1 dominoes or pick-up sticks: philanthropy, evaluation & social change council on foundations...
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Dominoes or Pick-Up Sticks: Philanthropy, Evaluation & Social Change
Council on FoundationsFamily Philanthropy Conference
February 14, 2012
John BareThe Arthur M. Blank Family Foundation
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4. Segment. Segment. Segment.
Adapted from HopeLab segmentation report, “To Move Me, First You’ve Got to Understand Me.”
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5. Pay attention to the arrows, not the boxes.
• On what assumptions does the logical connection rest?• Risk Analysis: What is most likely to go wrong?
What would be the consequences?What is the contingency plan?
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Unintended Consequences of Accountability Movement
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
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1995
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2007
2009
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Accountability NYT mentions
Social Change NYT mentions
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Unintended Consequences of Accountability Movement
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
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900
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Accountability NYT mentions (8/5/11)
Social Change NYT mentions (8/5/11)
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Fit the evaluation to the system.
Simple, Complicated and Complex ProblemsSIMPLE
Following a Recipe
COMPLICATED
Sending a Rocket to the
Moon
COMPLEX
Raising a Child
Adapted from Getting to Maybe, Westley, Zimmerman, Patton (2006, Random House Canada)
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Fit the evaluation to the system.Simple, Complicated and Complex Problems
SIMPLEFollowing a Recipe
COMPLICATEDSending a Rocket to the Moon
COMPLEXRaising a Child
The recipe is essential Formulae are critical and necessary
Formulae have a limited application
Recipes are tested to assure easy replication
Sending one rocket increases assurance that the next will be OK
Raising one child provides experience but no assurance of success with the next
No particular expertise is required. But cooking expertise increases success rate
High levels of expertise in a variety of fields are necessary for success
Expertise can contribute but is neither necessary nor sufficient to assure success
Recipes produce standardized products
Rockets are similar in critical ways
Every child is unique and must be understood as an individual
The best recipes give good results every time
There is a high degree of certainty of outcome
Uncertainty of outcome remains
Notes the quantity and nature of “parts” needed
Separate into parts and then reassemble and co-ordinate
Can’t separate the parts from the whole; essence exists “in the between” in the relationship between elements.
Adapted from Getting to Maybe, Westley, Zimmerman, Patton (2006, Random House Canada)
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Re-Imagine Impact: Change the flow of power, influence and knowledge
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“The Apple Pushers” (Mary Mazzio, 2011)
Bankers
Street Food Coalition
College Students
Neighborhood Grocers
Elected Officials
Foundations
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8. Model social change.
Change =Dissatisfaction *
Vision *Process
or
C = D * V * P
Adapted from Bob Bontempo, Columbia University Business School