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Yapı Kredi 1H11 Earnings Presentation Istanbul, 3 August 2011

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  • Yapı Kredi 1H11 Earnings Presentation

    Istanbul, 3 August 2011

  • 2

    Operating Environment

    1H11 Results (BRSA Consolidated)

    Performance of Strategic Business Units & Subsidiaries

    Outlook

    Agenda

  • 10.1%

    6.2%

    7.0%

    5.3%

    11.9%

    8.1%

    2008 2009 2010 1Q11 2Q11

    Inflation (CPI) yoy, Dec Core Inflation Food Inflation

    Macroeconomic EnvironmentContinuation of positive growth environment with sustained low interest rates, controlled inflation and declining unemployment

    3

    Positive growth environment albeit with

    some moderation expected in 2Q driven by

    more contained domestic demand

    Low annual inflation with some quarterly

    volatility driven mainly by food inflation

    CBRT’s policy of sustained low interest

    rates supported by controlled inflation

    Industrial production still below

    pre-crisis levels while consumer

    confidence index continuing to increase

    Unemployment rate returning to pre-

    crisis single digit level posted in June

    2008

    Current account deficit widening but with

    recent signs of slowdown in private

    consumption, moderation in investments

    and external demand

    Sustained fiscal discipline (budget deficit /

    GDP at 1.7%) supportive of CBRT’s “low for

    longer” policy

    (1) Yapı Kredi Economic Research estimate

    (2) As of May 2010, the policy rate changed to one-week lending repo rate (7.0%) from the Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) O/N borrowing rate (6.5%)

    (3) Average of Apr’11 and May’11

    (4) Average of Mar’11, Apr’11 and May’11

    (5) May’11 Current Account Deficit

    (6) 2011 GDP estimate used for calculation

    Inflation Dynamics

    GDP Growth (y/y) 8.9% 11.0% 6.6%1

    Inflation (eop, y/y) 6.4% 4.0% 6.2%

    CBRT Policy Rate (eop)2 6.50% 6.25% 6.25%

    Industrial Production (y/y) 13.1% 14.2% 8.1%3

    Consumer Confidence Index (eop) 91.0 93.4 96.4

    Unemployment Rate 11.9% 11.5% 9.9%4

    Current Account Deficit / GDP 6.6% 7.5% 8.5%5,6

    Budget Deficit / GDP 3.6% 2.6% 1.7%6

    1Q112010 2Q11

  • 4

    Banking SectorSustained volume growth in a more regulated and competitive environment

    4

    Banking Sector Volumes (as of June 2011) Acceleration in loan growth in 2Q (10% vs7% in 1Q) mainly driven by TL (10% in 2Q)

    leading to strong ytd growth (17%). FC loan

    growth slowing down in 2Q (4% vs 8% in 1Q

    in USD terms)

    Acceleration in deposit growth in 2Q (5% vs

    1% in 1Q) driven by TL (5% in 2Q). Total ytd

    deposit growth (6%) impacted by RRR hikes

    and competition

    End of securities liquiditation in 2Q.

    Continued increase in repo funding (+87% ytd)

    for liquidity management

    Loans / deposits ratio +9pp ytd to 91% (82%

    at YE10) driven by widening differential

    between loan and deposit growth due to

    upfronting of private investments and

    consumption

    Continuation of positive trend in asset

    quality (NPL ratio at 2.9% vs 3.7% at YE10)

    As of May, sector NIM still under pressure

    impacted by increasing deposit costs despite

    slight recovery in loan yields. Some signs of

    stabilisation in securities yields

    Note: Banking sector data based on BRSA weekly data excluding participation banks

    4.6%

    3.5% 3.5% 3.7% 3.6% 3.3%

    10.0%9.2% 9.4%

    10.9%

    8.7% 8.6%

    5.6% 5.3%5.7%

    Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11

    NIM Evolution (as of May 2011)

    Yield on Loans

    Yield on Securities

    Cost of Deposits

    NIM

    bln TL 1H11 1Q11 2Q11 1H11

    Loans 588 7% 10% 17%

    TL 417 6% 10% 17%

    FC ($) 107 8% 4% 12%

    Deposits 649 1% 5% 6%

    TL 446 0% 5% 5%

    FC ($) 127 3% 0% 3%

    Securities 277 -4% 0% -3%

    Repo 108 12% 66% 87%

    Loans/Deposits 86% 91%

    NPL Ratio 3.2% 2.9%

  • 5

    Operating Environment

    1H11 Results (BRSA Consolidated)

    Performance of Strategic Business Units & Subsidiaries

    Outlook

    Agenda

  • 6

    Executive SummaryBalanced growth and sustained profitability

    Customer

    Business

    Profitability

    Asset

    Quality

    Customer business focus continuing with 17% loan growth ytd, in line with budget path, driven

    by higher yielding loan segments including general purpose and SME in local currency retail and

    project finance in foreign currency loans

    6% deposit growth ytd, with acceleration in 2Q driven by foreign currency deposits on the

    back of RRR hikes and competition

    Continued management focus on commercial effectiveness leading to ongoing improvement

    Ongoing branch expansion (19 net openings as of Jun11, 887 branches)

    Positive revenue performance

    - Net interest income -5% y/y due to regulatory and competitive pressure, partially

    compensated by +250/400bps upward loan repricing since YE10 and disciplined approach

    in asset gathering

    - Strong fee performance supported by solid volume growth and focused approach

    Controlled cost growth

    Continuation of improvement trend in asset quality driven by decelerating NPL inflows and

    strong collections, contributing to positive evolution of cost of risk

    Capital /

    Funding

    Increasing emphasis on diversification of funding (1.4 bln USD syndication, 1 bln TL bond)

    Solid CAR level maintained

  • 26.8%

    20.0% 20.9%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    7

    Net Income (mln TL)

