2016 ces and naias

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AutoForecast Solutions

Las Vegas CES and NAIAS Review & Highlights

January 2016

Consumer Electronics Show&

North American International Auto Show

AutoForecast Solutions LLC Special Report:

mailto:[email protected]


AutoForecast Solutions2

Introductions 2016 Consumer Electronics ShowBMW

• 2016 BMW i Vision Future Interaction concept

Faraday Future

• 2016 Faraday Future FFZero1 concept

Fiat Chrysler

• 2016 Uconnect 12.1

General Motors

• 2017 Chevrolet Bolt

Hyundai/Kia

• 2016 Kia Soul

Toyota

• 2016 Toyota innovations

Volkswagen

• 2016 Audi Interior concept

• 2016 Volkswagen Budd-e concept

2016 North American International Auto ShowDaimler

• 2016 Mercedes-Benz E-Class

Fiat Chrysler

• 2017 Chrysler Pacifica

Ford

• 2017 Lincoln Continental

Geely

• 2017 Volvo S90

General Motors

• 2016 Buick Avista concept

• 2017 GMC Acadia

Honda

• 2017 Acura Precision Concept

• 2017 Honda Ridgeline

Hyundai/Kia

• 2017 Genesis G90

• 2017 Kia Forte

• 2016 Kia Telluride concept

Nissan

• 2016 Infiniti Q60

• 2017 Nissan Titan Warrior concept

Toyota

• 2017 Lexus LC

• 2016 Lexus LF-FC

Volkswagen

• 2017 Audi A4 allroad

• 2016 Audi h-tron

• 2016 Volkswagen Tiguan GTE Active concept

Introductions




Briefly

Styling updates & Special EditionsBMW

•BMW M2 Coupe•New Trim Level

•BMW X4 M40i•New Engine

Daimler

•Mercedes-Benz SLC•Facelift and new name

•Mercedes-AMG S65•New Trim Level

Ford

•Ford Fusion•Facelift

General Motors

•Buick Envision•North American debut

•Chevrolet Cruze Hatchback•New Body Style

Nissan

•Infiniti Q50•New engines

VLF

•The Force 1•World debut

Volkswagen

•Porsche 911 Turbo/Turbo S•New Trim Level




January 2016: Auto Show Review

CES is the new NAIAS?Detroit officially became the “North AmericanInternational Auto Show” (NAIAS) about aquarter century ago. Raising its prominence inthe global auto show rankings, Detroit took thefront row along with the top European andAsian shows. Some automakers, however,don’t see Detroit as a “must-attend” event.

This year, Bentley, Jaguar-Land Rover, Miniand Tesla decided to not show its wares in theMotor City. Their claim was each brand isbetween major launches, but that’s not quitethe case. Bentley has the new Bentayga SUV,Jaguar has the F-Pace crossover, and Teslahas the new Model X, none of which haveappeared in Detroit. Could it be that Detroit islosing its luster? It’s possible, and there areseveral reasons why this could be the case.

First, there’s the weather. It may be a tiredargument, but the North American InternationalAuto Show is held two weeks into winter…inDetroit; a city not known for tropical weather inJanuary. Attendees have slogged through a footor two of snow while trying to park a few blocksaway. On the plus side, it’s warm enough insideto make you forget the adventure that awaits

after the show as patrons slide through theslush on Washington Boulevard hunting fortheir ride home.

Second, Detroit is no longer the center of theautomotive universe. One hundred years ago,more than half of the world’s motor vehicleswere produced by companies headquartered inand around Detroit. In recent years, the “Big 3”car companies have been renamed by somemedia as the “Detroit 3”, pointing out how GM,Ford, and the former Chrysler Corporation haveslipped from the globe’s 1-2-3 to 5-6-8 withmanufacturers in Japan, Germany, and SouthKorea well ahead of the former “Big 3”.

Third, there’s the competition. After the LosAngeles show moved to November, Detroit wasall alone at the beginning of the year. LA’simportance has grown over the years as moreand more companies look to SouthernCalifornia for its cultural importance. But thebigger issue is with the Consumer ElectronicsShow in Las Vegas the week before NAIAS,where the technology featured in modern carsare showcased to the electronics industry andthe world. Detroit’s taking a back seat.




North American Car of the Year

2016 Honda CivicAfter Honda’s mis-step with the 9th

generation model, the company stepped up

and created the all-new 10th generation and

the voters loved it. Beating out all-new

models from Chevrolet and Mazda, the Civic

returns with a coupe and sedan featuring the

first turbocharged engine in the model’s

history. Radical styling and new features

make the Civic this year’s winner.

