1q13 presentation fx - telecom presentation.pdf · step to sustain consumption levels. ... 2010...
TRANSCRIPT
First Quarter 2013 First Quarter 2013 Earnings ReleaseEarnings Release
Conference Conference Call PresentationCall Presentation
This presentation is based on audited financial statements and may include statements that could constitute forward-lookingstatements, including, but not limited to, the Company’s expectations for its future performance, revenues, income, earnings pershare, capital expenditures, dividends, liquidity and capital structure; the impact of the emergency laws enacted by the Argentinegovernment; and the impact of rate changes and competition on the Company’s future financial performance. Forward-lookingstatements may be identified by words such as “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “projects”, “intends”, “should”, “seeks”,“estimates”, “future” or other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could significantlyaffect the Company’s expected results. The risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, uncertainties concerning theimpact of the emergency laws enacted by the Argentine government which have resulted in the repeal of Argentina’s convertibilitylaw, the devaluation of the peso, restrictions on the ability to exchange pesos into foreign currencies, the adoption of a restrictivecurrency transfer policy, the “pesification” of tariffs charged for public services, the elimination of indexes to adjust rates charged forpublic services and the executive branch announcement to renegotiate the terms of the concessions granted to public service
DisclaimerDisclaimer
1
public services and the executive branch announcement to renegotiate the terms of the concessions granted to public serviceproviders, including Telecom. Due to extensive and rapid changes in laws and economic and business conditions in Argentina, it isdifficult to predict the impact of these changes on the Company’s financial condition. Other factors may include, but are not limitedto, the evolution of the economy in Argentina, growing inflationary pressure and reduction in consumer spending and the outcome ofcertain legal proceedings. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only asthe date of this document. The Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to forward-lookingstatements which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation,changes in the Company’s business or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Information included in this presentation isunaudited and may not coincide with that included in the financial statements of the Company, due to rounding, reclassificationmatters, and other reasons. Readers are encouraged to consult the Company’s Annual Report and Form 20-F as well as periodicfilings made on Form 6-K, which are filed with or furnished to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission and theArgentine Comisión Nacional de Valores.
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
• Financials
AgendaAgenda
2
• Financials
• Q&A Session
Market Overview: Soft economic conditions in 1Q13 Market Overview: Soft economic conditions in 1Q13
Billion USD, at current prices – Last 12 months∆ YoY - constant prices
Trade Balance (Billion USD) Last 12 monthsFiscal Balance as % of GDP Last 12 months*
Real GDP* Trade & Fiscal BalanceConsumption & Wages
211249 266 268
11.4 10.012.4 12.2
1.7%0.3%
-0.2% -0.2%
National Wages - ∆ % YoY
26.3%29.4%
24.5% 23.3%
Billion USD, at current prices – Last 12 months
368442 467 470
9.2% 8.9%
1.9% 2.8%
3
Source: MECON, INDEC and Company Estimates•Official GDP YoY variation, constant prices. •Fiscal Balance represents primarily fiscal surplus
• Argentine International commerce continue todeteriorate due to lower agricultural exportsand increasing energy imports.
• National taxes collection rose 26% YoYhelped by the VAT, income tax and importrelated taxes. This performance was achievedthanks to the consumption trends, increasedimports and higher nominal prices in theeconomy.
• Soft economic conditions in 1Q13. Certainsectors showed positive trends, althoughsectors like agriculture and construction remainbeing the main lagers.
• The harvest period has started and might be akey factor for the rest of the year in terms ofactivity and external restrains.
• Real interest rates remain in low real termsstimulating private spending.
• Private consumption is affected by factorslike the level of wage increases,government transfers to private sector andthe inflation levels.
• Different sectors are in process of reachingagreements with their unions, a necessarystep to sustain consumption levels.
• Uncertainties in the FX market might affectthe normal evolution of the economy interms of activity and inflation levels.
