121130 flagship ews drr in brunei
DESCRIPTION
My report on ASEAN COST (Committee on Science and Technology) Flagship Program on Early Warning Systems (EWS) Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) presented in Brunei, 30 November 2012TRANSCRIPT
Implementation of FLAGSHIP PROGRAM in EARLY WARNING SYSTEM FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(EWS DRR)
presented by Dr. Pariatmono Sukamdo
Ministry of Research and Technology Republic of Indonesia
The 64th ASEAN Committee on Science and Technology (COST-64) Meetings
Empire Hotel and Country Club Brunei, 27 November – 02 December 2012
Outline 1. Introduction – Historical Background, Implementation Plan
2. ASEAN – Indian Ocean Countries Training Course on Earthquake Monitoring, Crustal Deformation, Seismic Zoning Method and Tsunami Early Warning
3. ASEAN Workshop on Early Warning System for Tsunami Disaster - Lesson Learned from Aceh Tsunamigenic Earthquake in 11 April 2012 and Improvement of School Preparedness
4. The Way Forward
1. Introduction Historical Background, Implementation Plan
Historical Background
Flagship program on Early Warning System for Disaster Risk Reduction (EWS DRR) • First initiation (August 2005): 11th ASEAN Ministerial
Meeting on Science and Technology (AMMST), Jakarta • Endorsement (2007): ASEAN COST (Committee of
Science and Technology) • as one of APAST (ASEAN Plan of Action in Science and
Technology) Flagship programs • to be implemented in 2007-2011 • Appointed Indonesia as the chairman
• From the period of 2007-2010, Indonesia conducted several workshop and trainings which relates to EWS DRR
Vision Statement
By 2015, there shall be, for all ASEAN countries, an established and operational national monitoring systems for
1. earthquake, 2. tsunami, 3. tropical cyclone, 4. forest fire haze, 5. drought and 6. flood
that are interoperable / linked regionally for early warning
Goal Statement Considering:
1. Potential overlap with ASEAN Agreement on Disaster Management and Emergency Response (AADMER) [December 2009] in establishing ASEAN Coordinating Center for Humanitarian Assistance on Disaster Management (AHA Center)
2. the authority to develop early warning center (i.e. to warn people in affected area) lies within each member states
Goal Statement:
To enhance the role of science and technology in establishing interoperable and operational national early warning systems for earthquake, tsunami, tropical cyclone, forest fire haze, drought and flood.
Split of Responsibilities Considering:
1. Attention should only be
focused on disaster which has regional Impacts
2. Not all member states share the same threat with respect to natural hazards
Agreed in Bandung, 03-04 May 2011:
THAILAND 5. flood
PHILLIPINE 6. tropical cyclone INDONESIA
1. earthquake, 2. tsunami, 3. forest fire haze, 4. drought
Implementation Plan
#1: Workshop on Promoting the Role of Scientists in Disaster Mitigation
#2:Workshop and Training on Seismic Data Exchange and Warning Dissemination
#3:Workshop on Lesson Learned from Community Preparedness during 11 April 2012 Twin Earthquakes
ASEAN – Indian Ocean Countries Training Course on Earthquake Monitoring, Crustal Deformation, Seismic Zoning Method and Tsunami Early Warning
Citeko, West-Java, 19-30 December 2012
ASEAN Workshop on Early Warning System for Tsunami Disaster Lesson Learned from Aceh Tsunamigenic Earthquake in 11 April 2012 and Improvement of School Preparedness
Banda Aceh, 21 – 23 November 2012
2. ASEAN – Indian Ocean Countries Training Course
on Earthquake Monitoring, Crustal Deformation, Seismic Zoning Method and Tsunami Early Warning
Recommendations from: 1. Technical Task Force on TEWS 2. COST Meeting: Seam Reap (2011) and Nay Pyi Daw (2012)
Focuses: 1. Seismology
2. Analysis of earthquake parameters using SeiscomP3
(Germany)
Participants: ASEAN Member States
Timor Leste Indian Ocean Countries
Instructors:
Indonesian and German Experts
Date: 19 November – 1 December
2012
Venue: BMKG Training Center in
Citeko. Bogor BMKG Head Office, Jakarta
Summary
