http://publictransportdiaries.com

Cornie Huizenga, Secretary General, SLoCaT Partnership EcoMobility World Festival

7 October 2015

Transport and Climate Change

Mission: Integrate Sustainable Transport in Global Policies on Sustainable Development and Climate Change

SLoCaT Partnership90+ Members: International Organizations – Government –

Development Banks – NGOs – Private Sector - Academe

SLoCaT Foundation: Established in 2014 with sole objective to support the functioning of the SLoCaT Partnership

Diamond Supporters

Platinum Supporters

Gold Supporters

Conclusions and RecommendationsUnited Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

Source: UNFCCC 2014

UNFCCC Secretariat

NAMA Registry

Ad hoc Working Group on the Durban Platform for Enhanced Actions (ADP)

Technology Mechanisms Financial Mechanisms

Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technological Advice

(SBSTA)

Subsidiary Body for Implementation

(SBI)

Convention Bodies

Intergovernmental Panel for Climate

Change (IPCC)

Conference of the Parties (COP)

Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (CMP)

United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change (UNFCCC)

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 20500

10000000000

20000000000

30000000000

40000000000

50000000000

60000000000

PowerOther transformationIndustryTransportResidentialCommercialAgricultureBi

llion

Ton

s of C

O2

Source: International Energy Agency (2014), Tracking Clean Energy Progress 2014, OECD/IEA, Paris

Transport sector CO2 emissions projected to increase by about 60% from 2015 to 2050

Transport Emissions Trends (6DS Scenario)

Agriculture Commercial Residential Transport Industry Power

-100%

-90%

-80%

-70%

-60%

-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

2015-2050 Growth 2DS

2DS

CO2

Grow

th b

etw

een

2015

to 2

050

Transport must reduce emissions by 40% of 2015 levels by 2050 for 2DShowever, non-OECD countries have just begun to motorize

Source: IEA WEO 2012

2DS Growth in Different Sectors 2015-2050

Conclusions and RecommendationsGlobal High Shift Scenario

Total Private Public + NMT Total Private Public + NMTPassenger Kilometer Travel CO2 Transport Costs

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2010 2050 - BAU 2050- High Avoid & Shift

Grow

th (w

ith 2

010

as 1

00)

• $100 trillion savings in public/private infrastructure • 1,700 megaton reduction of annual carbon dioxide (CO2)

= 40% reduction of urban passenger transport emissions

Source: ITDP/UC Davis 2014

Conclusions and RecommendationsUrban Mobility Policy Scenarios 2050

ITF Transport Outlook 2015

• 38% of global growth in surface transport passenger emissions will come from cities in these regions in 2050

under a BAU scenario

Conclusions and RecommendationsCOP20 Lima Transport Scorecard

Source: SLoCaT-BtG 2015

• Six negotiation streams tracked at COP20 Lima• INDCs have made significant progress• Adaptation has also made strides

• Other areas show no substantive progress

Conclusions and RecommendationsINDC Pledges

Source: Carbon Brief 2015

INDC pledges submitted as of October 1, 2015 cover nearly 90% of global emissions

Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport in INDCs by Region

Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015, http://www.slocat.net/docs/1503

Region% of

submissions in region

Transport Sector

Mentioned

Specified Transport

Target

Transport Mitigation Quantified

Specified Transport Measures

Urban Transport Measures

Africa 36% 88% 36% 50% 69% 48%

US & Canada 4% 100% 0% 0% 100% 0%

Europe & Central Asia 27% 100% 0% 0% 25% 67%

Latin America/Caribbean 11% 100% 40% 20% 60% 33%

Asia-Pacific/Middle East 22% 100% 20% 20% 80% 26%

Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Modes in INDCs

Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015

Freight Transport Urban Transport Railways Waterways/Shipping

Aviation0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

16%

29%

16%13%

4%

% sh

are

in IN

Dc's

Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Strategies in INDCs

Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015

Energy Ef -ficiency

Renewable Energy

Fuel Subsidy Landuse/Urban form

Public Transport

Walking/Cycling

Inspection & maintenance

Parking0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

35%

41%

5%8%

24%

8%

3% 3%

Shar

e of

INDC

Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Measures in INDCs

Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015

Country Proposed Urban Transport Sector Measures

Benin Improve traffic flow in urban crossings of large cities; develop a river-lagoon transport system with navigable rivers; modernize and extend rail infrastructure; develop urban transport.

