2018fy results - anima sgr
TRANSCRIPT
2018FY Results
2018… happens
Milan, 27 February 2019
2
2018FY - Table of contents
ANIMA… who01
ANIMA… what02
ANIMA… how much03
ANIMA… why04
3
ANIMA… who
4
Highlights
«new» ANIMA, «old» skills: a problem solver and fee generator, with a distinctive attitude of service company strongly linked to its distributors through long term strategic partnerships
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
*Source: Assogestioni, NNM excluding M&A
+1.0 Net New Money (€bn)
173.1 AuM (€bn)+83% vs. 2017
303.6 Net commissions (€m)+30% vs. 2017
122.1 Net Income (€m)+10% vs. 2017
163.2 Adj. Net Income (€m)+22% vs. 2017
233.1
303.6
2017FY 2018FY
+30.2%
133.8163.2
2017FY 2018FY
+22.0%
Net commissions Adj. Net Income
▶ 2018 FY characterised by:
▶ Resilient flows in a tough macro environment representing ~12% of total Italian industry* NNM (more than 2.5x ANIMA BoP market share BoP of ~4.5%)
▶ Retail margin improving, with overall decline due to large growth in institutional segment volumes
▶ Continued cost control and effective operating leverage
▶ Solid cash generation returned to shareholders through ordinary dividend and buyback totalling more than €100m in 1H2019
5
ANIMA… what
6
BAMI50.8%
BMPS28.8%
CVAL6.3%
BPPB0.8%
86.7%Strategic partners*
Business by segment
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
Retail Institutional
31% AuM = €53.7bn 69% AuM = €119.4bn
10.9%Wrap#
Source: ANIMA as of 31-Dec-2018 *Includes BMPS, Banco BPM, Cre.Val. and BPPB # Wrap: Anima funds invested by other products managed by Anima
8.7%Otherbanks
4.2%FAs
0.4%Other
61.4%Poste Class I
Insurance
5.4%Poste fundsand U/L
3.7%Funds users/subadvisory
3.1%Pension funds
15.4%Insurance
7
2018FY AuM evolution
Source: ANIMA, data in € bn
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
0.6440.332
AuM 2017 EoP NNM M&A
-1.795
Mkt effect AuM 2018 EoP
94.398 0.976
79.531 173.110
Institutional
Retail
M&A contribution: BAMI insurance mandates effective from 1st July and Poste Class I mandates from 1st November
Poste Class I
BAMINS
8
Flows vs. industry (Assogestioni reported figures)
Source: Assogestioni, data in € m
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
2018 was slightly negative due to the anticipated €1.2bn mandate expiration and with the new partnerships yet to be implemented (Alettiacquisition effective December 27th 2017, and insurance mandates only at the beginning of H2)
H2 improving with the industry zeroing, with significant overperformance in September (ANIMA recorded ~¾ of total flows), November (best resultoverall after «red October») and December (positive flows against €1.5bn outflows for the Industry)
Looking at 2018FY, ANIMA flows represent approx12% of total AM flows in Italy, well above (~2.6x) our market share at the beginning of the period
-194
1,354
1,160
9,788
83
9,871
ANIMA ITA Industry
1H18
2H18
2018FY
9
2018FY mutual funds’ flows breakdown by category
Source: NNM in ANIMA mutual funds – data in €m
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
Cash Bond Balanced Flexible Equity
Also in 2018 the product offering focussed on balanced and flexible funds, with outflows from pure fixed income funds
10
Mutual funds’ investment performance
Source: ANIMA - Bloomberg (FIDMGEND Index for Italian Industry) Source: ANIMA - ASSOGESTIONI for IT Industry funds breakdown by category
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
2018 monthly ytd WAP
-6.0
-5.0
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
AugJan Feb AprMar May JulJun Sep Oct Nov Dec
IT Industry ANIMA
2018 funds’ breakdown by category
39.1% 36.3%
10.3%12.2%
24.8%38.8%
22.2%9.9%
Balanced
ANIMA
Equity
IT Industry
3.6% 2.7%
Flexible
Bond
Cash
11
2018 mutual funds WAP and by category
Source: ANIMA funds and Bloomberg data for Italian Industry index, YTD performance as of 31.12.2018
-4.85 -5.22
ANIMA Industry
-0.79 -0.77
ANIMA Industry
-2.75-3.55
ANIMA Industry
-5.96 -6.30
ANIMA Industry
-5.29 -5.91
ANIMA Industry
-8.81
-11.85
ANIMA Industry
WAP Cash Bond
