2010 arab public opinion poll

8/9/2019 2010 Arab Public Opinion Poll

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2010 Arab Public Opinion Poll2010 Arab Public Opinion PollConducted by the University of MarylandConducted by the University of Maryland

in conjunction with Zogby Internationalin conjunction with Zogby InternationalWith special thanks to the Carnegie Corporation of New YorkWith special thanks to the Carnegie Corporation of New York

Shibley Telhami, Principal InvestigatorShibley Telhami, Principal InvestigatorNonresident Senior Fellow, Saban Center at BrookingsNonresident Senior Fellow, Saban Center at Brookings

Anwar Sadat Professor for Peace and Development, University of MAnwar Sadat Professor for Peace and Development, University of Marylandaryland

EMBAGOED UNTIL 10:00 AM, THURSDAY AUGUST 5, 2010EMBAGOED UNTIL 10:00 AM, THURSDAY AUGUST 5, 2010


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2010 Arab Public Opinion Poll2010 Arab Public Opinion Poll

Survey conducted June 29Survey conducted June 29 --July 20, 2010July 20, 2010

in Egypt, Jordan,in Egypt, Jordan,

Lebanon, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, and UAELebanon, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, and UAE

Sam ple s i ze : 3 ,9 7 6 Sam ple s i ze : 3 ,9 7 6 Mar g i n o f er r o r : + / Mar g i n o f er r o r : + / -- 1 .6%1 .6%


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Key Poll FindingsKey Poll Findings

Among the key poll findings are:

A substantial change in the assessment of PresidentObama, both as President of the United States and ofObama personally.

Remarkably stable views on the Arab-Israeli conflict andthe prospects of its resolution

A majority of the Arab public now see a nuclear-armedIran as being better for the Middle East


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Samples and Polling DatesSamples and Polling Dates

Country Sample

Size

Marginof

Error

Start

Date

End

Date

Egypt 818 +/

3.5 6/29/10

7/18/10

SaudiArabia 812 +/ 3.5 6/30/10 7/16/10

UAE 512 +/

4.4 6/30/10

7/14/10

Morocco 816 +/ 3.5 6/30/10 7/20/10

Lebanon 509 +/ 4.4 6/29/10 7/13/10

Jordan 509 +/ 4.5 6/30/10 7/16/10


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United StatesUnited States

& the Middle East& the Middle East


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastHowwouldyoudescribeyourviewsofPresidentBarackObamaoftheUnited

States?

2010 2009

Positive

Neutral

Negative


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastHowwouldyoudescribeyourattitudestowardtheObama

AdministrationpolicyintheMiddleEast?

2010 2009

Hopeful

Neitherhopeful

nordiscouraged

Discouraged


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhenyoulookbackatthepastyearoftheObamaAdministration, which

oneofthefollowingpoliciesareyoumostdisappointed with?

2010

Palestine/Israel

Iraq

AttitudestowardIslam

Afghanistan

Humanrights

Spreadingdemocracy

Economicassistance


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhenyoulookbackatthepastyearoftheObamaAdministration, which

oneofthefollowingpoliciesareyoumostpleased with?

2010

Palestine/Israel

Iraq

AttitudestowardIslam

Afghanistan

Humanrights

Spreadingdemocracy

Economicassistance


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastGenerally

speaking,

is

your

attitude

toward

the

United

States

2010

Veryfavorable

Somewhat

favorable

Somewhat

unfavorable

Veryunfavorable

2009 2008


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhatTWOstepsbytheUnitedStateswouldimproveyourviewsofthe

UnitedStatesthemost?

2010

IsraelPalestine

peace

agreement

2009 2008

WithdrawalfromArabianPeninsula

Pushingmoretospreaddemocracy

Moreeconomicaidtotheregion

StoppingaidtoArabgovernments

WithdrawalfromIraq

StoppingaidtoIsrael


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhichTWOofthefollowingfactorsdoyoubelievearemostimportantin

drivingAmericanpolicyintheMiddleEast?

