5th world and texas clusters michael bettersworth & jim brazell

5th World and Texas Clusters

Michael Bettersworth &

Jim Brazell

Ray Kurzweil & The Singularity

Go to www.singularity.comfor more info.

Ray Kurzweil

Source: Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near

Exponentially more Power over Time.

Ray Kurzweil

Exponentially less Cost over

Time.


Ray Kurzweil


Did your regional college

have a web program in

1995?

Does your regional

college have a web curriculum

today?

Ray Kurzweil

An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is

exponential, contrary to the common-sense "intuitive linear" view.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0 10 5020 100

Time

30 40 60 70 80 90

Linear View

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0 10 5020 100

Time

30 40 60 70 80 90

Exponential View

“So we won't experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century -- it will be more like 20,000 years of

progress (at today's rate)… because we're doubling the rate of progress every decade, we'll see a century of progress--at today's rate--in only 25

calendar years.”

Kurzweil, KurzweilAI.net, March 7, 2001

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• Workforce

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• Learning Strategies

Workforce Context

The number of jobs requiring technical

training is growing at five times the rate of other

occupations.

Innovate America, U.S. Council on Competitiveness

Workforce Context

Texas Cluster Initiative - Workforce

“60% of the jobs in the Texas biotechnology cluster require only an associates degree or certificate.”

The reality is many of the Texas Cluster’s high-tech jobs are split between requirements for community and technical college degrees and 4-year degrees.

Skilled technical jobs are attainable and critically needed by industry.

Dr. Mae Jemison, Chair, Biotechnology Cluster

Workforce Context

Samuel Palmisano (CEO, IBM): Business Week: 10.11.2004

100 million jobs are going to be created in a lot of these

cross-disciplinary fields

Council on Competitiveness:National Innovation Initiative

Workforce Context

Navy Job

Mergers

Job Mergers - HTI

Source: Internet Home Alliance, Net Gain: Advancing the Market for Home Technology Integrators, 2004

“the convergence or merging of previously separate technologies and systems in the home, including integrated home control, computer/home network, communications, lighting and energy management, entertainment and security, health and safety.”

Job Mergers – Wind Turbine

Lineman

Oil Field

Farm Mechanic

Wind Turbine Tech

Partnerships between public education and the private sector

are imperative and must be focused on identifying and

developing resources to prepare students for advancing skill

requirements.

Texas Cluster Initiative - Workforce

TEXASINDUSTRYPROFILES.com

Texas Cluster GIS

Kaki Leyens in the Office of Employer Initiatives at the Texas Workforce

Commission is the primary liaison to education. If you are interested in

forming partnerships with industries to support your students, please leave a card, and I will pass them on to Kaki.

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• Workforce

• Education


Indicators of New Curriculum

FutureWorkforce

Trends

FutureWorkforce

Trends

TechnologyTrends

TechnologyTrends

FuturistPredictions

FuturistPredictions

AnticipatedNew Programs


Applied/Basic Research


EconomicDevelopment

Efforts

EconomicDevelopment

Efforts

NewPrograms/Courses

NewPrograms/Courses

ProgramRevisionsProgram

Revisions

ExpressedNeed

ExpressedNeed Associate

Degrees

LocalNeeds

AdvancedTechnologyCertificates

SpecialTopics

Certificates

FutureWorkforce

Trends

FutureWorkforce

Trends

TechnologyTrends

TechnologyTrends

FuturistPredictions

FuturistPredictions





EconomicDevelopment

Efforts

EconomicDevelopment

Efforts

NewPrograms/Courses

NewPrograms/Courses

ProgramRevisionsProgram

Revisions

ExpressedNeed

ExpressedNeed Associate

Degrees

LocalNeeds

AdvancedTechnologyCertificates

SpecialTopics

Certificates

t

Indicators of New Curriculum

The Texas Industry Cluster Initiative leaders emphasize that curricula must be increasingly responsive and adaptable to

advances in technology.

