14 september 2005 harold mcfarlane deputy associate laboratory director for nuclear programs...
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14 September 2005
Harold McFarlaneDeputy Associate Laboratory Director for Nuclear Programs
Nuclear—Clean Energy
FLC Regional Meeting
Data supplied by NEI and Entergy
Data supplied by NEI and Entergy
• Scott Peterson—Nuclear Energy Institute– Generic NEI environmental presentation
• Dan Keuter—Entergy – Presentation to Utility Working
Conference 8/8/2005
U.S. Department of Energy Vision for INLU.S. Department of Energy Vision for INL
• Become the preeminent internationally-recognized nuclear energy RD&D laboratory
• Become a major center for national security technology development and demonstration
• Become a multi-program national laboratory with world-class nuclear capabilities
• Foster academic, industry, government and international collaborations to produce the needed investment, programs and expertise
• By 2015
• To enhance the nation’s energy security
What
When
Why
“Another advantage of nuclear energy is that it is a clean source of power … which does not contribute to the current burden of air pollution.”
– Joe Lieberman Atomic Energy
Commissioner
1968
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
71% 24% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Nuclear Hydro Geothermal Wind Solar0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
71% 24% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Nuclear Hydro Geothermal Wind Solar
U.S. Emission-Free Electricity(2003)
U.S. Emission-Free Electricity(2003)
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration
Nuclear Energy Prevents Carbon Dioxide EmissionsNuclear Energy Prevents
Carbon Dioxide Emissions
• U.S. nuclear plants prevent the same levels of CO2 as produced by 9 out of 10 U.S. passenger cars.
In 2004 U.S. nuclear power plants avoided CO2 emissions equal to 94% of all U.S. auto emissions (138 million automobiles)
Life Cycle CO2 EmissionsLife Cycle CO2 Emissions
Source: "Life-Cycle Assessment of Electricity Generation Systems and Applications for Climate Change Policy Analysis," Paul J. Meier, University of Wisconsin-Madison, August, 2002.
Life Cycle CO2 Emissions Analyses
Entergy
Nuclear Energy Limits Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Power Sector
(2002)
Nuclear Energy Limits Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Power Sector
(2002)
2,410
3,104
140
640
1140
1640
2140
2640
3140
3640
Mil
lio
n M
etri
c T
on
s
29% Greater
Source: EPA
Electric Power Industry CO2 Emissions
Estimated Electric Power Industry CO2 Emissions
Without Nuclear Power
Nuclear Energy Prevents Nitrogen Oxide EmissionsNuclear Energy Prevents
Nitrogen Oxide Emissions
• U.S. nuclear plants prevent the same NOx emissions as produced by 6 out of 10 U.S. passenger cars.
Nuclear Energy Limits Sulfur Dioxide Emissions in Power Sector
(2002)
Nuclear Energy Limits Sulfur Dioxide Emissions in Power Sector
(2002)
10.1
13.5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Mill
ion
Sh
ort
To
ns
33% Greater
Sources: EPA, EIA
Electric Power Industry SO2 Emissions
Without Nuclear Power
New Hampshire’s NOx ProgramNew Hampshire’s NOx Program
• New Hampshire revised nitrogen oxides (NOx) regulations in 2003.
• New non-emitting energy sources, such as nuclear, may receive allowances.
• An uprate at Seabrook nuclear power plant is eligible for these allowances.
Pollution emissions displaced by nuclear in the U.S.
Pollution emissions displaced by nuclear in the U.S.
2004• 3.43 million tons of SO2
• 1.11 million tons of NOx • 700 million tons of CO2
440 worldwide nuclear plants save more than twice the Kyoto Accord CO2 targets annually
Entergy
Nuclear reduces these health effects from fossil fuels
Nuclear reduces these health effects from fossil fuels
Health Effect Study Cases/Yr Mortality HEI, Pope 30,100 Respiratory Hospitalizations 4 pooled 20,100 Asthma ER visits Schwartz 7,160 Chronic Bronchitis Pooled 18,600 Asthma attacks Whittemore 603,000 Lost work days Ostro 5,130,000 Minor restricted activity Ostro 26,300,000
Abt Associates, Clean Air Task Force, October 2000.
Entergy
“We have no time to experiment with visionary energy sources; civilization is in imminent danger and has to use nuclear–the one safe, available, energy source–now or suffer the pain soon to be inflicted by our outraged planet.”
