your brain hates project management
TRANSCRIPT
The brain is fundamentally a lazy piece of meat.“Gregory Berns
Fake Graph #1B
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Time – Lots of It
Fake Graph #2In
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Two Fake GraphsB
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It’s not information overload, it’s filter failure.Clay Shirkey
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Multitasking is the ability to screw everything up simultaneously.Jeremy Clarkson
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2x as long to finish a single task
Up to 50% more errors
Overall: 40% drop in productivity
Brain fatigue
1 REST 2 EAT
3 MOVE 4 PLAN
5 CHEAT
There can be as much value in the blink of an eye as in months of rational analysis.
Malcolm Gladwell
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A bat and ball cost $1.10.The bat costs $1 more than the ball.How much does the ball cost?
Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very bright. She majored in philosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice, and also participated in antiwar demonstrations.
Bank Teller
FeministBankTeller
TornadosLightningAccidents
AsthmaBotulismDiabetes
vs.
Box A Box B50 Yellow Balls50 Green Balls
? Yellow Balls? Green Balls
But there are also unknown unknowns. There are things we don't know we don't know.“Donald Rumsfeld
1 Surface temperature of the sun?
2 The year of Alexander the Great’sbirth?
3 Area of the Asian continent?
From Software Estimation by Steve McConnell (Microsoft Press, 2006) and is © 2006 Steve McConnell. All rights reserved.
The average expert was roughly as accurate as a dart-throwing chimpanzee.“Philip Tetlock
How old was Gandhi when he died?
33.927.4 48.6
33.927.4 48.6
55.5
Actor-observer bias | Ambiguity effect | Anchoring | Anthropic bias | Attentional bias | Availability heuristic | Bandwagon effect | Beneffectance | Bias blind spot | Choice-supportive bias | Clustering illusion | Confabulation | Confirmation bias | Congruence bias | Conjunction fallacy | Consistency bias | Contrast effect | Cryptomnesia | Déformation professionnelle | DunningKruger effect | Egocentric bias | Endowment effect | Exposure-suspicion bias | Extreme aversion | False consensus effect | Focusing effect | Forer effect | Framing | Frequency illusion | Fundamental attribution error | Gambler's fallacy | Halo effect | Herd instinct | Hindsight bias | Hostile media effect | Hyperbolic discounting | Illusion of asymmetric insight | Illusion of control | Illusion of transparency | Illusory correlation | Impact bias | Information bias | Ingroup bias | Irrational escalation | Just-world phenomenon | Lake Wobegon effect | Loss aversion | Ludic fallacy | Mere exposure effect | Modesty bias | Neglect of prior base rates effect | Neglect of probability | Notational bias | Obsequiousness bias | Observer-expectancy effect | Omission bias | Optimism bias | Outcome bias | Outgroup homogeneity bias | Overconfidence effect | Planning fallacy | Positive outcome bias | Post-purchase rationalization | Primacy effect | Projection bias | Pseudocertainty effect | Reactance | Recency effect | Reminiscence bump | Rosy retrospection | Selective memory | Selective perception | Self-fulfilling prophecy | Selfserving bias | Status quo bias | Subadditivity effect | Suggestibility | Survivorship bias | System justification | Telescoping effect | Texas sharpshooter fallacy | Trait ascription bias | Ultimate attribution error | Unacceptability bias | Unit bias | Von Restorff effect | Zero-risk bias
Douglas Hofstadter
Hofstadter's Law: It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter's Law.“
We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.“Daniel Kahneman
1 SLOW DOWN 2 WBS IT
3 GO OUTSIDE 4 PRE-MORTEM
5 BE SAD 6 REMEMBER
Memory is fiction… not just a replaying, but a re-writing.“Daniel Levitin
RestTiredAwakeDreamSnoreBedEat
SlumberSoundComfortPillowWakeNight
Rest
Sleep
Aardvark
Night
Never memorize something that you can look up.“Albert Einstein
“Piers Steel
Motivation =Expectancy x Value
Impulsiveness x Delay
Work expands so as to fill the time available for its completion.“Cyril Parkinson
1 EXTERNALIZE 2 BREAKDOWN
3 WORST 1ST 4 PUBLIC
5 OBSTACLES 6 FOCUS
The best way to reduce stress in your life is to stop screwing up.“Roy Baumeister