    Key Performance Indicators

    Sound performance

    Return on Average Equity1

    (1) Calculations based on the average of current period equity (excluding current period profit) and prior year equity. Annualised

    (2) Calculations based on net income / end of period total assets. Annualised

    Return on Assets2 Cost / Income

    608532 569

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    1,1721,101

    1H10 1H11

    27.9%

    20.7%

    1H10 1H11

    3.0%

    2.2% 2.1%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    2.8%

    2.0%

    1H10 1H11

    43.8%41.6%

    45.5%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    41.8%43.5%

    1H10 1H11

    Tangible

    ROAE:

    23%

    +7%

    +9 bps

    -1 bps

    +39 bps

  • 8

    Income Statement1,101 mln TL net income in 1H11 driven by positive revenue performance (despite NIM pressure), contained costs and improving asset quality

    Revenues +3% y/y

    driven by solid fee growth

    and sustained collections

    despite NIM pressure

    Costs +7% y/y driven by

    continuous cost control

    Provisions +28% y/y

    Net income at 1,101 mln TL,

    -6% y/y and +7% q/q

    (1) Indicates net income before minority. 1H11 net income after minority: 1,062 mln TL

    mln TL 2Q10 1Q11 2Q11 1H10 1H11 y/y

    Total Revenues 1,566 1,708 1,510 3,140 3,218 3%

    Net Interest Income 824 885 834 1,818 1,718 -5%

    Non-Interest Income 742 823 676 1,322 1,500 13%

    o/w Fees & comms. 430 451 471 830 922 11%

    Operating Costs 622 711 687 1,312 1,398 7%

    Operating Income 944 997 823 1,828 1,820 0%

    Provisions 185 313 138 353 451 28%

    o/w Loan Loss 230 256 146 319 402 26%

    Pre-tax income 759 684 685 1,475 1,369 -7%

    Net Income1 608 532 569 1,172 1,101 -6%

  • Balance SheetStrong evolution with continuation of customer business focus and increasing diversification of funding

    9

    Acceleration in loan growth in 2Q

    (13% vs 4% in 1Q) driven mainly by TL

    (15% in 2Q) leading to strong ytd

    growth (17%). FC loan growth at 9%

    ytd in USD terms

    Acceleration in deposit growth in 2Q

    (5% vs 2% in 1Q) leading to 6% ytd

    growth mainly driven by FC deposits

    (+10% in US$ terms). TL deposits

    stable impacted by RRR hikes and

    competition, partially offset by repo

    funding (+191% ytd)

    AUM relatively stable impacted by

    market conditions

    Loans/assets at 59% and

    securities/assets at 19%, confirming

    customer business focus

    Loans/deposits ratio at 109% on the

    back of further diversification of

    funding base (wholesale

    borrowings/liabilities at 15%)

    Group CAR at 13.8% and Bank

    CAR at 14.1%

    Note: Loan figures indicate performing loans

    (1) Leverage ratio: (Total assets – equity) / equity

    (2) Wholesale borrowings include funds borrowed, sub-debt and marketable securities issued

    bln TL 2010 1Q11 2Q111Q

    Growth

    2Q

    Growth

    ytd

    Growth

    Total Assets 92.8 97.6 107.5 5% 10% 16%

    Loans 54.2 56.6 63.7 4% 13% 17%

    TL 34.6 35.6 41.1 3% 15% 19%

    FC (in US$) 13.1 13.9 14.2 6% 2% 9%

    Securities 19.9 20.6 20.9 3% 2% 5%

    Deposits 55.2 56.1 58.7 2% 5% 6%

    TL 32.3 32.0 32.1 -1% 0% 0%

    FC (in US$) 15.2 15.9 16.7 5% 5% 10%

    Repo 3.2 6.1 9.4 89% 54% 191%

    SHE 10.7 11.2 11.8 4% 5% 10%

    AUM 9.0 9.1 9.0 1% -2% -1%

    Loans/Assets 58% 58% 59% 0 pp 1 pp 1 pp

    Securities /Assets 21% 21% 19% 0 pp -2 pp -2 pp

    Loans/Deposits 98% 101% 109% 3 pp 8 pp 10 pp

    Deposits/Assets 59% 57% 55% -2 pp -3 pp -5 pp

    Leverage1 7.6x 7.7x 8.1x - - -

    Wholesale Borrows./Liab2 15% 14% 15% -1 pp 1 pp 1 pp

    Group CAR 15.4% 14.4% 13.8% -1 pp -1 pp -2 pp

    Bank CAR 16.1% 14.9% 14.1% -1 pp -1 pp -2 pp

  • 53% 52% 55%

    27% 26% 31%

    20%22%

    14%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    58% 53%

    26% 29%

    16% 18%

    1H10 1H11

    10

    Revenue Composition (mln TL)

    Total Revenues Sustained revenue base with quality mix

    Other Income Breakdown

    NII / revenues at 53% (vs 58% in 1H10) due to NIM

    pressure. Revenues / RWA impacted by relatively

    stable revenues y/y and acceleration of volume

    growth at quarter-end

    Fees / revenues up to 29% (vs 26% in 1H10)

    Other income / revenues at 18% mainly driven by:

    - Trading / FX income (28 mln TL in 1H11) impacted

    by m-t-m of hedging instruments

    - Solid collections performance (319 mln TL in 1H11)

    Rev. /

    RWA

    1,5661,510

    1,708

    8.5% 8.2% 6.5%

    3,140 3,218 3%

    18%

    11%

    -5%

    8.6% 6.9%

    mln TL 2Q10 1Q11 2Q11 1H10 1H11

    Total Other Income 313 372 206 491 578

    Trading & FX (net) -31 50 -22 -53 28

    Collections 197 186 133 327 319

    Income from subs & other 147 136 95 217 231

    y/y

    Quarterly Cumulative

    Net Interest

    Income

    Net Fees &

    Comms.