2010

ProtectingIsrael

2009 2008

Preservingregionalandglobaldominance

Promotingpeaceandstability

Controllingoil

WeakeningtheMuslimworld

Preventingspreadofnuclearweapons

Fightingterrorism

Spreadinghuman

rights

Promotingdemocracy


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhichofthefollowingisclosesttoyourviewsindescribingUS

PresidentBarackObama?

2010

FavorablepersonalviewofhimandI

amhopefulabouthisforeignpolicy

Favorablepersonalviewofhim,butI

don'tthinktheAmericansystemwill

allowhimtohaveasuccessfulforeign

policy

Unfavorableview

of

him

and

Iam

pessimisticabouthisforeignpolicy


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastGenerally

speaking,

is

your

attitude

about

the

American

people

2010(All)

Veryfavorable

Somewhatfavorable

Somewhatunfavorable

Veryunfavorable

36andover Under36


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ArabArab--Israeli ConflictIsraeli Conflict


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ArabIsraeliConflictDescribe

your

attitude

toward

Israels

power:

2010

Verypowerful

Hasitsstrengthsand

weaknesses

Weakerthan

it

looks

2009 2008


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ArabIsraeliConflict

36andover Under36

Describeyour

attitude

toward

Israels

power:

(2010)

Verypowerful

Hasitsstrengthsand

weaknesses

Weaker

than

it

looks


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhich

of

the

following

statements

is

closer

to

your

view?

2010

Prepared

for

peace

if

Israel

is

willing

to

returnall1967territoriesincludingEast

Jerusalem,andArabgovernments

shouldputmoreeffortintothis

EvenifIsraelreturnsall1967

territories,

Arabs

should

continuetofight

2009 2008

PreparedforpeaceifIsraeliswillingto


Jerusalem,butIsraelwillnevergiveup

theseterritorieseasily


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhich

of

the

following

statements

is

closer

to

your

view?

(2010)

Prepared

for

peace

if

Israel

is

willing

to


Jerusalem,andArabgovernments

shouldputmoreeffortintothis

EvenifIsraelreturnsall1967

territories,

Arabs

should

continuetofight

PreparedforpeaceifIsraeliswillingto


Jerusalem,butIsraelwillnevergiveup

theseterritorieseasily

36andover Under36


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhatdoyoubelievemotivatesIsraelipoliciesintheregionand American

supportfor

these

policies?

2010

Israeldecidesonits

owninterestsand

influencestheUS

Israelisatoolof

Americanforeign

policy

USandIsraelhave

mutualinterests

2009 2008


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhatdoyoubelievemotivatesIsraelipoliciesintheregionand American

supportfor

these

policies?

(2010)

36andover

Israeldecidesonits

owninterestsand

influencestheUS

Israelisatoolof

Americanforeign

policy

USandIsraelhave

mutualinterests

Under36


22/95

Whatdoyoubelieveisthelikelyoutcomeiftheprospectsofatwostate

solutionin

the

Palestinian

Israeli

conflict

collapse?

2010

Stateofintenseconflictfor

yearsto

come

2009 2008

ArabIsraeliConflict

Statusquo

will

continue

Onestatesolutioninwhich

Israelisand

Palestinians

are

equal

Palestinians

will

eventually

surrendertoIsraelipower


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Whatdoyoubelieveisthelikelyoutcomeiftheprospectsofatwostate

solutionin

the

Palestinian

Israeli

conflict

collapse?

(2010)

Stateofintenseconflictfor

yearsto

come

ArabIsraeliConflict

Statusquo

will

continue

Onestatesolutioninwhich

Israelisand

Palestinians

are

equal

Palestinians

will

eventually

surrendertoIsraelipower

36andover Under36


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhichofthefollowingstatementsisclosesttoyourviewaboutthe

prospectsof

lasting

peace

between

Israel

and

the

Palestinians?

2010

Dontbelieveitwilleverhappen

Inevitable,butitwill

takemoretime

Willhappeninthenext

fiveyears

2009 2008


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhichofthefollowingstatementsisclosesttoyourviewaboutthe

prospectsof

lasting

peace

between

Israel

and

the

Palestinians?

(2010)

36andover

Dontbelieveitwilleverhappen

Inevitable,butitwill

takemoretime

Willhappeninthenext

fiveyears

Under36


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InthecurrentconflictamongthePalestinians,

withwhom

do

you

sympathize

most?

