中国油气发展与合作机遇 china's oil and gas development and cooperation opportunities...
TRANSCRIPT
中国油气发展与合作机遇China's Oil and Gas Development and
Cooperation Opportunities
赵先良Mr. Zhao Xianliang
March 18, 2015
23/4/18
Congratulation on the opening of the Turkish International Oil and Gas Conference
• Dear Minister, Mr. Chairman, • On behalf of Mr. Jiang Daming , The Minister of
Ministry of Land and Resources of the People's Republic of China, we congratulate on the opening of the Turkish International Oil and Gas Conference and thank for the invitation of the Turkish Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources.
Major functions of the Chinese Ministry of Land and Resources
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CONTENTS
China's New Normal and transformation
Chinese oil and gas development challenges and measures
Outlook of Silk Road oil and gas cooperation
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In the past 30 years, China's economy has maintained a rapid growth, The total economy
volume has been ranked second in the world, GDP growth rate will maintain 6% -8% rate
in the next five years.
China's economy has maintained a rapid growth in the past 30 years
GDP growth rate9.01% GDP growth rate10.43%
GDP growth rate1
0.48%
GDP growth rate7-8%
NO.6
NO.2
NO.4
NO.3
NO.10
10.28 trillion dollars
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China's energy consumption and GDP growth rate is slowing down
Energy consumption growth(%)
GDP growth(%)
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China 's GDP was 56.8 trillion yuan in 2013, an increase of 7.7%, and
63.64 trillion yuan in 2014 , the growth rate of 7.4% , indicating that
China's economy has entered a new stage of development :
Development concept ： The concept of development focuses on
sustainable development and environmental protection instead of the GDP
growth;
Development power ： The economy is increasingly driven by innovation
instead of input and investment;
Development speed ： The economy has shifted gear from the previous
high speed to a medium-to-high speed growth;
Industrial upgrading ： The economic structure is constantly improved
and upgraded;
Economic growth ： Mainly depends on the growth in consumer demand.
China economy's New Normal
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The next 10-20 years is yet China's development opportunities
Firstly, international external conditions are good; peace and development
are still the themes of the time; stable relations remain among major
countries; globalization is gaining momentum; IT technology and new
energy technologies provide new impetus for the development of the world
economy.
Secondly, China is pushing forward a new type of industrialization and
urbanization; China still has a huge impetus for economic development.
Thirdly, Chinese comprehensive deepening reform, form an multi -
directional, multilevel and wide - range opening pattern, the ability to cope
with the crisis and resist risk increased greatly.
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China's economic growth rate is in the high-to-mid speed
Source: Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
trillion yuanGDP growth
CONTENTS
China's New Normal and transformation
Chinese oil and gas development challenges and measures
Outlook of Silk Road oil and gas cooperation
The oil and gas remaining recoverable reserves in China continues to grow
石油 OIL
天然气 GAS
Remaining recoverable reserves
100 million tons
Remaining recoverable reserves
Reserve-production ratio
Reserve-production ratio
100 million cubic meters
China’s Historical Annual Oil and Gas Production
Crude oil and Gas production increased every year, ranking fourth and sixth in the world.
石油 Oil
天然气 Gas
100 million tons
100 million cubic meters
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The United States, China, Japan and European countries energy demand
资料来源： BP 2014
Energy demand growth mainly come from China
Rapid growth of China's energy consumption
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China's oil consumption, imports and external dependency
In 2014 , China‘s crude oil consumption is 518 million tons, net imports of crude oil 308 million tons, with 59.46% external dependency on crude oil.
China's crude oil consumption and imports
consumption
importsexternal dependency
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In 2014, China's natural gas consumption is 178.6 billion cubic meters, imports 57.8 billion cubic meters, natural gas import proportion 32%.
China's natural gas consumption and imports
production
imports
external dependency
China is facing serious deterioration of environment
161 cities’ air quality was not up to standard, accounting for
90.1% ；
Ecological environmental damages caused by coal mining
Haze prominent problem
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Energy development also faces enormous challenges
• High pressure of the ecological environmental requirements;
• High proportion of the imported oil and gas in consumption;
• High cost of oil and gas to replace coal ;• High difficulty of the energy structure adjustment.
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China's crude oil imports trend is gradually improved
Crude Oil Imports Mtoe
million tons
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CHINAUSAWORLD
Source: National Bureau of Statistics , BP 2014
China's energy consumption structure
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Coal ratio from 74.6% in 1993 to 66% in 2014, fell by 8.4% in the 20 years, gas ratio increased by 4%.
Coal ratio Gas ratio Oil ratio Other ratio
It’s difficult to adjust Chinese carbon-intensive models
Promote energy consumption revolution, curb irrational energy consumption. Promote energy supply revolution, establish multi supply system. Promote energy technology revolution, promote industrial upgrading. Promote energy regulatory system revolution , realize the rapid development of energy. Comprehensively strengthening international cooperation to achieve energy security while
remaining open to the outside world.
China’s Energy Revolution 中国能源革命
能源体制革命Energy system revolution
1
2
3
4
消费革命Consumer Revolution
技术革命Technology Revolution
供给革命Supply Revolution
国际合作International Cooperation
A. Comprehensive strengthening of international cooperation, and promote energy import diversification strategy to achieve energy security in open condition ;
B. Ibased on domestic conditions, strengthen international cooperation in all aspects of energy production and consumption revolution ， effective use of international resources.