2010 2011 2012 1Q13e 2010 2011 2012 1Q13e2010 2011 2012 1Q13e
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
• Financials
AgendaAgenda
4
• Financials
• Q&A Session
Business Business HighlightsHighlights
Postpaid delivered +2/3 of the quarterly net adds
Consistent VAS revenue expansion
Streamlining customer acquisition and retention costs
Data services to corporate clients sustains value generation
MOBILE
5
Data services to corporate clients sustains value generation
Enhancing value proposition with compelling offers
Upselling in broadband services increases ARPU and churn control
FINANCIALS
FIXED
Maintaining revenue growth with limited nominal price adjustments
Free Cash Flow expanded to P$ 1,429 MM in 12 months
Strengthening cost control to reduce impact of increase in labor related costs
1 Net income Attributable to Telecom Argentina
12.7 12.7 12.7 12.8 12.8
5.9 6.0 6.2 6.2 6.3
Mobile: Strong postpaid net adds drives growthMobile: Strong postpaid net adds drives growth
Mobile Clients EvolutionMillion of lines
Postpaid 1
Prepaid
+7%
19.1
+1%
19.018.918.718.5
• +2/3 of 1Q13 net adds were postpaid, now representing 33% of our clients
• Consolidating revenue share leadership
• Average monthly MOU and TOU expanded by 1% and 6% YoY
• +13% ARPU increase due to better postpaid/prepaid mix and higher VAS penetration
+3%
YoY var
12.7 12.7 12.7 12.8 12.8
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
6
Note: Argentinean operation only. Figures might not sum up due to roundingSource: Market estimates of the top 3 providers in the industry.- Does not include trunking subscribers. 1 Includes “Cuentas Claras” subscribers
Market share
Prepaid
+0.6 MMsubs.
33.5%33.7% 33.3%33.8%
+1%
33.5%
penetration
2.8% 3.2% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8%
54.9 54.358.2
63.3 62.1
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
Monthly Churn
ARPU (ARS)
+13%
ARPU & Churn Evolution
3.8% 5.2%3.9% 2.0% 2.9%
9.0%9.0%
9.4%8.9% 8.8%
5,727 6,299
4,4825,765
1,323 1,615
774
1,248
276391
Mobile: Leveraging on VAS to sustain revenue growthMobile: Leveraging on VAS to sustain revenue growth
Million ARS – Argentine Market
Internet Services
Data (SMS)
as % of Argentine Service Revenues -Before capitalization of SAC & SRC
Service Revenue Breakdown SAC & SRC
Handset subsidies
Agent Commissions
Retail &
16.2%17.3%
16.4%SAC & SRC
+61%
+29%
+10%
+21%
14.2%
+18%
+42%
+22%
3,6683,101
14.5%
13,31210,983
3.6% 3.1% 2.9% 3.3% 2.8%
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
5,727 6,299
1,502 1,662
1,323 1,615
2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13
7
VAS as % of Service Revenues
• Leadership in smartphone and mobile internet supports consistent VAS revenue expansion
• Focusing on customer convenience to improve value perception
Advertising
55%52%
Retail & Wholesale Voice
+10%
53%48%
+22%
+11%
• Efficiency gain in customer acquisition and retention costs with a strong focus in upselling; SAC & SRC down to 14.5% of service revenues
714
867
199262264
331
73 89
1,829 1,849 1,860 1,872 1,888
375 393 410 428 447
Paraguay: Mobile Internet services key to revenue growth Paraguay: Mobile Internet services key to revenue growth Subscribers
Thousand of lines (includes 3G modems)
OIBDA
REVENUES
FinancialsIFRS Million of ARS
+32%
+22%
+19%
+3%
2,3352,3012,2702,2422,203+6%
Prepaid
+21%
+25%
Post paid 1
YoY var
73 89
2011 2012 1Q12 1Q131Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
81 Postpaid includes “Cuentas Claras” and 3G modems but excludes WIMAX
Figures might not sum up due to rounding
• Local currency (Guaraní) appreciation tothe Argentine Peso amplifies theperformance of revenues and profitsdenominated in ARS.
• Revenues in local currency rose 5% YoY
OIBDA
Margin 38% 37% 34%
• First to launch LTE services in the country
• Postpaid segment leads customer growth andupholds revenue share expansion
• Regulation ruling against on-net calls promotionsimproved the incoming/outgoing traffic ratios andfavors the competitive scenario.
