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1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS – GREDEG – University of Nice Sophia-Antipolis OFCE – Innovation and Competition Department Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

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Page 1: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

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OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials

Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process

Frédéric MARTYCNRS – GREDEG – University of Nice Sophia-Antipolis

OFCE – Innovation and Competition Department

Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

Page 2: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

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Public-Private Partnerships Affordability, Value for Money

and the PPP Process

United KingdomUnited KingdomAccounting for PPPsAccounting for PPPs

Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

Session 5 – Friday, February 22

Page 3: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

3 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o Even if Eurostat in 2004 issued a directive on PPPs consolidation in public accounts, many difficulties and uncertainty remain.

o No clear and comprehensive set of rules guide Governments on how to account for PPPs.

o Opportunistic fiscal strategies seem always possible to bypass Government spending limits and fiscal rules

o Are the PPPs contract principally a gimmickry to push debt finance off public books ?

Page 4: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

4 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o A case study on British PFI contracts based on the HMT PFI database (July 2007)

A choice driven by value for money considerations?

o HM Treasury asserted since 1997 that VfM is the principal criterion to commit into a PFI contract

o UK PFI accounting rules are stricter than Eurostat directive (2004)

o FRS 5 is applied (Accounting standard Board, 1998)

o a quantitative analysis of risks is led

o demand risk must be borne by the private partner

o Some contracts originally off the books were re-integrated.

o UK Public Finance rules (Golden Rule) would allow to finance conventionally all the PFI contracts

Page 5: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

5 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o Nevertheless, just 13 % of PFI contracts are recorded on the books.

o These ones represent 46 % of the total value.

o Not counting the three atypical contracts on the London Underground, just 19 % of the total value is recorded in Government balance sheet.

Page 6: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

6 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o The distribution of PFI contracts according to their accounting treatment reveals a predominance of off-balance sheet classification

Répartition des contrats selon leur traitement comptable

512

78

contrats hors bilan contrats consolidés

Source : Marty (2007) – Working paper OFCE

Page 7: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

7 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o The annual Government commitments induced by PPPs contract are marginally recorded in the books as the figure shows

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

1992-93

1995-96

1998-99

2001-02

2004-05

2007-08

2010-11

2013-14

2016-17

2019-20

2022-23

2025-26

2028-29

2031-32

Part des flux de paiements des PFI consolidées dans les flux totaux

toutes PFI

PFI consolidées

Page 8: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

8 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o The HMT directives (1997 and 1999) in favour of choices based on VfM and not on accounting considerations had apparently a limited impact on contracts’ consolidation

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Répartition annuelle des contrats selon leur traitement comptable

hors bilan consolidés

Page 9: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

9 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o The contracts that present an important capital value (and could deteriorate the financial ratios of the private partner in case of a consolidation in its account) are often maintained on-balance sheet.

Contract Year domain Amount (£M)

Skynet V 2003 Defence – satellites

1079

St Bart’s Hospital / London NHS Trust

2006 Health 1000

Prime 2003 Social Affairs– Real Estate

990

Birmingham Hospital

2006 Health 627

Colchester 2004 Defence – Real Estate

539

M6 Motorway

1992 Transports 485

Main contracts – off the books

Contract Year Domain Amount (M£)

London Underground

2003 Transports 6687

London Underground

2002 Transports 5526

London Underground

2003 Transports 5831

Allenby 2006 Defence – real estate

1257

MBR 2000 Defence – real estate

439

Severn Crossing

1990 Transports 331

Main contracts – on the books

Page 10: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

10 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o The accounting treatment of PFI contracts differs according to Government’s departments

DefenceDefence

nombre de contrats - Défense

hors bilan

consolidés

montants - PFI de Défense

hors bilan

consolidés

Numbers of contract

Capital values

On balance sheet 11 £2.24B

Off balance sheet 36 £3.34B

Page 11: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

11 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o Health sector : predominance of off balance sheet treatments

HealthHealth

Numbers of contract

Capital values

On balance sheet 5 £243M

Off balance sheet 81 £8047M

nombre de contrats - Santé

hors bilan

consolidés

montants -Santé

hors bilan

consolidés

Page 12: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

12 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o In the domain of transports, the London Underground contracts break the equilibrium

TransportsTransports

Numbers of contract Capital values

On balance sheet 20 (3 London Underground)

£19.7B (London Underground = £17.6B)

Off balance sheet 29

répartition des contrats - ministère des transports

contrats consolidés contrats déconsolidés

montants - Transports

hors bilan

consolidés hors métro deLondres

métro de Londres consolidé

Page 13: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

13 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

o Accounting for PFI contracts : What are the perspectives ?

1. The British Treasury already re-integrated some PFI contracts on the public sector’s balance sheet.

2. In its 2006 guidance on Value for Money assessment, HMT asserted again that “The assumption should be that projects will be on-balance sheet, unless there is significant historical record to suggest otherwise”.

3. But, many inconsistencies might be put into relief

1. PFI credits delivered by local governments are sometimes conditioned to an off balance-sheet treatment

2. Some real estate operations are on the books, some other off the books (MoD case for example)

Page 14: 1 OECD - Working Party of Senior Budget Officials Public-Private Partnerships: Affordability, Value for Money and the PPP Process Frédéric MARTY CNRS –

14 Frédéric MARTY - Winterthur (Zürich) – 21-22 February 2008

4. The most important limit to Government deconsolidation strategy is the ability to the private partner to integrate PFI contract in its own accounts.

As it is also the case for risk transfer, a public strategy based on a systematic deconsolidation would certainly fail to achieve VfM.

o The deterioration of the financial ratios of the private partners will lead to a degradation of the financial notation of its debt, which will induce increasing financial costs

o The potential impact of a PFI contract’s consolidation on balance sheet could deter private firms from bidding.