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    2007 Prof. Dr. Bernd Venohr

    Business Strategy

    External Environment

    Prof. Dr. Bernd Venohr

    Berlin, April 2007

    4

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    Agenda

    Introduction to StrategyCourse Overview and Strategy Concept

    Economics of Strategy

    Shareholder Value

    Business Strategy

    External EnvironmentInternal Environment

    Competitive Positioning

    Corporate StrategyDiversification

    Mergers & Acquisitions

    Global Strategy

    Strategy ProcessOrganizational Structure and Control

    Strategic Leadership

    1

    2

    3

    45

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

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    3 2007 Prof. Dr. Bernd Venohr

    Agenda

    4

    Introduction to Strategy

    External Environment

    - General environment analysis

    - Industry analysis

    - Summary and Outlook next Session

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    Where are we today?

    Introduction to Strategy

    Business Strategy Corporate StrategyExternalEnvironment

    InternalEnvironment

    CompetitivePositioning

    Diversification

    Mergers &Acquisitions

    GlobalStrategy

    Course OverviewStrategy Concept

    Economics ofStrategy

    Shareholder Value

    Strategy Process

    1 2

    OrganizationalStructure andControl

    StrategicLeadership

    10

    11

    4 5

    6

    7

    8 9

    3

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    General purpose of external analysis

    Identify

    Opportunities: conditions that may help firm achieve strategic competitiveness

    Threats: hinders or constrains firms pursuit of strategic competitiveness

    Two types of environment

    Macro environment

    Micro environment (industry)

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis:

    Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

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    General environment (macro environment)

    Demographic

    Population size, age structure,

    geographic mix, ethnicity, income

    distribution

    Socio cultural

    Social attitudes, cultural values

    Political / legal

    Arena of competition for attention andresources from govt.

    Law and regulations guiding

    competition

    Technological

    Institutions and activities that effect

    knowledge creation

    Translation of new knowledge into

    new products and processes

    Economic

    Nature and direction of macro

    economy

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis:

    Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

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    PEST is an acronym for Political, Economic, Social andTechnological factors

    technological competing technology developme nt

    res earch funding

    Associated / dependent technologies

    replacement technology / solutions

    maturity of technology

    manufacturing m aturity and capacity

    information and communications

    consumer buying me chanisms / technology

    technology legislation

    innovation potential

    technology access, licencing, patents

    intellectual property issues

    social lifestyle tre nds

    demographics

    consumer attitudes and opinions

    media views

    law changes affecting social factors

    brand, company, technology image

    consumer buying patterns

    fashion and role m odels

    major events and influences

    buying access and trends

    Ethnic / re ligious factors

    advertising and publicity

    economic home economy situation

    home economy trends

    overseas economies and trends

    general taxation issues

    taxation specific to product/services

    Seasonality / weather issues

    marke t and trade cycles

    specific industry factors

    marke t routes and distribution trends

    Customer / end-user drivers

    interest and exchange rates

    political Ecological / environmental issues

    current legislation home m arket

    future legislation

    European / international legislation

    regulatory bodies and processes

    governme nt policies

    governme nt term and change

    trading policies

    funding, grants and initiatives

    home market lobbying / pressure groups

    international pressure groups

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis:

    Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

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    4

    Agenda

    Introduction to Strategy

    External Environment

    - General environment analysis

    - Industry analysis

    - Summary and Outlook next Session

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    Objectives of industry analysis

    Explain and predict the average long-term profitability ofthe companies in a particular industry: empirical results showsubstantial and sustained differences in profitability amongindustries

    Gain understanding of profit differences among competi-tors in the same industry (= relative performance):empirical results show that they are very often large and long-lived. Industry attributes shape such within-industry differences

    and enable companies to pursue strategies

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis: Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

    Michael Porter, Industrial Organizaition and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy

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    Process of industry analysis (microenvironment)

    Define industry boundaries

    Identify the participants

    Highlight the drivers of long term industry profitability (= five forces)

    Identify the factors that drive each force

    Assess the strength of each force

    Conclusion: Assess industry profitability potential

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis:

    Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

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    Michael Porter Background

    Michael E. Porter is the Bishop William Laurence UniversityProfessor at the Harvard Business School.