37%
3,705 137 23 292115
113 63 4,448
+743(+20%)
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
Mobile Revenues: Sustained growth thanks to VAS Mobile Revenues: Sustained growth thanks to VAS Evolution of revenues 1Q12 – 1Q13
1Q12 Revenues
Retail Voice
Wholesale* Voice
Data Internet Equipment Nucleo* (Paraguay)
1Q13 Revenues
9
+13% +5% +22% +32%+28%
Note: Wholesale voice shows Interconnection revenues (CPP, TRLD, Roaming and others)Núcleo revenues expressed in ARS and includes equipment.
36%10% 9%27% 12%% of total MobileRevenues
6%
+42%YoY Variation
1,550 1,629 1,566 1,626
Broadband: Enhancing value propositionBroadband: Enhancing value proposition
• Enhancing value proposition with compelling bundled offers:
�Streaming services
�Bandwidth increases
�Commercial agreement with satellite TV provider to offer combined products.
�YE Target: +60% of LIS with +10Mb speed
Thousand of broadband accesses
Evolution of Accesses
+4%+5%
1,550 1,629 1,566 1,626
2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13
Market share1
1.3% 1.1%1.5% 1.5% 1.6%
95.6 96.5105.1
111.5 114.9
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
Monthly Churn
ARPU (ARS)
10
1 Source: Market estimates of the top 3 providers in the industry.
34%
+20%
�YE Target: +60% of LIS with +10Mb speed
• ARPU rose by 20% YoY in 1Q13
35%
ARPU & Churn Evolution
34%35%
4,141 4,128 4,138 4,109
Fixed Voice & Data: Robust data revenue expansionFixed Voice & Data: Robust data revenue expansion
-0,7%
Thousand of lines in service
Evolution of Lines in Service
-0,3%
Data Revenues
583735
163 213
+26%
+31%
IFRS Million of ARS
• Bundled services helped to maintain churn under control
• +6% ARBU increase despite frozen tariff
• Appealing and integrated offers to corporate and governmental clients boost data revenues
2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13
11
1Source: Company reports of the main providers in the industry.21Q13 market shares refers to 4Q12 figures. ARBU: Includes only concepts billed to clients
ARS +6%(excluding broadband and data)
ARBU evolutionMarket share1 46% 47% 46%247%
0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
46.947.4
48.849.9 49.5
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
Monthly Churn
ARPU (ARS)
163 213
2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13
1,421 22 1050 117 -4 1,616
+195(+14%)
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
FixedFixed Services: Wireline BB + ICT services key driversServices: Wireline BB + ICT services key drivers
34%
Regulated
Evolution of revenues 1Q12 – 1Q13
Regulated
Revenues 1Q12
Retail Voice Wholesale Voice
Data Internet Equipment Revenues 1Q13
12
YoY Variation -22%
Note: Does not include intercompany revenues.Graph not in scale
+6%
13% 36%39% 11%% of total Fixed Revenues
66%
39%
61%
Regulated
Non Regulated
1%
+31%
Non Regulated
+26%+4%
23%
23%32%
17%
6%
Others
IT Mobile access
Fixed access
2,318 2,415
Evolution of Evolution of CAPEXCAPEX
Million of ARS PP&E Capex BreakdownCapex Evolution
+7%
690
PP&E
Intangible +5%
741
+2%3,192
+4%
3,257
Core & Infraestructure1
874 842198 222 492 519
2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13
13
Note: 1Core & infrastructure refers to network related capex, including quality and innovation capex.