    Other(Trading & Other)

  • 89% 89% 88%

    11% 11% 12%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    89% 89%

    11% 11%

    1H10 1H11

    11

    Net Interest Income (NII) (mln TL)

    Net Interest IncomeSlowdown in NIM compression in 2Q on the back of positive effect of early repricing actions on loan yields. Pressure on deposit costs

    Quarterly NIM Analysis

    1,818

    (1) NIM = Net interest income (NII) / Avg. IEAs

    Note: NIM and yield on securities adjusted to exclude the effect of reclassification as per BRSA between interest income and

    other provisions related to impairment of held to maturity securities.

    Reported NIM figures as follows. 1Q10: 5.8%, 4Q10: 4.2%, 1Q11: 3.8%, 2Q11: 3.3%

    Performing loan volume and net interest income used for loan yield calculations

    Loan

    Yield

    Deposit

    Cost

    Securities

    Yield

    Bank

    Subs

    Net Interest Margin (NIM)1

    Benchmark

    Bond Rate8.5%8.5%9.0%8.2%

    Quarterly Cumulative

    NII declining 5% y/y driven by Bank (-6%)

    Cumulative NIM at 3.5% (-152 bps y/y) driven by low

    interest rate environment, regulation and competition

    Quarterly NIM at 3.4% (-23 bps q/q) resulting from:

    - Increase in TL loan-deposit spread due to early loan

    repricing

    - Decline in FC loan-deposit spread due to increasing FC

    deposit costs on the back of reduced sector liquidity

    - Stable securities yield

    824

    7.6% 8.8%

    NIM excl. CBRT

    balances

    10.3%

    8.7% 8.8%

    7.4%

    7.3% 7.3%

    5.2%5.0% 5.2%

    2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    885 834

    1,718

    4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 5.0% 4.7% 3.6%

    -5%

    2%

    -6%

    y/yQuarterly Cumulative

    4.4%3.6% 3.4%

    4Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    5.0% 4.6%

    3.5%

    1H10 2010 1H11

    TL Loan-

    Deposit

    Spread

    FC Loan-

    Deposit

    Spread

    5.8%

    4.1% 4.2%

    2.7%

    2.4%1.9%

    2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    13.0%10.9%11.0%

    7.3%

    6.7% 6.8%

    4.8% 4.7% 4.7%

    2.1%

    2.2%2.8%

    2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    FC loan yield

    FC deposit cost

    TL loan yield

    TL deposit cost

  • Housing 9.2%

    Gen Pur7.2%

    Auto 1.7%

    Comm. Install13.1%

    Credit Cards14.5%

    TL Companies

    18.9%

    FC Companies

    37.1%

    12

    Loans

    Loans

    Overall growth in 1H in line with budget path driven by higher margin GPL and SME in local currency and project finance in foreign currency

    Composition of Loans

    Note: Sector data based on weekly BRSA unconsolidated figures. Market shares based on unconsolidated figures for YKB and sector

    according to BRSA classification with FC-indexed loans included in TL loans

    (1) Total performing loans

    (2) Proxy for SME loans as per BRSA reporting. Growth adjusted for YK Nederland reclassification (1.9 mln TL at YE10)

    (3) Based on MIS data. Please refer to annex for Yapı Kredi’s internal segment definitions

    (4) Including consumer loans (housing, general purpose, auto), commercial installment and credit cards.

    Loan Growth by Business Unit3

    Retail

    Loans4:

    46%

    Consumer

    Loans:

    18.0%

    TL 65%

    FC 35%

    13% 14%16%

    7%14%

    11%5%

    -5%

    8% 11% 9%

    31%

    Individual SME Commercial Corporate

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    bln TL 2Q11YKB

    2Q Growth

    YKB

    Ytd Growth

    Sector

    Ytd GrowthMk Shr

    Total Loans1 63.7 13% 17% 17% 10.5%

    TL 41.1 15% 19% 17% 9.8%

    FC ($) 14.2 2% 9% 12% 12.3%

    Consumer Loans 11.5 7% 19% 21% 7.5%

    Mortgages 5.9 2% 11% 16% 8.7%

    General Purpose 4.6 13% 34% 26% 5.8%

    Auto 1.1 8% 12% 16% 17.3%

    Credit Cards 9.2 8% 8% 14% 18.2%

    Companies 43.0 15% 19% 16% 10.6%

    TL 20.4 25% 24% 15% 9.3%

    FC ($) 14.2 2% 9% 12% 12.3%

    Com. Installment2 8.3 9% 20% 28% 9.1%

    Impacted by a few temporary

    short-term big ticket loans at

    end-2Q. Excluding: 20%

  • 58% 55%

    42% 45%

    2010 2Q11

    17%

    15%

    18%

    15%

    YKB Sector

    40%29%

    57%63%

    1% 3%2% 5%

    YE10 2Q11

    13

    Deposits

    DepositsOverall growth in 1H in line with sector with increasing emphasis on demand deposits and lengthening maturity

    Note: Sector data based on weekly BRSA unconsolidated figures. Market shares based on unconsolidated figures for YKB and sector

    (1) Customer deposits exclude bank deposits

    (2) Retail includes SME, mass, affluent and private. Based on MIS data

    Total deposits +6% ytd (in line with sector) driven by FC

    deposits (10% in US$ terms). TL deposits stable impacted

    by RRR hikes and competition. Strong increase in share

    of retail2 in total TL deposits (76% vs 68% at YE10)

    Solid demand deposit growth (9% vs 6% sector) leading

    to increase in demand deposit / total deposits ratio (18%)

