1q2007 results v2 - keppel corporation slides(10).pdf · units to launch project launch schedule...
TRANSCRIPT
1Q2007 Results25 April 2007
2
Highlights
� Financial Performance
� Operations Review
� Market Outlook
� Going Forward
Financial Performance
4
$m 1Q2007 1Q2006 % Chg
Turnover 295.4 119.0 148.2
EBITDA 57.4 41.1 39.7
Operating Profit 55.0 38.4 43.2
Pre-tax Profit 83.8 46.2 81.4
PATMI 62.5 36.3 72.2
Financial Performance
5
$m 1Q2007 1Q2006 % Chg
EPS (¢) 8.7 5.1 70.6
NTA / Share ($) 2.31 2.39 (3.3)
Debt / Equity Ratio 1.18 1.14 3.5
Annualised ROE (%) 15.6 8.6 81.4
Key Ratios
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Business 1Q07 1Q06 % CommentsSegment $m $m Chg
Property
Trading 56.5 19.5 189.7 Higher due to greater contribution
from projects in Singapore, China, India and Vietnam
Investment 11.5 9.6 19.8 Higher due to better office market
and a write-back of tax provision for 1Q07
Hotels / Resorts (0.5) (0.9) nm Lower loss due to improvement in
hotel business
Others (5.0) 8.1 nm Loss due to a revaluation loss for the
Group’s interest rate hedging instruments for 1Q07 compared with a gain recorded for 1Q06
PATMI 62.5 36.3 72.2
Net Profit – By Business Segment
7
Geographical 1Q07 1Q06 % CommentsLocation $m % $m % Chg
Singapore 45.2 72.3 17.2 47.4 162.8 Higher due to strong
contribution from Marina Bay Residences, The Sixth Avenue Residences, Park Infinia at Wee Nam and Urbana
Other Countries 17.3 27.7 19.1 52.6 (9.4) Lower due to near completion of
some overseas development projects such as The Waterfront in Chengdu, China
PATMI 62.5 100.0 36.3 100.0 72.2
Net Profit – By Geographical Location
8
Notes on Profit Recognition
Project % of % of Profit RecognisedSales* Completion* in 1Q07 ($m)
Singapore
Marina Bay Residences (428 units) 100 4 28.7
The Sixth Avenue Residences (175 units) 100 1 7.5
Park Infinia at Wee Nam (486 units) 83 48 4.9
Urbana (126 units) 95 84 4.7
Overseas
The Seasons, Beijing, China (1,859 units)
Ph 1 (990 units) 97 76
Ph 2 (869 units) 79 71
The Waterfront, Chengdu, China (1,143 units) 92 95 3.1
Villa Riviera, HCMC, Vietnam (101 villas) 100 74 3.3
* Recognition as at 31 Mar 07
3.5
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Operations Review
10
Operations Review
Singapore
Residential
� Launched Reflections at Keppel Bay
− Sold about 90% of 350 launched units
− Average price : $1,900 psf
− Highest price : $2,550 psf
11
Operations Review
Singapore
Office
� Exercised option for Marina Bay Financial Centre (MBFC) Ph 2
− GFA
� 194,000 sm
� Includes office and residential components
− Net land price
� $883.8 m or $423 psf ppr
� About 0.5 mil sf of MBFC Ph 1 already committed
MBFCPh 1MBFC
Ph 2
MBFCPh 1MBFC
Ph 2
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Operations Review
Singapore
Office
� K-REIT Asia continued to outperform
− Distributable income of $4.3m outperformed by 23.6% y-o-y
− Annualised DPU of 7.18 cts, 2.9% above 4Q06 of 6.98 cts
− Total return of 213.8% since listing
− Portfolio almost fully committed as of end-1Q07
13
Operations Review
Overseas
China
� Villa Riviera, Shanghai :
− Sold 28 (70%) of 40 launched units
− Average price >RMB18,000 psm
Overseas Projects Total Units Units %
Units Launched Sold Sold
The Waterfront, Chengdu 1,143 1,126 1,117 99%
The Seasons, Beijing 1,859 1,859 1,763 95%
The Botanica (Ph 2), Chengdu 1,476 1,476 1,285 87%
Sales status as at 25 Apr 07
� Progressive sales in other projects
14
Operations Review
Overseas
India
� Elita Promenade, Bangalore :
− Sold 988 (78%) of 1,263 launched units
Vietnam
� Jointly developing prime condominium project The Estella, HCMC
− 1,500 - 1,600 units
� Jointly developing for about 500 waterfront condominiums fronting Saigon River, HCMC
15
� K-REIT Asia
– Initial portfolio of four prime office buildings revalued to S$677m (US$400m)
* When fully invested and leveraged
� Alpha Core Plus Real Estate Fund
– Equity of US$437m (S$720m)
– 80% invested in 18 assets in 4 countries
� Asia No. 1 Property Fund
– Equity of US$243m (S$400m)
– 85% invested in 9 assets in 4 countries
� 1st Islamic Shariah fund
– Initial portfolio of US$150m (S$247m)
– Invested in 7 assets in 4 countries
� Launching two new funds
Total Assets Under Management of over S$4 billion *
Operations Review – Fund Management
US$0.6
(S$1.0) bil
US$1.4
(S$2.3) bil
US$3.1
(S$5.0) bil
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2004 2005 1Q07
* When fully invested and leveraged
