yuanjian zhu [email protected] +61408582897 · 2020. 3. 25. · in june 2009, chinalco's acquisition...
TRANSCRIPT
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Yuanjian Zhu [email protected] +61408582897
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A gold mine is a hole in the ground with a liar on top.
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China Overseas Mining Investment Case 3PoliticsLibya civil war, China‘s nearly $ 20 billion project put on hold, CNPC stopped mining. In June 2009, Chinalco's acquisition of Rio Tinto failed, and Rio Tinto unilaterally broke its contract. In September 2012, Chalco's US $ 920 million acquisition of South Gobi Resources Ltd Zijin Mining's acquisition of Congo Copper Mine was thwarted
InfrastructureIn 2008, Sinosteel acquired Weld Range iron ore project in Western Australia for 1.36 billion , and the project was suspended
SocialMyanmar's Letpadaung copper mine shut down twice
ResourceMarry River Iron Mine, Baffin Island, Canada
CostVientiane potash basin, Laos
PriceCITIC Pacific acquires Western Australian
iron ore mineCarrara Project of Ansteel Group
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CONTENTS
Introduction of Western Mineral Reporting Standards
Introduction of Independent Technical Report
Data Quality Management Analysis
Resource estimation risk assessment
0 1
02
03
04
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Background Classification
Introduction of Mineral Reporting Standards01 Comparison
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Grimes Graves, Neolithic Flint Mine
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1 3 5
2 4
ChaosA long time after the start of mining, the market for mineral rights trading was small.
DevelopingFrom the beginning to the middle of the 20th century, Africa, the Soviet Union, the United States, and Western Europe successively proposed their own classification standards, with the distinction between Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves.
Perfecting1997 – Russia2003 – CIM2012 – CRIRSCO2012 – JORC2016 – SAMREC
BeginningAt the beginning of the 20th century, British, American, and International Geological Associations successively proposed the Mineral Resource classification standard - the prototype of Mineral Resource classification.
Uniform1973 – the United States1981 – Canada1978 – the United Nations1989 – Australia1997 – Foundation of CRIRSCO
Development of Mineral Standards
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Classification of Current Major Mineral Standards
• The Committee for Mineral Reserves International Reporting Standards was established in 1997, and the standard was updated in 2013.
• Emphasize the role of CP / QP• Divided into two categories – Mineral
Resources and Ore Reserves based on economic and confidence levels, each with its own sub-category.
• Members have their own standards, but are roughly similar.
• Conditions for mutual recognition of Qualified Person in different countries
CRIRSCOMajor western countries
• United Nations Framework Classification for Fossil Energy and Mineral Resources was put forward in 1997, and it was updated in 2009.
• Classification from three aspects: known degree of geology, project feasibility and socioeconomic stability
• This classification system is mainly used by China, India and some Eastern European countries.
UNFCChina, India, etc.
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The main members of CRIRSCO and their respective standards
AustraliaJORC Code (2012)
CanadaCIM Definition Standards
Brazil CBRR Guide
USA SME Guide
South AfricaSAMREC (2016)
Russia NAEN Code
Europe & UKPERC Code
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CRIRSCO International Reporting Template
No specific procedures and methods for Qualified Person to report Mineral Resource and Ore Reserves1
2
3
4
No specific data acquisition and quality assurance procedures
No specific format requirements
Unable to handle individuals / companies that violate standards
Defined minimum standards for public reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1
2
3
4
Provided a mandatory classification system based on geological confidence and technical-economic considerations
Established a Mineral Resource classification system for Qualified Person / Competent Person’s Code of Conduct
Described uniform, detailed specifications for reporting Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves.