2016 Chevrolet Malibu 2016 Mazda MX-5




Sporting three versions of Volvo’s new

four-cylinder engine (in turbo, supercharged-

turbo, and hybrid versions), the second-

generation full-sized crossover beat out

excellent restylings of Honda’s big CUV and

Nissan’s full-sized pickup. With three rows of

seating, the XC90 takes its Swedish roots to

heart and embraces it fully (leading off with

“Thor’s hammer” headlights).

North American Truck of the Year

2016 Volvo XC90

2016 Honda Pilot 2016 Nissan Titan XD




BMW

2016 BMW i Vision Future Interaction• Based on the BMW i8 Concept Spyder, the i Vision Future Interaction showcases many of the ways BMW wants to make technology “disappear”

• Introduced on the latest BMW 7-Series, AirTouch “gesture control” allows the driver to manipulate various features of the car by moving hands near the infotainment system

• Three driving modes can be chosen including Pure Drive (where the

driver has total control), Assist (where the driver gains electronic

assistance from the car), and Auto (where the vehicle runs without human

interaction and even retracts controls from the driver)




Daimler

2016 Mercedes-Benz E-Class• Four-cylinder gas engines in 241hp turbocharged and 275hp plug-in hybrid versions initially but a new inline six cylinder engine family as well as the new OM654 diesel engines are expected to follow

• New styling at the front of the sedan features new multi-beam headlights sporting 84 LED units to precisely illuminate the way• Mercedes-Benz’ slightly longer (+1.7 inches) mid-sized offering rides on

a 2.6-inch longer wheelbase and sports all of the latest technology

• Starting with the aluminum-intensive structure that lower’s the car’s

weight significantly

• Inside, two high-definition digital displays showcase all of the important

driver’s information across half of the instrument panel




Faraday Future

2016 Faraday Future FFZero1 concept• CES was the perfect back drop for a technology introduction from the secretive Faraday Future venture

• Financiers for the new company are from China and key players in the company have been selected from veterans of Tesla, BMW, and other big EV players

• The concept will not represent the production models

• FFZero1 showcases some of the technologies planned for the lineup of

Faraday Future models

• FF models will be fully electric with Tesla-rivaling performance and range

• The company has announced the investment of US$1 billion in a new

Nevada-based assembly plant for a range of cars and crossovers




Fiat Chrysler

2016 Uconnect 12.1• The latest generation of the company’s Uconnect system adds the availability of Apple CarPlay and Android Auto and is offered on a number of 2016 models throughout the Fiat Chrysler lineup

• Improvements allow the system to have a quicker start-up time and increases the resolution and brightness of the more responsive touch screens

• Showing what’s in the wings, FCA demonstrated new technologies featuring:

• Predictive technology which will learn the driver’s daily routine and keep the driver informed of updates and changes

• Vehicle-to-X communication will allow the car to connect with other vehicles as well as items along the roadside

• Workload manager where the vehicle reacts to the driver’s need to concentrate on driving, eliminating unnecessary distractions

• Privacy mode can move personal information to the instrument cluster instead of the center screen when a passenger is present

• Intelligent concierge learns the driver’s preferences and may suggest information in anticipation of the driver’s needs




Fiat Chrysler

2017 Chrysler Pacifica• Replaces the Chrysler Town & Country (and Dodge Grand Caravan) with an all-new minivan and platform

• Sharing nothing but its 3.6L V6 with the ‘16 Town & Country, the new model is as close as possible to “all-new”

• Exterior styling blends the utility of a boxy minivan with the sportiness of

a crossover

• Inside, Chrysler’s Stow ‘n Go seating package adds automatically

retracting front seats and improved stowing mechanics for easier use

• In addition to the standard V6 and nine-speed automatic drivetrain, the

Pacifica has an optional plug-in hybrid system (filling the Stow ‘n Go area)

that promises up to 80 mpg




Ford

2017 Lincoln Continental• Introduced as a concept at last year’s New York Auto Show, the ‘17 Continental keeps many of the styling cues found on the original showcar

• The production version will offer three states of V6 power including the standard 3.7L, the 2.7L EcoBoost twin-turbo, and the new 3.0L twin-turbo 400hp engine, powering the front or all four wheels

• Driver and front passenger are treated to “30-way” seats featuring

adjustments for each leg

• Third-generation Sync system improves on the hands-free control of

many of the car’s features

• High-end Revel sound system sports 19 speakers and 3 sound modes




Geely

2017 Volvo S90• Following the new XC90 crossover, the S90 is the second model to use Volvo’s new SPA (Scalable Product Architecture) platform which will become the basis for all next-generation Volvos