Balanced Flexible Equity
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
12
2018 Product innovation: target date funds launches€7.3bn gross flows into new products
FEB‘18
MAR‘18
APR‘18
MAY‘18
JUN‘18
JUL‘18
AUG‘18
SEP‘18
OCT‘18
NOV‘18
DEC‘18
JAN‘18
JAN‘19
MULTISTRATEGY
GROSS FLOWS
€3.4bn
INCOME
GROSS FLOWS
€2.3bn
DEC‘17
THEMATIC
GROSS FLOWS
€1.6bn
SEP-NOV
SEP-DEC
DEC -MAR MAY-JUN JUN-SEP SEP-DEC
OCT-JAN JAN-APR APR-JUL OCT-JAN
MAR-MAY
AnimaGestielleBancoposta
MAY-JUL JUL-OCT OCT-DEC
DEC-JAN APR-MAY AUG-SEPT NOV-DEC
NOV-FEB FEB-MAY JUL-OCT OCT-JAN
JAN-MAR
MAR-APR JUN-SEP NOV-JAN
Source: ANIMA target date funds scheduling for 2018
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
DEC-MAR
DEC-MAR
€1.6bn€1.6bn€1.3bn€2.7bn
13
What’s next? 2019 product and investment strategy
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
NEW TARGET DATE FUNDSAUTOMATIC SWITCHES DOLLAR-COST AVERAGING PLANS
Enhancing our product offering looking into new asset classes and investment strategies
Adapting our commercial activity to volatile markets (see box below)
With volatile markets, (especially equities), revamping of products based on the concept of time diversification in terms of product switch, target date funds and “embedded actively managed DCA strategy”
New global flexible bond fund with tactical allocationNew global multi-credit fund in partnership with Legg MasonNew thematic global equity fund linked to demographic trends
RESPONDING TO CAUTIOUS CLIENTS’ BEHAVIORS DUE TO VOLATILE MARKETS
Launch of new target date funds mirroring our open-endedsuccessful strategies (e.g. ANIMA Visconteo) with a time diversification strategy for the equity component
Optional feature to clients for personalised automatic switchesamong funds with different equityexposure
Reducing the risk of entering equitymarkets all at once in the wrongmoment, and actively using thisstrategy leaving PMs some flexibility in accelerating or slowingdown depending on opportunities
1
2
Concentrating in Italy non domestic investment management activities3
14
ANIMA… how much
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P&L overview
1 2017 figures for ANIMA excluding Aletti Gestielle SGR
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
€m 2018 20171 %
Net commissions 303.588 233.137
Performance fees 20.318 23.891
Total revenues 323.906 257.028 +26%
Personnel costo/w fixedo/w variable
(41.581)(33.504)
(8.076)
(36.267)(26.173)(10.095)
Other expense (41.829) (29.185)
Total expense (83.410) (65.452)
EBITDA 240.496 191.576 +26%
Non recurring costs (7.881) (9.555)
LTIP expense (3.336) (3.847)
Other income/(cost) 417 6.541
D&A (47.465) (17.983)
EBIT 182.231 166.728 +9%
Net financial charges (8.644) (6.839)
PBT 173.587 159.889 +9%
Income tax (51.530) (48.596)
Net income 122.057 111.293 +10%
Adjusted net income 163.232 133.780 +22%
bps/avg AuM 2018 20171
Retail 30.5 28.5
Institutional 18.7 28.0
Average 24.4 28.3
Cost/income 2018 20171
on total revenues 25.8% 25.5%
ex performance fees 27.5% 28.1%
▶ Strong commitment and consistency in keeping a low cost/income
▶ 2018 Tax rate approx. 30%
▶ Adjusted net income is a good proxy of the cash generated by the Group (as it doesn’t consider non cash-out items net of the fiscal effect such as PPA amortisation and LTIP expense)
▶ Retail margin improving
▶ Large volumes diluting profitability of the institutional business
16
Focus on margin evolution
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
39.4
53.7
2017 2018
+36.1%
28.5
30.5
26
28
30
32
2017 2018
35.9
119.4
2017 2018
+232.4%28.0
18.7
10
15
20
25
30
2017 2018
48%69%
52%31%
2017 2018
28.3
24.4
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
2017 2018
RE
TA
IL A
UM
IN €
BIN
STIT
UT
ION
AL
AU
M IN
€B
TO
TA
L A
UM
SP
LIT
IN %
▶ Retail margin improved vs. 2017 year-end also through the consolidation of Aletti Gestielleassets
▶ Institutional margin decreasing in FY 2018 mainly due to:
▶ the anticipated loss of the €1.2bn mandate in Q2 (May ‘18)
▶ the €9.4bn AuM insurance mandates (July ‘18) and