    AUM relatively stable impacted by market conditions

    Demand Deposits / Total Deposits

    Composition of Total Deposits

    TL

    FC

    2010 2Q11 2010 2Q11

    Share of

    Retail2: 45%

    Share of

    Retail2: 76%

    By Currency By Maturity (months)

    Share of

    Retail2: 47%

    Share of

    Retail2: 68%

    +12M6M-12M

    1-6M

  • Securitisations8%

    Syndications27%

    Sub-debt 15%

    LPN7%

    Supranational9%

    Issued Bonds6%

    Other28%15% 15%

    3%9%

    59%55%

    12% 11%

    11% 10%

    2010 2Q11

    14

    Liability Composition (bln TL)

    Deposits

    Repos

    Borrowings1

    Other

    SHE

    92.8 107.5

    Increasing diversification of the funding base

    - 1,450 mln USD syndication with 145% rollover in

    Apr’11 (Libor+1.10%, -40bps vs previous year, 1 year

    maturity)

    - 1 bln TL bond issuance in domestic capital markets

    in Jun’11 (8.86% compounded rate, 175 days

    maturity)

    Short term liquidity management via utilisation of

    repo funding (9% of total liabilities vs 3% at YE10)

    (1) Includes funds borrowed, sub-debt and marketable securities issued. Please refer to annex for details on international borrowings

    (2) Other includes eximbank, postfinancing loans and subsidiaries

    10%

    ytd

    12%

    6%

    191%

    21%

    16%

    FundingFurther diversification of the funding base

    Composition of Borrowings

    2

    16.4 bln TL

    in 1H11

  • 91% 93% 92%

    9% 7% 8%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    91%92%

    9%8%

    1H10 1H11 42%41%

    37%

    38%

    8%

    6%2%

    2%11%

    13%

    1H10 1H11

    15

    Key Drivers of Fee Growth

    Fees & Commissions Robust growth performance driven by focused approach and volume growth

    Fees +11% y/y driven by Bank (+13% y/y)

    - Credit card fees +14% y/y contributed by volume growth and

    increase in interchange/acquiring fees. Share in total at 41%

    confirming increasing diversification of fee base

    - Lending related fees +20% y/y driven by volume growth and

    repricing in some consumer loans. Share in total at 38%

    - Asset management fees -16% y/y due to fund management fee cap

    decline and stable volumes

    - Insurance fees +55% y/y due to bancassurance focus

    - Other fees +17% y/y mainly driven by increasing contribution

    of product bundle fees and campaigns

    Subs fees impacted by fund management fee cap decline (-4% y/y)

    Composition of Bank Fees & CommissionsNet Fees & Commissions (mln TL)

    (1) Total Bank fees received as of 1H11: 1,001 mln TL (874 mln TL in 1H10). Total fees paid as of 1H11: 149 mln TL (117 mln TL in 1H10)

    (2) Other includes account maintenance, money transfers, equity trading, campaign fees, product bundle fees etc.

    (3) As of May 2011

    Credit Cards

    Lending Related

    (cash and

    non-cash)

    Asset MgmtInsurance

    Other2

    14%

    20%

    -16%

    55%

    17%

    Y/Y Growth

    430

    Bank

    Subs

    830

    New

    Products

    New Fee

    Areas

    Focus on

    Collection

    Fee

    Generating

    Products

    Continued strong product bundle sales

    138K sales in 1H11 (43% of 2011 target achieved)

    Solid performance of leasing & factoring fees

    +92% y/y

    Strong trend in collection ratio due to focused efforts

    61% retail (+6pp vs YE10)

    Continued robust performance in bancassurance (+55% y/y),

    trade finance (+20% ytd avg volumes), cash mngmt (+12% ytd

    avg volumes), derivative trading (+7% ytd)

    471

    63% 66%

    Sector:

    50%3

    451

    922

    -4%

    13%

    Fees /

    Opex -117 -149

    874

    1,001

    Fees &

    Commissions

    Received

    Fees &

    Commissions

    Paid

    11%

  • Non-HR2

    Other1

    42%46%

    53%

    49%

    5%5%

    1H10 1H11

    16

    Total Operating Costs (mln TL)

    HR

    Operating Costs Continuation of controlled cost growth

    Cost /

    Income

    Total costs +7% y/y; +6% excluding

    one-offs3, in line with inflation

    HR costs +17% y/y impacted by bonus

    payments in 1Q11 (+12% y/y excluding

    one-offs3)

    - Number of employees at 14,547

    (+136 vs YE10) driven by branch

    expansion

    Non-HR costs -2% y/y4 impacted by

    one-off items in 1H10 (NPL sale legal

    fees and non-cash loan general

    provisions), +1% y/y excluding one-offs3

    - Number of branches at 887, +19 net

    openings in 2Q, +2% ytd. Market share

    at 9.1%

    Other costs 10% y/y driven by stabilised

    pension fund deficit5 and effective

    management of Worldcard loyalty points41.8%

    (1) Other includes pension fund provisions and loyalty points on Worldcard

    (2) Non-HR costs include HR related non-HR, advertising, rent, SDIF, taxes and depreciation

    (3) One-offs in 1Q10: NPL sale legal fees (9.2 mln TL), non-cash loan general provisions (13 mln TL) in non-HR costs 1Q11: variable compensation (30 mln TL) in HR costs

    (4) Including branch tax: 1Q10: 40 mln TL, 1Q11: 44 mln TL

    (5) Obligation to provide all qualified employees with pension and post-retirement benefits, calculated annually by an independent actuary registered with the

    Undersecretariat of the Treasury

    1,312

    46% 46% 47%

    54% 50% 48%

    4% 5%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    43.5%

    1,399 7%

    688711622

    10%

    -2%

    17%

    0%

  • 4.3%

    6.3%

    3.4% 3.2% 2.9%

    2008 2009 2010 1Q11 2Q11

    17

    NPL Ratio

    Asset QualityContinuing positive trend

    NPL

    Volume (bln TL)