• Long and low, the S90 has an almost rear-wheel drive silhouette, stretching the new platform to its theoretical limit

• Like the XC90, the S90 will be offered with three 2.0L four-cylinder

powertrain options including the 240hp T5 turbo, 302hp T6

turbo/supercharged version, and the 410hp T8 turbo/supercharged hybrid,

all mated to an 8-speed automatic transaxle powering the front or all four

wheels

• Electronic do-dads galore enhance the classic safety image of Volvo

including the semi-autonomous Pilot Assist system




General Motors

2016 Buick Avista concept• Purely a styling concept, the Avista gives many Buick fans hope that a new Riviera might be in the brand’s future

• Based on a rear-wheel drive platform that can only be assumed to be GM’s Alpha, the long and low coupe displays an athletic silhouette unlike any recent Buick, production or concept• Buick described the powerplant as a 400hp 3.0L V6 mated to an eight-

speed automatic transmission powering the rear wheels

• The Avista’s modern interior allows for seating for four and features a

fully digital instrument panel




General Motors

2017 Chevrolet Bolt• Introduced as a concept at the 2014 Detroit Auto Show, this is the final production version, expected to go on sale in the fourth quarter of 2016

• Instead of the airy subcompact box shown as the concept, the production version looks more like a small crossover with a much sportier design

• As promised, the all-electric Bolt will be priced around $37,500, before

incentives, and feature a 200-mile range

• GM claims an unprecedented $145/kWh LG Chem battery pack, beating

prices promised by even Tesla’s next-generation batteries




General Motors

2017 GMC Acadia• Positioned below the current model, the ‘17 Acadia loses length, height, and width along with 700lbs of weight placing it between the compact GMC Terrain and larger Buick Enclave

• Five-seats are standard while an optional third row makes seating for seven possible

• In addition to the carry-over 3.6L V6 engine, standard power comes from

the start/stop-equipped 2.5L four-cylinder which improves fuel economy

substantially; gear changing is accomplished by a six-speed automatic unit

• New active safety includes front pedestrian braking, following distance

indicator, Intellibeam automatic high-beam headlights, Surround Vision

cameras, and Safety Alert Seat




Honda

2016 Acura Precision Concept• One of the most distinctive introductions at the show, the Precision Concept shows the way for the new Acura design language as the brand tries to break from its traditionally conservative styling

• A new “Diamond Pentagon” grille is expected to become the trademark look for future sedans and coupes in the lineup

• The concept’s intricate exterior curves hide a modern and clean interior

with a nearly rectangular steering wheel and a significant lack of buttons

and switches supported by a wide infotainment screen

• Designed for purely stylistic reasons, the concept was shown without a

powertrain but is built around a long and wide platform with the front

wheels hinting at rear-wheel drive proportions




Honda

2017 Honda Ridgeline• Based on the latest Honda Pilot, the second-generation Ridgeline takes a more truck-like direction than the first generation

• Offered with all-wheel drive or, for the first time, front-wheel drive, the new pickup may appeal to a wider audience

• Dropping the earlier model’s sail panels around the bed, the 2017

Ridgeline features a cargo box which looks more like a traditional pickup

although the bed is not separated from the cabin; the tailgate both lowers

and swings to the side and reveals the in-floor lockable storage

• Power comes from the Pilot’s 280hp 3.5L V6 engine pushed through a 6-

speed automatic transaxle and available with Honda’s i-VTM4 all-wheel

drive

• Payload capacity of around 1,600lbs has been promised making it

compatible with other mid-sized pickups




Hyundai/Kia

2017 Genesis G90• Replacing the Hyundai Equusand doubling the new Genesis brand’s lineup is the full-sized G90 sedan

• Rear-wheel drive is standard while all-wheel drive is optional with a choice of Hyundai’s 3.8L V6, twin-turbo 3.3L V6 or 5.0L V8 engines joined to an 8-speed automatic• In order to compete with the “big boys” from Germany, the G90

showcases all of the latest technological wonders including a 12.3-inch

high-def screen in the center console to harness the megapixel camera

and 360-degree monitoring system

• Of course, all of the semi-autonomous features such as dynamic cruise

control, blind spot alert system, and active lane assist are offered




Hyundai/Kia

2017 Kia Forte• Kia’s popular Forte compact is heading into the new model year with a modest styling revision including a more prominent version of the brand’s “tiger nose” grille

