100% renewable energy by 2050: fact or fantasy
TRANSCRIPT
FA C T O R FA N TA S Y ?
100% RENEWABLE ENERGY BY 2050
John Farrell Director of Democratic Energy, Institute for Local Self-Reliance
August 27, 2015
An illustration of a Vox article by David Roberts http://bit.ly/100pctRE
I T ’ S P O S S I B L E
• Jacobson state by state studies
Source: Mark Jacobson via David Roberts
I T ’ S P O S S I B L E *
• Jacobson state by state studies
Source: Mark Jacobson via David Roberts* L I K E LY U N D E R E S T I M AT E S
D I S T R I B U T E D G E N E R AT I O N
F O R E V E R Y S TAT E
Source: Mark Jacobson via David Roberts
W I T H A F E W C H A N G E S I N D I R E C T I O N
Credit: mark notari via Flickr
• Electrify everything
• transportation, heating/cooling, and industry
1 . E L E C T R I F Y E V E R Y T H I N G
Credit: Ken Bosma via Flickr
2 . R E D U C E U S E
39.3%Compared to business-as-usual
X X XX
X X
3 . W I N D - W AT E R - S O L A R O N LY
20202025
2030
2015
2050
after
for new power plants
2015 2020
IN JUST 5 YEARS…
Heating, drying, and cooking in the residential and commercial sectors
Credit: Mark Jacobson, via David Roberts
ELECTRIFICATION TIMELINE TO REACH 100% RENEWABLE BY 2050
2015 20252020
IN JUST 10 YEARS…
All new ships and ports
All new trains and buses
Heating, drying, and cooking in the residential and commercial sectors
All new heavy duty trucks
Credit: Mark Jacobson, via David Roberts
ELECTRIFICATION TIMELINE TO REACH 100% RENEWABLE BY 2050
All new light-‐duty vehicles
2015 203020252020
IN JUST 15 YEARS…
All new ships and ports
All new trains and buses
Heating, drying, and cooking in the residential and commercial sectors
All new heavy duty trucks
Credit: Mark Jacobson, via David Roberts
All new small marine vessels
ELECTRIFICATION TIMELINE TO REACH 100% RENEWABLE BY 2050
All new light-‐duty vehicles
2015 203020252020
IN JUST 20 YEARS…
All new ships and ports
All new trains and buses
All new small, short-‐range planes
2035
Heating, drying, and cooking in the residential and commercial sectors
All new heavy duty trucks
Credit: Mark Jacobson, via David Roberts
All new small marine vessels
ELECTRIFICATION TIMELINE TO REACH 100% RENEWABLE BY 2050
All new light-‐duty vehicles
2015 203020252020
IN JUST 25 YEARS…
All new ships and ports
All new trains and buses
All new small, short-‐range planes
2035 2040
Heating, drying, and cooking in the residential and commercial sectors
All new heavy duty trucks
All new long-‐haul aircraft
Credit: Mark Jacobson, via David Roberts
All new small marine vessels
ELECTRIFICATION TIMELINE TO REACH 100% RENEWABLE BY 2050
The recommendations — indeed, all 28 — would require coordinated action from Congress, federal agencies, state legislatures, and local officials. Together, they represent an unprecedented level of government activism, a skein of incentives, mandates, standards, and laws unmatched in U.S. history.
A B I G L I F T
1 0 0 % W O R T H I TSaves average person $260 per year
Adds 2 million, 40-year construction and operations jobs
Saves $600 billion in health-related costs
100% Renewable
Credit: Anssi Koskinen via Flickr