Programme (1) DAY 1: Monday, 19 Nov 2012
1. Opening Session . Claus Milkereit – GFZ . Alexander Lim – ASEAN Secretariat . Sri Woro B. Harijono – BMKG
2. Keynote Speeches 3. Wave2012, Internation Cooperation, 4. Advanced Study Opportunities 5. Geofon, Seismology in ASEAN, Last Mile
DAY 2: Tuesday, 20 Nov 2012
6. Aims and Fundamentals of Seismology 7. SeisComP3: Introduction and Playback Example 8. SeisComP3 Real Time Data
DAY 4: Thursday, 22 Nov 2012
13. Exercises 14. Seismic Hazard Assessment and Risk Estimation 15. Ground Shaking Site Effects
DAY 3: Wednesday, 21 Nov 2012
9. Phase Interpretation and Methods of Event Location 10. Seismological Instrumentation 11. SeisComP3 Playback Example / Demonstration 12. Integration of New Seismic Stations into SeisComP3 Real Time Data
DAY 5: Friday, 23 Nov 2012
16. Exercises on Instrumentation and Seismic Data Analysis 17. Strong Motion Data and Exercises
Programme (2) DAY 6: Monday, 26 Nov 2012
18. Geodynamics and Subduction 19. Earthquake and Surface Deformation 20. Tsunamis 21. Exercises on Tsunami Generation with Process Simulator
DAY 7: Tuesday, 27 Nov 2012
22. Basics of GPS 23. GPS Instrumentation 24. Tsunami Early Warning: Principles and Components
DAY 9: Thursday, 29Nov 2012
31. Exercises at BMKG Training Room 32. Seismic Hazard Assessment and Risk Estimation
DAY 8: Wednesday, 28 Nov 2012
DAY 10: Friday, 30 Nov 2012
33. Instrumental Microzonation 34. Introduction into Seismic Risk and Loss Assessment Method 35. Earthquake Microzonation in Jakarta
25. Early Warning Infrastructure 26. Decision Support Systems 27. Earthquake Monitoring and
Tsunami Warning
28. Exercise on 11 April 2012 29. Source Mechanism as a Challenge for
Tsunami Warning 30. Warning Level
5-6 cm/yr
12 cm/yr
Crustal mo+ons from GPS study (Bock et al, 2004)
DEPTH
EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI EARTHQUAKE
Earthquake : 33 x Tsunami : 14 x
> 1 / year ∼ 1 every 2 years
Liwa 1994 (3)
Banggai 2000 (7)
Mataram 2004 (11)
Simeulue 2002 (9)
Kerinci 1995 (4)
Majalengka 2001 (8)
Alor 1991 (1)
Ransiki, 2003 (10)
Mentawai 2005 (12) Yogyakarta 2006 (13) P. Buru 2006(13)
Alor, 2004 (11)
Flores 1992 (2)
Biak, 1996 (5)
Maluku 1998 (6)
Banyuwangi 1994 (3)
Pangandaran 2006 (13)
Nias 2005 (12)
Madina 2006 (13)
Padang 2007 (14)
Situbondo 2007 (14)
Bengkulu 2000 (7)
Manokwari, 2009 (15)
Nabire 2004 (11)
Aceh 2004 (11)
Nabire 2004 (11)
Aceh 2012(15) Aceh 2012(15)
Aceh 2012 (15)
NO YEAR LOCATION
1 1991 Alor
2 1992 Flores
3 1994 Banyuwangi, Liwa
4 1995 Kerinci
5 1996 Biak
6 1998 Maluku
7 2000 Bengkulu, Banggai
8 2001 Majalengka
NO YEAR LOCATION
9 2002 Simelue
10 2003 Ransiki
11 2004 Alor, Aceh, Nabire ke-‐1, Nabire Ke-‐2, Mataram.
12 2005 Nias, Mentawai
13 2006 Jogyakarta, Pangandaran
14 2007 Padang, Situbondo
15 2012 Aceh ke-‐1, Aceh Ke-‐2,
• Formally launched by the President of RI at 11 am, 11 November 2008
• InaTEWS should disseminate tsunami Warning within 5 minutes after earthquake
• Version 2 began on 23 Maret 2012
• Last update June 2012
Indonesia Tsunami Early Warning System
Bottom pressure
gauge
Buoy
Tectonic Plate Hindia Ocean
Satellite
Tide gauge
GPS
BMG Center
???
Source : LIPI - Mod
1. Seismic Data
2. Buoy Data / Confirm
3. Tide Gauges Data
Sirene
• Location : Sea…..? • Mag : > 6.5 RS..? • Depth : < 70km…? • Tsunami Potential !
TSUNAMI
SEISMIC SENSOR
SEA
OPS
BPPT
NC–Buoys
BAKOSURTANAL NC – Tide Gauges NC – GPS
BMKG NC – SEISMIC NC – ACCELERO
NC – InaTEWS (BMKG)
DSS Tsunami Data Base
GSM PROVIDER INTERNET PROVIDER
INSTITUTIONS INTERFACE :
• BNPB
• MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS
• NATIONAL POLICE
• MILITARY
• MINISTRY OF COMMUNICATION AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
• LOCAL GOVERNMENT
• REGENCY LOCAL GOVERNMENT
ELECTRONIC MEDIA
LOC.GOV
1 1 11 12 2 22 223 80 40 160 500
USER
CELLPHONE DISSEMINATION FACILITIES
COMM: IMARSAT VSAT VSAT GSM (?) VSAT VSAT (?)
BUOY SEISMO ACCELERO TIDE GAUGES GPS
NC: National Centre
SOCIAL COMMUNITY NETWORK
TV, RADIO, MEDIA ON LINE
PROV. GOV DISTRIC GOV
CITY GOV
Missing link ??