• Under the hood, a new Atkinson cycle 2.0L four-cylinder replaces the 1.8L engine with a choice of manual or automatic 6-speed transaxles; a 1.6L turbo and 7-speed DCT will be available

• Production of the Forte christens the company’s second North American

plant in Monterrey, Mexico

• Two versions, four-door sedan and four-door hatchback, were introduced

at the Detroit show, but a replacement for the two-door Forte Koup will

follow




Hyundai/Kia

2016 Kia Soul• Kia used the Consumer Electronics Show to debut its new “Drive Wise” sub brand for its electronic driving aids and demonstrated some on its Kia Soul

• Drive Wise is promised to lead Kia to partial autonomy by 2020 and full autonomy a decade later

• I-Cockpit combines gesture and touchpad control to adjust the sound

system and climate control to the driver’s preferences

• Highway Autonomous Driving allows the car to assist lane changes and

passing on the open road

• Preceding Vehicle Following system which takes autonomy to the next

level

• Emergency Stop System helps get the driver to safety if they stop

watching the road for too long




Hyundai/Kia

2016 Kia Telluride concept• Based on the mid-sized Sorento, the Telluride hints at a larger production crossover to replace the ill-fated Borrego

• Riding on a wheelbase nearly a foot longer than the Sorento, the Telluride’s big features hide the fact that it’s a very large (9.5 inches longer than the 7-passenger Sorento) sport utility

• The concept’s modern interior sports four bucket seats as well as a fold

away third row

• Hybrid power mating a 130hp electric motor and the 270hp 3.5L V6

engine powers all four wheels but returns a claimed 30 mpg




Nissan

2016 Infiniti Q60• Replacing the aged Q60 (formerly G37) coupe, the new Infiniti Q60 takes on some clean lines to attack BMW

• The new coupe wraps those new duds around a body that’s within an inch of most dimensions of the coupe it replaces

• Gone is the old 3.7L V6 replaced by the 2.0L turbocharged four-cylinder

shared with Mercedes-Benz as well as the new 3.0L twin-turbo V6 engine

in two states of tune: 300hp or 400hp

• A seven-speed automatic transmission is standard with electronic

Dynamic Digital Suspension, and all-wheel drive




Nissan

2016 Nissan Titan Warrior concept• As part of the on-going marketing effort to establish the Titan in the full-sized pickup market, Nissan rolled out this hard-core concept

• Huge 37-inch tires and a modified suspension raise the Warrior 3 inches higher than the standard Titan XD and spread it 6 inches wider

• Under the hood sits the same 5.0L turbocharged diesel Cummins V8 and

6-speed automatic found in the production Titan XD

• To enhance the rugged look of the Warrior, the concept wears an

integrated skid plate up front, a unique grille, glossy fender flares, LED

headlights and driving lights, and a roof-mounted spoiler

• Black cloth and leather interior sports orange trim with an aluminum-

spoked steering wheel and additional gauges

• Production is doubtful, but the Ford F150 Raptor is the obvious target




Toyota

2017 Lexus LC• Lexus’ latest flagship model comes in the form of a luxury coupe

• Based on the architecture that will underpin a number of new rear-drive models, the LC is positioned above the LS sedan but well below the exotic LF-A

• Inspired by the LF-LC concept, the LC500 won rave reviews for its long and low styling and presence• Using the same 5.0L 467hp V8 found in the Lexus IS-F sports sedan, the

LC500 can hit 60 mph in less than 4.5 seconds

• Production is expected to begin later this year




Toyota

2016 Lexus LF-FC concept• Just a styling concept, LF-FC points toward the next design direction for the Lexus brand and, more specifically, the next generation LS sedan

• Styled in the popular “4-door coupe” theme with its fast sloping rear windshield, LF-FC stretches nearly 209 inches long and 78.7 inches wide while standing just 55.6 inches high

• A rear-mounted fuel cell stack powers the rear wheels as well as front in-

wheel motors creating a zero emission all-wheel drive driveline

• Interior controls are changed with hand gestures “without the need to

touch a panel or controls”

• Of course the concept has autonomous technology to anticipate traffic

and keep the car relatively accident-free




Toyota

2016 Toyota innovations• Toyota Smart Center organizes the needs of multiple drivers to help them find answers to their transportation needs by connecting “people, vehicles and communities”

• With autonomous vehicles predicted to be right around the corner, improved mapping will be in demand

• Toyota’s answer to the world’s ever-changing network of roadways is for the vehicles themselves to map the roads

• Using the vehicle’s cameras and sensors, the system will constantly map the road and relay the information to a central data center