    He has written eighteen books and countless articles. Hismain bookCompetitive Strategy(1980), Techniques forAnalyzing Industries and Competitors, is now in its 63rdimprint and has been translated into 17 languages. His

    second major strategy book, Competitive Advantage, is inits 34th printing.

    Porter subsequently moved from competition between firmsto competition between nations. In The Competitive

    Advantage of Nations (1990) he examined how somestates were wealthy and why others were not.

    Porter als has been very active in consulting with majorcorporations worldwide and advises governments oneconomic strategies

    Source: Wikepedia

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    The art of strategy: to find an advantaged competitiveposition in an attractive industry

    Lo Hi

    Industry attractiveness

    Incr

    easing

    retu

    rns

    Advantage

    Competitive

    position

    Disadvantage

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    Porter Framework:Five Forces determine industry attractiveness

    In any competitive industry there are five basic forces at work that

    determine long-term industry profitability.*The collective strength of

    these five forces determines the potential for firms in the industry to

    earn returns on investment in excess of opportunity cost of capital

    (= industry attractiveness)

    Underlying each of the five forces are a number of economic and

    technical determinants of its strengths in a particular industry: e.g. the

    threat of entry is a function of 7 types of structural entry barriers and the

    expected retaliation of encumbents, itself a function of some predictable

    industry characteristics

    Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy; Pankaj Ghemawat, Strategy and the business landscape

    *The structure of the industry should be considered separately from short term fluctuations in the industry -

    for example, variations in demand or cyclical economic conditions

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    Porter Framework: Competitive Position determinesprofits differences vis-a-vis direct competitors (= relativeperformance versus competitors)

    Holding industry constant, some firms do better because of their

    relative competitive position, orcompetitiveadvantage, within the

    industry

    Basic economics of strategy:

    a company cannot earn superior returns unless it achieves either

    lower average costs or higher average prices than its competitors.

    The gap between a firms profitability and industry average

    profitability can be composed in cost and price components

    Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy; Pankaj Ghemawat, Strategy and the business landscape

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    Porter Framework: There are two basic types of competitiveadvantage

    = price - cost

    to increase , a firm must either :

    Decrease costbelow its

    competitors

    Increase priceabove its

    competitors

    Cost leadership Differentiation

    Generic Strategies (Porter)Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy; Pankaj Ghemawat, Strategy and the business landscape

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    Porters five forces framework brings three new aspects toeconomic analysis

    Relax assumption of both large numbers of competitors / buyers and

    homogeneity (oligopolistic rivalry instead of perfectly competitive market in

    which behavior of market participants will be immaterial to one another,

    need for strategy)

    Along vertical dimension shift from two-stage vertical chains

    consisting of a supplier and a buyer to three-stage chains made up of

    suppliers, rivals, buyers

    Create new horizontal dimension: account for potential entrants and

    substitutes

    Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy; Pankaj Ghemawat, Strategy and the business landscape

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    Porters Five Forces of Competition Framework:the collective strength of the five forces determinesan industrys long-term profitability and potentialfor value creation

    SUPPLIERS

    POTENTIAL

    ENTRANTSSUBSTITUTES

    BUYERS

    INDUSTRY

    COMPETITORS

    Rivalry among

    existing firms

    Bargaining power of suppliers

    Bargaining power of buyers

    Threat of

    new entrants

    Threat of

    substitutes

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Industry Boundaries: Before one can analyze an industryone must define it

    Key challenge: standard statistical definitions only partly relevant

    official statistical definitions (SIC codes; NACE codes) are mostly basedon technical input considerations (=e.g. metal manufacturer) that rarelycorrespond to competitively relevant industry conditions (=e.g. carcomponents manufacturer)

    it is rare that a company is in direct competition with every companystatistically defined as being in its industry; on the other hand it is likelythat the firm competes with many companies outside the industry

    Company perspective important: who are my competitors?

    substitution on demand side: competitors that offer products or services

    that are close substitutes substitution on supply side/ technological substitutability: can know how

    and production equipment be cross-utilized between two product lines?