– James LovelockLeading Environmentalist
May 2004
Reno Gazette-Journal 9/12/05Reno Gazette-Journal 9/12/05
“While some reactionaries may scream about the dangers of nuclear power, they cannot both claim there is global warming and not support nuclear power. They cannot talk about energy independence, claim the war in Iraq is about oil, decry the pollution effects of coal-fired power plants and not support nuclear, geothermal and solar power.”
John Scrie, University of Nevada, Reno
International ProgramsInternational Programs
• Fifth reactor in Finland to meet Kyoto commitments, satisfy energy demand
• “Cap-and-trade” programs begun in Europe, most excluding nuclear
• Similar EU program planned• Canada considering program for
greenhouse gases• China adding reactors near cities to
meet energy demand and enhance air quality
Nuclear is competitiveNuclear is competitive
0.0
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6.0
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10.0
12.0
1981
1983
1985
1987
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1995
1997
1999
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2003
Nuclear 1.72
Coal 1.80Gas 5.77Oil 5.53
2003 cents per kilowatt-hour
Nuclear is the lowest of all except hydro.
Entergy
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
Nuclear 1.72
Coal 1.80Gas 5.77Oil 5.53
2003 cents per kilowatt-hour
Nuclear power can reduce dependence on foreign oilNuclear power can reduce dependence on foreign oil
Entergy
Long-TermNuclear power can directly reduce dependence by producing low-cost hydrogen for fuel cell vehicles
Short-Term Nuclear power can displace natural gas-fired
generation. Natural gas can also be used in
cars, trucks, buses and trains.
Total amount of nuclear waste is relatively small and manageableTotal amount of nuclear waste is relatively small and manageable
Current high-level waste volume after 40 years of operations would fill an area about the size of a football field five yards deep
48,000 Tons
~5 Yards Deep
2.4 Yards Deep
Reprocessing has benefits• Decreased waste volume• Converts long-lived isotopes into
short-lived waste (10,000 years 300 years)
• Extends fuel resources• There is no waste problem in the
rest of the world• U.K., France, Japan are
reprocessing, including other countries’ waste
For the long term, the U.S. needs to reprocess to reduce waste volume and to reclaim the 96% of remaining usable fuel
Entergy
Americans support building more nuclear power
Americans support building more nuclear power
Support increases substantially when people realize that nuclear power emits no air pollution or greenhouse gases
6765
51 54 52 54 55
4649
61
5150
4748
5249 51
6258
65 63 62
2629
383536
4139444445
5049
4246 43
39
3036
29 31 3334
20
40
60
80
1983
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2003
Ap
ril-04
Oct-04
Favor OpposePercent who favor or oppose use of nuclear(Annual Averages until 2004)
Oppose
Favor
Per
cen
t
President Bush’sClimate Change Initiative
President Bush’sClimate Change Initiative
• Goal: Reduce greenhouse gas intensity of the U.S. economy by 18% by 2012.
• Nuclear energy expansion will satisfy 20% of emissions reduction goals.
Nuclear Energy Will Meet 20% of Carbon Reduction
Targets in 2012
Nuclear Energy Will Meet 20% of Carbon Reduction
Targets in 2012
Bush administration’s target: 106 million metric tons of carbon
Nuclear energy sector commitment: 22 million metric tons of carbon
MIT-Harvard Study: The Future of Nuclear Power
MIT-Harvard Study: The Future of Nuclear Power
• Nuclear energy “is an important carbon-free source of power.”
• Tripling world nuclear capacity by 2050 would avoid 25% of added carbon emissions from coal plants.
• The U.S. should provide a production tax credit for nuclear equal to the current credit for wind power.
Columbia Univ. Earth Institute: More Nuclear, Renewables
Columbia Univ. Earth Institute: More Nuclear, Renewables
State of the Planet 2004 conference recommends “some combination of renewable and nuclear energy, energy conservation and industrial carbon sequestration” for the future.
Vision 2020Vision 202050,000 megawatts of new nuclear energy by 2020
Emission-Free Electric Generation With Vision 2020
Emission-Free Electric Generation With Vision 2020
0
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2003 2020
Bill
ion
Kilo
wat
t-h
ou
rs
Enhanced Nuclear
New Nuclear Capability
Existing Nuclear Capability
Hydro & Renewables
Coal, Gas, Oil
29% non-emitting
33% non-emitting
The 7 Lab Initiative: overarching recommendation
The 7 Lab Initiative: overarching recommendation
• Deploy new commercial reactors as planned, but also develop and deploy advanced:
• Reactor technology• Fuel separation and recycle
technology• Proliferation prevention and
detection technologies
Argonne National Laboratory
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
OAK RIDGE
NATIONAL LABORATORY