• Toyota’s Mobility Teammate Concept demonstrates the company’s plan to automate driving by connecting vehicles with people and other vehicles in order to make driving safer and more enjoyable

• The company’s promise with its full suite of technologies is that “next generation connected and automated vehicles will optimize their own operational capabilities and deliver comfort, convenience and joy to passengers – and they’ll be arriving sooner than you think”




Toyota

2016 Toyota/Kymeta concept• Toyota joined with Kymeta to create a “truly connected car”

• Based on the Murai, the concept showcases the satellite communication technology offered by the Redmond, Washington-based Kymetacreated

• Satellite technology improves the connectivity by increasing the bandwidth and speed of the connection

• Improved connectivity through satellites will increase the car’s ability to

enhance navigation, infotainment, and even software updates

• Kymeta promises that their 50 satellites are in operation currently and

are ready to be harnessed through their mobile antennae this year




Volkswagen

2017 Audi A4 allroad• With a range of wagons (A4, A6) and crossovers (Q3, Q5, Q7), Audi introduced their latest in the allroad line that is neither wagon nor crossover

• Based on the A4 wagon, the allroad features a 0.9-inch taller stance and 1.3 inches more ground clearance and an “offroad” model

• Styling is enhanced with fender flares and large wheels• Even though Audi (and VW) is waiting for final approvals, the brand

announced powertrains for the A4 allroad would include a 150hp

turbodiesel engine in addition to the 272hp gas engine mated to a six-

speed manual, seven-speed “S tronic” or eight-speed “tiptronic” transaxles

powering all four wheels

• Sales begin in the summer of 2016




Volkswagen

2016 Audi Interior concept• New AMOLED (active-matrix organic light emitting diode) screens provide a virtual display for the driver and passengers

• A 14.1-inch screen spreads across the instrument panel in front of the driver with a second touch screen in the center console controlled by Audi’s MMI (multi-media interface)• Audi’s MIB2+ modular infotainment platform combines touch and gesture

control for easy adaptation from other consumer electronic hardware

• LTE Advanced communications allows for better voice recognition and

use of VoLTE (voice over LTE) technology for more reliable phone calls

with improved sound quality

• Navigation showcases the HERE mapping, the joint venture between

Audi, BMW, and Daimler




Volkswagen

2016 Audi h-tron concept• As Audi prepares for its new generation of battery electric models, called “e-tron”, the brand previewed the new EV with the even more futuristic fuel cell model

• The h-tron Quattro uses a 121hp electric motor at the front and a 188hp motor in the rear to move the h-tron from a stop to 100 km/h in just seven seconds

• A hydrogen refuel takes just a few minutes and allows the h-tron to travel

as much as 370 miles on one tank, with the aid of lithium-ion batteries

• Among the car’s most interesting features are the 330 individual cells in

the fuel cell stack, the 132lb battery pack under the floor, the solar panels

to generate electricity to recharge the batteries, and the hideaway rear-

sideview cameras which replace normal sideview mirrors




Volkswagen

2016 Volkswagen BUDD-e concept• With so much being said about VW’s diesel troubles, the company used CES to show off its latest zero emission concept

• Subtly hinting at the VW Bus, the BUDD-e is a small people carrier sporting sliding rear-passenger doors and front-wheel drive

• Measuring just over 15-feet long, the little BUDD-e is longer than the

first-generation Type 2 “Bus”

• Power comes from a 101-kWh lithium ion battery pack providing a 233-

mile range through electric motors front and rear giving a top speed of 93

mph; promised recharging time includes 80% charge in just 15 minutes

• The concept introduces Volkswagen’s new MEB (Modularer Elektrischer

Baukasten) platform placing the batteries under the floor, which will be the

basis of future electric production models




Volkswagen

2016 Volkswagen Tiguan GTE Active• Foreshadowing the next-generation compact crossover, the Tiguan GTE Active concept shows that Volkswagen has the ability to design a stylish vehicle

• Large c-shaped LED driving lights and an aluminum skid plate punctuate the styling of the concept, highlighting its rugged image

• With the diesel spectre still haunting VW, the Tiguan GTE Active mates a

148hp four-cylinder and 6-speed DSG transaxle with a 12.4 kWh battery

creating 221hp hybrid; front wheels are powered by the gas engine while

the rear are electrically motivated

• Remove the roof-mounted lights, over-sized fender flares, and big tires,

the concept hides the new MQB-based Tiguan, entering production in

Mexico in the spring




AutoForecast Solutions LLCAutoForecast Solutions LLC (AFS) provides vehicle, powertrain, and drivetrain production forecasting and advisory solutions to the global automotive industry. Our suite of Automotive Business Intelligence Solutions, coupled with our global, detailed, forecasting databases and tools are unmatched in the automotive industry.

