4th annual investor conference may 16, 2001 “dynamic markets, compelling opportunities”

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4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Page 1: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

4th Annual Investor Conference

May 16, 2001

“DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

Page 2: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Cautionary Statement

The matters discussed in this release contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, that involve risks and uncertainties. All statements other than statements of historical information provided herein may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Without limiting the foregoing, the words “believes,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “expects” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the risks discussed in the “Risk Factors” and “Cautionary Statements” sections included within the Company's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC and the risks discussed in the Company's other filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which reflect management's analysis, judgment, belief or expectation only as of the date hereof. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly revise these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that arise after the date hereof.

Page 3: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

4th Annual Investor Conference

May 16, 2001

FINANCE

Steven P. Erwin

EVP and Chief Financial Officer

Page 4: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Looking Back to 2000

Q1 2001 Highlights

Expectations for 2001

2002 Operating Performance Goals

Hot Topics

Page 5: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Looking Back to 2000

Q1 2001 Highlights

Expectations for 2001

2002 Operating Performance Goals

Hot Topics

Page 6: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Improved Health Plan Operations– Health Plan Enrollment Up 8.7%

– Commercial Revenue PMPMs Up Over 10%

– MCR Stable

Efficient Operating Cost Management– SG&A Ratio Declined 90 Basis Points to 14.5%

– Expense Increases Focused on Infrastructure-Related

Initiatives and Membership Growth

Q1 2001 - Positioned for Growth

Page 7: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Resolution of the Government Receivable

– Collected $284 Million Net; Receivable Down to $65 Million

From $334 Million at Year-End 2000

Stronger Balance Sheet– Debt to Total Capital At 36.8% in Q1 2001

– Investment Grade Ratings From S&P and Moody’s

– Issued $400 Million of 10-Year Notes on April 12, 2001

Q1 2001 - Positioned for Growth

Page 8: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Looking Back to 2000

Q1 2001 Highlights

Expectations for 2001

2002 Operating Performance Goals

Hot Topics

Page 9: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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EPS Between $1.55 - $1.58 (17% - 19% Growth Over 2000)

Enrollment Growth

Stable Health Plan MCR

Improving SG&A Ratio

Strengthening Capital Structure

Record Cash Flow From Operations

Capital Expenditure Spending Focused on Efficiency Initiatives

Expectations for 2001

Page 10: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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EPS Growth - New GAAP

$1.09

$0.20

$1.33

$0.20

$1.55 - 1.58

$0.19

$0.75

$0.95

$1.15

$1.35

$1.55

$1.75

$1.95

1999 2000 2001E

+ 22%

+ 17% - 19%

* Excluding One-Time Charges/Gains– Shaded Area: Impact of Goodwill Amortization

*

$1.29

$1.53

$1.74 - $1.77

Page 11: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Same Store Health Plan Enrollment Growth

3,935

4,040

3,7183,744

3,700

3,800

3,900

4,000

4,100

4,200

1999 Q1 2000 2000 Q1 2001 2001Projection

Membership Growth Will Slow as Increases in California and Northeast Will Offset Expected Decreases in Arizona

4,0XX

Page 12: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Stable Total Health Plan MCR Expected to Continue in 2001

85.2% 85.2%

84.9% 84.8%

82.0%

83.0%

84.0%

85.0%

86.0%

Q1 2000 Q1 2001 2000 2001Projection

Page 13: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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SG&A % Decline to Continue in 2001

17.5%

16.0%

15.2%

14.5% 14.X%

14%

15%

16%

17%

18%

1998 1999 2000 Q1 2001 2001Projection

Page 14: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Issued $400 Million on April 12– Bullet Maturity Due in April 2011

Offering Upsized From $300 MillionCoupon Rate of 8.375% (All-in Cost of 8.54%)100% of Proceeds Reduced Revolver

OutstandingsInvestment Grade Rating From Moody’s (Baa3)

and from S&P (BBB-)

New 10-Year Notes

Page 15: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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New $700 Million Facility Being Negotiated One Year Ahead of Maturity

Down From Current $1.356 Billion Facility SizeNew Maturity: May 2006 (Expected)Pricing at Libor + 112.5 bps (vs. Current 125 bps)Purpose:

– Funding General Corporate Activities (Working Capital, etc.)

– Provides Liquidity Cushion of $400 - $500 Million

Bank Revolver

Page 16: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Total Debt Level Below $600 Million by Year End 2001

Long-Term Debt to Capital Ratio Expected to Be In The Low 30% Range by Year-end; at or Below 30% in 2002 and Beyond

New 10-Year Notes Provide Stable Funding Source

Bank Revolver Expected to Be Renewed One Year Ahead of Maturity

Strengthening Capital Structure in 2001

Page 17: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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63.0%

36.8%

Total Debt Has Decreased Over $610 Million, or Nearly 50%, and Debt to Capital Ratio Has Dropped from 63.0% in Q4 1998 to 36.8% in Q1 2000

$1,256

$625

$725

$825

$925

$1,025

$1,125

$1,225

$1,325

Q4 98 Q4 99 Q4 00 Q1 01

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

55.0%

60.0%

65.0%

Total Debt Debt to Capital

Debt to Total Capital

(In Thousands)

Page 18: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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2001 Will Nearly Equal 1999 And 2000 Combined

($126)

