in• Who are they and why do they leave?


[email protected]

Educational Attainment vs. Employment(US Census Educational Attainment; US Department of Labor Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages)

TJPDC Albemarle C’ville Virginia

Labor Demand (Jobs) Low Skill 52.60% 51.30% 52.40% 55.30%Medium Skill 22.70% 18.80% 28.00% 21.80%High Skill 24.70% 29.90% 19.60% 22.80% Labor Supply (Residents) Low Skill 40.20% 31.60% 29.70% 44.20%Medium Skill 26.50% 21.30% 39.40% 27.30%High Skill 33.30% 47.10% 30.90% 28.60% Underemployed Low Skill -12.40% -19.70% -22.70% -11.20%Medium Skill 3.80% 2.50% 11.40% 5.40%High Skill 8.50% 17.20% 11.30% 5.80%


[email protected]

ISSUE 1Is Underemployment Really an Issue?

Anecdotal evidence is pointing in that direction. It warrants a more in-depth look.


[email protected]

ISSUE 2Is Charlottesville Immune from Recession?

Are we Losing our Middle Class?


[email protected]

Unemployment in Greater CharlottesvilleTJPDC Unemployment, 1990-2009 vs. VA and US (VA Employment Commission)


[email protected]

Greater Charlottesville Employee Growth by Industry Q1 1990 - Q1 2009(US Department of Labor, Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages)

(L8 - 12) $430.00

(L14 – 16) $911.40

(12 – 14) $930.49

(L14 – 20) $1,280.21


[email protected]

Greater Charlottesville - Industry by Occupation(Q1 1990 US Department of Labor Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages - Employees (n = 75,692)

29.1%

9.6%

34.2%

27.1%

(L8 - 12) $19,784

(L14 – 16) $39,345

(12 – 14) $37,361

(L14 – 20) $42,639


[email protected]


29%

10%

34%

27%

29.7%

12.8%

40.7%16.8%

(L8 - 12) $22,630 – UP 0.73%

(L14 – 16) $47,393 – UP 1.05%

(12 – 14) $44,385 – UP 0.94%

(L14 – 20) $66,571 – UP 2.94%

Q1 2009 (Average Wage $42,588)

*Q1 1990-Q1 2009 Annual Employment Growth 1.73%*Q1 1990-Q1 2009 Annual Wage Growth 1.42%


[email protected]

Unemployment in the Culpeper RegionRRPDC Unemployment, 1990-2009 vs. VA and US (VA Employment Commission)


[email protected]

Culpeper Employee Growth by Industry Q1 1990 – Q1 2009(US Department of Labor, Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages)

(L8 - 12) $435.32

(L14 – 16) $678.90

(12 – 14) $801.35

(L14 – 20) $1,087.70


[email protected]

Culpeper Industry by Occupation(Q1 1990 US DOL Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages - Employees (n = 33,701)


36.2%

9.3%

27.1%

27.1%

(L8 - 12) $20,654

(L14 – 16) $34,077

(12 – 14) $33,577

(L14 – 20) $40,600


[email protected]


27.5%

9.5%

32.8%

30.2%

(L8 - 12) $22,637 – UP 9.6%

(L14 – 16) $35,303 – UP 3.5%

(12 – 14) $41,670 – UP 24%

(L14 – 20) $56,560 – UP 39%


*Q1 1990-Q1 2009 Employment Growth 42%*Q1 1990-Q1 2009 Wage Growth 14%


[email protected]

ISSUE 2Is Charlottesville Immune from Recession?

Somewhat, but it’s increasingly coming at the expense of economic diversity.

Are we Losing our Middle Class?

There is some erosion, a trend that raises red flags.The real issue is the shift within the wage group and its affect on residents.


[email protected]

ISSUE 3Why do we have Chronic Unemployment and Poverty in the

African-American Community?


[email protected]


27.5%

9.5%

32.8%

30.2%


[email protected]


29%

10%

34%

27%

29.7%

12.8%

40.7%

16.8%


[email protected]

12.8%

28.0%44.4%

14.7%

Albemarle County - Industry by Occupation(Q1 2009 US Department of Labor Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages - Employees (n = 48,454)


[email protected]

City of Charlottesville(2008 US Department of Labor Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages - Employees (n = 35,024)

16.6%

32.6%

39.6%11.2%


[email protected]

Unemployment TrendsVA Employment Commission - Charlottesville Unemployment, 1997-2009 by Education


[email protected]

Education LevelsUS Census - City of Charlottesville Educational Attainment by Race, +25 years (n = 21,807)

Black White

No HS Diploma 34.5%

HS Diploma 37.2%

Some College 16.6%

PS Degree 11.7%

No HS Diploma 15.0%

HS Diploma 17.4%

Some College 15.0%

PS Degree 52.6%

No HS Diploma 39.3%

HS Diploma 37.2%

Some College 16.0%

PS Degree 7.5%

No HS Diploma 31.1%

HS Diploma 37.3%

Some College 17.0%

PS Degree 14.7%

Black Male Black Female


[email protected]

Unemployment TrendsVA Employment Commission - Charlottesville Unemployment, 1997-2009 by Race

Population Estimates69.5% White22.2% Black 8.3% Other

Population Estimates69.5% White22.2% Black 8.3% Other

White UnemployedWhite Unemployed

Black Unemployed, Average 53% of Total; Range 39 – 66%Black Unemployed, Average 53% of Total; Range 39 – 66%


[email protected]

ISSUE 3Why do we have Chronic Unemployment and Poverty in the

African-American Community?

The complexities of race always remain, but the crux of theproblem lies in poor educational attainment and an

increasing lack of opportunity.


[email protected]

Policy Prescriptions & Ideas• A regional economic development strategy designed to recapture our resident labor force.

• Local public spending to match federal / private funds to transition dislocated and unqualified workers into demand occupations.

• Create a skilled trades renaissance by implementing changes in comp plans to include funding for infrastructure, business parks, spec buildings, training and incentives for desirable industry.

• Support individuals and organizations with the vision and leadership skills to achieve it.

www.tjped.com 434.979.5610 [email protected] economic challenges in the greater charlottesville...

Documents