2012 rock mechanics/ geomechanics symposium welcome
TRANSCRIPT
2012 Rock Mechanics/ Geomechanics Symposium
Welcome to Chicago!
Attendance – About 600 Scientists and Engineers
About 500 in San Francisco, 450 in Salt Lake City – Attendees from 30-40 Countries – 350 Papers Derived from 600 Abstracts – 50% of Attendees from Outside the U.S. – 30% Students
The ARMA annual symposium has become the go to meeting in rock mechanics and
geomechanics for professionals and students from around the world-wide
• ARMA Exists to – Serve its members – Promote rock mechanics and geomechanics – Educate future professionals
• Through – Annual Symposia – Publication of Proceedings
• OnePetro (> 3.5 million downloads in 2011) – Workshops and Short Courses
Rock Mechanics, Geomechanics and The Energy/Environment Nexus
Rock Mechanics, Geomechanics and The Energy/Environment Nexus
but first……A few thanks
Rock Mechanics, Geomechanics and The Energy/Environment Nexus
A few new developments
ARMA Future Leaders
ARMA More Than the Annual Symposium
• Topically Focused ARMA Forums – John McClennan
• International Meetings – Abu Dhabi – January 2014?
• Co-Sponsoring International Meetings
International Conference for Effective and Sustainable Hydraulic Fracturing May 20-22, 2013 Brisbane, Australia
http://hfconference2013.hydrofrac.wikispaces.net
Rock Stress: Its Role and Measurement for Earth Science and Engineering
The 6th International Symposium on In-situ Rock Stress
Aug. 20-22, 2013 Sendai, Japan
(Abstract due Nov. 30, 2012)
Organized by JCRM, Sponsored by ISRM, Co-sponsored by ARMA
Frontiers of in-situ stress measurements Integration of stress data and methods Practical approaches to in-situ stress measurements Deep mining Storage of carbon dioxide and radioactive waste in rock stress field Oil, natural gas and geothermal resource developments and rock stress Induced seismicity Rock mass deformation and fluid migration Earthquakes and stress in the earth's crust
Inviting topics related to rock stress at a wide variety of depths ranging from tens meters to tens kilometers !!
Rock Mechanics, Geomechanics and The Energy/Environment Nexus
– Shale Gas Development and Environmental Protection – Induced and Triggered Seismicity – CO2 Sequestration
Global Energy and Environment Challenge
How Do We Provide Accessible, Affordable, and Secure Energy While Protecting the Planet (2x by 2050, 3-4x by 2100)?
Society
Economy
Environment
National Security
N orth A m erican S ha le P lays
Palo Duro Woodford
Avalon
Barnett 24-252 Tcf
Haynesville (Shreveport/Louisiana) 29-39 Tcf
Fayetteville 20 Tcf
Floyd/ Conasauga
Niobrara/Mowry
Cane Creek Monterey
Michigan Basin
Utica Shale
Horton Bluff Formation
New Albany 86-160 Tcf
Marcellus 225-520 Tcf
Antrim 35-160 Tcf
Lewis/Mancos 97 Tcf
Green River 1.3-2 Trillion Bbl
Gammon
Colorado Group >300 Tcf
Bakken 3.65 Billion Bbl
Montney Deep Basin >250 Tcf
Horn River Basin/ Cordova Embayment >700 Tcf
0 600
MILES Eagle Ford 25-100+ Tcfe
OIL SHALE PLAY GAS SHALE PLAY
~2300 TC F (85% S ha le G as) “100 years o f N atura l G as” U .S . C onsum ption 23 TC F/y
15
~22,600 TC F o f R ecoverab le R eserves 6600 TC F from S ha le (40% )
C urren t use ~160 TC F /year (140 years)
G loba l S ha le G as
R ock M echan ics and G eom echan ics A re K eys To E xp lo ita tion o f S ha le G as
H orizonta l D rilling and M ulti-S tage Slick-Water H ydrau lic F racturing
Induces M icroearthquakes (M ~ -1 to M ~ -3) To C reate a P erm eab le F racture N etw ork
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
2000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Wel
l Cou
nt
Gas
Pro
duct
oin
(Bcf
)
Year
Barnett Shale Production and Well Count (1993- 2009)Gas Production (Bcf)Well Count
Source:Texas RailroadCommission
M icrose ism ic E vents
H ydrau lic Fractu res
W ell
•H ydrau lic F ractu ring •M icrose ism ic M on ito ring •S tim u la ting F ractu red R eservo irs •M ode ling S tim u la ted R eservo irs
• Im portance o f Form ation P roperties, P re-ex is ting F ractu res and Fau lts , S ta te o f S tress, e tc .