% Revenues 15% 13% 12%
• Main focus of capex program: increase network capacity, enhance voice & data availability and improve customer experience
• Continue developing the FTTC rollout in key areas with the aim of launching retail high speed BB offer by YE2013
• 3G mobile network enhancement
17%
Intangible AssetsSAC/SRC +12%
+5%
-4%
Capex plan focused on quality of service andCapex plan focused on quality of service andcustomer experiencecustomer experience
Access Network
• Migration to 6-sector cell sites to take advantage of existing infrastructure
• Incremental coverage and capacity thru unconventional sites
• Spectrum refarming from 2G to 3G to increase data speed and capacity
• Speeding 3G device penetration to optimize spectrum usage
• Increasing pace of FTTx deployment to improve BB speed availability SSSS
pppp
eeee
cccc
14
Core / Transport / Backbone
• Adding capacity to backbone network to address growth in data traffic
• Secure backbone with additional fiber optic ring
• Adding backhaul capacity to improve customer experience
• New technologies to reduce network workload
cccc
tttt
rrrr
uuuu
mmmm
Installed FTTx cabinets
>5x
Cumulative 3G Cell Sites
>3x
Main KPIs in the network evolutionMain KPIs in the network evolution
Fixed access Mobile access
2012 2015 20152012
% Sites in Ethernet
2012 2015
~90%
2012
International Bandwidth Capacity(in Gbps)
2015
2x
Backhaul Transport
15
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
• Financials
AgendaAgenda
16
• Financials
• Q&A Session
5,9936,570
TEO Group: Consolidated Results TEO Group: Consolidated Results
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
Revenues OIBDA*IFRS, Million of ARS,
22,117
18,498
+20%
+10%
5,126 6,064
2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13
1,647 1,799
2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13
17
OIBDA Margin
32% 30% 32% 30%Regulated Revenues 12% 10% 11% 9%
+18%
+9%
*Operating Income Before Depreciation & Amortization.
1Q12 1Q13
943 76191 140 164
79 71 70
118%
+152(+9%)
TEO Group: Consolidated TEO Group: Consolidated Costs and OIBDA evolutionCosts and OIBDA evolution
IFRS, Million of ARSOperating Income Before Depreciation and Amortizati on 1Q12 – 1Q13
OPEX1
3,483
+23%
4,274
1,647 1,79918% 19%28% 30%
16% 17% 20%
OIBDA 1Q12
Revenues & other
incomes
ITX Costs Labor Costs Taxes Marketing & Sales
Fees for services,
maintenance and
materials
VAS Costs Others* OIBDA 1Q13
18
YoY Variation
1Consolidated cost excluding Depreciation & AmortizationsNote: Others includes bad debt expenses, maintenance, materials, supplies and others
OIBDA Margin -1.1%0.0% -0.9% +0.5% +0.1% -1.0%32.1% 29.7%-0.1%
% of Revenues
TEO Group: Consolidated TEO Group: Consolidated CostsCosts
Consolidated Costs 1 as % of Revenues Operating Costs 1 1Q13
Labor Costs
Taxes
Others220%
14%
11%29%
23%
3%
20%
14%
11%29%
23%
3%
20.5%20.0%
8.0% 8.0%
Marketing & Sales
ITX Costs
70.5%68.0%
VAS Costs
19
1. Excluding Depreciation & Amortizations2. Others includes: Fees for services, maintenance and materials; fees for Call
Center outsourcing; bad debt expenses and others
• Impact of increased turnover tax rates in certain provinces
• Higher labor cost due to wages adjustments and increased headcount
• Streamlining commercial costs through :
• Redefinition of agent commissions
• Handset subsidies focused on contract upselling
ITX costsMarketing &
Sales
11%29% 11%29%
16.1% 16.1%
13.2% 14.3%
9.0% 9.9%1.2%
2.2%
1Q12 1Q13
Others2
Taxes
Labor costs
VAS costs
3,857 3,9662,685
TEO Group: Consolidated ResultsTEO Group: Consolidated Results
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
Operating Income Net Income attributable to Telecom
+3%
2,513
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
+7%
1,033 1,115
2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13
698 802
2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13
20
O. Income Margin 21% 18% 14% 12%20% 18% 14% 13%
+15%+8%
3,198
1,769
333 106 830
IFRS, Million of ARS - Last 12 months
TEO Group: FCF and Net Financial PositionTEO Group: FCF and Net Financial Position
6,722 3,308
216
OIBDA Capex ∆ WK & others
Operating Free Cash Flow
2,9824,020
21
Note:(1) Includes Telecom USA(2) Includes Springville(3) OFCF: Operating Free Cash Flow before Taxes.(4) $807 TA, $23 Nucleo
Net Financial Position
1Q12(Net Cash)
Net Financial Position
1Q13(Net Cash)
Net Interest
FX Variations
Operating Free Cash
Flow3
Taxes Dividend Payments4
Free Cash Flow = 1.429
Telecom Argentina 999(1)
Telecom Personal 3,118 (2)
Nucleo (Paraguay) (97)
Net Financial Position
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
• Financials
AgendaAgenda
22
• Financials
• Q&A Session