    NPL Ratio by Segment

    Net Inflows

    Collections

    / Inflows

    -27

    107%

    Collections

    NPL Inflows

    Asset Quality Flows (mln TL)

    4.3%

    7.7%

    4.4% 3.8% 3.4%

    6.3%

    10.0%

    5.3%5.6%

    5.3%

    6.8%

    12.6%

    5.1% 4.5% 4.1%

    2.5% 3.0%2.0% 1.8% 1.6%

    2008 2009 2010 1Q11 2Q11

    NPL ratio down to 2.9% (vs 3.4% at YE10), in line with

    sector, driven by decelerating NPL inflows, strong

    collections and solid loan growth

    - NPL ratio improving in all segments with

    deceleration in NPL flows

    Collection/inflows at 98% in 1H11 on the back of

    declining NPL inflows and strong collections performance

    (1) Including cross default. If excluding, 2Q11: 2.8%

    (2) As per YKB’s internal segment definition, SMEs: companies with annual turnover 5 mln USD

    (3) Excluding one large commercial position (fully provisioned including collaterals) booked as NPL in 3Q

    -30 bps

    Credit Cards

    313

    80%3

    140

    85%

    1.7

    SME2

    Consumer Loans1

    Corporate & Comm.2

    2.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 42

    88%

    910

    1,138

    760

    400 360

    770 825

    745

    427 318

    1H10 2H10 1H11 1Q11 2Q11

    15

    98%

  • 18

    Specific and General Provisioning Cost of Risk2 Cumulative net off collections

    Total coverage of NPL volume at 120% (including specific and general provisions)

    Specific coverage at 76% (-1pp vs YE10) driven by improving asset quality

    Generic coverage of total performing loans at 1.2% (vs 1.3% at YE10)

    Total cost of risk (net off collections) at 0.25% (vs -0.03% in 1H10)

    Provisioning and CoRStrong NPL coverage and improving cost of risk driven by continuation of positive asset quality

    77% 78% 76%

    40% 44% 44%

    2010 1Q11 2Q11

    Specific provisions / NPL

    General provisions / NPL

    (1) Coverage of total performing loans

    (2) Cost of risk = (total loan loss provisions – collections) / total gross loans

    Note: General provisions / NPL= (standard + watch provisions) / NPL

    Total general provisions / performing loans = (standard + watch provisions) / performing loans

    100%

    122%117%

    1.43%

    3.72%

    0.81%

    0.48%0.25%

    1.09%

    3.14%

    0.68%

    -0.11% -0.07%

    2008 2009 2010 1Q11 1H11

    Total

    Specific

    120%

    1.1% 1.1% 1.1%

    6.5%8.7%

    6.5%

    2010 1Q11 2Q11

    Watch

    Standard

    Total1 1.3% 1.3% 1.2%

    General Loan Coverage

  • 39%23%

    1.0%

    0.3%

    47%

    53%

    13%21%

    0%3%

    2007 2Q11

    330 326

    2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    ~433,000 ~426,000

    ~222,000

    2010 2Q11

    19

    * Other includes POS, mobile etc.

    Note: BRSA Bank-only figures used for commercial effectiveness indicators. All other figures based on MIS data

    RM = Relationship Manager

    Commercial EffectivenessOngoing initiatives resulting in continuous improvement

    Productivity

    6,935

    8,707

    2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    Systems / Efficiency

    Core Revenues / Employee (ths TL)

    Customer Business / Employee (ths TL)

    Products / Services

    Conversion of Card only Clients

    • 2.0 mln total card

    only clients

    • 51% of 2011 target

    achieved

    2011

    Target:

    Non-branch Channels in Total Transactions

    Retail Cross-sell

    3.30

    3.693.81

    3.90

    2009 2010 1Q11 2Q11

    Synergies with Insurance Subs(# of new products sold)

    1Q11 2Q11 Δ

    # of Health

    Policies9,739 30,419 212%

    # of SME Policies 3,411 9,136 168%

    # of Income

    Protection

    Policies2,596 4,802 85%

    # of Commercial

    Credit Life

    Policies8,327 18,131 118%

    26%

    8% 1%

    Retail Demand Deposits / Relationship Manager

    (ths TL)

    1,411

    1,274

    1,414

    2010 1Q11 2Q11

    SMEMass

    Affluent

    11%

    9%

    20%

    Ytd Growth

    77%61%

    Other

    ATM

    Branches

    Internet

    Call Center

  • 20

    Operating Environment

    1H11 Results (BRSA Consolidated)

    Performance of Strategic Business Units & Subsidiaries

    Outlook

    Agenda

  • 944

    229

    68

    140

    469

    Retail322%

    Revenues driven by high margin loan growth, early loan repricing and robust fees (19 %y/y).

    Solid performance by SME (28% y/y) followed by

    Mass (21% y/y) compensating affluent (stable y/y)

    Revenues impacted by lower cap rates (-32bps), decline in revolving ratio and increased cost of

    funding

    Revenues impacted by contraction in AUM volumes and derivative products together with

    decrease in mutual fund cap rates impacting fee

    performance (-19% y/y)

    Revenues driven by selective lending approach and continuation of competitive environment

    Weight in Bank

    Drivers of revenue growthY/Y(1H10 – 1H11)

    Revenues(mln TL)

    Revenues driven by volume growth

    40% 35%

    Customer Business2

    (1) Revenues excluding treasury and other

    (2) Customer business = Loans + Deposits + AUM

    (3) Retail includes individual (mass and affluent) and SME banking

    (4) Net of loyalty point expenses on World cards

    Note: all figures based on MIS data

    Performance of Business UnitsStrong performance of retail, corporate and commercial. Cards impacted by decline

    in cap rate and higher cost of funding. Private impacted by difficult market conditions