2010

Fatah

2009 2008

ArabIsraeliConflict

Hamas

Bothto

some

extent

Other

/

None

of

the

above


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InthecurrentconflictamongthePalestinians,

withwhom

do

you

sympathize

most?

(2010)

36andover

Fatah

Under36

ArabIsraeliConflict

Hamas

Bothto

some

extent

Other

/

None

of

the

above


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Asyou

look

at

the

internal

Palestinian

political

divisions,

do

you

prefer

to

see

a:

2010

Fatahgovernment

2009

Hamasgovernment

Nationalunity

government

Other/Not

sure

ArabIsraeliConflict

b l fl


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AsyoulookattheinternalPalestinianpoliticaldivisions,doyouprefertoseea:

(2010)

36andover

Fatahgovernment

Under36

ArabIsraeliConflict

Hamasgovernment

Nationalunity

government

Other/Not

sure

A b I li C fli


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AsolutiontothePalestinianIsraeliconflictthatleadstotheestablishmentofaPalestinian

statein

the

West

Bank

and

Gaza,

with

East

Jerusalem

as

its

capital,

will

happen

only:

2010

Throughserious

negotiations

36andover Under36

ArabIsraeliConflict

Bybeingimposedby

theUN

Throughanother

ArabIsraeliwar

Itwillneverhappen

Bybeingimposedby

theUnitedStates

A b I li C fli


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhenyoulookattheIsraeliPalestinianconflict,whichofthefollowing

issuesis

the

most

central

to

you,

assuming

that

they

may

all

be important:

2010(All)

Establishmentof

afully

independentcontiguous

PalestinianstateinWBG

ArabsovereigntyoverEast

Jerusalem

RightofPalestinianrefugees

toreturn

to

their

homes

36andover Under36


32/95

ArabIsraeliConflict

A b I li C fli t


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Inyouropinion,whathasbeenthemostimportantconsequenceof the

Israeliattack

on

the

Gaza

Flotilla?

TensioninTurkishIsraelirelations

Internationalunanimityin

condemningIsrael

FocusontheGazablockadeand

improvingchancesofitsremoval

Bringingthesolutiontothe

PalestinianIsraeliconflictnearer

ChallengeitposedtotheAmericanposition

Noimportantconsequences

Changeinthepowerformulainthe

region

ArabIsraeliConflict

2010(All) 36andover Under36

A b I li C fli t


34/95

Whomamong

Palestinian

leaders/personalities

do

you

admire

most?

KhalidMeshaal

MahmoudAbbas

MarwanBarghouti

IsmailHaniyeh

SaebErekat

SalamFayyad

MustafaBarghouti

ArabIsraeliConflict

2010(All) Under3636andover

ShaikhAhmadYaseen


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Empathy


36/95

EmpathyWhenyouwatchamovieoraprogramabouttheJewishHolocaust,whichof

thefollowing

is

closest

to

your

feelings:

2010(All)

ResentitasIfeelitbrings

sympathytowardIsraelandJewsattheexpenseof

PalestiniansandArabs

Ihavemixedfeelings

EmpathizewiththeJewswho

sufferedunder

the

Nazis

36andover Under36


37/95

Empathy

Arab Israeli Conflict


38/95

WhenyouseePalestinianciviliancasualtiesintheconflictwithIsrael,which

TWOof

the

following

best

describe

your

feelings:

EmpathywiththePalestinian

victims

NeedforrevengeagainstIsrael

Helpless

AngrywithArabgovernments

AngrywiththeUS

SameaswhenIseeother

humanssuffer

ArabIsraeliConflict


AngrywiththePalestinian

leadership

Palestiniansbroughtitupon

themselves

h


39/95

Empathy

Arab Israeli Conflict


40/95

WhenyouwatchIsraeliciviliancasualtiesintheconflictwiththe

Palestinians,which

TWO

of

the

following

best

describe

your

feelings:

EmpathywiththeIsraelivictims

RevengeforthePalestinians

Angrywith

Israeli

leaders

AngrywiththeUS

SameaswhenIseeother

civilianskilled

ArabIsraeliConflict


AngrywiththePalestinians

Israelisbroughtitupon

themselves

E h


41/95

Empathy


42/95

IranIran

Iran


43/95

IranDoyoubelievethatIranismerelyconductingresearchforpeacefulpurposes,or

tryingto

develop

nuclear

weapons?