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CRIRSCO Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Classification System
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Geological Confidence Level
Geology Exploration
MethodAssay
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Modifying Factors
Environment
Mining
Processing/Smelting
Economy
Law Social/Infrastructure
Government
Resource
Market
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Resource
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Reserve
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Introduction Feature
Competent Person Report
02 Format
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ITR/CPR Template
• CRIRSCO’s International Reporting Template
• Each standard specifies the general content• JORC• CIM• SAMREC• SME
• Exchanges have their own legal constraints• ASX listing rules• HKEx Chapter 18• NI-43-101• Guide 7
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Feature
• It is a summary of the material technical information of
the project;
• Its readers are public investors or their investment
advisers;
• Report must be concise but contain sufficient technical
information and cautionary language to allow investors to
make informed decisions
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Format (JORC)Executive SummaryDisclaimerList of Abbreviations1 Introduction and Scope of Report2 Program Objectives and Work Program2.1 Purpose of the Report2.2 Reporting Standard2.3 Work Program2.4 Project Team2.5 Indemnities2.6 Compliance Statement2.7 Limitations Statement2.8 Forward Looking Statement
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3 Property Description and Location3.1 Tenure – tenure type, conditions and renewal
dates3.2 Operational Licenses and Permits3.2.1 Business License3.2.2 Mining License3.2.3 Safety Operational Permit3.2.4 Other Operational Permits4 Accessibility, Climate, Local Resources, Infrastructure and Physiography4.1 Accessibility4.2 Local Resources and Infrastructure4.3 Climate4.4 Physiography
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5 Geological Setting and Mineralization5.1 Regional Geology5.2 Deposit Geology5.3 Mineralization5.3.1 Mineralized Zones/Bodies5.3.2 Mineralogical Characteristics
The geological characteristics of the project and what geological factors have a significant impact on controlling the mineralization.The distribution of the identified mineralized bodies, the characteristics of the surrounding rock of the orebody, the geological factors controlling the orebody, the length, width and depth of the mineralized body, and the continuity of mineralization.Mineral composition and ore typeFurther exploration potential
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6 Exploration, Sample Preparation, Analyses, and Security 6.1 Exploration History6.2 Trenching [if applicable]6.3 Underground Tunneling [if applicable]6.4 Drilling6.5 Sampling, Sample Preparation and Analyses6.5.1 Sampling6.5.2 Sample Preparation and Analyses6.5.3 Specific Gravity Data6.6 Quality Assurance and Quality Control Programs6.7 Data Verification
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7 Mineral Resource Estimates7.1 Introduction7.2 Resource Estimation Procedures7.3 Resource Database7.4 Solid Body Modelling7.5 Specific Gravity7.6 Compositing7.7 Evaluation of Outliers7.8 Statistical Analysis and Variography7.9 Block Model and Grade Estimation7.10 Model Validation and Sensitivity7.11 Mineral Resource Classification7.12 Mineral Resource Statement7.13 Grade Sensitivity Analysis7.14 Previous Resource Estimates (if publicly disclosed)7.15 Exploration Potential and Recommendations (any other issues)
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Advanced Projects8 Mining and Ore Reserve Estimates9 Metallurgical and Processing10 Workforce Assessment11 Project Infrastructure12 Occupational Health and Safety13 Capital and Operating Costs14 Economic Analysis15 Environmental Studies, Permitting, and Social or Community Impact16 Risk Assessment17 Conclusions and Recommendations18 References
APPENDIX
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CRIRSCO Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Classification System
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A gold mine is a hole in the ground with a CPR on top.
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Foundation of Mining Project - Resource
Reserve/LOM
Mining Method
Processing Process
Product Price
Tailings discharge/Environment Rehabilitation
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Geology and Resource Section of the Report
Geological Setting and Mineralization (Occurrence of Orebody and Factors Affecting Orebody)
Exploration, Sample Preparation, Analyses, and Security (Quality of Data)
Mineral Resource Estimates (Estimation Method)
Core: Report to readers the results of Mineral Resource estimates and express the reasonableness and reliability of the estimates.
The Basis of Mineral Resource Estimation:
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Acquisition Analysis
Data Quality Management Analysis03 Verification
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Busang Gold Mine
April, 1994Bre-X release “Good news”. A new
Gold deposit with a thickness of tens of meters was found by exploration,
with grade ranging from 2 g/t to 10 g/t, and the Share Price rose to CA$1.50.
Jan. 1996Bre-X release exploration results for the
No. 61 and No. 62 boreholes stating orebody intersections of 301 m, at an
average grade of 4.42 g/t and 137 m, at an average grade of 5.71 g/t. An updated
Mineral Resource estimated had increased the contained gold 404 t .The
Bre-X share Price rises to CA$95.
Oct. 1995Kilborn Engineering Submitted a
maiden Mineral Resource of 85.5t of contained gold for the Busang Gold Deposit, with the
Bre-X share price rising to CA$47.5
Dec. 1996The Busang Gold Mine’s
Mineral Resources increase several times, reaching 1,780t
of contained gold.
Mar. 1997Before its scam was exposed, the Mineral
Resources were expected to reach 2200-6200t of contained gold, and the
Bre-X share price exceeded CA$ 270.