DIY 1 sirine
East Java 1 sirens
Palu 1 sirine
Monopole antenna mast Steel tower construction
Exis+ng : 31 In progress : 3
20
Mulai November 2008
21
0:00
0:01
0:02
0:03
0:04
0:05
0:06
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Wak
tu (h
h:m
m)
Jumlah Peringatan Tsunami
October 25,2010 12 m Tsunami
November 17,2008 10 cmTsunami
January3,2009 35 cmTsunami
September 2,2009 80 cmTsunami
April 7,2010 40 cmTsunami
April 11, 2012 tsunami 1 m
BERITA VERSI -‐ 1 (11 Nov 2008 -‐ 23 Maret 2012)
VERSI -‐ 2 (Sejak 23 Maret 2012)
Berita 1
Informasi Gempabumi (parameter gempabumi) dan Potensi Tsunami (berpotensi menimbulkan tsunami)
Parameter gempabumi dan Peringatan Dini Tsunami di area yang terancam.
Berita 2 -‐ Pemutahiran parameter gempabumi dan es\masi waktu \ba dan \ngkat ancaman
Berita 3 -‐
Informasi hasil observasi \de gauge, buoy dan Pemutahiran status ancaman tsunami di area terancam (bisa beberapa kali)
Berita 4 Pernyataan Peringatan Dini Tsunami berakhir
Pernyataan Peringatan Dini Tsunami berakhir
22
Threat Level Estimate Tsunami height Reccomendation
AWAS (Major Warning) h ≥ 3 meter Local Government evacuates people
comprehensively
SIAGA (Warning)
0.5 meter < h < 3 meter
Local government evacuate people lo
WASPADA (Advisory) h < 0.5 meter
Local government directs the people to stay away and leave the coastal area.
Level of Tsunami Threat
24
Warning Tsunami in BENGKULU,LAMPUNG,NAD,SUMBAR, SUMUT, EQ Mag:8.9, 11-Apr-12 08:38:29 UTC, Loc:2.31N,92.67E,Dep:10Km::BMKG
Message1
Update Warning Tsunami in NAD,SUMUT,SUMBAR,BENGKULU, LAMPUNG, EQ Mag:8.5, 11-Apr-12 08:38:33 UTC, Loc:2.40N,92.99E,Dep:10Km::BMKG
Message 2
Update Warning Tsunami cause EQ Mag:8.3, 11-Apr-12 08:38:35 UTC, has detected in SABANG (10:00 UTC) 0.06m, MEULABOH(10:04 UTC) 0,8m::BMKG
Message 3
Tsunami Warning caused by EQ Mag:8.1, 11-Apr-12 10:43:11 UTC, end::BMKG
Message 4
Message 1 Tsunami warning via email
29
30
31
Message 3 Tsunami Warning via email
32
33
Message 4 Tsunami Warning via email
34
Threat level
AWAS (Major Warning)
SIAGA (Warning)
WASPADA (Advisory)
Tsunami Warning – Order to evacuate
Local government action
Heavy traffic jam in Banda Aceh for evacuation
Sumber : VoA 37
KE ATAS BUKIT
KE ATAS BANGUNAN
Laut
BMG
3. ASEAN Workshop on Early Warning System for Tsunami Disaster
- Lesson Learned from Aceh Tsunamigenic Earthquake in 11 April 2012 and Improvement of School Preparedness
Recommendations from:
COST Meeting: Seam Reap (2011) and Nay Pyi Daw (2012)
Focuses: 1. The Event of 11
April 2012 2. Increasing
preparedness of School
Participants: ASEAN Member States (Thailand and Malaysia
only)
Instructors: Indonesian Experts
Date: 21-23 November 2012
Venue:
Hermes Hotel, Banda Aceh
Programme
DAY 1: Wednesday, 21 Nov 2012
1. Opening Session . Nada Marsudi – RISTEK 2. Current Status of Indonesian Tsunami Early
Warning Systems 3. The Funding of Disaster Mitigation Activities 4. Earthquake and Tsunami Potentials
5. Real Condition of the Community 6. Communication Systems in Supporting
Early Warning 7. Community Preparedness
DAY 2: Thursday, 22 Nov 2012
8. Preparedness of People at Schools 9. Disaster Risk Analysis 10. Developing SOP 11. Table Top Simulation
DAY 3: Friday, 23 Nov 2012
Excursion – Tsunami Evacuation Exercise at Selected School
Subtansial Difference between Exercise with Reality
Tsunami Drill
Real Event 11 April 2012
Real Situation of 11 April 2012 in Banda Aceh
numbing
anxious
fear panic
frustrated
4. The Way Forward
No Activities Objectives 1 Workshop on Promoting the Role of
Scientists in Disaster Mitigation
• Promoting the use of science and technology in disaster management activities
• Sharing experience in channeling the research results into public policy
2 Workshop and Training on Seismic Data Exchange and Warning Dissemination
• Promoting collaboration among ASEAN disaster experts and practitioners
• Develop data sharing policy for ASEAN countries
• Bridging closer interaction with AHA Center
3 Workshop on Lesson Learned from Community Preparedness during 11 April 2012 Twin Earthquakes
• Sharing experience in the use of social science and social engineering
• Identifying the importance of local wisdom
Next Workshop
Completed