2010

Peacefulpurposes

Nuclearweapons

2009 2008

Iran


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IranDoyoubelievethatIranismerelyconductingresearchforpeacefulpurposes,or

tryingto

develop

nuclear

weapons?

(2010)

36andover

Peacefulpurposes

Nuclearweapons

Under36

Iran


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IranThereisinternationalpressureonIrantocurtailits

nuclearprogram.

What

is

your

opinion?

2010

Iranhastherightto

itsnuclearprogram

Iranshould

be

pressuredtostopits

nuclearprogram

2009 2008

Iran


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Iran

36andover Under36

ThereisinternationalpressureonIrantocurtailits

nuclearprogram.

What

is

your

opinion?

(2010)

Iranhastherightto

itsnuclearprogram

Iranshould

be

pressuredtostopits

nuclearprogram

Iran


47/95

Iran

Iranhaspeacefulpurposes Iranseeksnuclearweapons

ThereisinternationalpressureonIrantocurtailits

nuclearprogram.

What

is

your

opinion?

Iranhastherightto

itsnuclearprogram

Iranshould

be

pressuredtostopits

nuclearprogram

Iran


48/95

Iran

Iran


49/95

Iran

Iran


50/95

IranIfIranacquiresnuclearweapons,whichofthefollowingisthelikely

outcomefor

the

Middle

East

region?

2010

Morepositive

Wouldnotmatter

Morenegative

2009 2008

Iran


51/95

IfIranacquiresnuclearweapons,whichofthefollowingisthelikely

outcomefor

the

Middle

East

region?

(2010)

36andover

Morepositive

Wouldnotmatter

Morenegative

Under36

Iran


52/95

IfIranacquiresnuclearweapons,whichofthefollowingisthelikely

outcomefor

the

Middle

East

region?

Morepositive

Wouldnotmatter

Morenegative

Iranhaspeacefulpurposes Iranseeksnuclearweapons

Iran


53/95

Iran

Iran


54/95

Iran


55/95

World ViewWorld View

WorldView


56/95

2008

Inaworldwherethereisonlyonesuperpower,whichofthefollowing

countrieswould

you

prefer

to

be

that

superpower?

2010

France

2009

China

Germany

Britain

Russia

UnitedStates

Pakistan

WorldView


57/95

Inaworldwherethereisonlyonesuperpower,whichofthefollowing

countrieswould

you

prefer

to

be

that

superpower?

(2010)

36andover

France

Under36

China

Germany

Britain

Russia

UnitedStates

Pakistan

WorldView


58/95

2008

Ifyouhadtoliveinoneofthefollowingcountries,whichone

wouldyou

prefer

most?

2010

France

2009

China

Germany

Britain

Russia

UnitedStates

Pakistan

WorldView


59/95

36andover

France

Under36

Ifyouhadtoliveinoneofthefollowingcountries,whichone

wouldyou

prefer

most?

(2010)

China

Germany

Britain

Russia

UnitedStates

Pakistan

WorldViewIf b f f il h d d i f h f ll i


60/95

2008

Ifamemberofyourfamilyhadtostudyinoneofthefollowing

countries,which

country

would

you

prefer

most?

2010

France

2009

China

Germany

Britain

Russia

UnitedStates

Pakistan

WorldViewIf b f f il h d t t d i f th f ll i


61/95

36andover

France

Under36

Ifamemberofyourfamilyhadtostudyinoneofthefollowing

countries,which

country

would

you

prefer

most?

(2010)

China

Germany

Britain

Russia

UnitedStates

Pakistan

WorldView


62/95

2008

NameTWOcountriesthatyouthinkposethebiggestthreattoyou.

2010

Israel

2009

UnitedStates

Algeria

UnitedKingdom

Iran

China

Syria

WorldView


63/95

36andover Under36

NameTWOcountriesthatyouthinkposethebiggestthreattoyou.