▶ the Poste insurance mandates of ca. €70bn AuM with lower profitability (November ‘18)
▶ Average margin trending towards 16/18 bps in 2019E as large institutional volumes linked to 2018 M&A will account for the full year
MA
RG
IN IN
BP
MA
RG
IN IN
BP
MA
RG
IN IN
BP
17
6.2 6.75.7
6.4 6.5 6.85.9
6.9
8.6 8.87.6
8.5
2.52.5
2.5 0.9
2.42.7
2.4
2.6
3.22.1
1.81.1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
PERSONNEL COSTFixed Variable
52.854.7
52.4 51.9 51.0 52.6 53.3 54.1
70.868.8 70.3 70.8
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
NET COMMISSIONS TREND
Focus on net fees and personnel cost
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
2016 2017 2018
Total personnel cost down yoy mostly due to lower variable compensationFixed personnel costs reflecting increase in the headcount following integration of Aletti Gestielle and Poste Class I business
2016 2017 2018
New perimeter contributes to increase net commissions2019 shall also benefit of additional net fees for approx. €15m due to the contribution for the full year of 2018 acquisitions
Headcount
246 249
315
18
INTEGRATION
• Headcounts reduction on a Group basis, with physiological turnover absorbing large part of potential redundancies
COST SYNERGIES
• Integration and fine-tuning of investment activities and operations
• Closing of Aletti Gestielle existing rental contracts and concentration of all workforce in ANIMA existing HQ
• Savings arising from single entity: corporate expenses, info providers…
Efficient M&A integration and cost discipline
Aletti Gestielle successfully integrated within 11 months
Even if the target company was already very lean on costs final cost synergies (fully phased-in from 2020 onwards) shall be above €7m (i.e. ~40% of the total cost base of Aletti Gestielle)
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
Dec 27th, 2017
Dec 1st, 2018
CLOSING OF THE ACQUISITION
FULL PHASE-IN OF COST SYNERGIES
9.4 9.6
8.37.8
8.99.2
8.0
9.09.3 9.3
7.8
5.1
4
6
8
10
12
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2016 2017 2018
OPERATING EXPENSES (bps)
Dec 31st, 2019
Aug 4th, 2017 ACQUISITION ANNOUNCEMENT
MERGER INTO ANIMA
19
Solid cash generation and consistent delivery
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
86%80%
92% 91% 94%
14%20%
8% 9% 6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
In the first 5 years as a listed company, consolidated EBITDA grew €73m (+44%), driven by net fees
In the same period, performance fees went down from 14% to 6% of the consolidated total revenues
With performance fees reducing their contribution, increasing net fees and effective operating leverage kept EBITDA margin constantly well above 70%
19
6
23
4
23
3
23
3
30
4
31
57
21 24
20
167
221
191 192
240
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
320
20152014 20172016 2018
Net fees Performance fees EBITDA
€m
Net fees Performance fees EBITDA margin
20
Consolidated net financial position
Source: ANIMA
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
€m 2018 2017
Bank loan (645.3) (450.0)
Bridge to equity loan - (250.0)
Accrued interest expense - (0.2)
Due to Banco BPM - (113.7)
TOTAL DEBT (645.3) (813.9)
Cash 243.4 359.6
Securities 88.6 150.7
Perf. fee receivable 1.6 27.7
TOTAL CASH & CASH EQUIVALENTS 333.7 537.9
CONSOLIDATED NFP (311.6) (276.0)
333.7
537.9
-645.3
-450.2
-250.0
-113.7
2018 2017
Total cash
Total debt
-311.6
-276.0
▶ Gross debt entirely at Holding level, whereas cash is generated by subsidiaries and moved to the Holdco through dividends
▶ NFP reflects the €120m additional debt for the Poste deal activated at the end of October
▶ Next capital repayment of the bank loan in June 2019 for €50m
at Holding co. level
mainly in subsidiaries, including regulatory
capital
--- Bridge to equity loan
--- Due to Banco BPM
21
43
185 193
-276 -312
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Returning capital to shareholders
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
CONSOLIDATED NFP ORDINARY DIVIDEND
Dividend always kept minimum of 50% of reported net income, notwithstanding releveraging for M&A in 2017/18