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis: Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

    Michael Porter, Industrial Organizaition and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy

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    Three Scope issues in defining an industry

    Horizontal: across product markets (narrow or broad definitions ofsubstitutes)

    Vertical: along value chain (how many vertically linked stages?)

    Geographic: across local / regional / national boundaries (are physicallyseparate markets treated as being served by the same industry or different

    industries?)

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis: Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

    Michael Porter, Industrial Organizaition and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy

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    The concept of value proposition helps to define thehorizontal scope (=substitution products from thecustomer perspective)

    What

    Relative

    Price?

    What

    Customers?

    Which

    Needs?

    What end

    users?

    What

    channels?

    Which products?

    Which features?

    Which services?

    Entrepreneurial/creative process:

    A new value proposition can create a new industry

    Source: Michael M. Porter; What is s trategy? World Business Forum, June 6, 2006

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    The concept of value chain helps to define the verticalscope of an industry

    Separate value chains One Integrated value chain

    Ability to Leverage Key Activities Across Businesses

    Source: Michael M. Porter; What is s trategy? World Business Forum, June 6, 2006

    Marketing& Sales

    (e.g. SalesForce,

    Promotion,Advertising,

    ProposalWriting, Website)

    InboundLogistics

    (e.g.IncomingMaterialStorage,

    DataCollection,Service,CustomerAccess)

    Operations

    (e.g.Assembly,ComponentFabrication,

    BranchOperations)

    OutboundLogistics

    (e.g. OrderProcessing,

    Warehousing,Report

    Preparation)

    After-SalesService

    (e.g.Installation,CustomerSupport,

    ComplaintResolution,Repair)

    Marg

    in

    Primary Activities

    Firm Infrastructure(e.g. Financing, Planning, Investor Relations)

    Procurement(e.g. Components, Machinery, Advertising, Serv ices)

    Technology Dev elopment(e.g. Product Design, Testing, Process Design, Material Research, Market Research)

    Human Resource Management(e.g. Recruiting, Training, Compensation System)

    Value:

    What

    buyers are

    willing to

    pay

    Support

    Activities

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    The degree of integration of value chains across boardershelps to define the geographic scope of an industry

    GlobalNationalLocal Regional

    SupportActivities

    Marketing

    & Sales

    (e.g. Sales

    Force,Promotion,

    Advertising,Proposal

    Writing, Web

    site)

    Inbound

    Logistics

    (e.g. Incoming

    MaterialStorage, Data

    Collection,Service,

    Customer

    Access)

    Operations

    (e.g. Assembly,

    Component

    Fabrication,

    Branch

    Operations)

    Outbound

    Logistics

    (e.g. Order

    Processing,Warehousing,

    ReportPreparation)

    After-Sales

    Service

    (e.g. Installation,

    CustomerSupport,

    ComplaintResolution,

    Repair)

    M

    a

    r

    g

    i

    n

    Primary Activities

    Firm Infrastructure(e.g. Financing, Planning, Investor Relations)

    Procurement(e.g. Components, Machinery, Advertising, Services)

    Technology Development(e.g. Product Design, Testing, Process Design, Material Research, Market Research)

    Human Resource Management

    (e.g. Recruiting, Training, Compensation System)

    Value

    What buyersare willing to

    pay

    Separate local value

    chains

    Integrated global

    value chainAbility to Leverage Key Activities Across Geography

    Cross-

    National

    A distinct strategy is needed for each relevant geographic market

    Source: Michael M. Porter; What is s trategy? World Business Forum, June 6, 2006

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    Industry definition: Example car industry

    What industry is BMW in?:

    World Auto industry

    European Auto industry

    World luxury car industry?

    Key criterion: SUBSTITUTABILITY

    On the demand side: Are buyers willing to substitute between types of cars

    and across countries (=similar value proposition)?