Total Assets Under Management *
Alpha K-REIT Asia
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Corporate Review – Recent Awards
� Environmental Awards
– 1 of 7 finalists for Environment Reporting Award at Inaugural Singapore Green Oscars 2007
– Gold Award in Green Mark Award 2006 for The Tresor
� Corporate Transparency Award
– Business Times Corporate Transparency Index
� Only property developer in the Top 5 among 665 companies for
FY06 results
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Market Outlook
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Market Outlook - Singapore
Residential
� Price up 13.5% y-o-y in 1Q07, highest growth since 2Q00 (URA flash estimate)
− Prime luxury price up 15.0% q-o-q in 1Q07 (JLL Research)
� Take-up of over 3,500 units in 1Q07, up 88.4% y-o-y(CBRE estimate)
� Overall market still 24.9% below the peak in 2Q96 (URA flash estimate)
� Demand continues to rise with population expected to reach 6.5m
− Luxury segment to grow further
− Encouraging take-up in mid segment in recent launches
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Market Outlook - Singapore
Office
� Strong take-up of 2.4 mil sf in 2006
� Grade A market soared
− Rents 21.4% to $10.60 psf
from $8.73 psf at end-06
− Occupancy to 99.6% from
99.2% at end-06
� Tight supply will continue to support marketSource : URA, CBRE, DTZ and KLL estimates
0.400.20
0.28
1.00
0.50
1.10
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6Mil sf
2007 2008 2009 2010
Future Supply of Office Space
Mapletree Lighthouse fully committed
MBFC Ph 1 (Committed)
0.48
1.60
(MBFC
Ph 1)
15-20 yr average annual take-up
FY2006 annual take-up
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Market Outlook -Asia
China Genuine home demand to support sustainable market growth
India IT boom and easy property financing to drive market growth
Vietnam WTO entry to expand economy and boost property market
Indonesia Interest rate cuts to stimulate home demand and fuel market
Home OwnershipAspirations
EconomicGrowth
FavourableDemographics
GrowingMiddle Class
UrbanisationTrends
Going Forward
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Going ForwardSingapore
� Development of MBFC Ph 1 and Ph 2
− Finalising breakdown of office and residential components in Ph 2
MBFC Total GFA : 438,000 sm
Ph 1 Office
Ph 1 Residential
& Retail
Ph 2 Office
& Residential
Ph 1 : 244,000 sm
Office : 180,000 sm
Residential & Retail : 64,000 sm
Ph 2 : 194,000 sm
Office & Residential
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Possible Residential LaunchesSingapore 2007
Project Location Units toLaunch
Reflections at Keppel Bay
(30% stake) * Keppel Bay 189
Park Infinia at Wee Nam * Wee Nam Rd 102
The Crest @ Cairnhill Cairnhill Circle 15
The Tresor Duchess Rd 34
* Balance unitsInfo updated as of 25 Apr 07
Reflections at Keppel Bay
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Going Forward
Overseas
� Launch more projects in China, India, Vietnam and Indonesia
The Arcadia, Tianjin, China
Elita Horizon, Bangalore, India
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Going Forward
Overseas
� Launch more than 2,000 township units in 2007
− About 20,500 units in pipeline
Wuxi township, China
Residential Total No. Townships of Units
The Botanica, Chengdu, China * 5,800
Wuxi, China 4,700
Saigon Sports City, HCMC, Vietnam 3,000
Jakarta Garden City, Jakarta, Indonesia 7,000
Total 20,500
* Excludes launched units
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Overseas Residential Projects
Units to LaunchProject Launch Schedule 2007 2008 2009
China
8 Park Avenue, Shanghai * 96 260 67
Villa Riviera, Shanghai ^ 82 58 -
Park Avenue Central, Shanghai ^ - - 354
The Seasons, Beijing * 96 - -
The Waterfront, Chengdu * 26 - -
The Botanica (Ph 2), Chengdu * 191 - -
The Botanica (future phases), Chengdu ^ 800 1,166 1,244
The Arcadia, Tianjin ^ 130 38 -
Wuxi Township, Wuxi ^ 686 812 801
Jiangyin Mixed Development, Jiangyin ^ - 600 600
* Balance units^ New launchesInfo updated as of 25 Apr 07
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Overseas Residential Projects
Units to LaunchProject Launch Schedule 2007 2008 2009
Vietnam
Saigon Sports City (Ph 1), HCMC ^ 100 288 288
The Estella, HCMC ^ - 350 350
Waterfront condominiums, HCMC ^ - 300 200
Thailand
Villa Arcadia at Srinakarin, Bangkok * 100 100 67
Villa Arcadia at Watcharapol, Bangkok ^ 78 95 95