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Together, our two companies bring the WardsAuto/AFS Forecast & Planning Solutions to the global automotive community.

The following slides contain a sample of the data provided to AFS customers as part of their subscription-based service

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Global LV Production(2009 – 2022)

0

20,000,000

40,000,000

60,000,000

80,000,0002

00

9

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

20

21

20

22

Middle-East/Africa

Asia-Pacific

Eastern Europe

Western Europe

South America

North America

Region 2015 (Mil) 2022 (Mil) 2022 VS. 2015 Growth 2022 vs. 2009 CAGR 2022 vs. 2015 CAGR

NA 17.5 19.2 10.0% 6.4% 1.4%

SA 3.1 4.1 32.4% 0.8% 4.1%

WE 14.2 14.8 3.9% 1.7% 0.5%

EE 6.82 8.2 21.7% 4.0% 2.8%

AP 45.5 57.4 26.1% 5.4% 3.4%

ME/A 2.2 2.8 25.0% 3.6% 3.2%

TOTAL 89.3 106.5 19.3% 4.5% 2.6%

Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – January 2016

2022 = 106.5 Million




Regional Light Vehicle Production Forecast

Region 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

ASIA-PACIFIC 45,515,000 48,940,000 51,060,000 53,070,000 54,675,003 55,830,000 56,695,000 57,400,000

EASTERN EUROPE 6,718,997 6,800,000 7,035,000 7,470,000 7,920,000 8,080,000 8,150,000 8,175,000

MIDDLE 2,236,000 2,450,000 2,560,000 2,610,000 2,656,000 2,725,000 2,790,000 2,795,000

NORTH AMERICA 17,457,998 17,700,000 18,070,000 18,250,000 18,615,000 18,970,000 19,110,000 19,210,000

SOUTH AMERICA 3,108,998 3,100,000 3,400,000 3,570,000 3,850,000 3,950,000 4,040,000 4,115,000

WESTERN 14,209,558 14,300,000 14,400,000 14,500,000 14,600,000 14,720,000 14,730,000 14,765,000

Total 89,246,551 93,290,000 96,525,000 99,470,000 102,316,003 104,275,000 105,515,000 106,460,000

Memo Items 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Memo: BRIC 2,335,868 2,373,676 2,683,024 2,815,582 3,081,094 3,163,274 3,240,365 3,307,805

Memo: BRIC 23,115,828 24,827,611 26,471,798 27,948,174 29,133,626 29,962,395 30,639,848 31,295,381

Memo: BRIC 4,023,885 4,756,891 5,007,170 5,462,798 5,742,463 5,866,774 5,886,436 5,885,668

Memo: BRIC 1,304,008 1,497,290 1,626,889 1,734,430 1,844,715 1,916,988 1,986,672 2,005,539

Memo: BRIC 30,779,589 33,455,468 35,788,881 37,960,984 39,801,898 40,909,431 41,753,321 42,494,393

Memo: Europe 20,928,555 21,100,000 21,435,000 21,970,000 22,520,000 22,800,000 22,880,000 22,940,000

Regional LV Production

Release: R1512 Dec 31 2015

Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – Jan 2016




Regional Powertrain Forecast by Package Type and Vehicle Region Application


Powertrain Package Type - All Region

Summary 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 259,842 332,583 394,012 450,027 479,133 499,244 507,293 508,797

EVICE 17,020 25,300 29,707 31,106 31,693 31,952 32,617 32,451

FC Only 1,469 2,881 4,163 4,396 5,157 5,624 5,634 5,379

HYBRID 2,450,589 2,963,425 3,166,300 3,307,460 3,549,336 3,770,024 3,790,688 3,896,469

IC Only 86,517,631 89,965,811 92,930,818 95,677,011 98,250,684 99,968,156 101,178,768 102,016,904

Total - All Region Summary 89,246,551 93,290,000 96,525,000 99,470,000 102,316,003 104,275,000 105,515,000 106,460,000

Powertrain Package Type - ASIA-PACIFIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 116,797 148,689 157,809 169,391 180,387 178,722 182,940 183,372

EVICE 204 432 3,708 4,813 4,842 4,944 5,104 5,193

FC Only 1,421 2,833 4,115 4,139 4,162 4,141 4,147 4,158

HYBRID 1,926,198 2,263,813 2,369,983 2,422,071 2,458,286 2,422,698 2,398,127 2,450,957

IC Only 43,470,380 46,524,233 48,524,385 50,469,586 52,027,326 53,219,495 54,104,682 54,756,320