    On the supply side: Are manufacturers able to switch production between

    types of cars and across countries based on an integrated global value

    chain?

    May need to analyze industry at different levels for different types of

    decision

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis:

    Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

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    Segmenting the world automobile market

    Luxury Cars

    Full-size sedans

    Mid-size sedans

    Small sedans

    Station wagons

    Passenger minivans

    Sports cars

    Sport-utility

    Pick-up trucks

    US&Canada W.Europe E.Europe Asia Lat.America Australia Africa

    REGION

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis:

    Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

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    A strategic group is a group of firms in anindustry following the same or similar strategy

    Identifying strategic groups:

    Identify principal strategic variables which

    distinguish firms Position each firm in relation to these variables

    Identify clusters

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis:

    Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

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    Strategic Group Mapping: Firms in same strategic grouphave two or more competitive characteristics in common

    Sell in same price/quality range

    Cover same geographic areas

    Be vertically integrated to same degree

    Have comparable product line breadth

    Emphasize same types of distribution channels

    Offer buyers similar services

    Use identical technological approaches

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    Strategic groups in the world automobile industry

    Broad

    PRODUCTRANGE

    Narrow

    National GEOGRAPHICAL SCOPE Global

    NATIONALLY- FOCUSED,

    SMALL, SPECIALIST

    PRODUCERS e.g., Bristol

    (U.K.), Classic Roadsters

    (U.S.), Morgan (U.K.)

    NATIONALLY FOCUSED,

    INTERMEDIATE LINE

    PRODUCERSe.g. Tofas, Proton, Maruti

    First Auto Works (China)

    REGIONALLY-FOCUSED

    BROAD-LINE PRODUCERS

    e.g. Fiat, PSA, Renault,

    Kia,

    PERFORMANCE CAR

    PRODUCERS e.g., Porsche,

    Ferrari (owned by Fiat) Maserati,

    Lotus

    LUXURY CAR

    MANUFACTURERS

    e.g., Aston Martin, BMW,

    Rolls Royce (owned by VW)

    GLOBAL SUPPLIERS OF

    NARROW MODEL RANGE

    e.g., Subaru, Isuzu,

    Suzuki, Saab, Hyundai,

    Daihatsu

    GLOBAL, BROAD-LINE

    PRODUCERS

    e.g., GM, Ford, Toyota,

    Nissan, Honda, VW,

    DaimlerChrysler

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis:

    Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

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    Porters Five Forces of Competition Framework:the collective strength of the five forces determinesthe average profitability of an industry

    SUPPLIERS

    POTENTIAL

    ENTRANTSSUBSTITUTES

    BUYERS

    INDUSTRY

    COMPETITORS

    Rivalry among

    existing firms

    Bargaining power of suppliers

    Bargaining power of buyers

    Threat of

    new entrants

    Threat of

    substitutes

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Porters guiding question: what happens to the potentialprofit or value created by a product or service?

    Is it bargained away by the suppliers?

    Or by customers?

    Is it dissipated in rivalry?

    Is it appropriated by new entrants?

    Is it limited by the existence of substitutes?

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Force 1: Rivalry among existing competitors usually the most powerful of the five forces

    Strategic rivalry, not perfect competition

    in perfect competition behavior of market participants would be immaterial to one another

    rivalry: the purposeful behavior of one firm in a market is substantially affected by thepurposeful behavior of another firm in the same or a related market

    Strategic rivalry creates several issues for managers:

    who are the my rivals?

    how will they be affected by my actions?

    how will they react to my actions?

    how will I react to their reaction?