India
Elita Promenade, Bangalore * 585 - -
Elita Horizon, Bangalore ^ 420 600 140
Condominium in Kolkata ^ 400 600 376
Indonesia
Jakarta Garden City (Ph 1), Jakarta ^ 200 900 -
* Balance units^ New launchesInfo updated as of 25 Apr 07
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Thank You
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Additional Slides
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Singapore Office Supply
Source : CBRE, DTZ, JLL and KLL
Limited supply of
< 700,000 * sf per annum between 2007 and 2010 will support office rents and occupancies
* Excludes Mapletree Lighthouse which has been fully taken up as well as about 0.5 mil sf of Marina Bay Financial Centre (Ph 1) which has already been committed
Expected
CompletionProposed Office Projects NFA (sf)
2007 LKN Building Redevelopment 80,080
VisionCrest 139,940
Central 179,000
Sub- total 399,020
2008 Selegie Rd Redevelopment 120,300
Straits Trading Building Redevelopment 156,000
Mapletree Lighthouse (fully taken up) 195,640
City Square 6,020
Sub- total 477,960
2009 71 Robinson Rd (former Crosby House) 219,800
SPI Redevelopment 350,000
Overseas Union House Redevelopment 385,260
New Bridge Road / North Canal Road 46,410
Sub- total 1,001,470
2010 Marina Bay Financial Centre (Ph 1) 1,600,000
Sub- total 1,600,000
Total (2007-2010) 3,478,450
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Singapore Residential Landbank
� About 1.1 mil sf of attributable GFA
* Includes 28 units sold^ Includes 311 units sold
Site Location KLL's Stake Tenure Attributable Attributable Total
(%) Land Area GFA Units
(sf) (sf)
The Tresor *
Duchess Rd 100% 999-yr 80,504 112,689 62
Reflections at Keppel Bay ^
Keppel Bay 30% 99-yr 269,930 624,521 1,129
The Crest @ Cairnhill Cairnhill Circle 100% Freehold 11,183 31,310 15
Naga Court Bukit Timah Rd 100% Freehold 49,168 110,807 56
Keppel Bay Plot 3 Keppel Bay 30% 99-yr 125,366 152,999 307
Keppel Bay Plot 4 Keppel Bay 11.7% 99-yr 36,114 40,300 234
Keppel Bay Plot 6 Keppel Bay 30% 99-yr 141,429 67,813 101
Total 713,694 1,140,439 1,904
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China Residential Landbank
� About 2 mil sm of saleable area
* Excludes area and units sold^ Excludes commercial space
Site Location KLL's Stake Total Land Area Total GFA Remaining Area Remaining Units
(%) (sm) (sm) For Sale (sm) For Sale
8 Park Avenue Shanghai 99% 33,432 133,393 78,256 * 490 *
Park Avenue Central Shanghai 99% 28,488 99,708 99,708 708
Villa Riviera Shanghai 99% 153,726 53,796 42,818 * 140 *
The Arcadia Tianjin 100% 133,400 61,687 61,687 168
Wuxi township Wuxi 49.7% 352,534 659,360 ^ 659,360 ^ 4,700
The Botanica Chengdu 44.1% 417,139 1,035,542 ^ 781,542 ^ 6,000 *
Mixed development Jiangyin 70.6% 82,987 235,786 ^ 235,786 ^ 2,161
Total 1,201,706 2,279,272 1,959,157 14,367
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Other Overseas Residential Landbank
� About 3 mil sm of total GFA overseas (excluding China)
* Includes units sold^ Includes commercial space
Country Site KLL's Total Land Area Total GFA Total
Stake (sm) (sm) Units
India Elita Promenade * 51% 96,618 193,237 1,573
Elita Horizon 51% 79,177 158,354 1,160
Condominium in Kolkata 37.7% 99,998 199,497 1,376
Sub-total 275,793 551,088 4,109
Indonesia Jakarta Garden City 51% 2,700,000 1,050,000 7,000
Sub-total 2,700,000 1,050,000 7,000
Thailand Villa Arcadia at Srinakarin* 45.5% 159,706 84,440 367
Villa Arcadia at Watcharapol 66.7% 124,912 68,314 270
Sub-total 284,618 152,754 637
Vietnam Saigon Sports City 90% 640,476 890,000 ^ 3,000
The Estella 55% 47,906 275,371 1,600
Waterfront condominiums 60% 17,428 78,140 500
Sub-total 705,810 1,243,511 5,100
Total 3,966,221 2,997,353 16,846
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Rising Occupancy for KLL’s Buildings
� Occupancy rose to 98% as at 1Q07, from 70% as at 1Q04
Includes Ocean Towers, Equity Plaza and Keppel Bay Tower
Excludes Ocean Building due to redevelopment plans
* 1Q07 figure also includes One Raffles Quay which received TOP in 2006
70%
84%90%
98% *
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Occupancy Rate
1Q04 1Q05 1Q06 1Q07
35
This release may contain statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ
materially from such statements. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such statements, which are based in the current
views of Management on future developments and events.