Total - ASIA-PACIFIC 45,515,000 48,940,000 51,060,000 53,070,000 54,675,003 55,830,000 56,695,000 57,400,000

Powertrain Package Type - EASTERN

EUROPE 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 6,348 7,926 8,274 8,634 8,826 8,818 9,132 9,300

EVICE 1,095 3,068 3,447 3,762 4,152 4,339 4,520 4,535

HYBRID 19,210 26,557 27,271 26,707 34,665 39,463 40,036 41,999

IC Only 6,692,344 6,762,449 6,996,008 7,430,897 7,872,357 8,027,380 8,096,312 8,119,166

Total - EASTERN EUROPE 6,718,997 6,800,000 7,035,000 7,470,000 7,920,000 8,080,000 8,150,000 8,175,000

Powertrain Package Volumes

Release: R1512 Dec 31 2015

*Volumes displayed are the Powertrain Volumes consumed by Light Vehicle (LV) production.Package Types are: EL Only - Electric Motor Drive with battery only; EVICE - Electric Motor Drive with Internal Combustion Engine as Generator;

FC Only - Electric Motor Drive with Fuel Cell power source; HYBRID - Electric Motor and Internal Combustion Engine Drive; IC Only - Internal Combustion Engine Drive



AutoForecast Solutions38Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – Jan 2016

Powertrain Package Type - MIDDLE

EAST/AFRICA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 46 66 66 66 66 54 54 54

HYBRID 0 0 0 2,850 3,444 3,492 3,540 3,600

IC Only 2,235,954 2,449,934 2,559,934 2,607,084 2,652,490 2,721,454 2,786,406 2,791,346

Total - MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA 2,236,000 2,450,000 2,560,000 2,610,000 2,656,000 2,725,000 2,790,000 2,795,000

Powertrain Package Type - NORTH

AMERICA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 72,464 107,362 157,354 195,208 196,072 208,462 211,393 213,585

FC Only 0 0 0 0 498 979 983 989

HYBRID 288,673 434,537 516,341 584,347 756,276 991,140 1,025,629 1,074,820

IC Only 17,096,861 17,158,101 17,396,305 17,470,445 17,662,154 17,769,419 17,871,995 17,920,606

Total - NORTH AMERICA 17,457,998 17,700,000 18,070,000 18,250,000 18,615,000 18,970,000 19,110,000 19,210,000

Powertrain Package Type - SOUTH

AMERICA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

IC Only 3,108,998 3,100,000 3,400,000 3,570,000 3,850,000 3,950,000 4,040,000 4,115,000

Total - SOUTH AMERICA 3,108,998 3,100,000 3,400,000 3,570,000 3,850,000 3,950,000 4,040,000 4,115,000

Powertrain Package Type - WESTERN

EUROPE 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 64,187 68,540 70,509 76,728 93,782 103,188 103,774 102,486

EVICE 15,721 21,800 22,552 22,531 22,699 22,669 22,993 22,723

FC Only 48 48 48 257 497 504 504 232

HYBRID 216,508 238,518 252,705 271,485 296,665 313,231 323,356 325,093

IC Only 13,913,094 13,971,094 14,054,186 14,128,999 14,186,357 14,280,408 14,279,373 14,314,466

Total - WESTERN EUROPE 14,209,558 14,300,000 14,400,000 14,500,000 14,600,000 14,720,000 14,730,000 14,765,000

*Volumes displayed are the Powertrain Volumes consumed by Light Vehicle (LV) production.Package Types are: E L Only - Electric Motor Drive with battery only; E V ICE - Electric Motor Drive with Internal Combustion Engine as Generator;

FC Only - Electric Motor Drive with Fuel Cell power source; HY BRID - Electric Motor and Internal Combustion Engine Drive; IC Only - Internal Combustion Engine Drive

Regional Powertrain Forecast by Package Type and Vehicle Region Application (Cont’d)




NAFTA Greenfield Production

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,000

Canada United States Mexico

• BMW San Luis Potosi (2019)• BMW (2-Series, 3-Series, 4-Series)

• COMPAS (RNNS + Daimler) Aguascalientes (2017)• Infiniti QX30

• Daimler (A-Class SWB, GLB)

• Daimler North Charleston (2018)• Freightliner Sprinter

• Faraday Futures North Vegas (2017)• Faraday (Large EV Plus, MP-EV, Sedan)