    Main objective is not to engage in rivalry but to develop mechanism that allow firm(s) toavoid rivalry and its profit destroying effects

    Three main groups of structural determinants

    number and relative size of competitors

    industry-basic conditions

    behavioral determinants

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Force 1: Degree of rivalry is high

    Competitors are numerous or are roughly equal in size and power

    Industry growth is slow

    There is low product differentiation (products are commodities)

    There are low switching costs

    There are high fixed or storage costs

    High fixed costs: pressure to fill capacity, probability of price cutting

    High storage costs: cut prices to get rid of product

    Capacity can only be added in large chunks (more disruptive than anything)

    There are high exit barriers: specialized assets, fixed costs to exit,

    emotional barriers, government restrictions Strategic confusion: Firms have diverse strategies, corporate priorities,

    resources, and countries of origin

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Force 2: Threat of new entrants:New firms want piece of profits

    New entrants bring new capacity, desire for market share and new

    resources. Threat of new entry (potential competition) constrains price

    and service levels competitors can offer

    The strength of this threat depends primarily on barriers to entry

    reaction from existing competitors

    Entry barriers: whenever it is difficult or uneconomic for an outsider to

    replicate the position the incumbents

    reduce threat of entry whenever profits, adjusted for cost of capital, rise

    above zero

    protect incumbents from competition

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Force 2: Threat of new entrants - typical entry barriers

    Barriers to entry can take many forms:

    Economies of scale: declines in costs of production as absolute volume per

    period increases

    Product differentiation: established firms have brand identification and customer

    loyalty

    Capital requirements: for facilities, inventories, start up losses

    Other cost disadvantages: proprietary technology, favorable access to raw

    materials, favorable locations, government subsidies, learning curve

    Distribution channels: established channels already carry existing firms products

    Government policy : limits access to raw materials, licenses

    Are established firms expected to respond forcefully?

    Is there a history of such retaliation? Do established firms have substantial resources to retaliate (cash, capacity)?

    Is there currently slow industry growth?

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    Force 2: Threat of new entrants Minimum Efficient Scale as entry barrier

    Volume

    Unit

    Costs

    MESEntry

    Point

    Minimum Efficient Scale (MES) is the smallest volume

    (market share) for which the unit costs reach a

    minimum; required to enter an industry as efficient

    competitor

    MES determines what market share a potential entrant

    must gain to be able to produce efficiently; it also sizes

    an entrantss upfront capital commitment

    Example: MES is the following industries is:

    Cigarettes 20.0%

    Tires 30%

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Force 2: Threat of new entrants brand images as entry barrier

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Force 3: Threat of substitute products or services

    Every product and service has some substitute: at one level all products aresubstitutes since they compete for the buyers budget; e.g.

    Plastic vs. Glass vs. Metal

    Newspapers vs. TV vs. Internet

    Eyeglasses vs. Contact Lens vs. Laser Surgery

    A substitute can perform the same function (=fulfill the same needs) as theproduct of the industry in question

    customer function performed, not just physically similar products/services

    examples: e-mail/fax/overnight mail

    The closeness and availability of substitutes set limits to the actions of everycompetitor in an industry:

    the more substitutes and the greater the ease of switching between them

    the less the latitude available to the competitors and the more intense their rivalry

    Represents an implicit ceiling on prices that existing firms can charge

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Force 4: Bargaining power of buyers

    Buyer power : vertical forces that influence who appropriates the valuecreated by an industry

    Allows customers to squeeze industry margins

    pressing competitors to reduce prices

    increase level of service offered without recompense

    Most important determinant: size and concentration of customers

    A group of buyers is powerful, if:

    It purchases large volumes relative to seller sales

    The products it purchases are undifferentiated

    The product the group purchases is a significant fraction of the buyers costs(Cost of purchases as % of buyers total costs)

    It earns low profits

    The industrys product is unimportant to the quality of the buyers products It faces few switching costs

    Buyers pose a credible threat of backward integration

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Force 5: Bargaining power of suppliers

    Mirror image of buyer power: who appropriates the value created by an

    industry

    Key determinants:

    relative size and concentration of suppliers relative to industry participants

    degree of differentiation in inputs supplied

    A supplier group is powerful, if: It is dominated by a few firms and is more concentrated than the industry it sells to

    The supplier groups products are differentiated or it has built up switching costs

    There are few substitutes for the suppliers products

    The supplier poses a credible threat of forward integration

    The industry is not an important customer of the supplier group

    Acid test: can supplier set prices that reflect the value of their inputs to the

    industry and not just their own production cost?

