xapi, logs and 3 simple steps to predicting the future…

Ben BettsxAPI, logs and three simple steps to predicting the future…

Ben Betts

xAPI, logs and three simple steps to

predicting the future…

Yea, right!


Only 13% of companies track training programs ROI beyond participant feedback

Building Capabilities for Performance, McKinsey & Company Survey (2015)


Installation is pretty easy…

Step 1: Put the kettle on

Step 2: Make a nice cup of tea

Step 3: Visit Lrnloc.kr/install


Meet Open Source Learning Locker…

Aggregate Automate Analyse


Top Three Features… Multi -tenant, Multi-store (Aggregate)


Top Three Features… WebHooks & Journeys (Automate)


Top Three Features… Custom Dashboards (Analyse)


Reporting is most often reactive

To really make a difference we need to become more proactive


How can we become more proactive?


First Step is to Start Connecting our Systems


Connecting Data(We use a standard way of working with data, called xAPI)


Most eco-systems have evolved in an ad-hoc manner


We can bring consistency and interoperability to the approach


Connecting Data(Using a standard way of working with data, called xAPI)

AUTHORPresentation


(informed by literature, research and your gut)

Learning Analytics


Just waiting to see patterns rarely yields results; you have to pose questions…


For example…

Should we draft more left-handed hitters?

AUTHORPresentation

Question:

Should we draft more left-handed hitters?

Answer:

On this evidence, no, but do make sure Upton is up in the seventh…

AUTHORPresentation

Students in different countries exhibit different behaviours when learning online

AUTHORPresentation

Sharing data in real-time with students

AUTHORPresentation

Instructors Dashboard – An aggregate of all students

AUTHORPresentation

Most Interesting Findings… (in my opinion)

Time on a single task is not an indicator of success…in fact the opposite is true

But overall activity is correlated with success

More successful students prepare in advance

And the hypothesis is disproven… students are similar throughout Europe


“Did our MOOC get participants to try new behaviours?”


(be informed by literature, research and your gut)

Learning Analytics

AUTHORPresentation


Final step:

Predict the Future…

AUTHORPresentation

Non-continuation costs UK universities in excess of £300m* in lost tuition fees, each year

*Estimated from HESA non-continuation data (2015)


Starting to really scale…


Prediction changes everything…


You wouldn’t measure compliance training completions

You would predict risk


You wouldn’t measure staff satisfaction

You would predict whether someone will stay or leave


You wouldn’t do a training needs analysis

You would anticipate demand


You can email me at [email protected]

Or Tweet me @bbetts

Ben Betts

Thank you for your time!

mailto:[email protected]

https://twitter.com/bbetts

xapi, logs and 3 simple steps to predicting the future…

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