A. Based on the domestic diversified supply
to ensure safety, and vigorously promote
the efficient use of clean coal;
B. Focus on the development of non coal energy, coal, oil, and gas formation, nuclear, new energy, renewable energy multi wheel drive energy supply system;
C. Synchronous strengthening energy
transmission and distribution network and
reserve facilities construction.
A. Transformation of the concept of economic development and improve the quality and efficiency of economic development, reducing energy consumption;
B. Promote strategic adjustment of economic structure and transformation of the mode of economic growth and curb unreasonable consumption
A. Green low-carbon direction , classification promote technological innovation, industrial innovation, business model innovation ;
B. Closely integrated with other areas of high technology, energy technology and related industries to grow into China‘s industrial upgrading spur new growth 。
China‘s Energy Development Path
China's Energy Consumption Control Target
By 2020, the primary energy consumption will be controled at
about 4.8 billion tons of standard coal, and the coal consumption
will be controlled at about 4.2 billion tons, the proportion of coal
consumption will be control in 62% or less, the proportion of non-
fossil fuels in primary energy consumption will be up to 15%, and
the proportion of natural gas will be more than 10%.
By 2030, non-fossil energy in primary energy consumption
increased to about 20%.
China and the U.S. greenhouse gas emissions agreement 中美达成温室气体减排协议
Carbon Emissions ： This will reach the peak in the 2030 and efforts to reach
the peak as quickly as possible.
Unit GDP Energy Consumption : This in 2015 is to reduce by 16 %
compared with 2010 , reducing 3.1 % compared with 2014.
Chinese Carbon Emissions Control Targets
The Ministry of Land and Resources is actively promoting
the reform of oil and gas resources management
• Open upstream oil and gas market;• Oil and gas mining rights reforms ;• Strengthen geological survey of oil and gas
resources; • Encourage support technology innovation etc.
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CONTENTS
China economy's New Normal and transformation
Chinese oil and gas development challenges and measures
Outlook of Silk Road oil and gas cooperation
China's Oil and Gas Cooperation Opportunities : " One Belt and One Road"
Areas of cooperation include the connection among energy , railways, highways , aviation, telecommunications, power grid and other fields.
The goal of cooperation is to promote the cooperation in the capital flow, the material flow, the human flow, the information flow and the other fields.
In September 2013, China proposed the construction of the " Silk Road
Economic Belt " and "21st Century Maritime Silk Road " initiative, which can
be abbreviated as “One Belt and One Road”.
21st Century Maritime Silk Road through today 21 countries or regions ; Include: Turkey , Kuwait, Oman , Qatar , Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates,
Yemen , Mozambique, Tanzania , Egypt, Brunei , India, Indonesia , Malaysia, Myanmar , Pakistan, Thailand , Vietnam, Japan , the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea ;
Silk Road today mainly through 9 countries ; Include: Turkey , Kazakhstan , Russia, Turkmenistan , Uzbekistan,
Iran , Iraq, Syria, China ;
" One Belt and One Road"
Turkey 土耳其
" One Belt and One Road" Trade and economic cooperation
Most countries are the emerging economies and developing countries, is
the world's largest span with the most potential for the development of
economic cooperation.
In 2013, the trade between China and "One Belt and One Road " countries
was more than 1 trillion US dollars, accounting for 1/4 of China's total foreign
trade.
Over the past 10 years, the average annual increase of the trade between
China and “One Belt and One Road” countries is around 19%. It will continue
to maintain a high growth in future.
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Silk Road Economic Belt is rich in oil and gas resources
• Countries in the region take up 26 percent of the
world's total oil reserves, 28% of world's production,
and 20% of world's consumption;
• Countries in the region have 50% of the world's total
natural gas reserves, 30% of world's gas production
and 25% of world's gas consumption.
The Silk Road economic belt is highly complementary economic structure
with energy. One side is the center of the global energy consumption - the
Asia-Pacific, while the other side is world's oil and gas production and
enrichment zone - the Middle East, Central Asia – Russia;
The oil industry as an engine for the development of the Silk Road economic
belt and achieve win-win between east and west, providing power for the
Silk Road countries’ economic development;
Silk Road economic belt construction provides a broader market and
cooperation for national energy companies.
Oil and gas cooperation is an important part of the Silk Road economic belt construction.
China Oil and Gas imports are mainly from " One Belt and One Road " countries
Source: China Customs2014年
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Chinese government is actively promoting economic cooperation and development initiatives of "One Belt and One Road "
• Set up the Asian infrastructure investment bank;
• Has announced the establishment of the "silk road fund" ;
• Has begun to demonstrate support for a number of major international cooperation projects.
The Silk Road is a model of economic win-win cooperation between
civilizations in the past. Today, in an open , development, peace , benefit,
safety , blending new world pattern, we will build brilliant new Silk Road.
Outlook of Silk Road oil and gas cooperation
1. Oil and gas exploration;
2. Oil and gas development;
3. Pipeline construction;
4. LNG construction;
5. Petrochemical projects
construction;
6. Technical services.
Cooperation fields:
China is pursuing economic reform and promoting the reform of the oil and gas vigorously in an unprecedented courage and determination, in order to achieve the development of clean energy.
Welcome to invest in China's oil and gas to get the win-win cooperation.
We propose to strengthen international cooperation and jointly promote the "Silk Road economic belt" construction to contribute to the development and prosperity of region and even the whole world.
谢谢大家！THANK YOU