Texas Cluster Initiative - Education

Texas Emerging Technology Workforce Curriculum Forecasting

DetailedAnalysis

Potential Emerging Technology Topics

Preliminary Emerging Technology Topics

EnviroScanning

Industry Surveys

CTC Surveys

Texas Economic Clusters

•Criteria for Determining to Target a Particular Topic

•Is it a high skill/high wage industry environment?•Can existing curricula be leveraged?•What is the CTC curriculum history in this area?•What is the Industry lifecycle point (growth industry)?•Does the topic indicate a potential industry shift?•“Wildcards”

Outcome: Topic recommendations for consideration.

Criteria for Selection for Detailed Analysis

•Jobs. Positive strategic employment growth projections.•Trends. Promisingly competitive environment for industry.•Timing. Timing of workforce demand justifies development.•CTC Relevance. Appropriate level of education.•Utility. Cross-functional nature of knowledge, skills, and abilities.•Significant structural change within industry.

Outcome: TechBriefs. Topics selected for further analysis or marked for continued tracking.

Criteria for Outputs of Detailed Studies

•Further strategic employment projections.•Drivers and constraints affecting the industry.•Size and location of market.•Connection(s) to existing CTC awards.•Ability and ease of replication.•Physical and capital costs.•Industry and education partnerships to be leveraged.•Anticipated longevity of curriculum.•Linkages to previous CD products•National Best Practices

Outcome: Detail Study. Detailed recommendations and specifications for funding.

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 4th Quarter

RESEARCH

RESEARCH

The Texas Industry Cluster Initiative leaders emphasize the

alignment of workforce skill requirements and through all

levels of P16 education.

Texas Cluster Initiative - Education

1. Advanced Technologies and Manufacturinga) Nanotechnology and Materialsb) Micro-electromechanical Systemsc) Semiconductor Manufacturingd) Automotive Manufacturing

2. Aerospace and Defense3. Biotechnology and Life Sciences (Excluding Medical Services)

4. Information and Computer Technologya) Communications Equipmentb) Computing Equipment Semiconductorsc) Information Technology

5. Petroleum Refining and Chemical Products6. Energy

a) Oil and Gas Productionb) Power Generation and Transmissionc) Manufactured Energy Systems

Texas Cluster Initiative

U.S. Hybrid Vehicle Releases• Honda Accord• Honda Civic• Honda Insight• Toyota Prius• Ford Escape SUV• Lexus RX 400h SUV• Toyota Highlander SUV• Mercury Mariner SUV• GM Silverado & Sierra Technologies & Skills

• Combustion Engine• Transmission• Electric Motor• Generator• Batteries• High Voltage Circuitry• Energy Management Sys

Hybrid Vehicles

9 Today21 In 2 years

Hybrid Tech

Home Technology Integration

Source: Internet Home Alliance, Net Gain: Advancing the Market for Home Technology Integrators, 2004

“the convergence or merging of previously separate technologies and systems in the home, including integrated home control, computer/home network, communications, lighting and energy management, entertainment and security, health and safety.”

HT Integrator

Technologies & Skills• Computer Security • Computer Maintenance• Computer Systems Administratio• Computer Forensics• Following Rules of Evidence• Expert Interpretation

Applications• Law Enforcement• Corporate Sector• Data Recovery• Consulting/Private Investigations

Digital Forensics

Digital Forensics Specialist

Wind Turbines

• Instrumentation

• Hydraulic Systems

• Electronics Systems

• Mechanical Systems

• Airfoils & Composites

• Data Communications

Wind Turbine Technician

Fuel Cells

• Math

• Physics

• Chemistry

• Instrumentation

• Electrical Theory & Devices

• Industrial Automatic Control

• Programmable Logic Controllers

Fuel Cell Systems Technician

MechatronicsThe synergistic combination of mechanical engineering, electronics, control systems and computers.Mechanical, Aerospace, and Nuclear EngineeringDepartments at RPIAll Contents Copyright(C) 2001 Mechatronics Lab at RPI From: Jim Brazell, 5th World