May, 1993Bre-X announced that it will
implement a joint exploration project of gold mine in the Busang area of Kalimantan, Indonesia. At the same
time the stock is listed in Toronto with a stock price of CA$0.45
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The Importance of Data
Rubbish in, rubbish out
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Geological Data Type and Acquisition Method
Geological Data
Geological data can reflect local geological conditions however the data needs to be interpreted and modelled in order to understand it’s context.
Geochemical ExplorationGeochemical method to measure anomalies
DrillingObtaining sub-surface data through drilling
Geological MappingField observation and measurement of geological bodies and geological phenomena.
TrenchingObtaining surface or underground data from trenching.
Geophysical ExplorationGeophysical method to measure anomalies
Topographic SurveyObtaining terrain data with specific instruments
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Trenching and DrillingDifferent ways to obtain basic data
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Quality Evaluation of Exploration Data
RepresentativenessThe amount of data collected should be adequate enough to represent the in-situ deposit.
PrecisionThe data collected must be precise and match that of the in-situ deposit.
AccuracyThe data collected must be accurate and repeatable.
IntegrityData loss should be kept to a minimum.
TimelinessPrompt processing of samples
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QA/QC Control Sample
Purpose: Ensure the precision and accuracy of data during sample processing and testing
Core Split TestingCrushing
Podwer DuplicateStandard Sample
Coarse DuplicateCore DuplicateBlank
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Blank Sample Performance
Test result of a single blank≤160% Detection LimitBlank Mean≤Detection Limit
• Tests for sample contamination during sample preparation • Coarse crushing, division, grinding, and testing with core samples• With sufficient hardness and large particles.
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Standard Sample Performance – Assaying Accuracy
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
44
Ass
ayed
Val
ue (%
)
Sample No.MgO Standard Value ±10% Tolerance Limit
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Duplicate Performance – QQ Plot
Gra
de o
f Dup
licat
e (%
)
Grade of Original Sample (%)
Q-Q Plot
.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
MgOy=x
Describe the distribution of quantiles occupied by corresponding grades
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Duplicate Performance – Scatter Plot
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Gra
de o
f Ex
tern
al C
heck
ing
Sam
ple
(%)
Grade of Original Sample (%)
TFe Y=X ±10%
Coarse Reject
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Duplicate Performance – Thompson-Howarth Plot
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
MgO
Gra
de (
%)
Error (%)
Error E(%) = 100×(S0/C+K)Quantitatively reflect errors of different grades
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Duplicate Performance – HARD PlotHalf Absolute Relative Difference = |x1-x2|/(x1+x2)
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Analysis of Bulk Density Sample
y = 0.0299x + 2.442R² = 0.6843
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60
Den
sity
(g/c
m3 )
TFe(%)
TFe Linear (TFe)
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Data Processing
Delineation of Orebody
Mineral Resource Estimation Risk Assessment04 Method
Assessment
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Representation of Data
Sample LengthExploration Density
-Data Preprocessing
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Compositing
Different sampling lengths will lead to different weights for each sample and possible different analyte statstics
Pre-compositing
Post-compositing
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Clustering
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Declustering
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Declustering Method
Cell Method Polygon Method Kriging Weight Method
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Basic Statistical Analysis of Data
Core: Data Distribution
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normal Distribution
0 5 10 15 20 25
Lognormal Distribution
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Basic Statistical Analysis of DataLi Be
Nb Ta
Analysis of elements can help us understand the mineralization background to a certain extent
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Basic Statistical Analysis of Data
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Tfe
Gra
de(%
)
Sample Depth (m)
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Delineation of Geological Bodies
Definition of Orebody
Geological Modelling
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Cutoff Type - Grade Continuity
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
-50 -30 -10 10 30 501
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150
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Geological Continuity
Source from Alastair J. Sinclair (2004)
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Related Concept of Geostatistics
Statistics: Study the distribution of samples (mean, variance, etc.)Geostatistics: Study the spatial distribution pattern of samples
Assumption:• Random process• Normal distribution• Stationarity
Regionalized Variable: Variables showing a certain spatial distribution• Random• Structural
21.86 25.62
25.61
26,8023.76
T
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Related Concept of Geostatistics
Variogram: Analyze sample variation over distanceSemivariogram
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Gam
ma
(h)
Distance (m)
Range
Nugget
Sill
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Selection of Outliner
According to the mean and standard deviation (eg: 3 times standard deviation is less than 0.15%)
Based on cumulative probability curve
Cum
ulat
ive
Prob
abilit
y (%
)
Log Transformed Grade
.01
.1
.2
125
102030405060708090959899
99.899.9
99.99
-3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -.50 0. .50 1.0 1.5
Sn WO3
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Grade Estimation in Orebody
Searching DistanceBlock SizeEstimation Method
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Verification of Grade Estimation
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Verification of Grade Estimation - Swath Plot
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Elevation (per 36 m)
Block Composite
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
Ave
rage
Gra
de o
f M
gO (
%)
East (per 400 m)Block Composite
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
North (per 200 m)Block Composite
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Resource Classification
How to classify is not specified in JORC.