• R ock S trength • R heo log ica l P roperties • T ransport P roperties • P e trophys ics fo r C a lib ra ting G eophysica l
• Im portance o f C om position (C lay and K erogen C onten t), M atura tion , D iagenes is , e tc .
• Im portance o f C om position on R ock and T ransport P roperties • R o le o f A dsorp tion and D iffus ion on U ltim ate R ecovery
E nvironm enta l Issues
o S urface C ontam ination o G as Leakage F rom W ells o D isposa l o f F low -back W aters o H ydrau lic F racturing A ffecting W ell W ater o E arthquake T riggering A ssocia ted w ith
In jection o f F low -back W ater o Im pacts on R esidents and Land U se
E nvironm enta l Issues
o S urface C ontam ination o G as Leakage F rom W ells o D isposa l o f F low -back W aters o H ydrau lic F racturing A ffecting W ell W ater o E arthquake T riggering A ssocia ted w ith
In jection o f F low -back W ater o Im pacts on R esidents and Land U se
Extracurricula Activities
S E A B - S um m ary
• S ha le gas is extrem ely im portan t to the energy security o f the U n ited S ta tes
• S ha le gas curren tly accounts fo r 30% of the to ta l U S natura l gas production
• S ha le gas deve lopm ent has a la rge positive econom ic im pact on loca l com m unities and sta tes
• S ha le gas deve lopm ent crea tes jobs • S ha le gas can be deve loped in an
environm enta lly responsib le m anner.
Courtesy George King, Apache Corp.
C
C asing and C em enting
C oa l S eam
S a line A qu ife r
M inor G as P roduc ing S ha les
S urface C as ing a t 500 ft. A qu ife rs
Top o f C em ent S econdary C as ing
P roduction C as ing
A dd itiona l C as ing a t 2000 ft. P rov ides S econdary B arrie r to Leakage
A P I R ecom m ended P ractice
B est P ractice
R ange R esources W ash ing ton C ounty, P ennsylvan ia
In jection T riggered S e ism ic ity
EARTH April, 2012
R isk A ssocia ted w ith In jection and T riggered S e ism ic ity
M icrose ism ic E vents A ssocia ted w ith H ydrau lic F ractu ring • V ery Low R isk to P ub lic
• L im ited rock vo lum e, lim ited pum ping vo lum e/tim e • V ery few events > M 2 in 100,000 ’s o f frac s tages
S e ism ic E vents A ssocia ted w ith W astew ater In jection • Low R isk to P ub lic
• M uch Larger P um ping V o lum es • C an be E ffective ly M anaged by E ffective S ite C haracteriza tion , M on ito ring and P roactive P lann ing • M in im ize In jection by W ater R ecyc ling
P oten tia l o f T riggered S e ism ic ity w ith Large S ca le C C S • In jection o f extrem ely la rge vo lum es pose considerab le risk
Proc. National Academy of Sciences, June 18, 2012
The Critically-Stressed Crust
S le ipner F ie ld
1996 to p resent 1 M t C O 2 in jection /yr S e ism ic m on ito ring
Statoil P aca la and S oco low (2004)
27 B illion B arre ls /Y ear 1 G T C /y w edges
1. Multiple lines of evidence indicate that preexisting faults found in brittle rocks almost everywhere in the earth’s crust are subject to failure, often in response to very small increases in pore pressure.
2. In light of the risk posed by even small- to moderate-sized earthquakes, potential reservoirs must be carefully chosen.
3. In addition to being well sealed by impermeable overlaying strata, they should also
be weakly cemented (so as not to fail through brittle faulting) and porous, permeable, and laterally extensive to accommodate large volumes of CO2 with minimal pressure increases.
4. The issue is not whether CO2 can be safely stored at a given site; the issue is whether the capacity exists for sufficient volumes of CO2 to be stored geologically for it to have the desired beneficial effect on climate change.
5. In this context, it must be recognized that large-scale CCS will be an extremely expensive and risky strategy for achieving significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.
Public Enemy Number 1
Thank You!
ARMA Awards
Steve Brandon, Chair Awards Committee
VP, Lachel & Associates