Nanotechnology Fuel Cells Digital Games

Homeland Security ADM, Hybrid, MEMS, Computer Forensics Wireless: M2M

Resulting Emerging Technology Studies

www.forecasting.system.tstc.edu

• Download complete emerging technology studies for free

• Register with the site for future publications

• Participate in emerging technology topic surveys

Resulting Emerging Technology Briefs

• Artificial Intelligence

• Crime Scene Technician

• Home Technology Integration

• Liquefied Natural Gas

• Mechatronics

• Nuclear Power Technician

• Photovoltaic Technician

• Polysomnography

• Retinal Angiographer

• Wind Turbines

www.tslccd.org

• Curriculum

• Lesson Plans

• Syllabi

• Contacts

• Partners

• Examples

www.thecb.state.tx.us/OS/Grants/Perkins/

• Get paid to develop new curriculum!

• $150,000 towards DACUM, PCAL, travel, advisory committees, contracting, materials, research, etc.

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Adapted from Charles OstmanSenior Fellow

Institute for Global Futures

NEURO NANO

BIOINFO

S&T Convergence

Transdisciplinarity

Source: Brazell, IC2 Institute, 2004

Yang Cai, Ingo Snel, Betty Chenga, SumanBharathi, Clementine Klein d, Judith Klein-Seetharaman; Carnegie Mellon University, University of Frankfurt, Research Institute, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine.

www.andrew.cmu.edu/~ycai/biogame.pdf

BIOSIM 1.0

Chemistry Engineering

BiologyPhysics

Educational Convergence

Informatics

Math Engineering

TechScience

STEM

Math Engineering

TechScience

ARTS

Math Engineering

TechScience

TEAMS

GAME TEAMS

Games have captured millennials imagination

and time.

Leverage the attention economy of games to

develop next generation workforce.

We need to pierce the veil of play and support

game-based constructivist learning.

Transdisciplinarity is the common

denominator.

Games NANO BIO INFO NEURO

Game Builder = System Builder

TEAMS Educational Pull

Population: 1.4MM Growth: 1200/day

Educational Sites 3 - 5 minutes EA online games 9 minutesAOL Entertainment 10 minutesWhyville.net 59 minutesYahoo! Games 78 minutes

MEAN TIME PER USER LOGIN

Discovery.com: 96 million Whyville.net: 58.4 millionBigChalk: 11 millionTime for Kids: 8 million New York Times Learning Net: 1.2 millionCosmogirl: 425,000

PAGE VIEWS

©num

edeon, inc. 2003

The average time per log in July was 3.8 hours making it second to Neopets.

MechatronicsThe synergistic combination of mechanical engineering, electronics, control systems and computers.Mechanical, Aerospace, and Nuclear Engineering Departments at RPIAll Contents Copyright(C) 2001 Mechatronics Lab at RPI

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Ray Kurzweil & The Singularity

Go to www.singularity.comfor more info.

What is driving these advances?

Innovation & Competitiveness

“Innovation is the key to driving growth and prosperity. Economists calculate that approximately 50% of U.S. annual

GDP growth is attributed to increases in innovation.”

Council on Competitiveness

Changing Nature of Innovation

1. Faster2. Multidisciplinary3. Collaborative4. Democratized5. Global

From: Measuring Regional Innovation, Council on Competitiveness

http://www.compete.org/

Changing Nature of Competitiveness

1. Graduation Rates2. Globalization3. Outsourcing4. Offshoring5. Insourcing6. Demographics

http://www.compete.org/

Technology curriculum is increasingly multidisciplinary, comprising knowledge, skills and abilities from traditionally desperate academic and occupational domains.

Changing Nature of Innovation

“…the changing nature of innovation and accelerating global competition means that the U.S. can no longer rest on its past success. Our innovation leadership is not guaranteed and neither is our history of a rising living standard. To sustain our growth, we must innovate more, innovate better, and innovate faster.”

Measuring Regional InnovationCouncil on Competitiveness

“The future will always surprise us…

…but it shouldn’t dumbfound us.”Buckminster Fuller

Jim BrazellConsulting Analyst

Digital Media CollaboratoryUT Austin

[email protected]

www.ventureramp.com

Michael A BettersworthAssociate Vice Chancellor for Technology Advancement

Texas State Technical [email protected]

512.391.1705www.system.tstc.edu/forecasting