(2010)

Israel

UnitedStates

Algeria

UnitedKingdom

Iran

China

Syria

WorldViewWhich TWO countries Arab and non Arab outside your own are playing


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WhichTWOcountries,ArabandnonArab,outsideyourown,areplaying

themost

constructive

role

in

the

interest

of

the

Middle

East

region?

2010

France

Turkey

SaudiArabia

Egypt

UAE

Syria

Lebanon

Germany

UnitedStates

WorldViewName TWO countries where you think there is the most freedom and


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NameTWOcountrieswhereyouthinkthereisthemostfreedomand

democracyfor

their

own

people.

2010

France

2009 2008

UnitedStates

Germany

Japan

UnitedKingdom

Sweden

Italy

Canada

Switzerland

WorldView


66/95

Whichworldleader(outsideyourowncountry)doyouadmiremost?

2010

RecepErdogan

2009 2008

HugoChavez

MahmoudAhmadinajad

HassanNasrallah

Basharal

Assad

NicolasSarkozy

OsamabinLaden

JacquesChirac

SheikhM.binZayed

HosniMubarak

SheikhM.

bin

Rashed

SaddamHussein

WorldView


67/95

Whichworldleader(outsideyourowncountry)doyouadmiresecondmost?

2010

RecepErdogan

2009 2008

HugoChavez

MahmoudAhmadinajad

HassanNasrallah

Basharal

Assad

NicolasSarkozy

OsamabinLaden

JacquesChirac

SheikhM.binZayed

HosniMubarak

SheikhM.

bin

Rashed

SaddamHussein


68/95

When your government makes decisions, do you think it should base its

Identity


69/95

Whenyourgovernmentmakesdecisions,doyouthinkitshouldbaseits

decisionsmostly

on

what

is

best

for

2010

Muslims

2009 2008

Yourcountry

Arabs

Theworld

Whenyourgovernmentmakesdecisions,doyouthinkitshouldbaseits

Identity


70/95

y g , y

decisionsmostly

on

what

is

best

for (2010)

36andover

Muslims

Yourcountry

Arabs

Theworld

Under36

Identity


71/95

Which of the following is your most important identity?

Identity


72/95

Whichofthefollowingisyourmostimportantidentity?

2010

Muslim

2009 2008

Citizenofyour

country

Arab

Citizenoftheworld

Which of the following is your most important identity? (2010)

Identity


73/95

Whichofthefollowingisyourmostimportantidentity?(2010)

Muslim

Citizenofyour

country

Arab

Citizenoftheworld

36andover Under36

Identity


74/95


75/95

Which of the following is your second most important identity? (2010)

Identity


76/95

Whichofthefollowingisyoursecondmostimportantidentity?(2010)

Muslim

Citizenofyour

country

Arab

Citizenoftheworld

36andover Under36

Whichofthefollowingisyourmostimportantidentity?st nd

Identity


77/95

(1st

&2nd

choicescombined)

2010

Muslim

2009 2008

Citizenofyour

country

Arab

Citizenoftheworld


78/95

MediaMedia

Media


79/95

Media


80/95


81/95

MediaWhenyouwatchinternationalnews,whichofthefollowingnetworksnews


82/95

broadcastsdo

you

watch

most

often?

2010

AlJazeera

Egyptiannetwork

MBC

AlArabiya

2009 2008



83/95

broadcastsdo

you

watch

most

often?

2010(w/Egypt)

AlJazeera

Egyptiannetwork

MBC

AlArabiya

2010(w/oEgypt)

Media


84/95

MediaWhichnetworksnewsbroadcastisyoursecondchoice?


85/95

2010

Egyptiannetwork

MBC

AlArabiya

AlJazeera

2009 2008

Media


86/95


b d d h f ? (st nd

h b d)


87/95

broadcastsdo

you

watch

most

often?

(1 &

2 choices

combined)

2010

AlJazeera

Egyptiannetwork

MBC

AlArabiya

2009 2008

Media


88/95

Media


89/95

Media


90/95

Media


91/95

Media


92/95


93/95

Media


94/95


95/95

2010 arab public opinion poll

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