In addition to ordinary dividends, execution of a first tranche of buy back in 2019 up to 3% of the issued share capital to be completed before May 2019
In the first months of 2019 ANIMA shall therefore return more than €100m to shareholders between ordinary dividends (~€61m) and buyback (~€40m)
In the first 5 years as a listed company, ANIMA returned €320m through ordinary dividends on an average market cap in the period* of €1.76bn
5075 75
59 6150
125
200
259
320
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Dividend €m Cumulated dividends €m
*Source: ANIMA based on Bloomberg §Proposal to the AGM of €0.165DPS, amount in €m net of 3% treasury shares forecast for payment in May 2019
§
22
ANIMA… why
23
Closing remarks (1/3)2018 produced quite a bit of negative headlines…
Uncertainty especially linked to global macro
and political environment
2018 will be remembered as the worst year
for quite all asset classes in the past decade
with increased volatility
Asset management industry slowed down
globally, including Italy (total NNM €10bn,
with H2 close to zero)
2018 is not the end of the world as we know
it, as it wasn’t 2008 either…
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
Italian political situation and the long debate
with EU on budget law weighted on Italian listed
companies, particularly on the financial sector
First year of negative returns for ANIMA funds,
even if consistently above the Italian industry in
each of the major categories
ANIMA NNM is the lowest since our 2014 IPO,
but represents 2.6x our market share in Italy at
the end of the previous year with very a robust
increase in H2
2018 will not be recorded as our best year, with
main P&L figures well away from their potential
For markets and the AM industry…. …and what about ANIMA?
24
Closing remarks (2/3)Not all that stays in the shadow can’t glitter …
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
▶ 2019 is expected to be still complicated and volatile due to an uncertain macro and political scenario
both domestic and globally
▶ Italy is facing a slowdown in growth but remains a very attractive market… thanks to a large amount of
financial wealth with a significant pool of liquidity on current accounts reaching the record amount of
€1.4 trillion (representing 32% of total households’ financial wealth)
▶ Preference for financial products is at the highest level in the past few years
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
3,200
3,600
4,000
4,400
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
1H
18
Stock % chg
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1H
12
2H
12
1H
13
2H
13
1H
14
2H
14
1H
15
2H
15
1H
16
2H
16
1H
17
2H
17
1H
18
2H
18
Deposits Financial assets Real estate
FINANCIAL WEALTH ITALIAN HOUSEHOLDS PREFERENCE FOR INVESTMENTS
Source: ANIMA based on Bank of Italy data Source: Survey GfK Eurisko / ANIMA
€m %
25
Closing remarks (3/3)We might sound boring but…
ANIMA: different, yet unique!
▶ What’s next? This year we plan to keep growing in line with our strategic drivers:
ORGANIC GROWTH will come from further strengthening of our partnerships, including the new ones
in the insurance field that still need to ramp up according to their potential
COST CONTROL is well embedded in our company culture and it’s the ultimate measurement to
evaluate if the growth is healthy and value creating for all stakeholders
CASH GENERATION remains the main feature for the sector and even more for our company due to the
very high level of efficiency; we will keep evaluating the best possible use (and return) of cash
…and, possibly
M&A, aimed at:
• enlarging the distribution network,
• increasing capabilities (in particular in the landscape of alternatives)
…always improving scale economies and keeping in mind that “it takes two to tango”
26
Anima Holding spaCorso Garibaldi, 99
I – 20121 Milanowww.animaholding.it
Investor RelationsFabrizio Armone
Tel. [email protected]
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