    21

    Credit

    Cards4

    Private

    Corporate

    10% 7%

    3% 13%

    6% 18%

    20% 23%

    Commercial

    -37%

    -20%

    20%

    9%

    Revenues1

  • Performance of Subsidiaries Strong profitability performance at core product factories. YK Portföy impacted by decrease in

    mutual fund cap rates. Robust performance at insurance subsidiaries

    Strong revenue growth driven by higher premium

    generation and improving technical margins on the

    back of focus on high margin segments

    22

    YK Leasing

    Revenues(mln TL)

    Revenue (y/y growth)

    ROE Sector

    Positioning

    96

    YK Factoring

    YK Yatırım

    YK Portföy

    311

    892

    36 126%

    Strong revenue performance driven by increased

    business volume on the back of enhanced

    synergies with SME segment

    YK Sigorta

    YK Emeklilik

    YK Moscow

    YK NV

    YK Azerbaijan

    Revenue performance positively impacted by

    higher net interest income and strong fee

    performance

    Revenue performance impacted by competitive

    environment in equity trading

    Revenue contraction due to decrease in mutual

    fund cap rates

    883 27%

    Revenue growth driven by above sector

    pension fund volume growth and improving

    performance in life insurance segment 56 30%

    15 10% 12%

    13 -13% 10%

    Positive revenue performance driven by strong

    volume growth compensating for margin pressure

    Revenues impacted by ongoing margin pressure

    39 -3% 10%

    (1) Including dividend income from YK Sigorta. Revenue growth adjusted with dividend income

    (2) Including dividend income from YK Portföy. Revenue growth adjusted with dividend income

    (3) Including dividend income from YK Emeklilik. Revenue growth adjusted with dividend income

    (4) As of Mar’11

    (5) As of May’11

    (6) 5.4% life insurance market share as of May’11; 16.0% private pension market share as of June’11

    55%

    67%

    19%

    19%

    30%3

    -11%

    0%2

    36%1

    13%

    Revenues impacted by decrease in securities income

    due to continuation of TL bond portfolio sales

    #1 in total transaction volume

    (18.9% mkt share)

    #1 in total factoring volume

    (19.1% mkt share)4

    #3 in equity transaction volume

    (5.5% mkt share)

    #2 in mutual fund volume

    (17.4% mkt share)

    #2 in health insurance

    (14.8% mkt share)5

    #5 in life insurance6

    #3 in private pensions6

    Key Highlights

    335 mln TL

    total assets

    333 mln TL

    total assets

    3.7 bln TL

    total assets

    Core Product

    Factories

    Insurance

    Subs

    International

    Subs

  • 23

    Operating Environment

    1H11 Results (BRSA Consolidated)

    Performance of Strategic Business Units & Subsidiaries

    Outlook

    Agenda

  • 24

    2H11 OutlookSlowdown in sector loan growth expected in 2H with increasing focus on profitability in a more rational environment

    MACRO

    Moderation in economic activity on the back of contained domestic demand and weak external demand impacted by regulatory actions and global uncertainty (2011E GDP growth: 5.8%)

    Sustained low inflation despite possible short-term acceleration in core inflation(2011E inflation: 6.9%)

    Improvement in current account deficit in 4Q on the back of CBRT policy mix and regulatory actions

    CBRT policy rate hike expected to be postponed to 2012

    SECTOR

    YKB

    Continuation of volume growth in line with CBRT guidance (2011E loan growth: 25%, deposit growth: 15/20%)

    Acceleration of funding diversification(further eurobond and TL bond issuances)

    NIM to progressively improve in 2H11 on the back of positive effect of upward loan repricing subject to more rational deposit competition (2011E: -80/100 bps vs 2010)

    Continued emphasis on fee generation(2011E: ~15%)

    Controlled cost growth (2011E: in line with inflation)

    Asset quality to remain strong, in line with sector trend

    Ongoing branch expansion to reach 50/60 openings by end of 2011

    Significant slowdown in loan growth in 2H accompanied by lessened funding pressure (2011E loan growth: 25%, deposit growth: 15/17%) resulting in reduced NIM pressure vs 1H (2011E: -80/100 bps vs 2010)

    Positive asset quality trend to continue (2011E CoR < 2010 level)

    2011E = 2011 Estimate

  • 25

    StrategyYKB confirms long-term strategic pillars while effectively managing the new environment in the short-term

    New operating environment highly impacted by intensification of regulations / fierce competition with

    implications on banking sector profitability:

    - Short-term: Significant pressure on profitability via acceleration of expected structural NIM compression trend in

    banking sector, calling for more rational behaviour by banks

    - Long-term: Full impact on profitability subject to future evolution of regulatory landscape and competitive

    dynamics

    Despite short-term uncertainty, Turkey’s prospects structurally positive with strong macroeconomic

    fundamentals (taking into account potential risks on CAD, inflation) and underpenetrated / healthy banking sector

    In this context, Yapı Kredi will continue its focus on achieving long-term strategic pillars while effectively

    managing the new environment in the short-term

    Short-Term Focus Areas

    Upward loan repricing actions

    Emphasis on optimal asset allocation

    Focus on cost of funding optimisation,

    lenghtening maturity and diversification

    Realignment of ALM strategies

    Long-Term Strategic Pillars of YKB

    Growth and commercial effectiveness

    NIM management

    Funding and liquidity

    Cost and efficiency

    Asset quality

    Sustainability

  • 26

    Operating Environment

    1H11 Results (BRSA Consolidated)

    Performance of Strategic Business Units & Subsidiaries

    Outlook

    Annex

    Agenda

  • 27

    Detailed Performance by Strategic Business Unit

    Other Details

    Agenda

  • Retail:

    - SME: Companies with turnover less than 5 mln USD

    - Affluent: Individuals with assets less than 500K TL

    - Mass: Individuals with assets less than 50K TL

    Commercial: Companies with annual turnover between 5-100 mln USD

    Corporate: Companies with annual turnover above 100 mln USD

    Private: Individuals with assets above 500K TL

    28

    Definitions of Strategic Business Units

  • 21%

    20%

    33%

    15%

    6% 21%

    20%

    3%

    0%

    26%

    10%

    15% 0%

    40%

    31%39%

    Revenues Loans Deposits

    29

    Performance by Strategic Business UnitsDiversified revenue mix with retail focused loan and deposit portfolio

    Revenues and Volumes by Business Unit1 1H11 (Bank only)

    Treasury and Other

    Commercial

    Corporate

    Private

    Credit Cards2

    Retail (including SME)

    Note: Loan and deposit allocations based on end of period volumes (source: MIS data). All SBU figures based on 1H11 segmentat ion criteria

    (1) Please refer to definitions of Business Units

    (2) Net of loyalty point expenses on World card

    50%46%

    65%

  • 84%

    28%33% 33%

    6%

    13%

    21%

    43%

    10%

    59%

    46%

    24%

    Retail Banking ~60% of retail banking revenues generated by SME business

    30

    Retail Banking Composition (1H11)

    ~570K active SME clients

    generating 59% of total retail

    revenues (+28% y/y growth),

    46% of retail loans and 24%

    of retail deposits

    ~5.1 mln active banking

    clients in mass segment

    generating 28% of total retail

    revenues (+21% y/y growth)

    and 33% of both retail loans

    and deposits

    ~389K affluent clients

    generating 13% of total retail

    revenues, 21% of retail loans

    and 43% of retail deposits

    +22% y/y

    SME

    6.0 mln TL 944 mln TL 18.3 bln TL 20.8 bln

    Affluent

    Mass

    +28%

    +0%

    +21%

    ~570K

    ~389K

    ~5.1 mln

    # of Clients Revenues Loans Deposits

  • 3.13%2.87% 2.82%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

    Retail (Mass & Affluent)Revenues driven by high margin loan growth, early loan repricing and robust fee performance

    31

    Revenues /Customer Business1

    Revenues +14% y/y driven by robust loan growth in high margin areas, especially general purpose and strong fee performance (19% y/y)

    Loans +23% ytd mainly driven by general purpose loans (+34%)

    Deposits +7% ytd driven by TL deposits (+8%)

    Consumer loan NPL ratio down to 3.4%2

    (vs 3.8% at 1Q11) driven by deceleration in NPL inflows and

    positively impacted by volume growth

    Note: Volumes (loans, deposits and AUM) based on end of period data except for revenues/customer business ratio which is based on 3 month average. MIS data.

    (1) Customer business: Loans + Deposits + AUM

    (2) Excluding cross default

    TL mln 1H11

    Revenues 382 14% y/y

    Loans 9,819 23%

    Deposits 15,695 7%

    AUM 2,840 7%

    % of Demand in Retail Deposits 16.8% 1.1 pp

    % of TL in Retail Deposits 76.6% 0.5 pp

    % of TL in Retail Loans 99% 0.3 pp

    ytd

  • 32

    Retail (SME)Revenues driven by strong volume growth and robust fee performance

    Revenues /Customer Business1

    Revenues +28% y/y driven by strong volume growth and robust fee performance (25% y/y)

    Loans +24% ytd driven by focused approach and increased commercial effectiveness

    Deposits +4% ytd driven by TL(+4%)

    SME NPL ratio down to 4.1% (vs 4.5% at 1Q11) driven by deceleration in NPL inflows and positively impacted by volume growth

    Note: Volumes (loans, deposits and AUM) based on end of period data except for revenues/customer business ratio which is based on 3 month

    average. MIS data.

    (1) Customer business: Loans + Deposits + AUM

    TL mln 1H11

    Revenues 563 28% y/y

    Loans 8,498 24%

    Deposits 5,095 4%

    AUM 772 1%

    % of Demand in SME Deposits 43.3% 1.4 pp

    % of TL in SME Deposits 74.4% -0.2 pp

    % of TL in SME Loans 96% 0.1 pp

    ytd

    9.49%

    8.10%8.85%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

  • 18.2% 18.7%

    20.5%

    16.4%

    Outstanding Issuing Acquiring No of Cards

    33

    Credit CardsRevenues impacted by continued decline in cap rates and lower revolving ratio

    Volumes and Market Shares3

    ~626K new World cards issued in 1H11

    Net revenues1 impacted by continued decline in cap rates (-32 bps in 1H11) in a stable interest rate environment, lower revolving ratio and higher cost of funding

    Credit Card NPL ratio down to 5.3% (vs 5.6% in 1Q11) on the back of decelerating inflows

    4

    (1) Net of loyalty point expenses on World card

    (2) Including virtual cards (2009: 1.5 mln, 2010: 1.5 mln, Jun’11: 1.5 mln)

    (3) Market shares and volumes based on bank-only 6-month cumulative figures

    (4) Based on personal and corporate credit card outstanding volume. Retail credit card outstanding volume (excluding corporate) market

    share: 18.2%

    Volumes(bln TL)

    9.2 25.3 28.1TL mln 1H10 1H11

    Revenues 412 283 -31% y/y

    Net Revenues1 364 229 -37% y/y

    # of Credit Cards (mln)2 7.7 8.0 3%

    # of Merchants (ths) 315 321 5%

    # of POS (ths) 378 418 7%

    Activation 84.6% 84.7% 0.0 pp

    ytd

  • 34

    PrivateRevenues impacted by contraction in AUM volume and derivative products as well as decrease in mutual fund cap rates

    Revenues /Customer Business1

    Revenues -20% y/y driven by contraction in AUM volume and derivate products due to volatility in financial markets as well as decrease in mutual fund cap rates

    Deposits +23% ytd driven by TL (+24%) and FC (+15% in USD terms)

    Loans -9% ytd driven by both TL and FC (~-10%)

    Continued focus on leveraging on product factories in distribution of asset management and brokerage products with further development of existing customer base and customer acquisition

    Note: Volumes (loans, deposits and AUM) based on end of period data except for revenues/customer business ratio which is based on 3 month

    average. MIS data.