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Geological Continuity
Redrawn from King et al. (1982)
Diamond pipeAlluvial Sn, AuRustenburg Pt StratiformAu DisseminatedAu Vein Au
Porphyry MoPorphyry
CuKing Island W Vein Sn/W
Stockwork W
Stratiform SnStratiform Ni
Stratiform Pb-Zn(Unmetamorphosed)
Volcanic CuPb Zn Au
Redross Ni Mississippi Valley Pb Zn
Broken Hill Pb Zn Andean Pb Zn
PWeipabauxite
Jamaicabauxite
Fe
CoalEvaporite
Hig
hPr
opor
tion
of O
re M
iner
alLo
w
High LowGeologic Continuity
1 ppm1 - 30 ppm0.1%1%
10%
30%
60%
100%
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Selection of Cutoff Grade
a cutoff grade is a grade below which the value of contained metal/mineral in a volume of rock does not meet certain specified economic requirements.
𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶 =𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑂𝑂𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝/𝑡𝑡 × 𝐶𝐶𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑝𝑝𝑐𝑐𝑡𝑡𝑝𝑝𝑐𝑐𝑡𝑡𝑝𝑝
)⁄𝑃𝑃𝐺𝐺𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝐺𝐺𝑖𝑖𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖.𝑇𝑇𝑐𝑐𝑇𝑇 ( 1 + 𝑇𝑇𝐺𝐺𝑇𝑇) × 𝑅𝑅𝐺𝐺𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝑅𝑅𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝑅𝑅 𝑅𝑅𝐺𝐺𝐶𝐶𝐺𝐺 × (1 − 𝐷𝐷𝑃𝑃𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐶𝐶𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷 𝑅𝑅𝐺𝐺𝐶𝐶𝐺𝐺
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Sensitivity Analysis
Source from Alastair J. Sinclair 2004
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Gra
de (g
/t)
Tonn
age
(Mt)
Cut-off Grade (WO3 %)
Resource WO3 Grade
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Thank you![email protected] +61408586897
Technical Risk Assessment in the Competent Person Report�-Geology and Mineral ResourcesSlide Number 2China Overseas Mining Investment CaseSlide Number 4Slide Number 5Grimes Graves, Neolithic Flint MineDevelopment of Mineral StandardsClassification of Current Major Mineral StandardsThe main members of CRIRSCO and their respective standardsCRIRSCO International Reporting TemplateCRIRSCO Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Classification SystemGeological Confidence LevelModifying FactorsResourceReserveSlide Number 16ITR/CPR TemplateFeatureFormat (JORC)Slide Number 20Slide Number 21Slide Number 22Slide Number 23Slide Number 24CRIRSCO Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve Classification SystemSlide Number 26Foundation of Mining Project - ResourceGeology and Resource Section of the ReportSlide Number 29Busang Gold MineThe Importance of DataGeological Data Type and Acquisition MethodTrenching and DrillingQuality Evaluation of Exploration DataQA/QC Control SampleBlank Sample PerformanceStandard Sample Performance – Assaying AccuracyDuplicate Performance – QQ PlotDuplicate Performance – Scatter PlotDuplicate Performance – Thompson-Howarth PlotDuplicate Performance – HARD PlotAnalysis of Bulk Density SampleSlide Number 43Representation of DataCompositingClusteringDeclusteringDeclustering MethodBasic Statistical Analysis of DataBasic Statistical Analysis of DataBasic Statistical Analysis of DataDelineation of Geological BodiesCutoff Type - Grade ContinuityGeological ContinuityRelated Concept of GeostatisticsRelated Concept of GeostatisticsSelection of OutlinerGrade Estimation in OrebodyVerification of Grade EstimationVerification of Grade Estimation - Swath PlotResource ClassificationGeological ContinuitySelection of Cutoff GradeSensitivity AnalysisSlide Number 65