China Increase mode share of public transport in in large- and medium-sized cities to 30% by 2020; promote urban pedestrian and bicycle infrastructure; accelerate green freight development.

Gabon Increase infrastructure investments, public transport services (e.g. congestion reduction in Libreville), restrict importation of vehicles that are more than 3 years old.

Japan Promote modal shift to public transport and railways; develop traffic safety facilities and improve traffic flow through ITS; promote driverless cars, eco-driving and car sharing.

Jordan Increase public transport mode share to 25% by 2025; reduce vehicle fuel emissions and vehicle travel, particularly in densely populated areas.

MacedoniaIncrease electrification of transport, increase use of railways, renew vehicle fleets

increase use of bicycles and walking; introduce parking policies

Republic of Korea

Continue to expand infrastructure for environment friendly public transport; introduce low-carbon standards for fuel efficiency; provide incentives for electric and hybrid vehicles.

Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Targets in INDCs

Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015

• D.R. Congo: 10Mt CO2eq reduction by urban transport improvements

• Trinidad and Tobago: 30% reduction in GHG emissions by 2030 in public transport sector vs. BAU

• Bangladesh: Achieve shift of up to 20% in urban passenger travel from road to rail by 2030 vs. BAU

• China: Promote share of public transport in large and medium-sized cities, targeting 30% by 2020

• Israel: 20% shift from private to public transportation

Conclusions and RecommendationsLPAA Transport Commitments Relevant to Cities

Source: http://ppmc-cop21.org/lpaatransportinitiatives/

C40 Clean Bus DeclarationC40 Cities Climate Leadership Group

MobiliseYourCity: Sustainable Urban Mobility PlansCODATU

Declaration on Climate LeadershipUITP

Urban Electric Mobility InitiativeUN-Habitat

Vehicle Fuel Efficiency AcceleratorGFEI

Modal Shift to Cycling WorldwideWCA/ECF ITS for the Climate

ATEC_ITS France

Global Green Freight Action PlanGreen Freight Steering Group

International ZEV AllianceCal EPA

Conclusions and RecommendationsCity-Focused Transport Initiatives

Source: http://ppmc-cop21.org/city-commitments-on-transport-and-climate-change/

• Civitas has helped 60 demonstration cities implement innovative measures to develop greener transport

• Covenant of Mayors signatories aim to meet and exceed the EU 20% CO2 reduction objective by 2020

• Sustainable Urban Mobility Campaign boosts mobility campaigners in EU, Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein

• European Mobility Week encourages cities to invite local residents to try alternative forms of transport

• Compact of Mayors encourages increased capital flows to cities to support local action reducing GHG emissions

Conclusions and Recommendations

• COP21 outcomes should focus on technology transfer, financing policies, and strategies to support urban transport

• INDCs should give additional attention to urban transport through projects and policies to optimize mitigation potential

• LPAA activities should be leveraged to scale up • Global transport and climate change community should

leverage SDGs/targets • The transport community should capitalize on Habitat III

Recommendations

Global Agreement on Climate Change that empowers transport sector to take action on climate change

Inclusive platform on mobility and climate created by SLoCaT Partnership and Michelin Challenge Bibendum

Common Messages on Mobility and

Climate

Knowledge Products

National, Regional and Thematic

DialoguesEvents at COP21

PPMC Components:

www.ppmc-cop21.org