Tanzania already experiences climate variability – droughts and floods

Projections of climate change

Increased temperature

Future changes in rainfall

Changes in extreme events

Sea level rise

Impact through to river basins, agriculture, ecosystems

Noting uncertainty

Key Messages from Day 1 – Projections

• Tanzania’s economy is very dependent on the climate, because a large proportion of GDP is associated with climate sensitive activities, particularly agriculture.

• Current climate variability, i.e. extreme events such as droughts and floods, already lead to major economic costs in Tanzania.

• Future climate change could lead to large economic costs - further 1 to 2 % of GDP/year by 2030

• Important impacts across all sectors – could affect achievement of sectoral plans

• Climate change is an economic and finance issue – not just an environmental problem

• But it will have strong distributional inequalities as well – hit the poor hardest

Key Messages from Day 1 – Impacts/Costs

Adaptation can reduce the impacts of climate change but it has a cost.

Significant funding is required - existing adaptation deficit - future climate change.

Need to plan robust strategies to prepare for the future, rather than using uncertainty as a reason for inaction.

Adaptation is an opportunity – major new finance flows

But accessing adaptation funds will require the development of effective policy, institutions and mechanisms.

Key Messages Day 1 – Adaptation

Tanzania currently very low emissions

The current use of energy in Tanzania does have economic, social and environmental impacts

Emissions will grow – associated with development – under business as usual

A more sustainable, low carbon pathway would be in Tanzania’s self interest – but will require external funding

Following a low carbon path unlock climate finance opportunities

Key Messages Day 1 – Low Carbon

Forestry – Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

Tanzania is a REDD+ country - Climate Change Partnership - Norway

Potential for contributing to national foreign income, poverty reduction, sustainable management, ecosystem based adaptation

Draft National REDD+ Strategy

Benefit from a post-2012 internationally approved system for forest carbon trading

Extensive consultation

2nd phase – technical working groups

Key Messages Day 1 – REDD+

How to make it practical

How to integrate in sectors and ministries

Synergies and cross government

Co-ordination

Local communities

Addressing uncertainties

Institutional and capacity

Discussion Morning - Day 1

Drivers for climate change – reliance on natural resources, recent flood events,

How set the vision – national climate change committee (NCCC) and CC Vision

Chaired by Ministry of Env and champion for national CC programme

High level vision, policy, strategy and action plan

How move to developing a strategy

Recognise national development goals

Promote integration and co-ordination of programmes of various sectors

Part of 2nd National communication (UNFCCC)

Need to mainstream adaptation and mitigation in development goals

Enhance synergies amongst sectors

Institutional and financial capacity strengthening

Plan useful to help to explain to donors

Global experience - Namibia

Drivers for climate change – emissions (C intensive), impacts, opportunity

Setting Vision.

Led Department for Environmental Affairs – Climate Action Now (2005) and participatory - informed policy development

Setting strategy. Midrand plan of action

Mitigation focused (LTMS)

Inter ministerial committee on climate change

Inform negotiating position

Participatory – stakeholder focused – built on consensus

2008 Cabinet approved

2009 summit – consensus based – required by science, sustainable development

Draft green paper – internal governmental consultation (inter governmental)

Issues (how much, by whom, strategic) – adaptation – risk based approach

Mainstreaming not new policies

Global experience – South Africa

Drivers for climate change

Political interest and leadership (President) and local state governors

Previous experience to receive international resources

National development plan. Inter-secretarial commission on climate change – 10 ministries

Special climate change programme, PECC working group of CICC

Capacity building – officials and local research institutions

How set the vision

Capacity building of officials, development of research

Separate those national resources vs those international support vs future

Lessons

Private participation, capacity building official from different ministries, institutionalisation of processes, strategic partnerships multi- and bi-lateral agencies

Global experience – Mexico – Emission Targets

Drivers for climate change – Government Ministry of tourism, environment and natural resources) – and dedicated unit (CC facilitation unit) – national climate change response strategy

How set the vision – analysis of risks, evidence, participatory approach, prioritisation in consultation with stakeholders

Incorporate CC tools into development planning and implementation (mainstreaming),

Consistent with national development priorities, promoting sustainable development and indigenous knowledge

How move to developing a strategy – national and regional workshops, summary version

Implementation framework (concrete programmes), investment programme (financing needs), institutional framework

Adaptation and DRR, mitigation and low carbon, cross cutting, governance, finance and investment

Global experience - Zambia

Organisational lead

High level champion

Capacity building officials (non environmental ministries)

Capacity building (new units or strengthened units)

Inter-departmental (cross ministries)

Participatory (stakeholders)

Promoting sustainable development

Recognising national goals

Mainstreaming in existing plans

Partnering with multi- and bi-lateral agencies

Investment plans, as well as implementation and institutional

Governance

But also lots of questions !

Global experience - Lessons

Information of existing process (already process in place) – jumping on a moving bus

To get high level buy-in (ministerial) - also highlighted co-ordination Tanzania and Zanzibar

Inter department and inter ministerial buy–in

To mainstream in current policy - not stand alone

Dedicated or co-ordinating unit (Zambia) to push along

High level champion (president, vice president) – and linkage vice president and CC committees

Regional process (EAC)

Level of participation and consultation (multi-sectoral, regional, private sector, civil society, ngos)

Providing new information (on top of 1NC, NAPA)

Political will (at all levels - from bottom up to top level) – engage parliament

Data, information and arguments to convince decision makers

Capacity

Financing – (capacity to get finance, financial support to undertake activities)

Institutional arrangement – to encourage ownership – position and leadership

Policy versus strategy (and sequence) – and approval process (Cabinet)

Power to the CC committees to co-ordinate

Awareness

Key Challenges in setting vision and strategy

Very high, linked with economic growth – learn lot from examples

Participatory approach and buy-in for vision and plan

Learning from workshop

Ownership by sectors (cabinet and Parliament)

What is the relevance to Tanzania ?

VP to take on and become champion

(and knowledge, interest and passion to take on)

National steering committee on CC – reinvigorate and strengthen – co-ordination

Communication and awareness – simple messages (recent rains, big $ numbers)

Strengthen from best practice examples

High level support is key

Consultation from the beginning

Visioning process must be broad

Ownership of strategy

Co-ordinating mechanisms and synergies

‘Windhoek communique or recommendations’ – debriefing

What are the take home messages ?