6 nation 2010 report
TRANSCRIPT
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ZOGBY INTERNATI ONAL
2010 Six Nation Survey
Submitted by:Zogby International
John Zogby, President and CEODr. James Zogby, Senior Analyst
July, 2010
2010 Zogby International
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Methodology
Results for this survey are based on face-to-face interviews conducted under the direction of Zogby International. All surveys arebased on urban samples except in Lebanon where the sample was nationwide.
The tables below show the margin of sampling error based on all interviews conducted in that country. For results based on the fullsample in a given country, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling and other random effects is plus orminus the margin of error. In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties inconducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.
Country Sample Size Dates MOE (%)Egypt 818 6/29 7/18 +/- 3.5KSA 812 6/30 7/16 +/- 3.5UAE* 512 6/30 7/14 +/- 4.4Morocco 816 6/30 7/20 +/- 3.5Lebanon 509 6/29 7-13 +/- 4.4
Jordan 509 6/30 7/16 +/- 4.5*Includes only Arabs in the UAE358 Natural Citizens and 154 Arab expatriates.
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Survey Findings
1. What could the United States do to improve relations with the Arab World?
Egypt J ordan K SA Lebanon Morocco UAEBetter understand Arabs respectour values 42 32 51 30 54 22
Change their policies toward the
region45 47 28 29 22 48
Theres nothing they can do, soleave us alone 9 14 20 21 19 29
Not much, relations are alreadygood with my country and that 4 8 2 21 5
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3. When Barack Obama was elected, how hopeful were you that he would bring change to U.S. policy toward the Arab world?
Egypt J ordan K SA Lebanon Morocco UAEVery hopeful 30 12 34 10 -- 36Somewhat hopeful 33 31 45 30 10 38
HOPEFUL 63 43 79 40 10 74
Not very hopeful 12 31 14 45 54 14Not at all hopeful 23 26 7 36 36 11
NOT HOPEFUL 35 57 21 81 90 25Not Sure 1 -- -- -- --
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5. Which of the following best describes your attitude toward relations between the United States and the Arab world?
Egypt J ordan KSA Lebanon Morocco UAEI want better relations if the U.S. changedits policies 62 32 44 34 57 32
I want better relations because theywould increase economic 20 35 24 36 16 41
I want better relations because they helppromote democrati 8 7 24 8 12 5
It doesnt matter to me 3 6 5 2 4 3I dont believe relations should improve,it would not be go 3 6 2 7 7
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Appendix A: Opinion of the United States by Country over Time
Egypt2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010
Very Favorable ** 2 -- 3 5 2 1 2Somewhat Favorable ** 10 4 11 8 8 13 8FAVORABL E 15 13 4 14 14 9 14 10Somewhat Unfavorable ** 20 19 14 20 15 27 32Very Unfavorable ** 58 76 71 53 73 51 53UNFAVORABL E 76 79 95 85 73 87 78 85Not Familiar Enough ** 4 -- 1 9 3 5 4Not Sure ** 4 1 -- 4 1 3 1
J ordan2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010
Very Favorable ** 1 4 8 1 1 8 6Somewhat Favorable ** 5 12 25 4 15 17 12FAVORABL E 34 6 15 33 5 16 25 18Somewhat Unfavorable ** 17 30 35 17 61 24 33Very Unfavorable ** 63 48 28 73 23 49 42UNFAVORABL E 61 80 78 63 90 84 73 75Not Familiar Enough ** 10 4 3 4 --
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Lebanon2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010
Very Favorable ** 10 5 9 9 4 7 9Somewhat Favorable ** 22 15 23 18 17 31 22FAVORABLE 26 32 20 32 28 21 38 31Somewhat Unfavorable ** 19 35 16 14 26 29 23Very Unfavorable ** 40 34 50 53 53 32 39
UNFAVORABL E 70 59 69 66 68 79 61 62Not Familiar Enough ** 6 7 2 3 1 1 8Not Sure ** 3 5 -- 2 --
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UAE2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010
Very Favorable ** 1 2 12 13 8 9 5Somewhat Favorable ** 7 12 16 22 15 43 17FAVORABLE 11 9 14 28 34 22 52 22Somewhat Unfavorable ** 55 27 32 28 35 28 42Very Unfavorable ** 31 46 37 33 36 12 33
UNFAVORABL E 87 86 72 69 61 71 40 75Not Familiar Enough ** 3 7 1 4 -- 2 --Not Sure ** 2 7 3 1 6 7 4
Morocco2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010
Very Favorable ** 1 1 12 -- 10 6 --Somewhat Favorable ** 4 10 22 6 16 9 3FAVORABL E 38 6 11 34 7 26 15 3Somewhat Unfavorable ** 24 35 19 26 22 35 56Very Unfavorable ** 67 53 45 61 49 42 41UNFAVORABL E 61 91 88 64 87 71 77 97
Not Familiar Enough ** 3 1 2 5 3 5 --Not Sure ** 1 -- -- 1 -- 2 --
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Appendix B: Opinion in L ebanon By Religion