    (1) Customer business: Loans + Deposits + AUM

    TL mln 1H11

    Revenues 68 -20% y/y

    Loans 221 -9%

    Deposits 13,872 23%

    AUM 2,350 -26%

    % of Demand in Priv. Deposits 4.4% -1.1 pp

    % of TL in Priv. Deposits 60.5% 0.5 pp

    % of TL in Priv. Loans 75% -1.3 pp

    ytd

    1.21%

    0.96%

    0.83%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

  • 35

    CommercialRevenues driven by selective lending approach on the back of competitive environment

    Revenues /Customer Business1

    Revenues +9% driven by selective lending approach in a competitive environment

    Loans +14% ytd driven by TL (10% ytd) and FC (+11% ytd in USD terms)

    Deposits +5% ytd driven by FC deposits in USD terms (+4% ytd in USD terms). TL deposits stable

    Sound asset quality maintained (Corporate/Commercial NPL ratio at 1.6%)

    Note: Volumes (loans, deposits and AUM) based on end of period data except for revenues/customer business ratio which is based on 3 month

    average. MIS data.

    (1) Customer business: Loans + Deposits + AUM

    TL mln 1H11

    Revenues 469 9% y/y

    Loans 19,359 14%

    Deposits 8,238 5%

    AUM 216 -3%

    % of Demand in Com. Deposits 33.2% -2.2 pp

    % of TL in Com. Deposits 42.8% -2.2 pp

    % of TL in Com. Loans 30% -1.3 pp

    ytd

    4.16%

    3.50%3.75%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

  • 36

    CorporateRevenues driven by volume growth

    Revenues +20% y/y driven by loan growth and disciplined pricing approach compensating for margin pressure

    Loans 24% ytd driven by balanced growth in TL (+28% ytd) and FC loans (+16% ytd in USD terms)

    Deposits -11% ytd due to contraction in TL deposits (-49% ytd) in view of reserve requirement hikes

    Sound asset quality maintained (Corporate/Commercial NPL ratio at 1.6%)

    Note: Volumes (loans, deposits and AUM) based on end of period data except for revenues/customer business ratio which is based on 3 month

    average. MIS data.

    (1) Customer business: Loans + Deposits + AUM

    Revenues /Customer Business1

    TL mln 1H11

    Revenues 140 20% y/y

    Loans 12,172 24%

    Deposits 10,556 -11%

    AUM 40 -33%

    % of Demand in Corp. Deposits 5.1% -0.5 pp

    % of TL in Corp. Deposits 30.3% -22.5 pp

    % of TL in Corp. Loans 24% 0.9 pp

    ytd

    4.16%

    3.50%

    3.75%

    2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

  • 37

    Detailed Performance by Strategic Business Unit

    Other Details

    Agenda

  • 66%58% 59%

    29%37% 37%

    5% 5% 4%

    54% 55% 53%

    46% 45% 47%

    Securities59% of securities portfolio invested in HTM

    38

    (1% FRN)

    (58% FRN)

    (1% FRN)

    (49% FRN)

    38

    Share of Held to Maturity (HTM) at 59% (vs 58% in 1Q11). HTM mix in total securities higher at

    bank level at 62%

    Share of securities in total assets down to 19% (vs 21% in 1Q11)

    Share of TL securities in total securities at 53% (vs 55% in 1Q11)

    (49% FRN)

    (1% FRN)

    Trading

    AFS

    HTM

    19,921 20,591 20,942

    5% ytd

    Securities Composition by Type Securities Composition by Currency (TL mln)

    TL

    FC

    2010 1Q11 1H11 2010 1Q11 1H11

  • ~ USD 825 mln outstanding

    Dec 06 and Mar 07: ~USD 365 mln, 6 wrapped notes, 7-8 years, Libor+18-35 bps

    Aug 10 - DPR Exchange: ~USD 460 mln, 5 unwrapped notes, 5 years

    €1,050 mln outstanding

    Mar 06: €500 mln, 10NC5, Libor+2.00% p.a.

    Apr 06: €350 mln, 10NC5, Libor+2.25% p.a.

    Jun 07: €200 mln, 10NC5, Libor+1.85% p.a.

    Sace Loan - Jan 07: €100 mln, all-in Euribor+1.20% p.a, 5 years

    EIB Loan - Jul 08-Dec 10: €350 mln, 5-15 years

    IBRD (World Bank) Loan - Nov 08: USD 25 mln, Libor+1.50% p.a, 6 years

    ~ USD 2.7 bln outstanding

    Apr 11: ~USD 1.45 bln, Libor +1.1% bps all-in cost, 1 year

    Sept 10: ~USD 1.25 bln, Libor + 1.30% bps all-in cost, 1 year

    USD 750 mln Loan Participation Note (LPN)

    Oct 10: 5.1875% (cost), 5 years

    Borrowings

    Syndications

    Securitisations

    Subordinated

    Loans

    Loan Participation

    Note

    Multinational

    Loans

    Inte

    rnati

    on

    al

    TL BondTL 1 bln bond issue

    Jun 11: 8.86% compounded cost, 175 days maturity

    Do

    mesti

    c

    39