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Page 1: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015
Page 2: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Zero–Zero Pathways

Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities

Andrew Scott – Research Fellow

24 March 2015

Page 3: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Two fundamental goals

Two goals:• The eradication of poverty by 2030• Keeping average global temperature rise below 2°C

= Zero - Zero post-2015 agenda

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Page 4: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Zero emission pathways

4 Source: ODI, 2014

Page 5: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Zero extreme poverty by 2030

5 Source: ODI, 2014

Projections of extreme poverty headcount rate by 2030

Page 6: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

The energy trilemma

Three objectives:

• Secure, reliable supplies to meet increased demand• Universal access to modern energy services• Transition to low-carbon energy systems

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Page 7: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Investment in renewable energy 2004-2013

7 Source: BNEF

Page 8: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Levelised Cost of Renewable Electricity

8 Source: IRENA

Page 9: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Employment in renewable energy

9 Source: IRENA

Page 10: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Agriculture challenges

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• Growth in demand: 60% by 2050• Agricultural productivity

Page 11: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Sustainable rice systems

11 Source: Oxfam

Page 12: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Global food losses

12 Source: FAO

Page 13: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

Conclusions

The market for low-carbon technologies is large and growing

Strong agreements in 2015 will strengthen the case for low-carbon pathways

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Page 14: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015

ODI is the UK’s leading independent think tank on international development and humanitarian issues. We aim to inspire and inform policy and practice to reduce poverty by locking together high-quality applied research and practical policy advice.

The views presented here are those of the speaker, and do not necessarily represent the views of ODI or our partners.

Overseas Development Institute

203 Blackfriars Road, London, SE1 8NJ

T: +44 207 9220 300

www.odi.org

[email protected]

Page 15: Zero–Zero Pathways Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities Andrew Scott – Research Fellow 24 March 2015