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    Capital requirements Economies of scale

    Absolute cost advantage

    Product differentiation

    Access to distributionchannels

    Legal / regulatorybarriers

    Retaliation

    Buyers propensity tosubstitute

    Relative prices &performance ofsubstitutes

    Buyers price sensitivity Relative bargaining

    power

    Concentration Diversity of competitors

    Product differentiation

    Excess capacity & exitbarriers

    Cost structure

    Buyers price sensitivity Relative bargaining

    power

    Summary: The structural determinants of competition

    Threat of new entrantsThreat of substituteproducts / services

    Bargaining powerof buyers

    Rivalry amongexisting competitors

    Bargaining powerof suppliers

    Source: Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy

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    SUPPLIER POWER

    LOW

    THREAT OF ENTRY

    LOW economies of scale

    and high capital

    requirements for R&D ,clinical trials and sales

    force

    product differentiation

    control of distribution

    channels

    patent protection

    INDUSTRY

    COMPETITIVENESS

    LOW

    high concentration

    product differentiation

    patent protection

    steady demand growth

    no cyclical fluctuations of

    demand

    THREAT OF

    SUBSTITUTESLOW

    no substitutes(Changing as managed

    care encourages

    generics)

    BUYER POWERLOW

    Physician as buyer:

    Not price sensitive

    No bargaining power

    (Changing with managed care)

    Example US drug industry (Long-term ROIC = 22%)

    Source: Han, Strategic Management,CalState

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    SUPPLIER POWER

    HIGH

    strong labor unions

    concentrated aircraft makers

    THREAT OF ENTRY

    HIGH

    entrants have costadvantages

    low capital requirements

    little product differentiation

    deregulation of

    governmental barriers

    INDUSTRY

    COMPETITIVENESS

    HIGH many companies

    little product differentiation

    excess capacity

    high fixed/variable costs

    cyclical fluctuations of

    demand

    THREAT OF

    SUBSTITUTES

    MEDIUM

    autos for short distance

    travel

    BUYER POWERMEDIUM/HIGH

    Buyers extremely price sensitive

    Good access to information

    Low switching costs

    Example US Airline Industry (Long-term ROIC = 5%)

    Source: Han, Strategic Management,CalState

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    Strategic Implications of the Five Competitive Forces

    Competitive environment is unattractive when:

    Rivalry is strong

    Entry barriers are low

    Competition from substitutes is strong

    Suppliers and customers have considerable bargaining power

    Competitive environment is idealwhen:

    Rivalry is moderate

    Entry barriers are high

    Good substitutes do not exist

    Suppliers and customers are in a weak bargaining position

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    Implications of five forces framework for strategy:Coping With the Five Competitive Forces

    In a world of no competitive advantage, a firm is stuck in the price-

    driven world of pure economic competition, selling commodity - like

    goods in direct competition with many similar firms

    The best industry a company can be in is one in which its position is

    so unique that it has virtually no competition

    near monopoly

    category of one

    Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy; Pankaj Ghemawat, Startegy and the business landscape

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    Implications of five forces framework for strategy:key task of strategy is to create a competitive advantage

    Competitive strategy is about taking action to create a defendable

    position against the 5 forces

    Position the firm so its capabilities provide the best defense against the

    existing competitive forces

    Influence the balance of forces Anticipate shifts in key factors underlying the forces and respond so as to

    exploit the changes

    The strongest force or forces become crucial for strategy formulation

    Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy; Pankaj Ghemawat, Startegy and the business landscape

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    Limitations of Five Forces Analysis

    Static snapshot of industry attractiveness

    Individual firm actions that change industry structure are not considered

    Example: role of innovation de-emphasized

    5 Forces are more or less mutually exclusive, but may not be exhaustive

    e.g. role of related and supporting industries :Assumes buyers, suppliers,

    competitors and substitute providers interact at arms length and ignores role ofcooperation and complementors (e.g. horizontal alliances; complementarycomponent providers)

    impact of all macroeconomic forces understood only through their impact on fiveforces

    Framework, not formal model

    many variables, tries to capture complexity of actual competition identify the relevant variables and the questions that the user must answer in

    order to develop conclusions tailored to a particular industry and company

    limited empirical support

    Source: Pnkaj Ghemawat, Strategy and the business l andscape

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    When an industry with a reputation

    for difficult economics meets a

    manager with a reputation forexcellence, it is usually the industry

    that keeps its reputation intact.

