000429 web buyers are changing the catalog world

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Web Buyers are Changing the Catalog World! Jim Coogan Catalog Marketing Economics [email protected] 505-986-9902 1328 Bishops Lodge Road Santa Fe, New Mexico 87506

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Page 1: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Web Buyers are Changing the Catalog World!

Jim CooganCatalog Marketing Economics

[email protected]

1328 Bishops Lodge RoadSanta Fe, New Mexico 87506

Page 2: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Web buying is the biggest trend to hit the industry in decades. Some catalogs see over 50% of their orders

placed on the web.

If you don’t understand web buyers, your response rates will decay. Period.

Some web buyers can be mailed. Some can’t. Trick is knowing who to mail and who not to mail.

Page 3: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Keys To Managing Web Buyers

Segment by channel

Use Matchbacks to get true results

Optimize your web buyers at the coop databases

Measure the incremental sales from mailing web buyers.

Page 4: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Biggest trend in catalog circulation is the influx of web buyers. Two kinds of web buyers -- catalog driven

and pure web buyers. These two kinds of web buyers respond very

differently to catalog mailings. Catalog driven web buyers respond like

traditional catalog buyers. Pure web respond very differently than

traditional catalog buyers.

Page 5: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

How do you know if your buyer file is healthy?

Page 6: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

How do you know the buyer file is healthy? Mailing 1,000,000 web buyers @

$2.00/catalog mailed. Breakeven is $1.00/catalog mailed.

Page 7: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Segment Circulation $/Catalog Total Sales

Total 1,000,000 $2.00 $2,000,000

Looks Healthy.

Page 8: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Segmenting your web buyers shows that your circulation is not healthy.

Segments Circulation $/book SalesCatalog drivenWeb buyers 400,000 $3.85 $1,540,000

Pure Web buyers 600,000 $.77 $460,000

60% of the circulation is well below breakeven!Breakeven is $1.00/catalog

Page 9: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Catalog circulation managers need good data to make decisions. Traditional catalogers are wasting

circulation! Pure web companies need to understand web

buyers. Pure web merchants are leaving sales on

the table!

Page 10: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Web buyers are different than traditional mail order buyers.

They come to you without source codes. Web buying is really a different shopping

experience. Catalogs sell products. The web takes

orders.

Page 11: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

How are web buyers different?

Some web buyers respond to follow-up catalogs, direct mail or e-mails and are truly multichannel buyers.

Some web buyers are very unresponsive to “snail mail.”

Page 12: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

The key requirement to manage your web buyers is to segment buyers by channel.

Expand traditional segmentation from RFM (recency / frequency / monetary) to RFM & C. You must segment your buyers by Channel.

Segment the web channel into pure web catalog generated web multichannel buyers.

It’s not enough to just segment web buyers from call center buyers.

Page 13: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Cooperative Database Tactics toManage Web Buyers

Optimize your web buyers. Segment catalog-driven web versus pure web

and optimize them to find buyers to not mail!

Page 14: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Optimize Your Web Buyers

Segment Circulation $/book Strategy

Catalog Generated Web Buyers

Opto Great 300,000 $5.00/book mail more

Opto Good 50,000 $1.40/book mail the sameOpto Poor 50,000 $.80/book suppress

Pure Web Buyers

Opto Great 100,000 $3.00/book mail moreOpto Good 300,000 $1.20/book mail lessOpto Poor 200,000 $.45/book suppress

Page 15: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Segment Index Months Rec 12 Month Partic 12 Month Trans 12 Month Dollars

A          

B 1 26.2923 0.649 0.8424 $97.09

C 5 14.56 1.2333 1.641 $206.61

D 8 9.3279 1.7988 2.5402 $315.03

E 19 6.7795 2.3572 3.4913 $434.93

F 28 5.2999 2.9988 4.5238 $534.67

G 42 4.4416 3.5093 5.4311 $660.13

H 57 3.6665 4.09 6.2977 $748.85

I 68 3.3207 4.6426 7.3141 $887.05

J 74 3.004 5.2684 8.3484 $1,012.79

K 82 2.5717 5.9747 9.54 $1,148.89

L 94 2.3694 6.8048 10.8631 $1,317.01

M 102 2.2243 7.634 12.0535 $1,494.57

N 113 2.0459 8.6721 14.0531 $1,733.78

O 122 2.3389 9.2263 14.6548 $1,833.99

P 134 2.1479 10.4616 16.6276 $2,184.58

Q 148 1.7857 12.0319 19.2269 $2,373.98

R 153 1.8673 12.8214 20.2918 $2,454.70

S 168 1.8138 14.4137 22.8926 $2,544.17

T 196 1.6184 16.3151 26.1441 $2,630.84

U 339 1.1559 22.6514 36.7909 $3,242.45

V          

Page 16: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Which web buyers do you optimize?

Pure web buyers (all the web-driven source codes)

1x web buyers Low-ticket web buyers Web catalog requests

Page 17: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

How do you use optimization?

Drop the web buyers who show little or no mail order.

Find your breakeven points in the optimization and suppress those buyers below breakeven.

Change your contact frequency for web versus non-web.

Page 18: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Measuring response without source codes isn’t easy. Without Matchbacks, it may be impossible.

Page 19: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Is your circulation plan healthy when you don’t capture source codes on web orders?

Segment Circulation $/Book0-3m catalog orders 50,000 $4.00/catalog profit0-3m web orders 25,000 $.65/catalog loss4-6m catalog orders 35,000 $3.25/catalog profit4-6m web orders 12,000 $.48/catalog loss

What are the true responses after matchback?

Segment Circulation $/Book0-3m catalog orders 50,000 $4.00/catalog profit0-3m web orders 25,000 $2.27/catalog profit4-6m catalog orders 35,000 $3.25/catalog profit4-6m web orders 12,000 $1.68/catalog profit

Page 20: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

How do you segment the web buyers?

If you are doing matchbacks, you can segment the “pure web” buyers by default. All the buyers who don’t match your mail file can be “pure web” buyers.

Page 21: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Are Web buyers buying because they got a catalog?

Page 22: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Are Web buyers buying because they got a catalog?

Always run a mail versus no-mail test. Measure the incremental sales from receiving

a catalog. 20,000 web buyers get a catalog. 20,000

web buyers get no mailing. Incremental sales are a key metric.

Page 23: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Tactics for Web Buyers

Change the mix of contacts and send web buyers more e-mails and less traditional mail.

Segment 1x “tryers” from 2x+ “buyers.” One time web buyers may be a huge profit drain. Optimize or reactivate them.

Segment low ticket web buyers. If your lowest dollar segmentation is now $0-$50, divide that into $0-$25 and $26-$50 and measure those low ticket orders. Low ticket web orders are another profit drain.

Suppress holiday web buyers during the non-holiday season.

Page 24: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Converting Web Catalog Requests: The rules have changed!

Do send the catalog immediately. First class mail or expedited delivery (Mail Group or DHL).

Send a thank you e-mail within an hour of getting the request!

Give them a promotional deal to order with the first e-mail. “Convert them at birth.”

Send a stream of follow-up e-mails. Don’t hope you can mail a web request more than

one or two catalogs before they fall below breakeven. Convert them in a day or a week. You don’t have 3

months to convert them anymore.

Page 25: 000429 Web Buyers Are Changing The Catalog World

Keys To Managing Web Buyers

Segment by channel

Use Matchbacks to get true results

Optimize your web buyers at the coop databases

Measure the incremental sales from mailing web buyers.