$101

$297 $366

$575 to $600

($150)

($50)

$50

$150

$250

$350

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001Projection

$(25)

$663

(in millions)

Cash Flow from Operations

Page 19: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Capital Expenditure Process

Capital Expenditure Process Review Rigor Implemented in 1999

– Business Cases Developed and Submitted for Review

– Includes Internal Rates of Return on Cash Flow Analysis

– Screening Process at Division Management Level

– All Cases Greater than $500K Submitted to Executive Management Committee for Review and Approval

Page 20: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Capital Expenditure Spending

$132$148

$49

$70

$10

$100

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

1997 1998 1999 2000 Q1 2001 2001Projected

Targeted CapEx Spending Will Increase in 2001 for Information Technology and New Ventures Group Initiatives

($ M

illi

on

s)

Page 21: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Looking Back to 2000

Q1 2001 Highlights

Expectations for 2001

2002 Operating Performance Goals

Hot Topics

Page 22: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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$1.80-$1.85 EPS in 2002; New GAAP of $1.99 - $2.04 in 2002 (Consensus Average is $1.83; $2.02 Under New GAAP)

Revenue Growth With Focus on Improving Margins

Stable MCR

Declining SG&A Ratio

2002 Operating Performance Goals

Page 23: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Profitable Enrollment Growth Based on Optimum

Price / Product Profile

Stable MCR and Efficient SG&A Management

Increasing Positive Cash Flow from Operations

Continued Debt Reductions

Ongoing Performance Expectations

Page 24: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Looking Back to 2000

Q1 2001 Highlights

Expectations for 2001

2002 Operating Performance Goals

Hot Topics

Page 25: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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“Excess” Cash and Cash Flow

Days Claims Payable

Share Repurchase Viewpoint

ROE Growth

Hot Topics

Page 26: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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“Excess” Cash Determinants– Excess Cash: Cash Above Required Statutory Capital

Levels and Cash at Non-Regulated Entities

– Risk-Based Capital: National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) Approved Model for Assessing the Appropriate Capital Levels for Regulated Entities and is Based on Business Risk and Other Risk Factors

• 150% - 200% of RBC = Prompts Regulatory Action; Health Plan Required to Submit Corrective Action Plan

• 200% of RBC = Required Company RBC Statutory Surplus• 300% of RBC = Health Net Target Operating Levels That Includes a Margin

Hot Topics

Page 27: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Cash - Where Is It?

Distribution of Cash & Equivalents and Securities Available for Sale

($ in Millions)

At 3/31/01

Cash & Equivalents

Securities Available for

Sale Total

Health Net of California 505$ 160$ 664$ Health Net of the Northeast 379 190 568 Health Net of Arizona 101 48 149 Florida 106 19 125 Life Companies 14 34 48 Health Net of Oregon 14 23 38 Regulated Subs 1,119 473 1,592

Unregulated Subs 15 5 21

Corporate 107 5 112 TOTAL 1,242$ 484$ 1,726$

Page 28: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Excess Cash

At 12/31/00, Health Net Has Approximately $160 Million of Surplus in Excess of Statutory Requirements

Health Net Typically Carries Additional $100 Million of Cash in the Non-Regulated Entities

Therefore, Total “Excess” Cash is Approximately $260 Million

Impact of Strong Surplus on "Excess" Cash

($ in Millions)

At 12/31/00

State Defined Surplus as

BookedState Required

Surplus

% of Required Surplus

Health Net of California $ 168 $ 81 207%Health Net of Arizona 61 53 115%Health Net of Oregon 16 14 114%Health Net of the Northeast 169 145 117%Life Companies 55 16 344%Total $ 469 $ 309 152%

Total Risk-Based Capital $ 616 $ 203 304%

Page 29: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Enterprise Free Cash Flow is Consolidated Cash Flow From Operations Less CapEx Spending

Parent Company Free Cash Flow is Dividend-Based and Includes Other Sources and Uses

Cash Flow - Where Does It Go?

Formulaic Example 2001

Expected Consolidated Cash Flow From Operations 575$ Less: Non-recurring Government Payment (284) Recurring Cash Flow From Operations 291

Estimated 50% Dividend Payout to Parent 150 Plus: Other Parent Sources 100 Less: Parent Uses (50)

Net Cash Available for Corporate Activities 200$

Page 30: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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Claims Payable Has Three Key Components– Medical Claims Inventory or Backlog

– Incurred But Not Reported (IBNR) Reserves

– Adjudicated But Unpaid ClaimsBusiness Reasons for a Decline in Days Claims

Payable (DCP)– Paydown of Medical Claims Backlog– Change in Product, Geographical or Provider Mix– Timing of Medical Payments (Quarterly, Monthly,

Weekly)

Claims Payable Review

Page 31: 4th Annual Investor Conference May 16, 2001 “DYNAMIC MARKETS, COMPELLING OPPORTUNITIES”

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ROE Growth

14.7%

15.0%

15.6%

16.0%

16.4%

17.1%

18.1%

17.4%

17.8%

16.3%

16.9%

14.6%

15.1%

15.6%

16.1%

16.6%

17.1%

17.6%

18.1%

1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr Full Year

1999 2000 2001

Consistent Improvement In ROE From Profitable Top Line Growth, Stable MCR, Improving SG&A Ratio, and Debt Paydowns

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