    Warren Buffet

    What is more important: industry (picking the righthorseor company (the skill of the jockey) ?

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    For most businesses, competitive position has afar greater impact on profitability than industryattractiveness: Industry effects explain only about10 20% of the variation of a firms economic profitability

    Percentage of variance in firms return on assets explained by:

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis:

    Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

    Firm-specific

    effects

    Unexplained

    variance

    0.6% 80.4%

    44.2% 44.8%

    31.7% 48.4%

    35.8% 52.0%

    Industry effects

    19.6%

    4.0%

    18.7%

    8.1%

    Schmalensee (1985)

    Rumelt (1991)

    McGahan & Porter

    (1997)

    Hawawini et al (2003)

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    4

    Agenda

    Introduction to Strategy

    External Environment

    - General environment analysis

    - Industry analysis

    - Summary and Outlook next Session

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    Read slides on session 4 downloaded from ILIAS

    Visit company web pages and prepare as team a brief description

    using Porters 5 Forces framework

    What industry (industries) your company is in ?

    Build a Porters five forces model for your companies main industry : Which

    forces are the strongest/weakest ? Assess the attractiveness of your companies main industry: Is this a good

    industry to be in? Use financial results (Return on sales/ROS) or, if available,

    Return on Capital Employed/ROIC) for your company and 2 competitors to prove

    your assertion.

    Topics of next session

    Brief 3 page presentation on each company (attractiveness of industry); bringpresentation on usb stick

    Lecture: Internal environment

    New Assignment and Outlook next Session

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    Appendix

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    The starting point: The Industrial Organization Model ofsuperior returns

    Why are some firms more successful than others?

    Profits = f (industry structure)

    Characteristics of external environment largely determine

    appropriate firm strategies and performance

    Industry in which company operates has strong influence

    on its economic performance

    Choose attractive industries

    Largely focuses on industry structure or attractiveness

    rather than internal firm characteristics

    Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy

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    Structure-conduct-performance trilogy: Industry structureconstrains options and drives performance

    Key thesis:industry structure determined

    conduct / behavior of firms, whose joint

    conduct the determined the collective

    performance of the firms in the industry

    Performance defined broadly:

    Profitability

    technical efficiency (cost minimisation)

    innovativeness

    Firm conduct (strategy): firms choice of

    key decision variables like

    Price

    Advertising

    Capacity

    Product quality

    Industry structure: relatively stable

    economic and technical dimensions of an

    industry in which competition occurred

    barries to entry

    number and size of distribution of firms

    (conecentration ratio)

    product differentiation and overall elasticityof demand

    Key assumption: since structure determined

    firms conduct, which jointly determined

    performance, one could ignore conduct and

    look directly at industry structure to explain

    performance

    Numerous empirical studies explored therelationship between structural variables and

    performance focussing on a limited number of

    structural variables

    Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy

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    Structure-conduct-performance

    Number of buyers

    and sellers

    Degree of productdifferentiation

    Barriers to entry

    Cost structures

    Vertical integration

    Alliances

    Pricing

    Advertising

    R&D

    Investment in plant

    and equipment

    Economic profits

    Accounting profits

    (ratios)

    NPV/DCF

    MVA/EVA

    Tobins Q

    Industry Structure Firm Conduct Performance

    Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy

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    Limitations of IO framework for strategy

    Framed in public policy terms: objective minimizing excess profits. Profitsreflect some problem in industry structure, that can/should be fixed bygovernment regulation

