20040221und25_china
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
1/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Chinas Automotive Market
Challenges and Opportunities
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
2/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Volkswagen Group Key Figures
2003 2002
Deliveries to customers (000 Fzg.) 5,015 4,984
Production (000 units) 5,021 5,023
Workforce 336,843 324,892
Revenues (Mio. ) 87,153 86,948
Operating Profit before special items (Mio. ) 2,491 4,761Operating Profit after special items (Mio. ) 1,780 4,761
Profit before Tax (Mio. ) 1,529 3,986
Dividend (ord. / pref. Shares, ) 1.05/1.11 1.30/1.36
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
3/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
943
697
390 340 314 314 284
217 194 117
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Deliveries to Customers Volkswagen GroupRanking 2003 (in 1,000)
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
4/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Volkswagen Group in China
1984
2002
VW Transmission
2002
VW Import
1990 1990
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
5/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
FAW-Volkswagen, Changchun
VW (China) Investment Co. Ltd., Beijing
Shanghai Volkswagen
Volkswagen Transmission (Shanghai) Co. Ltd.
Locations Volkswagen in China
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
6/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Sales Volkswagen Group in China 1985 - 2003
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
198
5
198
6
198
7
198
8
198
9
199
0
199
1
199
2
199
3
199
4
199
5
199
6
199
7
199
8
199
9
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
3
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
7/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Local Production >90% Import Vehicles
New Beetle /Cabrio
Golf GTI
Sharan
PhaetonJettaBora A4
Golf A4
Polo Hatch- and Notchback
Gol Santana B2
Santana
2000
Passat
Product Strategy Volkswagen Brand in China
Touareg
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
8/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
A6Limousine
A4Limousine
A6Avant
A6Allroad
A4Cabrio
S6
A8
TT Cabrio/-Roadster
Product Strategy Audi Brand in China
Local Production >90% Import Vehicles
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
9/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
The Sporting Grand Tourer
Product Strategy Bentley in China
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
10/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Foreign Car Manufacturers in China
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
11/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Estimated Car Density per 100 people in 2020 in China 5
PC-Density per 100
people in 2002:
Germany:
Mexico:
South Africa:
China :
54
12
9
0.5
0
5
10
15
20
2003 2008 2013 20202002
in Mio.vehicle
China is becoming an Auto Society
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
12/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Challenges on the way to an Auto Society
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
13/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Challenges Natural Resources, Unemployment, Banking
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
14/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Challenges Strong Competition
FuturePresent
FF
F
FF
F
FF
F
FF
FF
F
F
FF
F
F
FFFFF
F
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
15/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Europe
China
Absolute cost relation: 100/125 (Europe/China)
Challenges - High Costs of Local Sourced Parts
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
16/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Opportunities Economic Development
Average GDP Growth Rate until 2020 as projected by government: 7.2 % p.a.
7.3%
8.0%
7.7% 7.7%
7.9% 7.9%
6.5%
7.0%
7.5%
8.0%
8.5%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
17/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Opportunities - Income Development in China
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,00
0
2010: 42.46 %
2001: 28.64 %
2020: 73.09 %
(> 30,000 RMB per year/household)
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
18/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
80.0 80.0
50.7 43.0 37.6 30.0 28,0 *) 25,0
70.0 70.0
43.8 38.2 34.2 30.0 28,0 *) 25,030.0 25.2
22.218.6 15.7
13.1 11 . 1/10,0 * * ) 10,00
20
40
60
80
20 00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
ComponentsFBU Im portFBU Import >3.0L
*) Reduction from the middle of 2006 on
**) Reduction from 11.1% to 10% from themiddle of 2006 on
%
WTO = World Trade Organization, FBU = Fully Built Up
Opportunities Reduction of Import Duties after WTO Entry
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
19/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Opportunities Demand by Private Customers
40%
65%
25%
18%35%
17%
2002 2006
Private
Customers
Public demand/
Institutions
Taxi
In
d
iv
id
u
a
lisat
ion
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
20/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
Opportunities - Olympic Games 2008 and Expo 2010 in China
-
8/2/2019 20040221und25_china
21/21
VOLKSWAGEN AG
1990 1995 2000 2002 2003 2008 20130
1
2
3
4
5
6
7in Mio.
Germany
China
1985
Passenger Car Market Development Germany - China