1. What could the United States do to improve relations with the Arab World?
Lebanon Shia Sunni ChristianBetter understand Arabs respect our values 30 30 31 28Change their policies toward the region 29 33 20 31
Theres nothing they can do, so leave us alone 21 22 21 21
Not much, relations are already good with mycountry and that 21 15 28 21
Not Sure -- -- -- --
2. Generally speaking, is your attitude the United States very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or are you notfamiliar enough to make a judgment?
Lebanon Shia Sunni ChristianVery Favorable 9 3 14 13Somewhat Favorable 22 21 19 24
POSITIVE 31 24 33 37Somewhat Unfavorable 23 18 23 26
Very Unfavorable 39 45 40 33NEGATIVE 62 63 63 59Not Familiar 8 14 4 4Not Sure -- -- -- --
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3. When Barack Obama was elected, how hopeful were you that he would bring change to U.S. policy toward the Arab world?
Lebanon Shia Sunni ChristianVery hopeful 10 5 14 9Somewhat hopeful 30 21 31 37
HOPEFUL 40 26 45 46
Not very hopeful 45 38 23 14Not at all hopeful 36 36 32 40
NOT HOPEFUL 81 74 55 54Not Sure -- -- -- --
4. Has Barack Obama met the expectations he set in his speech at Cairo University in 2009?
Lebanon Shia Sunni Christian Yes 19 10 23 25No 19 24 21 16Not yet, still too early to judge 21 19 22 21I had no expectations 41 48 34 38
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5. Which of the following best describes your attitude toward relations between the United States and the Arab world?
Lebanon Shia Sunni ChristianI want better relations if the U.S. changedits policies 34 35 37 34
I want better relations because theywould increase economic 36 29 39 41
I want better relations because they helppromote democrati 8 9 9 6
It doesnt matter to me 2 3 1 3I dont believe relations should improve,it would not be go 7 5 5 8
I dont believe relations can improve withthe U.S. 13 20 9 7
Not Sure -- -- -- --
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Appendix B: Opinion in UAE By Nationality
1. What could the United States do to improve relations with the Arab World?
UAE National Arab, Non-Citizen
Better understand Arabs respect our values 22 21 25Change their policies toward the region 48 48 46
Theres nothing they can do, so leave us alone 29 30 26Not much, relations are already good with mycountry and that
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3. When Barack Obama was elected, how hopeful were you that he would bring change to U.S. policy toward the Arab world?
UAE National Arab, Non -Citizen
Very hopeful 36 35 39Somewhat hopeful 38 39 36
HOPEFUL 74 74 75Not very hopeful
14 14 16Not at all hopeful 11 12 9
NOT HOPEFUL 25 26 25Not Sure
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5. Which of the following best describes your attitude toward relations between the United States and the Arab world?
UAE National Arab, Non -Citizen
I want better relations if the U.S. changed its policies 32 33 29I want better relations because they would increaseeconomic 41 43 38
I want better relations because they help promotedemocrati 5 5 4It doesnt matter to me 3 3 3I dont believe relations should improve, it would not bego