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1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia Polytechnic Inst & State University, U.S.A. www.ari.vt.edu BUET Dhaka, Bangladesh 03 March 2009

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Page 1: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in

Bangladesh

Professor Saifur Rahman Director

Advanced Research InstituteVirginia Polytechnic Inst & State University, U.S.A.

www.ari.vt.edu

BUETDhaka, Bangladesh

03 March 2009

Page 2: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

(c) Saifur Rahman (c) Saifur Rahman 2

Source: IEA, Key World Energy Statistics 2008** Other includes geothermal, solar, wind, combustible renewables & waste

World Electricity Generation by Fuel

Page 3: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

(c) Saifur Rahman (c) Saifur Rahman 3

Transition from Central to Distributed

Page 4: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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In 2007, wind capacity reached 93,849 MW (WWEA, 2008).• The average annual growth rate in the last 10 years

was close to 30%

In 2007, photovoltaic (PV) capacity reached 9,100 MW (EPIA, 2008).

• Solar PV has a ten-year average annual growth rate of 31%

In 2006, geothermal capacity reached 9,600 MW (BP, 2008).

Worldwide Non-Hydro Renewables

Page 5: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Off-shore Wind turbines, Blyth, U.K.

Wind Energy

Page 6: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Wind Farm in Hawaii

Source: NREL

Page 7: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

(c) Saifur Rahman (c) Saifur Rahman Source: www.awea.org/projects

U.S. Wind Energy Projects (as of 12/31/2008)

Page 8: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

(c) Saifur Rahman (c) Saifur Rahman

Source: Source: www.bp.com

Worldwide Cumulative Installed Wind Turbine Capacity(End of 2007)

22277

16879

14714

78455875

3088

23327

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

Germany USA Spain India China Denmark Rest of theworld

Megawatts (MW)

Page 9: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Rooftop PV Test Facility at Virginia Tech, USA

Solar Photovoltaics

Page 10: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

(c) Saifur Rahman (c) Saifur Rahman 10

Solar Power Highlights

Source: EPIA, 2008 and BP, 2007

Current solar PV capacity: 9,100 megawatts (end of 2007)

Some leading countries: - Germany (38.6%)

- Japan (38.4%) - USA (12.9%)- Spain (1.6%)

Above 40% growth rate continued in 2004 and 2005, more than doubling the solar PV capacity in two years.

Page 11: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

(c) Saifur Rahman (c) Saifur Rahman 11

Global Installed Solar Photovoltaics

Source: EPIA, 2008

Cumulative Capacity 1992-20059,100

6,851

5,253

3,847

2,795

Page 12: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Solar Photovoltaic Applications

Grid Connected applications Remote area applications Building Integrated PV (BIPV)

Page 13: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Grid-connected Photovoltaics, New York City

Page 14: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Photovoltaics for Railway Signaling in Tibet

Page 15: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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BIPV - 4 Times Square New York

Location: Conde Nast Building, NYC

Construction: BIPV Curtain Wall

Completed: July 2001

Peak capacity: 20kW

Type: Custom triple-laminated 40W amorphous Si modules

Environmental: >1million lbs of CO2 over its lifetime

Page 16: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Building Integrated PV at a Thai University

Page 17: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

(c) Saifur Rahman (c) Saifur Rahman 23

Biodiversity Monitoring Project in Bangladesh

Page 18: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Lehrter Train Station, Germany

Source: http://www.cler.org/predac/article.php3?id_article=511

Number of module: 1,440Total area: 3,311 m2

PV output: 325 kWElectricity generation:

274,000 kWh/yr

Page 19: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Hydroelectricit

yLarge and

Small

Page 20: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Three Gorges Dam in China

Page 21: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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26 x 700 = 18,200 MW

Page 22: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Small-Hydro

Page 23: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Nuclear Power Plant

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Page 24: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Issues with Nuclear Energy

Long term storage of nuclear spent fuel Concern about nuclear proliferation No greenhouse gas (CO2) emissions Cost: US $5 billion to $7 billion for a

1,500 MW plant

Page 25: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Costs of Renewable Power Technologies

Page 26: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Cost-Competitiveness of Selected Renewable

Power Technologies

Source: Renewable Energy: RD&D Priorities, OECD/IEA 2006.

Page 27: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Jatropha Plant and Seed

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Page 28: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

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Assuming there is no intercropping needed, just jatropha plants, testing shows one can obtain an average of 7.5 kilograms of fruit or 3 kilograms of seeds per tree.

Therefore, 6 tons/acre.

At a minimum, several hundred acres of land needed for commercial operation.

How many tons of Jatropha seeds per acre?

Page 29: 1 The Evolving Global Electric Supply Scenario and Biofuels Opportunities in Bangladesh Professor Saifur Rahman Director Advanced Research Institute Virginia

(c) Saifur Rahman (c) Saifur Rahman

How many liters of oil per 1,000 acres?

With an average ratio conversion of 40% from seeds into Jatropha oil, trees can produce 2,400 tons of Jatropha oil per 1,000 acres.

Applying a density rate of 0.9 kg/cm3, it is possible to obtain 2.7 Million liters of oil from 1,000 acres of land per year.

2.646 million liters of biodiesel per 1000 acres

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Contact Information

Name: Prof. Saifur RahmanAffiliation: Virginia Tech, USAPhone: (703) 528-5500Email: [email protected] site: www.ceage.vt.edu

Questions or Comments?