    Mainly concernd with industries; firms assumed identical(firms in industry are strategically similar)

    Analysis of competitors missing

    Static perspective

    Highlighting few key elements

    Assume away conduct as relevant to performance:industry structure = firm performance

    Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy; Pankaj Ghemawat, Strategy and the Business Landscape

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    Uses of industry analysis for strategy

    Business level: Develop strategies to outperform industryaverages; better understanding of intra-industry profitdifferences to develop better matches between internal

    resources and industry environment

    Corporate level: Decisions to enter/exit particular industries;allocation of resources and evaluation of performance acrossportfolio of businesses

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    In addition, Porter stresses the management perspective inanalysing industries

    Strategy and not public policy objective

    strategy: maximizing economic profits and creating near-monopoly

    positions rather than

    public policy: minimizing excess profits and controlling monopolies

    Industry structure partly exogenous and endogenous exogenous economic and technical factors are outside the control of a

    company

    endogenous factors are subject to influence by firm actions through

    strategy (change rules of competition in an industry / shape industry

    structure to attain advantaged position)

    Industry structure is tied to company economics: structure manifests

    itself in revenue, costs investment and on the collective balance sheets and

    income statements of industry

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    Porter Framework: There are two basic types of competitiveadvantage

    Competitive advantage depends on driving a wider wedge between

    Price (buyers willingness to pay) and

    Costs than competitors

    There are logically only two basic types of competitive advantage: lower cost: by designing, producing and marketing a comparable product

    or service more efficiently than competitors a firm can gain higher

    profitability at comparable or lower prices

    differentiation: providing unique and superior non-price value to

    customers through product or service performance, special features, after

    sales support etc. and commanding premium prices that exceed the extracosts of differentiation

    Source: Michael Porter, Industrial Organizai tion and the evolution of concepts for strategic planning;

    Michael Porter, Toward a dynamic theory of strategy; Pankaj Ghemawat, Strategy and the business landscape

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    0

    5

    0

    10

    15

    20

    25%

    100%

    Share of industry revenue

    Auto loans

    Leasing

    Warranty

    Gasoline

    Auto

    insurance

    Aftermarket

    partsAuto rental

    Operatingmargin

    Auto

    manufacturing

    New car

    dealersUsed car dealers

    Service & repair

    Vertical segmentation & industry profit pools the US auto industry

    Source: Robert M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis: Concepts, Techniques, Applications (5th edition, Blackwell, 2004)

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    Guidelines: Strategic Groups

    Constructing a Strategic Group Map

    STEP 1: Identify competitive characteristics that differentiate firms in an industry

    from one another

    STEP 2: Plot firms on a two-variable map using pairs of these differentiating

    characteristics

    STEP 3: Assign firms that fall in about the same strategy space to same strategic

    group

    STEP 4: Draw circles around each group, making circles proportional to size of

    groups respective share of total industry sales

    Variables chosen as axes should expose bigdifferences in how rivals compete

    Variables do nothave to be either quantitative or continuous

    Drawing sizes of circles proportional to combined sales of firms in each strategic

    group allows map to reflect relative sizes of each strategic group

    If more than two good competitive variables can be used, several maps can be

    drawn

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    3 C-Framework for business definition

    Cost: defensible cost barriers that result in

    large relative cost position differences

    degree of cost sharing

    similarity of value adding steps

    degree of experience transfer possible

    Customers: intrinisically different customer

    needs leading to different price points

    and defensible differentiation

    degree of substitution

    degree of customer sharing/customer

    synergies

    Competitoroverlap as acid test

    Define the boundaries

    where competitiveadvantage can be

    established and

    sustained (business

    battlefield)

    Source: Bain

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    Demand and/or value chain differences lead tocost barriers and/or customer value barriers whichcreate a separate business arena

    High Low

    Customer value barriers

    Low

    Cost barriers

    High One

    Business

    Separate

    Business

    Source: Bain & Company, Business Definition; Richard Koch, The Financial Times Guide to Strategy