• FCA Saltillo Van (2013)• Ram ProMaster

• Ford (via Multimatic) (2016)• Ford GT

• Ford Queretaro (2018)• Ford Focus

• Honda Performance Manufacturing Center (2016)• Acura NSX

• Honda Celaya (2014)• Honda (Fit/Jazz, HR-V/Vezel)

• Hyundai Monterrey (2016)• Kia (Forte, Rio)

• Karma Automotive (2016)• Elux Karma EV/EVER

• Mazda Salamanca (2014)• Mazda (2, 3)

• Toyota Yaris / Scion iA

• RNNS Aguascalientes 2 (2013)• Nissan (B-CUV, Sentra)

• Toyota Guanajuato (2018)• Toyota Corolla

• Volvo (Geely) Berkeley County (2018)• Volvo (S60/S60L, XC60)

• VW San Jose Chiapa (2015)• Audi Q5




AutoForecast Solutions40Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – May 2015

Reporting/Analysis Planning

Vehicle Life Cycle Charts Regional Scenario creation

Multiple Flexible Report Generators Competitor/Market Share

Quick access reports Vehicle Changes (what’s new, cancelled, or changed)

Support

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Direct Access to Forecast Team

Leaders

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AFS Weekly Guidance Report Regional Cycle Charts WardsAuto Relationship

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Volumes, History, Structure and FPP (8-year forecast window)

Light Vehicle VM, Brand Owner, Brand, Platform, Program, Nameplate,

Plant, Segment, SOP/EOP… and more

Powertrain

-Engine, Transmission, Electric Motors,

Drivetrain

Family; # of Cyl; # of Forward Gears; Fuel Type; Package

type; Voltage; Valves per Cyl, Transmission Type,

manufacturer/plant source … and much more … attached to

each vehicle

Call for more information 855.734.4590 ext. 1001




WardsAutoForecast Solution Highlights

AFS Forecast* Regional vehicle production data - Volume, History, Structure, and FPP Production Forecast for an 8-year forecast window.

Monthly/Annual Detail: VM, Brand Owner, Brand, Platform, Program, Nameplate, Plant, Segment, SOP/EOP.. and more

*Engine, Transmission, Electric Motor, Drivetrain Production Data

Volume, History, Structure, and FPP Production Forecast for an 8-year forecast window

Monthly/Annual Detail: Family; # of Cyl; # of Forward Gears; Fuel Type; Package type; Voltage; Valves per Cyl, manufacturer/plant source, .. and

much more … attached to each vehicle

AFS Weekly Weekly PDF detailing global automotive manufacturing changes, new vehicle introductions, cancelled vehicles, and labor

issues

AFS Monthly Regional code books. Vehicle structure detail for the 8-year forecast planning window – in PDF format on a monthly basis.

AFS Quarterly A quarterly newsletter focused on key factors driving the automotive production outlook - Regional analysis, key performance

indicators, editorial commentary, and light vehicle and powertrain production outlook highlights.

AFS Cycle

Charts

Regional cycle charts. Chart/volume lifecycle charts at the vehicle assembly detail level. User defined filters and report

layouts. Excel output.

AFS Portfolio Enter and analyze market share and competitive positioning by product, vehicle, customer, and competitor. Dynamically

updated each month to maintain an accurate, and consistent global competitive view. Integrates directly with the AFS

Forecast data.

AFS Scenario Build your own regional vehicle/powertrain forecasts to support scenario analysis (upside, base, downside). Full reporting

capability. The only tool of its kind in the industry today!

AFS Planning A web-based, revenue planning solutions developed specifically for automotive suppliers. Track past, current, and future

revenue at the part number level. Attach products directly to vehicle and powertrain applications to analyze part volumes,

installation rates, piece price, and much more – all in real time! Dynamically attached to the AFS Forecast database for

accurate results. AFS Planning is the premier solution for business planning and opportunity identification to support your

core business and promote future growth.

Flexible Report

Generators

User-friendly interface to create customized data layouts at the monthly, quarterly and annual levels .. With all of the

available vehicle and powertrain data fields. Save, view, and export results into Excel.

Support Subscribers gain direct access to the automotive forecast team. We are more than just your data provider - we support your

automotive industry analysis and back office operations.

Call for more information 855.734.4590 ext. 1001




Joe McCabePresident & CEO

[email protected]

(610)813-6370

Sam FioraniVice President, Global Vehicle Forecasting

[email protected]

(610)813-6372

Brian MaximVice President, Global Powertrain Forecasting

[email protected]

(610)813-6373

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